Effect of surgery versus chemotherapy in pancreatic cancer patients: a target trial emulation.

PURPOSE: To estimate the causal effect of surgery vs chemotherapy on survival in patients with T1-3NxM0 pancreatic cancer in a rigorous framework addressing selection bias and immortal time bias. METHODS: We used population-based Danish healthcare registries to conduct a cohort study emulating a hypothetical randomized trial to estimate the absolute difference in survival, comparing surgery with chemotherapy. We included pancreatic cancer patients diagnosed during 2008-2021. Exposure was surgery or chemotherapy initiated within a 16-week grace period after diagnosis. At the time of diagnosis, data of each patient was duplicated; one copy was assigned to the surgery protocol and one copy to the chemotherapy protocol of the hypothetical trial. Copies were censored when the assigned treatment deviated from the observed treatment. To account for informative censoring, uncensored patients were weighted according to confounders. For comparison, we also applied a more conventional analysis using propensity score-based inverse probability weighting. RESULTS: We included 1,744 patients with a median age of 68 years; 73.6% underwent surgery and 18.6% had chemotherapy without surgery. 7.8% received no treatment. The 3-year survival was 39.7% (95% CI 36.7% to 42.6%) after surgery and 22.7% (95% CI: 17.7% to 28.4%) after chemotherapy, corresponding to an absolute difference of 17.0% (95% CI: 10.8% to 23.1%). In the conventional survival analysis, this difference was 23.0% (95% CI: 17.0% to 29.0%). CONCLUSION: Surgery was superior to chemotherapy in achieving long-term survival for pancreatic cancer. The difference comparing surgery and chemotherapy was substantially smaller when using the clone-censor-weight approach than conventional survival analysis.

Oral anticoagulant treatment and risk of kidney disease-a nationwide, population-based cohort study.

Background: Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are recommended as first-line treatment of atrial fibrillation. Whether DOAC use is associated with lower risks of kidney complications compared with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) remains unclear. We examined this association in a nationwide, population-based cohort study. Methods: We conducted a cohort study including patients initiating oral anticoagulant treatment within 3 months after an atrial fibrillation diagnosis in Denmark during 2012-18. Using routinely collected creatinine measurements from laboratory databases, we followed patients in an intention-to-treat approach for acute kidney injury (AKI) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. We used propensity-score weighting to balance baseline confounders, computed weighted risks and weighted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) comparing DOACs with VKAs. We performed several subgroup analyses and a per-protocol analysis. Results: We included 32 781 persons with atrial fibrillation initiating oral anticoagulation (77% initiating DOACs). The median age was 75 years, 25% had a baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m2, and median follow-up was 2.3 (interquartile range 1.1-3.9) years. The weighted 1-year risks of AKI were 13.6% in DOAC users and 15.0% in VKA users (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.82; 0.91). The weighted 5-year risks of CKD progression were 13.9% in DOAC users and 15.4% in VKA users (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.79; 0.92). Results were similar across subgroups and in the per-protocol analysis. Conclusions: Initiation of DOACs was associated with a decreased risk of AKI and CKD progression compared with VKAs. Despite the potential limitations of observational studies, our findings support the need for increased clinical awareness to prevent kidney complications among patients who initiate oral anticoagulants.

