A Novel Decision Tree Model for Predicting the Cancer-Specific Survival of Patients with Bladder Cancer Treated with Radical Cystectomy.

Background/Objectives: The aim was to develop a decision tree and a new prognostic tool to predict cancer-specific survival in patients with urothelial bladder cancer treated with radical cystectomy. Methods: A total of 11,834 patients with bladder cancer treated with radical cystectomy between 2004 and 2019 from the SEER database were randomly split into the derivation (n = 7889) and validation cohorts (n = 3945). Survival curves were estimated using conditional decision tree analysis. We used Multiple Imputation by Chained Equations for the treatment of missing values and the pec package to compare the predictive performance. We extracted data from our model following CHARMS and assessed the risk of bias and applicability with PROBAST. Results: A total of 4824 (41%) patients died during the follow-up period due to bladder cancer. A decision tree was made and 12 groups were obtained. Patients with a higher AJCC stage and older age have a worse prognosis. The risk groups were summarized into high, intermediate and low risk. The integrated Brier scores between 0 and 191 months for the bootstrap estimates of the prediction error are the lowest for our conditional survival tree (0.189). The model showed a low risk of bias and low concern about applicability. The results must be externally validated. Conclusions: Decision tree analysis is a useful tool with significant discrimination. With this tool, we were able to stratify patients into 12 subgroups and 3 risk groups with a low risk of bias and low concern about applicability.

Opinions and perceptions of patients with cardiovascular disease on adherence: a qualitative study of focus groups.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular diseases are becoming more frequent throughout the world. Adherence to both pharmacological and non-pharmacological treatment, as well as lifestyles, is important for good management and control of the disease. This study aims to explore the opinions and perceptions of patients with ischemic heart disease on the difficulties associated with therapeutic adherence. METHODS: An interpretive phenomenological study was carried out using focus groups and one semi-structured interview. The MAXQDA qualitative data analysis program was used for inductive interpretation of the group discourses and interview. Data were coded, and these were grouped by categories and then consolidated under the main themes identified. RESULTS: Two in-person focus groups and one remote semi-structured interview were performed. Twelve participants (6 men and 6 women) from the Hospital de San Juan de Alicante participated, two of them being family companions . The main themes identified were aspects related to the individual, heart disease, drug treatment, and the perception of the health care system. CONCLUSIONS: Adhering to recommendations on healthy behaviors and taking prescribed medications for cardiovascular disease was important for most participants. However, they sometimes found polypharmacy difficult to manage, especially when they did not perceive the symptoms of their disease. Participants related the concept of fear to therapeutic adherence, believing that the latter increased with the former. The relationship with health professionals was described as optimal, but, nevertheless, the coordination of the health care system was seen as limited.

Medication Non-Adherence in Rheumatology, Oncology and Cardiology: A Review of the Literature of Risk Factors and Potential Interventions.

Medication adherence is directly associated with health outcomes. Adherence has been reviewed extensively; however, most studies provide a narrow scope of the problem, covering a specific disease or treatment. This project's objective was to identify risk factors for non-adherence in the fields of rheumatology, oncology, and cardiology as well as potential interventions to improve adherence and their association with the risk factors. The project was developed in three phases and carried out by a Steering Committee made up of experts from the fields of rheumatology, oncology, cardiology, general medicine, and hospital and community pharmacy. In phase 1, a bibliographic review was performed, and the articles/reviews were classified according to the authors' level of confidence in the results and their clinical relevance. In phase 2, 20 risk factors for non-adherence were identified from these articles/reviews and agreed upon in Steering Committee meetings. In phase 3, potential interventions for improving adherence were also identified and agreed upon. The results obtained show that adherence is a dynamic concept that can change throughout the course of the disease, the treatments, and other factors. Educational interventions are the most studied ones and have the highest level of confidence in the authors' opinion. Information and education are essential to improve adherence in all patients.

Mortality prediction models after radical cystectomy for bladder tumour: A systematic review and critical appraisal.

