Hepatocellular carcinoma: Advances in systemic therapies.

Advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is traditionally associated with limited treatment options and a poor prognosis. Sorafenib, a multiple tyrosine kinase inhibitor, was introduced in 2007 as a first-in-class systemic agent for advanced HCC. After sorafenib, a range of targeted therapies and immunotherapies have demonstrated survival benefits in the past 5 years, revolutionizing the treatment landscape of advanced HCC. More recently, evidence of novel combinations of systemic agents with distinct mechanisms has emerged. In particular, combination trials on atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and durvalumab plus tremelimumab have shown encouraging efficacy. Hence, international societies have revamped their guidelines to incorporate new recommendations for these novel systemic agents. Aside from treatment in advanced HCC, the indications for systemic therapy are expanding. For example, the combination of systemic therapeutics with locoregional therapy (trans-arterial chemoembolization or stereotactic body radiation therapy) has demonstrated promising early results in downstaging HCC. Recent trials have also explored the role of systemic therapy as neoadjuvant treatment for borderline-resectable HCC or as adjuvant treatment to reduce recurrence risk after curative resection. Despite encouraging results from clinical trials, the real-world efficacy of systemic agents in specific patient subgroups (such as patients with advanced cirrhosis, high bleeding risk, renal impairment, or cardiometabolic diseases) remains uncertain. The effect of liver disease etiology on systemic treatment efficacy warrants further research. With an increased understanding of the pathophysiological pathways and accumulation of clinical data, personalized treatment decisions will be possible, and the field of systemic treatment for HCC will continue to evolve.

High prevalence of de novo metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease after liver transplantation and the role of controlled attenuation parameter.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Although non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) remains an uncommon indication for liver transplantation (LT) in the Chinese, the prevalence of NAFLD is increasing. We aimed to determine the prevalence of de novo steatosis and metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) after LT. METHODS: Transient elastography assessment for liver stiffness and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) were performed after LT in 549 patients at median time of 77 months from LT. CAP was compared with implant liver biopsy, and also validated in 42 patients with post-LT liver biopsy. Longitudinal history including diabetes mellitus (DM), dyslipidemia, hypertension, and immunosuppressive regimen were recorded. RESULTS: The optimal cut-off level of CAP for diagnosing at least mild (≥ S1) and moderate-to-severe steatosis (≥ S2/3) was 266 and 293 dB/m respectively, with AUROC of 0.740 and 0.954 respectively. Using this newly derived cut-off, 28.9% patients have de novo NAFLD, of which 95.6% fulfilled the criteria for MAFLD. After multivariate analysis, BMI (HR 1.34), DM (HR 2.01), hypertension (HR 2.03), HDL-cholesterol (HR 0.25), LDL-cholesterol (HR 1.5) and cryptogenic cirrhosis (HR 4.85) were associated with the development of S2/3 graft steatosis. de novo NAFLD was associated with higher incidence of new-onset hypertension (p < 0.001), graft dysfunction (defined as ALT > 40 U/L; p = 0.008), but not associated with graft fibrosis (defined as liver stiffness > 12 kPa; p = 0.761). CONCLUSION: Although NAFLD remains an uncommon primary liver disease indication for LT in Chinese patients, post-transplant de novo graft steatosis is common and the majority is classified as MAFLD. Development of graft steatosis is not associated with an increase in graft fibrosis but was associated with worse metabolic control and graft dysfunction. Routine CAP measurement to detect de novo graft steatosis should be considered after LT regardless of the primary indication of LT.

Is it possible to predict the severity of acute appendicitis? Reliability of predictive models based on easily available blood variables.

INTRODUCTION: Recent evidence confirms that the treatment of acute appendicitis is not necessarily surgical, and selected patients with uncomplicated appendicitis can benefit from a non-operative management. Unfortunately, no cost-effective test has been proven to be able to effectively predict the degree of appendicular inflammation as yet, therefore, patient selection is too often left to the personal choice of the emergency surgeon. Our paper aims to clarify if basic and readily available blood tests can give reliable prognostic information to build up predictive models to help the decision-making process. METHODS: Clinical notes of 2275 patients who underwent an appendicectomy with a presumptive diagnosis of acute appendicitis were reviewed, taking into consideration basic preoperative blood tests and histology reports on the surgical specimens. Variables were compared with univariate and multivariate analysis, and predictive models were created. RESULTS: 18.2% of patients had a negative appendicectomy, 9.6% had mucosal only inflammation, 53% had transmural inflammation and 19.2% had gangrenous appendicitis. A strong correlation was found between degree of inflammation and lymphocytes count and CRP/Albumin ratio, both at univariate and multivariate analysis. A predictive model to identify cases of gangrenous appendicitis was developed. CONCLUSION: Low lymphocyte count and high CRP/Albumin ratio combined into a predictive model may have a role in the selection of patients who deserve appendicectomy instead of non-operative management of acute appendicitis.

