Risk of heart failure in inflammatory bowel disease: a Swedish population-based study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Dysregulation of inflammatory and immune responses has been implicated in the pathogenesis of heart failure (HF). But even if inflammation is a prerequisite for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), little is known about HF risk in IBD. METHODS: In this Swedish nationwide cohort, patients with biopsy-confirmed IBD were identified between 1969 and 2017 [n = 81,749, Crohn's disease (CD, n = 24,303), ulcerative colitis (UC, n = 45,709), and IBD-unclassified (IBD-U, n = 11,737)]. Each patient was matched with up to five general population reference individuals (n = 382,190) and IBD-free full siblings (n = 95,239) and followed until 31 December 2019. Flexible parametric survival models estimated the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) and standardized cumulative incidence for HF, with 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: There were 5,582 incident HF identified in IBD patients (incidence rate [IR]: 50.3/10,000 person-years) and 20,343 in reference individuals (IR: 37.9) during a median follow-up of 12.4 years. IBD patients had a higher risk of HF than reference individuals (aHR 1.19, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.23). This increased risk remained significant ≥20 years after IBD diagnosis, leading to one extra HF case per 130 IBD patients until then. The increased risk was also observed across IBD subtypes: CD (IR: 46.9 vs. 34.4; aHR 1.28 [1.20 to 1.36]), UC (IR: 50.1 vs. 39.7; aHR 1.14 [1.09 to 1.19]), and IBD-U (IR: 60.9 vs. 39.0; aHR 1.28 [1.16 to 1.42]). Sibling-controlled analyses showed slightly attenuated association (IBD: aHR 1.10 [1.03 to 1.19]). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with IBD had a moderately higher risk of developing HF for ≥20 years after IBD diagnosis than the general population.

Novel biomarker profiles to improve individual diagnosis and prognosis in patients with suspected inflammatory bowel disease: protocol for the Nordic inception cohort study (NORDTREAT).

INTRODUCTION: Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), including ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease, can be challenging to diagnose, and treatment outcomes are difficult to predict. In the NORDTREAT cohort study, a Nordic prospective multicentre study, we aim to identify novel molecular biomarkers of diagnostic value by assessing the diagnostic test accuracy (cross-sectionally), as well as the prognostic utility when used as prognostic markers in the long-term (cohort study). In the diagnostic test accuracy study, the primary outcome is a successful diagnosis using one or more novel index tests at baseline compared with the ECCO criteria as the reference standard. The composite outcome of the prognostic utility study is 'severe IBD' within 52 weeks from inclusion, defined as one or more of the following three events: IBD-related surgery, IBD-related hospitalisation or IBD-related death. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We aim to recruit 800 patients referred on suspicion of IBD to this longitudinal observational study, a collaboration between 11 inclusion sites in Denmark, Iceland, Norway and Sweden. Inclusion will occur from February 2022 until December 2023 with screening and baseline visits for all participants and three outcome visits at weeks 12, 26 and 52 after baseline for IBD-diagnosed patients. Biological material (blood, faeces, biopsies, urine and hair), clinical data and lifestyle information will be collected during these scheduled visits. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study will explore novel biomarkers to improve diagnostic accuracy and prediction of disease progression, thereby improving medical therapy and the quality of life for patients with IBD.The study is approved by the Ethics Committee (DK: S-20200051, v1.4, 16.10.2021; IS: VSNb2021070006/03.01, NO: 193064; SE: DNR 2021-05090) and the Danish Data Protecting Agency (20/54594). Results will be disseminated through peer-reviewed journals, patient associations and presentations at international conferences. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05414578; Pre-results.

Spondyloarthritis in first-degree relatives and spouses of patients with inflammatory bowel disease: A nationwide population-based cohort study from Sweden.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Register-based research suggests a shared pathophysiology between inflammatory bowel disease [IBD] and spondyloarthritis [SpA], but the role of familial [genetic and environmental] factors in this shared susceptibility is largely unknown. We compared the risk of SpA in first-degree relatives [FDRs] and spouses of IBD patients with FDRs and spouses of matched population-based reference individuals. METHODS: We identified 147,080 FDRs and 25,945 spouses of patients with incident IBD [N=39,203] during 2006-2016 and 1,453,429 FDRs and 258,098 spouses of matched reference individuals [N=390,490], by linking nationwide Swedish registers and gastrointestinal biopsy data. Study participants were followed 1987-2017. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios [HRs] of SpA. RESULTS: During follow-up, 2,430 FDRs of IBD patients [6.5/10,000 person-years] and 17,761 FDRs of reference individuals [4.8/10,000 person-years] were diagnosed with SpA, corresponding to an HR of 1.35 [95%CI:1.29,1.41]. In subgroup analyses, the increased risk of SpA was most pronounced in FDRs of Crohn's disease patients [HR=1.44; 95%CI:1.34,1.56] and of IBD patients aged <18 years at diagnosis [HR=1.46; 95%CI: 1.27,1.68]. IBD patient's spouses also had a higher SpA rate than reference individuals' spouses, but the difference was less pronounced [4.3 vs. 3.5/10,000 person-years; HR=1.22; 95%CI:1.09,1.37]. No subgroup-specific risk pattern was identified among spouses. CONCLUSIONS: The observed shared familial risks between IBD and SpA support shared genetic factors in their pathogenesis. However, spouses of IBD patients were also at increased risk for SpA, reflecting the influence of environmental exposures or similarities in health-seeking patterns.

