Outcomes in ANCA-Associated Vasculitis in Scotland: Validation of the Renal Risk Score in a Complete National Cohort.

Introduction: Antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV) causes autoimmune-mediated inflammation of small blood vessels in multiple organs, including the kidneys. The ability to accurately predict kidney outcomes would enable a more personalized therapeutic approach. Methods: We used our national renal biopsy registry to validate the ability of ANCA Renal Risk Score (ARRS) to predict end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) for individual patients. This score uses histopathological and biochemical data to stratify patients as high, medium, or low risk for developing ESKD. Results: A total of 288 patients were eligible for inclusion in the study (low risk n = 144, medium risk n = 122, high risk n = 12). Using adjusted Cox proportional hazard models with the low-risk group as reference, we show that outcome differs between the categories: high-risk hazard ratio (HR) 16.69 (2.91-95.81, P = 0.002); medium risk HR 4.14 (1.07-16.01, P = 0.039). Incremental multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models demonstrated that adding ARRS to a model adjusted for multiple clinical parameters enhanced predictive discrimination (basic model C-statistic 0.864 [95% CI 0.813-0.914], basic model plus ARRS C-statistic 0.877 [95% CI 0.823-0.931]; P <0.01). Conclusion: The ARRS better discriminates risk of ESKD in AAV and offers clinicians more prognostic information than the use of standard biochemical and clinical measures alone. This is the first time the ARRS has been validated in a national cohort. The proportion of patients with high-risk scores is lower in our cohort compared to others and should be noted as a limitation of this study.

UK experience of ofatumumab in recurrence of focal segmental glomerulosclerosis post-kidney transplant.

BACKGROUND: Steroid-resistant nephrotic syndrome (SRNS), commonly caused by focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS), is associated with progression to stage 5 chronic kidney disease, requirement for kidney replacement therapy and a risk of disease recurrence post-kidney transplantation. Ofatumumab (OFA) is a fully humanised monoclonal antibody to CD20, with similar mechanisms of action to rituximab (RTX). METHODS: We report a case series of seven UK patients (five paediatric, two adult), all of whom developed FSGS recurrence after kidney transplantation and received OFA as part of their therapeutic intervention. All also received concomitant plasmapheresis. The 2-year outcome of these seven patients is reported, describing clinical course, kidney function and proteinuria. RESULTS: Four patients (all paediatric) achieved complete urinary remission with minimal proteinuria 12 months post-treatment. Three of those four also had normal graft function. Two patients showed partial remission-brief improvement to non-nephrotic proteinuria (197 mg/mmol) in one patient, maintained improvement in kidney function (estimated glomerular filtration rate 76 ml/min/1.73 m2) in the other. One patient did not demonstrate any response. CONCLUSIONS: OFA may represent a useful addition to therapeutic options in the management of FSGS recurrence post-transplantation, including where RTX has shown no benefit. Concomitant plasmapheresis in all patients prevents any definitive conclusion that OFA was the beneficial intervention.

ANCA-associated renal vasculitis is associated with rurality but not seasonality or deprivation in a complete national cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Small studies suggest an association between ANCA-associated vasculitis (AAV) incidence and rurality, seasonality and socioeconomic deprivation. We examined the incidence of kidney biopsy-proven AAV and its relationship with these factors in the adult Scottish population. METHODS: Using the Scottish Renal Biopsy Registry, all adult native kidney biopsies performed between 2014 and 2018 with a diagnosis of granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA) or microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) were identified. The Scottish Government Urban Rural Classification was used for rurality analysis. Seasons were defined as autumn (September-November), winter (December-February), spring (March-May) and summer (June-August). Patients were separated into quintiles of socioeconomic deprivation using the validated Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation and incidence standardised to age. Estimated glomerular filtration rate and urine protein:creatinine ratio at time of biopsy were used to assess disease severity. RESULTS: 339 cases of renal AAV were identified, of which 62% had MPA and 38% had GPA diagnosis. AAV incidence was 15.1 per million population per year (pmp/year). Mean age was 66 years and 54% were female. Incidence of GPA (but not MPA) was positively associated with rurality (5.2, 8.4 and 9.1 pmp/year in 'urban', 'accessible remote' and 'rural remote' areas, respectively; p=0.04). The age-standardised incidence ratio was similar across all quintiles of deprivation (p=ns). CONCLUSIONS: Seasonality and disease severity did not vary across AAV study groups. In this complete national cohort study, we observed a positive association between kidney biopsy-proven GPA and rurality.

