The Association of Oxygen Delivery and Transfusion on Cardiopulmonary Bypass with Acute Kidney Injury.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate whether the association of transfusion and acute kidney injury (AKI) has a threshold of oxygen delivery below which transfusion is beneficial but above which it is harmful. DESIGN: Retrospective study SETTING: Cardiovascular operating room and intensive care unit PARTICIPANTS: Patients undergoing cardiac surgery with continuous oxygen delivery monitoring during cardiopulmonary bypass INTERVENTIONS: None MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Logistic regression was used to estimate the associations between oxygen delivery (mean, cumulative deficit, and bands of oxygen delivery), transfusion, and their interaction and AKI. A subgroup analysis of transfused and nontransfused patients with exact matching on cumulative oxygen deficit and time on bypass with adjustment for propensity to receive a transfusion using logistic regression. Nine hundred ninety-one of 4,203 patients developed AKI within 7 days. After adjustment for confounders, lower mean oxygen delivery (odds ratio [OR], 0.968; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.949-0.988; p = 0.002) and transfusions (OR, 1.442; 95% CI, 1.077, 1.932; p = 0.014) were associated with increased odds of AKI by 7 days. As oxygen delivery decreased, the risk of AKI increased, with the slope of the OR steeper at <160 mL/m2/min. In the subgroup analysis, matched transfused patients were more likely than matched nontransfused patients to develop AKI (45% [n = 145] v 31% [n = 101]; p < 0.001). However, after propensity score adjustment, the difference was nonsignificant (OR, 1.181; 95% CI, 0.796-1.752; p = 0.406). CONCLUSIONS: We found a nonlinear relationship between oxygen delivery and AKI. We found no level of oxygen delivery at which transfusion was associated with a decreased risk of AKI.

Practice makes perfect? Institutional coronary artery bypass case volumes and outcomes.

OBJECTIVES: Older studies of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) institutional case volumes and outcomes reported conflicting results. We explored this association in the rapidly changing contemporary practice of American surgeons using the Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) Adult Cardiac Surgery Database. METHODS: The 2018-2019 isolated primary CABG experience in the STS Adult Cardiac Surgery Database was analysed (241 902 patients; 1014 hospitals; 2718 surgeons). Generalized Estimating Equations were used to estimate coefficients between CABG institutional case volumes and outcomes. The observed-to-expected ratios based on STS risk models were used to assess risk-adjusted operative mortality (OM), mortality/major morbidity (MM) and deep sternal wound infections (DSWI) as a function of institutional case volumes. RESULTS: The mean (standard deviation) OM, MM and DSWI rates were 2.1% (2.7), 11.1% (9.2) and 0.6% (0.5), respectively. The mean (standard deviation) institutional case volumes per study period was 239 (192); 23% and 9% of institutions performed <100 and >500 cases/study period, respectively. There was a weak negative correlation between expected mortality (R2 -0.0014), OM (R2 -0.0272), MM (R2 -0.1213) and DSWI (R2 -0.003) and institutional case volumes. CONCLUSIONS: CABG outcomes generally improve with increasing institutional case volumes. Given the large number of CABG cases performed nationally, even the documented weak correlation has the potential to appreciably decrease OM, MM and DSWI if cases are performed at higher volume institutions. Studies focusing on additional hospital and surgeon factors are warranted to further define quality improvement opportunities.

Differences between patients in whom physicians agree versus disagree about the preoperative diagnosis of heart failure.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To quantify preoperative heart failure (HF) diagnostic agreement and identify characteristics of patients in whom physicians agreed versus disagreed about the diagnosis. DESIGN: Observational cohort study. SETTING: Patients undergoing major non-cardiac surgery at an academic center between 2015 and 2019. PATIENTS: 40,659 patients undergoing major non-cardiac surgery, among which a stratified subsample of 1018 patients with and without documented HF was reviewed. INTERVENTIONS: Via a panel of physicians frequently managing patients with HF (cardiologists, cardiac anesthesiologists, intensivists), detailed chart reviews were performed (two per patient; median review time 32 min per reviewer per patient) to render adjudicated HF diagnoses. MEASUREMENTS: Adjudicated diagnostic agreement measures (percent agreement, Krippendorf's alpha) and univariate comparisons (standardized differences) between patients in whom physicians agreed versus disagreed about the preoperative HF diagnosis. MAIN RESULTS: Among patients with documented HF, physicians agreed about the diagnosis in 80.0% of cases (consensus positive), disagreed in 13.8% (disagreement), and refuted the diagnosis in 6.3% (consensus negative). Conversely, among patients without documented HF, physicians agreed about the diagnosis in 88.0% (consensus negative), disagreed in 8.4% (disagreement), and refuted the diagnosis in 3.6% (consensus positive). The estimated agreement for the 40,659 cases was 91.1% (95% CI 88.3%-93.9%); Krippendorff's alpha was 0.77 (0.75-0.80). Compared to patients in whom physicians agreed about a HF diagnosis, patients in whom physicians disagreed exhibited fewer guideline-defined HF diagnostic criteria. CONCLUSIONS: Physicians usually agree about HF diagnoses adjudicated via chart review, although disagreement is not uncommon and may be partly explained by heterogeneous clinical presentations. Our findings inform preoperative screening processes by identifying patients whose characteristics contribute to physician disagreement via chart review. Clinical Trial Number / Registry URL: Not applicable.