Long-term risk of myocarditis in patients with inflammatory bowel disease: a nationwide cohort study in Sweden.

OBJECTIVES: Despite a suggested link between inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and myocarditis, the association has not been well-established. This study aimed to investigate the long-term risk of myocarditis in patients with IBD. METHODS: This nationwide cohort involved all patients with biopsy-confirmed IBD in Sweden (1969-2017) (n=83,264, Crohn's disease [CD, n=24,738], ulcerative colitis [UC, n=46,409], and IBD-unclassified [IBD-U, n=12,117]), general population reference individuals (n=391,344), and IBD-free full siblings (n=96,149), and followed until 2019. Primary outcome was incident myocarditis and secondary outcome was severe myocarditis (complicated with heart failure, death, or readmission). Flexible parametric survival models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and cumulative incidence of outcomes, along with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 12 years, there were 256 myocarditis cases in IBD patients (incidence rate [IR]=22.6/100,000 person-years) and 710 in reference individuals (IR=12.9), with an aHR of 1.55 (95%CI: 1.33 to 1.81). The increased risk persisted through 20 years after IBD diagnosis, corresponding to one extra myocarditis case in 735 IBD patients until then. This increased risk was observed in CD (aHR=1.48 [1.11 to 1.97]) and UC (aHR=1.58 [1.30 to 1.93]). IBD was also associated with severe myocarditis (IR: 10.1 vs. 3.5; aHR=2.44 [1.89 to 3.15]), irrespective of IBD subtypes (CD: aHR=2.39 [1.43 to 4.01], UC: aHR=2.82 [1.99 to 4.00], and IBD-U: aHR=3.14 [1.55 to 6.33]). Sibling comparison analyses yielded similar results. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with IBD had an increased risk of myocarditis, especially severe myocarditis, for ≥20 years after diagnosis, but absolute risks were low.

Histologic Remission in Inflammatory Bowel Disease and Female Fertility: A Nationwide Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is linked to reduced female fertility, but it is unclear how fertility rates vary by histologic disease activity. METHODS: Nationwide IBD cohort of Swedish women aged 15 to 44 years. We examined fertility rates during periods with vs without histologic inflammation (n = 21,046; follow-up, 1990-2016) and during periods with vs without clinical activity (IBD-related hospitalization, surgery, or treatment escalation) (n = 24,995; follow-up, 2006-2020). Accounting for sociodemographics and comorbidities, we used Poisson regression to estimate adjusted fertility rate ratios (aFRRs) for live births conceived during 12-month periods of histologic inflammation (vs histologic remission) and 3-month periods of clinically active IBD (vs quiescent IBD). RESULTS: During periods with vs without histologic inflammation, there were 6.35 (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.98-6.73) and 7.09 (95% CI, 6.48-7.70) live births conceived per 100 person-years of follow-up, respectively, or 1 fewer child per 14 women with 10 years of histologic inflammation (aFRR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.81-1.00). In women with histologic inflammation, fertility was similarly reduced in ulcerative colitis (UC) (aFRR, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.78-1.02]) and Crohn's disease (CD) (aFRR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.72-1.04]). Clinical IBD activity was associated with an aFRR of 0.76 (95% CI, 0.72-0.79) or 1 fewer child per 6 women with 10 years of clinical activity. Fertility was reduced in clinically active UC (aFRR, 0.75 [95% CI, 0.70-0.81]) and CD (aFRR, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.70-0.82]). Finally, among women with clinically quiescent IBD, histologic inflammation (vs histologic remission) was associated with reduced fertility (aFRR, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.73-0.98]). CONCLUSIONS: An association between histologic and clinical activity and reduced female fertility in CD and UC was found. Notably, histologic inflammation was also linked to reduced fertility in women with clinically quiescent IBD.