Hematuria Is Associated with More Severe Acute Tubulointerstitial Nephritis.

Acute tubulointerstitial nephritis (ATIN) is a common cause of acute kidney injury. Although haematuria is a risk factor for the development of renal disease, no previous study has analyzed the significance of haematuria in ATIN. Retrospective, observational analysis of 110 patients with biopsy-proven ATIN was conducted. Results: Haematuria was present in 66 (60%) ATIN patients. A higher percentage of ATIN patients with haematuria had proteinuria than patients without haematuria (89.4% vs. 59.1%, p = 0.001) with significantly higher levels of proteinuria (median (interquartile range) protein:creatinine ratio 902.70 (513-1492) vs. 341.00 (177-734) mg/g, p <0.001). Moreover, those patients with more haematuria intensity had a higher urinary protein:creatinine ratio (1352.65 (665-2292) vs. 849.60 (562-1155) mg/g, p = 0.02). Those patients with higher proteinuria were more likely to need renal replacement therapy (22.7 vs. 0%, p = 0.03) and to suffer relapse (4 vs. 0%, p = 0.03). At the end of follow up, haematuric ATIN patients had higher serum creatinine levels (3.19 ± 2.91 vs. 1.91 ± 1.17 mg/dL, p = 0.007), and a trend towards a higher need for acute dialysis (7 vs. 1%, p = 0.09) and renal replacement therapy (12.1 vs. 2.3%, p = 0.12). Haematuria is common in ATIN and it is associated with worse renal function outcomes.

Predicting outcome in acute interstitial nephritis: a case-series examining the importance of histological parameters.

AIMS: The clinical significance of common histological parameters in acute interstitial nephritis (AIN) is uncertain. We aimed to evaluate the utility of histology in predicting clinical outcomes in patients with AIN. METHODS AND RESULTS: Adult renal biopsies yielding a diagnosis of AIN between 2000 and 2015 were re-examined. Patients were divided into groups based on: (i) the percentage of non-fibrotic cortex containing inflammation (NFI score) (NFI-1 = 0-24%; NFI-2 = 25-74%; NFI-3 = 75-100%) and (ii) the percentage of cortex containing tubular atrophy (TA score) (TA1 = 0-9%; TA2 = 10-24%; TA3 = 25-100%). The primary outcome was a composite of ≥50% reduction in serum creatinine (sCr) or an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) > 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 1 year post-biopsy. From a total of 2817 native renal biopsies, there were 120 patients with AIN and adequate data for analysis. Of these, 66 (56%) achieved the primary outcome. On univariable logistic regression, NFI-3 was associated with a 16 times increased likelihood of achieving the primary outcome compared to NFI-1 [odds ratio (OR) = 16, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 5.2-50)]. In contrast, TA3 was associated with a 90% reduced likelihood of achieving the primary outcome compared to TA1 (OR = 0.10, 95% CI = 0.0-0.3). Maximal clinical utility was achieved by combining TA and NFI into a single prognostic 'TANFI' score, which had an independent predictive effect on the primary outcome in a multivariable regression model consisting of age, sex, baseline sCr and identified drug cause. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with biopsy-proven AIN, a lower percentage of cortical tubular atrophy and, paradoxically, a higher percentage of inflammation in non-fibrosed cortex were associated with an increased likelihood of a positive clinical outcome.

Obesity is not associated with progression to end stage renal disease in patients with biopsy-proven glomerular diseases.

