Treatment effectiveness in a rare oncology indication: Lessons from an external control cohort study.

Real-world data (RWD) reflecting patient treatment in routine clinical practice can be used to develop external control groups for single-arm trials. External controls can provide valuable benchmark results on potential comparator drug effectiveness, particularly in rare indications when randomized controlled trials are either infeasible or unethical. This paper describes lessons learned from a descriptive real-world external control cohort study conducted to provide benchmark data for a single-arm clinical trial in a rare oncology biomarker driven disease. Conducting external control cohort studies to evaluate treatment effectiveness in rare indications likely will present data and analysis challenges as seen in the example study. However, there are mitigating measures that can be applied in the study design, identification of RWD sources, and data analysis. The lessons learned and reported here with a proposal of an external control study framework can provide guidance for future research in this area, and may be applicable as well in other rare indications. Taking these learnings into consideration, the use of real-world external controls to contextualize treatment effectiveness in rare indications is a valuable approach and warrants further application in the future.

Healthcare Resource Utilization and Related Costs in Chronic Fibrosing Interstitial Lung Diseases with a Progressive Phenotype: A US Claims Database Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: We aimed to describe healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) patterns and costs in patients with fibrosing interstitial lung disease (ILD) and those with a progressive phenotype of fibrosing ILD in a US claims database. METHODS: Data from the IBM® MarketScan® databases (1 October 2011-30 September 2015) were used. Diagnosis codes documented on medical claims on two occasions (without any claims during the 12 months prior) identified patients with incident fibrosing ILD. Patients with chronic fibrosing ILD with a progressive phenotype were identified by proxies for progression. Patients aged ≥ 18 years with 365 days of continuous coverage before the index date were eligible for inclusion. Data were analyzed for 12 months prior to identification of fibrosing ILD/progressive phenotype (baseline) and 12 months after (follow-up). Outcomes included treatment patterns, outpatient and inpatient claims, and costs. RESULTS: We identified 23,577 patients with incident fibrosing ILD and 14,722 with the progressive phenotype. Follow-up data were available for 9986 and 5840 patients, respectively. The most frequent ILD-related medications during baseline were corticosteroids (49.4% and 56.6%). Mean (± standard deviation [SD]) annualized number of outpatient claims was 30.0 (± 26.4) and 34.1 (± 27.7) in the baseline period and 36.2 (± 28.6) and 41.9 (± 30.2) in the follow-up in fibrosing ILD and with a progressive phenotype, respectively. Mean (SD) number of all-cause hospitalizations was 0.5 (± 1.1) and 0.7 (± 1.2) during baseline and 0.6 (± 1.1) and 0.7 (± 1.2) during follow-up. Mean (SD) total costs were $40,907 (± 92,496) and $49,561 (± 98,647) during baseline and $46,157 (± 102,858) and $54,215 (± 116,833) during follow-up. Inpatient mortality during follow-up was 53.50 and 77.44 per 1000 patient-years. CONCLUSION: HCRU and costs were high in patients with chronic fibrosing ILD with a progressive phenotype, likely reflecting the disease severity and the need for close monitoring and acute care. Outpatient claims accounted for a substantial proportion of the total costs.

Some patients with lung diseases have inflammation or scarring of the lung tissues (interstitial lung diseases, or ILDs). In some patients with lung scarring, the scarring may become progressive (i.e., it worsens over time). In this study, we looked at these patients identified in US health insurance records. We counted how many times patients visited a doctor, were admitted to hospital, or needed medications or tests. We also looked at the total cost of all this medical care. Overall, we concluded that patients with ILDs with progressive lung scarring had a high number of visits to the doctor, and the total costs of their medical care were high.

