Nutrition Status and Renal Function as Predictors in Acute Myocardial Infarction with and without Cancer: A Single Center Retrospective Study.

Background: Clinical characteristics of nutrition status in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients with cancer remains unknown. Therefore, this study aimed to clarify the differences of clinical parameters, including nutrition status, between AMI patients with and without history of cancer. Methods and Results: This retrospective cohort study, using the database of AMI between 2014 and 2019 in Kurume University Hospital, enrolled 411 patients; AMI patients without cancer (n = 358, 87.1%) and with cancer (n = 53, 12.9%). AMI patients with cancer were significantly older with lower body weight, worse renal function, and worse nutrition status. Next, we divided the patients into 4 groups by cancer, age, and plaque area, detected by coronary image devices. The prediction model indicated that nutrition, lipid, and renal functions were significant predictors of AMI with cancer. The ordinal logistic regression model revealed that worse nutrition status, renal dysfunction, lower uric acid, and elevated blood pressure were significant predictors. Finally, we were able to calculate the probability of the presence of cancer, by combining each factor and scoring. Conclusions: Worse nutrition status and renal dysfunction were associated with AMI with cancer, in which nutrition status was a major different characteristic from those without cancer.

Differential impacts of 24 hour urinary sodium excretion on cardiovascular diseases or cancer mortality in a general population.

BACKGROUND: Elevated blood pressure is a major risk factor for cardiovascular (CV) disease. But the effects of sodium intake or excretion on CV mortality are uncertain. The present study aimed to investigate the association between 24 h urinary sodium excretion, as a marker of dietary salt intake, and CV or cancer mortality in a healthy Japanese population using 24 hurine collection. METHODS: The baseline study was conducted in 1980. A total of 1291 participants aged 21 to 85 years, underwent health check-ups, which included blood chemistry measurements and the collection of 24 h urine samples. Enrolled 1291 participants were followed up for 27.5 years, in whom the final follow-up rate was 95.8%. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess the association between 24 h urinary sodium excretion and CV or cancer mortality. RESULTS: The mean 24 h urinary sodium excretion was 5.80 ± 2.28 g/day. There were 631 deaths: 153 (27%) from cancer, 142 (26%) from CV disease. In the Cox proportional hazard regression model after adjustment for confounding factors, systolic and diastolic blood pressures, and uric acid were positively associated with CV mortality, and the 24 h urinary sodium and potassium excretions were inversely associated with CV mortality (p < 0.05). On the other hand, there were no association between 24 h urinary sodium excretions and cancer mortality. We divided the urinary sodium excretions levels into quartiles. After adjustment for confounding factors, the hazard ratio of CV mortality in the highest quartile of 24 h urinary sodium excretion versus the lowest was 0.46 (p < 0.05). The cumulative survival rate for CV death was significantly decreased in the lowest quartile compared with the other higher groups. CONCLUSIONS: We found that impacts of 24 h sodium excretion on CV and cancer mortalities were much different in the general population.

Association between growth hormone and hypertension in a general population.

Insulin-like growth factors are polypeptides, with arrays similar to insulin, and insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1) is secreted via stimulation by growth hormone (GH) in the liver. The lack of both GH and IGF-1 leads to physiological age-related changes in the cardiovascular system; however, the role of IGF-1 and GH in hypertension has not been fully elucidated. Thus, we examined the association between plasma IGF-1 and GH levels and hypertension. Among 1368 health check-up examination participants in the town of Tanushimaru, 1094 subjects were analyzed after excluding subjects with diabetes mellitus or impaired liver function. Multiple linear and logistic regression analyses were performed for factors related to systolic and diastolic blood pressures (BPs). Characteristics of participants stratified by IGF-1 and GH quartiles were compared using analysis of covariance. We calculated odds ratios associated with each standard deviation increase in IGF-1 and GH levels for hypertension, which was defined as BP ≥ 140/90 mmHg and/or the use of antihypertensive medication. Multivariable analysis showed that FPG, insulin, HOMA-IR, eGFR, total cholesterol, triglycerides, and the use of medication for hypertension were associated with the Z-score of IGF-1 measurement quartiles. Next, we found that BMI, systolic and diastolic BPs, insulin, HOMA-IR, total cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol, triglycerides, smoking, and alcohol intake were associated with GH quartiles, indicating that hypertension was inversely associated with GH but not IGF-1. A significant and inverse relationship between serum GH and hypertension was found after adjustment for confounders. In conclusion, decreased GH but not IGF-1, was associated with hypertension in a general population.

