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BACKGROUND: Whether dietary protein intake worsens renal function in the general population has been discussed but not yet determined. We aimed to examine the longitudinal association between dietary protein intake and risk of incident chronic kidney disease (CKD). METHODS: We conducted a 12-year follow-up study with 3,277 Japanese adults (1,150 men and 2,127 women) aged 40-74 years, initially free from CKD, who participated in cardiovascular risk surveys from two Japanese communities under the Circulatory Risk in Communities Study. The development of CKD was defined by the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) during the follow-up period. Protein intake was measured at baseline by using the brief-type self-administered diet history questionnaire. We estimated sex-, age-, community- and multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for incident CKD were calculated using the Cox proportional hazards regression models according to quartiles of percentage of energy (%energy) from protein intake. RESULTS: During 26,422 person-years of follow-up, 300 participants developed CKD (137 men and 163 women). The sex-, age-, and community-adjusted HR (95% confidence interval, CI) for the highest (≥16.9%energy) versus lowest (≤13.4%energy) quartiles of total protein intake was 0.66 (0.48-0.90), p for trend = 0.007. The multivariable HR (95%CI) was 0.72 (0.52-0.99), p for trend = 0.016 after further adjustment for body mass index, smoking status, alcohol drinking status, diastolic blood pressure, antihypertensive medication use, diabetes mellitus, serum total cholesterol levels, cholesterol-lowering medication use, total energy intake, and baseline eGFR. The association did not vary by sex, age, and baseline eGFR. When examining animal and vegetable protein intake separately, the respective multivariable HRs (95%CIs) were 0.77 (0.56-1.08), p for trend = 0.036, and 1.24 (0.89-1.75), p for trend = 0.270. CONCLUSIONS: Higher protein intake, more specifically animal protein intake was associated with a lower risk of CKD.
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Proteínas Alimentares , Insuficiência Renal Crônica , Humanos , Feminino , Seguimentos , Fatores de Risco , Estudos Prospectivos , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/etiologia , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , ColesterolRESUMO
AIM: We aimed to examine sex-specific risk factors for hyperuricemia or gout in Japanese cohorts. METHODS: We followed up 3,188 men (mean age, 55.6 years) and 6,346 women (mean age, 54.1 years) without hyperuricemia, gout, or elevated liver enzymes at baseline from 1986 to 1990 for a median of 14.6 years. The participants were considered as having hyperuricemia or gout if their serum uric acid levels were ≥ 7.0 mg/dL or they were receiving treatment for hyperuricemia or gout during annual health checkups. The sex-specific multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) of hyperuricemia or gout incidence were calculated after adjustment for smoking and drinking status, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, and hypertriglyceridemia using the Cox proportional-hazard model. RESULTS: During follow-up, 733 men and 355 women had hyperuricemia or gout. Among men, the multivariable HRs (95% confidence intervals) of hyperuricemia or gout were 1.23 (1.00-1.52) and 1.41 (1.13-1.75) for drinkers of ï¼46 and ≥ 46 g ethanol/day, respectively, compared with non-drinkers; 1.00 (0.81-1.24) and 1.18 (0.93-1.50) for smokers of 1-19 and ≥ 20 cigarettes/day, respectively, compared with never smokers; and 1.41 (1.20-1.65) for hypertensive compared with non-hypertensive participants. The HRs for women were 1.02 (0.70-1.48), 1.66 (1.05-2.63), and 1.12 (0.88-1.42) for current drinkers, current smokers, and hypertensive participants, respectively. For both men and women, body mass index, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, and hypertriglyceridemia were not associated with hyperuricemia or gout incidence. CONCLUSIONS: Hypertension and alcohol drinking are risk factors for hyperuricemia or gout among men and smoking among women.
