Targeted therapies in children with renal cell carcinoma (RCC): An International Society of Pediatric Oncology-Renal Tumor Study Group (SIOP-RTSG)-related retrospective descriptive study.

INTRODUCTION: Introduction: Renal cell carcinoma (RCC) is a very rare pediatric renal tumor. Robust evidence to guide treatment is lacking and knowledge on targeted therapies and immunotherapy is mainly based on adult studies. Currently, the International Society of Pediatric Oncology-Renal Tumor Study Group (SIOP-RTSG) 2016 UMBRELLA protocol recommends sunitinib for metastatic or unresectable RCC. METHODS: This retrospective study describes the effects of tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI), anti-programmed cell death 1 (PD-(L)1) monoclonal antibodies, and immunotherapeutic regimens in advanced-stage and relapsed pediatric RCC. RESULTS: Of the 31 identified patients (0-18 years) with histologically proven RCC, 3/31 presented with TNM stage I/II, 8/31 with TNM stage III, and 20/31 with TNM stage IV at diagnosis. The majority were diagnosed with translocation type RCC (MiT-RCC) (21/31) and the remaining patients mainly presented with papillary or clear-cell RCC. Treatment in a neoadjuvant or adjuvant setting, or upon relapse or progression, included mono- or combination therapy with a large variety of drugs, illustrating center specific choices in most patients. Sunitinib was often administered as first choice and predominantly resulted in stable disease (53%). Other frequently used drugs included axitinib, cabozantinib, sorafenib, and nivolumab; however, no treatment seemed more promising than sunitinib. Overall, 15/31 patients died of disease, 12/31 are alive with active disease, and only four patients had a complete response. The sample size and heterogeneity of this cohort only allowed descriptive statistical analysis. CONCLUSION: This study provides an overview of a unique series of clinical and treatment characteristics of pediatric patients with RCC treated with targeted therapies.

Characteristics and outcome of synchronous bilateral Wilms tumour in the SIOP WT 2001 Study: Report from the SIOP Renal Tumour Study Group (SIOP-RTSG).

BACKGROUND: Among patients with nephroblastoma, those with bilateral disease are a unique population where maximising tumour control must be balanced with preserving renal parenchyma. METHODS: The SIOP 2001 protocol recommended surgery after neoadjuvant cycle(s) of Dactinomycin and Vincristine (AV) with response-adapted intensification, if needed. Adjuvant treatment was given based on the lesion with the worst histology. RESULTS: Three hundred and twenty seven patients with stage V disease were evaluable: 174 had bilateral Wilms tumour (BWT), 101 unilateral WT and contralateral nephroblastomatosis (NB) and 52 bilateral nephroblastomatosis. In these three groups, the estimated 5y-EFS was 76.1%, 84.6%, and 74.9%, respectively. AV chemotherapy alone was the successful chemotherapy for 58.7% of all the patients and 65.6% of the non-metastatic patients. Among the 174 patients with BWT, 149 (88.2%) had at least one nephron-sparing surgery. Twenty of 61 bilateral stage I patients were treated with four-week AV postoperatively achieving 94.4% 5y-EFS. At last follow-up, 87% of patients had normal renal function. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that AV without anthracyclines is sufficient to achieve NSS and good survival in the majority of patients. For patients with bilateral stage I WT and intermediate risk histology, only four weeks adjuvant AV seems to be sufficient. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT00047138.

Medulloblastoma in children with Fanconi anemia: Association with FA-D1/FA-N, SHH type and poor survival independent of treatment strategies.

