Venous Thromboembolism Following Discharge from Hospital in Patients Admitted for Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients admitted to hospital with inflammatory bowel disease[IBD] are at increased risk of venous thromboembolism[VTE]. This study aims to identify IBD patients at increased VTE risk on hospital discharge and to develop a risk scoring system to recognise them. METHODS: Hospital episode statistics data were used to identify all patients admitted with IBD as an emergency or electively for surgery. All patients with VTE within 90 days of hospital discharge were identified. A multilevel logistic regression model was used to identify patient- and admission-level factors associated with VTE. A scoring system to identify patients at higher risk for VTE was constructed. RESULTS: A total of 201 779 admissions in 101 966 patients were included. The rate of VTE within 90 days was 17.2 per 1000 patient-years at risk and was highest in patients admitted as an emergency who underwent surgery[36.9]. VTE was associated with: female sex (odds ratio 0.65 [95% confidence interval 0.53-0.80], p <0.001); increasing age [49-60 years] (4.67 [3.36-6.49], p <0.001); increasing length of hospital stay [>10 days] (3.80 [2.80-5.15], p <0.001); more than two hospital admissions in previous 3 months (2.23 [1.60-3.10], p <0.001); ulcerative colitis (1.48 [1.21-1.82], p <0.001); and emergency admission including surgery (1.59 [1.12-2.27], p = 0.010); or emergency admission not including surgery (1.59 [1.08-2.35], p = 0.019) compared with elective surgery. A score >12 in the VTE scoring system gave a positive predictive value [PPV] of VTE of 1%. The area under the curve [AUC] was 0.714 [95% CI 0.70-0.73]. CONCLUSION: IBD patients admitted to hospital with a prolonged length of stay, increasing age, male sex, or as an emergency were at increased risk of VTE following discharge. Higher-risk patients were identifiable by a VTE risk scoring system.

The association between physician staff numbers and mortality in English hospitals.

BACKGROUND: Physician medical specialties place specific demands on medical staff. Often patients have multiple co-morbidities, frailty is common, and mortality rates are higher than other specialties such as surgery. The key intervention for patients admitted under physician subspecialties is the care provided on the ward. The current evidence base to inform staffing in physician medical specialty wards is limited. The aim of this analysis is to investigate the association between medical staffing levels within physician medical specialties and mortality. METHODS: This study is a cross-sectional analysis of national data, which is aggregated at provider level. Medical beds per senior, middle grade and junior physicians employed in physician medical specialties were calculated from national employment records for acute hospitals in England, in 2017. Outcome measures included unadjusted mortality rate and Summary Hospital-level Mortality Indicator (SHMI) in physician medical specialties. Both Raw mortality and SHMI include deaths during admission or within 30 days following discharge. Linear regression models were constructed for each medical staffing grade for unadjusted mortality, SHMI and SHMI adjusted for local provider factors. FINDINGS: The mean number of medical beds per senior, middle grade and junior physicians were 7.3(SD 2.5), 19.7(11.5), 10.1(3.1) respectively. Lower bed numbers per medical staff grade were associated with lower than expected mortality by SHMI; senior(Coefficient 0.012(95%CI:0.005-0.018),p = 0.001), middle grade(0.002(0.0002-0.005),p = 0.032) and junior(0.008(0.002-0.015),p = 0.014). Hospital providers were more likely to achieve a better than expected mortality (SHMI<1) if  beds per physician were lower than; 5.3, 14.6 and 9.0 for senior, middle grade and junior doctors respectively. INTERPRETATION: Acute hospital providers with fewer beds per medical staff of all grades are associated with lower than expected mortality. FUNDING: No external funding is associated with this analysis.

Higher volume providers are associated with improved outcomes following ERCP for the palliation of malignant biliary obstruction.

