Incidence, risk factors and outcome of postoperative acute kidney injury in China.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common condition after surgery, however, the available data about nationwide epidemiology of postoperative AKI in China from large and high-quality studies are limited. This study aimed to determine the incidence, risk factors and outcomes of postoperative AKI among patients undergoing surgery in China. METHODS: This was a large, multicentre, retrospective study performed in 16 tertiary medical centres in China. Adult patients (≥18 years of age) who underwent surgical procedures from 1 January 2013 to 31 December 2019 were included. Postoperative AKI was defined by the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes creatinine criteria. The associations of AKI and in-hospital outcomes were investigated using logistic regression models adjusted for potential confounders. RESULTS: Among 520 707 patients included in our study, 25 830 (5.0%) patients developed postoperative AKI. The incidence of postoperative AKI varied by surgery type, which was highest in cardiac (34.6%), urologic (8.7%) and general (4.2%) surgeries. A total of 89.2% of postoperative AKI cases were detected in the first 2 postoperative days. However, only 584 (2.3%) patients with postoperative AKI were diagnosed with AKI on discharge. Risk factors for postoperative AKI included older age, male sex, lower baseline kidney function, pre-surgery hospital stay ≤3 days or >7 days, hypertension, diabetes mellitus and use of proton pump inhibitors or diuretics. The risk of in-hospital death increased with the stage of AKI. In addition, patients with postoperative AKI had longer lengths of hospital stay (12 versus 19 days) and were more likely to require intensive care unit care (13.1% versus 45.0%) and renal replacement therapy (0.4% versus 7.7%). CONCLUSIONS: Postoperative AKI was common across surgery type in China, particularly for patients undergoing cardiac surgery. Implementation and evaluation of an alarm system is important for the battle against postoperative AKI.

Clinical Characterization of Patients Diagnosed with Prostate Cancer and Undergoing Conservative Management: A PIONEER Analysis Based on Big Data.

BACKGROUND: Conservative management is an option for prostate cancer (PCa) patients either with the objective of delaying or even avoiding curative therapy, or to wait until palliative treatment is needed. PIONEER, funded by the European Commission Innovative Medicines Initiative, aims at improving PCa care across Europe through the application of big data analytics. OBJECTIVE: To describe the clinical characteristics and long-term outcomes of PCa patients on conservative management by using an international large network of real-world data. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: From an initial cohort of >100 000 000 adult individuals included in eight databases evaluated during a virtual study-a-thon hosted by PIONEER, we identified newly diagnosed PCa cases (n = 527 311). Among those, we selected patients who did not receive curative or palliative treatment within 6 mo from diagnosis (n = 123 146). OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Patient and disease characteristics were reported. The number of patients who experienced the main study outcomes was quantified for each stratum and the overall cohort. Kaplan-Meier analyses were used to estimate the distribution of time to event data. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: The most common comorbidities were hypertension (35-73%), obesity (9.2-54%), and type 2 diabetes (11-28%). The rate of PCa-related symptomatic progression ranged between 2.6% and 6.2%. Hospitalization (12-25%) and emergency department visits (10-14%) were common events during the 1st year of follow-up. The probability of being free from both palliative and curative treatments decreased during follow-up. Limitations include a lack of information on patients and disease characteristics and on treatment intent. CONCLUSIONS: Our results allow us to better understand the current landscape of patients with PCa managed with conservative treatment. PIONEER offers a unique opportunity to characterize the baseline features and outcomes of PCa patients managed conservatively using real-world data. PATIENT SUMMARY: Up to 25% of men with prostate cancer (PCa) managed conservatively experienced hospitalization and emergency department visits within the 1st year after diagnosis; 6% experienced PCa-related symptoms. The probability of receiving therapies for PCa decreased according to time elapsed after the diagnosis.

A bibliometric analysis of worldwide cancer research using machine learning methods.

With the progress and development of computer technology, applying machine learning methods to cancer research has become an important research field. To analyze the most recent research status and trends, main research topics, topic evolutions, research collaborations, and potential directions of this research field, this study conducts a bibliometric analysis on 6206 research articles worldwide collected from PubMed between 2011 and 2021 concerning cancer research using machine learning methods. Python is used as a tool for bibliometric analysis, Gephi is used for social network analysis, and the Latent Dirichlet Allocation model is used for topic modeling. The trend analysis of articles not only reflects the innovative research at the intersection of machine learning and cancer but also demonstrates its vigorous development and increasing impacts. In terms of journals, Nature Communications is the most influential journal and Scientific Reports is the most prolific one. The United States and Harvard University have contributed the most to cancer research using machine learning methods. As for the research topic, "Support Vector Machine," "classification," and "deep learning" have been the core focuses of the research field. Findings are helpful for scholars and related practitioners to better understand the development status and trends of cancer research using machine learning methods, as well as to have a deeper understanding of research hotspots.

