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BACKGROUND: Transarterial radioembolization (TARE) is an effective treatment to control tumor growth and improve survival in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The role of TARE in downstaging patients to liver transplantation (LT) is unclear. The aim of this study was to investigate the downstaging efficacy of TARE for intermediate and advanced HCC. METHODS: Intention-to-treat analysis with multistate modeling was performed. Patients moved through 5 health states: (1) from TARE to listing, (2) from TARE to death without listing, (3) from listing to LT, (4) from listing to death without LT, and (5) from transplant to death. Factors affecting the chance of death after TARE were considered to stratify outcomes. RESULTS: Two hundred fourteen patients underwent TARE. Of those, 43.9% had radiological response, 29.9% were listed, and 22.8% were transplanted. The probability of being alive without LT was 40.5% 1 y after TARE and 11.5% at 5 y. The chance of being listed was 9.4% at 1 y and 0.9% at 5 y. The probability of dying after TARE without LT was 38% at 1 y and 73% at 5 y. The overall survival of patients receiving LT was 61% at 5 y after transplant. Tumor beyond up-to-seven criteria, alfafetoprotein >400 ng/mL, and albumin-bilirubin ≥2 were associated with death. Three risk groups were associated with different response, chances of being listed, and receiving LT. Median survival was 3 y for low-risk, 1.9 y for intermediate-risk, and 9 mo for high-risk patients (Pâ <â 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In intermediate and advanced HCC, TARE allows for a 44% chance of response, 30% downstaging, and 23% probability of permitting LT. Patient's and tumor's characteristics allow for risk stratification and predict survival from TARE.
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BACKGROUND: Prematurity is the strongest predictor of bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD). Most previous studies investigated additional risk factors by conventional statistics, while the few studies applying artificial intelligence, and specifically machine learning (ML), for this purpose were mainly targeted to the predictive ability of specific interventions. This study aimed to apply ML to identify, among routinely collected data, variables predictive of BPD, and to compare these variables with those identified through conventional statistics. METHODS: Very preterm infants were recruited; antenatal, perinatal, and postnatal clinical data were collected. A BPD prediction model was built using conventional statistics, and nine supervised ML algorithms were applied for the same purpose: the results of the best-performing model were described and compared with those of conventional statistics. RESULTS: Both conventional statistics and ML identified the degree of immaturity (low gestational age and/or birth weight), need for mechanical ventilation, and absent or reversed end diastolic flow (AREDF) in the umbilical arteries as risk factors for BPD. Each of the two approaches also identified additional potentially predictive clinical variables. CONCLUSION: ML algorithms might be useful to integrate conventional statistics in identifying novel risk factors, in addition to prematurity, for the development of BPD in very preterm infants. Specifically, the identification of AREDF status as an independent risk factor for BPD by both conventional statistics and ML highlights the opportunity to include detailed antenatal information in clinical predictive models for neonatal diseases.
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Patients with nonresectable breast cancer liver metastasis (BCLM) face a dismal prognosis. Despite liver transplantation (LT) for metastatic liver tumors having recently shown good results, BCLM represents an absolute contraindication. This study aimed to investigate the potential for long-term survival after LT for BCLMs in a patient experiencing end-stage liver disease, following multiple oncologic treatments. In July 2019, we performed a deceased donor LT on a 41-year-old female with BCLM controlled with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 targeted therapy, who developed liver failure following multiple locoregional liver-directed treatments. The primary tumor was treated with surgical resection and adjuvant chemoradiation in 2000. The procedure was performed under a protocol approved by the local ethical committee, and by the Italian National Transplant Center. A 12-month treatment with trastuzumab was performed immediately after LT. Immunosuppression following transplantation was undertaken without steroids, and with everolimus. The patient completed 12 months of follow-up without recurrence. Trastuzumab was then withdrawn. Fifteen months after LT, a liver recurrence occurred that was treated with chemotherapy. In October 2021, she developed 2 brain lesions that were treated with stereotactic radiation. The patient is still alive, with a positron emission tomography/computed tomography performed in January 2024 showing no disease. LT for this patient with BCLM of extreme selectivity showed a good clinical outcome. Perioperative systemic treatment and tumor control are necessary. A specific protocol should be discussed within a multidisciplinary team, and with local and national authorities. Even if tumor recurrence occurs, multimodal therapy can control the disease.