Trends in nutritional intake and coronary risk factors over 60 years among Japanese men in Tanushimaru.

We investigated the relationship between time trends in nutrient intake and coronary risk factors/mortality rates in Tanushimaru, a Japanese cohort of the Seven Countries Study. All men between the ages of 40 and 64 were enrolled. Subjects numbered 628 in 1958, 539 in 1977, 602 in 1982, 752 in 1989, 402 in 1999, 329 in 2009, and 160 in 2018. Eating patterns were evaluated by 24-h dietary recall from 1958 through 1989, and by a food frequency questionnaire administered from 1999 through 2018. The total daily energy intake decreased from 2,837 kcal in 1958 to 2,096 kcal in 2018. Carbohydrate intake as a percentage of the total decreased remarkably from 84% (1958) to 53% (2018), whereas there was a large increase in fat intake (from 5 to 24%) during the same period. Age-adjusted mean cholesterol levels rose sharply (from 167.9 to 209.4 mg/dl) and body mass index levels also increased (from 21.7 to 24.4 kg/m2), but smoking rate decreased from 69% (1958) to 30% (2018). The mortality rates from stroke and cancer declined, but mortality from myocardial infarction and sudden death remained stable at low levels. The remarkable changes in dietary patterns over the last 60 years can be related to coronary risk factors, but not currently to the mortality of coronary artery disease; more follow-up is needed.

Association between physical activity, occupational sitting time and mortality in a general population: An 18-year prospective survey in Tanushimaru, Japan.

AIMS: It is well known that a decline in physical activity is associated with an increase of all-cause death including cardiovascular events and cancer. Few studies have examined the association between occupational sitting time and mortality. Therefore, we investigated this issue in a general population. METHODS: Physical activity and occupational sitting time were measured using the Baecke physical activity questionnaire in 1999. The questionnaire generated indices in three physical activity categories: work, sport and leisure-time. A total physical activity index was calculated by adding these three indices. The Baecke physical activity questionnaire was able to evaluate occupational sitting time. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using Cox's proportional hazard regression models. RESULTS: We enrolled a total of 1680 participants, who were followed up for 15.9 ± 3.8 years. The final follow-up rate was 93%. During the follow-up period, 397 subjects died. A significant inverse association (p < 0.0001) was found between physical activity and mortality after adjustment for age and sex. Compared with lower levels of physical activity, the adjusted hazard ratio for mortality at higher levels of physical activity was 0.85 (95% CI: 0.78-0.92). Longer occupational sitting time was also significantly associated with higher mortality (p < 0.01). The adjusted hazard ratio for mortality at longer occupational sitting time was 1.16 (95% CI: 1.05-1.27). These findings were observed in males, but not in females. CONCLUSIONS: Our data demonstrated that higher levels of physical activity are associated with a reduced risk of cancer and cardiovascular death. Further, longer occupational sitting time is associated with increased mortality.

Habitual coffee intake reduces all-cause mortality by decreasing heart rate.

It is well known that subjects with metabolic syndrome show an elevated resting heart rate. We previously reported that elevated heart rate was significantly related to all-cause mortality, and that coffee consumption was inversely associated with metabolic syndrome. We hypothesized that higher coffee consumption may decrease all-cause mortality by reducing resting heart rate. We performed a longitudinal epidemiological study in Tanushimaru (a cohort of the Seven Countries Study). A total of 1920 residents aged over 40 years received health checkups in 1999. We measured components of metabolic syndrome, and eating and drinking patterns were evaluated by a food frequency questionnaire. We followed up the participants annually for 15 years. During the follow-up period, 343 of the participants died. Of these, 102 subjects died of cancer, 48 of cerebro-cardiovascular diseases, and 44 of infectious diseases. Multivariate analyses revealed that higher coffee consumption was inversely associated with resting heart rate. Kaplan-Meier curves found lower mortality rates in the higher coffee consumption groups. In the lower coffee consumption groups, elevated hazard ratios of all-cause death were observed in the increased heart rate quintiles, whereas heart rate was not associated with all-cause death in the higher coffee consumption groups. These significant associations remained after further adjustment for confounders. This prospective study suggests that higher coffee consumption may have a protective effect against all-cause death due to reducing resting heart rate.