BACKGROUND: Body mass index (BMI) is associated with renal disease progression in unspecified CKD. The relationship between BMI and primary glomerular disease (GN) may be more complex. We aimed to evaluate the association between BMI and renal disease progression in patients with primary glomerular disease (GN). METHODS: This was a single-centre retrospective cohort study performed in adult patients with biopsy-proven primary GN (excluding minimal change disease) from January 2000 to December 2015, with follow-up data until June 2017. BMI at time of biopsy was categorised as ≤25 kg/m2, > 25 to ≤30 kg/m2 and > 30 kg/m2. We used univariate and multivariate survival analyses to evaluate factors associated with progression to a composite endpoint of stage 5 CKD or renal replacement therapy (Major Adverse Renal Event - MARE) censoring for competing risk of death using Fine and Gray subdistribution hazards model. RESULTS: We included 560 patients with biopsy-proven primary GN and available BMI data: 66.1% were male with median age 54.8 (IQR 41.1-66.2) years and BMI 28.2 (IQR 24.9-32.1) kg/m2. Those with BMI 25-30 kg/m2 (n = 210) and with BMI > 30 kg/m2 (n = 207) were older (p = 0.007) with higher systolic and diastolic blood pressures (p = 0.02 and 0.004 respectively) than those with BMI < 25 kg/m2 (n = 132). There was a greater proportion of focal segmental glomerulosclerosis in those with higher BMI (3.9% in BMI < 25 kg/m2, 7.9% in BMI 25-30 kg/m2 and 10.7% in BMI > 30 kg/m2 of biopsies (p = 0.01)), but similar proportions of other GN diagnoses across BMI groups. Baseline eGFR (p = 0.40) and uPCR (p = 0.17) were similar across BMI groups. There was no interaction between BMI and time to MARE (log-rank p = 0.98) or death (log-rank p = 0.42). Censoring for competing risk of death, factors associated with progression to MARE were: younger age, lower baseline eGFR and higher uPCR, but not BMI (SHR 0.99, 95%CI 0.97-1.01, p = 0.31) nor blood pressure or GN diagnosis. CONCLUSION: BMI was not associated with progression to MARE in this patient cohort with primary GN. Efforts should be directed to managing other known risk factors for CKD progression.

Assessment of active tubulointerstitial nephritis in non-scarred renal cortex improves prediction of renal outcomes in patients with IgA nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: The addition of tubulointerstitial inflammation to the existing pathological classification of IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is appealing but was previously precluded due to reportedly wide inter-observer variability. We report a novel method to score percentage of non-atrophic renal cortex containing active tubulointerstitial inflammation (ATIN) in patients with IgAN and assess its utility to predict clinical outcomes. METHODS: All adult patients with a native renal biopsy diagnosis of IgAN between 2010 and 2015 in a unit serving 1.5 million people were identified. Baseline characteristics, biopsy reports and outcome data were collected. ATIN was calculated by subtracting the percentage of atrophic cortex from the percentage of total cortex with tubulointerstitial inflammation, with ≥10% representing significant ATIN. The primary outcome was a composite of requiring renal replacement therapy or doubling of serum creatinine. RESULTS: In total 153 new cases of IgAN were identified, of which 111 were eligible for inclusion. Of these, 76 (68%) were male and 54 (49%) had ATIN on biopsy. During a median follow-up of 2.3 years, 34 (31%) reached the primary outcome. On univariable Cox regression analysis, ATIN was associated with a five-fold increase in the primary outcome [hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval) 4.9 (95% confidence interval (CI) 2.1-11.3)]. On multivariable analysis, mesangial hypercellularity, tubular atrophy and interstitial fibrosis and ATIN independently associated with renal outcome (P = 0.02 for ATIN). Inter-observer reproducibility revealed fair agreement in the diagnosis of ATIN (κ=0.43, P = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Within our centre, ATIN was significantly associated with renal outcome in patients with IgAN, independently of established histological features and baseline clinical characteristics.

Interaction between socioeconomic deprivation and likelihood of pre-emptive transplantation: influence of competing risks and referral characteristics - a retrospective study.