Risk factor analysis for a rapid progression of chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a growing global health concern. Identifying individuals in routine clinical care with new onset CKD at high risk of rapid progression of the disease is imperative to guide allocation of prophylactic interventions, but community-based data are limited. We aimed to examine the risk of rapid progression, kidney failure, hospitalisation and death among adults with incident CKD stage G3 and to clarify the association between predefined risk markers and rapid CKD progression. METHODS: Using plasma creatinine measurements for the entire Danish population from both hospitals and primary care, we conducted a nationwide, population-based cohort study, including adults in Denmark with incident CKD stage G3 in 2017-2020. We estimated 3-year risks of rapid progression (defined by a confirmed decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate of ≥5 ml/min/1.73 m2/year), kidney failure, all-cause hospitalisation and death. To examine risk markers, we constructed a heat map showing the risk of rapid progression based on predefined markers: albuminuria, sex, diabetes and hypertension/cardiovascular disease. RESULTS: Among 133 443 individuals with incident CKD stage G3, the 3-year risk of rapid progression was 14.6% (95% confidence interval (CI): 14.4-14.8). The 3-year risks of kidney failure, hospitalisation and death were 0.3% (95% CI: 0.3-0.4), 53.3% (95% CI: 53.0-53.6) and 18.1% (95% CI: 17.9-18.4), respectively. In the heat map, the 3-year risk of rapid progression ranged from 7% in females without albuminuria, hypertension/cardiovascular disease or diabetes, to 46-47% in males and females with severe albuminuria, hypertension/cardiovascular disease and diabetes. CONCLUSION: This population-based study shows that CKD stage G3 is associated with considerable morbidity in a community-based setting and underscores the need for optimised prophylactic interventions among such patients. Moreover, our data highlight the potential of using easily accessible markers in routine clinical care to identify individuals who are at high risk of rapid progression.

Recovery of kidney function after acute kidney disease-a multi-cohort analysis.

BACKGROUND: There are no consensus definitions for evaluating kidney function recovery after acute kidney injury (AKI) and acute kidney disease (AKD), nor is it clear how recovery varies across populations and clinical subsets. We present a federated analysis of four population-based cohorts from Canada, Denmark and Scotland, 2011-18. METHODS: We identified incident AKD defined by serum creatinine changes within 48 h, 7 days and 90 days based on KDIGO AKI and AKD criteria. Separately, we applied changes up to 365 days to address widely used e-alert implementations that extend beyond the KDIGO AKI and AKD timeframes. Kidney recovery was based on resolution of AKD and a subsequent creatinine measurement below 1.2× baseline. We evaluated transitions between non-recovery, recovery and death up to 1 year; within age, sex and comorbidity subgroups; between subset AKD definitions; and across cohorts. RESULTS: There were 464 868 incident cases, median age 67-75 years. At 1 year, results were consistent across cohorts, with pooled mortalities for creatinine changes within 48 h, 7 days, 90 days and 365 days (and 95% confidence interval) of 40% (34%-45%), 40% (34%-46%), 37% (31%-42%) and 22% (16%-29%) respectively, and non-recovery of kidney function of 19% (15%-23%), 30% (24%-35%), 25% (21%-29%) and 37% (30%-43%), respectively. Recovery by 14 and 90 days was frequently not sustained at 1 year. Older males and those with heart failure or cancer were more likely to die than to experience sustained non-recovery, whereas the converse was true for younger females and those with diabetes. CONCLUSION: Consistently across multiple cohorts, based on 1-year mortality and non-recovery, KDIGO AKD (up to 90 days) is at least prognostically similar to KDIGO AKI (7 days), and covers more people. Outcomes associated with AKD vary by age, sex and comorbidities such that older males are more likely to die, and younger females are less likely to recover.

Proton pump inhibitors and the risk of acute kidney injury in cancer patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors: A Danish population-based cohort study.

Previous studies have suggested that the use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) more than doubles the risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) in cancer patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). However, this association may be confounded. Therefore, we conducted a register-based cohort study to examine the risk of AKI in users and nonusers of PPIs among cancer patients treated with ICIs in Denmark from 2011 through 2021 while accounting for a comprehensive range of potential confounders. PPI use was determined based on redeemed prescriptions of PPIs before ICI initiation. We identified laboratory-recorded AKI events within the first year after ICI initiation. We estimated the risks and hazard ratios (HRs) of AKI while accounting for a comprehensive range of confounders (including comorbidities and comedication) by propensity score weighting. Furthermore, we performed an additional per-protocol analysis while accounting for informative censoring by weighting. We identified 10 200 cancer patients including 2749 (27%) users, 6214 (61%) nonusers, and 1237 (12%) former users of PPIs. PPI users had an increased risk of AKI compared to nonusers (1-year risk, 24.7% vs 19.9%; HR, 1.42 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.29-1.56]); however, this association attenuated when accounting for confounders (weighted 1-year risk, 24.2% vs 23.8%; weighted HR, 1.06 [95% CI, 0.93-1.21]). In the per-protocol analysis, the crude HR was 1.86 (95% CI, 1.63-2.12), while the weighted HR was 1.24 (95% CI, 1.03-1.49). Thus, the association between PPI use and AKI could largely be explained by confounding, suggesting that previous studies may have overestimated the association.

