Uric acid-based ratios for predicting renal failure in Chinese IgA nephropathy patients.

Objective: The uric acid/albumin ratio (UAR), a novel, simple, and compositive laboratory biomarker, has recently attracted attention for predicting disease prediction and disease prognosis. However, whether uric acid-related biomarkers (especially UAR) could serve as prognostic indicator for IgAN is unclear. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, biopsy-confirmed IgAN patients from 2009 to 2017 from West China Hospital were evaluated. The optimal cutoff value of UAR for renal outcome was defined using the Youden index by the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The patients were then categorized into the high UAR group and the low UAR group. Renal endpoints were defined as progression to ESRD, eGFR decreased ≥50% of the baseline level, or initiation of renal replacement treatment. Kaplan‒Meier survival analysis and Cox regression analysis were used to identify factors influencing IgAN outcomes. Results: A total of 1143 patients with a median age of 33.0 (26.0-42.0) (44.2% men) were included in the study. The best cut-off UAR concerned with renal survival was determined to be 9.94 with a specificity of 77.5% and a sensitivity of 61.5% (J, 0.390; AUC, 0.750). Then, the patients were divided into two groups labelled as low and high UAR ratios (≥ 9.94 and <9.94, respectively). More severe clinical manifestations and pathological lesions were observed in the high UAR group. Multivariate Cox regression analysis after adjusted for important clinicopathological parameters manifested that a high UAR was an independent prognostic biomarker for IgAN. (p = 0.036, HR =2.56, 95% CI: 1.07-6.16). Conclusion: UAR might be a novel predictor for renal progression and contribute to targeted management.

Roles of mesangial C3 and C1q deposition in the clinical manifestations and prognosis of IgAN.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) is regarded as the most common type of glomerulonephritis around the world and has the potential to result in renal failure. Complement activation has been addressed by a great body of evidence in the pathogenesis of IgAN. We aimed to evaluate the predictive value of C3 and C1q deposition for disease progression in IgAN patients in this retrospective study. METHODS: We recruited 1191 biopsy-diagnosed IgAN patients, and they were divided into different groups according to their glomerular immunofluorescence examination of renal biopsy tissues: 1) C3 deposits ≥ 2 + group (N = 518) and C3 deposits < 2 + group (N = 673). 2) C1q deposit-positive group (N = 109) and C1q deposit-negative group (N = 1082). The renal outcomes were end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and/or an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decrease greater than 50% from the baseline value. Kaplan-Meier analyses were performed to evaluate renal survival. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to evaluate the effect of C3 and C1q deposition on renal outcome in IgAN patients. In addition, we compared the predictive value of mesangial C3 and C1q deposition in IgAN patients. RESULTS: The median follow-up period was 53 months (interquartile range 36-75 months). During follow-up, 7% (84) of patients progressed to ESRD, and 9% (111) of patients had an eGFR decline ≥ 50%. IgAN patients complicated with C3 deposits ≥ 2 + were associated with more severe renal dysfunction and pathologic lesions at the time of renal biopsy. The crude incidence rates for the endpoint were 12.5% (84 out of 673) and 17.2% (89 out of 518) in the C3 < 2 + and C3 ≥ 2 + groups, respectively (P = 0.022). Of C1q deposit-positive and C1q deposit-negative patients, 22.9% (25 out of 109) and 13.7% (148 out of 1082) reached the composite endpoint, respectively (P = 0.009). Adding C3 deposition to clinical and pathologic models had better predictability of renal disease progression than C1q. CONCLUSION: Glomerular C3 and C1q deposits affected the clinicopathologic features of IgAN patients and emerged as independent predictors and risk factors for renal outcomes. In particular, the predictive ability of C3 was slightly better than that of C1q.

Association of obesity with the development of end stage renal disease in IgA nephropathy patients.

