Impaired artery elasticity predicts cardiovascular morbidity and mortality- A longitudinal study in the Vara-Skövde Cohort.

It is still debated whether arterial elasticity provides prognostic information for cardiovascular risk beyond blood pressure measurements in a healthy population. To investigate the association between arterial elasticity obtained by radial artery pulse wave analysis and risk for cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in men and women. In 2002-2005, 2362 individuals (men=1186, 50.2%) not taking antihypertensive medication were included. C2 (small artery elasticity) was measured using the HDI/Pulse Wave CR2000. Data on acute myocardial infarction or stroke, fatal or non-fatal, was obtained between 2002-2019. Cox- regression was used to investigate associations between C2 and future CVD, adjusting for confounding factors such as age, sex, systolic blood pressure, heart rate, HOMA-IR (Homeostatic Model Assessment for Insulin Resistance), LDL- cholesterol, CRP (C-Reactive Protein), alcohol consumption, smoking and physical activity. At baseline, the mean age of 46 ± 10.6 years and over the follow-up period, we observed 108 events 70 events in men [event rate: 5.9%], 38 in women [event rate: 3.2%]. In the fully adjusted model, and for each quartile decrease in C2, there was a significant increase in the risk for incident CVD by 36%. (HR = 1.36, 95% CI: 1.01-1.82, p = 0.041). The results were accentuated for all men (HR = 1.74, 95% CI: 1.21-2.50, p = 0.003) and women over the age of 50 years (HR = 1.70, 95% CI: 0.69-4.20). We showed a strong and independent association between C2 and CVD in men. In women after menopause, similar tendencies and effect sizes were observed.

Association of Cardiovascular Health Score With Early- and Later-Onset Diabetes and With Subsequent Vascular Complications of Diabetes.

BACKGROUND Little attention has been paid to how well the American Heart Association's cardiovascular health (CVH) score predicts early-onset diabetes in young adults. We investigated the association of CVH score with early- and later-onset diabetes and with subsequent complications of diabetes. METHODS AND RESULTS Our sample included 4547 Black and White adults in the CARDIA (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults) study without diabetes at baseline (1985-1986; aged 18-30 years) with complete data on the CVH score at baseline, including smoking, body mass index, physical activity, diet quality, total cholesterol, blood pressure, and fasting blood glucose. Incident diabetes was determined based on fasting glucose, 2-hour postload glucose, hemoglobin A1c, or self-reported medication use throughout 8 visits for 30 years. Multinomial logistic regression was used to assess the association between CVH score and diabetes onset at age <40 years (early onset) versus age ≥40 years (later onset). Secondary analyses assessed the association between CVH score and risk of complications (coronary artery calcium, clinical cardiovascular disease, kidney function markers, diabetic retinopathy, and diabetic neuropathy) among a subsample with diabetes. We identified 116 early- and 502 later-onset incident diabetes cases. Each 1-point higher CVH score was associated with lower odds of developing early-onset (odds ratio [OR], 0.64 [95% CI, 0.58-0.71]) and later-onset diabetes (OR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.74-0.83]). Lower estimates of diabetic complications were observed per 1-point higher CVH score: 19% for coronary artery calcification≥100, 18% for cardiovascular disease, and 14% for diabetic neuropathy. CONCLUSIONS Higher CVH score in young adulthood was associated with lower early- and later-onset diabetes as well as diabetic complications.

Inter-arm systolic blood pressure difference: non-persistence and association with incident cardiovascular disease in the Multi-ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