Defining Comprehensive Disease Control for Use as a Treatment Target for Ulcerative Colitis in Clinical Practice: International Delphi Consensus Recommendations.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Treatment of ulcerative colitis [UC] requires a patient-centric definition of comprehensive disease control that considers improvements in aspects not typically captured by classical landmark trial endpoints. In an international initiative, we reviewed aspects of UC that affect patients and/or indicate mucosal inflammation, to achieve consensus on which aspects to combine in a definition of comprehensive disease control, using a modified Delphi process. METHODS: The Delphi panel comprised 12 gastroenterologists and one patient advocate. Two gastroenterologists were elected as chairs and did not vote. To inform statements, we asked 18 patients and the panel members about their experiences of remission and reviewed published literature. Panel members voted on statements anonymously in three rounds, with a live discussion before Round 3. Consensus was met if ≥67% of the panel agreed. Statements without consensus in Rounds 1 and 2 were revised or discarded after Round 3. RESULTS: The panel agreed to measure individual patient benefit using a definition of comprehensive disease control that combines aspects currently measured in trials [rectal bleeding, stool frequency, disease-related quality of life, endoscopy, histological inflammatory activity, inflammatory biomarkers, and corticosteroid use] with additional patient-reported symptoms [bowel urgency, abdominal pain, extraintestinal manifestations, fatigue, and sleep disturbance]. The panel agreed on scoring systems and thresholds for many aspects. CONCLUSIONS: Using a robust methodology, we defined comprehensive disease control in UC. Next, we will combine the measurement and scoring of these aspects into a multicomponent tool and will adopt comprehensive disease control as a treatment target in clinical practice and trials.

Eosinophilic esophagitis is associated with increased risk of later inflammatory bowel disease in a nationwide Swedish population cohort.

BACKGROUND: Earlier studies on the possible association between eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE) and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) have been contradictory. METHODS: Patients with biopsy-verified EoE diagnosed between 1990 and 2017 in Sweden (n = 1587) were age- and sex-matched with up to five general population reference individuals (n = 7808). EoE was defined using pathology reports from all 28 pathology centers in Sweden (the ESPRESSO study). Multivariate Cox regression then estimated hazard ratios for future IBD. IBD was defined based on the international classification of disease codes and histopathology codes. In secondary analyses, sibling comparators were used to further reduce potential familial confounding. Additionally, we performed logistic regression examining earlier IBD in EoE. RESULTS: During follow-up until 2020, 16 (0.01%) EoE patients and 21 (0.003%) general population reference individuals diagnosed with IBD, corresponding to a 3.5-fold increased risk of future IBD (aHR = 3.56; 95% CI 1.79-7.11). EoE was linked to Crohn's disease (aHR = 3.39 [95% CI 1.02-9.60]) but not to ulcerative colitis (aHR = 1.37; 95% CI 0.38-4.86). Compared to their siblings, patients with EoE were at a 2.48-fold increased risk of IBD (aHR = 2.48; 95% CI 0.92-6.70). Earlier IBD was 15 times more likely in EoE patients than in matched reference individuals (odds ratio, 15.39; 95% CI 7.68-33.59). CONCLUSION: In this nationwide cohort study, EoE was associated with a 3.5-fold increased risk of later IBD diagnosis. This risk increase may be due to shared genetic or early environmental risk factors, but also surveillance bias could play a role.

Histologic Activity in Inflammatory Bowel Disease and Risk of Serious Infections: A Nationwide Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Individuals with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are at increased risk of serious infections, but whether this risk varies by histologic disease activity is unclear. METHODS: This was a national population-based study of 55,626 individuals diagnosed with IBD in 1990 to 2016 with longitudinal data on ileocolorectal biopsy specimens followed up through 2016. Serious infections were defined as having an inpatient infectious disease diagnosis in the Swedish National Patient Register. We used Cox regression to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for serious infections in the 12 months after documentation of histologic inflammation (vs histologic remission), adjusting for social and demographic factors, chronic comorbidities, prior IBD-related surgery, and hospitalization. We also adjusted for IBD-related medications in sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: With histologic inflammation vs remission, there was 4.62 (95% CI, 4.46-4.78) and 2.53 (95% CI, 2.36-2.70) serious infections per 100 person-years of follow-up, respectively (adjusted HR [aHR], 1.59; 95% CI, 1.48-1.72). Histologic inflammation (vs remission) was associated with an increased risk of serious infections in ulcerative colitis (aHR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.51-1.87) and Crohn's disease (aHR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.40-1.80). The aHRs of sepsis and opportunistic infections were 1.66 (95% CI, 1.28-2.15) and 1.71 (95% CI, 1.22-2.41), respectively. Overall, results were consistent across age groups, sex, and education level, and remained largely unchanged after adjustment for IBD-related medications (aHR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.34-1.61). CONCLUSIONS: Histologic inflammation of IBD was an independent risk factor of serious infections, including sepsis, suggesting that achieving histologic remission may reduce infections in IBD. The study was approved by the Stockholm Ethics Review Board (approval numbers 2014/1287-31/4, 2018/972-32, and 2021-06209-01).

