Long-Term Kidney Outcomes after Pediatric Acute Kidney Injury.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is common in hospitalized children. Pediatric AKI receiving acute kidney replacement therapy (KRT) is associated with long-term chronic kidney disease (CKD), hypertension, and death. We aim to determine the outcomes after AKI in children who did not receive acute KRT, since these remain uncertain. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of all hospitalized children (0-18 years) surviving AKI without acute KRT between 1996-2020 in Ontario, Canada, identified by validated diagnostic codes in provincial administrative health databases. Children with prior KRT, CKD, or AKI were excluded. Cases were matched with up to four hospitalized comparators without AKI by age, neonatal status, sex, intensive care unit admission, cardiac surgery, malignancy, hypertension, hospitalization era, and a propensity score for AKI. Patients were followed until death, provincial emigration, or censoring in March 2021. The primary outcome was long-term major adverse kidney events (MAKE-LT; a composite of all-cause mortality, long-term KRT, or incident CKD). RESULTS: We matched 4,173 pediatric AKI survivors with 16,337 hospitalized comparators. Baseline covariates were well-balanced following propensity score matching. During median 9.7-year follow-up, 18% of AKI survivors developed MAKE-LT vs. 5% of hospitalized comparators (hazard ratio [HR] 4.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.6-4.4). AKI survivors had higher rates of long-term KRT (2% vs. <1%; HR 11.7, 95%CI 7.5-18.4), incident CKD (16% vs. 2%; HR 7.9, 95%CI 6.9-9.1), incident hypertension (17% vs. 8%; HR 2.3, 95%CI 2.1-2.6), and AKI during subsequent hospitalization (6% vs. 2%; HR 3.7, 95%CI 3.1-4.5), but no difference in all-cause mortality (3% vs. 3%; HR 0.9, 95%CI 0.7-1.1). CONCLUSIONS: Children surviving AKI without acute KRT were at higher long-term risk of CKD, long-term KRT, hypertension, and subsequent AKI vs. hospitalized comparators.

Urine Biomarkers of Kidney Tubule Health and Risk of Incident CKD in Persons Without Diabetes: The ARIC, MESA, and REGARDS Studies.

Rationale & Objective: Tubulointerstitial damage is a feature of early chronic kidney disease (CKD), but current clinical tests capture it poorly. Urine biomarkers of tubulointerstitial health may identify risk of CKD. Study Design: Prospective cohort (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities [ARIC]) and case-cohort (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis [MESA] and Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke [REGARDS]). Setting & Participants: Adults with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and without diabetes in the ARIC, REGARDS, and MESA studies. Exposures: Baseline urine monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), alpha-1-microglobulin (α1m), kidney injury molecule-1, epidermal growth factor, and chitinase-3-like protein 1. Outcome: Incident CKD or end-stage kidney disease. Analytical Approach: Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression for each cohort; meta-analysis of results from all 3 cohorts. Results: 872 ARIC participants (444 cases of incident CKD), 636 MESA participants (158 cases), and 924 REGARDS participants (488 cases) were sampled. Across cohorts, mean age ranged from 60 ± 10 to 63 ± 8 years, and baseline eGFR ranged from 88 ± 13 to 91 ± 14 mL/min/1.73 m2. In ARIC, higher concentrations of urine MCP-1, α1m, and kidney injury molecule-1 were associated with incident CKD. In MESA, higher concentration of urine MCP-1 and lower concentration of epidermal growth factor were each associated with incident CKD. In REGARDS, none of the biomarkers were associated with incident CKD. In meta-analysis of all 3 cohorts, each 2-fold increase α1m concentration was associated with incident CKD (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.08-1.31). Limitations: Observational design susceptible to confounding; competing risks during long follow-up period; meta-analysis limited to 3 cohorts. Conclusions: In 3 combined cohorts of adults without prevalent CKD or diabetes, higher urine α1m concentration was independently associated with incident CKD. 4 biomarkers were associated with incident CKD in at least 1 of the cohorts when analyzed individually. Kidney tubule health markers might inform CKD risk independent of eGFR and albuminuria.

