Risk of Surgical Mitral Valve Repair for Primary Mitral Regurgitation.

BACKGROUND: Risk estimation for surgical intervention is an essential component of heart team shared decision-making. However, current mitral valve (MV) surgery risk models used in practice lack etiologic or procedural specificity. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to establish a comprehensive method for assessment of operative risk of MV repair of primary mitral regurgitation (MR). METHODS: A novel etiology and procedure-specific algorithm identified 53,462 consecutive (July 2014 to June 2020) intention-to-treat MV repair patients with primary MR from The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database. Risk models were fit for 30-day operative mortality, mortality and/or major morbidity, and conversion-to-replacement (CONV). As-treated mortality and morbidity models were derived separately. RESULTS: Event rates for mortality (n = 619; 1.16%), mortality plus morbidity (n = 4,746; 8.88%), and CONV (n = 3,399; 6.36%) were low. Mortality was higher in CONV patients vs repair (3.18% vs 1.02%). All event rates were lower with increasing program volumes. The mortality risk model had excellent discrimination (AUC: 0.807) and calibration and confirmed very low mortality risk for isolated MV repair for primary MR, with mean mortality risk of 1.16% and median of 0.55% (IQR: 0.30%-1.17%) with 90th and 95th percentiles 2.48% and 3.99%, respectively. The mortality risk was <0.5% in patients <65 years of age, with 97% of the total population across age groups having a risk of <3%. Only 1 in 4 patients age 75 or older had >3% estimated risk of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: This etiologic and procedure-specific risk model establishes that the contemporary mortality risk of MV repair for primary MR is <1% for the vast majority of patients.

Risk of Surgical Mitral Valve Repair for Primary Mitral Regurgitation.

BACKGROUND: Risk estimation for surgical intervention is an essential component of heart team shared decision-making. However, current mitral valve (MV) surgery risk models used in practice lack etiologic or procedural specificity. The purpose of this study was to establish a comprehensive method for assessment of operative risk of MV repair of primary mitral regurgitation (MR). METHODS: A novel etiology and procedure-specific algorithm identified 53,462 consecutive (July 2014 to June 2020) intention-to-treat MV repair patients with primary MR from The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database. Risk models were fit for 30-day operative mortality, mortality and/or major morbidity, and conversion-to-replacement (CONV). As-treated mortality and morbidity models were derived separately. RESULTS: Event rates for mortality (n = 619; 1.16%), mortality plus morbidity (n = 4746; 8.88%), and CONV (n = 3399; 6.36%) were low. Mortality was higher in CONV patients vs repair (3.18% vs 1.02%). All event rates were lower with increasing program volumes. The mortality risk model had excellent discrimination (AUC: 0.807) and calibration and confirmed very low mortality risk for isolated MV repair for primary MR, with mean mortality risk of 1.16% and median of 0.55% (interquartile range: 0.30%-1.17%) with 90th and 95th percentiles 2.48% and 3.99%, respectively. The mortality risk was <0.5% in patients <65 years of age, with 97% of the total population across age groups having a risk of <3%. Only 1 in 4 patients age 75 or older had >3% estimated risk of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: This etiologic and procedure-specific risk model establishes that the contemporary mortality risk of MV repair for primary MR is <1% for the vast majority of patients.

Cost-effectiveness of prophylactic retropubic sling at the time of vaginal prolapse surgery.

