Planetary Health Diet Index and risk of total and cause-specific mortality in three prospective cohorts.

BACKGROUND: In 2019, the EAT-Lancet Commission proposed a healthy dietary pattern that, along with reductions in food waste and improved agricultural practices, could feed the increasing global population sustainably. We developed a Planetary Health Diet Index (PHDI) to quantify adherence to the EAT-Lancet reference diet. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to assess associations between PHDI and total and cause-specific mortality in 3 prospective cohorts of males and females in the United States. METHODS: We followed 66,692 females from the Nurses' Health Study (1986-2019), 92,438 females from the Nurses' Health Study II (1989-2019), and 47,274 males from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1986-2018) who were free of cancer, diabetes, and major cardiovascular diseases at baseline. The PHDI was calculated every 4 y using a semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using multivariable proportional-hazards models. RESULTS: During follow-up, we documented 31,330 deaths among females and 23,206 among males. When comparing the highest with the lowest quintile of PHDI, the pooled multivariable-adjusted HRs were 0.77 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.75, 0.80] for all-cause mortality (P-trend < 0.0001). The PHDI was associated with lower risk of deaths from cardiovascular diseases (HR: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.81, 0.91), cancer (HR: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.85, 0.95), respiratory diseases (HR: 0.53; 95% CI: 0.48, 0.59), and neurodegenerative diseases (HR: 0.72; 95% CI: 0.67, 0.78). In females, but not males, the PHDI was also significantly associated with a lower risk of deaths from infectious diseases (HR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.51, 0.76). PHDI scores were also associated inversely with greenhouse gas emissions and other environmental impacts. CONCLUSIONS: In 3 large United States-based prospective cohorts of males and females with up to 34 y of follow-up, a higher PHDI was associated with lower risk of total and cause-specific mortality and environment impacts.

Secular Trends in Adherence to Healthy Behaviors Among US Adults with Diabetes, 1999-2018.

Adherence to healthy lifestyle is essential for diabetes management in light of the plateaued metabolic control, diversifying causes of death, and continued excess mortality among people with diabetes (PWD). This study aims to assess the secular trend of adherence to healthy behaviors among PWD in NHANES, a nationally representative survey of Americans using a stratified, multistage probability design in 2-year cycles since 1999. Adherence to healthy lifestyle was estimated using never smoking, moderate drinking, adequate physical activity, and healthy diet, and the score ranged 0-4. Among 7410 participants, adherence to healthy behaviors across time slightly increased from 1.4 (95% CI, 1.3 to 1.5) in 1999-2002 to 1.6 (1.5 to 1.8) in 2015-2018 (Ptrend = 0.002). The non-Hispanic Blacks caught up with the non-Hispanic Whites in overall lifestyle score (1.7 vs. 1.6 in 2015-2018), while large socioeconomic disparities remained in that participants with higher income and education level, and covered by health insurance were more likely to have adherence to healthy behaviors. As the metabolic control plateaued and causes of death have diversified among PWD, our findings suggested a great potential of lifestyle modification in facilitating the long-term health of these patients.

Consumption of Olive Oil and Diet Quality and Risk of Dementia-Related Death.

Importance: Age-standardized dementia mortality rates are on the rise. Whether long-term consumption of olive oil and diet quality are associated with dementia-related death is unknown. Objective: To examine the association of olive oil intake with the subsequent risk of dementia-related death and assess the joint association with diet quality and substitution for other fats. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective cohort study examined data from the Nurses' Health Study (NHS; 1990-2018) and Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (HPFS; 1990-2018). The population included women from the NHS and men from the HPFS who were free of cardiovascular disease and cancer at baseline. Data were analyzed from May 2022 to July 2023. Exposures: Olive oil intake was assessed every 4 years using a food frequency questionnaire and categorized as (1) never or less than once per month, (2) greater than 0 to less than or equal to 4.5 g/d, (3) greater than 4.5 g/d to less than or equal to 7 g/d, and (4) greater than 7 g/d. Diet quality was based on the Alternative Healthy Eating Index and Mediterranean Diet score. Main Outcome and Measure: Dementia death was ascertained from death records. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regressions were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs adjusted for confounders including genetic, sociodemographic, and lifestyle factors. Results: Of 92 383 participants, 60 582 (65.6%) were women and the mean (SD) age was 56.4 (8.0) years. During 28 years of follow-up (2 183 095 person-years), 4751 dementia-related deaths occurred. Individuals who were homozygous for the apolipoprotein ε4 (APOE ε4) allele were 5 to 9 times more likely to die with dementia. Consuming at least 7 g/d of olive oil was associated with a 28% lower risk of dementia-related death (adjusted pooled HR, 0.72 [95% CI, 0.64-0.81]) compared with never or rarely consuming olive oil (P for trend < .001); results were consistent after further adjustment for APOE ε4. No interaction by diet quality scores was found. In modeled substitution analyses, replacing 5 g/d of margarine and mayonnaise with the equivalent amount of olive oil was associated with an 8% (95% CI, 4%-12%) to 14% (95% CI, 7%-20%) lower risk of dementia mortality. Substitutions for other vegetable oils or butter were not significant. Conclusions and Relevance: In US adults, higher olive oil intake was associated with a lower risk of dementia-related mortality, irrespective of diet quality. Beyond heart health, the findings extend the current dietary recommendations of choosing olive oil and other vegetable oils for cognitive-related health.