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Diabetes Mellitus , Gota , Hipercolesterolemia , Hipertensão , Hipertrigliceridemia , Hiperuricemia , Masculino , Feminino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Hiperuricemia/epidemiologia , Ácido Úrico , Hipercolesterolemia/complicações , Gota/epidemiologia , Gota/etiologia , Fatores de Risco , Hipertensão/complicaçõesRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Sex- and age-specific impacts of cardiovascular risk factors on the development of dementia have not been well evaluated. We investigated these impacts of smoking, overweight/obesity, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus on the risk of disabling dementia. METHODS: The study participants were 25,029 (10,134 men and 14,895 women) Japanese aged 40-74 years without disabling dementia at baseline (2008-2013). They were assessed on smoking status (non-current or current), overweight/obesity (body mass index ≥25 kg/m2 and ≥30 kg/m2, respectively), hypertension (systolic blood pressure ≥140 mmHg, diastolic blood pressure ≥90 mmHg or any antihypertensive medication use), and diabetes mellitus (a fasting serum glucose ≥126 mg/dL, non-fasting glucose ≥200 mg/dL, hemoglobin A1c ≥6.5% by the National Glycohemoglobin Standardization Program or glucose-lowering medication use) at baseline. Disabling dementia was identified as the level of care required ≥1 and cognitive disability grade ≥IIa according to the National Long-term Care Insurance Database. We used a Cox proportional regression model to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) of disabling dementia according to the cardiovascular risk factors and calculated the population attributable fractions (PAFs). RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 9.1 years, 1,322 (606 men and 716 women) developed disabling dementia. Current smoking and hypertension were associated with a higher risk of disabling dementia in both sexes, whereas overweight or obesity was not associated with the risk in either sex. Diabetes mellitus was associated with a higher risk only in women (p for sex interaction = 0.04). The significant PAFs were 13% for smoking and 14% for hypertension in men and 3% for smoking, 12% for hypertension, and 5% for diabetes mellitus in women. The total PAFs of the significant risk factors were 28% in men and 20% in women. When stratified by age, hypertension in midlife (40-64 years) was associated with the increased risk in men, while diabetes mellitus in later-life (65-74 years) was so in women. CONCLUSIONS: A substantial burden of disabling dementia was attributable to smoking, and hypertension in both sexes and diabetes mellitus in women, which may require the management of these cardiovascular risk factors to prevent dementia.
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Doenças Cardiovasculares , Demência , Diabetes Mellitus , Hipertensão , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sobrepeso/etiologia , Sobrepeso/complicações , População do Leste Asiático , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Hipertensão/etiologia , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus/etiologia , Obesidade/epidemiologia , Obesidade/etiologia , Fumar/efeitos adversos , Fumar/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Etários , Demência/epidemiologia , Demência/etiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Few prospective studies have investigated the association between paternal occupational exposures and risk of infant congenital heart defects (CHDs). We investigated the associations between paternal occupational exposures, frequency of use, and concurrent or sequential exposure to a mixture of compounds and the risk of infant CHDs. METHODS: Our study examined 28,866 participants in the Japan Environment and Children's Study. Logistic regression analysis was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) associated with paternal occupational exposures during the 3 months until pregnancy was noticed after adjustment for potential confounding factors of the infant CHDs. CHD diagnosis was ascertained from medical record. RESULTS: In total, 175 were diagnosed with infant CHDs. The number of fathers who were exposed to the following substances at least once a month were: 11,533 for photo copying machine/laser printer, 10,326 for permanent marker, 8,226 for soluble paint/inkjet printer, 6,188 for kerosene/petroleum/benzene/gasoline, 4,173 for organic solvents, 3,433 for chlorine bleach/germicide, 2,962 for engine oil, 2,931 for insecticide, 2,460 for medical sterilizing disinfectant, 1,786 for welding fumes, 1,614 for dyestuffs, 1,247 for any products containing lead-like solder, 986 for herbicide, 919 for radiation/radioactive substances/isotopes, 837 for lead-free solder, 341 for microbes, 319 for formalin/formaldehyde, 301 for agricultural chemical not listed above or unidentified, 196 for general anesthetic for surgery at hospital, 171 for anti-cancer drug, 147 for chromium/arsenic/cadmium, 88 for mercury and 833 for other chemical substances. Paternal occupational exposure regularly to photo copying machine or laser printer and soluble paint/inkjet printer were associated with higher risks of infant CHDs: the adjusted ORs (95%CIs) were 1.38 (1.00-1.91) and 1.60 (1.08-2.37), respectively. The higher risks were also observed for occasional exposure to engine oil, any products containing lead-like solder lead-free solder, and microbes; the adjusted ORs (95%CIs) were 1.68 (1.02-2.77), 2.03 (1.06-3.88), 3.45 (1.85-6.43), and 4.51, (1.63-12.49), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Periconceptional paternal occupational exposure was associated with a higher risk of infant CHDs. Further studies using biomarkers of the association between paternal occupational exposure and infant CHDs are warranted.