Background and aim: Immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) is the most common primary glomerulonephritis worldwide. We aimed to evaluate whether obesity is a risk factor for IgAN patients. Methods: A total of 1054 biopsy-proven IgAN patients were analyzed in this retrospective study. Patients were divided into four groups according to their body weight index (BMI) at the period of renal biopsy: underweight group (BMI< 18.5, N=75), normal weight group (18.5≤BMI<24, N=587), overweight group (24≤BMI<28, N=291) and obesity group (28≤BMI, N=101). The endpoint of our study was end stage renal disease (ESRD: eGFR <15 mL/min/1.73 m2 or having renal replacement treatment). Kaplan-Meier analyses and Cox proportional hazard models were performed to evaluate renal survival. Propensity-score matching (PSM) was performed to get the matched cohort to evaluate the role of obesity in IgAN patients. Besides, the effect modification of obesity and hypertension in IgAN patients was clarified by the synergy index. Results: IgAN patients complicated with obesity had more severe renal dysfunction at the time of renal biopsy than those with optimal body weight. In addition, patients with obesity tended to have higher risk of metabolic disorders, such as hyperuricemia (64.4% vs 37%, p<0.001), hypertriglyceridemia (71.3% vs 32.5%, p<0.001) and hypercholesterolemia (46.5% vs 35.6%, p=0.036). It was observed that obesity patients had higher rate of unhealthy behaviors, such as smoking (27.7% vs 16.4%, p=0.006) and alcohol drinking (29.7% vs 19.9%, p=0.027). Although obesity was not confirmed as an independent risk factor for IgAN patients, we found that IgAN patients with obesity presented with higher incidence of hypertension, as well as lower event-free renal survival rate (log-rank p < 0.001), especially in patients with 24-h urine protein ≥ 1g (log-rank p =0.002). In addition, the synergy index showed that there was positive interaction between obesity and hypertension in IgAN. Conclusion: Obesity is an important risk factor for IgAN patients when combined with hypertension. Hypertension appears to be common in obese IgAN patients.

Prognostic value of the albumin-to-fibrinogen ratio (AFR) in IgA nephropathy patients.

BACKGROUND: The albumin-to-fibrinogen ratio (AFR), a novel inflammatory marker, has been studied in various diseases. However, whether AFR could act as a prognostic factor for IgAN patients remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the prognostic value of AFR in IgAN. METHODS: A total of 1289 biopsy-confirmed primary IgAN patients from 2008 to 2018 in West China Hospital, Sichuan University, were studied retrospectively. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was generated to assess and compare the ability of indicators to predict survival. Based on the cut-off value of AFR, IgAN patients were classified into the low AFR group and the high AFR group. The demographic and clinical-histopathological data were collected. Renal endpoints included eGFR decreased ≥50 % of the baseline level, ESRD, renal transplantation and/or death. Patients were followed up until a composite endpoint. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine independent predictors. RESULTS: The area under the curve (AUC) of AFR was 0.677, with an optimal cut-off value of 12.44. IgAN patients were classified into two groups (low AFR group: AFR < 12.44, n = 541; high AFR group: AFR ≥ 12.44, n = 748) with a median follow-up of 55.3 (36.4-78.6) months. A higher composition of hypertension, worse renal function, higher proteinuria, and more severe pathological lesions were significantly shown in the low AFR group. Further multivariable Cox regression analyses showed that a low AFR was an independent risk factor for renal survival (HR 1.90, 95 % CI 1.29-2.81, p = 0.001). Kaplan-Meier curves showed that the cumulative incidences of both ESRD and composite end point were significantly higher in patients with AFR < 12.44 (both p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrated that a low AFR (<12.44) is an independent prognostic factor of poor renal prognosis in Chinese IgAN patients.

Triglyceride-Glucose Index May Predict Renal Survival in Patients with IgA Nephropathy.

Background: The triglyceride−glucose (TyG) index is a simple, novel and reliable surrogate marker of insulin resistance. However, evidence for the prognostic impact of an elevated TyG index on IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is limited. Therefore, we evaluated the relationship between the TyG index and the risk of renal progression in IgAN. Method: This cohort study involved biopsy-proven IgAN between January 2009 and December 2018 in West China Hospital, in which patients were assigned to two groups based on the cut-off value of TyG using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. A 1:1 matched-pair analysis was established to optimize the bias in IgAN by propensity score matching (PSM). The TyG index was calculated as ln [fasting triglyceride (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]. The composite endpoint was defined by eGFR decreased ≥50% of the baseline level, end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), renal transplantation and/or death. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were applied to confirm the predictive value of the optimal marker. Results: Before PSM, a total of 1210 participants were ultimately included. During a median follow-up period of 55.8 months (range 37.20−79.09 months), 129 participants progressed to the composite endpoint (10.7%). After PSM, 366 patients were enrolled in the matched cohort, of whom 34 (9.3%) patients reached the endpoints. Based on the cut-off value of the TyG index, patients were divided into the low TyG index group (TyG ≤ 8.72, n = 690) and the high TyG index group (TyG > 8.72, n = 520). Further analysis demonstrated that a higher TyG index was significantly associated with a higher risk of reaching composite endpoints in IgAN patients in both the unmatched and matched cohorts (before PSM: HR 2.509, 95% CI 1.396−4.511, p = 0.002; after PSM: HR 2.654, 95% CI 1.299−5.423, p = 0.007). Conclusion: A high TyG index is associated with a higher risk of renal progression.