Development and Validation of a Risk Prediction Model for Venous Thromboembolism in Lung Cancer Patients Using Machine Learning.

Background: There is currently a lack of model for predicting the occurrence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients with lung cancer. Machine learning (ML) techniques are being increasingly adapted for use in the medical field because of their capabilities of intelligent analysis and scalability. This study aimed to develop and validate ML models to predict the incidence of VTE among lung cancer patients. Methods: Data of lung cancer patients from a Grade 3A cancer hospital in China with and without VTE were included. Patient characteristics and clinical predictors related to VTE were collected. The primary endpoint was the diagnosis of VTE during index hospitalization. We calculated and compared the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) using the selected best-performed model (Random Forest model) through multiple model comparison, as well as investigated feature contributions during the training process with both permutation importance scores and the impurity-based feature importance scores in random forest model. Results: In total, 3,398 patients were included in our study, 125 of whom experienced VTE during their hospital stay. The ROC curve and precision-recall curve (PRC) for Random Forest Model showed an AUROC of 0.91 (95% CI: 0.893-0.926) and an AUPRC of 0.43 (95% CI: 0.363-0.500). For the simplified model, five most relevant features were selected: Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS), a history of VTE, recombinant human endostatin, EGFR-TKI, and platelet count. We re-trained a random forest classifier with results of the AUROC of 0.87 (95% CI: 0.802-0.917) and AUPRC of 0.30 (95% CI: 0.265-0.358), respectively. Conclusion: According to the study results, there was no conspicuous decrease in the model's performance when use fewer features to predict, we concluded that our simplified model would be more applicable in real-life clinical settings. The developed model using ML algorithms in our study has the potential to improve the early detection and prediction of the incidence of VTE in patients with lung cancer.

Application of informatics in cancer research and clinical practice: Opportunities and challenges.

Cancer informatics has significantly progressed in the big data era. We summarize the application of informatics approaches to the cancer domain from both the informatics perspective (e.g., data management and data science) and the clinical perspective (e.g., cancer screening, risk assessment, diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis). We discuss various informatics methods and tools that are widely applied in cancer research and practices, such as cancer databases, data standards, terminologies, high-throughput omics data mining, machine-learning algorithms, artificial intelligence imaging, and intelligent radiation. We also address the informatics challenges within the cancer field that pursue better treatment decisions and patient outcomes, and focus on how informatics can provide opportunities for cancer research and practices. Finally, we conclude that the interdisciplinary nature of cancer informatics and collaborations are major drivers for future research and applications in clinical practices. It is hoped that this review is instrumental for cancer researchers and clinicians with its informatics-specific insights.

Comparison of nomogram and machine-learning methods for predicting the survival of non-small cell lung cancer patients.

Background: Most patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) have a poor prognosis. Predicting overall survival using clinical data would benefit cancer patients by allowing providers to design an optimum treatment plan. We compared the performance of nomograms with machine-learning models at predicting the overall survival of NSCLC patients. This comparison benefits the development and selection of models during the clinical decision-making process for NSCLC patients. Methods: Multiple machine-learning models were used in a retrospective cohort of 6586 patients. First, we modeled and validated a nomogram to predict the overall survival of NSCLC patients. Subsequently, five machine-learning models (logistic regression, random forest, XGBoost, decision tree, and light gradient boosting machine) were used to predict survival status. Next, we evaluated the performance of the models. Finally, the machine-learning model with the highest accuracy was chosen for comparison with the nomogram at predicting survival status by observing a novel performance measure: time-dependent prediction accuracy. Results: Among the five machine-learning models, the accuracy of random forest model outperformed the others. Compared with the nomogram for time-dependent prediction accuracy with a follow-up time ranging from 12 to 60 months, the prediction accuracies of both the nomogram and machine-learning models changed as time varied. The nomogram reached a maximum prediction accuracy of 0.85 in the 60th month, and the random forest algorithm reached a maximum prediction accuracy of 0.74 in the 13th month. Conclusions: Overall, the nomogram provided more reliable prognostic assessments of NSCLC patients than machine-learning models over our observation period. Although machine-learning methods have been widely adopted for predicting clinical prognoses in recent studies, the conventional nomogram was competitive. In real clinical applications, a comprehensive model that combines these two methods may demonstrate superior capabilities.

Characteristics and Outcomes of Over 300,000 Patients with COVID-19 and History of Cancer in the United States and Spain.