Plasma metabolites of a healthy lifestyle in relation to mortality and longevity: Four prospective US cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: A healthy lifestyle is associated with a lower premature mortality risk and with longer life expectancy. However, the metabolic pathways of a healthy lifestyle and how they relate to mortality and longevity are unclear. We aimed to identify and replicate a healthy lifestyle metabolomic signature and examine how it is related to total and cause-specific mortality risk and longevity. METHODS: In four large cohorts with 13,056 individuals and 28-year follow-up, we assessed five healthy lifestyle factors, used liquid chromatography mass spectrometry to profile plasma metabolites, and ascertained deaths with death certificates. The unique healthy lifestyle metabolomic signature was identified using an elastic regression. Multivariable Cox regressions were used to assess associations of the signature with mortality and longevity. FINDINGS: The identified healthy lifestyle metabolomic signature was reflective of lipid metabolism pathways. Shorter and more saturated triacylglycerol and diacylglycerol metabolite sets were inversely associated with the healthy lifestyle score, whereas cholesteryl ester and phosphatidylcholine plasmalogen sets were positively associated. Participants with a higher healthy lifestyle metabolomic signature had a 17% lower risk of all-cause mortality, 19% for cardiovascular disease mortality, and 17% for cancer mortality and were 25% more likely to reach longevity. The healthy lifestyle metabolomic signature explained 38% of the association between the self-reported healthy lifestyle score and total mortality risk and 49% of the association with longevity. CONCLUSIONS: This study identifies a metabolomic signature that measures adherence to a healthy lifestyle and shows prediction of total and cause-specific mortality and longevity. FUNDING: This work was funded by the NIH, CIHR, AHA, Novo Nordisk Foundation, and SciLifeLab.

Sugar-sweetened or artificially-sweetened beverage consumption, physical activity, and risk of cardiovascular disease in adults: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Whether physical activity could mitigate the adverse impacts of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) or artificially sweetened beverages (ASBs) on incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains uncertain. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to examine the independent and joint associations between SSB or ASB consumption and physical activity and risk of CVD, defined as fatal and nonfatal coronary artery disease and stroke, in adults from 2 United States-based prospective cohort studies. METHODS: Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs between SSB or ASB intake and physical activity with incident CVD among 65,730 females in the Nurses' Health Study (1980-2016) and 39,418 males in the Health Professional's Follow-up Study (1986-2016), who were free from chronic diseases at baseline. SSBs and ASBs were assessed every 4-y and physical activity biannually. RESULTS: A total of 13,269 CVD events were ascertained during 3,001,213 person-years of follow-up. Compared with those who never/rarely consumed SSBs or ASBs, the HR for CVD for participants consuming ≥2 servings/d was 1.21 (95% CI: 1.12, 1.32; P-trend < 0.001) for SSBs and 1.03 (95% CI: 0.97, 1.09; P-trend = 0.06) for those consuming ≥2 servings/d of ASBs. The HR for CVD per 1 serving increment of SSB per day was 1.18 (95% CI: 1.10, 1.26) and 1.12 (95% CI: 1.04, 1.20) for participants meeting and not meeting physical activity guidelines (≥7.5 compared with <7.5 MET h/wk), respectively. Compared with participants who met physical activity guidelines and never/rarely consumed SSBs, the HR for CVD was 1.47 (95% CI: 1.37, 1.57) for participants not meeting physical activity guidelines and consuming ≥2 servings/wk of SSBs. No significant associations were observed for ASB when stratified by physical activity. CONCLUSIONS: Higher SSB intake was associated with CVD risk regardless of physical activity levels. These results support current recommendations to limit the intake of SSBs even for physically active individuals.

