Development of an electronic Poor Outcome Screening (ePOS) Score to identify critically ill patients with potential palliative care needs.

PURPOSE: To develop and validate an electronic poor outcome screening (ePOS) score to identify critically ill patients with potentially unmet palliative care (PC) needs at 48 hours after ICU admission. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Retrospective single-centre cohort study of 1'772 critically ill adult patients admitted to a tertiary academic ICU in Switzerland between 2017 and 2018. We used data available from electronic health records (EHR) in the first 48 hours and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression to develop a prediction model and generate a score to predict the risk of all cause 6-month mortality. RESULTS: Within 6 months of the ICU admission, 598 patients (33.7%) had died. At a cut-off of 20 points, the ePOS score (range 0-46 points) had a sensitivity of 0.81 (95% CI 0.78 to 0.84) and a specificity of 0.51 (0.48 to 0.54) for predicting 6-month mortality and showed good discriminatory performance (AUROC 0.72, 0.67 to 0.77). CONCLUSIONS: The ePOS score can easily be implemented in EHR and can be used for automated screening and stratification of ICU patients, pinpointing those in whom a comprehensive PC assessment should be performed. However, it should not replace clinical judgement.

Peripheral Artery Disease Leading to Major Amputation: Trends in Revascularization and Mortality Over 18 Years.

BACKGROUND: Patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) are at risk for amputation. The aim of this study was to assess the type of revascularization prior to and the 30-day mortality rate after major amputation due to PAD. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of consecutive patients undergoing major amputation for PAD between 01/2000 and 12/2017 at a tertiary referral center. The number and target level of ipsilateral revascularizations prior to amputation were analyzed per patient and over the years. There were 3 types of revascularization (open, endovascular and combined treatment) at 3 levels: aortoiliac, femoropopliteal and infrapopliteal. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to assess the association of level of amputation and patient characteristics with 30-day mortality. RESULTS: A total of 312 patients (65.7% male) with a mean age of 73.3 ± 11 years underwent 338 major amputations: 70 (21%) above/through knee and 268 (79%) below knee. A median of 2 (interquartile range, IQR 1-4) revascularizations were performed prior to amputation, with a slight decrease of 1.4% per year from 2000-2017 (incidence rate ratio of 0.986 0.974-0.998; Poisson regression analysis, P = 0.021). 16% (53/338) of patients underwent primary amputation without revascularization; this number remained relatively stable throughout the study period. The proportion of exclusively open treatment before amputation decreased substantially from 35% in 2006 to none in 2016, while exclusively endovascular revascularizations were performed increasingly from 17% in 2002 to 64% in 2016. Amputation occurred after a median of 9.5 months (IQR 0.9-67.6 months) if the first revascularization was aortoiliac or femoropopliteal and after 2.1 months (IQR 0.5-13.8 months) if the first intervention was infrapopliteal (P < 0.001) with no significant change over the years (normal linear regression, P= 0.887). Thirty-day mortality was 8.9% (22/247) after below knee and 27.7% (18/65) after above/through knee amputation (adjusted OR 3.84, 95% CI 1.74-8.54, P= 0.001) with a slight increase of mortality over the study period (adjusted OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.018-1.159, Poisson regression analysis, P= 0.021). The uni- and multivariate analysis of patient characteristics did not show an association with mortality, except higher ASA classification (adjusted OR 2.65, 95% CI 1.23-5.72, P= 0.012). CONCLUSIONS: Mortality, especially after above/through knee amputation, remains high over the past 2 decades. There is a clear shift towards endovascular treatment of patients with PAD prior to major amputation. In patients needing infrapopliteal revascularizations, amputation was performed much sooner than in those with aortoiliac or femoropopliteal interventions, with no improvement over the years. Strategies to extend limb salvage in these patients should be the focus of further research.

High regional variation in prostate surgery for benign prostatic hyperplasia in Switzerland.