Prognostic Value of Triglyceride to High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Ratio (TG/HDL-C) in IgA Nephropathy Patients.

Background: The triglycerides to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio is an easy-to-use atherogenic and prognostic marker which has attracted increasing attention these days. However, whether TG/HDL-C correlate with outcomes in IgA nephropathy (IgAN) patients remains unknown. To clarify these issues, we conducted this study. Methods: A total of 1146 patients from West China Hospital of Sichuan University were retrospectively analysed between 2008 and 2018.The demographic, clinical and pathological data of all patients at the time of biopsy were collected. Then, patients were divided into the high TG/HDL group (TG/HDL ≥ 1.495, N=382) and the low TG/HDL group (TG/HDL-C < 1.495, N=764) based on the optimal cut-off value of the TG/HDL-C using receive operating curve. Cox proportional hazard models and Kaplan-Meier curves were used to evaluate the renal outcomes of IgAN. Results: The median age of the patients was 33 (26-42) years, and 44.5% were men. By correlation analysis, we found that the TG/HDL-C ratio was negatively correlated with the eGFR (r = 0.250, P < 0.001) but positively correlated with proteinuria (r = 0.230, P< 0.001), BMI (r=0.380, P<0.001) and serum uric (r =0.308, P< 0.001). Patients with a higher TG/HDL-C ratio tended to have hypertension [odds ratio (OR), 1.987; 95% CI, 1.527-2.587; P<0.001] and more severe pathologic lesions with tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis (OR, 1.610; 95% CI, 1.203-2.154; P=0.001). During a median follow-up period of 54.1 (35.6-73.2) months, a high TG/HDL ratio was strongly associated with worse renal survival in IgAN patients (log-rank: P <0.001). Multivariate Cox analysis demonstrated that a high TG/HDL-C ratio (HR 1.775, 95% CI 1.056-2.798; P=0.029) was an independent predictive marker to ESRD. Conclusion: In this study, we addressed the importance of TG/HDL-C ratio as a predictive marker for IgAN progression.

Arterial-Arteriolar Sclerosis Is Independently Associated With Poor Renal Outcome in IgA Nephropathy Patients.

Aim: This study aimed to investigate the clinicopathological features and prognosis of immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) with arterial-arteriolar sclerosis (AS). Methods: Patients with biopsy-proven IgAN from the West China Hospital of Sichuan University were retrospectively enrolled. Clinicopathological features were collected. Patients were categorized based on the presence and the severity of the AS. All the patients were regularly followed-up until a composite end point. The correlation between AS and prognosis of IgAN was assessed. Results: A total of 1,424 patients were recruited and followed for 60.0 ± 28.7 months. Patients with AS tended to have older age, higher blood pressure, heavier proteinuria, higher serum creatinine, uric acid, and total triglyceride (TG). Meanwhile, they were more likely to have a lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), hemoglobin, and albumin. At the end of follow-up, 126 patients in the AS group and 47 patients in the non-AS group had reached the composite end point (p < 0.001). AS was associated with the renal outcome (log-rank p < 0.001) and was an independent risk factor for the progression of IgAN (p = 0.049). The severity of AS was associated with renal outcomes (log-rank p < 0.001) and there was a trend that it might serve as an independent risk marker for progression of IgAN. In the subgroup analysis, patients presenting with AS and lower eGFR, albumin, and hemoglobin or higher proteinuria, uric acid, and TG had a significant trend for a shorter time to reach the end point (log-rank p < 0.001). Conclusion: AS was commonly seen in patients with IgAN and was independently associated with the poor prognosis.

High Neutrophil-To-Lymphocyte Ratio Is an Independent Risk Factor for End Stage Renal Diseases in IgA Nephropathy.

