Demonstrating the use of population level data to investigate trends in the rate, radiation dose and cost of Computed Tomography across clinical groups: Are there any areas of concern?

INTRODUCTION: Increases in computed tomography (CT) use may not always reflect clinical need or improve outcomes. This study aimed to demonstrate how population level data can be used to identify variations in care between patient groups, by analysing system-level changes in CT use around the diagnosis of new conditions. METHODS: Retrospective repeated cross-sectional observational study using West Australian linked administrative records, including 504,723 adults diagnosed with different conditions in 2006, 2012 and 2015. For 90 days pre/post diagnosis, CT use (any and 2+ scans), effective dose (mSv), lifetime attributable risk (LAR) of cancer incidence and mortality from CT, and costs were assessed. RESULTS: CT use increased from 209.4 per 1000 new diagnoses in 2006 to 258.0 in 2015; increases were observed for all conditions except neoplasms. Healthcare system costs increased for all conditions but neoplasms and mental disorders. Effective dose increased substantially for respiratory (+2.5 mSv, +23.1%, P < 0.001) and circulatory conditions (+2.1 mSv, +15.4%, P < 0.001). The LAR of cancer incidence and mortality from CT increased for endocrine (incidence +23.4%, mortality +18.0%) and respiratory disorders (+21.7%, +23.3%). Mortality LAR increased for circulatory (+12.1%) and nervous system (+11.0%) disorders. The LAR of cancer incidence and mortality reduced for musculoskeletal system disorders, despite an increase in repeated CT in this group. CONCLUSIONS: Use and costs increased for most conditions except neoplasms and mental and behavioural disorders. More strategic CT use may have occurred in musculoskeletal conditions, while use and radiation burden increased for respiratory, circulatory and nervous system conditions. Using this high-level approach we flag areas requiring deeper investigation into appropriateness and value of care.

Patterns of computed tomography utilisation in injury management: latent classes approach using linked administrative data in Western Australia.

PURPOSE: Whilst computed tomography (CT) imaging has been a vital component of injury management, its increasing use has raised concern regarding ionising radiation exposure. This study aims to identify latent classes (underlying patterns) of CT use over a 3-year period following the incidence of injury and factors predicting the observed patterns. METHOD: A retrospective observational cohort study was conducted in 21,544 individuals aged 18 + years presenting to emergency departments (ED) of four tertiary public hospitals with new injury in Western Australia. Mixture modelling approach was used to identify latent classes of CT use over a 3-year period post injury. RESULTS: Amongst injured people with at least one CT scan, three latent classes of CT use were identified including a: temporarily high CT use (46.4%); consistently high CT use (2.6%); and low CT use class (51.1%). Being 65 + years or older, having 3 + comorbidities, history with 3 + hospitalisations and history of CT use before injury were associated with consistently high use of CT. Injury to the head, neck, thorax or abdomen, being admitted to hospital after the injury and arriving to ED by ambulance were predictors for the temporarily high use class. Living in areas of higher socio-economic disadvantage was a unique factor associated with the low CT use class. CONCLUSIONS: Instead of assuming a single pattern of CT use for all patients with injury, the advanced latent class modelling approach has provided more nuanced understanding of the underlying patterns of CT use that may be useful for developing targeted interventions.