This study analyzed 3 cohorts (ARIC, MESA, and REGARDS) of adults without diabetes or prevalent chronic kidney disease (CKD) to determine the associations of 5 urinary biomarkers of kidney tubulointerstitial health with incident CKD, independent of traditional measures of kidney health. Meta-analysis of results from all 3 cohorts suggested that higher baseline levels of urine alpha-1-microglobulin were associated with incident CKD at follow-up. Results from individual cohorts suggested that in addition to alpha-1-microglobulin, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, kidney injury molecule-1, and epidermal growth factor may also be associated with the development of CKD. These findings underscore the importance of kidney tubule interstitial health in defining risk of CKD independent of creatinine and urine albumin.

Recent ambient temperature and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure is associated with urinary kidney injury biomarkers in children.

BACKGROUND: Limited research has examined associations between exposure to ambient temperature, air pollution, and kidney function or injury during the preadolescent period. We examined associations between exposure to ambient temperature and particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤ 2.5 µm (PM2.5) with preadolescent estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urinary kidney injury biomarkers. METHODS: Participants included 437 children without cardiovascular or kidney disease enrolled in the Programming Research in Obesity, Growth, Environment and Social Stressors birth cohort study in Mexico City. eGFR and urinary kidney injury biomarkers were assessed at 8-12 years. Validated satellite-based spatio-temporal models were used to estimate mean daily temperature and PM2.5 levels at each participant's residence 7- and 30-days prior to the date of visit. Linear regression and distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNM) were used to examine associations between daily mean temperature and PM2.5 exposure and kidney outcomes, adjusted for covariates. RESULTS: In single linear regressions, higher seven-day average PM2.5 was associated with higher urinary alpha-1-microglobulin and eGFR. In DLNM analyses, higher temperature exposure in the seven days prior to date of visit was associated with a decrease in urinary cystatin C of -0.56 ng/mL (95 % confidence interval (CI): -1.08, -0.04) and in osteopontin of -0.08 ng/mL (95 % CI: -0.15, -0.001). PM2.5 exposure over the seven days prior to date of visit was associated with an increase in eGFR of 1.77 mL/min/1.73m2 (95 % CI: 0.55, 2.99) and urinary cystatin C of 0.19 ng/mL (95 % CI: 0.03, 0.35). CONCLUSIONS: Recent exposure to ambient temperature and PM2.5 were associated with increased and decreased urinary kidney injury biomarkers that may reflect subclinical glomerular or tubular injury in children. Further research is required to assess environmental exposures and worsening subclinical kidney injury across development.

Association of Kidney Tubule Biomarkers With Cardiac Structure and Function in the Multiethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

Markers of glomerular disease, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria, are associated with cardiac structural abnormalities and incident cardiovascular disease (CVD). We aimed to determine whether biomarkers of kidney tubule injury, function, and systemic inflammation are associated with cardiac structural abnormalities. Among 393 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis participants without diabetes, CVD, or chronic kidney disease, we assessed the association of 12 biomarkers of kidney tubule injury, function, and systemic inflammation with the left ventricular mass/volume ratio (LVmvr) and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging using linear regression. The average age was 60 ± 10 years; 48% were men; mean eGFR was 96±16 ml/min/1.73 m2; mean LVmvr was 0.93±0.18 g/ml, and mean LVEF was 62±6%. Each twofold greater concentration of plasma soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor was associated with a 0.04 g/ml (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.01 to 0.08 g/ml) higher LVmvr and 2.1% (95% CI 0.6 to 3.5%) lower LVEF, independent of risk factors for CVD, eGFR, and albuminuria. Each twofold greater plasma monocyte chemoattractant protein 1 was associated with higher LVmvr with a similar coefficient to that of plasma soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor. Each twofold greater concentration of plasma chitinase-3-like protein 1 and urine alpha-1-microglobulin was associated with a 1.1% (95% CI 0.4 to 1.7%) and 1.2% (95% CI 0.2 to 2.2%) lower LVEF, respectively. In conclusion, abnormal kidney tubule health may lead to cardiac dysfunction above and beyond eGFR and albuminuria.