INTRODUCTION: To identify risk-predictive models for bladder-specific cancer mortality in patients undergoing radical cystectomy and assess their clinical utility and risk of bias. METHODS: Systematic review (CRD42021224626:PROSPERO) in Medline and EMBASE (from their creation until 31/10/2021) was screened to include articles focused on the development and internal validation of a predictive model of specific cancer mortality in patients undergoing radical cystectomy. CHecklist for critical Appraisal and data extraction for systematic Reviews of prediction Modelling Studies (CHARMS) and Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST) were applied. RESULTS: Nineteen observational studies were included. The main predictors were sociodemographic variables, such as age (18 studies, 94.7%) and sex (17, 89.5% studies), tumour characteristics (TNM stage (18 studies, 94.7%), histological subtype/grade (15 studies, 78.9%), lymphovascular invasion (10 studies, 52.6%) and treatment with chemotherapy (13 studies, 68.4%). C-index values were presented in 14 studies. The overall risk of bias assessed using PROBAST led to 100% of studies being classified as high risk (the analysis domain was rated to be at high risk of bias in all the studies), and 52.6% showed low applicability. Only 5 studies (26.3%) included an external validation and 2 (10.5%) included a prospective study design. CONCLUSIONS: Using clinical predictors to assess the risk of bladder-specific cancer mortality is a feasibility alternative. However, the studies showed a high risk of bias and their applicability is uncertain. Studies should improve the conducting and reporting, and subsequent external validation studies should be developed.

Factors Associated with Colorectal Cancer Screening in Spain: Results of the 2017 National Health Survey.

This study aimed to determine the CRC screening coverage of people aged between 50 and 69 years who were living in Spain in 2017 and describe the factors associated with not having had a faecal occult blood test (FOBT). A cross-sectional study was performed using data from the Spanish National Health Survey 2017. We analysed 7568 individuals between the ages of 50 and 69 years. The proportion of respondents between 50 and 69 years old who had had an FOBT was 29.0% (n = 2191). The three autonomous communities with the lowest proportion of respondents who had had an FOBT were Extremadura (8.7%, n = 16), Ceuta-Melilla (10.4%, n = 3), and Andalucia (14.1%, n = 186). The variables associated with not having had an FOBT were being 50-54 years old (PR = 1.09; 95% CI 1.04-1.14), having been born outside of Spain (PR = 1.11; 95% CI 1.06-1.16), not having been vaccinated against the flu (PR = 1.09; 95% CI 1.04-1.15), never having had a colonoscopy (PR = 1.49; 95% CI 1.40-1.59), not having had an ultrasound scan in the last year (PR = 1.09; 95% CI 1.04-1.14), and not having seen a primary care physician in the last month (PR = 1.08; 95% CI 1.04-1.12). The factors associated with not getting an FOBT were young age, having been born outside of Spain, not having been vaccinated against the flu in the last campaign, and not making frequent use of healthcare services.

A critical appraisal of the clinical applicability and risk of bias of the predictive models for mortality and recurrence in patients with oropharyngeal cancer: Systematic review.

The use of predictive models is becoming widespread. However, these models should be developed appropriately (CHecklist for critical Appraisal and data extraction for systematic Reviews of prediction Modeling Studies [CHARMS] and Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool [PROBAST] statements). Concerning mortality/recurrence in oropharyngeal cancer, we are not aware of any systematic reviews of the predictive models. We carried out a systematic review of the MEDLINE/EMBASE databases of those predictive models. In these models, we analyzed the 11 domains of the CHARMS statement and the risk of bias and applicability, using the PROBAST tool. Six papers were finally included in the systematic review and all of them presented high risk of bias and several limitations in the statistical analysis. The applicability was satisfactory in five out of six studies. None of the models could be considered ready for use in clinical practice.