Prevalence and Incidence of Chronic Fibrosing Interstitial Lung Diseases with a Progressive Phenotype in the United States Estimated in a Large Claims Database Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Many fibrosing interstitial lung diseases (ILDs) develop a chronic progressive phenotype. While idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, which is always progressive, is well characterized with established treatment options, the epidemiology of other chronic fibrosing ILDs with a progressive phenotype has not been widely investigated. Treatment options are limited, with a high unmet need. This claims database study estimates the incidence and prevalence of these diseases in the USA. METHODS: Diagnosis, procedure and resource utilization codes from insurance claims were used to identify patients with fibrosing ILD and those with a chronic progressive phenotype among 37,565,644 adult patients in the IBM® MarketScan® Research Database 2012-2015. Two eligible ILD claims were required for a fibrosing ILD diagnosis. Progression was defined using a novel algorithm constituted by criteria considered proxies for progression. Patients were defined as having incident (new) or existing diagnoses based on claims during a 365-day period before study entry. RESULTS: The estimated age- and sex-adjusted prevalence per 100,000 persons of fibrosing ILD (95% confidence interval) was 117.82 (116.56, 119.08) and of chronic fibrosing ILDs with a progressive phenotype was 70.30 (69.32, 71.27). The estimated adjusted incidence per 100,000 patient-years of fibrosing ILD was 51.56 (50.88, 52.24) and of chronic fibrosing ILDs with a progressive phenotype was 32.55 (32.01, 33.09). Among incident fibrosing ILD patients, 57.3% experienced progression over a median of 117 days (interquartile range 63-224), with largely comparable rates of progression among different diseases. CONCLUSIONS: Chronic fibrosing ILDs with a progressive phenotype comprise a relatively new disease construct requiring varied approaches to obtain reliable estimates of prevalence and incidence. This is the first large claims database study using real-world data to provide estimates of the prevalence and incidence of these diseases among a very large segment of the US population and could form the groundwork for future studies.

Progressive lung fibrosis occurs in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis; however, interstitial lung fibrosis may occur in other diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis, chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis and sarcoidosis, and may or may not be progressive in these diseases. Little is known about the frequency of lung fibrosis among patients with these diseases or how often such fibrosis is progressive. This study used information from a large insurance claims database (IBM^® MarketScan^®) to estimate the frequency and progression of lung fibrosis associated with different diseases.

Study design choices for evaluating the comparative safety of diabetes medications: An evaluation of pioglitazone use and risk of bladder cancer in older US adults with type-2 diabetes.

AIM: The aim of the study was to empirically demonstrate the effect of varying study designs when evaluating the safety of pioglitazone in treating bladder cancer. METHODS: We identified Medicare beneficiaries above 65 years of age with diabetes between 2008 and 2015 and with classified exposure (at least two claims within 180 days) to glucose-lowering drugs (GLD), pioglitazone or another drug. The effects of varying the following study design parameters on bladder cancer risk were assessed: use of a new vs existing drug, choice of referent (all non-users and users of GLDs, non-insulin GLDs and DPP-4s) and whether or not censoring accounted for treatment change. We used the Cox proportional hazards model to obtain adjusted HRs and 95% CIs. RESULTS: We included 1,510,212 patients classified as pioglitazone users (N = 135,188) or non-users (N = 1,375,024). Users had more diabetic complications than non-users, but fewer than insulin users. The HR ranged from 1.10 (1.01-1.20) to 1.13 (0.99-1.29) when censoring ignored treatment change, suggesting a weak association or none between pioglitazone and bladder cancer, probably under-estimating risk. However, the HR was 1.20 (1.01-1.42) when cohorts were restricted to new users, censored upon treatment change, and when DPP-4 was used as the referent, suggesting an increased risk of bladder cancer associated with pioglitazone. CONCLUSIONS: The continued demand for new GLDs indicates the need for more robust observational methods to improve the value of generating real-world evidence in equipping clinicians to make informed prescribing decisions. Although there is no one-size-fits-all approach, we recommend active comparator new user study designs that compare therapeutically equivalent drugs and account for treatment changes during follow-up to present the least biased comparative safety estimates.

Glucose-lowering medications and the risk of cancer: A methodological review of studies based on real-world data.