We investigated inter-arm systolic blood pressure (sIAD) difference, reproducibility, and incident cardiovascular disease (CVD). We hypothesized that higher sIAD values have low prevalence and nonpersistence over years, but that CVD risk is higher starting from the time of first high absolute sIAD. In Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis participants (n = 6725, 53% female, 45-84 years old), Doppler systolic blood pressure (SBP) measurements were made in both arms (10-minute interval) thrice over 9.5 years. Proportional hazards for CVD (coronary heart disease, heart failure, stroke, peripheral arterial disease (PAD)) over 16.4 years were tested according to time-varying absolute inter-arm difference with covariates: (1) age, gender, race, and clinic; (2) model 1 plus height, heart rate, BP, antihypertensives, BMI, smoking status, lipids, lipid lowering medication, and diabetes. High sIAD was not persistent across exams. Maximum absolute sIAD ≥ 15 mmHg was found at least once in 815 persons. Maximum absolute sIAD had a graded relationship with incident stroke or PAD: 6.2% events; model 2 hazard ratio per 10 mmHg 1.34 (95% CI, 1.15-1.56) and this risk was approximately doubled for maximum absolute sIAD ≥ 15 mmHg vs 0-4 mmHg. Total CVD risk (18.4% events) was increased only for maximum absolute sIAD ≥25 mmHg. Associations with incident CVD did not differ for higher SBP in left vs right arm. A higher maximum absolute sIAD at any exam was associated with greater risk for stroke and PAD especially for values ≥ 15 mmHg, and ≥25 mmHg for other CVD. Measuring SBP between arms may help identify individuals at risk for CVD.

Progression of Chronic Kidney Disease Risk Categories and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease and Total Mortality: Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults Cohort.

Background Previous studies of worsening chronic kidney disease (CKD) based on declining estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or increasing urine albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) are limited to later middle-age and older adults. We examined associations of CKD progression and incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality in younger adults. Methods and Results We studied 4382 adults in CARDIA (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults) initially aged 27 to 41 years and prospectively over 20 years. Five-year transition probabilities across CKD risk categories were based on eGFR and UACR measured at each exam. Proportional hazards models predicted incident CVD and all-cause mortality by time-varying CKD risk category, adjusting for demographics and CVD risk factors. Progression of CKD risk categories over 20 years occurred in 28.7% (1256/4382) of participants, driven by increases in UACR, but including 5.8% (n=255) with eGFR<60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 or UACR ≥300 mg/g. Compared with eGFR ≥60 and UACR <10, demographic and smoking-adjusted hazard ratios for CVD were 1.62 (95% CI, 1.21-2.18) for low CKD risk (eGFR ≥60 with UACR 10-29) and 13.65 (95% CI, 7.52-24.79) for very high CKD risk (eGFR <30 or eGFR 30-44 with UACR 30-299; or eGFR 30-59 with UACR ≥300). Corresponding hazard ratios for all-cause mortality were 1.42 (95% CI, 1.08-1.88) and 14.75 (95% CI, 9.97-21.82). Although CVD associations were attenuated after adjustment for mediating CVD risk factors, all-cause mortality associations remained statistically significant. Conclusions Among young to middle-aged adults, progression to higher CKD risk category was common. Routine monitoring eGFR and UACR holds promise for prevention of CVD and total mortality.

Association Between Statin Use and Sex Hormone in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis Cohort.

PURPOSE: Based on the 2018 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association cholesterol guidelines, the number of individuals eligible for statin therapy to reduce atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk has greatly expanded. Statins inhibit cholesterol biosynthesis, which can impair gonadal steroidogenesis. We evaluated the effect of statins on endogenous sex hormones in a large epidemiological study. METHODS: A total of 6814 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) participants underwent the baseline examination. Of these, 6171 had measurements of serum sex hormones available: dehydroepiandrosterone (DHEA), SHBG, estradiol, and total and bioavailable testosterone. Multivariable linear regression models were used to assess the relationship of statin use with each sex hormone. RESULTS: A total of 345 women (17.4%) and 464 men (14.7%) were statin users (mean age, 67 years; 41% white, 29% black, 11% Chinese, and 19% Hispanic). Among the users vs nonusers of statins, the mean SHBG was 3.54 nmol/L (P < 0.01) lower in women and 3.37 nmol/L (P < 0.001) lower in men; the mean DHEA was 1.06 nmol/L (P < 0.05) lower in women and 0.70 nmol/L (P < 0.01) lower in men, after adjustment for potential confounders. With further propensity score adjustment, the mean DHEA and SHBG levels were 0.67 nmol/L (P < 0.05) and 3.49 nmol/L (P < 0.001) lower, respectively, for statin users vs nonusers. No statistically significant association was noted between estradiol, total testosterone, and bioavailable testosterone and statin use. CONCLUSION: Statin users have lower levels of SHBG and DHEA. This is especially relevant owing to the increasing use of statin therapy.