BACKGROUND: Outcome of children with medulloblastoma (MB) and Fanconi Anemia (FA), an inherited DNA repair deficiency, has not been described systematically. Treatment is complicated by high vulnerability to treatment-associated side effects, yet structured data are lacking. This study aims at giving a comprehensive overview about clinical and molecular characteristics of pediatric FA MB patients. METHODS: Clinical data including detailed information on treatment and toxicities of six previously unreported FA MB patients were supplemented with data of 16 published cases. RESULTS: We identified 22 cases of children with FA and MB with clinical data available. All MBs with subgroup reporting were SHH-activated (n=9), confirmed by methylation profiling in five patients. FA MB patients exclusively belonged to complementation groups FA-D1 (n=16) or FA-N (n=3). Patients were treated with postoperative chemotherapy only (50%) or radiotherapy (RT)±chemotherapy (27%). 23% did not receive adjuvant therapy. Excessive treatment-related toxicities were frequent. Severe hematological toxicity occurred in 91% of patients treated with alkylating chemotherapy, while non-alkylating agents and RT were less toxic. Median overall survival (OS) was 1 year (95%CI 0.3-1.8). 1-year-progression-free-survival (PFS) was 26.3±10.1% and 1-year-OS was 42.1±11.3%. Adjuvant therapy prolonged survival (1y-OS/1y-PFS 0%/0% without adjuvant therapy vs. 53.3±12.9%/33.3±12.2% with adjuvant therapy, p=0.006/p=0.086). CONCLUSIONS: MB in FA patients is strongly associated with SHH activation and FA-D1/FA-N. Despite the dismal prognosis, adjuvant therapy may prolong survival. Non-alkylating chemotherapy and RT are feasible in selected patients with careful monitoring of toxicities and dose adjustments. Curative therapy for FA MB-SHH remains an unmet medical need.

Irinotecan and temozolomide in combination with dasatinib and rapamycin versus irinotecan and temozolomide for patients with relapsed or refractory neuroblastoma (RIST-rNB-2011): a multicentre, open-label, randomised, controlled, phase 2 trial.

BACKGROUND: Neuroblastoma is the most common extracranial solid tumour in children. Relapsed or refractory neuroblastoma is associated with a poor outcome. We assessed the combination of irinotecan-temozolomide and dasatinib-rapamycin (RIST) in patients with relapsed or refractory neuroblastoma. METHODS: The multicentre, open-label, randomised, controlled, phase 2, RIST-rNB-2011 trial recruited from 40 paediatric oncology centres in Germany and Austria. Patients aged 1-25 years with high-risk relapsed (defined as recurrence of all stage IV and MYCN amplification stages, after response to treatment) or refractory (progressive disease during primary treatment) neuroblastoma, with Lansky and Karnofsky performance status at least 50%, were assigned (1:1) to RIST (RIST group) or irinotecan-temozolomide (control group) by block randomisation, stratified by MYCN status. We compared RIST (oral rapamycin [loading 3 mg/m2 on day 1, maintenance 1 mg/m2 on days 2-4] and oral dasatinib [2 mg/kg per day] for 4 days with 3 days off, followed by intravenous irinotecan [50 mg/m2 per day] and oral temozolomide [150 mg/m2 per day] for 5 days with 2 days off; one course each of rapamycin-dasatinib and irinotecan-temozolomide for four cycles over 8 weeks, then two courses of rapamycin-dasatinib followed by one course of irinotecan-temozolomide for 12 weeks) with irinotecan-temozolomide alone (with identical dosing as experimental group). The primary endpoint of progression-free survival was analysed in all eligible patients who received at least one course of therapy. The safety population consisted of all patients who received at least one course of therapy and had at least one post-baseline safety assessment. This trial is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01467986, and is closed to accrual. FINDINGS: Between Aug 26, 2013, and Sept 21, 2020, 129 patients were randomly assigned to the RIST group (n=63) or control group (n=66). Median age was 5·4 years (IQR 3·7-8·1). 124 patients (78 [63%] male and 46 [37%] female) were included in the efficacy analysis. At a median follow-up of 72 months (IQR 31-88), the median progression-free survival was 11 months (95% CI 7-17) in the RIST group and 5 months (2-8) in the control group (hazard ratio 0·62, one-sided 90% CI 0·81; p=0·019). Median progression-free survival in patients with amplified MYCN (n=48) was 6 months (95% CI 4-24) in the RIST group versus 2 months (2-5) in the control group (HR 0·45 [95% CI 0·24-0·84], p=0·012); median progression-free survival in patients without amplified MYCN (n=76) was 14 months (95% CI 9-7) in the RIST group versus 8 months (4-15) in the control group (HR 0·84 [95% CI 0·51-1·38], p=0·49). The most common grade 3 or worse adverse events were neutropenia (54 [81%] of 67 patients given RIST vs 49 [82%] of 60 patients given control), thrombocytopenia (45 [67%] vs 41 [68%]), and anaemia (39 [58%] vs 38 [63%]). Nine serious treatment-related adverse events were reported (five patients given control and four patients given RIST). There were no treatment-related deaths in the control group and one in the RIST group (multiorgan failure). INTERPRETATION: RIST-rNB-2011 demonstrated that targeting of MYCN-amplified relapsed or refractory neuroblastoma with a pathway-directed metronomic combination of a multkinase inhibitor and an mTOR inhibitor can improve progression-free survival and overall survival. This exclusive efficacy in MYCN-amplified, relapsed neuroblastoma warrants further investigation in the first-line setting. FUNDING: Deutsche Krebshilfe.