Long-term Outcomes and Anticoagulation in Mitral Valve Surgery-A Report From The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Database.

BACKGROUND: Anticoagulation after bioprosthetic mitral valve (MV) replacement (BMVR) and repair (MVrep) is controversial. We explore outcomes among BMVR and MVrep patients in The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database based on discharge anticoagulation status. METHODS: BMVR and MVrep patients aged ≥65 years in The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database were linked to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services claims database. Long-term mortality, ischemic stroke, bleeding, and a composite of the primary end points were compared as a function of anticoagulation. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using multivariable Cox regression. RESULTS: A total of 26,199 BMVR and MVrep patients were linked to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services database; of these, 44%, 4%, and 52% were discharged on warfarin, non-vitamin K-dependent anticoagulant (NOAC), and no anticoagulation (no-AC; reference), respectively. Warfarin was associated with increased bleeding in the overall study cohort (HR, 1.38; 95% CI 1.26-1.52) and in the BMVR (HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.13-1.55) and MVrep subcohorts (HR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.26-1.60). Warfarin was associated with decreased mortality only among BMVR patients (HR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.79-0.96). Stroke and the composite outcome did not differ across cohorts with warfarin. NOAC use was associated with increased mortality (HR, 1.33; 95% CI 1.11-1.59), bleeding (HR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.07-1.74), and the composite outcome (HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.08-1.47). CONCLUSIONS: Anticoagulation was used in fewer than half of mitral valve operations. In MVrep patients, warfarin was associated with increased bleeding and was not protective against stroke or mortality. In BMVR patients, warfarin was associated with a modest survival benefit, increased bleeding, and equivalent stroke risk. NOAC was associated with increased adverse outcomes.

Oxygen Delivery Thresholds During Cardiopulmonary Bypass and Risk for Acute Kidney Injury.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) in cardiac surgery patients is multifactorial and associated with low oxygen delivery (DO2) during cardiopulmonary bypass. METHODS: Cardiac surgical patients undergoing full cardiopulmonary bypass between May 1, 2016 and December 31, 2021 were included, whereas those on preoperative dialysis, undergoing circulatory arrest procedures, or lacking minute-to-minute physiologic data were excluded. A 5-minute running average of indexed DO2 (DO2i, mL/min/m2) was calculated ([pump flow] × [hemoglobin] × 1.36 [hemoglobin saturation] + 0.003 [arterial oxygen tension]/body surface area). AKI was defined using established Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes criteria. The threshold of nadir DO2i on the effect of AKI was estimated using risk-adjusted Constrained Broken-Stick models. RESULTS: Postoperative AKI occurred among 1155 patients (29.4%), with 276 (7.0%) having stage 2 to 3 AKI. The median nadir DO2i was lower for those with (vs without) AKI (197.9 mL/min/m2 [interquartile range {IQR}, 166.3-233.2] vs 217.2 mL/min/m2 [IQR, 184.5-252.2], P < .001) and stage 2 to 3 AKI relative to stage 1 or none (186.9 mL/min/m2 [IQR, 160.1-220.5] vs 213.8 mL/min/m2 [IQR, 180.4-249.4]). In risk-adjusted analyses the estimated threshold for nadir DO2i was 231.2 mL/min/m2 (95% CI, 173.6-288.8) for any AKI and 103.3 (95% CI, 68.4-138.3) for stage 2 to 3 AKI. CONCLUSIONS: Decreasing nadir DO2i was associated with an increased risk of AKI. The identified nadir DO2i thresholds suggest management and treatment of nadir DO2i during cardiopulmonary bypass may decrease a patient's postoperative AKI risk.