Olive oil consumption, plasma metabolites, and risk of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease.

BACKGROUND: Olive oil consumption has been inversely associated with the risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D) and cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the impact of olive oil consumption on plasma metabolites remains poorly understood. This study aims to identify plasma metabolites related to total and specific types of olive oil consumption, and to assess the prospective associations of the identified multi-metabolite profiles with the risk of T2D and CVD. METHODS: The discovery population included 1837 participants at high cardiovascular risk from the PREvención con DIeta MEDiterránea (PREDIMED) trial with available metabolomics data at baseline. Olive oil consumption was determined through food-frequency questionnaires (FFQ) and adjusted for total energy. A total of 1522 participants also had available metabolomics data at year 1 and were used as the internal validation sample. Plasma metabolomics analyses were performed using LC-MS. Cross-sectional associations between 385 known candidate metabolites and olive oil consumption were assessed using elastic net regression analysis. A 10-cross-validation (CV) procedure was used, and Pearson correlation coefficients were assessed between metabolite-weighted models and FFQ-derived olive oil consumption in each pair of training-validation data sets within the discovery sample. We further estimated the prospective associations of the identified plasma multi-metabolite profile with incident T2D and CVD using multivariable Cox regression models. RESULTS: We identified a metabolomic signature for the consumption of total olive oil (with 74 metabolites), VOO (with 78 metabolites), and COO (with 17 metabolites), including several lipids, acylcarnitines, and amino acids. 10-CV Pearson correlation coefficients between total olive oil consumption derived from FFQs and the multi-metabolite profile were 0.40 (95% CI 0.37, 0.44) and 0.27 (95% CI 0.22, 0.31) for the discovery and validation sample, respectively. We identified several overlapping and distinct metabolites according to the type of olive oil consumed. The baseline metabolite profiles of total and extra virgin olive oil were inversely associated with CVD incidence (HR per 1SD: 0.79; 95% CI 0.67, 0.92 for total olive oil and 0.70; 0.59, 0.83 for extra virgin olive oil) after adjustment for confounders. However, no significant associations were observed between these metabolite profiles and T2D incidence. CONCLUSIONS: This study reveals a panel of plasma metabolites linked to the consumption of total and specific types of olive oil. The metabolite profiles of total olive oil consumption and extra virgin olive oil were associated with a decreased risk of incident CVD in a high cardiovascular-risk Mediterranean population, though no associations were observed with T2D incidence. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The PREDIMED trial was registered at ISRCTN ( http://www.isrctn.com/ , ISRCTN35739639).

Portfolio Diet Score and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease: Findings From 3 Prospective Cohort Studies.

BACKGROUND: The plant-based Portfolio dietary pattern includes recognized cholesterol-lowering foods (ie, plant protein, nuts, viscous fiber, phytosterols, and plant monounsaturated fats) shown to improve several cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors in randomized controlled trials. However, there is limited evidence on the role of long-term adherence to the diet and CVD risk. The primary objective was to examine the relationship between the Portfolio Diet Score (PDS) and the risk of total CVD, coronary heart disease (CHD), and stroke. METHODS: We prospectively followed 73 924 women in the Nurses' Health Study (1984-2016), 92 346 women in the Nurses' Health Study II (1991-2017), and 43 970 men in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1986-2016) without CVD or cancer at baseline. Diet was assessed using validated food frequency questionnaires at baseline and every 4 years using a PDS that positively ranks plant protein (legumes), nuts and seeds, viscous fiber sources, phytosterols (mg/day), and plant monounsaturated fat sources, and negatively ranks foods high in saturated fat and cholesterol. RESULTS: During up to 30 years of follow-up, 16 917 incident CVD cases, including 10 666 CHD cases and 6473 strokes, were documented. After multivariable adjustment for lifestyle factors and a modified Alternate Healthy Eating Index (excluding overlapping components), comparing the highest with the lowest quintile, participants with a higher PDS had a lower risk of total CVD (pooled hazard ratio [HR], 0.86 [95% CI, 0.81-0.92]; Ptrend<0.001), CHD (pooled HR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.80-0.93]; Ptrend=0.0001), and stroke (pooled HR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.78-0.95]; Ptrend=0.0003). In addition, a 25-percentile higher PDS was associated with a lower risk of total CVD (pooled HR, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.89-0.95]), CHD (pooled HR, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.88-0.95]), and stroke (pooled HR, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.87-0.96]). Results remained consistent across sensitivity and most subgroup analyses, and there was no evidence of departure from linearity for CVD, CHD, or stroke. In a subset of participants, a higher PDS was associated with a more favorable blood lipid and inflammatory profile. CONCLUSIONS: The PDS was associated with a lower risk of CVD, including CHD and stroke, and a more favorable blood lipid and inflammatory profile, in 3 large prospective cohorts.