Impact of cystatin C and microalbuminuria on cognitive impairment in the population of community-dwelling Japanese.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Cognitive impairment is an important element affecting our well-being, and as such, early diagnosis is critical today. We investigated whether serum cystatin C and microalbuminuria are associated with cognitive impairment. METHODS: A total of 1943 subjects (774 males, 1169 females, mean age 65.8 years) took part in the investigation, and underwent a health examination in Tanushimaru, Japan, in 2009. The participants' cognitive function was evaluated using of mini-mental state examination (MMSE). We measured the levels of serum cystatin C using latex nephelometric immunoassay. Spot urine samples were used to measure microalbuminuria levels. Multivariate linear regression analyses were used to assess the relationship between MMSE scores and the level of cystatin C or microalbuminuria. All statistical analyses were performed using the SAS system. RESULTS: The mean values of log-transformed serum cystatin C levels and log-transformed microalbuminuria were 0.95 (range 0.41-7.11) mg/L and 10.7 (range 1.1-2600) mg/g·Cr, respectively. The means of MMSE score were 27.7 ± 2.5. In the multivariate linear regression analyses adjusted for age and sex, MMSE was significantly associated with systolic blood pressure (p = 0.024, inversely), cystatin C (p = 0.046, inversely) and microalbuminuria (p = 0.019, inversely), whereas estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) had an insignificant association (p = 0.197). In the multiple stepwise linear regression analysis, age, history of stroke, systolic blood pressure, serum cystatin C were independently associated with MMSE levels. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated for the first time that cognitive function was significantly and inversely associated with cystatin C and microalbuminuria, in the relatively younger general population.

Elevated Plasma Transforming Growth Factor ß1 Levels Predict the Development of Hypertension in Normotensives: The 14-Year Follow-Up Study.

BACKGROUND: Transforming growth factor ß1 (TGF-ß1) is a multifunctional cytokine. There is growing evidence that TGF-ß1 is involved in the pathogenesis of hypertension and the development of target organ damage in hypertensives. Although several studies have shown that TGF-ß1 induced vascular hypertrophy and remodelling in various vascular diseases, there are no longitudinal data on hypertension in the epidemiological studies. The present study tested the hypothesis whether elevated TGF-ß1 levels can predict the development of hypertension. METHODS: In 2002-2004, 528 subjects received health examinations in Uku town, southwestern Japan. We examined blood pressure (BP), body mass index, and blood test. Data on fasting plasma TGF-ß1 were obtained from 528 individuals. Of these, 149 normotensives (BP <140/90 mm Hg without antihypertensive medications) at baseline were followed-up for 14 years. RESULTS: The receiver-operating characteristic curve was used and the calculated cutoff value was 8.9 ng/ml. Of 149 normotensives at baseline, 59 subjects developed hypertension. Plasma TGF-ß1 levels were significantly associated with the development of hypertension after adjustment for confounding factors. To further examine the association between them, we performed logistic regression analysis. We divided the baseline plasma TGF-ß1 levels into 2 groups using a cutoff value. The significant high odds ratio [3.582 (95% confidence interval, 1.025-12.525)] for the development of hypertension was found in the highest group of TGF-ß1 level vs. the lowest group after adjustment for confounders. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first report demonstrating the causal relationship between them. Elevated plasma TGF-ß1 levels predicted the development of hypertension in normotensives in a population of community-dwelling Japanese.

Trends in coronary risk factors and electrocardiogram findings from 1977 to 2009 with 10-year mortality in Japanese elderly males - The Tanushimaru Study.