Patient-, Clinician-, and Institution-level Variation in Inotrope Use for Cardiac Surgery: A Multicenter Observational Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Conflicting evidence exists regarding the risks and benefits of inotropic therapies during cardiac surgery, and the extent of variation in clinical practice remains understudied. Therefore, the authors sought to quantify patient-, anesthesiologist-, and hospital-related contributions to variation in inotrope use. METHODS: In this observational study, nonemergent adult cardiac surgeries using cardiopulmonary bypass were reviewed across a multicenter cohort of academic and community hospitals from 2014 to 2019. Patients who were moribund, receiving mechanical circulatory support, or receiving preoperative or home inotropes were excluded. The primary outcome was an inotrope infusion (epinephrine, dobutamine, milrinone, dopamine) administered for greater than 60 consecutive min intraoperatively or ongoing upon transport from the operating room. Institution-, clinician-, and patient-level variance components were studied. RESULTS: Among 51,085 cases across 611 attending anesthesiologists and 29 hospitals, 27,033 (52.9%) cases received at least one intraoperative inotrope, including 21,796 (42.7%) epinephrine, 6,360 (12.4%) milrinone, 2,000 (3.9%) dobutamine, and 602 (1.2%) dopamine (non-mutually exclusive). Variation in inotrope use was 22.6% attributable to the institution, 6.8% attributable to the primary attending anesthesiologist, and 70.6% attributable to the patient. The adjusted median odds ratio for the same patient receiving inotropes was 1.73 between 2 randomly selected clinicians and 3.55 between 2 randomly selected institutions. Factors most strongly associated with increased likelihood of inotrope use were institutional medical school affiliation (adjusted odds ratio, 6.2; 95% CI, 1.39 to 27.8), heart failure (adjusted odds ratio, 2.60; 95% CI, 2.46 to 2.76), pulmonary circulation disorder (adjusted odds ratio, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.58 to 1.87), loop diuretic home medication (adjusted odds ratio, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.42 to 1.69), Black race (adjusted odds ratio, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.32 to 1.68), and digoxin home medication (adjusted odds ratio, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.18 to 1.86). CONCLUSIONS: Variation in inotrope use during cardiac surgery is attributable to the institution and to the clinician, in addition to the patient. Variation across institutions and clinicians suggests a need for future quantitative and qualitative research to understand variation in inotrope use affecting outcomes and develop evidence-based, patient-centered inotrope therapies.

Multiarterial Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting Practice Patterns in the United States: Analysis of The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to elucidate current national multiarterial coronary bypass grafting practice patterns and assess perioperative outcomes. METHODS: Isolated primary nonemergent/nonsalvage coronary artery bypass grafting patients with at least 1 internal thoracic artery and 2 or more grafts in The Society of Thoracic Surgery Adult Cardiac Surgery Database (2018-2019) were divided into 3 cohorts: single-arterial, bilateral internal thoracic artery (BITA), and radial artery multiarterial grafting. Observed-to-expected ratios based on 2017 Society of Thoracic Surgery risk models were derived for 30-day perioperative mortality, composite major morbidity and mortality, and deep sternal wound infections for each grafting group overall and as a function of institutional multiarterial case volumes per study period: low (<10), intermediate (11-30), and high (>30). RESULTS: A total of 281,515 patients (BITA, 15,663 [5.6%]; radial, 23,905 [8.5%]) at 1013 centers showed distinct geographic grafting patterns: BITA and radial multiarterial grafting rates were lowest in the South (4% and 6%, respectively) and highest in the Northeast (9% and 11%, respectively). The median institutional number of BITA and radial cases per study period was 4 and 7, with only 14% and 21% of institutions performing >30 BITA and radial multiarterial cases per study period, respectively. The observed-to-expected mortality for single-arterial bypass grafting was similar to multiarterial: single-arterial, 1.00 (95% CI, 0.98-1.03); BITA, 0.98 (95% CI, 0.84-1.13; P = .711); and radial, 0.96 (95% CI, 0.86-1.07; P = .818). Observed-to-expected mortality and composite major morbidity and mortality were lower at high vs low multiarterial case-volume centers: 0.91 (95% CI, 0.75-1.08) vs 1.30 (95% CI, 0.89-1.79; P = .048) and 1.06 (95% CI, 0.99-1.13) vs 1.51 (95% CI, 1.32-1.71; P < .001), respectively, for BITA, and 0.82 (95% CI, 0.87-1.30) vs 1.67 (95% CI, 1.21-2.21; P < .001) and 0.91 (95% CI, 0.93-1.08) vs 1.42 (95% CI, 1.24-1.61; P < .001), respectively, for radial. CONCLUSIONS: Multiarterial bypass grafting remains underused and limited to select centers. Worse outcomes at low-volume BITA and radial institutions document a case-volume outcomes effect. Additional studies are warranted to improve multiarterial outcomes at low-volume institutions.