Fifteen-year temporal changes in rates of acute kidney injury among children in Denmark.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to examine temporal changes in the annual rate of acute kidney injury (AKI) in Danish children and associated changes in patient characteristics including potential underlying risk factors. METHODS: In this population-based cohort study, we used plasma creatinine measurements from Danish laboratory databases to identify AKI episodes in children aged 0-17 years from 2007 to 2021. For each child, the first AKI episode per calendar year was included. We estimated the annual crude and sex- and age-standardized AKI rate as the number of children with an AKI episode divided by the total number of children as reported by census numbers. Using Danish medical databases, we assessed patient characteristics including potential risk factors for AKI, such as use of nephrotoxic medication, surgery, sepsis, and perinatal factors. RESULTS: In total, 14,200 children contributed with 16,345 AKI episodes over 15 years. The mean annual AKI rate was 148 (95% CI: 141-155) per 100,000 children. From 2007 to 2021, the annual AKI rate demonstrated minor year-to-year variability without any discernible overall trend. The highest AKI rate was recorded in 2007 at 174 (95% CI: 161-187) per 100,000 children, while the lowest rate occurred in 2012 at 129 (95% CI: 118-140) per 100,000 children. In 2021, the AKI rate was 148 (95% CI: 141-155) per 100,000 children. Characteristics of children with AKI were similar throughout the study period. CONCLUSION: The rate of AKI among Danish children was stable from 2007 to 2021 with little variation in patient characteristics over time.

Performance of the race-free CKD-EPI creatinine-based eGFR equation in a Danish cohort with measured GFR.

Background: In 2021, an updated Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) without a coefficient for race (CKD-EPI21) was developed. The performance of this new equation has yet to be examined among specific patient groups. Methods: We compared the performances of the new CKD-EPI21 equation and the 2009 equation assuming non-Black race (CKD-EPI09-NB) in patients with GFR measured by chromium-51-EDTA plasma clearance at Aarhus University Hospital in Denmark during 2010-18. We examined bias, accuracy, precision and correct classification of chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage using chromium-51-EDTA clearance as the reference standard. We assessed the performance in the total cohort, cancer patients and potential living kidney donors. We also assessed the performance stratified by CKD stage in the total cohort. Results: In this predominantly white population, the CKD-EPI21 equation performed slightly better than the CKD-EPI09-NB equation in both the total cohort (N = 4668), and in cancer patients (N = 3313) and potential living kidney donors (N = 239). In the total cohort, the CKD-EPI21 equation demonstrated a slightly lower median absolute bias (-0.2 versus -4.4 mL/min/1.73 m2), and a similar accuracy, precision and correct classification of CKD stage compared with the CKD-EPI09-NB equation. When stratified by CKD stage, the CKD-EPI09-NB equation performed slightly better than the CKD-EPI21 equation among patients with a measured GFR (mGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2. Conclusions: In a selected cohort of Danish patients with mGFR, the CKD-EPI21 equation performed slightly better than the CKD-EPI09-NB equation except for patients with a mGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2, where CKD-EPI09-NB performed slightly better although the differences were considered clinically insignificant.