Long-term risk of arrhythmias in patients with inflammatory bowel disease: A population-based, sibling-controlled cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Although previous evidence has suggested an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), its association with arrhythmias is inconclusive. In this study, we aimed to explore the long-term risk of arrhythmias in patients with IBD. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Through a nationwide histopathology cohort, we identified patients with biopsy-confirmed IBD in Sweden during 1969 to 2017, including Crohn's disease (CD: n = 24,954; median age at diagnosis: 38.4 years; female: 52.2%), ulcerative colitis (UC: n = 46,856; 42.1 years; 46.3%), and IBD-unclassified (IBD-U: n = 12,067; 43.8 years; 49.6%), as well as their matched reference individuals and IBD-free full siblings. Outcomes included overall and specific arrhythmias (e.g., atrial fibrillation/flutter, bradyarrhythmias, other supraventricular arrhythmias, and ventricular arrhythmias/cardiac arrest). Flexible parametric survival models estimated hazard ratios (aHR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs), after adjustment for birth year, sex, county of residence, calendar year, country of birth, educational attainment, number of healthcare visits, and cardiovascular-related comorbidities. Over a median of approximately 10 years of follow-up, 1,904 (7.6%) patients with CD, 4,154 (8.9%) patients with UC, and 990 (8.2%) patients with IBD-U developed arrhythmias, compared with 6.7%, 7.5%, and 6.0% in reference individuals, respectively. Compared with reference individuals, overall arrhythmias were increased in patients with CD [54.6 versus 46.1 per 10,000 person-years; aHR = 1.15 (95% CI [1.09, 1.21], P < 0.001)], patients with UC [64.7 versus 53.3 per 10,000 person-years; aHR = 1.14 (95% CI [1.10, 1.18], P < 0.001)], and patients with IBD-U [78.1 versus 53.5 per 10,000 person-years; aHR = 1.30 (95% CI [1.20, 1.41], P < 0.001)]. The increased risk persisted 25 years after diagnosis, corresponding to 1 extra arrhythmia case per 80 CD, 58 UC, and 29 IBD-U cases over the same period. Patients with IBD also had a significantly increased risk of specific arrhythmias, except for bradyarrhythmias. Sibling comparison analyses confirmed the main findings. Study limitations include lack of clinical data to define IBD activity, not considering the potential role of IBD medications and disease activity, and the potential residual confounding from unmeasured factors for arrhythmias. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, we observed that patients with IBD were at an increased risk of developing arrhythmias. The excess risk persisted even 25 years after IBD diagnosis. Our findings indicate a need for awareness of this excess risk among healthcare professionals.

Statin use and risk of colorectal cancer in patients with inflammatory bowel disease.

Background: Statin use has been linked to a reduced risk of advanced colorectal adenomas, but its association with colorectal cancer (CRC) in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) - a high risk population for CRC - remains inconclusive. Methods: From a nationwide IBD cohort in Sweden, we identified 5273 statin users and 5273 non-statin users (1:1 propensity score matching) from July 2006 to December 2018. Statin use was defined as the first filled prescription for ≥30 cumulative defined daily doses and followed until December 2019. Primary outcome was incident CRC. Secondary outcomes were CRC-related mortality and all-cause mortality. Cox regression estimated adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Findings: During a median follow-up of 5.6 years, 70 statin users (incidence rate (IR): 21.2 per 10,000 person-years) versus 90 non-statin users (IR: 29.2) were diagnosed with incident CRC (rate difference (RD), -8.0 (95% CIs: -15.8 to -0.2 per 10,000 person-years); aHR = 0.76 (95% CIs: 0.61 to 0.96)). The benefit for incident CRC was duration-dependent in a nested case-control design: as compared to short-term use (30 days to <1 year), the adjusted odd ratios were 0.59 (0.25 to 1.43) for 1 to <2 years of use, 0.46 (0.21 to 0.98) for 2 to <5 years of use, and 0.38 (0.16 to 0.86) for ≥5 years of use (Pfor tread = 0.016). Compared with non-statin users, statin users also had a decreased risk for CRC-related mortality (IR: 6.0 vs. 11.9; RD, -5.9 (-10.5 to -1.2); aHR, 0.56 (0.37 to 0.83)) and all-cause mortality (IR: 156.4 vs. 231.4; RD, -75.0 (-96.6 to -53.4); aHR, 0.63 (0.57 to 0.69)). Interpretation: Statin use was associated with a lower risk of incident CRC, CRC-related mortality, and all-cause mortality. The benefit for incident CRC was duration-dependent, with a significantly lower risk after ≥2 years of statin use. Funding: This research was supported by Forte (i.e., the Swedish Research Council for Health, Working Life and Welfare).