Can Lymph Node Involvement in Unilateral Wilms Tumor be Predicted by Preoperatively known Data in Combination with Intraoperative Findings?

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to identify parameters that allow the estimation of tumor-infiltrated lymph nodes (LN) after pretreatment for unilateral Wilms tumor (WT). SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Complete tumor resection with removal of regional LN is always necessary. Positive LNs require local irradiation influencing benefits in case of NSS in long-term follow-up. Clinical and tumor-related data available at the time of surgery in combination with intraoperative findings (IAF) were used to estimate the LN status during surgery. METHODS: Altogether, 2115 patients with unilateral WT were prospectively enrolled in SIOP-93-01 / GPOH and SIOP-2001 / GPOH over a period of 30 years (1993-2023). LN infiltration by tumor was calculated for age, sex, metastases at diagnosis, tumor volume (TV), TV shrinkage, and intraoperative findings (IAF) using logistic regression models. RESULTS: Age ≥48 months (P<0.001, OR 2.17, CI 1.57 - 3.00), TV at diagnosis ≥300 (P<0.001, OR 3.72, CI 2.37 - 5.85), metastasis at diagnosis (P<0.001, OR 6.21, CI 4.47 - 8.62) and IAF (>1: P<0.001, OR 3.54, CI 2.13 - 5.88) correlated with positive LNs. TV shrinkage was not predictive of positive LN. Three flow charts were developed based on age, TV at diagnosis, metastasis, and IAF. These flowcharts defined risks between 0% and 41.5% for LN infiltration by tumor. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of age, TV at diagnosis, and metastasis with IAF allows the estimation of the frequency of positive LNs, which may help surgeons deciding about NSS.

A Multidisciplinary Hyper-Modeling Scheme in Personalized In Silico Oncology: Coupling Cell Kinetics with Metabolism, Signaling Networks, and Biomechanics as Plug-In Component Models of a Cancer Digital Twin.

The massive amount of human biological, imaging, and clinical data produced by multiple and diverse sources necessitates integrative modeling approaches able to summarize all this information into answers to specific clinical questions. In this paper, we present a hypermodeling scheme able to combine models of diverse cancer aspects regardless of their underlying method or scale. Describing tissue-scale cancer cell proliferation, biomechanical tumor growth, nutrient transport, genomic-scale aberrant cancer cell metabolism, and cell-signaling pathways that regulate the cellular response to therapy, the hypermodel integrates mutation, miRNA expression, imaging, and clinical data. The constituting hypomodels, as well as their orchestration and links, are described. Two specific cancer types, Wilms tumor (nephroblastoma) and non-small cell lung cancer, are addressed as proof-of-concept study cases. Personalized simulations of the actual anatomy of a patient have been conducted. The hypermodel has also been applied to predict tumor control after radiotherapy and the relationship between tumor proliferative activity and response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Our innovative hypermodel holds promise as a digital twin-based clinical decision support system and as the core of future in silico trial platforms, although additional retrospective adaptation and validation are necessary.

The impact of the route to diagnosis in nephroblastoma.

INTRODUCTION: Wilms tumor (WT) is the most common childhood kidney cancer. It is a rapid growing embryonal tumor in young children and can be diagnosed with and without tumor related symptoms. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the route to diagnosis of WT treated prospectively according to the SIOP 93-01/GPOH and 2001/GPOH in Germany between 1993 and 2022. Four routes were defined: diagnosis due to tumor-related symptoms, incidental diagnosis during another disease, diagnosis by preventive examinations, and diagnosis within a surveillance program. For these groups we compared clinical and tumor characteristics and outcome. RESULTS: Of 2549 patients with WT 1822 (71.5%) were diagnosed by tumor-related symptoms, 472 (18.5%) incidentally, 213 (8.4%) by preventive medical examinations, and 42 (1.6%) by surveillance. Age, general health status, tumor volume, and local and overall stage varied significantly between these groups. The youngest patients were those diagnosed by preventive medical examination (mean: 1.70 years). These patients also showed the best general health status. Tumor volume at diagnosis (549 mL) and after preoperative chemotherapy (255 mL) was significantly higher for children with tumor-related symptoms. The highest percentage of local stage I (78.6%) and the lowest percentage of metastatic disease (4.8%) was found in the surveillance group. The outcome of patients was not significantly different, with up to 19.0% relapses in the surveillance group and 3.0% deaths in the group with tumor-related symptoms. CONCLUSION: The route to diagnosis of WT correlates with age, general health status, tumor volume, and stage distribution, but does not impact the outcome of patients. Nonetheless, diagnosis without tumor related symptoms results in lower treatment burden and thus improved quality of life.