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Cardiopatias Congênitas , Exposição Ocupacional , Masculino , Humanos , Lactente , Criança , Japão/epidemiologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Exposição Ocupacional/efeitos adversos , Cardiopatias Congênitas/induzido quimicamente , Cardiopatias Congênitas/epidemiologia , PaiRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To examine whether bean intake (including soybeans) among Japanese adults is associated with risk of disabling dementia severe enough to require care under the national insurance system. METHODS: This cohort study involved 3739 individuals aged 40 to 64 years. The participants were categorized into five groups based on their dietary bean intake estimated by a 24h dietary recall. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals of disabling dementia were estimated using Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for potential confounding factors (smoking, drinking, and intakes of energy and fish). RESULTS: During the 59,681 person-year follow-up, 670 cases of disabling dementia were observed. A weak inverse association between bean intake and risk of disabling dementia was found; the multivariable hazard ratios (95% CIs) were 0.79 (0.62-1.00), 0.80 (0.63-1.01), 0.84 (0.67-1.06), and 0.78 (0.62-0.99) for the four groups with higher bean intake, respectively, compared with the lowest group (P for trend = 0.21). A significant inverse association was observed for dementia without a history of stroke; for the four groups with higher bean intake the multivariable hazard ratios were 0.81 (0.61-1.08), 0.70 (0.52-0.95), 0.71 (0.52-0.95), and 0.69 (0.51-0.92), respectively, (P for trend = 0.03). No such association was observed for dementia with history of stroke. The group with increased natto intake were inversely associated with risk of disabling dementia (P for trend = 0.003), but tofu intake was not (P for trend = 0.19). CONCLUSIONS: Bean intake was inversely associated with risk of disabling dementia in those without a history of stroke.
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Demência , Fabaceae , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Fatores de Risco , Estudos de Coortes , Seguimentos , Ingestão de Alimentos , Demência/epidemiologia , Demência/etiologia , Japão/epidemiologiaRESUMO
AIMS: Evidence on the risk factors for incident heart failure in Asia has been limited. We sought to identify the risk factors for pre-heart failure or symptomatic heart failure, based on N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), in the Japanese general population. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study based on the Circulatory Risk in Communities Study involving 5335 Japanese individuals whose NT-proBNP levels were measured between 2010 and 2015. Of these, 2768 people aged between 30 and 69 years who undertook annual cardiovascular risk surveys at least once between 1990 and 2000 were retrospectively eligible to be participants in this study. We performed multivariable logistic regression analyses to calculate the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of pre-heart failure or symptomatic heart failure defined as NT-proBNP >400 pg/mL or as having a diagnosis of heart failure and taking medication for heart failure for several cardiovascular risk factors (body mass index, blood pressure, diabetes mellitus, total cholesterol, triglyceride, smoking status, drinking status). RESULTS: We identified 85 cases of heart failure. The multivariable ORs (95% CIs) were 5.70 (2.70-12.0) for body mass index of 27-29.9 kg/m2 and 5.91 (2.19-16.0) for ≥30 kg/m2 compared with 21-22.9 kg/m2 ; 2.49(1.01-6.13) for systolic blood pressure of ≥160 mmHg vs. <130 mmHg; 2.87(1.23-6.68) for diastolic blood pressure of ≥100 mmHg vs. <80 mmHg; 5.16(2.14-12.4) for diabetes vs. non-diabetes; and 2.24 (0.92-5.49) for current smokers of ≥20 cigarettes/day vs. never smokers. The multivariable ORs (95% CIs) of the number of risk factors, defined as the sum of four risk factors (obesity, hypertension, diabetes, and current smoker) was 6.80 (3.69-12.5) for ≥2 risk factors vs. no risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: The accumulation of these risk factors was associated with a graded higher risk of pre-heart failure or symptomatic heart failure.
