RESUMO
Importance: There is currently no consensus on the indication for cholecystectomy in patients with uncomplicated gallstone disease. Objective: To report on the development and validation of a multivariable prediction model to better select patients for surgery. Design, Setting, and Participants: This study evaluates data from 2 multicenter prospective trials (the previously published Scrutinizing (In)efficient Use of Cholecystectomy: A Randomized Trial Concerning Variation in Practice [SECURE] and the Standardized Work-up for Symptomatic Cholecystolithiasis [Success] trial) collected from the outpatient clinics of 25 Dutch hospitals between April 2014 and June 2019 and including 1561 patients with symptomatic uncomplicated cholelithiasis, defined as gallstone disease without signs of complicated cholelithiasis (ie, biliary pancreatitis, cholangitis, common bile duct stones or cholecystitis). Data were analyzed from January 2020 to June 2020. Exposures: Patient characteristics, comorbidity, surgical outcomes, pain, and symptoms measured at baseline and at 6 months' follow-up. Main Outcomes and Measures: A multivariable regression model to predict a pain-free state or a clinically relevant reduction in pain after surgery. Model performance was evaluated using calibration and discrimination. Results: A total of 1561 patients were included (494 patients in 7 hospitals in the development cohort and 1067 patients in 24 hospitals in the validation cohort; 6 hospitals included patients in both cohorts). In the development cohort, 395 patients (80.0%) underwent cholecystectomy. After surgery, 225 patients (57.0%) reported that they were pain free and 295 (74.7%) reported a clinically relevant reduction in pain. A multivariable prediction model showed that increased age, no history of abdominal surgery, increased visual analog scale pain score at baseline, pain radiation to the back, pain reduction with simple analgesics, nausea, and no heartburn were independent predictors of clinically relevant pain reduction after cholecystectomy. After internal validation, good discrimination was found (C statistic, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.74-0.84) between patients with and without clinically relevant pain reduction. The model had very good overall calibration and minimal underestimation of the probability. External validation indicated a good discrimination between patients with and without clinically relevant pain reduction (C statistic, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.70-0.78) and fair calibration with some overestimation of probability by the model. Conclusions and Relevance: The model validated in this study may help predict the probability of pain reduction after cholecystectomy and thus aid surgeons in deciding whether patients with uncomplicated cholelithiasis will benefit from cholecystectomy.
Assuntos
Colecistectomia , Colecistite/cirurgia , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Cálculos Biliares/cirurgia , Dor/prevenção & controle , Seleção de Pacientes , Adulto , Idoso , Colecistite/diagnóstico , Colecistite/etiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Cálculos Biliares/complicações , Cálculos Biliares/diagnóstico , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Dor/diagnóstico , Dor/etiologia , Padrões de Prática Médica , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Análise de Regressão , Avaliação de SintomasRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Operating room planning is a complex task as pre-operative estimations of procedure duration have a limited accuracy. This is due to large variations in the course of procedures. Therefore, information about the progress of procedures is essential to adapt the daily operating room schedule accordingly. This information should ideally be objective, automatically retrievable and in real-time. Recordings made during endoscopic surgeries are a potential source of progress information. A trained observer is able to recognize the ongoing surgical phase from watching these videos. The introduction of deep learning techniques brought up opportunities to automatically retrieve information from surgical videos. The aim of this study was to apply state-of-the art deep learning techniques on a new set of endoscopic videos to automatically recognize the progress of a procedure, and to assess the feasibility of the approach in terms of performance, scalability and practical considerations. METHODS: A dataset of 33 laparoscopic cholecystectomies (LC) and 35 total laparoscopic hysterectomies (TLH) was used. The surgical tools that were used and the ongoing surgical phases were annotated in the recordings. Neural networks were trained on a subset of annotated videos. The automatic recognition of surgical tools and phases was then assessed on another subset. The scalability of the networks was tested and practical considerations were kept up. RESULTS: The performance of the surgical tools and phase recognition reached an average precision and recall between 0.77 and 0.89. The scalability tests showed diverging results. Legal considerations had to be taken into account and a considerable amount of time was needed to annotate the datasets. CONCLUSION: This study shows the potential of deep learning to automatically recognize information contained in surgical videos. This study also provides insights in the applicability of such a technique to support operating room planning.