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Hereditary breast/ovarian cancer (HBOC) syndrome is caused by the inheritance of monoallelic germline BRCA1/2 gene mutations. If BRCA1/2 mutation carriers are identified before the disease develops, effective actions against HBOC can be taken, including intensive screening, risk-reducing mastectomy and salpingo-oophorectomy, and risk-reducing medications. The Italian National Prevention Plan mandates the creation of regional BRCA genetic testing programmes. So far, however, only informal data have been reported on their implementation. We have designed a study aimed at evaluating the results of a population-based programme for risk assessment and genetic counselling and testing for BRCA1/2-related HBOC that is underway in the Emilia-Romagna region (northern Italy). The programme-which is entirely free-includes basic screening with an estimate of the likelihood of carrying a BRCA1/2 mutation using a familial risk assessment tool, a closer examination of women with suspected risk increase, an assessment of the need for further genetic counselling and, if needed, genetic testing and risk-reducing interventions. In this paper, the design of the programme and the protocol of the study are presented. The study has an observational, historical cohort design. Eligible are the women found to be at an increased risk of HBOC (profile 3 women). The main objectives are (i) to determine the precision of the programme in measuring the level of risk of HBOC for profile 3 women; (ii) to determine the characteristics of profile 3 women and their association with the risk management strategy chosen; (iii) to compare the age at onset, histologic type, tumour stage, molecular subtype, and prognosis of breast/ovarian cancers observed in the cohort of profile 3 women with the features of sporadic cancers observed in the general female population; (iv) to determine the level and the determinants of adherence to recommendations; and (v) to determine the appropriateness and timing of risk-reducing surgery and medications. Investigating the quality and results of the programme is necessary because the best practices in risk assessment and genetic counselling and testing for BRCA1/2-related cancer and the challenges they encounter should be identified and shared. The study has the potential to provide sound empirical evidence for the factors affecting the effectiveness of this type of service.
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BACKGROUND: In Italy, the incidence of cutaneous malignant melanoma is two-fold higher in the north than in the south. This gradient might be associated with differences in incidence trends and disease surveillance. We compared the time trends in incidence rates, mortality rates, dermatologic office visit rates and skin biopsy rates between the Emilia-Romagna Region (northern Italy) and the Sicily Region (southern Italy). METHODS: The cancer registries of Parma, Modena, Ferrara and Romagna (current population, 2,606,465) and Catania-Messina-Enna, Siracusa and Ragusa (2,775,019) provided incidence and mortality records for the years 2008-2017. The records of outpatient services delivered in public health facilities were obtained from the two Regional Administrations. Trends in rates were assessed with the estimated average annual percent change. North-south differences were expressed as age-standardised rate ratios. RESULTS: In the context of a generalised increasing incidence trend, which was more moderate in the female population of the Sicily Region, the standardised rate ratios were: 5.31 (males) and 5.20 (females) for in situ cutaneous malignant melanoma; 2.10 and 2.07 for invasive cutaneous malignant melanoma, with an excess incidence concentrated in lesions ⩽1.00 mm thick (3.58 and 3.05); 3.00 and 2.44 for dermatologic office visits; and 5.25 and 5.02 for skin biopsies. Mortality was stable in both Regions. CONCLUSIONS: In the Emilia-Romagna Region, as compared with the Sicily Region, a higher incidence of cutaneous malignant melanoma -especially of in situ and early invasive cutaneous malignant melanoma- coexisted with a higher level of clinical surveillance. The question of the direction of the cause-effect relationship between increased incidence and increased diagnostic scrutiny remains open.