Chronotype, Unhealthy Lifestyle, and Diabetes Risk in Middle-Aged U.S. Women : A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Evening chronotype may promote adherence to an unhealthy lifestyle and increase type 2 diabetes risk. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the role of modifiable lifestyle behaviors in the association between chronotype and diabetes risk. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Nurses' Health Study II. PARTICIPANTS: 63 676 nurses aged 45 to 62 years with no history of cancer, cardiovascular disease, or diabetes in 2009 were prospectively followed until 2017. MEASUREMENTS: Self-reported chronotype using a validated question from the Morningness-Eveningness Questionnaire. The lifestyle behaviors that were measured were diet quality, physical activity, alcohol intake, body mass index (BMI), smoking, and sleep duration. Incident diabetes cases were self-reported and confirmed using a supplementary questionnaire. RESULTS: Participants reporting a "definite evening" chronotype were 54% (95% CI, 49% to 59%) more likely to have an unhealthy lifestyle than participants reporting a "definite morning" chronotype. A total of 1925 diabetes cases were documented over 469 120 person-years of follow-up. Compared with the "definite morning" chronotype, the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for diabetes was 1.21 (CI, 1.09 to 1.35) for the "intermediate" chronotype and 1.72 (CI, 1.50 to 1.98) for the "definite evening" chronotype after adjustment for sociodemographic factors, shift work, and family history of diabetes. Further adjustment for BMI, physical activity, and diet quality attenuated the association comparing the "definite evening" and "definite morning" chronotypes to 1.31 (CI, 1.13 to 1.50), 1.54 (CI, 1.34 to 1.77), and 1.59 (CI, 1.38 to 1.83), respectively. Accounting for all measured lifestyle and sociodemographic factors resulted in a reduced but still positive association (HR comparing "definite evening" vs. "definite morning" chronotype, 1.19 [CI, 1.03 to 1.37]). LIMITATIONS: Chronotype assessment using a single question, self-reported data, and homogeneity of the study population. CONCLUSION: Middle-aged nurses with an evening chronotype were more likely to report unhealthy lifestyle behaviors and had increased diabetes risk compared with those with a morning chronotype. Accounting for BMI, physical activity, diet, and other modifiable lifestyle factors attenuated much but not all of the increased diabetes risk. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institutes of Health.

Plasma metabolite profiles associated with the World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute for Cancer Research lifestyle score and future risk of cardiovascular disease and type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: A healthy lifestyle (HL) has been inversely related to type 2 diabetes (T2D) and cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, few studies have identified a metabolite profile associated with HL. The present study aims to identify a metabolite profile of a HL score and assess its association with the incidence of T2D and CVD in individuals at high cardiovascular risk. METHODS: In a subset of 1833 participants (age 55-80y) of the PREDIMED study, we estimated adherence to a HL using a composite score based on the 2018 Word Cancer Research Fund/American Institute for Cancer Research recommendations. Plasma metabolites were analyzed using LC-MS/MS methods at baseline (discovery sample) and 1-year of follow-up (validation sample). Cross-sectional associations between 385 known metabolites and the HL score were assessed using elastic net regression. A 10-cross-validation procedure was used, and correlation coefficients or AUC were assessed between the identified metabolite profiles and the self-reported HL score. We estimated the associations between the identified metabolite profiles and T2D and CVD using multivariable Cox regression models. RESULTS: The metabolite profiles that identified HL as a dichotomous or continuous variable included 24 and 58 metabolites, respectively. These are amino acids or derivatives, lipids, and energy intermediates or xenobiotic compounds. After adjustment for potential confounders, baseline metabolite profiles were associated with a lower risk of T2D (hazard ratio [HR] and 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.54, 0.38-0.77 for dichotomous HL, and 0.22, 0.11-0.43 for continuous HL). Similar results were observed with CVD (HR, 95% CI: 0.59, 0.42-0.83 for dichotomous HF and HR, 95%CI: 0.58, 0.31-1.07 for continuous HL). The reduction in the risk of T2D and CVD was maintained or attenuated, respectively, for the 1-year metabolomic profile. CONCLUSIONS: In an elderly population at high risk of CVD, a set of metabolites was selected as potential metabolites associated with the HL pattern predicting the risk of T2D and, to a lesser extent, CVD. These results support previous findings that some of these metabolites are inversely associated with the risk of T2D and CVD. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The PREDIMED trial was registered at ISRCTN ( http://www.isrctn.com/ , ISRCTN35739639).