Plantar pressure improvement in moderate hallux valgus with modified chevron osteotomy: Clinical and radiographic outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Hallux valgus (HV) is widely treated by Chevron osteotomy (CO); however, a modified CO may improve patient outcomes and recovery. METHODS: A prospective study was designed to analyze plantar pressure measurements and clinical and radiographic outcomes of a modified CO for HV. Recruitment was between February 2016 and February 2017. INCLUSION CRITERIA: diagnosis of moderate HV; an indication for surgical correction due to discomfort, pain or difficulty with shoe wear; and age over 18 years. Clinical and radiographic outcomes were evaluated using the American Orthopedic Foot and Ankle Society (AOFAS) guidelines and a visual analog scale (VAS). RESULTS: Forty-four patients met inclusion criteria. After surgery, the highest percentage in mean pressure was in the first and fifth metatarsal heads. At 12 months' follow-up, the AOFAS score improved, but differences in VAS scale were only significant at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: Modified CO is a good option for people with HV, improving foot activity compared to preoperative levels while limiting the time needed for recovery.

A cardiovascular risk score for hypertensive patients previously admitted to hospital.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular risk scales in hypertensive populations have limitations for clinical practice. AIMS: To develop and internally validate a predictive model to estimate one-year cardiovascular risk for hypertensive patients admitted to hospital. METHODS: Cohort study of 303 hypertensive patients admitted through the Emergency Department in a Spanish region in 2015-2017. The main variable was the onset of cardiovascular disease during follow-up. The secondary variables were: gender, age, educational level, family history of cardiovascular disease, Charlson score and its individual conditions, living alone, quality of life, smoking, blood pressure, physical activity and adherence to the Mediterranean diet. A Cox regression model was constructed to predict cardiovascular disease one year after admission. This was then adapted to a points system, externally validated by bootstrapping (discrimination and calibration) and implemented in a mobile application for Android. RESULTS: A total of 93 patients developed cardiovascular disease (30.7%) over a mean period of 1.68 years. The predictors in the points system were: gender, age, myocardial infarction, heart failure, peripheral arterial disease and daily activity (quality of life). The internal validation by bootstrapping was satisfactory. CONCLUSION: A novel points system was developed to predict short-term cardiovascular disease in hypertensive patients after hospital admission. External validation studies are needed to corroborate the results obtained.

A scoring system to predict recurrence in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer.

OBJECTIVES: Though predictive models have been constructed to determine the risk of recurrence in differentiated thyroid carcinoma, various aspects of these models are inadequate. Therefore, we aimed to construct, internally validate and implement on a mobile application a scoring system to determine this risk within 10 years. DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study in 1984-2016. SETTING: A Spanish region. PARTICIPANTS: We enrolled 200 patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma without distant metastasis at diagnosis. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Time-to-recurrence. A risk table was constructed based on the sum of points to estimate the likelihood of recurrence. The model was internally validated and implemented as a mobile application for Android. RESULTS: Predictive factors were follicular histology, T, N and multifocality. This risk table had a C-statistic of 0.723. The calibration was satisfactory. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides an instrument able to predict rapidly and very simply which patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma have a greater risk of recurrence.

Inappropriate Use of Medication by Elderly, Polymedicated, or Multipathological Patients with Chronic Diseases.

The growth of the aging population leads to the increase of chronic diseases, of the burden of multimorbility, and of the complexity polypharmacy. The prevalence of medication errors rises in patients with polypharmacy in primary care, and this is a major concern to healthcare systems. This study reviews the published literature on the inappropriate use of medicines in order to articulate recommendations on how to reduce it in chronic patients, particularly in those who are elderly, polymedicated, or multipathological. A systematic review of articles published from January 2000 to October 2015 was performed using MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsychInfo, Scopus, The Cochrane Library, and Index Medicus databases. We selected 80 studies in order to analyse the content that addressed the question under consideration. Our literature review found that half of patients know what their prescribed treatment is; that most of elderly people take five or more medications a day; that in elderly, polymedicated people, the probability of a medication error occurring is higher; that new tools have been recently developed to reduce errors; that elderly patients can understand written information but the presentation and format is an important factor; and that a high percentage of patients have remaining doubts after their visit. Thus, strategies based on the evidence should be applied in order to reduce medication errors.

Anti-adipogenic activity of an olive seed extract in mouse fibroblasts.

