PET-based prognostic survival model after radiotherapy for head and neck cancer.

PURPOSE: The aims of this multicentre retrospective study of locally advanced head and neck cancer (LAHNC) treated with definitive radiotherapy were to (1) identify positron emission tomography (PET)-18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) parameters correlated with overall survival (OS) in a training cohort, (2) compute a prognostic model, and (3) externally validate this model in an independent cohort. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 237 consecutive LAHNC patients divided into training (n = 127) and validation cohorts (n = 110) were retrospectively analysed. The following PET parameters were analysed: SUVMax, metabolic tumour volume (MTV), total lesion glycolysis (TLG), and SUVMean for the primary tumour and lymph nodes using a relative SUVMax threshold or an absolute SUV threshold. Cox analyses were performed on OS in the training cohort. The c-index was used to identify the highly prognostic parameters. A prognostic model was subsequently identified, and a nomogram was generated. The model was externally tested in the validation cohort. RESULTS: In univariate analysis, the significant PET parameters for the primary tumour included MTV (relative thresholds from 6 to 83% and absolute thresholds from 1.5 to 6.5) and TLG (relative thresholds from 1 to 82% and absolute thresholds from 0.5 to 4.5). For the lymph nodes, the significant parameters included MTV and TLG regardless of the threshold value. In multivariate analysis, tumour site, p16 status, MTV35% of the primary tumour, and MTV44% of the lymph nodes were independent predictors of OS. Based on these four parameters, a prognostic model was identified with a c-index of 0.72. The corresponding nomogram was generated. This prognostic model was externally validated, achieving a c-index of 0.66. CONCLUSIONS: A prognostic model of OS based on primary tumour and lymph node MTV, tumour site, and p16 status was proposed and validated. The corresponding nomogram may be used to tailor individualized treatment.

(18F)-FDG PET/CT parameters to predict survival and recurrence in patients with locally advanced cervical cancer treated with chemoradiotherapy.

PURPOSE: To identify predictive (18F)-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT)-based parameters for locoregional control, disease-free survival and overall survival, by testing different thresholds of metabolic tumor volume and total lesion glycolysis in patients with locally-advanced cervical cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Thirty-seven patients treated with standard chemoirradiation underwent a pretreatment (18F)-FDG-PET/CT. Using different thresholds of maximum standardized uptake value, the following PET parameters were computed: maximum standardized uptake value, mean standardized uptake value, metabolic tumor volume and total lesion glycolysis for primary tumor and lymph nodes and a new parameter combining the metabolic tumor volume and the distance between lymph nodes and the primary tumor, namely metabolic node distance. Correlation between PET and clinical parameters with clinical outcome (overall survival, disease-free survival, and locoregional control) was assessed using univariate and multivariate analyses (Cox model). RESULTS: In univariate analyses, PET/CT parameters associated with overall survival and disease-free survival were: metabolic tumor volume and total lesion glycolysis of the primary tumor, total lesion glycolysis of lymph nodes and metabolic node distance. The most predictive threshold segmentation for metabolic tumor volume and total lesion glycolysis was 48% of maximum standardized uptake value for the primary tumor and 30% for the lymph nodes. In multivariate Cox analysis, the total lesion glycolysis of primary tumor 48% and metabolic node distance were the two independent risk factors for overall survival (P<0.01), disease-free survival (P<0.01) and locoregional control (P=0.046). CONCLUSION: Total lesion glycolysis of primary tumor and distance between the invaded positive lymph node and the primary tumor seem to have the highest predictive value when compared to classical clinical prognostic parameters and may be useful to identify high risk groups at time of diagnosis and to tailor the therapeutic approach in locally-advanced cervical cancer.

A PET-based nomogram for oropharyngeal cancers.

PURPOSE: In the context of locally advanced oropharyngeal cancer (LAOC) treated with definitive radiotherapy (RT) (combined with chemotherapy or cetuximab), the aims of this study were: (1) to identify PET-FDG parameters correlated with overall survival (OS) from a first cohort of patients; then (2) to compute a prognostic score; and (3) finally to validate this scoring system in a second independent cohort of patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 76 consecutive patients (training cohort from Rennes) treated with chemoradiotherapy or RT with cetuximab for LAOC were used to build a predictive model of locoregional control (LRC) and OS based on PET-FDG parameters. After internal calibration and validation of this model, a nomogram and a scoring system were developed and tested in a validation cohort of 46 consecutive patients treated with definitive RT for LAOC in Lausanne. RESULTS: In multivariate analysis, the metabolic tumour volume (MTV) of the primary tumour and the lymph nodes were independent predictive factors for LRC and OS. Internal calibration showed a very good adjustment between the predicted OS and the observed OS at 24 months. Using the predictive score, two risk groups were identified (median OS 42 versus 14 months, p < 0.001) and confirmed in the validation cohort from Lausanne (median OS not reached versus 26 months, p=0.008). CONCLUSIONS: This is the first report of a PET-based nomogram in oropharyngeal cancer. Interestingly, it appeared stronger than the classical prognostic factors and was validated in independent cohorts markedly diverging in many aspects, which suggest that the observed signal was robust.

Overview of the predictive value of quantitative 18 FDG PET in head and neck cancer treated with chemoradiotherapy.

18 F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) allows to quantify the metabolic activity of a tumor (glycolysis) and has become a reference tool in oncology for the staging, restaging, radiotherapy planning and monitoring response in many cancers. Quantitative analyses have been introduced in order to overcome some of the limits of the visual methods, allowing an easier and more objective comparison of the inter- and intra-patients variations. The aims of this review were to report available evidences on the clinical value of quantitative PET/CT parameters in HNC. Forty-five studies, for a total of 2928 patients, were analyzed. Most of the data available dealt with the intensity of the metabolism, calculated from the Standard Uptake Value (SUV). Metabolic Tumor Volume (MTV) was well correlated with overall survival and disease free survival, with a higher predictive value than the maximum SUV. Spatial distribution of metabolism and textural analyses seems promising.