Association of C2, a derivative of the radial artery pressure waveform, with new onset of type 2 diabetes mellitus: the MESA study.

BACKGROUND: Although microvascular dysfunction is known to result from diabetes, it might also lead to diabetes. Lower values of C2, a derivative of the radial artery pressure waveform, indicate microvascular dysfunction and predict hypertension and cardiovascular disease (CVD). We studied the association of C2 with incident diabetes in subjects free of overt CVD. METHODS: Among multi-ethnic participants (n = 5214), aged 45-84 years with no diabetes, C2 was derived from the radial artery pressure waveform. Incident diabetes (N = 651) was diagnosed as new fasting glucose ≥ 126 mg/dL or antidiabetic medicine over ~ 10 years. The relative incidence density (RID) for incident diabetes per standard deviation (SD) of C2 was studied during ~ 10 years follow-up using four levels of adjustment. RESULTS: Mean C2 at baseline was 4.58 ± 2.85 mL/mmHg × 100. The RID for incident diabetes per SD of C2 was 0.90 (95% CI 0.82-0.99, P = 0.03). After adjustment for demographics plus body size, the corresponding RID was 0.81 (95% CI 0.73-0.89, P < 0.0001); body mass index (BMI) was the dominant covariate here. After adjustment for demographics plus cardiovascular risk factors, the RID was 0.98 (95% CI 0.89, 1.07, P = 0.63). After adjustment for all the parameters in the previous models, the RID was 0.87 (95% CI 0.78, 0.96, P = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: In a multi-ethnic sample free of overt CVD and diabetes at baseline, C2 predicted incident diabetes after adjustment for demographics, BMI and CVD risk factors. Differences in arterial blood pressure wave morphology may indicate a long-term risk trajectory for diabetes, independently of body size and the classical risk factors.

The Effect of Atorvastatin on Vascular Function and Structure in Young Adult Survivors of Childhood Cancer: A Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Pilot Clinical Trial.

Purpose: Many adult survivors of childhood cancer are at high-risk of developing cardiovascular disease. Cancer therapy may cause damage to the vascular endothelium, thereby initiating atherosclerosis. Atorvastatin has been shown to improve endothelial function independent of reducing cholesterol, as well as reduce/slow arterial stiffness and thickening, yet has never been studied in childhood cancer survivors (CCS). Methods: Twenty-seven young adult (age 26.8 ± 6.2 years) survivors of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia or Non-Hodgkin's lymphoma were randomly assigned (1:1) 40 mg/day of atorvastatin or placebo for 6 months. Brachial artery flow-mediated dilation (FMD), small artery reactive hyperemia index (RHI), arterial stiffness, and carotid artery elasticity/thickness were assessed. Results: Fifteen participants completed the trial. No significant treatment effect for any vascular outcomes was observed at 6 months; however, a significant decrease in peak FMD (-3.0 [95% confidence interval [CI]: -5.3, -0.7]) and a trending significant decrease in RHI (-0.3 [95% CI: -0.62, 0.01]) was observed in the placebo group, resulting in a trend toward a treatment effects (p < 0.10). No effect on arterial stiffness, carotid arterial elasticity, or thickness was observed. Conclusion: Six months of atorvastatin treatment did not improve endothelial function or arterial stiffness in young adult CCS. While a trend toward an improvement in endothelial function was present, findings should be interpreted with caution owing to the small number of evaluable participants and subsequent lack of sufficient power. Further research in a larger sample size is needed to fully elucidate the effects of atorvastatin on vascular function. Trial registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT01733953.

