Primary therapy of Graves' disease and cardiovascular morbidity and mortality: a linked-record cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Graves' disease is routinely treated with antithyroid drugs, radioiodine, or surgery, but whether the choice of initial therapy influences long-term outcomes is uncertain. We evaluated cardiovascular morbidity and mortality according to the method and effectiveness of primary therapy in Graves' disease. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we identified patients with hyperthyroidism, diagnosed between Jan 1, 1998, and Dec 31, 2013, from a thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH)-receptor antibody (TRAb) test register in south Wales, UK, and imported their clinical data into the All-Wales Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank (Swansea University, Swansea, UK). Patients with Graves' disease, defined by positive TRAb tests, were selected for the study, and their clinical data were linked with outcomes in SAIL. We had no exclusion criteria. Patients were matched by age and sex to a control population (1:4) in the SAIL database. Patients were grouped by treatment within 1 year of diagnosis into the antithyroid drug group, radioiodine with resolved hyperthyroidism group (radioiodine group A), or radioiodine with unresolved hyperthyroidism group (radioiodine group B). We used landmark Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression models to analyse the association of treatment with the primary outcome of all-cause mortality and the secondary outcome of major adverse cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, heart failure, ischaemic stroke, or death) with the landmark set at 1 year after diagnosis. We analysed the association between outcomes and concentration of TSH using Cox regression and outcomes and free thyroxine (FT4) concentration using restricted cubic-spline regression models. FINDINGS: We extracted patient-level data on 4189 patients (3414 [81·5%] females and 775 [18·5%] males) with Graves' disease and 16 756 controls (13 656 [81·5%] females and 3100 [18·5%] males). In landmark analyses, 3587 patients were in the antithyroid drug group, 250 were in radioiodine group A, 182 were in radioiodine group B. Patients had increased all-cause mortality compared with controls (hazard ratio [HR] 1·22, 95% CI 1·05-1·42). Compared with patients in the antithyroid drug group, mortality was lower among those in radioiodine group A (HR 0·50, 95% CI 0·29-0·85), but not for those in radioiodine group B (HR 1·51, 95% CI 0·96-2·37). Persistently low TSH concentrations at 1 year after diagnosis were associated with increased mortality independent of treatment method (HR 1·55, 95% CI 1·08-2·24). Spline regressions showed a positive non-linear relationship between FT4 concentrations at 1 year and all-cause mortality. INTERPRETATION: Regardless of the method of treatment, early and effective control of hyperthyroidism among patients with Graves' disease is associated with improved survival compared with less effective control. Rapid and sustained control of hyperthyroidism should be prioritised in the management of Graves' disease and early definitive treatment with radioiodine should be offered to patients who are unlikely to achieve remission with antithyroid drugs alone. FUNDING: National Institute for Social Care and Health Research, Wales.

The importance of night-time systolic blood pressure in diabetic patients: Dublin Outcome Study.

OBJECTIVE: Diabetic patients exhibit a higher cardiovascular risk compared to people without diabetes. The use of ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) is gaining popularity in this population. Night-time SBP has consistently been shown to be a potent predictor of cardiovascular risk in the normal population. We studied the predictive value of night-time ABPM in a cohort of diabetic patients. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: At baseline, when not on antihypertensive medication, 11 291 patients (5326 men, mean age 54.6 years) underwent ABPM. Using a computerized national registry of death, mortality outcome was ascertained. Among 859 diabetic patients with a mean follow-up of 5.3 years, there were 74 deaths. RESULTS: Compared to people without diabetes, those with diabetes had daytime and night-time SBP of 146.4 vs. 145.1 (P = NS) and 131.2 vs. 126.4  mmHg (P < 0.0001), respectively. As a consequence, more diabetic patients had a non-dipping night-time SBP profile (47.4 vs. 35.5%; P =  < 0.0001). In a Cox proportional-hazards model, night-time SBP was an independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality in diabetic patients after adjustment for sex, age, smoking history, previous cardiovascular events, BMI and daytime SBP. The resultant hazard ratio for a 10-mmHg increase in night-time SBP for total cardiovascular, stroke and cardiac mortality was 1.32 (1.12-1.69), 1.95 (1.18-3.20) and 1.24 (0.99-1.56), respectively. CONCLUSION: Night-time SBP is a significant predictor of cardiovascular mortality in patients with diabetes.

Falling threshold for treatment of borderline elevated thyrotropin levels-balancing benefits and risks: evidence from a large community-based study.

IMPORTANCE: Rates of thyroid hormone prescribing in the United States and the United Kingdom have increased substantially. If some of the increase is due to lowering the thyrotropin threshold for treatment, this may result in less benefit and greater harm. OBJECTIVE: To define trends in thyrotropin levels at the initiation of levothyroxine sodium therapy and the risk of developing a suppressed thyrotropin level following treatment. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, AND EXPOSURE: Retrospective cohort study using data from the United Kingdom Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Among 52,298 individuals who received a prescription for levothyroxine between January 1, 2001, and October 30, 2009, we extracted data about the thyrotropin level before levothyroxine therapy initiation, clinical symptoms, and thyrotropin levels up to 5 years after levothyroxine was initiated. We excluded persons who had a history of hyperthyroidism, pituitary disease, or thyroid surgery; those who were taking thyroid-altering medication or if the levothyroxine prescription was related to pregnancy; and those who did not have a thyrotropin level measured within 3 months before the initiation of levothyroxine. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The median thyrotropin level at the time of the index levothyroxine prescription, the odds of initiation of levothyroxine therapy at thyrotropin levels of 10.0 mIU/L or less, and the age-stratified odds of developing a low or suppressed thyrotropin level after levothyroxine therapy. RESULTS: Between 2001 and 2009, the median thyrotropin level at the initiation of levothyroxine therapy fell from 8.7 to 7.9 mIU/L. The odds ratio for prescribing levothyroxine at thyrotropin levels of 10.0 mIU/L or less in 2009 compared with 2001 (adjusted for changes in population demographics) was 1.30 (95% CI, 1.19-1.42; P < .001). Older individuals and individuals with cardiac risk factors had higher odds of initiation of levothyroxine therapy with a thyrotropin level 10.0 mIU/L or less. At 5 years after levothyroxine initiation, 5.8% of individuals had a thyrotropin level of <0.1 mIU/L. Individuals with depression or tiredness at baseline had increased odds of developing a suppressed thyrotropin level, whereas individuals with cardiac risk factors (eg, atrial fibrillation, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and raised lipid levels) did not. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: We observed a trend toward levothyroxine treatment of more marginal degrees of hypothyroidism and a substantial risk of developing a suppressed thyrotropin level following therapy. Large-scale prospective studies are required to assess the risk-benefit ratio of current practice.