Genome-wide identification and phylogenetic analysis of the tetraspanin gene family in lepidopteran insects and expression profiling analysis in Helicoverpa armigera.

The tetraspanin gene family encodes cell-surface proteins that span the membrane 4 times and play critical roles in a wide range of biological processes across numerous organisms. Recent findings highlight the involvement of a tetraspanin of the lepidopteran pest Helicoverpa armigera in resistance to Bacillus thuringiensis Cry insecticidal proteins, which are extensively used in transgenic crops. Thus, a better understanding of lepidopteran tetraspanins is urgently needed. In the current study, genome scanning in 10 lepidopteran species identified a total of 283 sequences encoding potential tetraspanins. Based on conserved cysteine patterns in the large extracellular loop and their phylogenetic relationships, these tetraspanins were classified into 8 subfamilies (TspA to TspH). Six ancestral introns were identified within lepidopteran tetraspanin genes. Tetraspanins in TspA, TspB, TspC, and TspD subfamilies exhibit highly similar gene organization, while tetraspanins in the remaining 4 subfamilies exhibited variation in intron loss and/or gain during evolution. Analysis of chromosomal distribution revealed a lepidopteran-specific cluster of 10 to 11 tetraspanins, likely formed by tandem duplication events. Selective pressure analysis indicated negative selection across all orthologous groups, with ω values ranging between 0.004 and 0.362. However, positive selection was identified at 18 sites within TspB5, TspC5, TspE3, and TspF10. Furthermore, spatiotemporal expression analysis of H. armigera tetraspanins demonstrated variable expression levels across different developmental stages and tissues, suggesting diverse functions of tetraspanin members in this globally important insect pest. Our findings establish a solid foundation for subsequent functional investigations of tetraspanins in lepidopteran species.

Impact of hormone replacement therapy on all-cause and cancer-specific mortality in colorectal cancer: A systematic review and dose‒response meta-analysis of observational studies.

OBJECTIVE: The effect of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) on colorectal cancer (CRC) mortality and all-cause mortality remains unclear. We conducted a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis to determine the effects of HRT on CRC mortality and all-cause mortality. METHODS: We searched the electronic databases of PubMed, Embase, and The Cochrane Library for all relevant studies published until January 2024 to investigate the effects of HRT exposure on survival rates for patients with CRC. Two reviewers independently extracted individual study data and evaluated the risk of bias between the studies using the Newcastle‒Ottawa Scale. We performed a two-stage random-effects dose-response meta-analysis to examine a possible nonlinear relationship between the year of HRT use and CRC mortality. RESULTS: Ten cohort studies with 480,628 individuals were included. HRT was inversely associated with the risk of CRC mortality (hazard ratios (HR) = 0.77, 95% CI (0.68, 0.87), I2 = 69.5%, p < 0.05). The pooled results of seven cohort studies revealed a significant association between HRT and the risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 0.71, 95% CI (0.54, 0.92), I2 = 89.6%, p < 0.05). A linear dose-response analysis (p for nonlinearity = 0.34) showed a 3% decrease in the risk of CRC for each additional year of HRT use; this decrease was significant (HR = 0.97, 95% CI (0.94, 0.99), p < 0.05). An additional linear (p for nonlinearity = 0.88) dose-response analysis showed a nonsignificant decrease in the risk of all-cause mortality for each additional year of HRT use. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that the use of HRT is inversely associated with all-cause and colorectal cancer mortality, thus causing a significant decrease in mortality rates over time. More studies are warranted to confirm this association.

Circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D and survival outcomes of colorectal cancer: evidence from population-based prospective cohorts and Mendelian randomisation.