Association of clinical characteristics with urine uromodulin in children with chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: Uromodulin is the most abundant protein in the urine of healthy adults, and higher urine concentrations mark better tubular health. Greater kidney size and function are predictors of higher uromodulin levels in adults. Urine uromodulin has not yet been studied in children with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Thus, we sought to determine the relationship between age and kidney function with urine uromodulin levels in children with CKD. METHODS: In the CKD in Children (CKiD) cohort, we utilized multivariable linear regression to evaluate the relationship of age and eGFR with urine uromodulin levels. The primary outcome was uromodulin indexed to urine creatinine (Umod/Cr, mg/g), which was log2-transformed given its skewed distribution. RESULTS: Among 677 CKiD participants, the median age was 11.8 years (8.2-15.3), the median eGFR was 49 ml/min/1.73 m2 (37-63), the etiology of CKD was glomerular disease in 31%, and the median Umod/Cr level was 0.114 mg/g (0.045-0.226). In the multivariable models, each one-year older age was associated with 0.18 (12%) lower log2(Umod/Cr) and 0.20 (13%) lower log2(Umod/Cr) among those with non-glomerular and glomerular disease, respectively (p < 0.001). However, we did not find a statistically significant association between eGFR and Umod/Cr in either participants with non-glomerular or glomerular disease (p = 0.13 and p = 0.58, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Among children with CKD, older age is significantly associated with lower Umod/Cr, independent of eGFR. Further studies are needed to comprehensively evaluate age-specific reference ranges for urine uromodulin and to evaluate the longitudinal relationship of uromodulin with both age and eGFR in children with CKD. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Biomarkers of eGFR decline after cardiac surgery in children: findings from the ASSESS-AKI study.

BACKGROUND: Children who require surgery for congenital heart disease have increased risk for long-term chronic kidney disease (CKD). Clinical factors as well as urine biomarkers of tubular health and injury may help improve the prognostication of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline. METHODS: We enrolled children from 1 month to 18 years old undergoing cardiac surgery in the ASSESS-AKI cohort. We used mixed-effect models to assess the association between urinary biomarkers (log2-transformed uromodulin, NGAL, KIM-1, IL-18, L-FABP) measured 3 months after cardiac surgery and cyanotic heart disease with the rate of eGFR decline at annual in-person visits over 4 years. RESULTS: Of the 117 children enrolled, 30 (24%) had cyanotic heart disease. During 48 months of follow-up, the median eGFR in the subgroup of children with cyanotic heart disease was lower at all study visits as compared with children with acyanotic heart disease (p = 0.01). In the overall cohort, lower levels of both urine uromodulin and IL-18 after discharge were associated with eGFR decline. After adjustment for age, RACHS-1 surgical complexity score, proteinuria, and eGFR at the 3-month study visit, lower concentrations of urine uromodulin and IL-18 were associated with a monthly decline in eGFR (uromodulin ß = 0.04 (95% CI: 0.00-0.09; p = 0.07) IL-18 ß = 0.07 (95% CI: 0.01-0.13; p = 0.04), ml/min/1.73 m2 per month). CONCLUSIONS: At 3 months after cardiac surgery, children with lower urine uromodulin and IL-18 concentrations experienced a significantly faster decline in eGFR. Children with cyanotic heart disease had a lower median eGFR at all time points but did not experience faster eGFR decline. A higher-resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Biomarkers for acute kidney injury in children - where are we now?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Review the literature over the last 2 years on commonly evaluated biomarkers of acute kidney injury (AKI) and highlight the findings of these biomarkers. RECENT FINDINGS: Among several studied AKI biomarkers, urine neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) and the combination of urine tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases-2 (TIMP-2) and insulin-like growth factor binding protein 7 (IGFBP7) have been recently studied most frequently as diagnostic biomarkers of AKI and for AKI risk stratification. Urine NGAL has continued to show good discriminative value to predict and diagnose AKI in childhood. Urine TIMP-2∗IGFBP7 can provide modest improvement to clinical models of AKI. SUMMARY: Prior research supports that AKI biomarkers may identify AKI at an earlier time point and indicate clinically meaningful tubular injury. More effort should be made to understand if AKI biomarkers can guide treatments and improve outcomes.

Prenatal Metal Exposures and Associations with Kidney Injury Biomarkers in Children.