Perioperative Anemia and Transfusions and Late Mortality in Coronary Artery Bypass Patients.

BACKGROUND: Perioperative anemia and transfusions are associated with adverse operative outcomes after coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG). Their individual association with long-term outcomes is unclear. METHODS: Patients aged 65 years and older who had undergone CABG and were in The Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) Adult Cardiac Surgery Database (n = 504,596) from 2011 to 2018 were linked to Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Service data to assess long-term survival. The association of intraoperative anemia defined by intraoperative nadir hematocrit (nHct) and red blood cell (RBC) transfusions, and their interactions, on long-term mortality were assessed with Kaplan-Meier estimates and multivariable Cox regression. Restricted cubic splines were used to explore the association between nHct as a continuous variable and long-term mortality. RESULTS: 258,398 on-pump CABG STS Adult Cardiac Surgery Database patients surviving the perioperative period were linked to Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Service claims files. Per World Health Organization criteria, 41% had preoperative anemia. Mean intraoperative nHct was 24%; RBC transfusion rate was 43.7%. Univariable analysis associated both RBC transfusion and lower nHct with worse survival. Lower nHct was only marginally associated with risk-adjusted mortality: adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) 1.04 (95% CI, 1.01-1.06) and 1.07 (95% CI, 1.00-1.14) at nHct 20% and at nHct 14%, respectively. RBC transfusion was associated with significantly higher adjusted mortality irrespective of timing of transfusion: AHR intraoperative 1.21 (95% CI, 1.18-1.27); AHR postoperative 1.26 (95% CI, 1.22-1.30); AHR both 1.46 (95% CI, 1.40-1.52) and across all levels of nHct. RBC transfusion was not associated with improved survival at any level of nHct. CONCLUSIONS: Among Medicare CABG patients, RBC transfusions were associated with increased risk-adjusted late mortality across all levels of nHct whereas intraoperative anemia was only marginally so. Tolerance of lower intraoperative nHct than currently accepted may be preferable to transfusions.

Delayed Discharge From the Intensive Care Unit Is Associated With Longer Hospital Lengths of Stay.

OBJECTIVE: The study authors sought to determine if delayed discharge from the intensive care unit (ICU) secondary to a lack of floor beds led to longer postoperative hospital length of stay (LOS) or more hospital readmissions. DESIGN: A retrospective study comparing patients with delayed discharge from the ICU to patients without delayed discharge. SETTING: At a cardiovascular ICU in a tertiary care university hospital. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 5,777 patients that were ready for discharge from the ICU after recovering from cardiac surgery. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The authors used linear regression to measure postoperative hospital LOS and logistic regression to measure hospital readmission in patients whose transfer out of the ICU was delayed at least overnight to patients who were transferred out the same day. There were 3,903 patients transferred to the stepdown unit on the same day as the transfer order and 1,874 patients were transferred on a subsequent day. The postoperative LOS was shorter in the no delay group (9 ± 9 v 11 ± 10 days, standardized difference = 0.162), whereas the stepdown unit stay was similar (6 ± 6 v 5 ± 6 days, standardized difference = 0.076). The readmission rates were 15% in the no delay group versus 14% in the delayed discharge group (standardized difference = 0.032). After adjustment, the authors found by linear regression that delayed discharge was associated with an increase (0.72 [95% CI 0.43-1.01] days, p < 0.001) in postoperative LOS but was not associated with readmission. CONCLUSIONS: The study authors found that patients who had their discharge from the ICU delayed had an increased hospital LOS but a similar rate of hospital readmission.

Intraoperative blood collection without fluid replacement for cardiac surgery - A retrospective analysis.

Background: Transfusion rates in cardiac surgery are high. Aim: To determine if intraoperative autologous blood removal without volume replacement is associated with fewer homologous blood transfusions without increasing acute kidney injury. Setting and Design: Retrospective, comparative study. Materials and Methods: Adult patients undergoing cardiac surgery, excluding those who underwent ventricular assist device surgery, heart transplants, or cardiac surgery without cardiopulmonary bypass were excluded, who had 1-3 units of intraoperative autologous blood removal were compared to patients without blood removal for determination of volume replacement, vasopressor support, acute kidney injury, and transfusions. Results: Autologous blood removal was associated with fewer patients receiving homologous transfusions: intraoperative red cell transfusions fell from 75% (Control) to 48% (1 unit removed), 40% (2 units), and 30% (3 units), P < 0.001. Total intraoperative and postoperative homologous RBC units transfused were lower in the blood removal groups: median (interquartile range) 3 (1, 6) in Control patients and 0 (0, 2), 0 (0, 2) and 0 (0, 1) in the 1, 2, and 3 units removed groups, P < 0.001. Similarly, plasma, platelet, and cryoprecipitate transfusions decreased. After adjustment for confounders, increased amounts of autologous blood removal were associated with increased intravenous fluids, only when 2 units were removed, and trivially increased vasopressor use. However, it was not associated with acidosis or acute kidney injury. Conclusions: Intraoperative autologous blood removal without volume replacement of 1-3 units for later autologous transfusion is associated with decreased homologous transfusions without acidosis or acute kidney injury.