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Insuficiência Cardíaca , Peptídeo Natriurético Encefálico , Humanos , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Estudos Retrospectivos , Biomarcadores , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Fragmentos de PeptídeosRESUMO
AIM: This study aimed to investigate the associations of leukocyte count with the risks of stroke and coronary heart disease among the general Japanese population. METHODS: A total of 5,242 residents aged 40-69 years living in two Japanese communities underwent leukocyte count measurements between 1991 and 2000, and the data were updated using 5- or 10-year follow-ups or both. Participants who had histories of stroke, coronary heart disease, or high values of leukocyte count (ï¼130×102 cells/mm3) were excluded. Hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated according to quartiles of cumulative average leukocyte count. RESULTS: During follow-up of 21 years, 327 stroke and 130 coronary heart disease cases were determined. After adjustments for age, sex, community, and updated cardiovascular risk factors, the multivariable hazard ratio (95% CI) for the highest versus lowest quartile of leukocyte count was 1.50 (1.08-2.08) for ischemic stroke, 1.59 (1.00-2.51) for lacunar infarction, 1.42 (0.90-2.26) for non-lacunar infarction, 2.17 (1.33-3.55) for coronary heart disease, and 1.40 (1.11-1.76) for total cardiovascular disease. In smoking status-stratified analyses, the corresponding multivariable hazard ratio (95% CI) was 2.45 (1.11-5.38) for ischemic stroke, 2.73 (1.37-5.44) for coronary heart disease in current smokers, 2.42 (1.07-5.46), 1.55 (0.58-4.15) in former smokers, and 1.17 (0.75-1.82), 1.78 (0.83-3.82) in never smokers. CONCLUSION: Leukocyte count was positively associated with the risks of ischemic stroke and coronary heart disease among the general Japanese population, especially in current smokers.
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Doenças Cardiovasculares , Doença das Coronárias , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Adulto , Idoso , Doenças Cardiovasculares/complicações , Doença das Coronárias/complicações , Doença das Coronárias/etiologia , Humanos , Incidência , Japão/epidemiologia , Contagem de Leucócitos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The association between overweight and chronic musculoskeletal pain may vary by anatomical site and be modified by hypertension status. This study examined the associations between overweight and low back and knee pains and their effect modification by hypertension status. METHODS: We conducted a community-based cross-sectional study involving 2,845 adults (1,080 men and 1,765 women) aged 40-89 years. Chronic knee pain (CKP) and low back pain (CLBP) lasting more than 3 months were categorized into more or less severe pain. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the association between overweight and more or less severe CKP and CLBP were determined using logistic regression and stratified by hypertension status. Adjustment variables were age, sex, area, hypertension, smoking and drinking status, inactivity, job category, mental stress, depression, and overall CKP or CLBP. RESULTS: Overall, 288 (10.1%) and 631 (22.2%) adults had more and less severe CKP, respectively, and 284 (10.0%) and 830 (29.2%) had more and less severe CLBP, respectively. Overweight was associated with overall CKP and more or less severe CKP, regardless of hypertension status. Overweight was not associated with overall CLBP; its association was more pronounced for more severe CLBP. The association between overweight and more severe CLBP was evident among non-hypertensives (multivariable OR 1.72; 95% CI, 1.09-2.71); however, that between overweight and less severe CLBP was not evident (multivariable OR 1.07; 95% CI, 0.73-1.56). CONCLUSIONS: As hypertension may attenuate the association between overweight and CLBP, we should consider hypertension status for proper management of CLBP among overweight individuals.