The role of different viral biomarkers on the management of chronic hepatitis B.

Chronic hepatitis B infection is a major public health challenge. With the advancement in technology, various components of the viral cycle can now be measured in the blood to assess viral activity. In this review article, we summarize the relevant data of how antiviral therapies impact viral biomarkers, and discuss their potential implications. Viral nucleic acids including hepatitis B virus (HBV) double-stranded deoxy-ribonucleic acid (DNA) and to a lesser extent, pre-genomic RNA, are readily suppressed by nucleos(t)ide analogues (NUCs). The primary role of these markers include risk prediction for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and risk stratification for partial cure, defined as off-therapy virological control, or functional cure, defined as hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance plus undetectable serum HBV DNA for ≥6 months. Viral translational products including hepatitis e antigen, quantitative HBsAg and hepatitis B core-related antigen can be reduced by NUCs and pegylated interferon a. They are important in defining disease phase, delineating treatment endpoints, and predicting clinical outcomes including HCC risk and partial/ functional cure. As the primary outcome of phase III trials in chronic hepatitis B is set as HBsAg seroclearance, appropriate viral biomarkers can potentially inform the efficacy of novel compounds. Early viral biomarker response can help with prioritization of subjects into clinical trials. However, standardization and validation studies would be crucial before viral biomarkers can be broadly implemented in clinical use.

Effect of Antiviral Treatment on Hepatitis B Virus Integration and Hepatocyte Clonal Expansion.

BACKGROUND: This study investigated the effect of nucleos(t)ide analogue (NUC) treatment on hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA integration and hepatocyte clonal expansion, both of which are implicated in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis B. METHODS: Twenty-eight patients receiving NUCs (11 lamivudine, 7 telbivudine, 10 entecavir) were included. All had liver biopsies at baseline and year 1, and 7 had a third biopsy at year 10. HBV DNA integration and hepatocyte clone size were assessed by inverse polymerase chain reaction. RESULTS: All patients had detectable HBV integration at baseline, with a median integration frequency of 1.01 × 109 per liver and hepatocyte clone size of 2.41 × 105. Neither integration frequency nor hepatocyte clone size correlated with age and HBV virologic parameters. After 1 year of treatment, HBV integration was still detectable in all patients, with a median of 5.74 × 108 integration per liver (0.22 log reduction; P = .008) and hepatocyte clone size of 1.22 × 105 (0.40 log reduction; P = .002). HBV integration remained detectable at year 10 of treatment, with a median integration frequency of 4.84 × 107 integration per liver (0.93 log reduction from baseline) and hepatocyte clone size of 2.55 × 104 (1.02 log reduction from baseline). From baseline through year 1 to year 10, there was a decreasing trend in both integration frequency and hepatocyte clone size (P = .066 and.018, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: NUCs reduced both HBV DNA integration and hepatocyte clonal expansion, suggesting another alternative pathway besides direct viral suppression to reduce HCC risk. Our findings supported the notion for a long-term NUC treatment to prevent HCC.

Long-term Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Profile and Seroclearance after Severe Acute Flares of Chronic Hepatitis B.