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Melanoma Maligno Cutâneo , Melanoma , Neoplasias Cutâneas , Humanos , Melanoma/epidemiologia , Melanoma/patologia , Incidência , Feminino , Itália/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Cutâneas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Cutâneas/patologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Adulto , Sistema de Registros , Idoso de 80 Anos ou maisRESUMO
This study aims to estimate long-term survival, cancer prevalence, and several cure indicators for Italian women with gynecological cancers. Thirty-one cancer registries, representing 47% of the Italian female population, were included. Mixture cure models were used to estimate net survival, cure fraction, time to cure (when 5-year conditional net survival becomes > 95%), cure prevalence (women who will not die of cancer), and already cured (living longer than time to cure). In 2018, 0.4% (121 704) of Italian women were alive after diagnosis of corpus uteri cancer, 0.2% (52 551) after cervical cancer, and 0.2% (52 153) after ovarian cancer. More than 90% of patients with uterine cancers and 83% with ovarian cancer will not die from their neoplasm (cure prevalence). Women with gynecological cancers have a residual excess risk of death <5% at 5 years after diagnosis. The cure fraction was 69% for corpus uteri, 32% for ovarian, and 58% for cervical cancer patients. Time to cure was ≤10 years for women with gynecological cancers aged <55 years; 74% of patients with cervical cancer, 63% with corpus uteri cancer, and 55% with ovarian cancer were already cured. These results can contribute to improving follow-up programs for women with gynecological cancers and supporting efforts against discrimination of already cured ones. This article is part of a Special Collection on Gynecological Cancers.
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Neoplasias Ovarianas , Sistema de Registros , Neoplasias Uterinas , Humanos , Feminino , Neoplasias Ovarianas/mortalidade , Neoplasias Ovarianas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Ovarianas/terapia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias Uterinas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Uterinas/mortalidade , Neoplasias Uterinas/terapia , Itália/epidemiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Sobreviventes de Câncer/estatística & dados numéricos , Prevalência , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/terapia , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/mortalidade , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Recent studies supported the association between occupational exposure to asbestos and risk of cholangiocarcinoma (CC). Aim of the present study is to investigate this association using an update of mortality data from the Italian pooled asbestos cohort study and to test record linkage to Cancer Registries to distinguish between hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and intrahepatic/extrahepatic forms of CC. METHODS: The update of a large cohort study pooling 52 Italian industrial cohorts of workers formerly exposed to asbestos was carried out. Causes of death were coded according to ICD. Linkage was carried out for those subjects who died for liver or bile duct cancer with data on histological subtype provided by Cancer Registries. RESULTS: 47 cohorts took part in the study (57,227 subjects). We identified 639 causes of death for liver and bile duct cancer in the 44 cohorts covered by Cancer Registry. Of these 639, 240 cases were linked to Cancer Registry, namely 14 CC, 83 HCC, 117 cases with unspecified histology, 25 other carcinomas, and one case of cirrhosis (likely precancerous condition). Of the 14 CC, 12 occurred in 2010-2019, two in 2000-2009, and none before 2000. CONCLUSION: Further studies are needed to explore the association between occupational exposure to asbestos and CC. Record linkage was hampered due to incomplete coverage of the study areas and periods by Cancer Registries. The identification of CC among unspecific histology cases is fundamental to establish more effective and targeted liver cancer screening strategies.
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Amianto , Neoplasias dos Ductos Biliares , Colangiocarcinoma , Doenças Profissionais , Exposição Ocupacional , Humanos , Colangiocarcinoma/epidemiologia , Colangiocarcinoma/etiologia , Exposição Ocupacional/efeitos adversos , Itália/epidemiologia , Neoplasias dos Ductos Biliares/epidemiologia , Neoplasias dos Ductos Biliares/etiologia , Masculino , Amianto/efeitos adversos , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Doenças Profissionais/epidemiologia , Doenças Profissionais/etiologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/etiologia , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/epidemiologia , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/etiologia , Sistema de RegistrosRESUMO
People alive many years after breast (BC) or colorectal cancer (CRC) diagnoses are increasing. This paper aimed to estimate the indicators of cancer cure and complete prevalence for Italian patients with BC and CRC by stage and age. A total of 31 Italian Cancer Registries (47% of the population) data until 2017 were included. Mixture cure models allowed estimation of net survival (NS); cure fraction (CF); time to cure (TTC, 5-year conditional NS >95%); cure prevalence (who will not die of cancer); and already cured (prevalent patients living longer than TTC). 2.6% of all Italian women (806,410) were alive in 2018 after BC and 88% will not die of BC. For those diagnosed in 2010, CF was 73%, 99% when diagnosed at stage I, 81% at stage II, and 36% at stages III-IV. For all stages combined, TTC was >10 years under 45 and over 65 years and for women with advanced stages, but ≤1 year for all BC patients at stage I. The proportion of already cured prevalent BC women was 75% (94% at stage I). Prevalent CRC cases were 422,407 (0.7% of the Italian population), 90% will not die of CRC. For CRC patients, CF was 56%, 92% at stage I, 71% at stage II, and 35% at stages III-IV. TTC was ≤10 years for all age groups and stages. Already cured were 59% of all prevalent CRC patients (93% at stage I). Cancer cure indicators by stage may contribute to appropriate follow-up in the years after diagnosis, thus avoiding patients' discrimination.