UNLABELLED: The administration of different polyphenols protects against increased body weight and fat accumulation. The aim of the study was to determine the anti-adipogenic activity of an olive-seed polyphenolic extract, by means of mouse fibroblast cell line 3T3-L1 adipocyte differentiation. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Cells were incubated and differentiated (6000 cells/cup) in the presence of olive-seed extract at 10 and 50 mg/l biosecure concentrations of polyphenols, and with no extract in the control sample. After 5 to 7 days mature adipocytes are formed. The fat clusters are quantified by means of red-oil staining, 490 nm absorbance, and the expression of the leptin and PPARg genes, and then compared to the values obtained in the cultures before and after adipocyte differentiation. RESULTS: The control samples, with no extract, presented an accumulation of fat of 100%. By contrast, the addition of 50 mg/l of olive-seed extract polyphenols resulted in a 50% accumulation of fat, similar to that of the non-differentiated cells. A 10 mg/l extract concentration had no effect. Anti-adipogenic activity is thus confirmed, as the expression of the PPARg and leptin genes is reduced in adipocyte differentiation in the presence of extract at 50 mg/l. In conclusion, both the formation of fatty substances characteristic of adipogenesis, and the expression of the adipogenic PPARg and leptin genes are found to be inhibited by the prior addition of olive-seed extract polyphenols at a 50 mg/l concentration.

La administración de diferentes polifenoles protege contra el incremento de peso y la acumulación de grasa. Objetivo: comprobar la actividad anti-adipogénica de un extracto polifenólico de huesos de aceituna, utilizando la diferenciación a adipocitos de la línea celular 3T3-L1 de fibroblastos de ratón. Material y métodos: se cultivan y diferencian las células (6.000 células/pocillo) en presencia del extracto de huesos de aceitunas a 10 y 50 mg/l de polifenoles, concentraciones bioseguras, y sin extracto como control. A los 5-7 días se forman los adipocitos maduros. Se cuantifican los cúmulos de grasa formados mediante tinción con Oil- Red y medida de la absorbancia a 490 nm y la expresión de los genes de leptina y PPARg, relacionándolos con los valores en los cultivos antes y después de diferenciarse a adipocitos. Resultados: las muestras control, sin extracto, se consideran el 100% de acumulación de grasas. En contraste, la adición de 50 mg/l de extracto de polifenoles de huesos de aceituna muestra un cúmulo de grasa de alrededor del 50%, semejante a las células no diferenciadas. Con 10 mg/l de extracto no se muestra efecto. Se confirma la actividad antiadipogénica, observándose disminución en la expresión de los genes PPARg y de leptina en la diferenciación a adipocitos en presencia del extracto a 50 mg/l. En conclusión, la formación de los cuerpos grasos característicos de la adipogénesis queda inhibida previa adición de 50 mg/l de polifenoles de extracto de huesos de aceituna, así como la expresión de los genes adipogénicos PPARg y de leptina.

[The PROPRESE trial: results of a new health care organizational model in primary care for patients with chronic coronary heart disease based on a multifactorial intervention]. / El estudio PROPRESE: resultados de un nuevo modelo organizativo en atención primaria para pacientes con cardiopatía isquémica crónica basado en una intervención multifactorial.