Background/Aims: Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance remains uncommon in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection. During acute flares of CHB (AFOCHB), alanine aminotransferase elevation reflects a mounting immune response toward viral clearance. We hypothesized that severe AFOCHB is associated with a greater quantitative HBsAg (qHBsAg) decline and HBsAg seroclearance rate. Methods: A total of 75 patients with severe AFOCHB with alanine aminotransferase 10× the upper limit of normal were matched to a control group by age and sex in a 1:2 ratio. qHBsAg levels were measured at the time of flare and annually (for both cases and controls) until the last follow-up. Results: The median follow-up times for patients with severe AFOCHB and controls were 8.8 and 10.5 years, respectively. The cumulative rate of HBsAg seroclearance was higher in the severe AFOCHB group than in the control group (11.8% vs 5.0%, p=0.04) despite the former group having a trend of a higher baseline median qHBsAg (3,127 IU/mL vs 1,178 IU/mL, p=0.076). Compared with the control group, the severe AFOCHB group had a greater annual qHBsAg reduction (-242.4 IU/mL/yr vs -47.3 IU/mL/yr, p=0.002). Increasing age (p=0.049), lower baseline qHBsAg (p=0.002), and severe AFOCHB (p=0.014) were independently associated with HBsAg seroclearance. However, the cumulative rate of hepatocellular carcinoma was significantly higher in the severe AFOCHB group than in the control group (15.8% vs 1.9%, p<0.001). Conclusions: Severe AFOCHB was associated with a greater incidence of HBsAg seroclearance and qHBsAg decline. However, it was associated with a higher incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Steatosis, HBV-related HCC, cirrhosis, and HBsAg seroclearance: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: NAFLD and chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection are common etiologies of HCC. The impact of hepatic steatosis on HCC in CHB, as well as its relationship with the development of cirrhosis, fibrosis, and HBsAg seroclearance, remains controversial. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Data from observational studies were collected through PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library from inception to February 1, 2022. Outcomes of interest included the association of hepatic steatosis with HCC, cirrhosis, advanced fibrosis, and HBsAg seroclearance, expressed in terms of pooled ORs. Additional subgroup and sensitivity analyses were performed to validate the robustness of findings. A total of 34 studies with 68,268 patients with CHB were included. Hepatic steatosis was associated with higher odds of HCC (OR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.12-2.26; I2  = 72.5%), with the association remaining consistent in Asia (OR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.08-2.25), studies with a median follow-up duration of ≥5 years (OR, 2.82; 95% CI, 1.57-5.08), exclusion of alcohol use (OR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.01-2.91), and biopsy-proven steatosis (OR, 2.86; 95% CI, 1.61-5.06), although no significant association was noted among nucleos(t)ide analogue-treated patients (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.62-1.77). Steatosis was associated with the development of cirrhosis (OR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.07-2.16; I2  = 0%) and HBsAg seroclearance (OR, 2.22; 95% CI, 1.58-3.10; I2  = 49.0%). CONCLUSIONS: Hepatic steatosis was associated with an increased risk of HCC and cirrhosis among patients with CHB but with a higher chance of achieving a functional cure, highlighting the importance of identifying concomitant steatosis in CHB.

Glycemic burden and the risk of adverse hepatic outcomes in patients with chronic hepatitis B with type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is common among patients with chronic hepatitis B infection (CHB) and has been associated with increased risk of carcinogenesis, including HCC. We investigated factors associated with HCC and fibrosis progression among patients with CHB with T2D (CHB+T2D). APPROACH AND RESULTS: Chinese patients with CHB were prospectively recruited for the incidence of HCC and fibrosis progression defined by transient elastography. Among patients with CHB+T2D, glycemic control was assessed by mean glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and HbA1c variability determined using HbA1c measurements in the 5 years preceding recruitment. A total of 2330 patients with CHB were recruited (mean age 54.6 ±11.8 years old, 55.5% male, 57.9% antiviral-treated), with 671 (28.8%) having CHB+T2D (mean T2D duration 7.2 ± 4.6 years, mean HbA1c 7.2 ± 0.9%). T2D was independently associated with HCC (HR 2.080, 95% CI 1.343-3.222) and fibrosis progression (OR 4.305, 95% CI 3.416-5.424) in the overall cohort. In patients with CHB+T2D, factors reflecting glycemic burden (T2D duration [HR 1.107, 95% CI 1.023-1.198]), mean HbA1c (HR 1.851, 95% CI 1.026-3.339), time reaching target HbA1c (HbA1c-TRT; HR 0.978, 95% CI 0.957-0.999), liver stiffness (HR 1.041-1.043), and smoking (HR 2.726-3.344) were independently associated with HCC (all p < 0.05), but not HbA1c variability or controlled attenuation parameter. The same glycemic burden-related factors (T2D duration, mean HbA1c, and HbA1c-TRT), in addition to baseline fasting glucose, baseline HbA1c, AST and antiviral therapy, were independently associated with fibrosis progression at 3 years. CONCLUSIONS: High glycemic burden was associated with HCC development and fibrosis progression among patients with CHB+T2D, highlighting the importance of glycemic control in reducing liver-related complications.