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Neoplasias da Mama , Neoplasias Colorretais , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Sistema de Registros , Humanos , Feminino , Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Colorretais/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Colorretais/patologia , Itália/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico , Neoplasias da Mama/terapia , Neoplasias da Mama/patologia , Neoplasias da Mama/mortalidade , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Prevalência , Adulto , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , MasculinoRESUMO
A recent research project using data from a total of 40 cancer registries has provided new epidemiologic insights into the results of efforts for melanoma control in Italy between the 1990s and the last decade. In this article, the authors present a summary and a commentary of their findings. Incidence increased significantly throughout the study period in both sexes. However, the rates showed a stabilization or a decrease in men and women aged below 35 years. The risk of disease increased for successive cohorts born until 1973 (women) and 1975 (men) while subsequently tending to decline. The trend towards decreasing tumor thickness and increasing survival has continued, but a novel favorable prognostic factor has emerged since 2013 for patients - particularly for males - with thick melanoma, most likely represented by molecular targeted therapies and immune checkpoint inhibitors. Due to this, the survival gap between males and females has been filled out. In the meanwhile, and despite the incidence increase, dermatologists have not lowered their threshold to perform skin biopsy. Skin biopsy rate has increased because of the increasingly greater volume of dermatologic office visits, but the proportion of skin biopsies out of dermatologic office visits has remained constant. In summary, an important breakthrough in melanoma control in Italy has taken place. Effective interventions have been implemented across the full scope of care, which involve many large local populations - virtually the whole national population. The strategies adopted during the last three decades represent a valuable basis for further steps ahead in melanoma control in Italy.
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Melanoma , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Melanoma/epidemiologia , Itália/epidemiologia , Biópsia , Inibidores de Checkpoint Imunológico , Terapia de Alvo MolecularRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) is the most frequent complication of pancreatic surgery and can be fatal. Selection and stratification of patients according to the risk of POPF are important for the perioperative management. Predictive metrics have been developed and validated in pancreatojejunostomy. Aim of this study is to assess whether the most used prognostic scores can be predictive of fistula following Wirsung-pancreaticogastrostomy (WPG) for pancreatoduodenectomy (PD)reconstruction. METHOD: This single-center prospective observational study included 212 PDs between January 2008 and October 2022 with a standardized WPG. All component variables of the six scores were separately validated in our cohort. The overall predictive ability of the six fistula scores was measured and compared with the receiver operating characteristics curves (ROC) method and expressed by the area under the ROC-curve (AUC). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed considering all risk factors in the scores in order to identify variables independently correlated with POPF in the WPG. RESULTS: CR-POPF occurred in 36 of 212 (17 %) patients. All scores showed poor prognostic stratification for the development of CR-POPF. The occurrence of CR-POPF was associated with nine factors: male gender (p = 0.003); BMI (kg/m2) (p = 0.005); ASA (%) (p = 0.003); Soft pancreatic texture (%) (p = 0.003), Pathology (p = 0.008); MPD (p = 0.011); EBL (mL) (p = 0.021); Preop. Bilirubin (mg/dl) (p = 0.038); Preop. Glucose (mg/dl) (p = 0.0369). Male gender (OR: 5.54, CI 1.41-21.3) and soft consistency of the remnant pancreas (OR: 3.83, CI 1.14-12.8) were the only independent prognostic factors on multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Our study including exclusively pancreatogastrostomies failed to validate the most used predictive scores for POPF. We found that only male gender and soft pancreatic texture are associated with POPF. Specific predictive scores following pancreatogasgtrostomy are needed.