BACKGROUND: Relieving malignant biliary obstruction improves quality of life and permits chemotherapy. Outcomes of endoscopic retrograde cholangio-pancratography(ERCP) in inoperable malignant biliary obstruction have been examined in a national cohort to establish factors associated with poor outcomes. METHODS: Hospital Episode Statistics include diagnostic and procedural data for all NHS hospital attendances in England. Patients from 2006 to 2017 with a Hepaticopancreaticobiliary (HPB) malignancy who had undergone ERCP were studied. Patients undergoing a potentially curative operation were excluded. Associations between demographics, co-morbidities, unit ERCP volume and mortality were examined by logistic regression. FINDINGS: 39,702 patients were included; 49.4% were male; median age was 75 (IQR 66-88)years. Pancreatic cancer was the most common tumour (63.9%). Mortality was 4.1%, 9.7% and 19.1% for 7-day, in hospital and 30-day respectively. On multivariable analysis: men (OR 1.20(95%CI 1.14-1.26), p < 0.001); increasing age quintile 78-83(1.73(1.59-1.89), p < 0.001), >83(2.70(2.48-2.94),p < 0.001); most deprived quintile (1.21(1.11-1.32), p < 0.001); increasing co-morbidity score >20(3.36(2.94-3.84),p < 0.001); small bowel malignancy (1.45(1.22-1.72), p < 0.001), intrahepatic biliary malignancy(1.10(1.03-1.17), p = 0.005) and year of ERCP 2006/07 (1.37(1.22-1.55), p < 0.001) were associated with increased 30-day mortality. Extrahepatic biliary tree cancers (0.67(0.61-0.73), p<0.001), high volume providers of ERCP (>318 annually, 0.91(0.84-0.98), p = 0.01) and high volume of ERCP for malignant obstruction (>40 annually (0.91(0.85-0.98), p = 0.014) were negatively associated with 30-day mortality. Patients were less likely to require a second ERCP in high volume providers (>318, 8.0%) compared to low volume ((<204, 13.4%), p<0.001). INTERPRETATION: Short term mortality in patients with malignant biliary obstruction following ERCP was high. 30-day mortality was positively associated with increasing age and co-morbidity, men, deprivation, and earlier year of ERCP and negatively with extrahepatic biliary tree cancer and high volume ERCP providers. FUNDING: Internal funding only.

Outcomes of colorectal stents when used as a bridge to curative resection in obstruction secondary to colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Up to 25% of colorectal cancers present with bowel obstruction. Metal stents (MS) can provide a bridge to surgery by relieving obstruction and allowing the subject's condition to improve pre-operatively. METHODS: Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) is a database of all NHS funded secondary care episodes in England. Subjects admitted with bowel obstruction secondary to colorectal cancer without metastases were identified and subdivided into two groups: MS insertion prior to surgery and surgery only. Due to demographic differences between the groups, propensity score matching was used to analyse procedural outcomes, mortality and readmission within 30 days in left-sided cancers based upon age, sex and Charlson co-morbidity score. RESULTS: Over 10 years, 4571 subjects were identified; 401 received a MS and 4170 underwent surgery only. Median age of MS subjects was 71 (IQR 62-79) years; 226 (56.4%) were male. Median age of surgery-only subjects was 73 (64-81); 2165 (51.9%) were male. Following propensity matching 375 MS and 375 surgery-only subjects remained; MS had fewer readmissions within 30 days (28 (7.5%) versus 44 (11.7%), p = 0.047), fewer respiratory complications (< 6 (< 1.5%) versus 28 (7.5%), p < 0.001), lower stoma rates (49 (13.1%) versus 159 (42.4%), p < 0.001) and higher rates of laparoscopic surgery (154 (41.1%) versus 25 (6.7%), p < 0.001). Mortality was lower in the MS group at 30 days (7 (1.9%) versus 33 (8.8%), p < 0.001) and 1 year (37 (9.9%) versus 71 (19.0%), p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In subjects presenting with obstructing colorectal cancer outcomes including respiratory complications, readmission and mortality appear to be better in subjects undergoing MS as a bridge to surgery compared to surgery alone.

Outcomes of pneumatic dilatation and Heller's myotomy for achalasia in England between 2005 and 2016.

INTRODUCTION: Achalasia is a disorder characterised by failed relaxation of the lower oesophageal sphincter. The aim of this study was to examine, at a national level, the long-term outcomes of achalasia therapies. METHODS: Hospital Episode Statistics include diagnostic and procedural data for all English National Health Service-funded hospital admissions. Subjects with a code for achalasia who had their initial treatment between January 2006 and December 2015 were grouped by treatment; pneumatic dilatation (PD) or surgical Heller's myotomy (HM). Procedural failure was defined as time to a further episode of the same therapy or a change to a different therapy. Up to three PDs were permitted without being considered a therapy failure. RESULTS: 6938 subjects were included; 3619 (52.2%) were men and median age at diagnosis was 59 (IQR 43-75) years. 4748 (68.4%) initially received PD and 2190 (31.6%) HM. The perforation rate following PD was 1.6%. Mortality at 30 days was 0.0% for HM and 1.9% for PD, and <8% after perforation following PD. Factors associated with increased mortality after PD included age quintile 66-77 (OR 4.55 (95% CI 2.00 to 10.38), p<0.001), >77 (9.78 (4.33 to 22.06), p<0.001); Charlson comorbidity score >4 (2.87 (2.08 to 3.95), p<0.001); previous HM (2.47 (1.33 to 4.62), p<0.001); and repeat PD 1-3 (1.58 (1.15 to 2.16), p=0.005), >3 (1.97 (1.21 to 3.19), p=0.006). Durability of up to 3 PD and HM over 10 years of follow-up was 86.2% and 81.9%, respectively (p<0.001). DISCUSSION: The efficacy of PD for achalasia appears to be greater than HM over 10 years. There was no mortality associated with HM, but 1.9% of subjects died within 30 days of PD. Mortality was associated with increasing age, comorbidity, previous HM and repeat PD.