Association between changes in carbohydrate intake and long term weight changes: prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To comprehensively examine the associations between changes in carbohydrate intake and weight change at four year intervals. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Nurses' Health Study (1986-2010), Nurses' Health Study II (1991-2015), and Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (1986-2014). PARTICIPANTS: 136 432 men and women aged 65 years or younger and free of diabetes, cancer, cardiovascular disease, respiratory disease, neurodegenerative disorders, gastric conditions, chronic kidney disease, and systemic lupus erythematosus before baseline. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Weight change within a four year period. RESULTS: The final analyses included 46 722 women in the Nurses' Health Study, 67 186 women in the Nurses' Health Study II, and 22 524 men in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study. On average, participants gained 1.5 kg (5th to 95th centile -6.8 to 10.0) every four years, amounting to 8.8 kg on average over 24 years. Among men and women, increases in glycemic index and glycemic load were positively associated with weight gain. For example, a 100 g/day increase in starch or added sugar was associated with 1.5 kg and 0.9 kg greater weight gain over four years, respectively, whereas a 10 g/day increase in fiber was associated with 0.8 kg less weight gain. Increased carbohydrate intake from whole grains (0.4 kg less weight gain per 100 g/day increase), fruit (1.6 kg less weight gain per 100 g/day increase), and non-starchy vegetables (3.0 kg less weight gain per 100 g/day increase) was inversely associated with weight gain, whereas increased intake from refined grains (0.8 kg more weight gain per 100 g/day increase) and starchy vegetables (peas, corn, and potatoes) (2.6 kg more weight gain per 100 g/day increase) was positively associated with weight gain. In substitution analyses, replacing refined grains, starchy vegetables, and sugar sweetened beverages with equal servings of whole grains, fruit, and non-starchy vegetables was associated with less weight gain. The magnitude of these associations was stronger among participants with overweight or obesity compared with those with normal weight (P<0.001 for interaction). Most of these associations were also stronger among women. CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study highlight the potential importance of carbohydrate quality and source for long term weight management, especially for people with excessive body weight. Limiting added sugar, sugar sweetened beverages, refined grains, and starchy vegetables in favor of whole grains, fruit, and non-starchy vegetables may support efforts to control weight.

Relationship between lifestyle habits and cardiovascular risk factors in familial hypercholesterolemia.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Little is known about the cardioprotective potential of a healthy lifestyle in familial hypercholesterolemia (FH). The objective of this study was to evaluate the relationship between lifestyle and cardiovascular risk factors in adults with FH. METHODS AND RESULTS: This cross-sectional study leveraged data from the CARTaGENE Quebec population-based cohort (Canada). Participants with FH were identified using the validated Simplified Canadian Definition for FH. A healthy lifestyle score (HLS), ranging from 0 to 5, was calculated per adherence to 5 lifestyle habits: 1) not smoking; 2) being physically active (≥150 min/week of moderate or vigorous physical activity); 3) eating a healthy diet (Alternate Healthy Eating Index ≥50%); 4) having a light to moderate alcohol consumption (men: 1-30 g/day; women: 1-15 g/day); and 5) sleeping 7-8 h/day. Among the 122 included individuals (women, n = 78; men, n = 44; mean age ± SD: 57.3 ± 6.7 years), 92 (75.4%) had a HLS ≤3/5, while only 5 (4.1%) had a HLS of 5/5. After adjustments for sex, age, body mass index, and lipid-lowering medication use, we found no evidence of an association between the HLS and concentrations of LDL-cholesterol (ß = 0.04, 95% CI = -0.08, 0.15 mmol/L; P = 0.54). However, the HLS was favorably associated with HbA1c levels (ß = -0.07, 95% CI = -0.13, -0.01%; P = 0.02), and statistical trends suggested favorable associations with HDL-cholesterol (ß = 0.06, 95% CI = -0.02, 0.14 mmol/L; P = 0.06) and waist circumference (ß = -2.22, 95% CI = -4.62, 0.17 cm; P = 0.07). CONCLUSION: This study suggests that a healthy lifestyle is favorably associated with CVD risk factors in adults with FH.