BACKGROUND: An understanding of the trends in regard to coronary risk factors and electrocardiogram (ECG) findings has an important role in public health. We investigated the trends in coronary risk factors and main ECG findings in 1977, 1989, 1999, and 2009 in the Japanese cohort of the Seven Countries Study, in Tanushimaru, a typical farming town on Kyushu Island. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 1397 subjects (231 in 1977, 332 in 1989, 389 in 1999, and 445 in 2009) were enrolled in this study, and all of them were males aged over 65 years. In coronary risk factors, total cholesterol levels, diastolic blood pressure, body mass index, and uric acid significantly increased during these 3 decades. The prevalence of smokers markedly decreased from 56.7% in 1977 to 16.8% in 2009. ECG changes during 3 decades were wider QRS interval, increased prevalence of major abnormality, reduced heart rate, shortened PR interval and corrected QT, and decreased prevalence of left ventricular hypertrophy. Age, smoking habits, major and minor abnormalities in ECG were associated with mortality in 1977-1987. Age, total cholesterol levels (inversely) and corrected QT were associated with mortality in 1989-1999. Age, smoking habits, heart rate, and systolic blood pressure were associated with mortality in 1999-2009. CONCLUSIONS: Predictors of mortality have changed with the times. Coronary risk factors such as smoking, increased heart rate, and elevated blood pressure have been recently associated with mortalities in elderly male Japanese general population.

Augmentation index (AI) in a dose-response relationship with smoking habits in males: The Tanushimaru study.

We investigated the relationship between augmentation index (AI) and smoking habits in community-dwelling Japanese.This cross-sectional study enrolled 1926 subjects (769 males and 1157 females) aged 40 to 95 years who underwent a health check-up in a Japanese cohort of the Seven Countries Study, in Tanushimaru, a typical farming town in Kyushu Island in 2009. The subjects' medical history, alcohol intake, smoking habit, and current medications for hypertension, dyslipidemia, and diabetes were ascertained by questionnaire. Radial arterial pressure wave analysis was used to obtain AI. We analyzed the data stratified by gender.Age-adjusted means of AI in males showed a clear dose-response relationship in 4 categories of smoking habits (P = 0.010). There was no significant relationship between AI and smoking habits in females (P = 0.127). The significant dose-response relationship (P = 0.036) in males between AI and 4 categories of smoking habits still remained even after adjustment for age, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, estimated glomerular filtration rate, glucose, hypertensive medication, and alcohol intake.The present study demonstrated that AI values were significantly associated with smoking habits in a dose-dependent manner in Japanese males.

Serum Albumin and Cerebro-cardiovascular Mortality During a 15-year Study in a Community-based Cohort in Tanushimaru, a Cohort of the Seven Countries Study.

Objective There is little long-term data on the association between the serum albumin levels and mortality in community-based populations. We aimed to determine whether the serum albumin level is an independent risk factor for all-cause and cause-specific death in a community-based cohort study in Japan. Methods In 1999, we performed a periodic epidemiological survey over a 15-year period in a population of 1,905 healthy subjects (783 males, 1,122 females) who were older than 40 years of age and who resided in Tanushimaru, a rural community, in Japan. Over the course of the study, we periodically examined the blood chemistry of the study subjects, including their serum albumin levels. Their baseline serum albumin levels were categorized into quartiles. Results The baseline albumin levels were significantly associated with age (inversely), body mass index (BMI), diastolic blood pressure, lipid profiles [high density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDL-c), low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-c) and triglycerides] and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). After adjusting for confounders, a Cox proportional hazards regression analysis demonstrated that a low serum albumin level was an independent predictor of all-cause death [hazard ratio (HR): 0.39, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.24-0.65], cancer death (HR: 0.43, 95% CI: 0.18-0.99), death from infection (HR: 0.21, 95% CI: 0.06-0.73) and cerebro-cardiovascular death (HR: 0.19, 95% CI: 0.06-0.63). The HRs for all-cause and cerebro-cardiovascular death in the highest quartile vs. the lowest quartile of albumin after adjusting for confounders were 0.59 (95%CI:0.39-0.88) and 0.15 (95%CI: 0.03-0.66), respectively. Conclusion The serum albumin level was thus found to be a predictor of all-cause and cerebro-cardiovascular death in a general population.

Plasma heat shock protein 27 is increased in renal dysfunction and habitual smoking in a Japanese general population.