BACKGROUND: To investigate the association between circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25-OHD) and colorectal cancer (CRC) survival outcomes. METHODS: We conducted analyses among the Study of Colorectal Cancer in Scotland (SOCCS) and the UK Biobank (UKBB). Both cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) outcomes were examined. The 25-OHD levels were categorised into three groups, and multi-variable Cox-proportional hazard models were applied to estimate hazard ratios (HRs). We performed individual-level Mendelian randomisation (MR) through the generated polygenic risk scores (PRS) of 25-OHD and summary-level MR using the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method. RESULTS: We observed significantly poorer CSS (HR = 0.65,95%CI = 0.55-0.76,P = 1.03 × 10-7) and OS (HR = 0.66,95%CI = 0.58-0.75,P = 8.15 × 10-11) in patients with the lowest compared to those with the highest 25-OHD after adjusting for covariates. These associations remained across patients with varied tumour sites and stages. However, we found no significant association between 25-OHD PRS and either CSS (HR = 0.98,95%CI = 0.80-1.19,P = 0.83) or OS (HR = 1.07,95%CI = 0.91-1.25,P = 0.42). Furthermore, we found no evidence for causal effects by conducting summary-level MR analysis for either CSS (IVW:HR = 1.04,95%CI = 0.85-1.28,P = 0.70) or OS (IVW:HR = 1.10,95%CI = 0.93-1.31,P = 0.25). CONCLUSION: This study supports the observed association between lower circulating 25-OHD and poorer survival outcomes for CRC patients. Whilst the genotype-specific association between better outcomes and higher 25-OHD is intriguing, we found no support for causality using MR approaches.

WTAP Mediates NUPR1 Regulation of LCN2 Through m6A Modification to Influence Ferroptosis, Thereby Promoting Breast Cancer Proliferation, Migration and Invasion.

Ferroptosis is involved in various pathophysiological diseases, including triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). Targeting ferroptosis is considered as a novel anti-TNBC strategy. Nevertheless, the regulatory mechanism of ferroptosis during TNBC progression is unclear. Here, the role of WTAP in ferroptosis during TNBC progression  was investigated. The clinicopathological significance of WTAP, NUPR1 and LCN2 was analyzed by Kaplan-Meier method. Cell viability was assessed using MTT assay. Transwell assay was employed to analyze cell migration and invasion. GSH/GSSG and Fe2+ levels in TNBC cells were analyzed using kits. m6A level was examined using m6A dot blot assay. NUPR1 mRNA stability was analyzed using RNA degradation assay. RIP was performed to analyze the interaction between eIF3a and NURP1. Herein, our results revealed that WTAP, NUPR1 and LCN2 expressions were significantly elevated in TNBC. NUPR1 silencing inhibited TNBC cell proliferation, migration and invasion by inducing ferroptosis. NUPR1 positively regulated LCN2 expression in TNBC cells, and LCN2 knockdown induced ferroptosis to suppress TNBC cell malignant behaviors. Our molecular study further revealed that WTAP promoted NUPR1 expression in an m6A-EIF3A mediated manner. And, as expected, WTAP knockdown promoted ferroptosis to suppress TNBC cell malignant behaviors, which were abrogated by NUPR1 overexpression. WTAP upregulated LCN2 by regulation of NUPR1 m6A modification, thereby suppressing ferroptosis to contribute to accelerate TNBC progression. Our study revealed the cancer-promoting effect of WTAP, NUPR1 and LCN2 in TNBC and clarified the relevant mechanism, providing a theoretical basis for developing novel diagnostic and therapeutic strategies for TNBC.

Is antibiotic prophylaxis generally safe and effective in surgical and nonsurgical scenarios? Evidence from an umbrella review of randomized controlled trials.