Increasing healthcare costs in inflammatory bowel disease 2007-2020 in Sweden.

BACKGROUND: Inflammatory bowel disease has been linked to increasing healthcare costs, but longitudinal data on other societal costs are scarce. AIM: To assess costs, including productivity losses, in patients with prevalent Crohn's disease (CD) or ulcerative colitis (UC) in Sweden between 2007 and 2020. METHODS: We linked data from national registers on all patients with CD or UC and a matched (sex, birthyear, healthcare region and education) reference population. We assessed mean costs/year in Euros, inflation-adjusted to 2020, for hospitalisations, out-patient visits, medications, sick leave and disability pension. We defined excess costs as the mean difference between patients and matched comparators. RESULTS: Between 2007 and 2020, absolute mean annual societal costs in working-age (18-64 years) individuals decreased by 17% in CD (-24% in the comparators) and by 20% in UC (-27% in comparators), due to decreasing costs from sick leave and disability, a consequence of stricter sick leave regulations. Excess costs in 2007 were dominated by productivity losses. In 2020, excess costs were mostly healthcare costs. Absolute and excess costs increased in paediatric and elderly patients. Overall, costs for TNF inhibitors/targeted therapies increased by 274% in CD and 638% in UC, and the proportion treated increased from 5% to 26% in CD, and from 1% to 10% in UC. CONCLUSION: Between 2007 and 2020, excess costs shifted from productivity losses to direct healthcare costs; that is, the patients' compensation for sickness absence decreased, while society increased its spending on medications. Medication costs were driven both by expanding use of TNF inhibitors and by high costs for newer targeted therapies.

Long-term Risk of Stroke in Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Population-Based, Sibling-Controlled Cohort Study, 1969-2019.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are at an increased risk of thromboembolic events, but evidence on the long-term risk of stroke remains scarce. We aimed to explore whether patients with a biopsy-confirmed IBD had an increased long-term risk of stroke. METHODS: This cohort included all patients with biopsy-confirmed IBD in Sweden between 1969 and 2019 and up to 5 matched reference individuals per patient who were randomly selected from the general population and IBD-free full siblings. The primary outcome was incident overall stroke; secondary outcomes were ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes. Stroke was identified from the Swedish National Patient Register by using both primary and secondary diagnoses. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for stroke were estimated by flexible parametric survival models. RESULTS: A total of 85,006 patients with IBD (including Crohn disease [CD, n = 25,257], ulcerative colitis [UC, n = 47,354], and IBD-unclassified [IBD-U, n = 12,395]), 406,987 matched reference individuals, and 101,082 IBD-free full siblings were included in the analysis. We observed 3,720 incident strokes in patients with IBD (incidence rate [IR] 32.6 per 10,000 person-years) and 15,599 in reference individuals (IR 27.7; aHR 1.13, 95% CI 1.08-1.17). The elevated aHR remained increased even 25 years after diagnosis, corresponding to 1 additional stroke case per 93 patients with IBD until then. The excess aHR was mainly driven by ischemic stroke (aHR 1.14; 1.09-1.18) rather than hemorrhagic stroke (aHR 1.06; 0.97-1.15). The risk of ischemic stroke was significantly increased across IBD subtypes (CD [IR 23.3 vs 19.2; aHR 1.19; 1.10-1.29], UC [IR 25.7 vs 22.6; aHR 1.09; 1.04-1.16], and IBD-U [IR 30.5 vs 22.8; aHR 1.22; 1.08-1.37]). Similar results were found when patients with IBD were compared with their siblings. DISCUSSION: Patients with IBD were at an increased risk of stroke, especially of ischemic events, irrespective of the IBD subtype. The excess risk persisted even 25 years after diagnosis. These findings highlight the need for clinical vigilance about the long-term excess risk of cerebrovascular events in patients with IBD.