Prenatal exposure to arsenic (As), cadmium (Cd), mercury (Hg), and lead (Pb) may be nephrotoxic, yet limited studies have examined subclinical kidney injury biomarkers in children. We assessed whether metal exposure in the second trimester (2T), a crucial time of kidney development, is associated with altered urine kidney injury and function biomarkers in preadolescent children. Analyses included 494 children participating in a birth cohort study in Mexico City. Concentrations of As, Cd, and Pb were measured from pregnant women in 2T blood and urine, and Hg in urine only. Kidney biomarkers were measured from children in urine at age 8-12 years. We assessed the associations between individual metals and (1) kidney biomarkers using linear regression and (2) a multi-protein kidney mixture using weighted quantile sum (WQS) regression. Associations of separate urine and blood metal mixtures with individual kidney biomarkers were assessed via WQS. Within the multi-protein mixture, the association with increased urinary As was predominated by urine alpha-1-microglobulin (A1M), interferon gamma-induced protein 10 (IP10), and fatty acid binding protein 1; the association with increased urinary Cd was predominated by A1M, clusterin, and albumin. The urine metal mixture was associated with increased albumin (0.23 ng/mL; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.10, 0.37), IP10 (0.15 ng/mL; 95% CI: 0.02, 0.28), and cystatin C (0.17 ng/mL; 95% CI: 0.04, 0.31); these associations were mainly driven by urinary As and Cd. We observed null associations between prenatal blood or urine metal mixtures and estimated glomerular filtration rate. Higher prenatal urinary metals, individually and as a mixture were associated with altered kidney injury biomarkers in children. Further research and longer participant follow-up are required to ascertain the risk of kidney disease later in life.

Plasma Biomarkers as Risk Factors for Incident CKD.

Introduction: Earlier identification of individuals at high risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) may facilitate improved risk factor mitigation. Methods: We evaluated the association of novel plasma biomarkers with incident CKD using a case-cohort design in participants without diabetes and with baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥ 60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) and Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) cohorts. Incident CKD was defined as development of eGFR < 60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 and ≥40% decline in eGFR from baseline. We measured plasma markers of inflammation/fibrosis-soluble tumor necrosis factor receptors (TNFRs) 1 and 2 (TNFR-1 and TNFR-2), monocyte chemotactic protein-1 (MCP-1), chitinase 3-like protein 1 (YKL-40), and soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR)-and tubular injury (kidney injury molecule 1 [KIM-1]). Cox regression models weighted for the case-cohort design were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) of incident CKD after adjustment for CKD risk factors, eGFR, and albuminuria. Results: In MESA (median follow-up of 9.2 years), there were 497 individuals in the random subcohort and 163 incident CKD cases. In REGARDS (median follow-up of 9.4 years), there were 497 individuals in the random subcohort and 497 incident CKD cases. Each 2-fold higher plasma KIM-1 (adjusted HR 1.38 [95% CI 1.05-1.81]), suPAR (1.96 [1.10-3.49]), TNFR-1 (1.65 [1.04-2.62]), TNFR-2 (2.02 [1.21-3.38]), and YKL-40 (1.38 [1.09-1.75]) concentrations were associated with incident CKD in MESA. In REGARDS, TNFR-1 (1.99 [1.43-2.76]) and TNFR-2 (1.76 [1.22-2.54]) were associated with incident CKD. Conclusion: Plasma concentrations of soluble TNFR-1 and TNFR-2 are consistently associated with incident CKD in nondiabetic community-living individuals in MESA and REGARDS.