BACKGROUND: The authors aimed to comprehensively evaluate the efficacy and safety of antibiotic prophylaxis through surgical and nonsurgical scenarios and assess the strength of evidence. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The authors performed an umbrella review of meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials (RCTs). An evidence map was created to summarize the absolute benefits of antibiotic prophylaxis in each scenario and certainty of evidence. RESULTS: Seventy-five meta-analyses proved eligible with 725 RCTs and 78 clinical scenarios in surgical and medical prophylaxis. Of 119 health outcomes, 67 (56.3%) showed statistically significant benefits, 34 of which were supported by convincing or highly suggestive evidence from RCTs. For surgeries, antibiotic prophylaxis may minimize infection occurrences in most surgeries except Mohs surgery, simple hand surgery, herniorrhaphy surgery, hepatectomy, thyroid surgery, rhinoplasty, stented distal hypospadias repair, midurethral sling placement, endoscopic sinus surgery, and transurethral resection of bladder tumors with only low to very low certainty evidence. For nonsurgery invasive procedures, only low to very low certainty evidence showed benefits of antibiotic prophylaxis for cystoscopy, postoperative urinary catheterization, and urodynamic study. For medical prophylaxis, antibiotic prophylaxis showed greater benefits in nonemergency scenarios, in which patients were mainly with weakened immune systems, or at risk of recurrent chronic infections. Antibiotics prophylaxis may increase antibiotic resistance or other adverse events in most scenarios and reached significance in cystoscopy, afebrile neutropenia following chemotherapy and hematopoietic stem cell transplantation. CONCLUSIONS: Antibiotic prophylaxis in surgical and nonsurgical scenarios is generally effective and seems independent of surgical cleanliness and urgency of diseases. Its safety is not well determined due to lack of available data. Nevertheless, the low quality of current evidence limits the external validity of these findings, necessitating clinicians to judiciously assess indications, balancing low infection rates with antibiotic-related side effects.

Application of Inflatable Video-Assisted Mediastinoscopic Transhiatal Esophagectomy in Individualized Treatment of Esophageal Cancer.

Surgery is a crucial treatment option for patients with resectable esophageal cancer. The emergence of minimally invasive esophageal techniques has led to the popularity of video-assisted thoracoscopic esophagectomy, which has proven to be more advantageous than traditional thoracotomy. However, some patients with esophageal cancer may not benefit from this procedure. Individualized treatment plans may be necessary for patients with varying conditions and tolerances to anesthesia, making conventional surgical methods unsuitable. Inflatable video-assisted mediastinoscopic transhiatal esophagectomy (IVMTE) has emerged as a promising treatment option for esophageal cancer because it does not require one-lung ventilation, reduces postoperative complications, and expands surgical indications. This technique also provides surgical opportunities for patients with impaired pulmonary function or thoracic lesions. It is crucial to have a comprehensive understanding of the advancements and limitations of IVMTE to tailor treatment plans and improve outcomes in patients with esophageal cancer. Understanding the advantages and limitations of this surgical method will help specific patients with esophageal cancer. We conducted a thorough review of the relevant literature to examine the importance of IVMTE for individualized treatment of this disease.

Hierarchical Active Learning With Qualitative Feedback on Regions.

Learning classification models in practice usually requires numerous labeled data for training. However, instance-based annotation can be inefficient for humans to perform. In this article, we propose and study a new type of human supervision that is fast to perform and useful for model learning. Instead of labeling individual instances, humans provide supervision to data regions, which are subspaces of the input data space, representing subpopulations of data. Since labeling now is performed on a region level, 0/1 labeling becomes imprecise. Thus, we design the region label to be a qualitative assessment of the class proportion, which coarsely preserves the labeling precision but is also easy for humans to do. To identify informative regions for labeling and learning, we further devise a hierarchical active learning process that recursively constructs a region hierarchy. This process is semisupervised in the sense that it is driven by both active learning strategies and human expertise, where humans can provide discriminative features. To evaluate our framework, we conducted extensive experiments on nine datasets as well as a real user study on a survival analysis of colorectal cancer patients. The results have clearly demonstrated the superiority of our region-based active learning framework against many instance-based active learning methods.

Development and Validation of Risk Prediction Models for Colorectal Cancer in Patients with Symptoms.