Impact of Tumour Biology on Outcomes of Radical Therapy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Oligo-Recurrence after Liver Transplantation.

It is uncertain whether tumour biology affects radical treatment for post-transplant hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) oligo-recurrence, i.e. recurrence limited in numbers and locations amendable to radical therapy. We conducted a retrospective study on 144 patients with post-transplant HCC recurrence. Early recurrence within one year after transplant (HR 2.53, 95% CI 1.65−3.88, p < 0.001), liver recurrence (HR 1.74, 95% CI 1.12−2.68, p = 0.01) and AFP > 200 ng/mL upon recurrence (HR 1.62, 95% CI 1.04−2.52, p = 0.03) predicted mortality following recurrence. In patients with early recurrence and liver recurrence, radical treatment was associated with improved post-recurrence survival (early recurrence: median 18.2 ± 1.5 vs. 9.2 ± 1.5 months, p < 0.001; liver recurrence: median 28.0 ± 4.5 vs. 11.6 ± 2.0, p < 0.001). In patients with AFP > 200 ng/mL, improvement in survival did not reach statistical significance (median 18.2 ± 6.5 vs. 8.8 ± 2.2 months, p = 0.13). Survival benefits associated with radical therapy were reduced in early recurrence (13.6 vs. 9.0 months) and recurrence with high AFP (15.4 vs. 9.3 months) but were similar among patients with and without liver recurrence (16.9 vs. 16.4 months). They were also diminished in patients with multiple biological risk factors (0 risk factor: 29.0 months; 1 risk factor: 19.7 months; 2−3 risk factors: 3.4 months): The survival benefit following radical therapy was superior in patients with favourable biological recurrence but was also observed in patients with poor tumour biology. Treatment decisions should be individualised considering the oncological benefits, quality of life gain and procedural morbidity.

Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma With Tenofovir vs Entecavir Treatment for Chronic Hepatitis B Virus: A Reconstructed Individual Patient Data Meta-analysis.

Importance: Conventional meta-analyses with aggregated study-level data have yielded conflicting results for the comparative effectiveness of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate vs entecavir in reducing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk among patients with chronic hepatitis B virus. Within-study heterogeneity, between-study heterogeneity, and the inability of conventional meta-analyses to capture time-to-event data were associated with these results. Objective: To perform a reconstructed individual patient data meta-analysis of high-quality propensity score-matched studies to provide robust estimates for comparative HCC risk between groups receiving tenofovir or entecavir. Data Sources: Medline and Embase databases were searched from inception to October 6, 2021. Study Selection: The initial search yielded 3435 articles. Fourteen studies that used propensity score matching to balance baseline characteristics were included in the final analysis. Data Extraction and Synthesis: The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses guideline was followed. Individual patient data were reconstructed from Kaplan-Meier curves. Risk of HCC was evaluated using random-effects hazard ratios (HRs) via a shared-frailty model and a Cox proportional hazards model stratified by study group. Restricted mean survival time (RMST) analysis was conducted to account for varying estimated treatment effect across time. Main Outcomes and Measures: The comparative risk of HCC with tenofovir vs entecavir treatment. Results: From analysis of 14 studes with 24 269 patients (10 534 receiving tenofovir and 13 735 receiving entecavir; mean age, 49.86 [95% CI, 48.35-51.36] years; 65.05% [95% CI, 58.60%-71.00%] men), tenofovir was associated with decreased HCC incidence compared with entecavir (stratified Cox HR, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.76-0.94] at 5 years; P = .002). However, there was no significant difference in subanalysis of clinical cohort studies (stratified Cox HR, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.80-1.06] at 5 years; P = .24). Among administrative database studies, proportionality was violated, and HRs could not be obtained via Cox proporational hazards-based models. The mean time to HCC development in RMST analysis was 2.8 (95% CI, 1.8-3.7) weeks longer (P < .001) for tenofovir vs entecavir at 5 years. The RMST analyses for other subgroups revealed either insignificant or minimal differences (<3 weeks) in the mean time to HCC at 5 years. Conclusions and Relevance: In this meta-analysis, there was no clinically meaningful difference in the risk of HCC between patients who received entecavir and patients who received tenofovir. There was no difference between tenofovir and entecavir among clinical cohort studies, whereas the mean time to HCC development was less than 3 weeks longer for patients who received tenofovir vs those who received entecavir at year 5 among administrative database studies. The choice between tenofovir or entecavir should be decided based on patient convenience and tolerability.