Identification of intraoperative management strategies that have a differential effect on patients with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: There are few data to guide the intraoperative management of patients with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). This study aimed to describe how patients with reduced LVEF are managed differently and to identify and treatments had a different risk profile in this population. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of adult patients who underwent general anesthesia for non-cardiac surgery. The effect of anesthesia medications and fluid balance was compared between those with and without a reduced preoperative LVEF. The primary outcome was a composite of acute kidney injury, myocardial injury, pulmonary complications, and 30-day mortality. Multivariable logistic regression was used to adjust for confounders. Treatments that affected patients with reduced LVEF differently were defined as those associated with the primary outcome that also had a significant interaction with LVEF. RESULTS: A total of 9420 patients were included. Patients with reduced LVEF tended to have a less positive fluid balance. Etomidate, calcium, and phenylephrine were use more frequently, while propofol and remifentanil were used less frequently. Remifentanil affected patients with reduced LVEF differently than those without (interaction term OR 2.71, 95% CI 1.30-5.68, p = 0.008). While the use of remifentanil was associated with fewer complications in patients with normal systolic function (OR 0.54, 95% CI 0.42-0.68, p < 0.001), it was associated with an increase in complications in patients with reduced LVEF (OR = 3.13, 95% CI 3.06-5.98, p = 0.026). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with a reduced preoperative LVEF are treated differently than those with a normal LVEF when undergoing non-cardiac surgery. An association was found between the use of remifentanil and an increase in postoperative adverse events that was unique to this population. Future research is needed to determine if this relationship is secondary to the medication itself or reflects a difference in how remifentanil is used in patients with reduced LVEF.

Prediction of Postoperative Deterioration in Cardiac Surgery Patients Using Electronic Health Record and Physiologic Waveform Data.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative hemodynamic deterioration among cardiac surgical patients can indicate or lead to adverse outcomes. Whereas prediction models for such events using electronic health records or physiologic waveform data are previously described, their combined value remains incompletely defined. The authors hypothesized that models incorporating electronic health record and processed waveform signal data (electrocardiogram lead II, pulse plethysmography, arterial catheter tracing) would yield improved performance versus either modality alone. METHODS: Intensive care unit data were reviewed after elective adult cardiac surgical procedures at an academic center between 2013 and 2020. Model features included electronic health record features and physiologic waveforms. Tensor decomposition was used for waveform feature reduction. Machine learning-based prediction models included a 2013 to 2017 training set and a 2017 to 2020 temporal holdout test set. The primary outcome was a postoperative deterioration event, defined as a composite of low cardiac index of less than 2.0 ml min-1 m-2, mean arterial pressure of less than 55 mmHg sustained for 120 min or longer, new or escalated inotrope/vasopressor infusion, epinephrine bolus of 1 mg or more, or intensive care unit mortality. Prediction models analyzed data 8 h before events. RESULTS: Among 1,555 cases, 185 (12%) experienced 276 deterioration events, most commonly including low cardiac index (7.0% of patients), new inotrope (1.9%), and sustained hypotension (1.4%). The best performing model on the 2013 to 2017 training set yielded a C-statistic of 0.803 (95% CI, 0.799 to 0.807), although performance was substantially lower in the 2017 to 2020 test set (0.709, 0.705 to 0.712). Test set performance of the combined model was greater than corresponding models limited to solely electronic health record features (0.641; 95% CI, 0.637 to 0.646) or waveform features (0.697; 95% CI, 0.693 to 0.701). CONCLUSIONS: Clinical deterioration prediction models combining electronic health record data and waveform data were superior to either modality alone, and performance of combined models was primarily driven by waveform data. Decreased performance of prediction models during temporal validation may be explained by data set shift, a core challenge of healthcare prediction modeling.

Outcomes After Prolonged ICU Stays in Postoperative Cardiac Surgery Patients.