We aimed to develop and validate prediction models incorporating demographics, clinical features, and a weighted genetic risk score (wGRS) for individual prediction of colorectal cancer (CRC) risk in patients with gastroenterological symptoms. Prediction models were developed with internal validation [CRC Cases: n = 1686/Controls: n = 963]. Candidate predictors included age, sex, BMI, wGRS, family history, and symptoms (changes in bowel habits, rectal bleeding, weight loss, anaemia, abdominal pain). The baseline model included all the non-genetic predictors. Models A (baseline model + wGRS) and B (baseline model) were developed based on LASSO regression to select predictors. Models C (baseline model + wGRS) and D (baseline model) were built using all variables. Models' calibration and discrimination were evaluated through the Hosmer-Lemeshow test (calibration curves were plotted) and C-statistics (corrected based on 1000 bootstrapping). The models' prediction performance was: model A (corrected C-statistic = 0.765); model B (corrected C-statistic = 0.753); model C (corrected C-statistic = 0.764); and model D (corrected C-statistic = 0.752). Models A and C, that integrated wGRS with demographic and clinical predictors, had a statistically significant improved prediction performance. Our findings suggest that future application of genetic predictors holds significant promise, which could enhance CRC risk prediction. Therefore, further investigation through model external validation and clinical impact is merited.

Association between antibiotic use during early life and early-onset colorectal cancer risk overall and according to polygenic risk and FUT2 genotypes.

Early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC) has been increasing worldwide. Potential risk factors may have occurred in childhood or adolescence. We investigated the associations between early-life factors and EOCRC risk, with a particular focus on long-term or recurrent antibiotic use (LRAU) and its interaction with genetic factors. Data on the UK Biobank participants recruited between 2006 and 2010 and followed up to February 2022 were used. We used logistic regression to estimate adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) of the associations between LRAU during early life and EOCRC risk overall and by polygenic risk score (constructed by 127 CRC-related genetic variants) and Fucosyltransferase 2 (FUT2), a gut microbiota regulatory gene. We also assessed the associations for early-onset colorectal adenomas, as precursor lesion of CRC, to examine the effect of LRAU during early-life and genetic factors on colorectal carcinogenesis. A total of 113 256 participants were included in the analysis, with 165 EOCRC cases and 719 EOCRA cases. LRAU was nominally associated with increased risk of early-onset CRC (OR = 1.48, 95% CI = 1.01-2.17, P = .046) and adenomas (OR = 1.40, 95% CI = 1.17-1.68, P < .001). When stratified by genetic polymorphisms of FUT2, LRAU appeared to confer a comparatively greater risk for early-onset adenomas among participants with rs281377 TT genotype (OR = 1.10, 95% CI = 0.79-1.52, P = .587, for CC genotype; OR = 1.75, 95% CI = 1.16-2.64, P = .008, for TT genotype; Pinteraction = .089). Our study suggested that LRAU during early life is associated with increased risk of early-onset CRC and adenomas, and the association for adenomas is predominant among individuals with rs281377 TT/CT genotype. Further studies investigating how LRAU contributes together with genetic factors to modify EOCRC risk, particularly concerning the microbiome-related pathway underlying colorectal carcinogenesis, are warranted.

Exploring the cross-cancer effect of smoking and its fingerprints in blood DNA methylation on multiple cancers: A Mendelian randomization study.

Aberrant smoking-related DNA methylation has been widely investigated as a carcinogenesis mechanism, but whether the cross-cancer epigenetic pathways exist remains unclear. We conducted two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses respectively on smoking behaviors (age of smoking initiation, smoking initiation, smoking cessation, and lifetime smoking index [LSI]) and smoking-related DNA methylation to investigate their effect on 15 site-specific cancers, based on a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of 1.2 million European individuals and an epigenome-WAS (EWAS) of 5907 blood samples of Europeans for smoking and 15 GWASs of European ancestry for multiple site-specific cancers. Significantly identified CpG sites were further used for colocalization analysis, and those with cross-cancer effect were validated by overlapping with tissue-specific eQTLs. In the genomic MR, smoking measurements of smoking initiation, smoking cessation and LSI were suggested to be casually associated with risk of seven types of site-specific cancers, among which cancers at lung, cervix and colorectum were provided with strong evidence. In the epigenetic MR, methylation at 75 CpG sites were reported to be significantly associated with increased risks of multiple cancers. Eight out of 75 CpG sites were observed with cross-cancer effect, among which cg06639488 (EFNA1), cg12101586 (CYP1A1) and cg14142171 (HLA-L) were validated by eQTLs at specific cancer sites, and cg07932199 (ATXN2) had strong evidence to be associated with cancers of lung (coefficient, 0.65, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.31-1.00), colorectum (0.90 [0.61, 1.18]), breast (0.31 [0.20, 0.43]) and endometrium (0.98 [0.68, 1.27]). These findings highlight the potential practices targeting DNA methylation-involved cross-cancer pathways.