Clinically adjudicated deceased donor acute kidney injury and graft outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) in deceased donors is not associated with graft failure (GF). We hypothesize that hemodynamic AKI (hAKI) comprises the majority of donor AKI and may explain this lack of association. METHODS: In this ancillary analysis of the Deceased Donor Study, 428 donors with available charts were selected to identify those with and without AKI. AKI cases were classified as hAKI, intrinsic (iAKI), or mixed (mAKI) based on majority adjudication by three nephrologists. We evaluated the associations between AKI phenotypes and delayed graft function (DGF), 1-year eGFR and GF. We also evaluated differences in urine biomarkers among AKI phenotypes. RESULTS: Of the 291 (68%) donors with AKI, 106 (36%) were adjudicated as hAKI, 84 (29%) as iAKI and 101 (35%) as mAKI. Of the 856 potential kidneys, 669 were transplanted with 32% developing DGF and 5% experiencing GF. Median 1-year eGFR was 53 (IQR: 41-70) ml/min/1.73m2. Compared to non-AKI, donors with iAKI had higher odds DGF [aOR (95%CI); 4.83 (2.29, 10.22)] and had lower 1-year eGFR [adjusted B coefficient (95% CI): -11 (-19, -3) mL/min/1.73 m2]. hAKI and mAKI were not associated with DGF or 1-year eGFR. Rates of GF were not different among AKI phenotypes and non-AKI. Urine biomarkers such as NGAL, LFABP, MCP-1, YKL-40, cystatin-C and albumin were higher in iAKI. CONCLUSION: iAKI was associated with higher DGF and lower 1-year eGFR but not with GF. Clinically phenotyped donor AKI is biologically different based on biomarkers and may help inform decisions regarding organ utilization.

Prevalence of Secondary Hypertension in Otherwise Healthy Youths with a New Diagnosis of Hypertension: A Meta-Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence of secondary hypertension among otherwise healthy children with hypertension diagnosed in the outpatient setting. STUDY DESIGN: The MEDLINE, PubMed Central, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library databases were systematically searched for observational studies reporting the prevalence of secondary hypertension in children who underwent evaluation for hypertension and had no known comorbidities associated with hypertension at the time of diagnosis. Two authors independently extracted the study-specific prevalence of secondary hypertension in children evaluated for hypertension. Prevalence estimates for secondary hypertension were pooled in a random-effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: Nineteen prospective studies and 7 retrospective studies including 2575 children with hypertension were analyzed, with a median of 65 participants (range, 9-486) in each study. Studies conducted in primary care or school settings reported a lower prevalence of secondary hypertension (3.7%; 95% CI, 1.2%-7.2%) compared with studies conducted in referral clinics (20.1%; 95% CI, 11.5%-30.3%). When stratified by study setting, there were no significant subgroup differences according to study design, country, participant age range, hypertension definition, blood pressure device, or study quality. Although the studies applied different approaches to diagnosing secondary hypertension, diagnostic evaluations were at least as involved as the limited testing recommended by current guidelines. CONCLUSIONS: The low prevalence of secondary hypertension among children with a new diagnosis of hypertension identified on screening reinforces clinical practice guidelines to avoid extensive testing in the primary care setting for secondary causes in most children with hypertension.

Associations of Plasma Biomarkers of Inflammation, Fibrosis, and Kidney Tubular Injury With Progression of Diabetic Kidney Disease: A Cohort Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Most circulating biomarkers of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression focus on factors reflecting glomerular filtration. Few biomarkers capture nonglomerular pathways of kidney injury or damage, which may be particularly informative in populations at high risk for CKD progression such as individuals with diabetes. STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 594 participants (mean age, 70 years; 53% women) of the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study who had diabetes and an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)<60mL/min/1.73m2 at baseline. EXPOSURES: Plasma biomarkers of inflammation/fibrosis (TNFR1 and TNFR2, suPAR, MCP-1, YKL-40) and tubular injury (KIM-1) measured at the baseline visit. OUTCOMES: Incident kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT). ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox proportional hazards regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression adjusted for established risk factors for kidney function decline, baseline eGFR, and urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR). RESULTS: A total of 98 KFRT events were observed over a mean of 6.2±3.5 (standard deviation) years of follow-up. Plasma biomarkers were modestly associated with baseline eGFR (correlation coefficients ranging from-0.08 to-0.65) and UACR (0.14 to 0.56). In individual biomarker models adjusted for eGFR, UACR, and established risk factors, hazard ratios for incident KFRT per 2-fold higher biomarker concentrations were 1.52 (95% CI, 1.25-1.84) for plasma KIM-1, 1.54 (95% CI, 1.08-2.21) for TNFR1, 1.91 (95% CI, 1.16-3.14) for TNFR2, and 1.39 (95% CI, 1.05-1.84) for YKL-40. In least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression models accounting for biomarkers in parallel, plasma KIM-1 and TNFR1 remained associated with incident KFRT. LIMITATIONS: Single biomarker measurement, lack of follow-up eGFR assessments. CONCLUSIONS: Individual plasma markers of inflammation/fibrosis (TNFR1, TNFR2, YKL-40) and tubular injury (KIM-1) were associated with risk of incident KFRT in adults with diabetes and an eGFR<60mL/min/1.73m2 after adjustment for established risk factors.