Epidemiology, validation, and clinical characteristics of inflammatory bowel disease: the ABIS birth cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Birth cohort studies with linked register-based data on inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) provide opportunities to prospectively study early-life determinants of the disease. However, register-based data often lack information on clinical characteristics and rely on diagnostic algorithms. Within the All Babies in Southeast Sweden (ABIS) cohort, we examined the validity of a register-based definition of IBD, its incidence, and clinical and therapeutic characteristics at diagnosis. METHODS: We followed 16,223 children from birth (1997-1999) until the end of 2020 for the diagnosis of IBD as defined by a minimum of two diagnostic codes for IBD in the Swedish National Patient Register (NPR). We described the incidence and cumulative incidence of IBD. Through a medical record review of cases diagnosed by the end of 2017, we examined the positive predictive value (PPV) for IBD and described its clinical characteristics and treatment. RESULTS: By 2020, at an average age of 22.2 years, 113 participants (0.74%, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.61-0.89) had a register-based diagnosis of IBD, corresponding to an incidence of 31.3 per 100,000 person-years of follow-up; the incidence for Crohn's disease (CD) was 11.1 per 100,000 person-years and 15.8 for ulcerative colitis (UC). Of 77 participants with a register-based definition of IBD by the end of 2017, medical records were identified for 61 participants, of whom 57 had true IBD (PPV = 93%; 95%CI = 0.87-1.00). While oral 5-aminosalicylic acid treatment was equally common in newly diagnosed CD and UC patients, biologics were more often used for newly diagnosed CD. The median faecal calprotectin levels were 1206 mg/kg at diagnosis and 93 mg/kg at the last follow-up (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In this population-based sample of Swedish children and young adults the cumulative IBD incidence was 0.74. The validity of register-based definition of IBD was high and supports using such data to identify IBD patients in cohort studies.

Increasing Risk of Lymphoma Over Time in Crohn's Disease but Not in Ulcerative Colitis: A Scandinavian Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Earlier studies have provided varying risk estimates for lymphoma in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), but often have been limited by detection biases (especially during the first year of follow-up evaluation), misclassification, and small sample size; and rarely reflect modern-day management of IBD. METHODS: We performed a binational register-based cohort study (Sweden and Denmark) from 1969 to 2019. We compared 164,716 patients with IBD with 1,639,027 matched general population reference individuals. Cox regression estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for incident lymphoma by lymphoma subtype, excluding the first year of follow-up evaluation. RESULTS: From 1969 to 2019, 258 patients with Crohn's disease (CD), 479 patients with ulcerative colitis (UC), and 6675 matched reference individuals developed lymphoma. This corresponded to incidence rates of 35 (CD) and 34 (UC) per 100,000 person-years in IBD patients, compared with 28 and 33 per 100,000 person-years in their matched reference individuals. Although both CD (HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.16-1.50) and UC (HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.00-1.20) were associated with an increase in lymphoma, the 10-year cumulative incidence difference was low even in CD patients (0.08%; 95% CI, 0.02-0.13). HRs have increased in the past 2 decades, corresponding to increasing use of immunomodulators and biologics during the same time period. HRs were increased for aggressive B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma in CD and UC patients, and for T-cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma in CD patients. Although the highest HRs were observed in patients exposed to combination therapy (immunomodulators and biologics) or second-line biologics, we also found increased HRs in patients naïve to such drugs. CONCLUSIONS: During the past 20 years, the risk of lymphomas have increased in CD, but not in UC, and were driven mainly by T-cell lymphomas and aggressive B-cell lymphomas.

Ustekinumab Versus Anti-tumour Necrosis Factor Alpha Agents as Second-Line Biologics in Crohn's Disease.

BACKGROUND: There are little data on positioning biologics in Crohn's disease (CD). AIMS: We aimed to assess the comparative effectiveness and safety of ustekinumab vs tumour necrosis factor-alpha (anti-TNF) agents after first-line treatment with anti-TNF in CD. METHODS: We used Swedish nationwide registers to identify patients with CD, exposed to anti-TNF who initiated second-line biologic treatment with ustekinumab or second-line anti-TNF therapy. Nearest neighbour 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance the groups. The primary outcome was 3-year drug survival used as a proxy for effectiveness. Secondary outcomes included drug survival without hospital admission, CD-related surgery, antibiotics, hospitalization due to infection and exposure to corticosteroids. RESULTS: Some 312 patients remained after PSM. Drug survival at 3 years was 35% (95% CI 26-44%) in ustekinumab compared to 36% (95% CI 28-44%) in anti-TNF-treated patients (p = 0.72). No statistically significant differences were observed between the groups in 3-year survival without hospital admission (72% vs 70%, p = 0.99), surgery (87% vs 92%, p = 0.17), hospital admission due to infection (92% vs 92%, p = 0.31) or prescription of antibiotics (49% vs 50%, p = 0.56). The proportion of patients continuing second-line biologic therapy did not differ by reason for ending first-line anti-TNF (lack of response vs intolerance) or by type of first-line anti-TNF (adalimumab vs infliximab). CONCLUSION: Based on data from Swedish routine care, no clinically relevant differences in effectiveness or safety of second-line ustekinumab vs anti-TNF treatment were observed in patients with CD with prior exposure to anti-TNF.