BACKGROUND: Prophylactic midurethral sling placement at the time of prolapse repair significantly reduces the risk for de novo stress urinary incontinence, but it is associated with some small but significant morbidities. Because there has not been a standardized approach to midurethral sling utilization, decision analysis provides a method to evaluate the cost and effectiveness associated with varying midurethral sling placement strategies in addressing the risk for de novo stress urinary incontinence. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to compare the cost effectiveness of the 3 midurethral sling utilization strategies in treating de novo stress urinary incontinence 1 year after vaginal prolapse repair. The 3 approaches are (1) staged strategy in which prolapse repair is done without prophylactic midurethral sling placement, (2) universal sling placement in which prolapse repair is accompanied by prophylactic midurethral sling placement, and (3) selective sling placement in which prolapse repair is accompanied by prophylactic midurethral sling placement only in patients with a positive prolapse-reduced cough stress test. STUDY DESIGN: We created a decision analysis model to compare staged strategy, universal sling placement, and selective sling placement. We modeled probabilities of de novo stress urinary incontinence, patients choosing subsequent midurethral sling surgery for de novo stress urinary incontinence, and outcomes related to midurethral sling placement. De novo stress urinary incontinence rates were determined for each strategy from published data. The likelihood of patients with de novo stress urinary incontinence choosing midurethral sling surgery as their first-line treatment was also determined from the literature, and this scenario was only applied to patients without prophylactic midurethral sling placement at their index prolapse repair. Finally, outcomes related to midurethral sling placement, including recurrent or persistent stress urinary incontinence, voiding dysfunction requiring sling lysis, mesh exposure requiring excision, and de novo overactive bladder requiring medications, were all derived from publicly available data. All midurethral sling placement procedures were assumed to be retropubic. The costs for each procedure were obtained from the 2020 Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Physician Fee Schedule or from previous literature with convertion to 2020 equivalent US dollar prices using the Consumer Price Index. The primary outcome was modeled as the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. We performed multiple 1-way sensitivity analyses to assess model robustness. RESULTS: The lowest-cost strategy was the staged strategy, which cost $1051.70 per patient, followed by $1093.75 for selective sling placement and $1125.54 for universal sling placement. The selective sling approach, however, had the highest health utility value; therefore, universal sling placement was dominated by selective sling placement because it is both less costly and more effective. When compared with the staged strategy, selective sling placement was cost effective with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $2664 per quality adjusted life-years, meeting the predetermined threshold. In multiple 1-way sensitivity analyses, the variable with the largest effect was the percentage of patients electing to undergo subsequent midurethral sling surgery for de novo stress urinary incontinence after the index surgery. Only when this proportion exceeded 62% did universal sling placement become the cost-effective option because selective sling placement surpassed the predetermined incremental cost-effectiveness ratio threshold and became dominated. CONCLUSION: Selective sling placement was the preferred and cost-effective strategy in treating de novo stress urinary incontinence 1 year after vaginal prolapse repair. Surgeons should counsel their patients preoperatively regarding the possibility of de novo stress urinary incontinence after prolapse repair, as well as on the benefits and risks of prophylactic midurethral sling placement surgery.

Factors Associated With Intubation and Prolonged Intubation in Hospitalized Patients With COVID-19.

OBJECTIVE: To identify risk factors associated with intubation and time to extubation in hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective observational study. SETTING: Ten hospitals in the Chicago metropolitan area. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 admitted between March 1 and April 8, 2020, were included. We evaluated sociodemographic and clinical characteristics associated with intubation and prolonged intubation for acute respiratory failure secondary to COVID-19 infection. RESULTS: Of the 486 hospitalized patients included in the study, the median age was 59 years (interquartile range, 47-69); 271 (55.8%) were male; and the median body mass index was 30.6 (interquartile range, 26.5-35.6). During the hospitalization, 138 (28.4%) patients were intubated; 78 (56.5%) were eventually extubated; 21 (15.2%) died; and 39 (28.3%) remained intubated at a mean ± SD follow-up of 19.6 ± 6.7 days. Intubated patients had a significantly higher median age (65 vs 57 years, P < .001) and rate of diabetes (56 [40.6%] vs 104 [29.9%], P = .031) as compared with nonintubated patients. Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified age, sex, respiratory rate, oxygen saturation, history of diabetes, and shortness of breath as factors predictive of intubation. Age and body mass index were the only factors independently associated with time to extubation. CONCLUSION: In addition to clinical signs of respiratory distress, patients with COVID-19 who are older, male, or diabetic are at higher risk of requiring intubation. Among intubated patients, older and more obese patients are at higher risk for prolonged intubation. Otolaryngologists consulted for airway management should consider these factors in their decision making.

Daily Minutes of Unprotected Sun Exposure (MUSE) Inventory: Measure description and comparisons to UVR sensor and sun protection survey data.

One in five US adults will be diagnosed with skin cancer. As most skin cancers are attributable to sun exposure, this risk factor is an important target for research and intervention. Most sun exposure measures assess frequency of specific sun-protection behaviors, which does not account for the use of multiple, potentially overlapping sun-protection methods. In contrast, the Daily Minutes of Unprotected Sun Exposure (MUSE) Inventory assesses sun-protection behavior during self-reported activities, providing several useful metrics, including duration of unprotected sun exposure on 17 body sites, combined to yield an overall MUSE score weighted by percent of body exposed. The present study was conducted July-September 2017, in Chicago, IL USA. For 10 days, participants (39 melanoma survivors; Mage = 58.59, 64.5% female) wore an ultraviolet radiation (UVR) sensor and completed the Daily MUSE Inventory each evening. The Sun Habits Survey was completed at the end of the study. Outdoor time reported in the MUSE Inventory significantly predicted outdoor time recorded by UVR sensors, B = 0.53, p < .001. For all sun-protection behaviors except shade, reports from the Daily MUSE Inventory (i.e., percentage of outdoor time a particular strategy was used) correlated with frequency ratings of the same strategy from the Sun Habits Survey (rs = 0.66-0.75, p < .05). In sum, the Daily MUSE Inventory corresponds with sensor and survey data, and provides a novel metric of unprotected sun exposure that will be useful for evaluating overall extent of sun exposure, including exposure on several smaller body sites that are at high risk for skin cancer.