Plasma and Urine Biomarkers of CKD: A Review of Findings in the CKiD Study.

Serum creatinine and level of proteinuria, as biomarkers of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression, inadequately explain the variability of glomerular filtration rate decline, and are late markers of glomerular filtration rate decline. Recent studies have identified plasma and urine biomarkers at higher levels in children with CKD and also associate independently with CKD progression, even after adjustment for serum creatinine and proteinuria. These novel biomarkers represent diverse biologic pathways of tubular injury, tubular dysfunction, inflammation, and tubular health, and can be used as a liquid biopsy to better characterize CKD in children. In this review, we highlight the biomarker findings from the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children cohort, a large longitudinal study of children with CKD, and compare results with those from other pediatric CKD cohorts. The biomarkers in focus in this review include plasma kidney injury molecule-1, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, fibroblast growth factor-23, tumor necrosis factor receptor-1, tumor necrosis factor receptor-2, soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor, and chitinase-3-like protein 1, as well as urine epidermal growth factor, α-1 microglobulin, kidney injury molecule-1, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, and chitinase-3-like protein 1. Blood and urine biomarkers improve our ability to prognosticate CKD progression and may improve our understanding of CKD pathophysiology. Further research is required to establish how these biomarkers can be used in the clinical setting to improve the clinical management of CKD.

Variability in CKD Biomarker Studies: Soluble Urokinase Plasminogen Activator Receptor (suPAR) and Kidney Disease Progression in the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKiD) Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Biomarker studies are important for generating mechanistic insight and providing clinically useful predictors of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. However, variability across studies can often muddy the evidence waters. Here we evaluated real-world variability in biomarker studies using two published studies, independently conducted, of the novel plasma marker soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) for predicting CKD progression in children with CKD. STUDY DESIGN: A comparison of 2 prospective cohort studies. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 541 children from the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKiD) study, median age 12 years, median glomerular filtration rate (GFR) of 54 mL/min/1.73m2. OUTCOME: The first occurrence of either a 50% decline in GFR from baseline or incident end-stage kidney disease. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: The suPAR plasma marker was measured using the Quantikine ELISA immunoassay in the first study and Meso Scale Discovery (MSD) platform in the second. The analytical approaches varied. We used suPAR data from the 2 assays and mimicked each analytical approach in an overlapping subset. RESULTS: We found that switching assays had the greatest impact on inferences, resulting in a 38% to 66% change in the magnitude of the effect estimates. Covariate and modeling choices resulted in an additional 8% to 40% variability in the effect estimate. The cumulative variability led to different inferences despite using a similar sample of CKiD participants and addressing the same question. LIMITATIONS: The estimated variability does not represent optimal repeatability but instead illustrates real-world variability that may be present in the CKD biomarker literature. CONCLUSIONS: Our results highlight the importance of validation, avoiding conclusions based on P value thresholds, and providing comparable metrics. Further transparency of data and equal weighting of negative and positive findings in explorations of novel biomarkers will allow investigators to more quickly weed out less promising biomarkers.