Background: Prolonged postoperative intensive care unit (ICU) stays are common after cardiac surgery and are associated with poor outcomes. There are few studies evaluating how risk factors associated with mortality may change during prolonged ICU stays or how mortality may vary with length of stay. We evaluated operative and long-term mortality in post-cardiac surgery patients after prolonged ICU stays at 7, 14, 21, and 28 days and factors associated with mortality. Methods: We included University of Michigan Medical Center cardiac surgery patients with ≥ 7 postoperative days in the ICU. We determined factors associated with hospital mortality at 7, 14, 21, and 28 days of ICU stay using logistic regression, and among hospital survivors, we determined the factors associated with long-term mortality using Cox regression. Results: Of 8309 ICU admissions from cardiac surgery, 1174 (14%) had ICU stays > 7 days. Operative mortality was 11%, 18%, 22%, and 35% for the 7-, 14-, 21-, and 28-day groups, respectively. Mechanical ventilation on the day of assessment was associated with increased odds ratios of operative mortality in all models. Of the 1049 (89%) hospital survivors, 420 (40%) died by late follow-up. Median (IQR) Cox model survival was 10.7 (0.7) years. Longer ICU stays, postoperative pneumonia, and elevated discharge blood urea nitrogen were associated with increased hazard of dying; whereas higher discharge platelet count and cardiac transplant were protective. Conclusions: Both operative and late mortality increased as the duration of a ICU stay increased after cardiac surgery.

Difference between arterial and end-tidal carbon dioxide and adverse events after non-cardiac surgery: a historical cohort study.

PURPOSE: The difference between arterial and end-tidal partial pressure of carbon dioxide (ΔCO2) is a measure of alveolar dead space, commonly evaluated intraoperatively. Given its relationship to ventilation and perfusion, ΔCO2 may provide prognostic information and guide clinical decisions. We hypothesized that higher ΔCO2 values are associated with occurrence of a composite outcome of re-intubation, postoperative mechanical ventilation, or 30-day mortality in patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery. METHODS: We conducted a historical cohort study of adult patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery with an arterial line at a single tertiary care medical centre. The composite outcome, identified from electronic health records, was re-intubation, postoperative mechanical ventilation, or 30-day mortality. Student's t test and Chi-squared test were used for univariable analysis. Logistic regression was used for multivariable analysis of the relationship of ΔCO2 with the composite outcome. RESULTS: A total of 19,425 patients were included in the final study population. Univariable analysis showed an association between higher mean (standard deviation [SD]) intraoperative ΔCO2 values and the composite outcome (6.1 [5.3] vs 5.7 [4.5] mm Hg; P = 0.002). After adjusting for baseline subject characteristics, every 5-mm Hg increase in the ΔCO2 was associated with a nearly 20% increased odds of the composite outcome (odds ratio, 1.20; 95% confidence interval, 1.12 to 1.28; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In this patient population, increased intraoperative ΔCO2 was associated with an increased odds of the composite outcome of postoperative mechanical ventilation, re-intubation, or 30-day mortality that was independent of its relationship with pre-existing pulmonary disease. Future studies are needed to determine if ΔCO2 can be used to guide patient management and improve patient outcomes.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIF: La différence entre la pression partielle artérielle et télé-expiratoire en dioxyde de carbone (ΔCO2) est une mesure de l'espace mort alvéolaire couramment évaluée en période peropératoire. Compte tenu de sa relation avec la ventilation et la perfusion, la ΔCO2 pourrait fournir des informations pronostiques et guider les décisions cliniques. Nous avons émis l'hypothèse que des valeurs de ΔCO2 plus élevées seraient associées à l'apparition d'un résultat composite de réintubation, de ventilation mécanique postopératoire ou de mortalité à 30 jours chez les patients bénéficiant d'une chirurgie non cardiaque. MéTHODE: Nous avons mené une étude de cohorte historique de patients adultes bénéficiant d'une chirurgie non cardiaque dans un seul centre médical de soins tertiaires et chez lesquels une canule artérielle était installée. Le résultat composite, identifié à partir des dossiers de santé électroniques, était la réintubation, la ventilation mécanique postopératoire ou la mortalité à 30 jours. Le test t de Student et le test du chi carré ont été utilisés pour l'analyse univariée. La régression logistique a été utilisée pour l'analyse multivariée de la relation entre la ΔCO2 et le résultat composite. RéSULTATS: Au total, 19 425 patients ont été inclus dans la population finale à l'étude. L'analyse univariée a montré une association entre des valeurs peropératoires moyennes plus élevées (écart type [ET]) de ΔCO2 et le résultat composite (6,1 [5,3] vs 5,7 [4,5] mmHg; P = 0,002). Après ajustement pour tenir compte des caractéristiques de base des sujets, chaque augmentation de 5 mmHg de la ΔCO2 a été associée à une augmentation de près de 20 % de la probabilité du résultat composite (rapport de cotes, 1,20; intervalle de confiance à 95 %, 1,12 à 1,28; P < 0,001). CONCLUSION: Dans cette population de patients, une augmentation peropératoire de la ΔCO2 était associée à une probabilité accrue du résultat composite de ventilation mécanique postopératoire, de réintubation ou de mortalité à 30 jours, indépendamment de sa relation avec une maladie pulmonaire préexistante. D'autres études sont nécessaires à l'avenir pour déterminer si la ΔCO2 peut être utilisée pour guider la prise en charge des patients et améliorer les devenirs des patients.