AIM: To review the methodology of observational studies examining the association between glucose-lowering medications and cancer to identify the most common methodological challenges and sources of bias. METHODS: We searched PubMed systematically to identify observational studies on glucose-lowering medications and cancer published between January 2000 and January 2016. We assessed the design and analytical methods used in each study, with a focus on their ability to achieve study validity, and further evaluated the prevalence of major methodological choices over time. RESULTS: Of 155 studies evaluated, only 26% implemented a new-user design, 41% used an active comparator, 33% implemented a lag or latency period, and 51% adjusted for diabetes duration. Potential for immortal person-time bias was identified in 63% of the studies; 55% of the studies adjusted for variables measured during the follow-up without appropriate statistical methods. Aside from a decreasing trend in adjusting for variables measured during the follow-up, we observed no trends in methodological choices over time. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of well-known design and analysis flaws that may lead to biased results remains high among observational studies on glucose-lowering medications and cancer, limiting the conclusions that can be drawn from these studies. Avoiding known pitfalls could substantially improve the quality and validity of real-world evidence in this field.

Opioid dispensing patterns after oocyte retrieval.

OBJECTIVE: To study opioid dispensing patterns following oocyte retrieval. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort. SETTING: Not applicable. PATIENT(S): Women undergoing oocyte retrieval with a maximum of 1 opioid prescription in the 12 weeks prior to the procedure, without an opioid use or other substance use disorder. INTERVENTION(S): None. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): We measured the frequency of opioids dispensed within 3 days of oocyte retrieval, most common opioids dispensed; and quantity dispensed, in median (interquartile range [IQR] and 10th-90th percentile ranges) oral morphine milligram equivalents (MME). Multivariate regression analyses were used to calculate odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI) to examine the association between patient characteristics and the occurrence of an opioid dispensing. RESULT(S): In total, 61,463 women with an oocyte retrieval met the criteria for analysis. After oocyte retrieval, 11.9% were dispensed an opioid, most commonly hydrocodone (48.5%), codeine (23.0%), and oxycodone (17.7%). The median (IQR; 10th-90th percentile) oral MME dose dispensed after retrieval was 90 (50-125; 50-207). Women with mood disorders (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.17, 95% CI 1.00-1.36), tobacco use (aOR 1.67, 95% CI 1.18-2.37), or anti-depressant use (aOR 1.62, 95% CI 1.47-1.80) were more likely to fill an opioid prescription, compared to those without these diagnoses. CONCLUSION(S): Although only a small proportion of women fill a prescription for opioids after oocyte retrieval, there is substantial variation in the amount dispensed. Patients with a concurrent mood disorder or those taking anti-depressants were more likely to fill an opioid prescription.

Comparative safety of pioglitazone versus clinically meaningful treatment alternatives concerning the risk of bladder cancer in older US adults with type 2 diabetes.

AIMS: To compare bladder cancer incidence between patients initiating pioglitazone treatment and patients initiating treatment with dipeptidyl-peptidase-4 inhibitors [DPP-4s] or sulfonylureas. METHODS: We identified Medicare beneficiaries aged >65 years who initiated treatment with pioglitazone (N = 38 700), DPP-4s (N = 82 552) or sulfonylureas (N = 126 104) between 2007 and 2014 after at least 6 months without prescriptions for these drug classes. Patients were followed from second prescription until bladder cancer outcome (2 claims within 60 days) using a 6-month induction/latency period, censoring for treatment change, death or end of 2014. We used propensity score-weighted Cox proportional-hazards models to obtain adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and their 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: Overall mean age of participants was 75 years and 41% were men. Over a median of 1.2 treatment years, 727 beneficiaries developed bladder cancer. Pioglitazone initiators had an increased incidence of bladder cancer (308 vs 204 [DPP-4s] or 231 [sulfonylureas] per 100 000 person-years; aHR, 1.57 [1.23-2.00] vs DPP-4s and 1.32 [1.02-1.70] vs sulfonylureas). The increased risk emerged within the first 2 years of treatment (aHR, 1.63 [1.22-2.17] vs DPP-4s and 1.32 [0.98-1.78] vs sulfonylureas). If treatment was discontinued within the first 2 years, the risk after 2 years post initiation was attenuated (aHR, 0.89 [0.61-1.28]) compared with patients treated for more than 2 years (aHR, 1.45 [0.93-2.26]) both vs DPP-4s. Findings were consistent across secondary and sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Pioglitazone was associated with an elevated risk of bladder cancer compared with DPP-4s and sulfonylureas. The elevated risk emerged within the first 2 years of treatment and was attenuated after discontinuing. Pioglitazone's relative effectiveness should be weighed against a small absolute increase in risk of bladder cancer.