Inflammatory Bowel Disease and Risk of Colorectal Polyps: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study From Sweden.

BACKGROUND: Inflammatory bowel disease [IBD] has been linked to an increased risk of colorectal neoplasia. However, the types and risks of specific polyp types in IBD are less clear. METHODS: We identified 41 880 individuals with IBD (Crohn's disease [CD: n = 12 850]; ulcerative colitis [UC]: n = 29 030]) from Sweden matched with 41 880 reference individuals. Using Cox regression, we calculated adjusted hazard ratios [aHRs] for neoplastic colorectal polyps [tubular, serrated/sessile, advanced and villous] defined by histopathology codes. RESULTS: During follow-up, 1648 [3.9%] IBD patients and 1143 [2.7%] reference individuals had an incident neoplastic colorectal polyp, corresponding to an incidence rate of 46.1 and 34.2 per 10 000 person-years, respectively. This correlated to an aHR of 1.23 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12-1.35) with the highest HRs seen for sessile serrated polyps [8.50, 95% CI 1.10-65.90] and traditional serrated adenomas [1.72, 95% CI 1.02-2.91]. aHRs for colorectal polyps were particularly elevated in those diagnosed with IBD at a young age and at 10 years after diagnosis. Both absolute and relative risks of colorectal polyps were higher in UC than in CD [aHRs 1.31 vs 1.06, respectively], with a 20-year cumulative risk difference of 4.4% in UC and 1.5% in CD, corresponding to one extra polyp in 23 patients with UC and one in 67 CD patients during the first 20 years after IBD diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: In this nationwide population-based study, there was an increased risk of neoplastic colorectal polyps in IBD patients. Colonoscopic surveillance in IBD appears important, especially in UC and after 10 years of disease.

Long-term risk of inflammatory bowel disease after endoscopic biopsy with normal mucosa: A population-based, sibling-controlled cohort study in Sweden.

BACKGROUND: Although evidence suggests a persistently decreased risk of colorectal cancer for up to 10 years among individuals with a negative endoscopic biopsy result (i.e., normal mucosa), concerns have been raised about other long-term health outcomes among these individuals. In this study, we aimed to explore the long-term risk of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) after an endoscopic biopsy with normal mucosa. METHODS AND FINDINGS: In the present nationwide cohort study, we identified all individuals in Sweden with a lower or upper gastrointestinal (GI) biopsy of normal mucosa during 1965 to 2016 (exposed, n = 200,495 and 257,192 for lower and upper GI biopsy, respectively), their individually matched population references (n = 989,484 and 1,268,897), and unexposed full siblings (n = 221,179 and 274,529). Flexible parametric model estimated hazard ratio (HR) as an estimate of the association between a GI biopsy of normal mucosa and IBD as well as cumulative incidence of IBD, with 95% confidence interval (CI). The first 6 months after GI biopsy were excluded to avoid detection bias, surveillance bias, or reverse causation. During a median follow-up time of approximately 10 years, 4,853 individuals with a lower GI biopsy of normal mucosa developed IBD (2.4%) compared to 0.4% of the population references. This corresponded to an incidence rate (IR) of 20.39 and 3.39 per 10,000 person-years in the respective groups or 1 extra estimated IBD case among 37 exposed individuals during the 30 years after normal GI biopsy. The exposed individuals had a persistently higher risk of overall IBD (average HR = 5.56; 95% CI: 5.28 to 5.85), ulcerative colitis (UC, average HR = 5.20; 95% CI: 4.85 to 5.59) and Crohn's disease (CD, average HR = 6.99; 95% CI: 6.38 to 7.66) than their matched population references. In the sibling comparison, average HRs were 3.27 (3.05 to 3.51) for overall IBD, 3.27 (2.96 to 3.61) for UC, and 3.77 (3.34 to 4.26) for CD. For individuals with an upper GI biopsy of normal mucosa, the average HR of CD was 2.93 (2.68 to 3.21) and 2.39 (2.10 to 2.73), compared with population references and unexposed full siblings, respectively. The increased risk of IBD persisted at least 30 years after cohort entry. Study limitations include lack of data on indications for biopsy and potential residual confounding from unmeasured risk or protective factors for IBD. CONCLUSIONS: Endoscopic biopsy with normal mucosa was associated with an elevated IBD incidence for at least 30 years. This may suggest a substantial symptomatic period of IBD and incomplete diagnostic examinations in patients with early IBD.