OBJECTIVE: Comparison of the results from the EUROASPIRE I to the EUROASPIRE III, in patients with coronary heart disease, shows that the prevalence of uncontrolled risk factors remains high. The aim of the study was to evaluate the effectiveness of a new multifactorial intervention in order to improve health care for chronic coronary heart disease patients in primary care. METHODS: In this randomized clinical trial with a 1-year follow-up period, we recruited patients with a diagnosis of coronary heart disease (145 for the intervention group and 1461 for the control group). An organizational intervention on the patient-professional relationship (centered on the Chronic Care Model, the Stanford Expert Patient Programme and the Kaiser Permanente model) and formative strategy for professionals were carried out. The main outcomes were smoking control, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP). A multivariate analysis was performed. RESULTS: The characteristics of patients were: age (68.4±11.8 years), male (71.6%), having diabetes mellitus (51.3%), dyslipidemia (68.5%), arterial hypertension (76.7%), non-smokers (76.1%); LDL-C < 100mg/dL (46.9%); SBP < 140mmHg (64.5%); DBP < 90 (91.2%). The multivariable analysis showed the risk of good control for intervention group to be: smoking, adjusted relative risk (aRR): 15.70 (95% confidence interval [95%CI], 4.2-58.7); P < .001; LDL-C, aRR: 2.98 (95%CI, 1.48-6.02); P < .002; SPB, aRR: 1.97 (95%CI, 1.21-3.23); P < .007, and DBP: aRR: 1.51 (95%CI, 0.65-3.50); P < .342. CONCLUSIONS: An intervention based on models for chronic patients focused in primary care and involving patients in medical decision making improves cardiovascular risk factors control (smoking, LDL-C and SBP). Chronic care strategies may be an efficacy tool to help clinicians to involve the patients with a diagnosis of CHD to reach better outcomes.

Framingham risk score for prediction of cardiovascular diseases: a population-based study from southern Europe.

BACKGROUND: The question about what risk function should be used in primary prevention remains unanswered. The Framingham Study proposed a new algorithm based on three key ideas: use of the four risk factors with the most weight (cholesterol, blood pressure, diabetes and smoking), prediction of overall cardiovascular diseases and incorporating the concept of vascular age. The objective of this study was to apply this new function in a cohort of the general non Anglo-Saxon population, with a 10-year follow-up to determine its validity. METHODS: The cohort was studied in 1992-94 and again in 2004-06. The sample comprised 959 randomly-selected persons, aged 30-74 years, who were representative of the population of Albacete, Spain. At the first examination cycle, needed data for the new function were collected and at the second examination, data on all events were recorded during the follow-up period. Discrimination was studied with ROC curves. Comparisons of prediction models and reality in tertiles (Hosmer-Lemeshow) were performed, and the individual survival functions were calculated. RESULTS: The mean risks for women and men, respectively, were 11.3% and 19.7% and the areas under the ROC curve were 0.789 (95%CI, 0.716-0.863) and 0.780 (95%CI, 0.713-0.847) (P<0.001, both). Cardiovascular disease events occurred in the top risk tertiles. Of note were the negative predictive values in both sexes, and a good specificity in women (85.6%) and sensitivity in men (79.1%) when their risk for cardiovascular disease was high. This model overestimates the risk in older women and in middle-aged men. The cumulative probability of individual survival by tertiles was significant in both sexes (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The results support the proposal for "reclassification" of Framingham. This study, with a few exceptions, passed the test of discrimination and calibration in a random sample of the general population from southern Europe.

Physician patient communication failure facilitates medication errors in older polymedicated patients with multiple comorbidities.

OBJECTIVE: To analyse the frequency of mistakes in communication between the physician and the patient and their incidence in errors in self-administered drugs. METHODS: We undertook a descriptive, cross-sectional study based on interviews with a random sample of patients older than 65 years who were polymedicated (five or more drugs) and had multiple comorbidities. Data were analysed about the patients' reports of what the physician said, medication mistakes by the patients and their consequences. RESULTS: Responses were provided by 382 patients. A medication error in the last year was reported by 287 patients (75%), and 16 patients (4%) reported four or more errors. Most cases concerned the dosage, a similar appearance of the medication or a lack of understanding of the physician's instructions. Very severe consequences occurred in 19 cases (5%). Multiple comorbidities (P = 0.006) and a greater number of treatments (P = 0.002) were associated with making mistakes. Frequent changes in prescription (P = 0.02), not considering the prescriptions of other physicians (P = 0.01), inconsistency in the messages (P = 0.01), being treated by various different physicians at the same time (P = 0.03), a feeling of not being listened to (P < 0.001) or loss of trust in the physician (P < 0.001) were associated with making medication mistakes. CONCLUSIONS: Mistakes by polymedicated patients with multiple comorbidities represent a real risk that should be addressed by the professionals. A review should be made of the routine control questions that the physician asks the patient to identify what other drugs the patient may be taking that have been indicated by another physician.