Socioeconomic deprivation (SED) influences likelihood of pre-emptive kidney transplantation (PET), but the mechanisms behind this are unclear. We explored the relationships between SED and patient characteristics at referral, which might explain this discrepancy. A retrospective cohort study was performed. SED was measured by Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD). Logistic regression evaluated predictors of PET. A competing risks survival analysis evaluated the interaction between SED and progression to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and death. Of 7765 patients with follow-up of 5.69 ± 6.52 years, 1298 developed ESKD requiring RRT; 113 received PET, 64 of which were from live donors. Patients receiving PET were "less deprived" with higher SIMD (5 ± 7 vs. 4 ± 5; P = 0.003). This appeared independent of overall comorbidity burden. SED was associated with a higher risk of death but not ESKD. Higher SIMD decile was associated with a higher likelihood of PET (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.06, 1.23); the presence of diabetes and malignancy also reduced PET. SED was associated with reduced likelihood of PET after adjustment for baseline comorbidity, and this was not explained by risk of death or faster progression to ESKD. Education and outreach into transplantation should be augmented in areas with higher deprivation.

Risk factors for bleeding complications after nephrologist-performed native renal biopsy.

BACKGROUND: Bleeding is a recognized complication of native percutaneous renal biopsy. This study aimed to describe the incidence of major bleeding after biopsy in a single centre over a 15-year period and examine factors associated with major bleeding. METHODS: We identified consecutive adult patients undergoing ultrasound-guided native renal biopsy in the Glasgow Renal and Transplant Unit from 2000 to 2014. From the electronic patient record, we collected data pertaining to biopsy indication, pre- and post-biopsy laboratory measurements, prescribed medication and diagnosis. Aspirin was routinely continued. We defined major bleeding post-biopsy as the need for blood transfusion, surgical or radiological intervention or death. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to assess factors associated with increased risk of major bleeding. RESULTS: There were 2563 patients who underwent native renal biopsy (1499 elective, 1064 emergency). The average age of patients was 57 (SD 17) years and 57.4% were male. Overall, the rate of major bleeding was 2.2%. In all, 46 patients required transfusion (1.8%), 9 patients underwent embolization (0.4%), no patient required nephrectomy and 1 patient died as a result of a significant late retroperitoneal bleed. Major bleeding was more common in those undergoing emergency compared with elective renal biopsy (3.4 versus 1.1%; P < 0.001). Aspirin was being taken at the time of biopsy in 327 of 1509 patients, with no significant increase in the risk of major bleeding (P = 0.93). Body mass index (BMI) data were available for 546 patients, with no increased risk of major bleeding in 207 patients classified as obese (BMI >30). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of major bleeding following native renal biopsy in the modern era is low. Complications are more common when biopsy is conducted as an emergency, which has implications for obtaining informed consent. Our data support the strategy of not stopping aspirin before renal biopsy.

Multiple socioeconomic deprivation and impact on survival in patients with primary glomerulonephritis.

Background: The impact of multiple socio-economic deprivation on patient outcomes in primary renal diseases is unknown. We aimed to assess whether risk of death or requiring renal replacement therapy (RRT) in patients with primary glomerulonephritis (GN) was higher in patients living in an area of multiple socio-economic deprivation. Methods: Patients undergoing native renal biopsy between 2000 and 2014 were identified. Baseline demographics, postcode at time of biopsy, follow-up blood pressure, proteinuria and time to death or RRT were recorded. The Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) is a multidimensional model used to measure deprivation based on postcode. Using SIMD, patients were separated into tertiles of deprivation. Results: A total of 797 patients were included, 64.2% were male with mean age of 54.1 (standard deviation 17.0) years. Median follow-up was 6.3 (interquartile range 3.7-9.4) years during which 174 patients required RRT and 185 patients died. Patients in the most deprived tertile of deprivation were significantly more likely to die than those in the least deprived tertile [hazard ratio (HR) 2.2, P < 0.001], independent of age, baseline serum creatinine and blood pressure. They were not more likely to require RRT (P = 0.22). The increased mortality risk in the most deprived tertile was not uniform across primary renal diseases, with the association being most marked in focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (HR 7.4) and IgA nephropathy (HR 2.7) and absent in membranous nephropathy. Conclusion: We have demonstrated a significant independent 2-fold increased risk of death in patients with primary GN who live in an area of multiple socio-economic deprivation at the time of diagnosis as compared with those living in less deprived areas.