Associations of ideal cardiovascular health with GlycA, a novel inflammatory marker: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Unhealthy lifestyles and inflammation contribute to cardiovascular disease (CVD). GlycA is a novel biomarker of systemic inflammation representing post-translational glycosylation of acute phase reactants and associated with increased clinical CVD risk. HYPOTHESIS: We hypothesized that ideal cardiovascular health (CVH), as assessed by (higher) Life's Simple 7 (LS7) scores, would be associated with lower GlycA levels among individuals free of CVD in a multiethnic community-based population. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study of 6479 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis participants [53% women; mean age 62 ± 10 years] with GlycA levels measured at baseline by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. The LS7 metrics (smoking, physical activity, diet, body mass index, blood pressure, cholesterol, and glucose) were each scored as ideal (2), moderate (1), or poor (0). Total scores were summed and categorized as optimal (12-14), average (8-11), and inadequate (0-7). Linear regression assessed percent difference in GlycA by LS7 scores, after adjusting for age, sex, ethnicity, education, income, family history of CVD, and other inflammatory biomarkers. RESULTS: GlycA levels were 403.4 ± 63.1, 374.4 ± 59.2, and 350.3 ± 56.2 micromoles per liter (µmol/L) for inadequate, average, and optimal CVH, respectively (P-trend <0.001). After multivariable adjustment, GlycA remained independently and inversely associated with CVH categories, with a lower mean GlycA level of 5 µmol/L (95% confidence interval 4.5-5.8) for each one unit increment in LS7 score. CONCLUSIONS: Among this group of ethnically diverse individuals without CVD, suboptimal CVH is associated with higher GlycA levels, independent of traditional inflammatory biomarkers. Strategies aimed at improving CVH might reduce GlycA, which could be a marker of reduced risk of future CVD events.

Collagen Biomarkers and Incidence of New Onset of Atrial Fibrillation in Subjects With No Overt Cardiovascular Disease at Baseline: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrosis is a hallmark of structural remodeling in atrial fibrillation (AF). Plasma procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP) reflects collagen synthesis and degradation while collagen type I carboxy-terminal telopeptide (ICTP) reflects collagen degradation. We aimed to study baseline plasma PIIINP and ICTP and their associations with incident AF in participants initially free of overt cardiovascular disease. METHODS: In a stratified sample of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, initially aged 45-84 years, 3071 participants had both PIIINP and ICTP measured at baseline. Incident AF in 10-year follow-up was based on a hospital International Classification of Diseases code for AF or atrial flutter, in- or outpatient Medicare claims through 2011 (primarily in those aged 65-84 years), or ECG 10 years after baseline (n=357). The associations of PIIINP and ICTP with incident AF were estimated using Poisson regression with follow-up time offset. RESULTS: Baseline PIIINP (5.50±1.55 µg/L) and ICTP (mean±SD, 3.41±1.37 µg/L) were positively related (both P<0.0001) to incident AF in a model adjusting for age, race/ethnicity, and sex, with an apparent threshold (relative incidence density 2.81 [1.94-4.08] for PIIINP ≥8.5 µg/L [3.5% of the sample] and 3.46 [2.36-5.07] for ICTP ≥7 µg/L [1.7% of the sample]). Findings were attenuated but remained statistically significant after further adjustment for systolic blood pressure, height, body mass index, smoking, and renal function. Additional adjustment for other risk factors and biomarkers of inflammation did not alter conclusions. CONCLUSIONS: Plasma collagen biomarkers, particularly at elevated levels, were associated with excess risk for AF.

Arterial elasticity as a risk factor for early cardiovascular disease among testicular cancer survivors treated with platinum-based chemotherapy: a cross-sectional pilot study.

PURPOSE: Testicular cancer survivors who have received platinum-based chemotherapy are at risk for premature cardiovascular disease. The etiology of this risk is not well understood. This pilot study explores the impact of platinum-based chemotherapy on endothelial function. METHODS: Testicular cancer survivors <30 years old at the time of diagnosis who received platinum-based chemotherapy between 2002 and 2012, as well as 17 similarly aged male controls, were identified. Consented subjects underwent vascular assessment using the HDI/PulseWave CR-2000 Cardiovascular Profiling System and the Endo-PAT2000 system. Biomarkers and functional test markers were compared among cases, controls, and a group of historical controls using two sided two-sampled t-tests and Wilcoxon rank-sum tests. RESULTS: Thirteen survivors with a median age of 30.2 years and body mass index of 27.3 were enrolled, along with 17 healthy controls with a median age of 27.1 years and body mass index of 24.8. Median time from chemotherapy was 4.7 (range: 0.8-14) years. There was no statistical difference in reactive hyperemia peripheral arterial tonometry ratio between cases and controls (p = 0.574). There was no statistical difference in small or large artery elasticity between cases and controls (p = 0.086) or between cases and historical controls (p = 0.729). There was also no statistical difference in the blood levels of circulating endothelial cells, von Willebrand factor, and vascular cell adhesion molecules. There was a trend toward increased metabolic syndrome in cases (15%) as compared to recruited controls (6%), though this difference was not statistically significant (p = 0.565). CONCLUSION: Testicular cancer survivors have no clinically significant difference in endothelial function compared to controls 4 years after the completion of chemotherapy. Further research is needed to explore the secondary modifiable causes that may contribute to the risk of premature cardiovascular disease.