Estimation of life's essential 8 score with incomplete data of individual metrics.

Background: The American Heart Association's Life's Essential 8 (LE8) is an updated construct of cardiovascular health (CVH), including blood pressure, lipids, glucose, body mass index, nicotine exposure, diet, physical activity, and sleep health. It is challenging to simultaneously measure all eight metrics at multiple time points in most research and clinical settings, hindering the use of LE8 to assess individuals' overall CVH trajectories over time. Materials and methods: We obtained data from 5,588 participants in the Nurses' Health Studies (NHS, NHSII) and Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS), and 27,194 participants in the 2005-2016 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) with all eight metrics available. Individuals' overall cardiovascular health (CVH) was determined by LE8 score (0-100). CVH-related factors that are routinely collected in many settings (i.e., demographics, BMI, smoking, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, and diabetes) were included as predictors in the base models of LE8 score, and subsequent models further included less frequently measured factors (i.e., physical activity, diet, blood pressure, and sleep health). Gradient boosting decision trees were trained with hyper-parameters tuned by cross-validations. Results: The base models trained using NHS, NHSII, and HPFS had validated root mean squared errors (RMSEs) of 8.06 (internal) and 16.72 (external). Models with additional predictors further improved performance. Consistent results were observed in models trained using NHANES. The predicted CVH scores can generate consistent effect estimates in associational studies as the observed CVH scores. Conclusions: CVH-related factors routinely measured in many settings can be used to accurately estimate individuals' overall CVH when LE8 metrics are incomplete.

Consumption of olive oil and risk of breast cancer in U.S. women: results from the Nurses' Health Studies.

BACKGROUND: Olive oil consumption may reduce breast cancer risk, but it is unclear whether olive oil is beneficial for breast cancer prevention in populations outside of Mediterranean regions, namely in the U.S., where the average consumption of olive oil is low compared with Mediterranean populations. We examined whether olive oil intake was associated with breast cancer risk in two prospective cohorts of U.S. women. METHODS: We used multivariable-adjusted time-varying Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for breast cancer among 71,330 (Nurses' Health Study, 1990-2016) and 93,295 women (Nurses' Health Study II, 1991-2017) who were free of cancer at baseline. Diet was assessed by a validated semi-quantitative food frequency questionnaire every 4 years. RESULTS: During 3,744,068 person-years of follow-up, 9,638 women developed invasive breast cancer. The multivariable-adjusted HR (95% CI) for breast cancer among women who had the highest consumption of olive oil (>1/2 tablespoon/d or >7 g/d) compared with those who never or rarely consumed olive oil, was 1.01 (0.93, 1.09). Higher olive oil consumption was not associated with any subtype of breast cancer. CONCLUSION: We did not observe an association between higher olive oil intake and breast cancer risk in two large prospective cohorts of U.S. women, whose average olive oil consumption was low. Prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings and to further investigate whether different varieties of olive oil (e.g., virgin and extra virgin olive oil) may play a role in breast cancer risk.

Estimation of Life's Essential 8 Score with Incomplete Data of Individual Metrics.