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Pâncreas , Pancreaticoduodenectomia , Humanos , Masculino , Pâncreas/cirurgia , Pâncreas/patologia , Fístula Pancreática/epidemiologia , Fístula Pancreática/etiologia , Fístula Pancreática/cirurgia , Pancreaticoduodenectomia/efeitos adversos , Pancreaticojejunostomia/efeitos adversos , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Fatores de Risco , Estudos ProspectivosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Socioeconomic status (SES) impacts on the incidence of many inflammatory diseases and cancers, but there is no evidence on its implication in vulvar lichen sclerosus (VLS). The authors aimed to assess possible associations between SES and both occurrence of VLS and cancer occurrence among VLS patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort of women resident in the province of Ferrara, Italy, affected with VLS diagnosed between 2001 and 2020, was investigated for assessing any association of SES with VLS and cancer incidence. The SES was expressed through an ecological-based deprivation index identifying 5 subgroups. RESULT: Four-hundred women were diagnosed with VLS during the study period, with double the number of cases in the second decade (2011-2020) compared with the first (2001-2010). More VLS patients belonged to the high rather than the low SES groups (p = .032). From VLS diagnosis to 2018 (1,958.4 total person*years at risk), 22 patients received their first diagnosis of cancer, mainly the skin, breast, and vulva. No significant differences in cancer incidence were found between high/medium-high and low/medium-low SES subjects. CONCLUSIONS: The fact that more VLS patients belonged to the highest socioeconomic classes may be due to a more frequent diagnosis in those with greater health seeking behavior and resources. An involvement of SES-related factors in VLS pathophysiological background can also be taken into consideration. Both the lack of marked social and economic differences in the study area and the availability of free visits and screening may account for the lack of association between SES and cancer development.
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Neoplasias , Líquen Escleroso Vulvar , Humanos , Feminino , Líquen Escleroso Vulvar/complicações , Líquen Escleroso Vulvar/epidemiologia , Incidência , Estudos Retrospectivos , Classe SocialAssuntos
Dermatite , Neoplasias , Psoríase , Humanos , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Psoríase/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Surgery and postoperative systemic chemotherapy represent the standard treatment for patients with perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (PHC). Minimally Invasive Surgery (MIS) for hepatobiliary procedures has spread worldwide in the last two decades. Since resections for PHC are technically demanding, the role of MIS in this field is yet to be established. This study aimed to systematically review the existing literature on MIS for PHC, to evaluate its safety and its surgical and oncological outcomes. A systematic literature review on PubMed and SCOPUS was performed according to the PRISMA guidelines. Overall, a total of 18 studies reporting 372 MIS procedures for PHC were included in our analysis. A progressive increase in the available literature was observed over the years. A total of 310 laparoscopic and 62 robotic resections were performed. A pooled analysis showed an operative time ranging from 205.3 ± 23.9 and 840 (770-890) minutes, and intraoperative bleeding between 101.1 ± 13.6 and 1360 ± 809 mL. Minor and major morbidity rates were 43.9% and 12.7%, respectively, with a 5.6% mortality rate. R0 resections were achieved in 80.6% of patients and the number of retrieved lymph nodes ranged between 4 (3-12) and 12 (8-16). This systematic review shows that MIS for PHC is feasible, with safe postoperative and oncological outcomes. Recent data has shown encouraging results and more reports are being published. Future studies should address differences between robotic and laparoscopic approaches. Given the management and technical challenges, MIS for PHC should be performed by experienced surgeons, in high-volume centers, on selected patients.