Epigenetic regulation of stem cells in lung cancer oncogenesis and therapy resistance.

Epigenetics plays an important role in regulating stem cell signaling, as well as in the oncogenesis of lung cancer and therapeutic resistance. Determining how to employ these regulatory mechanisms to treat cancer is an intriguing medical challenge. Lung cancer is caused by signals that cause aberrant differentiation of stem cells or progenitor cells. The different pathological subtypes of lung cancer are determined by the cells of origin. Additionally, emerging studies have demonstrated that the occurrence of cancer treatment resistance is connected to the hijacking of normal stem cell capability by lung cancer stem cells, especially in the processes of drug transport, DNA damage repair, and niche protection. In this review, we summarize the principles of the epigenetic regulation of stem cell signaling in relation to the emergence of lung cancer and resistance to therapy. Furthermore, several investigations have shown that the tumor immune microenvironment in lung cancer affects these regulatory pathways. And ongoing experiments on epigenetics-related therapeutic strategies provide new insight for the treatment of lung cancer in the future.

Total neoadjuvant therapy versus chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer: Bayesian network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Total neoadjuvant therapy is a promising treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer, utilizing either short-course radiotherapy or long-course chemoradiotherapy, but their relative efficacy remains unclear. The aim of this Bayesian network meta-analysis was to investigate clinical outcomes amongst patients receiving total neoadjuvant therapy with short-course radiotherapy or long-course chemoradiotherapy, and those receiving long-course chemoradiotherapy alone. METHODS: A systematic literature search was performed. All studies that compared at least two of these three treatments for locally advanced rectal cancer were included. The primary endpoint was the pathological complete response rate, and survival outcomes were adopted as secondary outcomes. RESULTS: Thirty cohorts were included. Compared with long-course chemoradiotherapy, both total neoadjuvant therapy with long-course chemoradiotherapy (OR 1.78, 95 per cent c.i. 1.43 to 2.26) and total neoadjuvant therapy with short-course radiotherapy (OR 1.75, 95 per cent c.i. 1.23 to 2.50) improved the pathological complete response rate. Similar benefits were observed in the sensitivity and subgroup analyses, except for short-course radiotherapy with one to two cycles of chemotherapy. No significant differences in survival outcomes were found amongst the three treatments. Long-course chemoradiotherapy with consolidation chemotherapy (HR 0.44, 95 per cent c.i. 0.20 to 0.99) exhibited higher disease-free survival than long-course chemoradiotherapy alone. CONCLUSION: Compared with long-course chemoradiotherapy, both short-course radiotherapy with greater than or equal to three cycles of chemotherapy and total neoadjuvant therapy with long-course chemoradiotherapy can improve the pathological complete response rate, and long-course chemoradiotherapy with consolidation chemotherapy may lead to a marginal benefit in disease-free survival. The pathological complete response rate and survival outcomes are similar for total neoadjuvant therapy with short-course radiotherapy or long-course chemoradiotherapy.

Unraveling Neuro-Proteogenomic Landscape and Therapeutic Implications for Human Behaviors and Psychiatric Disorders.

Understanding the genetic basis of neuro-related proteins is essential for dissecting the molecular basis of human behavioral traits and the disease etiology of neuropsychiatric disorders. Here, the SCALLOP Consortium conducted a genome-wide association meta-analysis of over 12,500 individuals for 184 neuro-related proteins in human plasma. The analysis identified 117 cis-regulatory protein quantitative trait loci (cis-pQTL) and 166 trans-pQTL. The mapped pQTL capture on average 50% of each protein's heritability. Mendelian randomization analyses revealed multiple proteins showing potential causal effects on neuro-related traits such as sleeping, smoking, feelings, alcohol intake, mental health, and psychiatric disorders. Integrating with established drug information, we validated 13 out of 13 matched combinations of protein targets and diseases or side effects with available drugs, while suggesting hundreds of re-purposing and new therapeutic targets. This consortium effort provides a large-scale proteogenomic resource for biomedical research on human behaviors and other neuro-related phenotypes.