Enhanced Liver Fibrosis Score Stratifies Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk in Patients With Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Seroclearance.

In this prospective study involving 337 chronic hepatitis B patients who achieved spontaneous hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance (SC), serum enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) before SC was associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (hazard ratio 2.588), and ELF <10.8 was associated with >97% reduction in risk of HCC development in patients with age SC ≥ 50 (n = 190).

Magnetic resonance imaging metrics and the predictability of adverse outcomes in on-treatment Asian chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Liver fibrosis and steatosis are important factors affecting chronic hepatitis B (CHB) disease outcome. Multiparametric magnetic resonance (MR) imaging of the liver measures fibroinflammation, fat, and iron through iron-corrected T1 relaxation time (cT1), proton density fat fraction (PDFF), and T2*-weighted imaging, respectively. We assessed the utility of MR metrics for prognostication in CHB. METHODS: Chronic hepatitis B patients receiving nucleos(t)ide analogs with advanced fibrosis documented by vibration-controlled transient elastography were recruited. Paired multiparametric MR liver and transient elastography were performed at baseline and after at least 2 years. Adverse outcomes including death, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and liver decompensation were monitored. RESULTS: One hundred and ninety-two patients (mean age 60.3 ± 8.5 years; 76.0% male) were recruited. Eight patients (4.2%) developed HCC after 11.6 (8.8-22.8) months, and increased baseline liver iron independently predicted HCC (hazard ratio 2.329 [1.030-5.266]; P = 0.042). Liver MR metrics were not predictive of death or hepatic decompensation. Among 150 patients with follow-up liver MR at 30.3 (25.2-35.6) months, longitudinal liver PDFF increase was associated with liver cT1 increase (odds ratio 1.571 [1.217-2.029]; P = 0.001). Ninety patients received simultaneous multiparametric MR pancreas during the follow-up MR. Pancreatic PDFF correlated with liver PDFF (r = 0.501, P < 0.001), while pancreatic T1 had no correlation with liver cT1 (r = -0.092, P = 0.479). Pancreatic T1 and PDFF were not associated with adverse outcomes. CONCLUSION: Among CHB patients with advanced disease, liver iron level on MR predicts HCC. Multiparametric MR can also simultaneously assess the pancreas and the liver. Multiparametric MR should be further studied as a one-stop option for monitoring and prognosticating CHB.

Magnetic resonance elastography and proton density fat fraction predict adverse outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Magnetic resonance (MR) elastography and proton density fat fraction (PDFF) are emerging techniques for non-invasive assessment of liver stiffness and steatosis, respectively. We investigated the role of MR metrics in pre-treatment prognostication of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: Patients with newly diagnosed HCC were prospectively recruited. Pre-treatment MR elastography and PDFF were performed on tumor and non-tumor regions. HCC treatment was categorized as potentially curative (resection/ablation) or non-curative (locoregional/systemic therapy). HCC recurrence, liver-related complications (ascites/ variceal bleeding/ hepatic encephalopathy) and mortality were monitored. RESULTS: Of the 158 recruited patients (mean age 62.9 years, 84.2% male, 82.9% viral hepatitis), 58.2% (n = 92) and 41.8% (n = 66) received potentially curative and non-curative therapy, respectively. Pre-treatment non-tumor liver stiffness independently predicted liver-related complications, regardless of treatment type (HR 1.384, 95% CI 1.067-1.796, p = 0.014). In the potentially curative therapy group, non-tumor stiffness and non-tumor PDFF were independently associated with HCC recurrence (HR 1.308, 95% CI 1.022-1.673 & HR 1.080, 95% CI 1.009-1.156 respectively, both p < 0.05); and non-tumor PDFF predicted mortality (HR 1.160, 95% CI 1.038-1.296, p = 0.009). In the non-curative group, tumor stiffness independently predicted liver-related complications (HR 1.299, 95% CI 1.023-1.651, p = 0.032), and a combination of tumor stiffness ≥ 5.7 kPa plus non-tumor stiffness ≥ 3.7 kPa was associated with a two-fold risk of liver-related complications (86.7% vs 40.0%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Pre-treatment MR elastography and PDFF over tumor and non-tumor regions demonstrated prognosticating roles in HCC. Simultaneous measurements of both metrics during conventional MR liver should be considered in the diagnostic workup of HCC.