BACKGROUND: We described the demographics, cancer subtypes, comorbidities, and outcomes of patients with a history of cancer and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Second, we compared patients hospitalized with COVID-19 to patients diagnosed with COVID-19 and patients hospitalized with influenza. METHODS: We conducted a cohort study using eight routinely collected health care databases from Spain and the United States, standardized to the Observational Medical Outcome Partnership common data model. Three cohorts of patients with a history of cancer were included: (i) diagnosed with COVID-19, (ii) hospitalized with COVID-19, and (iii) hospitalized with influenza in 2017 to 2018. Patients were followed from index date to 30 days or death. We reported demographics, cancer subtypes, comorbidities, and 30-day outcomes. RESULTS: We included 366,050 and 119,597 patients diagnosed and hospitalized with COVID-19, respectively. Prostate and breast cancers were the most frequent cancers (range: 5%-18% and 1%-14% in the diagnosed cohort, respectively). Hematologic malignancies were also frequent, with non-Hodgkin's lymphoma being among the five most common cancer subtypes in the diagnosed cohort. Overall, patients were aged above 65 years and had multiple comorbidities. Occurrence of death ranged from 2% to 14% and from 6% to 26% in the diagnosed and hospitalized COVID-19 cohorts, respectively. Patients hospitalized with influenza (n = 67,743) had a similar distribution of cancer subtypes, sex, age, and comorbidities but lower occurrence of adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with a history of cancer and COVID-19 had multiple comorbidities and a high occurrence of COVID-19-related events. Hematologic malignancies were frequent. IMPACT: This study provides epidemiologic characteristics that can inform clinical care and etiologic studies.

Thirty-Day Outcomes of Children and Adolescents With COVID-19: An International Experience.

OBJECTIVES: To characterize the demographics, comorbidities, symptoms, in-hospital treatments, and health outcomes among children and adolescents diagnosed or hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and to compare them in secondary analyses with patients diagnosed with previous seasonal influenza in 2017-2018. METHODS: International network cohort using real-world data from European primary care records (France, Germany, and Spain), South Korean claims and US claims, and hospital databases. We included children and adolescents diagnosed and/or hospitalized with COVID-19 at age <18 between January and June 2020. We described baseline demographics, comorbidities, symptoms, 30-day in-hospital treatments, and outcomes including hospitalization, pneumonia, acute respiratory distress syndrome, multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children, and death. RESULTS: A total of 242 158 children and adolescents diagnosed and 9769 hospitalized with COVID-19 and 2 084 180 diagnosed with influenza were studied. Comorbidities including neurodevelopmental disorders, heart disease, and cancer were more common among those hospitalized with versus diagnosed with COVID-19. Dyspnea, bronchiolitis, anosmia, and gastrointestinal symptoms were more common in COVID-19 than influenza. In-hospital prevalent treatments for COVID-19 included repurposed medications (<10%) and adjunctive therapies: systemic corticosteroids (6.8%-7.6%), famotidine (9.0%-28.1%), and antithrombotics such as aspirin (2.0%-21.4%), heparin (2.2%-18.1%), and enoxaparin (2.8%-14.8%). Hospitalization was observed in 0.3% to 1.3% of the cohort diagnosed with COVID-19, with undetectable (n < 5 per database) 30-day fatality. Thirty-day outcomes including pneumonia and hypoxemia were more frequent in COVID-19 than influenza. CONCLUSIONS: Despite negligible fatality, complications including hospitalization, hypoxemia, and pneumonia were more frequent in children and adolescents with COVID-19 than with influenza. Dyspnea, anosmia, and gastrointestinal symptoms could help differentiate diagnoses. A wide range of medications was used for the inpatient management of pediatric COVID-19.

Baseline characteristics, management, and outcomes of 55,270 children and adolescents diagnosed with COVID-19 and 1,952,693 with influenza in France, Germany, Spain, South Korea and the United States: an international network cohort study.

Objectives To characterize the demographics, comorbidities, symptoms, in-hospital treatments, and health outcomes among children/adolescents diagnosed or hospitalized with COVID-19. Secondly, to describe health outcomes amongst children/adolescents diagnosed with previous seasonal influenza. Design International network cohort. Setting Real-world data from European primary care records (France/Germany/Spain), South Korean claims and US claims and hospital databases. Participants Diagnosed and/or hospitalized children/adolescents with COVID-19 at age <18 between January and June 2020; diagnosed with influenza in 2017-2018. Main outcome measures Baseline demographics and comorbidities, symptoms, 30-day in-hospital treatments and outcomes including hospitalization, pneumonia, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), multi-system inflammatory syndrome (MIS-C), and death. Results A total of 55,270 children/adolescents diagnosed and 3,693 hospitalized with COVID-19 and 1,952,693 diagnosed with influenza were studied. Comorbidities including neurodevelopmental disorders, heart disease, and cancer were all more common among those hospitalized vs diagnosed with COVID-19. The most common COVID-19 symptom was fever. Dyspnea, bronchiolitis, anosmia and gastrointestinal symptoms were more common in COVID-19 than influenza. In-hospital treatments for COVID-19 included repurposed medications (<10%), and adjunctive therapies: systemic corticosteroids (6.8% to 37.6%), famotidine (9.0% to 28.1%), and antithrombotics such as aspirin (2.0% to 21.4%), heparin (2.2% to 18.1%), and enoxaparin (2.8% to 14.8%). Hospitalization was observed in 0.3% to 1.3% of the COVID-19 diagnosed cohort, with undetectable (N<5 per database) 30-day fatality. Thirty-day outcomes including pneumonia, ARDS, and MIS-C were more frequent in COVID-19 than influenza. Conclusions Despite negligible fatality, complications including pneumonia, ARDS and MIS-C were more frequent in children/adolescents with COVID-19 than with influenza. Dyspnea, anosmia and gastrointestinal symptoms could help differential diagnosis. A wide range of medications were used for the inpatient management of pediatric COVID-19.