N6-methyladenosine related gene expression signatures for predicting the overall survival and immune responses of patients with colorectal cancer.

N6-methyladenosine (m6A) modification has been demonstrated to exhibit a crucial prognostic effect on colorectal cancer (CRC). Nonetheless, potential mechanism of m6A in survival rate and immunotherapeutic response remains unknown. Here we investigated the genes associated with m6A regulators and developed a risk score for predicting the overall survival (OS) of CRC patients. RNA-seq transcriptomic profiling data of COAD/READ samples were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO)- Cox regression analysis was conducted to identify the m6A-related gene expression signatures and the selected genes were inputted into stepwise regression to develop a prognostic risk score in TCGA, and its predictive performance of CRC survival was further validated in Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) datasets. According to our results, the risk score comprising 18 m6A-related mRNAs was significantly associated with CRC survival in both TCGA and GEO datasets. And the stratified analysis also confirmed that high-risk score acted as a poor factor in different age, sex, T stage, and tumour, node, metastasis (TNM) stages. The m6A-related prognostic score in combination with clinical characteristics yielded time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCs) of 0.85 (95%CI: 0.79-0.91), 0.84 (95%CI: 0.79-0.90) and 0.80 (95%CI: 0.71-0.88) for the prediction of the 1-, 3-, 5-year OS of CRC in TCGA cohort. Furthermore, mutation of oncogenes occurred more frequently in the high-risk group and the composition of immune cells in tumour microenvironment (TME) was significantly distinct between the low- and high-risk groups. The low-risk group had a lower microsatellite instability (MSI) score, T-cell exclusion score and dysfunction score, implying that low-risk patients may have a better immunotherapy response than high-risk patients. In summary, a prognostic risk score derived from m6A-related gene expression signatures could serve as a potential prognostic predictor for CRC survival and indicator for predicting immunotherapy response in CRC patients.

Association between diverticular disease and colorectal cancer: a bidirectional mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: Diverticular disease has been inconsistently associated with colorectal cancer risk. We conducted a bidirectional Mendelian randomization study to assess this association. METHODS: Forty-three and seventy single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with diverticular disease and colorectal cancer at the genome-wide significance level (p < 5 × 10- 8) were selected as instrumental variables from large-scale genome-wide association studies of European descent, respectively. Summary-level data for colon cancer, rectum cancer, and colorectal cancer were obtained from genome-wide association analyses of the FinnGen consortium and the UK Biobank study. Summary-level data for diverticular disease was derived from a genome-wide association study conducted in the UK Biobank population. The random effect inverse-variance weighted Mendelian randomization approach was used as the primary method and MR-Egger, weighted-median, and MR-PRESSO approaches were conducted as sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: Genetically determined diverticular disease was associated with a higher risk of colorectal cancer (beta = 0.441, 95%CI: 0.081-0.801, P = 0.016) in the FinnGen population, but the association was not found in the UK Biobank (beta = 0.208, 95%CI: -0.291,0.532, P = 0.207). The positive association remained consistent direction in the three sensitivity analyses. In the stratified analysis in the FinnGen consortium, an association was found to exist between genetically predicted diverticular disease and colon cancer (beta = 0.489, 95%CI: 0.020-0.959, P = 0.041), rather than rectum cancer (beta = 0.328, 95%CI: -0.119-0.775, P = 0.151). Besides, we found a slight association between colorectal cancer and diverticular disease (beta = 0.007, 95%CI: 0.004-0.010, P < 0.001) when using colorectal cancer as exposome and diverticular disease as outcome. However, there is a large sample overlap in this step of analysis. CONCLUSION: This Mendelian randomization study suggests that diverticular disease may be a possible risk factor for colorectal cancer and colon cancer rather than rectum cancer in the FinnGen population.