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Vulvar lichen sclerosus is a chronic inflammatory disease involving vulvar skin. The risk of developing invasive vulvar cancer for women with LS is reported in the literature, but the risk of extra-vulvar tumors has been under-investigated. This multicentric study aims to estimate the risk of developing cancers in a cohort of women with a diagnosis of vulvar lichen sclerosus. METHODS: A cohort of women diagnosed with and treated for vulvar lichen sclerosus in three Italian gynecological and dermatological clinics (Turin, Florence, and Ferrara) was retrospectively reviewed. Patient data were linked to cancer registries of the respective regions. The risk of subsequent cancer was estimated by dividing the number of observed and expected cases by the standardized incidence ratio. RESULTS: Among 3414 women with a diagnosis of vulvar lichen sclerosus corresponding to 38,210 person-years of follow-up (mean 11.2 years) we identified 229 cancers (excluding skin cancers and tumors present at the time of diagnosis). We found an increased risk of vulvar cancer (standardized incidence ratio = 17.4; 95 % CL 13.4-22.7), vaginal cancer (standardized incidence ratio = 2.7; 95 % CL 0.32-9.771), and oropharyngeal cancer (standardized incidence ratio = 2.5; 95 % CL 1.1-5.0), and a reduced risk of other gynecological tumors (cervical, endometrial, ovarian) and breast cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with vulvar lichen sclerosus should undergo annual gynecological check-up with careful evaluation of the vulva and vagina. The increased risk of oropharyngeal cancer also suggests the need to investigate oropharyngeal cavity symptoms and lesions in patients with vulvar lichen sclerosus.
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Carcinoma de Células Escamosas , Líquen Escleroso e Atrófico , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas , Líquen Escleroso Vulvar , Neoplasias Vulvares , Humanos , Feminino , Líquen Escleroso Vulvar/complicações , Líquen Escleroso Vulvar/epidemiologia , Líquen Escleroso Vulvar/patologia , Líquen Escleroso e Atrófico/complicações , Líquen Escleroso e Atrófico/epidemiologia , Líquen Escleroso e Atrófico/patologia , Neoplasias Vulvares/complicações , Neoplasias Vulvares/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/complicações , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/epidemiologia , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/patologia , Vulva/patologia , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/complicações , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/patologiaRESUMO
Objectives: To describe the procedures to derive complete prevalence and several indicators of cancer cure from population-based cancer registries. Materials and methods: Cancer registry data (47% of the Italian population) were used to calculate limited duration prevalence for 62 cancer types by sex and registry. The incidence and survival models, needed to calculate the completeness index (R) and complete prevalence, were evaluated by likelihood ratio tests and by visual comparison. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to explore the effect on the complete prevalence of using different R indexes. Mixture cure models were used to estimate net survival (NS); life expectancy of fatal (LEF) cases; cure fraction (CF); time to cure (TTC); cure prevalence, prevalent patients who were not at risk of dying as a result of cancer; and already cured patients, those living longer than TTC at a specific point in time. CF was also compared with long-term NS since, for patients diagnosed after a certain age, CF (representing asymptotical values of NS) is reached far beyond the patient's life expectancy. Results: For the most frequent cancer types, the Weibull survival model stratified by sex and age showed a very good fit with observed survival. For men diagnosed with any cancer type at age 65-74 years, CF was 41%, while the NS was 49% until age 100 and 50% until age 90. In women, similar differences emerged for patients with any cancer type or with breast cancer. Among patients alive in 2018 with colorectal cancer at age 55-64 years, 48% were already cured (had reached their specific TTC), while the cure prevalence (lifelong probability to be cured from cancer) was 89%. Cure prevalence became 97.5% (2.5% will die because of their neoplasm) for patients alive >5 years after diagnosis. Conclusions: This study represents an addition to the current knowledge on the topic providing a detailed description of available indicators of prevalence and cancer cure, highlighting the links among them, and illustrating their interpretation. Indicators may be relevant for patients and clinical practice; they are unambiguously defined, measurable, and reproducible in different countries where population-based cancer registries are active.