Development and validation of the HNC-LL score for predicting the severity of coronavirus disease 2019.

BACKGROUND: Information regarding risk factors associated with severe coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is limited. This study aimed to develop a model for predicting COVID-19 severity. METHODS: Overall, 690 patients with confirmed COVID-19 were recruited between 1 January and 18 March 2020 from hospitals in Honghu and Nanchang; finally, 442 patients were assessed. Data were categorised into the training and test sets to develop and validate the model, respectively. FINDINGS: A predictive HNC-LL (Hypertension, Neutrophil count, C-reactive protein, Lymphocyte count, Lactate dehydrogenase) score was established using multivariate logistic regression analysis. The HNC-LL score accurately predicted disease severity in the Honghu training cohort (area under the curve [AUC]=0.861, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.800-0.922; P<0.001); Honghu internal validation cohort (AUC=0.871, 95% CI: 0.769-0.972; P<0.001); and Nanchang external validation cohort (AUC=0.826, 95% CI: 0.746-0.907; P<0.001) and outperformed other models, including CURB-65 (confusion, uraemia, respiratory rate, BP, age ≥65 years) score model, MuLBSTA (multilobular infiltration, hypo-lymphocytosis, bacterial coinfection, smoking history, hypertension, and age) score model, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio model. The clinical significance of HNC-LL in accurately predicting the risk of future development of severe COVID-19 was confirmed. INTERPRETATION: We developed an accurate tool for predicting disease severity among COVID-19 patients. This model can potentially be used to identify patients at risks of developing severe disease in the early stage and therefore guide treatment decisions. FUNDING: This work was supported by the National Nature Science Foundation of China (grant no. 81972897) and Guangdong Province Universities and Colleges Pearl River Scholar Funded Scheme (2015).

Improved glomerular filtration rate estimation using new equations combined with standardized cystatin C and creatinine in Chinese adult chronic kidney disease patients.

OBJECTIVES: The newly developed glomerular filtration rate (GFR)-estimating equations developed by the CKD-EPI Collaboration and Feng et al. (2013) that are based on standardized serum cystatin C (ScysC), combined/not combined with serum creatinine (Scr), require further validation in China. We compared the performance of four new equations (CKD-EPIcys, CKD-EPIcr-cys, Fengcys, and Fengcr-cys equations) with the CKD-EPI creatinine equation (CKD-EPIcr) in adult Chinese chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients to clarify their clinical application. DESIGN AND METHODS: GFR was measured using the dual plasma sampling (99m)Tc-DTPA method (mGFR) in 252 adult CKD patients enrolled from four centres. Scr and ScysC were measured by standardized assays in a central laboratory. Each equation's performance was assessed using bias, precision, accuracy, agreement, and correct classification of the CKD stage. RESULTS: The measured GFR was 46 [25-83] mL/min per 1.73 m(2). The CKD-EPIcys, CKD-EPIcr-cys and Fengcys equations provided significantly higher accuracy (P15: 38.9%, 39.7%, and 38.9%) than the CKD-EPIcr equation (29.8%). The CKD-EPIcr-cys and Fengcr-cys equations presented higher precision (IQR of the difference, 16.4 and 17.3 mL/min per 1.73 m(2), respectively) and narrower acceptable limits in Bland-Altman analysis (56.6 and 50.8 mL/min per 1.73 m(2), respectively) than single marker-based equations. The CKD-EPIcr-cys equation achieved the highest overall correct proportion (61.5%) in classification of CKD stages. CONCLUSIONS: Combining ScysC and Scr measurements for GFR estimation improves diagnostic performance. The Scr-ScysC equation showed better performance than equations based on either marker alone. The CKD-EPIcr-cys equation showed the best performance for GFR estimation in Chinese adult CKD patients.