BACKGROUND: Heat shock proteins (HSPs) work as "chaperones" to affect protein folding of newly synthesized or denatured proteins. HSP 27 plays an important role in coronary artery disease or renal disease as the result of oxidative stress. Although habitual smoking is well known to induce oxidative stress, there is no epidemiological evidence between plasma HSP 27 and renal dysfunction or smoking habits. METHODS: A total of 451 residents (167 men and 284 women, age 65.7 years) underwent a history and physical examination, and determination of blood chemistries, including plasma levels of HSP 27. HSP 27 levels were measured by using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay kits. RESULTS: Elevated HSP 27 levels were independently associated with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (p<0.001) and smoking habits (p<0.05). HSP 27 levels were significantly decreased stratified by groups of eGFR (p<0.001 for trend) by analysis of co-variance (ANCOVA) adjusted for age, sex, and smoking habits. HSP 27 levels were increased with more smoking of cigarettes. In particular, HSP 27 levels were increased in the heavy smokers (≥20cigarettes/day) by ANCOVA adjusted for age, sex, and eGFR compared with non-smokers and light smokers (p<0.05 for trend). CONCLUSIONS: The present study demonstrated that HSP 27 levels were strongly related to renal dysfunction and habitual smoking in a dose-response manner in a Japanese general population.

Circulating Inflammatory and Hemostatic Biomarkers are Associated with All-Cause Death and Cancer Death in a Population of Community-Dwelling Japanese: the Tanushimaru Study.

BACKGROUND: In patients with cardiovascular diseases, inflammatory and hemostatic biomarkers are significant indicators of prognosis. We investigated whether circulating inflammatory and hemostatic biomarkers were predictive markers for all-cause death and cancer death in a population of community-dwelling Japanese. METHODS: We studied 1,920 healthy Japanese adults who underwent health examinations in 1999. Those who reported a history of inflammatory diseases and malignancy on a baseline questionnaire were excluded. Inflammatory and hemostatic biomarkers were measured in the remaining 1,862 participants, who were followed up periodically for 10 years. Multivariate proportional hazards regression analysis was used to estimate all-cause and cancer mortality. RESULTS: A total of 258 participants died during follow-up: 87 from cancer, 38 from cerebro-cardiovascular diseases, and 133 from other diseases. Mean C-reactive protein (CRP) levels at baseline were significantly higher in decedents than in survivors. Mean von Willebrand factor (vWF) levels at baseline were significantly higher in decedents than in survivors. The Cox proportional hazards model after adjustments for age and sex showed that CRP (hazard ratio [HR], 1.26; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06-1.51) and vWF (HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 1.00-1.01) were independent predictors of all-cause death. CRP (HR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.06-1.86) and vWF (HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 1.00-1.02) were also independent predictive markers for cancer death. CONCLUSIONS: Serum CRP and vWF were predictors of all-cause death and cancer death in the population of community dwelling Japanese.

New computer model for prediction of individual 10-year mortality on the basis of conventional atherosclerotic risk factors.

BACKGROUND: Large cohort studies have revealed that subjects with atherosclerotic risk factors have high mortality. However, there has been no method to predict individual mortality based on these risk factors. Accordingly, we developed a computer model predicting the 10-year mortality of an individual with atherosclerotic risk factors. METHODS: We enrolled two different cohorts in Japan. One was from Tanushimaru-town and the other was from Uku-town. Residents over the age of 40 underwent baseline examinations and were followed-up for ten years. 1851 Subjects in Tanushimaru-town were randomly divided into 1486 training samples and 365 test samples. We applied supervised statistical pattern recognition (SSPR) techniques to develop, using the training samples, a computer model to predict the 10-year mortality of an individual based on 6 conventional risk factors. The test samples were then used to evaluate the predictive accuracy. RESULTS: There were 49 deaths and 316 survivors in the test samples in Tanushimaru-town. The correctly simulated number of deaths and survival was 36 and 250, respectively. The predictive accuracy of death was 73.5% (36/49) and that of survival was 79.1% (250/316) with c-statistics of 0.827. In order to verify our model, we predicted death and survival for the other test samples (Uku-town, n = 170). The predictive accuracy of death was 72.9% (35/48) and that of survival was 76.2% (93/122) with c-statistics of 0.848. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first computer model to use SSPR methods to estimate individual 10-year mortality based on conventional risk factors with high accuracy.