Background: The American Heart Association's Life's Essential 8 (LE8) is an updated construct of cardiovascular health (CVH), including blood pressure, lipids, glucose, body mass index, nicotine exposure, diet, physical activity, and sleep health. It is challenging to simultaneously measure all eight metrics at multiple time points in most research and clinical settings, hindering the use of LE8 to assess individuals' overall CVH trajectories over time. Methods and Results: We obtained data from 5,588 participants in the Nurses' Health Studies (NHS, NHSII) and Health Professional's Follow-up Study (HPFS), and 27,194 participants in the 2005-2016 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) with all eight metrics available. Individuals' overall cardiovascular health (CVH) was determined by LE8 score (0-100). CVH-related factors that are routinely collected in many settings (i.e., demographics, BMI, smoking, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, and diabetes) were included as predictors in the base models of LE8 score, and subsequent models further included less frequently measured factors (i.e., physical activity, diet, blood pressure, and sleep health). Gradient boosting decision trees were trained with hyper-parameters tuned by cross-validations. The base models trained using NHS, NHSII, and HPFS had validated root mean squared errors (RMSEs) of 8.06 (internal) and 16.72 (external). Models with additional predictors further improved performance. Consistent results were observed in models trained using NHANES. The predicted CVH scores can generate consistent effect estimates in associational studies as the observed CVH scores. Conclusions: CVH-related factors routinely measured in many settings can be used to accurately estimate individuals' overall CVH when LE8 metrics are incomplete. Clinical Perspective: What Is New?: Life's Essential 8 (LE8) has great potential to assess and promote cardiovascular health (CVH) across life course, however, it is challenging to simultaneously collect all eight metrics at multiple time points in most research and clinical settings.We demonstrated that CVH-related factors routinely collected in many research and clinical settings can be used to accurately estimate individuals' overall CVH across time even when LE8 metrics are incomplete.What Are the Clinical Implications?: The approach introduced in this study provides a cost-effective and feasible way to estimate individuals' overall CVH.It can be used to track individuals' CVH trajectories in clinical settings.

Polygenic scores, diet quality, and type 2 diabetes risk: An observational study among 35,759 adults from 3 US cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Both genetic and lifestyle factors contribute to the risk of type 2 diabetes, but the extent to which there is a synergistic effect of the 2 factors is unclear. The aim of this study was to examine the joint associations of genetic risk and diet quality with incident type 2 diabetes. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We analyzed data from 35,759 men and women in the United States participating in the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) I (1986 to 2016) and II (1991 to 2017) and the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS; 1986 to 2016) with available genetic data and who did not have diabetes, cardiovascular disease, or cancer at baseline. Genetic risk was characterized using both a global polygenic score capturing overall genetic risk and pathway-specific polygenic scores denoting distinct pathophysiological mechanisms. Diet quality was assessed using the Alternate Healthy Eating Index (AHEI). Cox models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) for type 2 diabetes after adjusting for potential confounders. With over 902,386 person-years of follow-up, 4,433 participants were diagnosed with type 2 diabetes. The relative risk of type 2 diabetes was 1.29 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.25, 1.32; P < 0.001) per standard deviation (SD) increase in global polygenic score and 1.13 (1.09, 1.17; P < 0.001) per 10-unit decrease in AHEI. Irrespective of genetic risk, low diet quality, as compared to high diet quality, was associated with approximately 30% increased risk of type 2 diabetes (Pinteraction = 0.69). The joint association of low diet quality and increased genetic risk was similar to the sum of the risk associated with each factor alone (Pinteraction = 0.30). Limitations of this study include the self-report of diet information and possible bias resulting from inclusion of highly educated participants with available genetic data. CONCLUSIONS: These data provide evidence for the independent associations of genetic risk and diet quality with incident type 2 diabetes and suggest that a healthy diet is associated with lower diabetes risk across all levels of genetic risk.

Healthy Lifestyle Score Including Sleep Duration and Cardiovascular Disease Risk.

INTRODUCTION: Although insufficient or prolonged sleep duration is associated with cardiovascular disease, sleep duration is not included in most lifestyle scores. This study evaluates the relationship between a lifestyle score, including sleep duration and cardiovascular disease risk. METHODS: A prospective analysis among 67,250 women in the Nurses' Health Study and 29,114 men in Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1986-2016) was conducted in 2021. Lifestyle factors were updated every 2-4 years using self-reported questionnaires. The traditional lifestyle score was defined as not smoking, having a normal BMI, being physically active (≥30 minutes/day of moderate physical activity), eating a healthy diet, and drinking alcohol in moderation. Low-risk sleep duration, defined as sleeping ≥6 to <8 hours/day, was included as an additional component in the updated lifestyle score. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to estimate cardiovascular disease risk. The likelihood-ratio test and C-statistics were used to compare both scores. RESULTS: A total of 11,710 incident cardiovascular disease cases during follow-up were documented. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios comparing 6 with 0 low-risk factors in the healthy lifestyle score including sleep duration were 0.17 (95% CI=0.12, 0.23) for cardiovascular disease, 0.14 (95% CI=0.10, 0.21) for coronary heart disease, and 0.20 (95% CI=0.12, 0.33) for stroke. Approximately 66% (95% CI=56%, 75%) of cardiovascular disease, 67% (95% CI=54%, 77%) of coronary heart disease, and 62% (95% CI=42%, 76%) of stroke cases were attributable to poor adherence to a healthy lifestyle including sleep. Adding sleep duration to the score slightly increased the C-statistics from 0.64 (95% CI=0.63, 0.64) to 0.65 (95% CI=0.64, 0.65) (p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Adopting a healthy lifestyle including sleep recommendations could substantially reduce the risk of cardiovascular disease in U.S. adults.