Incidence, morbidity and mortality of patients with achalasia in England: findings from a study of nationwide hospital and primary care data.

BACKGROUND: Achalasia is an uncommon condition characterised by failed lower oesophageal sphincter relaxation. Data regarding its incidence, prevalence, disease associations and long-term outcomes are very limited. METHODS: Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) include demographic and diagnostic data for all English hospital attendances. The Health Improvement Network (THIN) includes the primary care records of 4.5 million UK subjects, representative of national demographics. Both were searched for incident cases between 2006 and 2016 and THIN for prevalent cases. Subjects with achalasia in THIN were compared with age, sex, deprivation tand smoking status matched controls for important comorbidities and mortality. RESULTS: There were 10 509 and 711 new achalasia diagnoses identified in HES and THIN, respectively. The mean incidence per 100 000 people in HES was 1.99 (95% CI 1.87 to 2.11) and 1.53 (1.42 to 1.64) per 100 000 person-years in THIN. The prevalence in THIN was 27.1 (25.4 to 28.9) per 100 000 population. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were significantly higher in subjects with achalasia (n=2369) compared with controls (n=3865) for: oesophageal cancer (IRR 5.22 (95% CI: 1.88 to 14.45), p<0.001), aspiration pneumonia (13.38 (1.66 to 107.79), p=0.015), lower respiratory tract infection (1.33 (1.05 to 1.70), p=0.02) and mortality (1.33 (1.17 to 1.51), p<0.001). The median time from achalasia diagnosis to oesophageal cancer diagnosis was 15.5 (IQR 20.4) years. CONCLUSION: The incidence of achalasia is 1.99 per 100 000 population in secondary care data and 1.53 per 100 000 person-years in primary care data. Subjects with achalasia have an increased incidence of oesophageal cancer, aspiration pneumonia, lower respiratory tract infections and higher mortality. Clinicians treating patients with achalasia should be made aware of these associated morbidities and its increased mortality.

The Risk of Inflammatory Bowel Disease in Subjects Presenting With Perianal Abscess: Findings From the THIN Database.

BACKGROUND: Perianal abscess [PA] is associated with inflammatory bowel disease [IBD]. The incidence of IBD after a diagnosis of PA and potential predictors of a future diagnosis of IBD are unknown. METHODS: The Health Improvement Network [THIN] is a primary care database representative of the UK population. Incident cases of PA were identified between 1995 and 2017. Subjects with PA were matched to controls within the same general practice. The primary outcome was a subsequent diagnosis of Crohn's Disease [CD] or ulcerative colitis [UC]. A Cox regression model was used to assess potential predictors of a new diagnosis of CD or UC following PA. RESULTS: The risk of CD was higher in the PA cohort compared with controls; adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 7.51 (95% confidence interval [CI] 4.86-11.62), p < 0.0001. The risk of UC was also higher in the PA cohort compared with controls; adjusted HR 2.03 [1.38-2.99], p < 0.0001. Anaemia in men (HR 2.82 [1.34-5.92], p = 0.002), and use of antidiarrhoeal medications (HR 2.70 [1.71-4.25], p < 0.0001) were associated with an increased risk of CD following PA. Anaemia in men (HR 2.58 [1.09-6.07], p = 0.03), diarrhoea (HR 2.18 [1.23-3.85], p = 0.007), and use of anti-diarrhoeal medication (HR 2.27 [1.19-4.30], p = 0.012) were associated with an increased risk of UC following PA. CONCLUSION: Subjects with PA are at an increased risk of subsequent diagnosis of CD and UC. Clinicians should strongly consider investigation for IBD in young patients presenting with diarrhoea and anaemia [in males] following PA. Future research should discern appropriate screening strategies for this high-risk cohort.

Managing a patient with globus pharyngeus.

A woman aged 47 years reported the feeling of a lump in her throat for the past year. The sensation was present intermittently and usually improved when she ate. She noted it was worse with dry swallows when she felt like a tablet was stuck in her throat. The sensation had become more persistent in recent weeks leading her to worry that she had cancer. She had no cough, sore throat or hoarseness. There were no precipitating factors and no symptoms of weight loss, dysphagia, odynophagia or change in her voice. She had smoked previously and rarely had heartburn. She had no other anxieties and was not under any unusual stress. She was initially assessed by an ear, nose and throat surgeon, who found no abnormalities on examination of her neck, throat and oral cavity. Nasolaryngoscopy was normal. An upper gastrointestinal endoscopy was organised and reported a hiatus hernia, but a 3-month trial of a proton pump inhibitor did not have any impact on her symptoms. The benign nature of her symptoms was discussed at her gastroenterology follow-up appointment. She was discharged back to primary care with a final diagnosis of 'globus'. A trial of speech therapy, cognitive behavioural therapy or amitriptyline would be recommended if her symptoms became more troublesome in future.