RESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To compare the results from an initial negative human papillomavirus (HPV) test with re-screening after 3 years in women attending two HPV-based screening programmes. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study. SETTING: Two cervical service screening programmes in Italy. POPULATION: Women aged 25-64 years invited to screening from April 2009 to October 2015. METHODS: Eligible women were invited to undergo an HPV test. Those with a negative HPV test went on to the next screening round 3 years later. Cytology triage was performed for HPV+ (HPV by Hybrid Capture 2) samples, with immediate colposcopy (if abnormal) and HPV re-testing 1 year later (if negative). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Participation rate, positivity at HPV and at triage, referral rate to colposcopy, positive predictive value for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2+ (CIN2+) at colposcopy, and detection rate for CIN2+. RESULTS: We present the results from 48 751 women at the first screening and 22 000 women at re-screening 3 years later. The response rate was slightly higher at the second screening (74.5 versus 72.1% at the first screening; referral rate, RR 1.11; 95% confidence interval, 95% CI, 1.07-1.14). Compared with the first screening, we observed a significant reduction at the second screening in terms of HPV positivity (RR 0.55, 95% CI 0.51-0.60), referral rate to colposcopy (RR 0.47, 95% CI 0.41-0.53), CIN2+ detection rate (RR 0.24, 95% CI 0.13-0.39), and positive predictive value (PPV) for CIN2+ at colposcopy (RR 0.51, 95% CI 0.29-0.87). CONCLUSIONS: The very low frequency of disease and inadequate PPV at colposcopy indicate that a 3-year interval after a negative HPV test is too short. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: Three years after a negative HPV the frequency of cervical disease is so low that re-screening is inefficient.
Assuntos
Detecção Precoce de Câncer/estatística & dados numéricos , Programas de Rastreamento/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecções por Papillomavirus/diagnóstico , Fatores de Tempo , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/diagnóstico , Adulto , Colo do Útero/virologia , Estudos de Coortes , Colposcopia/estatística & dados numéricos , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , Feminino , Humanos , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Papillomaviridae , Infecções por Papillomavirus/complicações , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Encaminhamento e Consulta/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/virologia , Esfregaço Vaginal/estatística & dados numéricosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To present the results of the first 2 years of a human papillomavirus (HPV) test-based screening programme outside the research context. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study. SETTING: A cervical service screening programme in Italy. POPULATION: Women aged 25-64 years invited to screening from April 2009 to April 2011. METHODS: Eligible women were invited to undergo an HPV test: those with a negative HPV test went on to the next screening episode; those with a positive HPV went on to triage with a Pap smear. Women with positive cytology (i.e. positive for atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance or worse, ASC-US+) were referred to colposcopy, whereas those with negative cytology were referred to repeat HPV testing 1 year later. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Participation rate, positivity at HPV and at triage, referral rate to colposcopy, positive predictive value for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2+ (CIN2+) at colposcopy, and detection rate for CIN2+. RESULTS: Participation increased compared with the previous Pap programme (60.6 versus 43.9%). The HPV positivity rate was 7.0; 39.6% of Pap smears were scored as positive, and therefore 2.8% of the women screened were referred for immediate colposcopy. The compliance of women who scored positive for HPV and negative for Pap for repeat HPV testing at 12 months was 78.6%, and the HPV positivity rate was 56.6%. The overall referral rate to colposcopy was 4.6%. The overall detection rate for CIN2+ was 4.5 versus 1.5% of the Pap programme (25-34 years, 8.2%; 35+ years, 3.6%). CONCLUSIONS: Compared with the traditional Pap test, the HPV programme recorded a higher response to invitation and an increased DR for CIN2+. The most critical aspects were the reading of cytology in women that were positive for HPV and the increased workload at colposcopy.