Collagen biomarkers and subclinical interstitial lung disease: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Lung fibrosis is attributed to derangements in extracellular matrix remodeling, a process driven by collagen turnover. We examined the association of two collagen biomarkers, carboxy-terminal telopeptide of collagen type I (ICTP) and amino-terminal propeptide of type III procollagen (PIIINP), with subclinical interstitial lung disease (ILD) in adults. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional analysis of 3244 participants age 45-84 years in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Serum ICTP and PIIINP levels were measured at baseline by radioimmunoassay. Subclinical ILD was defined as high attenuation areas (HAA) in the lung fields on baseline cardiac CT scans. Interstitial lung abnormalities (ILA) were measured in 1082 full-lung CT scans at 9.5 years median follow-up. We used generalized linear models to examine the associations of collagen biomarkers with HAA and ILA. RESULTS: Median (IQR) for ICTP was 3.2 µg/L (2.6-3.9 µg/L) and for PIIINP was 5.3 µg/L (4.5-6.2 µg/L). In fully adjusted models, each SD increment in ICTP was associated with a 1.3% increment in HAA (95% CI 0.2-2.4%, p = 0.02) and each SD increment in PIIINP was associated with a 0.96% increment in HAA (95% CI 0.06-1.9%, p = 0.04). There was no association between ICTP or PIIINP and ILA. There was no evidence of effect modification by gender, race, smoking status or eGFR. CONCLUSIONS: Higher levels of collagen biomarkers are associated with greater HAA independent of gender, race and smoking status. This suggests that extracellular matrix remodeling may accompany subclinical ILD prior to the onset of clinically evident disease.

Cardiovascular Risk in Breast Cancer Patients Receiving Estrogen or Progesterone Antagonists.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The purpose of this review is to summarize the current literature on estrogen and progesterone antagonists and their effects on the cardiovascular system. RECENT FINDINGS: Estrogen and progesterone antagonists reduce cancer-related recurrence and mortality in women with ER-positive breast cancer. Recent studies, however, suggest that women with early stage breast cancer are more likely to die of cardiovascular disease than recurrent breast cancer. Estrogen antagonists have been shown to reduce endothelial function, to increase lipid profiles and to alter body composition accelerating atherosclerotic changes. While clinical trial data demonstrates mixed results of the impact of estrogen antagonists on cardiovascular risk, there is a growing body of evidence that estrogen suppression and estrogen antagonists result in biologic effects on the endothelium, altering lipid profiles and accelerating the risk of atherosclerosis. Further longitudinal work however is needed.