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Dor Crônica , Hipertensão , Dor Musculoesquelética , Adulto , Dor Crônica/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Vida Independente , Masculino , Dor Musculoesquelética/epidemiologia , Sobrepeso/epidemiologiaRESUMO
AIM: This study aimed to investigate the association between the serum high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) levels and incident atrial fibrillation risk in the general Japanese population, who have lower hs-CRP levels than the Western population, and assess whether the association is modified by sex, overweight, hypertension, and smoking status. METHODS: We conducted a prospective study in 6517 Japanese men and women aged 40-79 years without atrial fibrillation at baseline and enrolled in the Circulatory Risk in Communities Study (2002-2008). The hs-CRP levels were measured using the latex particle-enhanced immunonephelometric assay. Atrial fibrillation was identified using standard 12-lead electrocardiograms and information on physician-diagnosed atrial fibrillation history from the follow-up surveys. We used a Cox proportional hazard regression stratified by community. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 11 years, 127 new cases of atrial fibrillation (74 and 53 cases among men and women, respectively) were found. Compared to the lowest quintile of hs-CRP levels, the multivariable hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) were 2.54 (1.17-5.50), 2.28 (1.06-4.93), 2.92 (1.37-6.23), and 2.77 (1.30-5.91) for the second, third, fourth, and fifth (highest) quintiles, respectively. There was no significant effect modification by sex, overweight, hypertension, and smoking status (P for interaction ï¼0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated hs-CRP levels were significantly associated with increased risk of atrial fibrillation in the Japanese population. The association of hs-CRP levels with incident atrial fibrillation did not vary according to sex, overweight, hypertension status, or smoking status.
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Fibrilação Atrial , Proteína C-Reativa/análise , Eletrocardiografia , Hipertensão , Sobrepeso , Idoso , Fibrilação Atrial/sangue , Fibrilação Atrial/diagnóstico , Fibrilação Atrial/epidemiologia , Eletrocardiografia/métodos , Eletrocardiografia/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Fatores de Risco de Doenças Cardíacas , Humanos , Hipertensão/diagnóstico , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sobrepeso/diagnóstico , Sobrepeso/epidemiologia , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Medição de Risco/métodos , Medição de Risco/estatística & dados numéricos , Fumar/epidemiologiaRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Chronic low back pain (CLBP), defined as low back pain persisting for at least 3 months, leads to limitations in the activities of daily living and decreased quality of life. Individualized self-exercise education could be a preferable treatment option, especially in community-dwelling people with CLBP. Previous studies, however, did not directly compare the effects of therapist-led self-exercise education and material-only education, and there are only a few studies investigating the effects of low-dose (comprising a few sessions) self-exercise education on CLBP. We present a protocol of community-based, randomized study to evaluate the effects of low-dose (comprising a few sessions), therapist-led self-exercise education on CLBP. METHODS: Forty-eight participants with CLBP (men and women, aged 40-74 years) will be allocated to therapeutic self-exercise education programs, either a therapist-led group (2-week therapist's consultation and material use) or material-only group (material use only), in a randomized controlled trial. Pain intensity (NRS, numeric rating scale), pain disability (RDQ, Roland-Morris disability questionnaire), pain self-efficacy (PSEQ, pain self-efficacy questionnaire), and quality of life score (EQ-5D, European quality of life-5 dimensions) will be measured at baseline and at 4, 12, and 24 weeks. We will apply a repeated-measures design with mixed-effect models to estimate group differences from the baseline. Ethics/Trial registration number: The protocol was approved by the Ethics Committees of the Osaka Center for Cancer and Cardiovascular Disease Prevention and Osaka University. The trial registration number is registered on the University Hospital Medical Information Network (UMIN000024537).
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This study aimed to assess the association of cigarette smoking with radial augmentation index among the Asian general population. We conducted a cross-sectional population-based study including 1593 men and 2671 women aged 40-79 years. Smoking status was ascertained through interviews, and the number of pack-years was calculated. The radial augmentation index was defined as the ratio of central pulse pressure to brachial pulse pressure, as measured using an automated tonometer: the HEM-9000AI (Omron Healthcare co., Kyoto, Japan). There was a higher prevalence of an increased radial augmentation index among current male smokers who smoked ≥ 30 cigarettes/day and all female smokers than among never smokers. After adjusting for known risk factors of atherosclerosis, the multivariable odds ratio (OR) [95% confidence interval (CI)] for a high radial augmentation index for current male smokers who smoked ≥30 cigarettes/day compared with never smokers was 1.9 (1.1-3.4). The multivariable OR (95% CI) for a high radial augmentation index for former female smokers and current female smokers compared with never smokers was 1.8 (1.2-2.7) and 2.5 (1.6-3.9), respectively. Moreover, smoking pack-years was positively associated with a high radial augmentation index in both sexes. There were no relationship between smoking status and high central or brachial pulse pressures among subjects of either sex. In conclusion, cigarette smoking and cumulative smoking exposure were positively associated with an increased radial augmentation index in men who smoked heavily and in women.