BACKGROUND: Among various treatment options for benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH), surgical therapy is the most invasive. As Switzerland has the highest transurethral prostatectomy rate among OECD countries, we assessed the regional variation in prostate surgery for BPH and explored potential determinants of variation. METHODS: We conducted a population-based analysis using discharge data for men aged ≥40 years with transurethral or simple prostatectomy from all Swiss hospitals during 2013-2018. After excluding patients with genitourinary/prostate cancer, we derived hospital service areas (HSAs) by analyzing patient flows. We calculated age-standardized mean procedure rates and variation indices (extremal quotient [EQ] and systematic component of variation [SCV]). We estimated the reduction in variance across HSAs of prostatectomy rates in multilevel regression models, with incremental adjustment for age, regional cultural and socioeconomic factors, disease burden, density of urologists, and the time since urologists' graduation. RESULTS: Overall, 44,253 prostatectomies (42,710 transurethral and 1543 simple) from 44 HSAs were analyzed. The mean age-standardized prostate surgery rate was 314 (range 166-500) per 100,000 men aged ≥40 years per year. The EQ was 3.01 and the SCV 5.53, indicating a high regional variation. In multivariate models, men aged 75-79 years had an 11.6-fold higher prostatectomy rate than those aged 50-54 years. French/Italian language areas had a 21% lower rate than Swiss German speaking areas. Socioeconomic factors, disease burden, and density of urologist/time since graduation were not associated with prostatectomy rates. After full adjustment, 80% of the variance in prostate surgery across HSAs remained unexplained. CONCLUSION: We found a remarkably high regional variation in prostate surgery rates for BPH within Switzerland.

Regional variation of hysterectomy for benign uterine diseases in Switzerland.

BACKGROUND: Hysterectomy is the last treatment option for benign uterine diseases, and vaginal hysterectomy is preferred over more invasive techniques. We assessed the regional variation in hysterectomy rates for benign uterine diseases across Switzerland and explored potential determinants of variation. METHODS: We conducted a population-based analysis using patient discharge data from all Swiss hospitals between 2013 and 2016. Hospital service areas (HSAs) for hysterectomies were derived by analyzing patient flows. We calculated age-standardized mean procedure rates and measures of regional variation (extremal quotient [EQ], highest divided by lowest rate) and systematic component of variation [SCV]). We estimated the reduction in the variance of crude hysterectomy rates across HSAs in multilevel regression models, with incremental adjustment for procedure year, age, cultural/socioeconomic factors, burden of disease, and density of gynecologists. RESULTS: Overall, 40,211 hysterectomies from 54 HSAs were analyzed. The mean age-standardized hysterectomy rate was 298/100,000 women (range 186-456). While the variation in overall procedure rate was moderate (EQ 2.5, SCV 3.7), we found a very high procedure-specific variation (EQ vaginal 5.0, laparoscopic 6.3, abdominal 8.0; SCV vaginal 17.5, laparoscopic 11.2, abdominal 16.9). Adjusted for procedure year, demographic, cultural, and sociodemographic factors, a large share (64%) of the variance remained unexplained (vaginal 63%, laparoscopic 85%, abdominal 70%). The main determinants of variation were socioeconomic/cultural factors. Burden of disease and the density of gynecologists was not associated with procedure rates. CONCLUSIONS: Switzerland has a very high regional variation in vaginal, laparoscopic, and abdominal hysterectomy for benign uterine disease. After adjustment for potential determinants of variation including demographic factors, socioeconomic and cultural factors, burden of disease, and the density of gynecologists, two thirds of the variation remain unexplained.

Patency of the arterial pedal-plantar arch in patients with chronic kidney disease or diabetes mellitus.