Long-Term Kidney Outcomes Following Dialysis-Treated Childhood Acute Kidney Injury: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: AKI is common during pediatric hospitalizations and associated with adverse short-term outcomes. However, long-term outcomes among survivors of pediatric AKI who received dialysis remain uncertain. METHODS: To determine the long-term risk of kidney failure (defined as receipt of chronic dialysis or kidney transplant) or death over a 22-year period for pediatric survivors of dialysis-treated AKI, we used province-wide health administrative databases to perform a retrospective cohort study of all neonates and children (aged 0-18 years) hospitalized in Ontario, Canada, from April 1, 1996, to March 31, 2017, who survived a dialysis-treated AKI episode. Each AKI survivor was matched to four hospitalized pediatric comparators without dialysis-treated AKI, on the basis of age, sex, and admission year. We reported the incidence of each outcome and performed Cox proportional hazards regression analyses, adjusting for relevant covariates. RESULTS: We identified 1688 pediatric dialysis-treated AKI survivors (median age 5 years) and 6752 matched comparators. Among AKI survivors, 53.7% underwent mechanical ventilation and 33.6% had cardiac surgery. During a median 9.6-year follow-up, AKI survivors were at significantly increased risk of a composite outcome of kidney failure or death versus comparators. Death occurred in 113 (6.7%) AKI survivors, 44 (2.6%) developed kidney failure, 174 (12.1%) developed hypertension, 213 (13.1%) developed CKD, and 237 (14.0%) had subsequent AKI. AKI survivors had significantly higher risks of developing CKD and hypertension versus comparators. Risks were greatest in the first year after discharge and gradually decreased over time. CONCLUSIONS: Survivors of pediatric dialysis-treated AKI are at higher long-term risks of kidney failure, death, CKD, and hypertension, compared with a matched hospitalized cohort.

Long-term Risk of Hypertension After Surgical Repair of Congenital Heart Disease in Children.

Importance: The long-term risk of hypertension in children after surgery for congenital heart disease (CHD) is unclear. Objective: To assess the incidence of hypertension after cardiac surgery in children with CHD. Design, Setting, and Participants: A multicenter retrospective matched cohort study was conducted in Ontario, Canada, using administrative databases. A total of 3600 children with surgical repair of CHD were matched to 10 children (n = 36 000) from the general population without CHD on age, sex, index date, rurality, and neighborhood income. Main Outcomes and Measures: Diagnosis of hypertension over a median follow-up time of 9.8 years (interquartile range, 6.8-12.9 years) after surgery. The last follow-up was March 31, 2019. Results: Overall, in 3600 children with surgical repair of CHD, the median age at first surgery was 150 days (interquartile range, 40-252 days) and 2005 (55.7%) were boys. During follow-up, 445 (12.4%) children with surgical repair of CHD developed hypertension compared with 398 (1.1%) in the matched control group. The incidence rate of hypertension in children who received surgery for CHD was 141.3 (95% CI, 128.8-155.1) per 10 000 person-years compared with children in the matched control group, who had a rate of 11.1 (95% CI, 10.1-12.3) per 10 000 person-years. The risk of hypertension was higher in children with index surgical dates at an age of less 150 days compared with those who had surgical dates at an age of 150 days or older (P = .006 for interaction). The risk of hypertension was increased in children with more complex surgery, particularly children with hypoplastic left heart syndrome (49 of 140 [35.0%]), and in children who received dialysis (22 of 126 [17.5%]; hazard ratio, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.09-2.56) during the index cardiac surgery hospitalization. Conclusions and Relevance: The incidence of long-term hypertension in this study was 12 times higher in children with surgical repair of CHD compared with children in the matched control group. The findings suggest that interventions aimed at reducing the long-term risk of hypertension after cardiac surgery in this population are needed.

24-hour ambulatory blood pressure monitoring 9 years after pediatric cardiac surgery: a pilot and feasibility study.

BACKGROUND: Children undergoing cardiac surgery are at risk of high blood pressure (BP), a risk factor for cardiovascular and kidney disease. Twenty-four-hour ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM) is a reference standard hypertension (HTN) test. Little data exist on ABPM abnormalities in children several years post cardiac surgery. This study aimed to (a) determine ABPM feasibility; (b) describe and compare ABPM measures and abnormalities (percent load, masked HTN [MH]; non-dipping, mean systolic/diastolic BP > 95th percentile; pre-HTN (ABPM); white-coat HTN [WCH]) to casual BP; and (c) compare BP in patients with and without acute kidney injury (AKI). METHODS: Prospective, follow-up pilot study of children (0-18 years) who underwent cardiac surgery from 2007 to 2009 at Montreal Children's Hospital. We recorded if participants had post-operative AKI and assessed the following outcomes at 9-year follow-up: casual BP classified by three single-visit measures (normal; elevated BP [eBPSingleVisit]; HTNSingleVisit); ABPM. Bivariable analyses were used to compare characteristics between groups. RESULTS: Twenty-three patients (median [interquartile range], 8.6 [8.0, 9.0] years post cardiac surgery) were included; 16 (70%) male. Six participants (26%) had eBPSingleVisit or higher. On ABPM, 11 (48%) had ≥ 1 abnormality: 9 (39%) had non-dipping; 3 (13%) had pre-HTN; 3 (13%) had WCH; none had HTN or MH. There were no differences in ABPM according to AKI status. CONCLUSION: Our pilot study determined that ABPM was feasible in children years after cardiac surgery and frequently identified ABPM abnormalities. Future research in larger populations is needed to define specific risk factors for HTN in children after cardiac surgery.

