Development of a Breast Cancer Risk Prediction Model Incorporating Polygenic Risk Scores and Nongenetic Risk Factors for Korean Women.

BACKGROUND: To develop a breast cancer prediction model for Korean women using published polygenic risk scores (PRS) combined with nongenetic risk factors (NGRF). METHODS: Thirteen PRS models generated from single or multiple combinations of the Asian and European PRSs were evaluated among 20,434 Korean women. The AUC and increase in OR per SD were compared for each PRS. The PRSs with the highest predictive power were combined with NGRFs; then, an integrated prediction model was established using the Individualized Coherent Absolute Risk Estimation (iCARE) tool. The absolute breast cancer risk was stratified for 18,142 women with available follow-up data. RESULTS: PRS38_ASN+PRS190_EB, a combination of Asian and European PRSs, had the highest AUC (0.621) among PRSs, with an OR per SD increase of 1.45 (95% confidence interval: 1.31-1.61). Compared with the average risk group (35%-65%), women in the top 5% had a 2.5-fold higher risk of breast cancer. Incorporating NGRFs yielded a modest increase in the AUC of women ages >50 years. For PRS38_ASN+PRS190_EB+NGRF, the average absolute risk was 5.06%. The lifetime absolute risk at age 80 years for women in the top 5% was 9.93%, whereas that of women in the lowest 5% was 2.22%. Women at higher risks were more sensitive to NGRF incorporation. CONCLUSIONS: Combined Asian and European PRSs were predictive of breast cancer in Korean women. Our findings support the use of these models for personalized screening and prevention of breast cancer. IMPACT: Our study provides insights into genetic susceptibility and NGRFs for predicting breast cancer in Korean women.

Gene-environment interaction explains a part of missing heritability in human body mass index.

Gene-environment (G×E) interaction could partially explain missing heritability in traits; however, the magnitudes of G×E interaction effects remain unclear. Here, we estimate the heritability of G×E interaction for body mass index (BMI) by subjecting genome-wide interaction study data of 331,282 participants in the UK Biobank to linkage disequilibrium score regression (LDSC) and linkage disequilibrium adjusted kinships-software for estimating SNP heritability from summary statistics (LDAK-SumHer) analyses. Among 14 obesity-related lifestyle factors, MET score, pack years of smoking, and alcohol intake frequency significantly interact with genetic factors in both analyses, accounting for the partial variance of BMI. The G×E interaction heritability (%) and standard error of these factors by LDSC and LDAK-SumHer are as follows: MET score, 0.45% (0.12) and 0.65% (0.24); pack years of smoking, 0.52% (0.13) and 0.93% (0.26); and alcohol intake frequency, 0.32% (0.10) and 0.80% (0.17), respectively. Moreover, these three factors are partially validated for their interactions with genetic factors in other obesity-related traits, including waist circumference, hip circumference, waist-to-hip ratio adjusted with BMI, and body fat percentage. Our results suggest that G×E interaction may partly explain the missing heritability in BMI, and two G×E interaction loci identified could help in understanding the genetic architecture of obesity.

Smoking-Interaction Loci Affect Obesity Traits: A Gene-Smoking Stratified Meta-Analysis of 545,131 Europeans.

INTRODUCTION: Although many studies have investigated the association between smoking and obesity, very few have analyzed how obesity traits are affected by interactions between genetic factors and smoking. Here, we aimed to identify the loci that affect obesity traits via smoking status-related interactions in European samples. METHODS: We performed stratified analysis based on the smoking status using both the UK Biobank (UKB) data (N = 334,808) and the Genetic Investigation of ANthropometric Traits (GIANT) data (N = 210,323) to identify gene-smoking interaction for obesity traits. We divided the UKB subjects into two groups, current smokers and nonsmokers, based on the smoking status, and performed genome-wide association study (GWAS) for body mass index (BMI), waist circumference adjusted for BMI (WCadjBMI), and waist-hip ratio adjusted for BMI (WHRadjBMI) in each group. And then we carried out the meta-analysis using both GWAS summary statistics of UKB and GIANT for BMI, WCadjBMI, and WHRadjBMI and computed the stratified p values (pstratified) based on the differences between meta-analyzed estimated beta coefficients with standard errors in each group. RESULTS: We identified four genome-wide significant loci in interactions with the smoking status (pstratified < 5 × 10-8): rs336396 (INPP4B) and rs12899135 (near CHRNB4) for BMI, and rs998584 (near VEGFA) and rs6916318 (near RSPO3) for WHRadjBMI. Moreover, we annotated the biological functions of the SNPs using expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) and GWAS databases, along with publications, which revealed possible mechanisms underlying the association between the smoking status-related genetic variants and obesity. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that obesity traits can be modified by the smoking status via interactions with genetic variants through various biological pathways.

Identification of genetic loci affecting body mass index through interaction with multiple environmental factors using structured linear mixed model.

Multiple environmental factors could interact with a single genetic factor to affect disease phenotypes. We used Struct-LMM to identify genetic variants that interacted with environmental factors related to body mass index (BMI) using data from the Korea Association Resource. The following factors were investigated: alcohol consumption, education, physical activity metabolic equivalent of task (PAMET), income, total calorie intake, protein intake, carbohydrate intake, and smoking status. Initial analysis identified 7 potential single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that interacted with the environmental factors (P value < 5.00 × 10-6). Of the 8 environmental factors, PAMET score was excluded for further analysis since it had an average Bayes Factor (BF) value < 1 (BF = 0.88). Interaction analysis using 7 environmental factors identified 11 SNPs (P value < 5.00 × 10-6). Of these, rs2391331 had the most significant interaction (P value = 7.27 × 10-9) and was located within the intron of EFNB2 (Chr 13). In addition, the gene-based genome-wide association study verified EFNB2 gene significantly interacting with 7 environmental factors (P value = 5.03 × 10-10). BF analysis indicated that most environmental factors, except carbohydrate intake, contributed to the interaction of rs2391331 on BMI. Although the replication of the results in other cohorts is warranted, these findings proved the usefulness of Struct-LMM to identify the gene-environment interaction affecting disease.