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(1) Objective: In many Western countries, survival from vulvar squamous cell carcinoma (VSCC) has been stagnating for decades or has increased insufficiently from a clinical perspective. In Italy, previous studies on cancer survival have not taken vulvar cancer into consideration or have pooled patients with vulvar and vaginal cancer. To bridge this knowledge gap, we report the trend in survival from vulvar cancer between 1990 and 2015. (2) Methods: Thirty-eight local cancer registries covering 49% of the national female population contributed the records of 6274 patients. Study endpoints included 1- and 2-year net survival (NS) calculated using the Pohar-Perme estimator and 5-year NS conditional on having survived two years (5|2-year CNS). The significance of survival trends was assessed with the Wald test on the coefficient of the period of diagnosis, entered as a continuous regressor in a Poisson regression model. (3) Results: The median patient age was stable at 76 years. One-year NS decreased from 83.9% in 1990-2001 to 81.9% in 2009-2015 and 2-year NS from 72.2% to 70.5%. Five|2-year CNS increased from 85.7% to 86.7%. These trends were not significant. In the age stratum 70-79 years, a weakly significant decrease in 2-year NS from 71.4% to 65.7% occurred. Multivariate analysis adjusting for age group at diagnosis and geographic area showed an excess risk of death at 5|2-years, of borderline significance, in 2003-2015 versus 1990-2002. (4) Conclusions: One- and 2-year NS and 5|2-year CNS showed no improvements. Current strategies for VSCC control need to be revised both in Italy and at the global level.
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Laparoscopic liver resections (LLRs) have been increasingly adopted for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), with safe short- and long-term outcomes reported worldwide. Despite this, lesions in the posterosuperior segments, large and recurrent tumors, portal hypertension, and advanced cirrhosis currently represent challenging scenarios in which the safety and efficacy of the laparoscopic approach are still controversial. In this systematic review, we pooled the available evidence on the short-term outcomes of LLRs for HCC in challenging clinical scenarios. All randomized and non-randomized studies reporting LLRs for HCC in the above-mentioned settings were included. The literature search was run in the Scopus, WoS, and Pubmed databases. Case reports, reviews, meta-analyses, studies including fewer than 10 patients, non-English language studies, and studies analyzing histology other than HCC were excluded. From 566 articles, 36 studies dated between 2006 and 2022 fulfilled the selection criteria and were included in the analysis. A total of 1859 patients were included, of whom 156 had advanced cirrhosis, 194 had portal hypertension, 436 had large HCCs, 477 had lesions located in the posterosuperior segments, and 596 had recurrent HCCs. Overall, the conversion rate ranged between 4.6% and 15.5%. Mortality and morbidity ranged between 0.0% and 5.1%, and 18.6% and 34.6%, respectively. Full results according to subgroups are described in the study. Advanced cirrhosis and portal hypertension, large and recurrent tumors, and lesions located in the posterosuperior segments are challenging clinical scenarios that should be carefully approached by laparoscopy. Safe short-term outcomes can be achieved provided experienced surgeons and high-volume centers.
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BACKGROUND: The global increase in incidence of cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM) occurring in the past decades has been partly attributed to increased diagnostic scrutiny of early lesions, with a potential phenomenon of overdiagnosis. The reported positive linear relation between skin biopsy rate and incidence of early CMM is compatible with this hypothesis. OBJECTIVES: We explored the ecological association between the trends in annual dermatologic office visit rates, skin biopsy rates, incidence rates of in situ and invasive CMM by tumour thickness category, and CMM mortality rates in the Emilia-Romagna Region (northern Italy). METHODS: Four cancer registries covering a population of 2,696,000 provided CMM incidence data for the years 2003-2017. Dermatologic office visit rates and skin biopsy rates were calculated using the Regional outpatient care database. All rates were age-standardized. Trends were described with the estimated average annual per cent change (EAAPC). Correlations were tested with the Spearman correlation coefficient. RESULTS: Incidence increased significantly. The increase was steeper for in situ CMM (EAAPC: men, 10.2; women, 6.9) followed by CMM <0.8 mm thick (9.1; 5.2), but the rates grew significantly for most subgroups of CMMs ≥0.8 mm thick. Mortality decreased significantly among women (-2.3) and non-significantly among men. For dermatologic office visit rate and skin biopsy rate the EAAPC were, respectively, 1.7 and 1.8 for men and 1.2 and 0.9 for women. Annual dermatologic office visit rate correlated with skin biopsy rate in both sexes. However, the proportion of skin biopsies out of dermatologic office visits was constant across the years (range: men, 0.182-0.216; women, 0.157-0.191). CONCLUSIONS: In Italy, the increasing CMM incidence trend is, at least in part, genuine. Overdiagnosis-if any-is due to an increased patient presentation at dermatologic offices and not to a lower dermatologic threshold to perform biopsy.