Survival outcomes of stage I colorectal cancer: development and validation of the ACEPLY model using two prospective cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Approximately 10% of stage I colorectal cancer (CRC) patients experience unfavorable clinical outcomes after surgery. However, little is known about the subset of stage I patients who are predisposed to high risk of recurrence or death. Previous evidence was limited by small sample sizes and lack of validation. METHODS: We aimed to identify early indicators and develop a risk stratification model to inform prognosis of stage I patients by employing two large prospective cohorts. Prognostic factors for stage II tumors, including T stage, number of nodes examined, preoperative carcinoma embryonic antigen (CEA), lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion (PNI), and tumor grade were investigated in the discovery cohort, and significant findings were further validated in the other cohort. We adopted disease-free survival (DFS) as the primary outcome for maximum statistical power and recurrence rate and overall survival (OS) as secondary outcomes. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated from Cox proportional hazard models, which were subsequently utilized to develop a multivariable model to predict DFS. Predictive performance was assessed in relation to discrimination, calibration and net benefit. RESULTS: A total of 728 and 413 patients were included for discovery and validation. Overall, 6.7% and 4.1% of the patients developed recurrences during follow-up. We identified consistent significant effects of PNI and higher preoperative CEA on inferior DFS in both the discovery (PNI: HR = 4.26, 95% CI: 1.70-10.67, p = 0.002; CEA: HR = 1.46, 95% CI: 1.13-1.87, p = 0.003) and the validation analysis (PNI: HR = 3.31, 95% CI: 1.01-10.89, p = 0.049; CEA: HR = 1.58, 95% CI: 1.10-2.28, p = 0.014). They were also significantly associated with recurrence rate. Age at diagnosis was a prominent determinant of OS. A prediction model on DFS using Age at diagnosis, CEA, PNI, and number of LYmph nodes examined (ACEPLY) showed significant discriminative performance (C-index: 0.69, 95% CI:0.60-0.77) in the external validation cohort. Decision curve analysis demonstrated added clinical benefit of applying the model for risk stratification. CONCLUSIONS: PNI and preoperative CEA are useful indicators for inferior survival outcomes of stage I CRC. Identification of stage I patients at high risk of recurrence is feasible using the ACEPLY model, although the predictive performance is yet to be improved.

The Global and Regional Prevalence of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms: A Systematic Review and Modeling Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the global and regional prevalence and cases of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) in 2019 and to evaluate major associated factors. BACKGROUND: Understanding the global prevalence of AAA is essential for optimizing health services and reducing mortality from reputed AAA. METHODS: PubMed, MEDLINE, and Embase were searched for articles published until October 11, 2021. Population-based studies that reported AAA prevalence in the general population, defined AAA as an aortic diameter of 30 mm or greater with ultrasonography or computed tomography. A multilevel mixed-effects meta-regression approach was used to establish the relation between age and AAA prevalence for high-demographic sociodemographic index and low-and middle-sociodemographic index countries. Odds ratios of AAA associated factors were pooled using a random-effects method. RESULTS: We retained 54 articles across 19 countries. The global prevalence of AAA among persons aged 30 to 79 years was 0.92% (95% CI, 0.65-1.30), translating to a total of 35.12 million (95% CI, 24.94-49.80) AAA cases in 2019. Smoking, male sex, family history of AAA, advanced age, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, obesity, cardiovascular disease, cerebrovascular disease, claudication, peripheral artery disease, pulmonary disease, and renal disease were associated with AAA. In 2019, the Western Pacific region had the highest AAA prevalence at 1.31% (95% CI, 0.94-1.85), whereas the African region had the lowest prevalence at 0.33% (95% CI, 0.23-0.48). CONCLUSIONS: A substantial proportion of people are affected by AAA. There is a need to optimize epidemiological studies to promptly respond to at-risk and identified cases to improve outcomes.