Role of Serum M2BPGi Levels in Predicting Persistence of Advanced Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection.

BACKGROUND: Serum mac-2-binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) is a novel marker for liver fibrosis assessment in patients with different liver diseases. For chronic hepatitis B infection (CHB), advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis is a risk factor for liver cancer and hepatic decompensation. We aimed to assess the role of serum M2BPGi in prediction of persistence of advanced fibrosis in CHB patients despite potent antiviral therapy. METHODS: CHB patients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis who were put on nucleos(t)ide analogs for ≥ 3 years with normal alanine aminotransferase and undetectable serum HBV DNA were prospectively recruited. Assessment of liver fibrosis with transient elastography (TE) and M2BPGi measurements were performed at baseline and repeated at 3 years. Advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis were defined by liver stiffness (LS) ≥ 9.0 kPa and ≥ 12.0 kPa, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 143 patients (M:F = 101:42; median age 58.7 years; 53.8% cirrhotic) were recruited and completed paired assessment. The median value of baseline LS and M2BPGi were 12.0 (IQR: 10.5-18.2) kPa and 0.99 cut-off-index (IQR: 0.75-1.74) (COI), respectively, with 96% concordance for diagnosing F3/F4. Ninety-six (67.1%) patients had persistent advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis at 3 years despite continuation of long-term antiviral treatment. Upon multivariate analysis, baseline M2BPGi (OR 2.128, 95% CI 1.037-4.366) and presence of central obesity (OR 4.648, 95% CI 1.742-12.402) were significantly associated with persistent advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis at 3 years. Baseline M2BPGi ≥ 1.265 COI has 50.6% sensitivity and 79.4% specificity for predicting persistent advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis at 3 years (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve: 0.695). The presence of central obesity in combination with baseline M2BPGi ≥ 1.265 COI was associated with 95.7% patients having persistent advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis at 3 years. HCC development was observed in five patients during follow-up and was associated with bigger median increase in the level of serum M2BPGi compared to patients without HCC (46% vs 6.2%, P = 0.038). CONCLUSION: Persistent advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis was observed in two-thirds of CHB patients despite potent antiviral therapy. High serum M2BPGi and central obesity were associated with more than twofold and fourfold increase in risk of persistent advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis, respectively.

Phenotypic Changes of PD-1 and GITR in T Cells Are Associated With Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Seroclearance.

BACKGROUND: Regulatory T cells (Tregs) possess hepatitis B virus (HBV)-specific immunoregulatory effects in chronic HBV infection. The role of Tregs in spontaneous seroclearance of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) remains to be determined. METHODS: We recruited treatment-naive chronic HBV patients achieving spontaneous HBsAg seroclearance (experimental group) and matched HBsAg-positive controls. Peripheral blood mononuclear cells were isolated using the Ficoll-Paque density gradient centrifugation method. The frequency of Tregs and inhibitory phenotypes and immunoregulatory cytokines of Tregs were detected by flow cytometry. RESULTS: Twenty-seven patients with HBsAg seroclearance (mean age: 52.40±6.00 y, 55.6% male) and 27 matched controls were recruited. Median HBsAg and HBV DNA levels in the control group were 2.80 (1.24 to 3.43) and 3.16 (1.68 to 3.85) log IU/mL, respectively. Mean frequencies of Tregs and expressions of FoxP3+ Tregs were comparable in both groups (both P>0.05). The mean expression of programmed death 1 (PD-1) and glucocorticoid-induced TNFR family-related gene (GITR) in total CD4+ T cells were significantly downregulated in the experimental group when compared with the control group (10.62% vs. 13.85%, P=0.003; 16.20% vs. 27.02%, P=0.002, respectively). When compared with the control group, PD-1+CD4+ Tregs expression in the experimental group was significantly downregulated (13.85% vs. 10.62%, P=0.003). A similar phenomenon was noted for GITR+CD8+ Tregs (20.16% vs. 14.08%, P=0.049). Intracellular cytokine productions showed no significant differences (all P>0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The reduced expression of PD-1 and GITR might attenuate the immunosuppressive capability of Tregs. Decreased expression on CD4+ T cells might represent an enhanced antiviral function, playing a role in initiating the "functional cure" of chronic HBV infection.