Plasma endothelin-1 level is a predictor of 10-year mortality in a general population: the Tanushimaru study.

BACKGROUND: Endothelin-1 (ET-1) is a potent vasoconstrictor and an elevated plasma level is a prognostic marker in patients with cardiovascular diseases and/or malignancies. We hypothesized that an elevated plasma level might be a prognostic marker even in subjects without apparent cardiovascular disease or malignancy at baseline. METHODS AND RESULTS: We measured plasma ET-1 levels in 1,440 healthy subjects over 40 years of age (580 men, 860 women) who were periodically followed for 10 years. The follow-up rate was 96.8%. Baseline plasma ET-1 levels were categorized into quartiles. Baseline plasma ET-1 levels were significantly associated with age, blood pressure, high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, renal function, uric acid and all-cause death, but not with cardiovascular or cancer death. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that all-cause mortality was significantly higher in the highest quartile of ET-1 than in the lowest quartile. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis demonstrated that ET-1 was an independent predictor of all-cause death [hazard ratio: 1.11, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.23 per 1 pg/ml difference]. The hazard ratio of all-cause death in the highest quartile of plasma ET-1 (≥5.9 pg/ml) vs. the lowest quartile after adjusting for confounding factors was 1.54 (95% CI 1.09-2.20). CONCLUSIONS: The plasma ET-1 level may be a predictor of all-cause death in a healthy population.

Serum hepatocyte growth factor and cancer mortality in an apparently healthy Japanese population.

BACKGROUND: In patients with cancer, hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) is elevated and is a predictor of prognosis. We investigated whether serum HGF was a predictive marker for cancer death in a population of community-dwelling Japanese. METHODS: We studied 1492 apparently healthy Japanese adults who underwent health examinations in 1999. Those who reported a history of liver disease or malignancy on a baseline questionnaire were excluded, and plasma HGF was measured in the remaining 1470 participants, who were followed periodically for 10 years. Multivariate proportional hazards regression was used to estimate cancer mortality. RESULTS: A total of 169 participants died during follow-up (61 from cancer, 32 from cerebrocardiovascular disease, and 76 from other diseases). Mean HGF at baseline was significantly higher among decedents than among survivors (0.26 ± 0.11 vs 0.23 ± 0.09 ng/ml, respectively; P < 0.01). The Cox proportional hazards model showed that age, systolic blood pressure, HGF (hazard ratio, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.06-1.52; P = 0.009), albumin level, smoking status, and creatinine were independent predictors of all-cause death. Age, HGF (hazard ratio, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.04-1.65; P = 0.02), and total cholesterol were independent predictive markers for cancer death. CONCLUSIONS: Serum HGF was a predictor of cancer death in an apparently healthy population of community-dwelling Japanese.

Plasma aldosterone levels and development of insulin resistance: prospective study in a general population.

Aldosterone plays a role in hypertension, and hypertension is prevalent in patients with insulin resistance. Cross-sectional studies have reported that plasma aldosterone levels are higher in patients with insulin resistance. However, it is not known whether plasma aldosterone levels predict the development of insulin resistance. Subjects of the present study were 1235 local residents (490 men and 745 women) who participated in health screenings in Japan in 1999. Plasma aldosterone levels were measured by radioimmunoassay. We investigated the cross-sectional relationship between plasma aldosterone levels and insulin resistance (homeostasis model assessment index ≥1.73 according to the diagnostic criteria used in Japan) in 1088 nondiabetic participants. At the 10-year follow-up, 141 subjects had died, and 260 subjects refused re-examination. We performed a prospective analysis of 564 subjects to predict incident insulin resistance. We found a significant (P<0.001) cross-sectional relationship between plasma aldosterone and homeostasis model assessment index at baseline. In the prospective analysis, a significantly higher (P<0.05) relative risk (1.71 [95% CI: 1.03-2.84]) was observed in the highest tertile versus lowest tertile of plasma aldosterone for the development of insulin resistance, after adjustment for confounding factors. This 10-year prospective study demonstrated that plasma aldosterone levels predicted the development of insulin resistance in a general population.