Preoperative clinical diagnostic accuracy of heart failure among patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery: a single-centre prospective observational analysis.

Background: Reliable diagnosis of heart failure during preoperative evaluation is important for perioperative management and long-term care. We aimed to quantify preoperative heart failure diagnostic accuracy and explore characteristics of patients with heart failure misdiagnoses. Methods: We performed an observational cohort study of adults undergoing major noncardiac surgery at an academic hospital between 2015 and 2019. A preoperative clinical diagnosis of heart failure was defined using keywords from the history and clinical examination or administrative documentation. Across stratified subsamples of cases with and without clinically diagnosed heart failure, health records were intensively reviewed by an expert panel to develop an adjudicated heart failure reference standard using diagnostic criteria congruent with consensus guidelines. We calculated agreement among experts, and analysed performance of clinically diagnosed heart failure compared with the adjudicated reference standard. Results: Across 40 555 major noncardiac procedures, a stratified subsample of 511 patients was reviewed by the expert panel. The prevalence of heart failure was 9.1% based on clinically diagnosed compared with 13.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 10.3-16.2%) estimated by the expert panel. Overall agreement and inter-rater reliability (kappa) among heart failure experts were 95% and 0.79, respectively. Based upon expert adjudication, heart failure was clinically diagnosed with an accuracy of 92.8% (90.6-95.1%), sensitivity 57.4% (53.1-61.7%), specificity 98.3% (97.1-99.4%), positive predictive value 83.5% (80.3-86.8%), and negative predictive value 93.8% (91.7-95.9%). Conclusions: Limitations exist to the preoperative clinical diagnosis of heart failure, with nearly half of cases undiagnosed preoperatively. Considering the risks of undiagnosed heart failure, efforts to improve preoperative heart failure diagnoses are warranted.

Challenges in Predicting Discharge Disposition for Trauma and Emergency General Surgery Patients.

BACKGROUND: Changes in discharge disposition and delays in discharge negatively impact the patient and hospital system. Our objectives were1 to determine the accuracy with which trauma and emergency general surgery (TEGS) providers could predict the discharge disposition for patients and2 determine the factors associated with incorrect predictions. METHODS: Discharge dispositions and barriers to discharge for 200 TEGS patients were predicted individually by members of the multidisciplinary TEGS team within 24 h of patient admission. Univariate analyses and multivariable logistic least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regressions determined the associations between patient characteristics and correct predictions. RESULTS: A total of 1,498 predictions of discharge disposition were made by the multidisciplinary TEGS team for 200 TEGS patients. Providers correctly predicted 74% of discharge dispositions. Prediction accuracy was not associated with clinical experience or job title. Incorrect predictions were independently associated with older age (OR 0.98; P < 0.001), trauma admission as compared to emergency general surgery (OR 0.33; P < 0.001), higher Injury Severity Scores (OR 0.96; P < 0.001), longer lengths of stay (OR 0.90; P < 0.001), frailty (OR 0.43; P = 0.001), ICU admission (OR 0.54; P < 0.001), and higher Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores (OR 0.94; P = 0.006). CONCLUSION: The TEGS team can accurately predict the majority of discharge dispositions. Patients with risk factors for unpredictable dispositions should be flagged to better allocate appropriate resources and more intensively plan their discharges.

Reduced Echocardiographic Inotropy Index after Cardiopulmonary Bypass Is Associated With Complications After Cardiac Surgery: An Institutional Outcomes Study.