Verifying the Benefits of Radical Treatment in Posttransplant Hepatocellular Carcinoma Oligo-recurrence: A Propensity Score Analysis.

This study verified whether radical treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) oligo-recurrence after liver transplantation conveys survival benefits. A retrospective study of 144 patients with posttransplant HCC recurrence was performed. Propensity score matching was performed to adjust for baseline covariates between patients who received radical and palliative treatments. The primary endpoint was postrecurrence survival. A total of 50 patients (35%) received radical treatment for recurrence, and 76 (53%) and 18 (13%) patients received palliative and supportive treatments, respectively. Compared with the radical group, patients who received palliative treatment had more early recurrences (time from transplant 17 versus 11 months; P = 0.01) and more extensive disease in terms of tumor numbers (1 versus 4; P < 0.001), size of largest tumor (1.8 versus 2.5 cm; P = 0.046), numbers of involved organs (interquartile range [IQR], 1-1 versus 1-2; P = 0.02), and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level (7 versus 40 ng/mL; P = 0.01). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that early recurrence (time from transplant hazard ratio [HR], 1.02; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.03; P = 0.001), larger recurrent tumor (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.03-1.23; P = 0.01), liver recurrence (HR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.17-2.90; P = 0.01), and log10 AFP level at recurrence (HR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.07-1.52; P = 0.01) predicted poor survival. Mammalian target of rapamycin inhibitor (HR, 0.331; 95% CI, 0.213-0.548; P < 0.001) and radical treatment (HR, 0.342; 95% CI, 0.213-0.548; P < 0.001) were associated with improved survival. After 2-to-1 propensity score matching for covariates, the 50 patients who received curative treatment survived significantly longer than the 25 matched patients who received palliative treatment (median survival time, 30.9 ± 2.4 versus 19.5 ± 3.0 months; P = 0.01). Radical treatment conveys survival benefits to HCC oligo-recurrence after liver transplantation.

A meta-analysis of the cumulative incidence, risk factors, and clinical outcomes associated with chronic kidney disease after liver transplantation.

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains a relatively common complication after liver transplantation (LT), and significantly impacts overall survival. We sought to assess the cumulative incidence, risk factors and mortality associated with post-LT CKD. CKD was defined as eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m2 as estimated by the Modified Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) formula. Single-arm meta-analysis was done to evaluate the cumulative incidence of CKD at 1-, 3-, and 5-year timepoints post-LT. Risk factors for CKD were evaluated using hazard ratios (HR). Twenty-one studies involving 44 383 patients were included. Cumulative incidence of stage 3-5 CKD was 31.44% (CI 0.182-0.447), 36.71% (CI 0.188-0.546), and 43.52% (CI 0.296-0.574) at 1, 3, and 5 years after LT, respectively. Stage 5 CKD cumulative incidence increased from 0.274% (CI 0.001-0.005) at 1 year to 2.06% (CI 0.009-0.045) at 5 years post-LT. Age, female sex, diabetes, and peri-operative acute kidney injury (AKI) were significant risk factors for CKD. Stage 4-5 CKD was associated with a decrease in overall survival (HR 3.23, 95% CI 1.74-5.98, P < 0.01). CKD after LT is relatively common, and is associated with significantly reduced overall survival. Identification of patients at high risk of developing CKD allows physicians to prophylactically use renal-sparing immunosuppression which may be crucial in achieving desirable clinical outcomes.

Impact of COVID-19 on Liver Transplantation in Hong Kong and Singapore: A Modelling Study.

BACKGROUND: Liver transplantation (LT) activities during the COVID-19 pandemic have been curtailed in many countries. The impact of various policies restricting LT on outcomes of potential LT candidates is unclear. METHODS: We studied all patients on the nationwide LT waitlists in Hong Kong and Singapore between January 2016 and May 2020. We used continuous time Markov chains to model the effects of different scenarios and varying durations of disruption on LT candidates. FINDINGS: With complete cessation of LT, the projected 1-year overall survival (OS) decreased by 3•6%, 10•51% and 19•21% for a 1-, 3- and 6-month disruption respectively versus no limitation to LT, while 2-year OS decreased by 4•1%, 12•55%, and 23•43% respectively. When only urgent (acute-on-chronic liver failure [ACLF] or acute liver failure) LT was allowed, the projected 1-year OS decreased by a similar proportion: 3•1%, 8•41% and 15•20% respectively. When deceased donor LT (DDLT) and urgent living donor LT (LDLT) were allowed, 1-year projected OS decreased by 1•2%, 5•1% and 8•85% for a 1-, 3- and 6-month disruption respectively. OS was similar when only DDLT was allowed. Complete cessation of LT activities for 3-months resulted in an increased projected incidence of ACLF and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) dropout at 1-year by 49•1% and 107•96% respectively. When only urgent LT was allowed, HCC dropout and ACLF incidence were comparable to the rates seen in the scenario of complete LT cessation. INTERPRETATION: A short and wide-ranging disruption to LT results in better outcomes compared with a longer duration of partial restrictions. FUNDING: None to disclose.