Assuntos
Melanoma , Neoplasias Cutâneas , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Incidência , Neoplasias Cutâneas/patologia , Melanoma/diagnóstico , Melanoma/epidemiologia , Itália/epidemiologia , Melanoma Maligno CutâneoRESUMO
(1) Background: Liver cancer in Italy is characterised by one of the highest incidence rates worldwide outside of Asia coupled with comparatively favourable survival figures. The objective of this study was to evaluate the most recent epidemiologic trends of the disease. (2) Methods: Thirteen cancer registries covering a population of about 12,740,000 (21% of the national population) made available the records of 35,574 cases registered between 2003 and 2017. Trends in age-standardised (Europe 2013) incidence rates were analysed using the results of age-drift models. Trends in survival were analysed using 1-year, 2-year, 5-year and 10-year net survival (NS) and 5|1-year and 5|2-year conditional NS. (3) Results: Over the study period, the average annual incidence rates per 100,000 persons were 29.4 (men) and 9.4 (women) for total liver cancer; 14.6 and 3.5 for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); 1.8 and 1.1 for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC); and 13.0 and 4.8 for the 'other liver cancer types' group. The incidence of total liver cancer and HCC decreased significantly for both sexes. For total liver cancer, the estimated average annual percent change was -1.6% among men and -2.1% among women. For HCC, the change was -1.3% among men and -2.7% among women. ICC followed an opposite trend. For men, the risk of HCC had two peaks, one in the birth cohorts of 1928 and 1933 and another, more moderate peak in the cohort of 1958. Men and women exhibited comparable improvements in both early and mid-term conditional NS from HCC. In 2013-2017, 5-year NS was 28.9% (95% CI: 27.3%; 30.6%) for men and 30.1% (95% CI: 26.9%; 33.5%) for women. The uptrend in survival from ICC was less pronounced and was weakly significant, with a 5-year NS in 2013-2017 of 13.9% (95% CI: 10.8%; 17.3%) for men and 17.4% (95% CI: 13.5%; 21.7%) for women. (4) Conclusions: The opposite incidence trends of HCC and ICC confirm a pattern observed in other populations. The generalised, albeit slow, improvement in survival from HCC indicates a trend towards earlier detection coupled with improvements in treatments.
RESUMO
OBJECTIVES: to update the Italian estimates of survival for patients with a paediatric cancer, tobacco smoke-associated cancers, and cancers targeted by screening; to assess geographical differences. DESIGN: population-based descriptive study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: incident cancer cases diagnosed in 2010-2014, with follow-up to 2018, from 17 Italian cancer registries (covering 31% of the national population; 43% of the population residing in the North-Centre of the country and 8% of the population living in the South and Islands). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: age-standardized 5-year net survival (NS) by cancer site or type, sex, age, and geographical area. RESULTS: NS of patients aged ≥15 years with breast, prostate, colorectal, and lung cancers was higher in the North-Centre than in the South and Islands. The overall survival of people diagnosed with cancer in childhood (0-14 years) was 84.3%, with similar values among the geographical macro-areas and between males and females. Women with breast cancer within the current target age of the screening programmes and those in the younger age groups (45-49 years) show similar survival values; the same is true for women with colorectal cancer. In both cases, survival decreased in the age groups after the age of cessation of screening programmes. Survival of patients with tobacco smoke-associated cancers varies according to cancer site (from 11.1% for patients with pancreatic cancer to 79.7% for those with bladder cancer). For most cancer sites, women have higher survival than men. CONCLUSIONS: for adults, a geographical survival gap persists. The results may contribute to the debate on extending the target age for screening programmes and to support initiatives to encourage tobacco smoking cessation even after cancer diagnosis. For patients who receive a cancer diagnosis in childhood, survival similar to highest values internationally.