OBJECTIVE: Despite advances in echocardiography and hemodynamic monitoring, limited progress has been made to effectively quantify left ventricular function during cardiac surgery. Traditional measures, including left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and cardiac index, remain dependent on loading conditions; more complex measures remain impractical in a dynamic surgical setting. However, the Smith-Madigan Inotropy Index (SMII) and potential-to-kinetic energy ratio (PKR) offer promise as measures calculable during cardiac surgery and potentially predictive of outcomes. Using echocardiographic and hemodynamic monitoring data, the authors aimed to calculate SMII and PKR values after cardiopulmonary bypass and understand associations with postoperative outcomes, adjusting for previously identified risk factors. DESIGN: Observational cohort study. SETTING: Tertiary care academic hospital. PATIENTS: The study comprised 189 elective adult cardiac surgical procedures from 2015-2016. INTERVENTION: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The primary outcome was postoperative mortality or organ system complication (stroke, prolonged ventilation, reintubation, cardiac arrest, acute kidney injury, new-onset atrial fibrillation). After adjustment, SMII <0.83 W/m2 independently predicted the primary outcome (adjusted odds ratio 2.19, 95% confidence interval 1.08-4.42); whereas PKR, LVEF, and cardiac index demonstrated no associations. When SMII and PKR were incorporated into a EuroSCORE II risk model, predictive performance improved (net reclassification index improvement 0.457; p = 0.001); whereas a model incorporating LVEF and cardiac index demonstrated no improvement (0.130; p = 0.318). CONCLUSION: The present study demonstrated that SMII, but not PKR, as a measure of cardiac function was associated with major complications. The study's data may guide investigations of more suitable perioperative goal-directed therapies to reduce complications after cardiac surgery.

Association of Both High and Low Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction With Increased Risk After Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting.

BACKGROUND: While reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is a known risk factor for complications after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), the relevance of higher LVEF values has not been established. Currently, most risk stratification tools consider LVEF values above a certain point as normal. However, since this does not account for insufficient ventricular filling or increased adrenergic tone, higher values may have clinical significance. To improve our understanding of this situation, we investigated the relationship of preoperative LVEF values with short- and long-term outcomes after CABG using a strategy that allowed for the identification of nonlinear relationships. We hypothesised that both higher and lower values are independently associated with increased postoperative complications and death in this population. METHODS: We performed a single-centre retrospective cohort study of patients undergoing isolated CABG surgery. All patients had a preoperative measurement of their LVEF. Surgery involving mitral valve repair was excluded in order to eliminate the impact of mitral regurgitation. The primary outcome was long-term mortality; secondary outcomes included atrial fibrillation, operative mortality, and a composite outcome including any postoperative adverse event. Fractional polynomial equations were used to model the relationship between LVEF and outcomes so we could account for nonlinear relationships if present. Adjustments for confounders were made using multivariable logistic regression and Cox models. RESULTS: A total of 7,932 subjects were included in the study. After adjusting for patient and surgical characteristics, LVEF remained associated with the primary outcome as well as the composite outcome of any postoperative adverse event. Both these relationships were best described by a J-shaped curve given that higher LVEF values were associated with increased risk, albeit not as high has lower values. Regarding long-term mortality, individuals with a preoperative LVEF of 60% demonstrated the longest survival. A statistically significant relationship was not found between LVEF and operative mortality or atrial fibrillation after adjustment for confounders. CONCLUSIONS: Higher preoperative LVEF values may be associated with increased risk for patients undergoing CABG surgery. Future studies are needed to better characterise this phenotype.

Risk and Safety Perceptions Contribute to Transfusion Decisions in Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting.

Variability persists in intraoperative red blood cell (RBC) transfusion rates, despite evidence supporting associated adverse sequelae. We evaluated whether beliefs concerning transfusion risk and safety are independently associated with the inclination to transfuse. We surveyed intraoperative transfusion decision-makers from 33 cardiac surgery programs in Michigan. The primary outcome was a provider's reported inclination to transfuse (via a six-point Likert Scale) averaged across 10 clinical vignettes based on Class IIA or IIB blood management guideline recommendations. Survey questions assessed hematocrit threshold for transfusion ("hematocrit trigger"), demographic and practice characteristics, years and case-volume of practice, knowledge of transfusion guidelines, and provider attitude regarding perceived risk and safety of blood transfusions. Linear regression models were used to estimate the effect of these variables on transfusion inclination. Mixed effect models were used to quantify the variation attributed to provider specialties and hematocrit triggers. The mean inclination to transfuse was 3.2 (might NOT transfuse) on the survey Likert scale (SD: .86) across vignettes among 202/413 (48.9%) returned surveys. Hematocrit triggers ranged from 15% to 30% (average: 20.4%; SE: .18%). The inclination to transfuse in situations with weak-to-moderate evidence for supporting transfusion was associated with a provider's hematocrit trigger (p < .01) and specialty. Providers believing in the safety of transfusions were significantly more likely to transfuse. Provider specialty and belief in transfusion safety were significantly associated with a provider's hematocrit trigger and likelihood for transfusion. Our findings suggest that blood management interventions should target these previously unaccounted for blood transfusion determinants.