Assuntos
Colecistectomia Laparoscópica , Aprendizado Profundo , Laparoscopia , Humanos , Redes Neurais de ComputaçãoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Recently, excellent results are reported on laparoscopic lavage in patients with purulent perforated diverticulitis as an alternative for sigmoidectomy and ostomy.The objective of this study is to determine whether LaparOscopic LAvage and drainage is a safe and effective treatment for patients with purulent peritonitis (LOLA-arm) and to determine the optimal resectional strategy in patients with a purulent or faecal peritonitis (DIVA-arm: perforated DIVerticulitis: sigmoidresection with or without Anastomosis). METHODS/DESIGN: In this multicentre randomised trial all patients with perforated diverticulitis are included. Upon laparoscopy, patients with purulent peritonitis are treated with laparoscopic lavage and drainage, Hartmann's procedure or sigmoidectomy with primary anastomosis in a ratio of 2:1:1 (LOLA-arm). Patients with faecal peritonitis will be randomised 1:1 between Hartmann's procedure and resection with primary anastomosis (DIVA-arm). The primary combined endpoint of the LOLA-arm is major morbidity and mortality. A sample size of 132:66:66 patients will be able to detect a difference in the primary endpoint from 25% in resectional groups compared to 10% in the laparoscopic lavage group (two sided alpha = 5%, power = 90%). Endpoint of the DIVA-arm is stoma free survival one year after initial surgery. In this arm 212 patients are needed to significantly demonstrate a difference of 30% (log rank test two sided alpha = 5% and power = 90%) in favour of the patients with resection with primary anastomosis. Secondary endpoints for both arms are the number of days alive and outside the hospital, health related quality of life, health care utilisation and associated costs. DISCUSSION: The Ladies trial is a nationwide multicentre randomised trial on perforated diverticulitis that will provide evidence on the merits of laparoscopic lavage and drainage for purulent generalised peritonitis and on the optimal resectional strategy for both purulent and faecal generalised peritonitis. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Nederlands Trial Register NTR2037.
Assuntos
Diverticulite/complicações , Perfuração Intestinal/cirurgia , Lavagem Peritoneal/métodos , Peritonite/cirurgia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Anastomose Cirúrgica , Colectomia , Colostomia , Feminino , Humanos , Perfuração Intestinal/etiologia , Laparoscopia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Peritonite/etiologia , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Conservative treatment of uncomplicated or mild diverticulitis usually includes antibiotic therapy. It is, however, uncertain whether patients with acute diverticulitis indeed benefit from antibiotics. In most guidelines issued by professional organizations antibiotics are considered mandatory in the treatment of mild diverticulitis. This advice lacks evidence and is merely based on experts' opinion. Adverse effects of the use of antibiotics are well known, including allergic reactions, development of bacterial resistance to antibiotics and other side-effects. METHODS: A randomized multicenter pragmatic clinical trial comparing two treatment strategies for uncomplicated acute diverticulitis. I) A conservative strategy with antibiotics: hospital admission, supportive measures and at least 48 hours of intravenous antibiotics which subsequently are switched to oral, if tolerated (for a total duration of antibiotic treatment of 10 days). II) A liberal strategy without antibiotics: admission only if needed on clinical grounds, supportive measures only. Patients are eligible for inclusion if they have a diagnosis of acute uncomplicated diverticulitis as demonstrated by radiological imaging. Only patients with stages 1a and 1b according to Hinchey's classification or "mild" diverticulitis according to the Ambrosetti criteria are included. The primary endpoint is time-to-full recovery within a 6-month follow-up period. Full recovery is defined as being discharged from the hospital, with a return to pre-illness activities, and VAS score below 4 without the use of daily pain medication. Secondary endpoints are proportion of patients who develop complicated diverticulitis requiring surgery or non-surgical intervention, morbidity, costs, health-related quality of life, readmission rate and acute diverticulitis recurrence rate. In a non-inferiority design 264 patients are needed in each study arm to detect a difference in time-to-full recovery of 5 days or more with a power of 85% and a confidence level of 95%. With an estimated one percent of patients lost to follow up, a total of 533 patients will be included. CONCLUSION: A clinically relevant difference of more than 5 days in time-to-full recovery between the two treatment strategies is not expected. The liberal strategy without antibiotics and without the strict requirement for hospital admission is anticipated to be more a more cost-effective approach. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT01111253.
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Antibacterianos/economia , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Diverticulite/economia , Diverticulite/terapia , Conduta Expectante/economia , Doença Aguda , Adulto , Protocolos Clínicos , Análise Custo-Benefício , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Low transsphincteric fistulas less than 1/3 of the sphincter complex are easy to treat by fistulotomy with a high success rate. High transsphincteric fistulas remain a surgical challenge. Various surgical procedures are available, but recurrence rates of these techniques are disappointingly high. The mucosal flap advancement is considered the gold standard for the treatment of high perianal fistula of cryptoglandular origin by most colorectal surgeons. In the literature a recurrence rate between 0 and 63% is reported for the mucosal flap advancement. Recently Armstrong and colleagues reported on a new biologic anal fistula plug, a bioabsorbable xenograft made of lyophilized porcine intestinal submucosa. Their prospective series of 15 patients with high perianal fistula treated with the anal fistula plug showed promising results. The anal fistula plug trial is designed to compare the anal fistula plug with the mucosal flap advancement in the treatment of high perianal fistula in terms of success rate, continence, postoperative pain, and quality of life. METHODS/DESIGN: The PLUG trial is a randomized controlled multicenter trial. Sixty patients with high perianal fistulas of cryptoglandular origin will be randomized to either the fistula plug or the mucosal advancement flap. Study parameters will be anorectal fistula closure-rate, continence, post-operative pain, and quality of life. Patients will be followed-up at two weeks, four weeks, and 16 weeks. At the final follow-up closure rate is determined by clinical examination by a surgeon blinded for the intervention. DISCUSSION: Before broadly implementing the anal fistula plug results of randomized trials using the plug should be awaited. This randomized controlled trial comparing the anal fistula plug and the mucosal advancement flap should provide evidence regarding the effectiveness of the anal fistula plug in the treatment of high perianal fistulas. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN: 97376902.