Collagen biomarkers predict new onset of hypertension in normotensive participants: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: Vascular remodeling associated with increased extracellular matrix (ECM) may precede hypertension. Procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP) and collagen type I carboxy-terminal telopeptide (ICTP) reflect collagen turnover and are important in ECM remodeling. PIIINP and ICTP are increased in cardiovascular diseases (CVD). We hypothesized that PIIINP and ICTP among normotensives predict incident hypertension. METHODS: We included 1252 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis participants with mean age 58.1 ±â€Š12.4 years, 48% men, free of overt CVD, having SBP and DBP less than 130/85 mmHg and not using any antihypertensive medication, and having plasma PIIINP and ICTP measurements, all assessed at baseline. We studied the association of baseline PIIINP and ICTP with the relative incidence density (RID) of incident hypertension, defined as SBP/DBP at least 140/90 mmHg, or antihypertensive therapy use during follow-up (four examinations over median 9.4 years). RESULTS: Baseline mean SBP/DBP was 110.9 ±â€Š14.0/67.9 ±â€Š10.4 mmHg. Mean concentration of PIIINP was 5.39 ±â€Š1.95 µg/l and ICTP was 3.18 ±â€Š1.39 µg/l. During follow-up visits, 35.9% of the participants developed hypertension. After adjustment for age, race, and sex there was a significant RID for new onset of hypertension of 1.16 (1.06, 1.28), P = 0.0017 for PIIINP and 1.20 (1.08,1.33) for ICTP, P = 0.0008. After additional adjustment for renal function, CVD risk factors and inflammatory variables, RID for new onset hypertension was 1.28 (1.15,1.42), P < 0.001 for PIIINP and 1.29 (1.15,1.44) for ICTP, P < 0.0001. CONCLUSION: Biomarkers of ECM remodeling predicted the development of hypertension in normotensive participants free of overt CVD.

Predictive Value of Collagen Biomarkers for Heart Failure With and Without Preserved Ejection Fraction: MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis).

BACKGROUND: Collagen biomarkers may correlate with incident heart failure (HF) and its subtypes. We hypothesized that circulating procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP) and collagen type I carboxy-terminal telopeptide (ICTP) predict incident HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used a stratified sampling design in a multiethnic sample of 3187 subjects, initially aged 45 to 84 years and free of cardiovascular disease. We assayed baseline serum PIIINP and ICTP concentrations using radioimmunoassay. Incident HF was adjudicated, distinguishing reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF; EF <45%) from preserved EF (HFpEF; EF ≥45%). The incidence density for HFpEF and HFrEF was computed using Poisson regression per SD for each of PIIINP and ICTP, adjusting in model 1 for age, race, sex, and renal function or in model 2 for these variables plus blood pressure and medication. Mean (SD) ICTP was 3.38±1.77 µg/L, and mean (SD) PIIINP was 5.48±2.04 µg/L. Among the HF cases, 96 were HFrEF and 107 were HFpEF. Neither ICTP nor PIIINP significantly predicted incident HFrEF. The incidence density for HFpEF per 100 people observed for 13 years was 1.65 for low PIIINP (lower 6 octiles) versus 3.00 for higher PIIINP (P=0.002) in model 1 and correspondingly 1.45 versus 2.59 (P=0.003) in model 2. For low ICTP (lower 7 octiles) versus higher ICTP (octile 8), incidence densities were 1.79 versus 3.64 (P=0.002) in model 1 and 1.58 versus 3.12 (P=0.002) in model 2. CONCLUSIONS: High levels of circulating ICTP and PIIINP as collagen biomarkers appear to be associated with incident HFpEF, but not HFrEF.

Inflammation-Related Morbidity and Mortality Among HIV-Positive Adults: How Extensive Is It?

OBJECTIVE: To determine the rate of grade 4, potentially life-threatening events not attributable to AIDS, cardiovascular disease (CVD), or non-AIDS cancer among participants on antiretroviral therapy and to describe associations of these events with interleukin-6 (IL-6) and D-dimer. DESIGN: Cohort study. METHODS: HIV-infected participants on antiretroviral therapy (N = 3568) with an HIV-RNA level ≤ 500 copies/mL were followed for grade 4, AIDS, CVD, non-AIDS cancer, and all-cause mortality events. Grade 4 events were further classified masked to biomarker levels as reflecting chronic inflammation-related disease (ChrIRD) or not (non-ChrIRD). Associations of baseline IL-6 and D-dimer with events were studied using Cox models. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 4.3 years, 339 participants developed a grade 4 event (22.9 per 1000 person-years); 165 participants developed a ChrIRD grade 4 event (10.7 per 1000 person-years). Grade 4 events were more common than AIDS (54 participants), CVD (132), and non-AIDS cancer (80) events, any of which developed in 252 participants (17.1 per 1000 person-years). Grade 4 and AIDS events were associated with similar risks of death. Higher IL-6 [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.19 per doubling of biomarker; P = 0.003] and D-dimer (HR = 1.23; P < 0.001) levels were associated with an increased risk of grade 4 events. IL-6 associations were stronger for ChrIRD (HR = 1.38; P < 0.001) than non-ChrIRD grade 4 events (HR = 1.11; P = 0.21). CONCLUSIONS: Morbidity and mortality associated with activation of inflammatory and coagulation pathways include conditions other than AIDS, CVD, and non-AIDS cancer events. Effective inflammation-dampening interventions could greatly affect the health of people with HIV.