Immune response and barrier dysfunction-related proteomic signatures in preclinical phase of Crohn's disease highlight earliest events of pathogenesis.

OBJECTIVE: The measure of serum proteome in the preclinical state of Crohn's disease (CD) may provide insight into biological pathways involved in CD pathogenesis. We aimed to assess associations of serum proteins with future CD onset and with other biomarkers predicting CD risk in a healthy at-risk cohort. DESIGN: In a nested case-control study within the Crohn's and Colitis Canada Genetics Environment Microbial Project (CCC-GEM) cohort, which prospectively follows healthy first-degree relatives (FDRs), subjects who developed CD (n=71) were matched with four FDRs remaining healthy (n=284). Using samples at recruitment, serum protein profiles using the Olink Proximity Extension Assay platform was assessed for association with future development of CD and with other baseline biomarkers as follows: serum antimicrobial antibodies (AS: positive antibody sum) (Prometheus); faecal calprotectin (FCP); gut barrier function using the fractional excretion of lactulose-to-mannitol ratio (LMR) assay. RESULTS: We identified 25 of 446 serum proteins significantly associated with future development of CD. C-X-C motif chemokine 9 (CXCL9) had the highest OR with future risk of CD (OR=2.07 per SD, 95% CI 1.58 to 2.73, q=7.9e-5), whereas matrix extracellular phosphoglycoprotein had the lowest OR (OR 0.44, 95% CI 0.29 to 0.66, q=0.02). Notably, CXCL9 was the only analyte significantly associated with all other CD-risk biomarkers with consistent direction of effect (FCP: OR=2.21; LMR: OR=1.67; AS: OR=1.59) (q<0.05 for all). CONCLUSION: We identified serum proteomic signatures associated with future CD development, reflecting potential early biological processes of immune and barrier dysfunction.

Association of inflammatory bowel disease in first-degree relatives with risk of colorectal cancer: A nationwide case-control study in Sweden.

This study aims to assess the association between inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) history in first-degree relatives (FDRs) and colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. We conducted a nationwide case-control study in Sweden among 69 659 CRC cases and 343 032 non-CRC controls matched on age, sex, birth year and residence county. Through linkage of multi-generation register and the nationwide ESPRESSO (Epidemiology Strengthened by histoPathology Reports in Sweden) cohort, we ascertained IBD diagnoses among parents, full siblings and offspring of the index individuals. Odds ratios (ORs) of CRC associated with IBD family history were calculated using conditional logistic regression. 2.2% of both CRC cases (1566/69659) and controls (7676/343027) had ≥1 FDR with IBD history. After adjusting for family history of CRC, we observed no increased risk of CRC in FDRs of IBD patients (OR, 0.96; 95%CI, 0.91-1.02). The null association was consistent according to IBD subtype (Crohn's disease or ulcerative colitis), number of FDRs with IBD (1 or ≥ 2), age at first IBD diagnosis in FDRs (<18, 18-39, 40-59 or ≥60 years), maximum location/extent of IBD or FDR relation (parent, sibling or offspring). The null association remained for early-onset CRC (diagnosed at age <50 years). In conclusion, IBD history in FDRs was not associated with an increased risk of CRC. Our findings suggest that extra screening for CRC may not be needed in the offspring, siblings or parents of IBD patients, and strengthen the theory that it is the actual inflammation or atypia of the colon in IBD patients that confers the increased CRC risk.

Serum N-Glycomic Biomarkers Predict Treatment Escalation in Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

Biomarkers to guide clinical decision making at diagnosis of inflammatory bowel disease [IBD] are urgently needed. We investigated a composite serum N-glycomic biomarker to predict future disease course in a discovery cohort of 244 newly diagnosed IBD patients. In all, 47 individual glycan peaks were analysed using ultra-high performance liquid chromatography, identifying 105 glycoforms from which 24 derived glycan traits were calculated. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to determine associations of derived glycan traits with disease. Cox proportional hazard models were used to predict treatment escalation from first-line treatment to biologics or surgery (hazard ratio [HR] 25.9, p = 1.1 × 10-12; 95% confidence interval [CI], 8.52-78.78). Application to an independent replication cohort of 54 IBD patients yielded an HR of 5.1 [p = 1.1 × 10-5; 95% CI, 2.54-10.1]. These data demonstrate the prognostic capacity of serum N-glycan biomarkers and represent a step towards personalised medicine in IBD.