Venous Thromboembolism in Primary Nephrotic Syndrome - Is the Risk High Enough to Justify Prophylactic Anticoagulation?

BACKGROUND: The reported incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients with nephrotic syndrome (NS) varies widely, as does the approach to prophylactic anticoagulation. We aimed to assess the incidence of VTE in patients with primary NS in order to inform a sample size calculation to determine if a future clinical trial will ever be feasible. METHODS: All adults undergoing native renal biopsy for NS between 2008 and 2013 yielding a diagnosis of primary glomerulonephritis were identified. Baseline serum albumin, urine protein:creatinine ratio, estimated glomerular filtration rate, date of biopsy and histological diagnosis were recorded. Episodes of objectively verified VTE were identified using the electronic patient record. Sample size calculations were performed based on 2 independent samples with a dichotomous outcome and to achieve a power of 80% and p < 0.05. RESULTS: Two hundred six patients were included of which 60% were male and mean age at biopsy was 55 years (SD 19). Median follow-up was 2.9 years (interquartile range (IQR) 1.6-4.7). Fourteen (6.8%) patients suffered VTE. Median time to diagnosis of VTE from renal biopsy was 36 days (IQR -22 to 178), with 6 VTEs occurring prior to biopsy and 1 during remission. In a total of 270 patient years of NS, there were 7 VTE that could potentially have been avoided if anticoagulation was given for the duration of NS, that is, 2.6% risk per year of NS; this risk was highest for patients with minimal change nephropathy at 13.3% per year of NS, compared to 0.65% per year of NS for those with idiopathic membranous nephropathy. Assuming a 75% reduction in the incidence of VTE with prophylactic anticoagulation, 972 participants would be required for a future clinical trial to have 80% power. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with primary NS are at an increased risk of VTE. The timing of VTE means that only half of episodes would be targeted by prophylactic anticoagulation. Given the low frequency of events, a well-powered clinical trial would be challenging to achieve.

Teaching percutaneous renal biopsy using unfixed human cadavers.

BACKGROUND: Percutaneous renal biopsy (PRB) is an important diagnostic procedure. Despite advances in its safety profile there remains a small but significant risk of bleeding complications. Traditionally, operators train to perform PRB through tutor instruction and directly supervised PRB attempts on real patients. We describe an approach to teaching operators to perform PRB using cadaveric simulation. METHODS: We devised a full day course hosted in the Clinical Anatomy Skills Centre, with places for nine candidates. Course faculty consisted of two Consultant Nephrologists, two Nephrology trainees experienced in PRB, and one Radiologist. Classroom instruction included discussion of PRB indications, risk minimisation, and management of complications. Two faculty members acted as models for the demonstration of kidney localisation using real-time ultrasound scanning. PRB was demonstrated using a cadaveric model, and candidates then practised PRB using each cadaver model. RESULTS: Written candidate feedback was universally positive. Faculty considered the cadaveric model a realistic representation of live patients, while the use of multiple cadavers introduced anatomical variation. CONCLUSIONS: Our model facilitates safe simulation of a high risk procedure. This might reduce serious harm associated with PRB and improve patient safety, benefiting trainee operators and patients alike.

The incidence of biopsy-proven IgA nephropathy is associated with multiple socioeconomic deprivation.