Decreased high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level is an independent correlate of circulating tumor necrosis factor-alpha in a general population.

BACKGROUND: Recent studies implicate a pathophysiological role of tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-alpha) in atherosclerosis, thus suggesting that serum TNF-alpha levels may be one of the biomarkers for future cardiovascular events. However, which anthropometric, metabolic, and inflammatory variables could regulate circulating TNF-alpha levels in humans is not fully understood. In this study, we examined the independent determinants of serum TNF-alpha levels in a Japanese general population. HYPOTHESIS: Anthropometric, metabolic , and inflammatory variables could regulate TNF-alpha. METHODS: A total of 213 Japanese subjects underwent a complete history, physical examination, and determination of blood chemistries, including TNF-alpha levels. Univariate and multivariate analyses were applied for the determinants of TNF-alpha levels. RESULTS: The average TNF-alpha levels were 13.4 +/- 0.81 pg/ml in males and 13.9 +/- 4.5 pg/ml in females, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that TNF-alpha levels were associated with age (P = 0.007), body mass index (P = 0.034), waist circumference (<0.001), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C; inversely, P < 0.001), triglycerides (P < 0.001), creatinine (P < 0.001), uric acids (P < 0.001), insulin (P = 0.008), homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR; P = 0.015), high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP; P < 0.001), and fibrinogen (P = 0.009). By the use of multiple stepwise regression analyses, HDL-C (inversely, P < 0.001) and hs-CRP (P < 0.001) remained significant and were independently related to TNF-alpha levels (R2 = 0.153). CONCLUSIONS: The present study is the first demonstration that besides hs-CRP, a decreased HDL-C level is an independent determinant of circulating TNF-alpha in the Japanese general population. Elevation of TNF-alpha may partly explain the increased risk of cardiovascular events in patients with low HDL-C levels.

Factors associated with serum high mobility group box 1 (HMGB1) levels in a general population.

High mobility group box 1 (HMGB1), a nonhistone chromatin-associated protein, is implicated as a mediator of both infectious and non-infectious inflammatory conditions. Clinical research on this protein in humans just has begun; serum HMGB1 was reported to be elevated in a small number of critically ill patients suffering from sepsis. However, the kinetics, distribution and factors associated with circulating HMGB1 are unknown in a general population. In this study, we examined these issues in a large population of healthy subjects. Fasting blood samples were obtained from 626 subjects (237 males and 389 females). HMGB1 levels showed a skewed distribution with a mean of 1.65 +/- 0.04 ng/ml. Multiple stepwise regression analyses found that white blood cell (WBC) counts (P = .016) and the soluble form of receptor for advanced glycation end products (sRAGE; P < .001, inversely), which is also known to be a receptor for HMGB1, were independently associated with HMGB1 levels. We demonstrated for the first time that circulating HMGB1 levels were inversely associated with sRAGE levels in a general population. Because RAGE is involved in HMGB1 signaling, our present study suggests that sRAGE may capture and eliminate circulating HMGB1 in humans.

Plasma level of asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA) as a predictor of carotid intima-media thickness progression: six-year prospective study using carotid ultrasonography.

This study was designed to determine the relationship between plasma asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA) and the development of carotid atherosclerosis. Cross-sectional studies have revealed that plasma ADMA concentration is correlated with the intima-media thickness (IMT) of the carotid artery, but no prospective studies have appeared. Therefore we prospectively investigated whether or not plasma ADMA level can predict IMT progression. In a community-based cohort, we enrolled 712 subjects who were over 40 years old and who had no apparent cardiovascular diseases according to high-resolution carotid ultrasonography. Blood chemistries including ADMA were measured at baseline. In 575 subjects, IMT was re-measured 6 years later. The value of baseline ADMA for predicting IMT changes was investigated by multivariable analysis. At baseline, there was a significant (beta=0.321; p<0.001) relationship between IMT and ADMA levels. Multiple linear regression analysis revealed that baseline ADMA (beta=0.241; p<0.01) was the only predictor of IMT progression after adjustments for age, sex, baseline IMT, and four major risk factors (hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes mellitus, and smoking) plus hyperuricacidemia. Plasma ADMA was a predictor of carotid IMT progression.