Electrocardiographic abnormalities and mortality in aging survivors of childhood cancer: A report from the St Jude Lifetime Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Electrocardiography (ECG), predictive of adverse outcomes in the general population, has not been studied in cancer survivors. We evaluated the prevalence of ECG abnormalities and associations with mortality among childhood cancer survivors. METHODS: Major and minor abnormalities were coded per the Minnesota Classification system for participants in the St Jude Lifetime Cohort Study (n = 2,715) and community controls (n = 268). Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CIs were calculated using multivariable logistic regression; and hazard ratios, using Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: Survivors were a median age of 31.3 (range 18.4-63.8) years at evaluation and 7.4 (range 0-24.8) years at diagnosis. Prior therapies included cardiac-directed radiation (29.5%), anthracycline (57.9%), and alkylating (60%) chemotherapies. The prevalence of minor ECG abnormalities was similar among survivors and controls (65.2% vs 67.5%, P = .6). Major ECG abnormalities were identified in 10.7% of survivors and 4.9% of controls (P < .001). Among survivors, the most common major abnormalities were isolated ST/T wave abnormalities (7.2%), evidence of myocardial infarction (3.7%), and left ventricular hypertrophy with strain pattern (2.8%). Anthracyclines ≥300 mg/m2 (OR 1.7 95% CI 1.1-2.5) and cardiac radiation (OR 2.1 95% CI 1.5-2.9 [1-1,999 cGy], 2.6 95% CI 1.6-3.9 [2,000-2,999 cGy], 10.5 95% CI 6.5-16.9 [≥3,000 cGy]) were associated with major abnormalities. Thirteen participants had a cardiac-related death. Major abnormalities were predictive of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 4.0 95% CI 2.1-7.8). CONCLUSIONS: Major ECG abnormalities are common among childhood cancer survivors, associated with increasing doses of anthracyclines and cardiac radiation, and predictive of both cardiac and all-cause mortality.

Collagen Turnover Markers in Relation to Future Cardiovascular and Noncardiovascular Disease: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Sustained remodeling of extracellular matrix can compromise organs and tissues. Procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP) and collagen type I carboxy-terminal telopeptide (ICTP) reflect collagen synthesis and degradation. We studied their predictive value for future death and disease. METHODS: A total of 3068 men and women in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis who were free of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and in generally good health had a baseline blood sample taken for ICTP and PIIINP. Median follow-up was 13.0 years. Among 4 primary outcomes, CVD events (n = 697) were adjudicated, death (n = 571) was by death certificate, and chronic inflammatory-related severe hospitalization and death (ChrIRD, n = 726) and total cancer (n = 327) were classified using International Classification of Diseases codes. We used Poisson regression to study baseline ICTP and PIIINP relative to these outcomes. RESULTS: Mean (SD) PIIINP was 5.47 (1.95) µg/L and ICTP was 3.37 (1.70) µg/L. PIIINP and ICTP were highly correlated with each other and with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Adjustment for age and eGFR attenuated relative risks, remaining 20%-30% per SD of both PIIINP and ICTP in prediction for total death and ChrIRD, and of PIIINP for cancer, with little additional attenuation by adjusting for risk factors and inflammatory biomarkers. CVD outcome was generally unrelated to PIIINP but became marginally inversely related to ICTP in the most adjusted model. CONCLUSIONS: The collagen biomarkers PIIINP and ICTP, in part through pathophysiologically parallel associations with renal function, predicted ChrIRD and total death. Moreover, PIIINP predicted future cancer. These collagen markers may help differentiate healthy from unhealthy aging.

Association of N-Linked Glycoprotein Acetyls and Colorectal Cancer Incidence and Mortality.