Gliomatosis cerebri in children: A poor prognostic phenotype of diffuse gliomas with a distinct molecular profile.

BACKGROUND: The term Gliomatosis cerebri (GC), a radiology-defined highly infiltrating diffuse glioma, has been abandoned since molecular GC-associated features have not been established yet. METHODS: We conducted a multinational retrospective study of 104 children and adolescents with GC providing comprehensive clinical and (epi-)genetic characterization. RESULTS: Median overall survival (OS) was 15.5 months (interquartile range, 10.9-27.7) with a 2-years survival rate of 28%. Histopathological grading correlated significantly with median OS: CNS WHO grade II: 47.8 months (25.2-55.7); grade III: 15.9 months (11.4-26.3); grade IV: 10.4 months (8.8-14.4). By DNA methylation profiling (n=49), most tumors were classified as pediatric-type diffuse high-grade glioma (pedHGG), H3-/IDH-wildtype (n=31/49, 63.3%) with enriched subclasses pedHGG_RTK2 (n=19), pedHGG_A/B (n=6), and pedHGG_MYCN (n=5), but only one pedHGG_RTK1 case. Within the pedHGG, H3-/IDH-wildtype subgroup, recurrent alterations in EGFR (n=10) and BCOR (n=9) were identified. Additionally, we observed structural aberrations in chromosome 6 in 16/49 tumors (32.7%) across tumor types. In the pedHGG, H3-/IDH-wildtype subgroup TP53 alterations had a significant negative effect on OS. CONCLUSION: Contrary to previous studies, our representative pediatric GC study provides evidence that GC has a strong predilection to arise on the background of specific molecular features (especially pedHGG_RTK2, pedHGG_A/B, EGFR and BCOR mutations, chromosome 6 rearrangements).

Diagnostic magnetic resonance imaging characteristics of congenital mesoblastic nephroma: a retrospective multi-center International Society of Pediatric Oncology-Renal Tumor Study Group (SIOP-RTSG) radiology panel study.

BACKGROUND: Congenital mesoblastic nephroma is the most common solid renal tumor in neonates. Therefore, patients <3 months of age are advised to undergo upfront nephrectomy, whereas invasive procedures at diagnosis in patients ≥3 months of age are discouraged by the International Society of Pediatric Oncology-Renal Tumor Study Group (SIOP-RTSG). Nevertheless, discriminating congenital mesoblastic nephroma, especially from the more common Wilms tumor, solely based on imaging remains difficult. Recently, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has become the preferred modality. Studies focusing on MRI characteristics of congenital mesoblastic nephroma are limited. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to identify diagnostic MRI characteristics of congenital mesoblastic nephroma in the largest series of patients to date. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this retrospective multicenter study, five SIOP-RTSG national review radiologists identified 52 diagnostic MRIs of histologically proven congenital mesoblastic nephromas. MRI was performed following SIOP-RTSG protocols, while radiologists assessed their national cases using a validated case report form. RESULTS: Patients (24/52 classic, 11/52 cellular, and 15/52 mixed type congenital mesoblastic nephroma, 2/52 unknown) had a median age of 1 month (range 1 day-3 months). Classic type congenital mesoblastic nephroma appeared homogeneous with a lack of hemorrhage, necrosis and/or cysts, showing a concentric ring sign in 14 (58.3%) patients. Cellular and mixed type congenital mesoblastic nephroma appeared more heterogeneous and were larger (311.6 and 174.2 cm3, respectively, versus 41.0 cm3 for the classic type (P<0.001)). All cases were predominantly T2-weighted isointense and T1-weighted hypointense, and mean overall apparent diffusion coefficient values ranged from 1.05-1.10×10-3 mm2/s. CONCLUSION: This retrospective international collaborative study showed classic type congenital mesoblastic nephroma predominantly presented as a homogeneous T2-weighted isointense mass with a typical concentric ring sign, whereas the cellular type appeared more heterogeneous. Future studies may use identified MRI characteristic of congenital mesoblastic nephroma for validation and for exploring the discriminative non-invasive value of MRI, especially from Wilms tumor.