Avocado Consumption and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease in US Adults.

Background Epidemiologic studies on the relationship between avocado intake and long-term cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk are lacking. Methods and Results This study included 68 786 women from the NHS (Nurses' Health Study) and 41 701 men from the HPFS (Health Professionals Follow-up Study; 1986-2016) who were free of cancer, coronary heart disease, and stroke at baseline. Diet was assessed using validated food frequency questionnaires at baseline and then every 4 years. Cox proportional hazards regressions were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% CIs. A total of 14 274 incident cases of CVD (9185 coronary heart disease events and 5290 strokes) were documented over 30 years of follow-up. After adjusting for lifestyle and other dietary factors, compared with nonconsumers, those with analysis-specific higher avocado intake (≥2 servings/week) had a 16% lower risk of CVD (pooled hazard ratio, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.75-0.95) and a 21% lower risk of coronary heart disease (pooled hazard ratio, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.68-0.91). No significant associations were observed for stroke. Per each half serving/day increase in avocado intake, the pooled hazard ratio for CVD was 0.80 (95% CI, 0.71-0.91). Replacing half a serving/day of margarine, butter, egg, yogurt, cheese, or processed meats with the equivalent amount of avocado was associated with a 16% to 22% lower risk of CVD. Conclusions Higher avocado intake was associated with lower risk of CVD and coronary heart disease in 2 large prospective cohorts of US men and women. The replacement of certain fat-containing foods with avocado could lead to lower risk of CVD.

Changes in metabolomics profiles over ten years and subsequent risk of developing type 2 diabetes: Results from the Nurses' Health Study.

BACKGROUND: Metabolomics profiles were consistently associated with type 2 diabetes (T2D) risk, but evidence on long-term metabolite changes and T2D incidence is lacking. We examined the associations of 10-year plasma metabolite changes with subsequent T2D risk. METHODS: We conducted a nested T2D case-control study (n=244 cases, n=244 matched controls) within the Nurses' Health Study. Repeated metabolomics profiling (170 targeted metabolites) was conducted in participant blood specimens from 1989/1990 and 2000/2001, and T2D occurred between 2002 and 2008. We related 10-year metabolite changes (Δ-values) to subsequent T2D risk using conditional logistic models, adjusting for baseline metabolite levels and baseline levels and concurrent changes of BMI, diet quality, physical activity, and smoking status. FINDINGS: The 10-year changes of thirty-one metabolites were associated with subsequent T2D risk (false discovery rate-adjusted p-values [FDR]<0.05). The top three high T2D risk-associated 10-year changes were (odds ratio [OR] per standard deviation [SD], 95%CI): Δisoleucine (2.72, 1.97-3.79), Δleucine (2.53, 1.86-3.47), and Δvaline (1.93, 1.52-2.44); other high-risk-associated metabolite changes included alanine, tri-/diacylglycerol-fragments, short-chain acylcarnitines, phosphatidylethanolamines, some vitamins, and bile acids (ORs per SD between 1.31and 1.82). The top three low T2D risk-associated 10-year metabolite changes were (OR per SD, 95% CI): ΔN-acetylaspartic acid (0.54, 0.42-0.70), ΔC20:0 lysophosphatidylethanolamine (0.68, 0.56-0.82), and ΔC16:1 sphingomyelin (0.68, 0.56-0.83); 10-year changes of other sphingomyelins, plasmalogens, glutamine, and glycine were also associated with lower subsequent T2D risk (ORs per SD between 0.66 and 0.78). INTERPRETATION: Repeated metabolomics profiles reflecting the long-term deterioration of amino acid and lipid metabolism are associated with subsequent risk of T2D.