BACKGROUND: Acute phase proteins highlight the dynamic interaction between inflammation and oncogenesis. GlycA, a novel nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) inflammatory marker that identifies primarily circulating N-acetyl glycan groups attached to acute phase proteins, may be a future CRC risk biomarker. METHODS: We examined the association between GlycA and incident CRC and mortality in two prospective cohorts (N = 34,320); Discovery cohort: 27,495 participants from Women's Health Study (WHS); Replication cohort: 6,784 participants from Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). Multivariable Cox models were adjusted for clinical risk factors and compared GlycA to acute phase proteins (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein [hsCRP], fibrinogen, and soluble intercellular adhesion molecule-1 [sICAM-1]). RESULTS: In WHS (median follow-up 19 years, 337 cases, 103 deaths), adjusted HRs (95% CIs) per SD increment of GlycA for CRC incidence and mortality were 1.19 (1.06-1.35; p = 0.004) and 1.24 (1.00-1.55; p = 0.05), respectively. We replicated findings in MESA (median follow-up 11 years, 70 cases, 23 deaths); HRs (95% CIs) per SD of GlycA for CRC incidence and mortality were 1.32 (1.06-1.65; p = 0.01) and 1.54 (1.06-2.23; p = 0.02), respectively, adjusting for age, sex, and race. Pooled analysis, adjusted HR (95% CI) per SD of GlycA for CRC incidence and mortality was 1.26 (1.15-1.39; p = 1 x 10-6). Other acute phase proteins (hsCRP, fibrinogen, and sICAM-1) had weaker or no association with CRC incidence, while only fibrinogen and GlycA were associated with CRC mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The clinical utility of GlycA to personalize CRC therapies or prevention warrants further study. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov: WHS NCT00000479, MESA NCT00005487.

Comparing Arterial Function Parameters for the Prediction of Coronary Heart Disease Events: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).

Arterial dysfunction has been linked to decline in cardiac function and increased risk of cardiovascular disease events. We calculated the value of arterial function, measured at baseline (2000-2002), in predicting time to first coronary heart disease (CHD) event (median follow-up, 10.2 years) among participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). Measures included the following: C1 and C2, derived from diastolic pulse contour analysis from the radial artery blood pressure waveform obtained by tonometry (n = 6,336); carotid distensibility and Young's elastic modulus at the carotid artery, derived from carotid artery ultrasonography (n = 6,531 and 6,528); and aortic distensibility, measured using cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (n = 3,677). After adjustment, the hazard ratio for a CHD event per standard-deviation increment in arterial function was 0.97 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.86, 1.10) for C1, 0.73 (95% CI: 0.63, 0.86) for C2, 0.98 (95% CI: 0.86, 1.11) for carotid distensibility, 0.99 (95% CI: 0.90, 1.09) for Young's modulus, and 0.90 (95% CI: 0.74, 1.10) for aortic distensibility. We examined the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the model with full adjustment plus the addition of each measure individually. C2 provided additional discrimination for the prediction of CHD (area under the curve = 0.736 vs. 0.743; P = 0.04). Lower C2 was associated with a higher risk of future CHD events.

Circulating Des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin is not associated with cardiovascular calcification or stiffness: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Vitamin K-dependent protein (VKDP) activity may have a role in preventing cardiovascular calcification, but has not previously been studied in large, generally healthy populations. METHODS: Using an elevated ankle-brachial index (ABI) as a measure of medial vascular calcification, we performed a case-cohort analysis within the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, measuring Des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) to estimate VKDP activity. In secondary analyses of the weighted subcohort, we examined the cross-sectional associations between DCP and prevalent vascular calcification of the coronary vessels, aortic and mitral valves, and aortic wall, and with vascular stiffness. RESULTS: In adjusted analysis, cases (n = 104) had 0.21 ng/ml (-0.94-0.52) lower DCP concentrations than the subcohort (n = 613). Furthermore, amongst the 717 participants in the weighted cohort, VKDP activity was not associated with coronary artery, mitral valve, aortic valve or aortic wall calcification, nor was it associated with vascular stiffness. CONCLUSIONS: Our negative results do not support a role of circulating VKDP activity in cardiovascular calcification in community-dwelling adults.