Association of Multiple Plasma Biomarker Concentrations with Progression of Prevalent Diabetic Kidney Disease: Findings from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

BACKGROUND: Although diabetic kidney disease is the leading cause of ESKD in the United States, identifying those patients who progress to ESKD is difficult. Efforts are under way to determine if plasma biomarkers can help identify these high-risk individuals. METHODS: In our case-cohort study of 894 Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study participants with diabetes and an eGFR of <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 at baseline, participants were randomly selected for the subcohort; cases were those patients who developed progressive diabetic kidney disease (ESKD or 40% eGFR decline). Using a multiplex system, we assayed plasma biomarkers related to tubular injury, inflammation, and fibrosis (KIM-1, TNFR-1, TNFR-2, MCP-1, suPAR, and YKL-40). Weighted Cox regression models related biomarkers to progression of diabetic kidney disease, and mixed-effects models estimated biomarker relationships with rate of eGFR change. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 8.7 years. Higher concentrations of KIM-1, TNFR-1, TNFR-2, MCP-1, suPAR, and YKL-40 were each associated with a greater risk of progression of diabetic kidney disease, even after adjustment for established clinical risk factors. After accounting for competing biomarkers, KIM-1, TNFR-2, and YKL-40 remained associated with progression of diabetic kidney disease; TNFR-2 had the highest risk (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.15 to 2.26). KIM-1, TNFR-1, TNFR-2, and YKL-40 were associated with rate of eGFR decline. CONCLUSIONS: Higher plasma levels of KIM-1, TNFR-1, TNFR-2, MCP-1, suPAR, and YKL-40 were associated with increased risk of progression of diabetic kidney disease; TNFR-2 had the highest risk after accounting for the other biomarkers. These findings validate previous literature on TNFR-1, TNFR-2, and KIM-1 in patients with prevalent CKD and provide new insights into the influence of suPAR and YKL-40 as plasma biomarkers that require validation.

Cardiac Biomarkers for Risk Stratification of Acute Kidney Injury After Pediatric Cardiac Surgery.

BACKGROUND: Children undergoing a cardiac surgical procedure are at increased risk for acute kidney injury (AKI). Novel biomarkers are needed to improve risk stratification of AKI after cardiac surgery. METHODS: We enrolled children aged 1 month to 18 years old from July 2007 to December 2010 undergoing cardiopulmonary bypass. Three United States Food and Drug Administration-approved plasma biomarkers of cardiac stretch, N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NTproBNP), inflammation (ST2), or fibrosis (galectin-3), were measured preoperatively and postoperatively within 6 hours of cardiac surgery. All analyses were stratified by age (<2 or ≥2 years old) to account for changing biomarker distributions during childhood and due to a significant interaction between biomarker and age for galectin-3 and NTproBNP (P < .05). RESULTS: Postoperatively, AKI, defined by a doubling of baseline serum creatinine, was diagnosed in 51 of 194 children <2 years and in 28 of 201 children ≥2 years. After multivariable adjustment, for children <2 years, none of the biomarkers were independently associated with AKI, whereas for children ≥2 years, the highest tertile of preoperative galectin-3 and NTproBNP as well as the postoperative galectin-3 and ST2 were associated with AKI. CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative plasma galectin-3 and NTproBNP and the first postoperative galectin-3 and ST2 levels were independently associated with AKI in children ≥2 years old. The performance of cardiac biomarkers after cardiac surgical procedure is affected by age, and research is required to develop biomarkers for children <2 years old.