Committed Lone Fighters And Group Experiences: An International Survey On Pediatric Hematology And Oncology Training In German-Speaking Countries.

INTRODUCTION: In German-speaking countries children with cancer are treated in about 70 hospitals. While national and European curricula for pediatric oncology and hematology (POH) have been developed, little is known, how far these curricula have been implemented into daily training and what topics are deemed urgent by instructors. METHODS AND MATERIALS: In 2022 the Didactics and Educational working party of the German Pediatric Hematology/Oncology Society conducted a survey plus interview by phone call on local educational conditions in POH and needs of educators. RESULTS: Thirty-two (45%) POH centers answered the questionary, half have appointed persons overseeing the training. A wide range educational scenarios were described in some centers. Trainees identified urgent needs in areas such as hybrid education and demanded training workshops on specific topics and intensified networking and a general curriculum implemented into daily care as mandatory. CONCLUSION: This is the first survey on educational issues in POH in German speaking centers, describing the current situation before and under pandemic conditions. Great individual efforts have already been achieved by dedicated teachers. A comprehensive training program in POH is still missing, which translates the national curriculum into daily practice, while improving networking and balancing the resources of the individual centers.

How to improve initial diagnostic accuracy of kidney tumours in childhood?-A non-invasive approach.

Non-invasive differentiation of paediatric kidney tumours is particularly important in the SIOP-RTSG protocols, which recommend pre-operative chemotherapy without histological confirmation. The identification of clinical and tumour-related parameters may enhance diagnostic accuracy. Age, metastases, and tumour volume (TV) were retrospectively analysed in 3306 patients enrolled in SIOP/GPOH 9, 93-01, and 2001 including Wilms tumour (WT), congenital mesoblastic nephroma (CMN), clear cell sarcoma (CCSK), malignant rhabdoid tumour of the kidney (MRTK), and renal cell carcinoma (RCC). WT was diagnosed in 2927 (88.5%) patients followed by CMN 138 (4.2%), CCSK 126 (3.8%), MRTK 58 (1.8%) and RCC 57 (1.7%). CMN, the most common localized tumour (71.6%) in patients younger than 3 months of age, was diagnosed earliest and RCC the latest (median age [months]: 0 and 154, respectively) both associated with significantly smaller TV (median TV [mL]: 67.2 and 45.0, respectively). RCC occurred in >14% of patients older than 120 months or older than 84 months with TV <100 mL. Receiver operating characteristic analyses discriminated WT from CMN, RCC and MRTK regarding age (AUC = 0.976, 0.929 and 0.791) and TV (AUC = 0.768, 0.813 and 0.622). MRTK had the highest risk of metastasis (37.9%) despite young age, whereas the risk of metastasis increased significantly with age in WT. Age and TV at diagnosis can differentiate WT from CMN and RCC. MRTK must be considered for metastatic tumours at young age. Identification of CCSK without histology remains challenging. Combined with MRI-characteristics, including diffusion-weighted imaging, and radiomics and liquid biopsies in the future, our approach allows optimization of biopsy recommendations and prevention of misdiagnosis-based neoadjuvant treatment.

Omission of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with completely necrotic Wilms tumor stage I and radiotherapy in stage III: The 30-year SIOP-RTSG experience.

BACKGROUND: Completely necrotic Wilms tumor (CN-WT) following preoperative chemotherapy has been regarded as low-risk WT since the International Society of Paediatric Oncology (SIOP) 93-01 study, and patients have been treated with reduced postoperative therapy. The aim of the study was to evaluate whether the omission of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with localized CN-WT stage I and radiotherapy in stage III was safe. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The retrospective observational study of outcomes of patients diagnosed with localized CN-WT on central pathology review and treated according to the SIOP 93-01 and SIOP-WT-2001 protocols (1993-2022). RESULTS: There were 125 patients with localized CN-WT: 90 with stage I, 10 with stage II, and 25 with stage III. Sixty-two of 125 (49.6%) patients had a discrepant diagnosis and/or staging between the institutional pathologist and central pathology review. In the group of 90 patients with stage I, postoperative chemotherapy was not given to 41 (46%) patients, whereas 49 patients received postoperative chemotherapy-in the latter group, two patients relapsed, and one of them died. One stage I and one stage II patient developed chemotherapy-induced toxicity and died. Nineteen of 25 patients with stage III received no flank radiotherapy. No stage III patient relapsed or died. The overall 5-year event-free survival (EFS) estimate for the entire cohort (stages I-III) was 96.8% [95% confidence interval, CI: 93.6%-99.6%] and the overall survival (OS) was 97.6% [95% CI: 95.0-100%]. The EFS and OS were 97% and 98%, respectively, for stage I, and 100% for stage III. CONCLUSION: Omission of postoperative chemotherapy for patients with CN-WT stage I, and radiotherapy for stage III is safe. Rapid central pathology review is required to assign appropriate treatment and avoid treatment-related side effects.