Chronic kidney disease is more common in areas of socioeconomic deprivation, but the relationship with the incidence and diagnosis of biopsy-proven renal disease is unknown. In order to study this, all consecutive adult patients undergoing renal biopsy in West and Central Scotland over an 11-year period were prospectively analyzed for demographics, indication, and histologic diagnosis. Using the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation, 1555 eligible patients were separated into quintiles of socioeconomic deprivation according to postcode. Patients in the most deprived quintile were significantly more likely to undergo biopsy compared with patients from less deprived areas (109.5 compared to 95.9 per million population/year). Biopsy indications were significantly more likely to be nephrotic syndrome, or significant proteinuria without renal impairment. Patients in the most deprived quintile were significantly more likely to have glomerulonephritis. There was a significant twofold increase in the diagnosis of IgA nephropathy in the patients residing in the most compared with the least deprived postcodes not explained by the demographics of the underlying population. Thus, patients from areas of socioeconomic deprivation in West and Central Scotland are significantly more likely to undergo native renal biopsy and have a higher prevalence of IgA nephropathy.

The Oxford IgA nephropathy clinicopathological classification is valid for children as well as adults.

To study the predictive value of biopsy lesions in IgA nephropathy in a range of patient ages we retrospectively analyzed the cohort that was used to derive a new classification system for IgA nephropathy. A total of 206 adults and 59 children with proteinuria over 0.5 g/24 h/1.73 m(2) and an eGFR of stage-3 or better were followed for a median of 69 months. At the time of biopsy, compared with adults children had a more frequent history of macroscopic hematuria, lower adjusted blood pressure, and higher eGFR but similar proteinuria. Although their outcome was similar to that of adults, children had received more immunosuppressants and achieved a lower follow-up proteinuria. Renal biopsies were scored for variables identified by an iterative process as reproducible and independent of other lesions. Compared with adults, children had significantly more mesangial and endocapillary hypercellularity, and less segmental glomerulosclerosis and tubulointerstitial damage, the four variables previously identified to predict outcome independent of clinical assessment. Despite these differences, our study found that the cross-sectional correlation between pathology and proteinuria was similar in adults and children. The predictive value of each specific lesion on the rate of decline of renal function or renal survival in IgA nephropathy was not different between children and adults.

The Oxford classification of IgA nephropathy: pathology definitions, correlations, and reproducibility.

Pathological classifications in current use for the assessment of glomerular disease have been typically opinion-based and built on the expert assumptions of renal pathologists about lesions historically thought to be relevant to prognosis. Here we develop a unique approach for the pathological classification of a glomerular disease, IgA nephropathy, in which renal pathologists first undertook extensive iterative work to define pathologic variables with acceptable inter-observer reproducibility. Where groups of such features closely correlated, variables were further selected on the basis of least susceptibility to sampling error and ease of scoring in routine practice. This process identified six pathologic variables that could then be used to interrogate prognostic significance independent of the clinical data in IgA nephropathy (described in the accompanying article). These variables were (1) mesangial cellularity score; percentage of glomeruli showing (2) segmental sclerosis, (3) endocapillary hypercellularity, or (4) cellular/fibrocellular crescents; (5) percentage of interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy; and finally (6) arteriosclerosis score. Results for interobserver reproducibility of individual pathological features are likely applicable to other glomerulonephritides, but it is not known if the correlations between variables depend on the specific type of glomerular pathobiology. Variables identified in this study withstood rigorous pathology review and statistical testing and we recommend that they become a necessary part of pathology reports for IgA nephropathy. Our methodology, translating a strong evidence-based dataset into a working format, is a model for developing classifications of other types of renal disease.

The Oxford classification of IgA nephropathy: rationale, clinicopathological correlations, and classification.

IgA nephropathy is the most common glomerular disease worldwide, yet there is no international consensus for its pathological or clinical classification. Here a new classification for IgA nephropathy is presented by an international consensus working group. The goal of this new system was to identify specific pathological features that more accurately predict risk of progression of renal disease in IgA nephropathy, thus enabling both clinicians and pathologists to improve individual patient prognostication. In a retrospective analysis, sequential clinical data were obtained on 265 adults and children with IgA nephropathy who were followed for a median of 5 years. Renal biopsies from all patients were scored by pathologists blinded to the clinical data for pathological variables identified as reproducible by an iterative process. Four of these variables: (1) the mesangial hypercellularity score, (2) segmental glomerulosclerosis, (3) endocapillary hypercellularity, and (4) tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis were subsequently shown to have independent value in predicting renal outcome. These specific pathological features withstood rigorous statistical analysis even after taking into account all clinical indicators available at the time of biopsy as well as during follow-up. The features have prognostic significance and we recommended they be taken into account for predicting outcome independent of the clinical features both at the time of presentation and during follow-up. The value of crescents was not addressed due to their low prevalence in the enrolled cohort.