2020 position statement and recommendations of the European Liver and Intestine Transplantation Association (ELITA): management of hepatitis B virus-related infection before and after liver transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Prophylaxis of HBV recurrence is critical after liver transplantation in HBV patients. Despite new prophylactic schemes, most European LT centres persist on a conservative approach combining hepatitis B immunoglobulin (HBIG) and nucleos(t)ides analogues (NA). AIM: This setting prompted the European Liver Intestine Transplantation Association (ELITA) to look for a consensus on the prevention of HBV recurrence. METHODS: Based on a 4-round Delphi process, ELITA investigated 16 research questions and established 50 recommendations. RESULTS: Prophylaxis should be driven according to 3 simplified risk groups: Low and high virological risk patients, with undetectable and detectable HBV DNA pre-LT, respectively, and special populations (HDV, HCC, poorly adherent patients). In low-risk patients, short-term (4 weeks) combination of third-generation NA+ HBIG, or third generation NA monotherapy can be considered as prophylactic options. In high-risk patients, HBIG can be discontinued once HBV DNA undetectable. Combined therapy for 1 year is advised. HBV-HCC patients should be treated according to their virological risk. In HDV/HBV patients, indefinite dual prophylaxis remains the gold standard. Full withdrawal of HBV prophylaxis following or not HBV vaccination should only be attempted in the setting of clinical trials. Organs from HBsAg+ve donors may be considered after assessment of risks, benefits, and patient consent. They should not be used if HDV is present. In poorly adherent patients, dual long-term prophylaxis is recommended. Budget impact analysis should be taken into account to drive prophylactic regimen. CONCLUSIONS: These ELITA recommendations should stimulate a more rational and homogeneous approach to HBV prophylaxis across LT programs.

Prospective Study of Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma on Waitlist for Liver Transplant.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: There are no prospective data on stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) as a bridge to liver transplantation for HCC. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of SBRT as bridging therapy, with comparison with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) and high-intensity focused ultrasound (HIFU). APPROACH AND RESULTS: Patients were prospectively enrolled for SBRT under a standardized protocol from July 2015 and compared with a retrospective cohort of patients who underwent TACE or HIFU from 2010. The primary endpoint was tumor control rate at 1 year after bridging therapy. Secondary endpoints included cumulative incidence of dropout, toxicity, and posttransplant survival. During the study period, 150 patients were evaluated (SBRT, n = 40; TACE, n = 59; HIFU, n = 51). The tumor control rate at 1 year was significantly higher after SBRT compared with TACE and HIFU (92.3%, 43.5%, and 33.3%, respectively; P = 0.02). With competing risk analysis, the cumulative incidence of dropout at 1 and 3 years after listing was lower after SBRT (15.1% and 23.3%) compared with TACE (28.9% and 45.8%; P = 0.034) and HIFU (33.3% and 45.1%; P = 0.032). Time-to-progression at 1 and 3 years was also superior after SBRT (10.8%, 18.5% in SBRT, 45%, 54.9% in TACE, and 47.6%, 62.8% in HIFU; P < 0.001). The periprocedural toxicity was similar, without any difference in perioperative complications and patient and recurrence-free survival rates after transplant. Pathological complete response was more frequent after SBRT compared with TACE and HIFU (48.1% vs. 25% vs. 17.9%, respectively; P = 0.037). In multivariable analysis, tumor size <3 cm, listing alpha-fetoprotein <200 ng/mL, Child A, and SBRT significantly reduced the risk of dropout. CONCLUSIONS: SBRT was safe, with a significantly higher tumor control rate, reduced the risk of waitlist dropout, and should be used as an alternative to conventional bridging therapies.