BACKGROUND: Patency of the pedal-plantar arch limits risk of amputation in peripheral artery disease (PAD). We examined patients without chronic kidney disease (CKD)/diabetes mellits (DM) [PAD-control], those with DM without CKD, and those with CKD without DM. METHOD: Uni- and multivariate logistic regression was used to assess association of CKD with loss of patency of the pedal-plantar arch and presence of tibial or peroneal vessel occlusion. Multivariate models adjusted for age, sex, hypertension, hyperlipidemia and smoking. RESULTS: A total of 419 patients were included [age 75.2 ± 10.3 years, 288 (69%) male]. CKD nearly doubled the unadjusted odds ratio (OR) for loss of patency of the pedal-plantar arch. After adjustment, association remained significant for severe CKD [estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≤ 29 ml/min compared with eGFR ≥ 60 ml/min, adjusted (adj.) OR 8.24 (95% confidence interval {CI} 0.99-68.36, p = 0.05)]. CKD was not related to risk of tibial or peroneal artery occlusion [PAD-control versus CKD, adj. OR 1.09 (95% CI 0.49-2.44, p = 0.83)] in contrast to DM [PAD-control versus DM, adj. OR 2.41 (95% CI 1.23-4.72, p = 0.01), CKD versus DM, adj. OR 2.21 (95% CI 0.93-5.22); p = 0.07)]. CONCLUSIONS: Below the knee (BTK) vascular pattern differs in patients with either DM or CKD alone. Severe CKD is a risk factor for loss of patency of the pedal-plantar arch.

Outcomes in Advanced Head and Neck Cancer Treated with Up-front Neck Dissection prior to (Chemo)Radiotherapy.

OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to compare outcomes with and without up-front neck dissection prior to (chemo)radiotherapy in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma. STUDY DESIGN: Case series with chart review. SETTING: Tertiary referral center. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Outcomes of oropharyngeal, laryngeal, and hypopharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma cases with neck lymph node metastases treated from January 2001 to March 2012 were analyzed. Due to imbalances in baseline characteristics between groups treated with (n = 129) and without (n = 95) up-front neck dissection, propensity score matching was performed. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 48 months (range, 12-148). With up-front neck dissection, the hazard ratio for the primary end point, disease-free survival, was 0.63 (95% confidence interval: 0.37-1.06, P = .08). Up-front neck dissection reduced acute grade ≥3 toxicity significantly when xerostomia was excluded (odds ratio: 0.40, 95% confidence interval: 0.20-0.82, P = .012). CONCLUSION: Our results indicate less acute treatment toxicity without any significant difference in terms of oncologic outcome with up-front neck dissection prior to (chemo)radiotherapy as compared with (chemo)radiotherapy alone. Well-designed randomized trials are required to verify this result and further investigate the impact of this strategy on late toxicity and oncologic outcome.

Impact of cardiovascular risk factors on severity of peripheral artery disease.

OBJECTIVE: The development of peripheral artery disease is affected by the presence of cardiovascular risk factors. It is unclear, whether particular risk factors are leading to different clinical stages of peripheral artery disease. The aim of this retrospective cross-sectional study was to assess the association of cardiovascular risk factors with the presence of critical limb ischaemia. METHODS: The study cohort was derived from a consecutive registry of patients undergoing endovascular therapy in a tertiary referral centre between January 2000 and April 2014. Patients undergoing first-time endovascular intervention for chronic peripheral artery disease of the lower extremities were included. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to assess the association of age, sex, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, dyslipidaemia, smoking, and renal insufficiency with critical limb ischaemia vs. intermittent claudication. RESULTS: A total of 3406 patients were included in the study (mean age 71.7 ± 11.8 years, 2075 [61%] male). There was a significant association of age (OR 1.67, 95%-CI 1.53-1.82, p < 0.001), male gender (OR 1.23, 95%-CI 1.04-1.47, p = 0.016), diabetes (OR 1.99, 95%-CI 1.68-2.36, p < 0.001) and renal insufficiency (OR 1.62, 95%-CI 1.35-1.96, p < 0.001) with the likelihood of critical limb ischaemia. Smoking was associated with intermittent claudication rather than critical limb ischaemia (OR 0.78, 95%-CI 0.65-0.94, p = 0.010), while hypertension and dyslipidaemia did not show an association with critical limb ischaemia. CONCLUSIONS: In peripheral artery disease patients undergoing first-time endovascular treatment, age, male gender, diabetes, and renal insufficiency were the strongest predictors for the presence of critical limb ischaemia.