TRIM28 inactivation in epithelial nephroblastoma is frequent and often associated with predisposing TRIM28 germline variants.

Wilms tumors (WTs) are histologically diverse childhood cancers with variable contributions of blastema, stroma, and epithelia. A variety of cancer genes operate in WTs, including the tripartite-motif-containing-28 gene (TRIM28). Case reports and small case series suggest that TRIM28 mutations are associated with epithelial morphology and WT predisposition. Here, we systematically investigated the prevalence of TRIM28 inactivation and predisposing mutations in a cohort of 126 WTs with >2/3 epithelial cells, spanning 20 years of biobanking in the German SIOP93-01/GPOH and SIOP2001/GPOH studies. Overall, 44.4% (56/126) cases exhibited loss of TRIM28 by immunohistochemical staining. Of these, 48 could be further analyzed molecularly, revealing TRIM28 sequence variants in each case - either homozygous (~2/3) or heterozygous with epigenetic silencing of the second allele (~1/3). The majority (80%) of the mutations resulted in premature stops and frameshifts. In addition, we detected missense mutations and small deletions predicted to destabilize the protein through interference with folding of key structural elements such as the zinc-binding clusters of the RING, B-box-2, and PHD domains or the central coiled-coil region. TRIM28-mutant tumors otherwise lacked WT-typical IGF2 alterations or driver events, except for rare TP53 progression events that occurred with expected frequency. Expression profiling identified TRIM28-mutant tumors as a homogeneous subset of epithelial WTs that mostly present with stage I disease. There was a high prevalence of perilobar nephrogenic rests, putative precursor lesions, that carried the same biallelic TRIM28 alterations in 7/7 cases tested. Importantly, 46% of the TRIM28 mutations were present in blood cells or normal kidney tissue, suggesting germline events or somatic mosaicism, partly supported by family history. Given the high prevalence of predisposing variants in TRIM28-driven WT, we suggest that immunohistochemical testing of TRIM28 be integrated into diagnostic practice as the management of WT in predisposed children differs from that with sporadic tumors. © 2023 The Authors. The Journal of Pathology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of The Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.

A dynamic time-to-event model for prediction of acute graft-versus-host disease in patients after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Acute graft-versus-host disease (aGvHD) is a major cause of death for patients following allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). Effective management of moderate to severe aGvHD remains challenging despite recent advances in HSCT, emphasizing the importance of prophylaxis and risk factor identification. METHODS: In this study, we analyzed data from 1479 adults who underwent HSCT between 2005 and 2017 to investigate the effects of aGvHD prophylaxis and time-dependent risk factors on the development of grades II-IV aGvHD within 100 days post-HSCT. RESULTS: Using a dynamic longitudinal time-to-event model, we observed a non-monotonic baseline hazard overtime with a low hazard during the first few days and a maximum hazard at day 17, described by Bateman function with a mean transit time of approximately 11 days. Multivariable analysis revealed significant time-dependent effects of white blood cell counts and cyclosporine A exposure as well as static effects of female donors for male recipients, patients with matched related donors, conditioning regimen consisting of fludarabine plus total body irradiation, and patient age in recipients of grafts from related donors on the risk to develop grades II-IV aGvHD. Additionally, we found that higher cumulative hazard on day 7 after allo-HSCT are associated with an increased incidence of grades II-IV aGvHD within 100 days indicating that an individual assessment of the cumulative hazard on day 7 could potentially serve as valuable predictor for later grades II-IV aGvHD development. Using the final model, stochastic simulations were performed to explore covariate effects on the cumulative incidence over time and to estimate risk ratios. CONCLUSION: Overall, the presented model showed good descriptive and predictive performance and provides valuable insights into the interplay of multiple static and time-dependent risk factors for the prediction of aGvHD.