Background: Complex factors are involved in the development and progression of immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN), a common primary glomerulonephritis worldwide. Autoimmunity and inflammation have been considered to be the basic mechanisms; however, the exact pathogenesis remains unclear. As a novel marker of inflammation, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been studied in various diseases. Whether the NLR can predict the renal outcome of patients with IgAN remains unclear. We evaluated the relationships between the NLR and renal function, pathologic lesions, renal progression, and prognosis in patients with IgAN. Methods: This retrospective study involved 966 patients with biopsy-proven IgAN. They were divided into two groups based on the cut-off value of the NLR: the high group (NLR ≥ 2.67, n = 384) and the low group (NLR < 2.67, n = 582). The endpoint was end-stage renal disease [estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of <15 mL/min/1.73 m2 or performance of renal replacement therapy]. A correlation test was conducted to explore the relationship between the NLR and other important parameters (eGFR, serum creatinine, proteinuria, hypertension and renal pathologic lesions). The predictive value was determined by the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC). Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed to evaluate renal progression and prognosis. Results: The NLR had the highest AUROC, which was 0.633 (p < 0.001). The correlation test revealed that the NLR was positively correlated with serum creatinine (r = 0.127, p < 0.001) and 24-hour urine protein (r = 0.18, p < 0.001) and negatively correlated with eGFR (r = 0.14, p < 0.001). Patients with IgAN who had a high NLR were more likely to have hypertension (p = 0.003). Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that a high NLR was an independent risk factor for IgAN even after adjustment for important clinical and pathological parameters (p = 0.043, HR = 1.74, 95%CI: 1.02-2.97). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that a high NLR was significantly associated with the renal prognosis of patients with IgAN (p < 0.001), especially patients with stage 3 to 4 chronic kidney disease (p = 0.028) or 24-hour urine protein of >1 g/day (p < 0.001). Conclusion: An elevated NLR affects the renal progression and prognosis in patients with IgAN and could be a marker for evaluation of renal function and pathologic lesions.

Lower serum bilirubin is associated with poor renal outcome in IgA nephropathy patients.

Aims: IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is the most prevalent primary glomerulonephritis worldwide. We conducted this study to explore the relationship between serum bilirubin and renal outcome of patients with IgAN. Methods: A total of 1492 biopsy proven IgAN patients were recruited and divided into two groups according to their median serum bilirubin concentration: the low bilirubin group (serum bilirubin≤9.7umol/L, n=753) and high bilirubin group (serum bilirubin>9.7umol/L, n=739). Basic clinical characteristics were assessed at the time of renal biopsy and the relationships between serum bilirubin and the combined endpoints were analyzed. The combined endpoints were defined as a 50% decline in estimate glomerular filtration rate (e-GFR), end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), renal transplantation and/or death. In addition, propensity score matching (PSM) was then performed to improve balance and simulate randomization between patients in different groups. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was applied to explore the role of serum bilirubin in the progression of IgAN. Three clinicopathological models of multivariate Cox regression analysis were established to evaluate the association of serum bilirubin and renal prognosis of IgAN. Results: During median 5-year follow-up period, significant differences were shown in Kaplan-Meier analysis. In the unmatched group, 189 (12.7%) patients progressed to the renal combined endpoints. Among this, 122 in 753 patients (16.2%) were in low bilirubin group and 67 in 739 patients (9.1%) were in high bilirubin group (p<0.001). After PSM, there were 134 (11.8%) patients reached the combined endpoints, which included 77 in 566 patients (14.6%) in low bilirubin group and 57 in 566 patients (10.1%) in high bilirubin group (p=0.039). The results of three models (including demographics, pathological, clinical indicators and serum bilirubin) demonstrated that a lower basic serum bilirubin level was significantly associated with a higher risk of reaching combined endpoints in IgAN patients both in unmatched and matched cohort. Conclusion: Serum bilirubin level may be negatively associated with the progression of IgAN.

Cigarette smoking may accelerate the progression of IgA nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: Whether cigarette smoking is associated with the progression of immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) remains uncertain; therefore, we aimed to evaluate the effect of cigarette smoking on the prognosis of IgAN. METHODS: We divided 1239 IgAN patients from West China Hospital of Sichuan University who met the inclusion criteria into smoker (current or former) and non-smoker groups. The endpoint was end-stage renal disease (ESRD: eGFR < 15 mL/min/1.73 m2 or undergoing renal replacement treatment) and/or eGFR decreased by > 50%. Kaplan-Meier, correlation, logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed. The association between cigarette smoking and IgAN was further verified by propensity-score-matched cohort analysis. RESULTS: During the mean follow-up period of 61 months, 19% (40/209) of the smoker group and 11% (110/1030) of the non-smoker group reached the study endpoint (p < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that cigarette smoking (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.58; p = 0.043) was an independent risk factor predicting poor renal progression in IgAN, and that IgAN patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 3-4 were more susceptible to cigarette smoking (p < 0.001). After propensity score matching (PSM), a significant correlation between cigarette smoking and renal outcomes in IgAN patients was seen. Furthermore, Spearman's correlation test revealed that smoking dose was negatively correlated with eGFR (r = 0.141; p < 0.001) and positively related with proteinuria (r = 0.096; p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Cigarette smoking is an independent risk factor for IgAN progression, especially for advanced patients.