Centre variation in incidence, indication and diagnosis of adult native renal biopsy in Scotland.

BACKGROUND: UK native renal biopsy incidence is unknown. Biopsy registries in other countries indicate that the incidence of renal biopsy varies widely. Indications for renal biopsy are largely opinion based. METHODS: The Scottish Renal Biopsy Registry aimed to analyse the incidence of native renal biopsy in Scotland and examine indications and diagnoses obtained where practice varied widely. RESULTS: Consecutive native adult renal biopsies performed in eight of the nine Scottish regions that include 82.4% of the population between 2002 and 2006 were examined. A total of 2480 native renal biopsies were performed equating 126.3 biopsies per million population per year (PMP/year). A total of 56.9% of patients were male, mean age 55.6 years (SD 1.3). The centres varied widely, from a lowest mean annual incidence of 65.8 PMP/year in Fife to the highest of 170.7 PMP/year in Tayside. The prospectively recorded indications and diagnoses were compared between Greater Glasgow, Clyde and Forth Valley (GC&FV) (population 1.56 million, 101.6 biopsies PMP/year) and Tayside (population 0.39 million, 177.4 biopsies PMP/year). Differing incidence of renal biopsy in these regions was mainly explained by patients with proteinuria and preserved renal function in the absence of nephrotic syndrome (19.2 PMP/year in GC&FV versus 60.8 PMP/year in Tayside), probably due to variation in nephrologists' opinion about the utility of biopsy for this indication. Tayside diagnosed more primary glomerulopathies, diabetic nephropathy and chronic ischaemia than GC&FV. CONCLUSIONS: We have demonstrated wide regional variability in incidence of native renal biopsy within a single country, with analysis suggesting that this is mainly explained by uncertainty about the utility of renal biopsy for patients with proteinuria and preserved renal function. Further studies are required to determine the value of renal biopsy in this setting.

Validation of the Toronto formula to predict progression in IgA nephropathy.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Predicting outcome in IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is difficult. The Toronto formula uses average mean arterial blood pressure and proteinuria during the first 2 years of follow-up (MAP(0-2), UP(0-2)) to predict the subsequent slope of estimated creatinine clearance (eCrCl). We aimed to validate the Toronto formula in a Scottish cohort and test the hypothesis that adding the slope eCrCl over the first 2 years of follow-up (eCrCl(0-2)) would improve the predictive utility of a similar multivariate model. METHODS: Adultsfrom our centre with biopsy-proven IgAN (n = 169) and at least 2 years of follow-up (median 129.4 months) were included. Clinical data were used to calculate MAP(0-2),UP(0-2),slope eCrCl(0-2 )and predicted slope eCrCl (using the Toronto formula). RESULTS: There was a significant correlation between predicted slope eCrCl using the Toronto formula and actual slope eCrCl (R(2 =) 0.21; p < 0.001). The formula predicted the actual rate of progression to within 4 ml/min/year in 75% of subjects, predicting patients with the most rapid deterioration with the greatest accuracy. The multivariate linear regression model created in our cohort using the same independent variables as the Toronto formula to predict the overall slope eCrCl had an R(2) of 0.22 (p < 0.001) and adding the slope CrCl(0-2) only increased this to 0.25. CONCLUSIONS: The Toronto formula is valid in a European population and useful for identifying patients at high risk of future deterioration in renal function. Adding slope eCrCl(0-2) to a predictive model containing MAP(0-2), andUP(0-2 )does not appear to improve prediction of the overall slope of eCrCl.