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Pressão Sanguínea/fisiologia , Fumar Cigarros/efeitos adversos , Hipertensão/etiologia , Rigidez Vascular/fisiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Fumar Cigarros/fisiopatologia , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Hipertensão/fisiopatologia , Japão , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco , Fatores SexuaisRESUMO
AIMS: Smoking impairs endothelial function as an acute effect. However, few population-based studies have examined the association between smoking status and endothelial function or the dose-response and duration-response association of smoking with endothelial function. We examined whether smoking habits were associated with impaired endothelial function depending on smoking dose and duration. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study of 910 men and women aged 30-79 years from 2013 to 2016. Statistical analyses of the data were conducted between 2016 and 2017. Endothelial function was assessed by brachial artery flow-mediated dilation (FMD) measurement. Low FMD was defined in two ways as the cutoff point based on the lowest quartile of %FMD (ï¼5.1%) and median of %FMD (ï¼6.8%), regarding as impaired endothelial function. We investigated the smoking status in terms of cigarettes consumed per day and the duration of smoking. RESULTS: Heavy and chronic smokers were associated with a high prevalence of impaired endothelial function. Those associations did not change substantially after adjustment for other cardiovascular risk factors. Among all participants, the multivariable-adjusted ORs (95% CIs) of low FMD (ï¼5.1%) with reference to never smokers were 2.23 (1.00-5.14) for current heavy smokers of ≥ 30 cigarettes per day, 1.83 (1.04-3.20) for heavy smokers of ≥ 40 pack-years, and 2.16 (1.15-4.06) for chronic smokers of ≥ 40 years. For low FMD (ï¼6.8%) those values was 2.17 (1.01-5.05), 1.70 (1.01-2.86), and 1.98 (1.07-3.69), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Similar associations were observed among only men. Heavy or long-term tobacco smoking may induce impaired endothelial function.
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Artéria Braquial/fisiopatologia , Endotélio Vascular/fisiopatologia , Fumar Tabaco , Vasodilatação , Adulto , Idoso , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Japão , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
AIM: To investigate the association of retinal vascular changes with a risk of dementia in longitudinal population-based study. METHODS: We performed a nested case-control study of 3,718 persons, aged 40-89 years, enrolled between 1983 and 2004. Retinal vascular changes were observed in 351 cases with disabling dementia (average period before the onset, 11.2 years) and in 702 controls matched for sex, age, and baseline year. Incidence of disabling dementia was defined as individuals who received cares for disabilities including dementia-related symptoms and/or behavioral disturbance. Conditional logistic regression analysis was used to calculate odds ratio (OR) and multivariable adjusted OR (Models 1 and 2) for incidence of disabling dementia according to each retinal vascular change. Regarding confounding variables, Model 1 included overweight status, hypertension, hyperglycemia, dyslipidemia, and smoking status, whereas Model 2 also included incidence of stroke prior to disabling dementia for further analysis. RESULTS: The proportion of cases (controls) with retinal vascular changes was 23.1 (15.7)% for generalized arteriolar narrowing, 7.7 (7.5)% for focal arteriolar narrowing, 15.7 (11.8)% for arteriovenous nicking, 10.5 (9.3)% for increased arteriolar wall reflex, and 11.4 (9.8)% for any other retinopathy. Generalized arteriolar narrowing was associated with an increased risk of disabling dementia: crude OR, 1.66 (95% confidence interval, 1.19-2.31); Model 1: OR, 1.58 (1.12-2.23); Model 2: OR, 1.48 (1.04-2.10). The number of retinal abnormalities was associated in a dose-response manner with the risk. CONCLUSION: Generalized arteriolar narrowing and total number of retinal abnormalities may be useful markers for identifying persons at higher risks of disabling dementia.