Long-term risk of benign prostatic hyperplasia-related surgery and acute urinary retention in men treated with 5-alpha reductase inhibitor versus alpha-blocker monotherapy in routine clinical care.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the risk of benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH)-related surgery and acute urinary retention (AUR) in men treated with 5-alpha-reductase inhibitor (5-ARI) versus alpha-blocker monotherapy in routine clinical care over 15 years of follow-up. METHODS: Using population-based Danish Health registries, we identified all new-users of 5-ARI or alpha-blocker monotherapy in Denmark, 1997-2017. We defined an index date 180 days after the date of first prescription and included men who redeemed at least one additional prescription before the index date. We used multiple imputation to replace missing prostate-specific antigen values. We performed propensity score-weighted Cox regression to estimate weighted hazard ratios (wHRs) and cumulative incidence function to estimate weighted cumulative risks of BPH-related surgery and AUR in intention to treat (ITT) and per protocol (PP) analyses. RESULTS: We included 18,421 and 95,984 men treated with 5-ARI and alpha-blocker monotherapy, respectively. Overall, treatment with 5-ARI monotherapy was associated with a reduced risk of BPH-related surgery (ITT wHR = 0.73 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.68-0.78), PP wHR = 0.77 (95% CI: 0.70-0.84) and AUR (ITT wHR = 0.73 (95% CI: 0.67-0.78), PP wHR = 0.75 (95% CI: 0.66-0.84). The 15-year risk of BPH-related surgery in men treated with 5-ARI versus alpha-blocker monotherapy was 14.8% (95% CI: 14.1%-15.5%) versus 19.1% (95% CI: 18.7%-19.5%) in the ITT analysis and 13.8% (95% CI: 12.6%-14.9%) versus 17.5% (95% CI: 16.9%-18.0%) in the PP analysis. The 15-year risk of AUR in men treated with 5-ARI versus alpha-blocker was 13.0% (95% CI: 12.3%-13.6%) versus 16.6% (95% CI: 16.3%-17.0%) in the ITT analysis and 12.6% (95%: 11.3%-14.0%) versus 16.9% (95% CI: 16.3%-17.6%) in the PP analysis. CONCLUSION: Treatment with 5-ARI versus alpha-blocker monotherapy in routine clinical care was associated with a reduced risk of BPH-related surgery and AUR for up to 15 years of follow-up. After 15 years of follow-up, the relative risk reduction was 21%-25% and the absolute risk reduction was 4%.

Kidney function before and after acute kidney injury: a nationwide population-based cohort study.

Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and serious condition defined by a rapid decline in kidney function. Data on changes in long-term kidney function following AKI are sparse and conflicting. Therefore, we examined the changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) from before to after AKI in a nationwide population-based setting. Methods: Using Danish laboratory databases, we identified individuals with first-time AKI defined by an acute increase in plasma creatinine (pCr) during 2010 to 2017. Individuals with three or more outpatient pCr measurements before and after AKI were included and cohorts were stratified by baseline eGFR (≥/<60 mL/min/1.73 m2). Linear regression models were used to estimate and compare individual eGFR slopes and eGFR levels before and after AKI. Results: Among individuals with a baseline eGFR ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (n = 64 805), first-time AKI was associated with a median difference in eGFR level of -5.6 mL/min/1.73 m2 [interquartile range (IQR) -16.1 to 1.8] and a median difference in eGFR slope of -0.4 mL/min/1.73 m2/year (IQR -5.5 to 4.4). Correspondingly, among individuals with a baseline eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (n = 33 267), first-time AKI was associated with a median difference in eGFR level of -2.2 mL/min/1.73 m2 (IQR -9.2 to 4.3) and a median difference in eGFR slope of 1.5 mL/min/1.73 m2/year (IQR -2.9 to 6.5). Conclusion: Among individuals with first-time AKI surviving to have repeated outpatient pCr measurements, AKI was associated with changes in eGFR level and eGFR slope for which the magnitude and direction depended on baseline eGFR.

Acute urinary retention in men: 21-year trends in incidence, subsequent benign prostatic hyperplasia-related treatment and mortality: A Danish population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine trends in incidence of acute urinary retention, subsequent benign prostatic hyperplasia-related treatment and mortality in the era of medical therapy for benign prostatic hyperplasia. Additionally, to compare mortality with the general population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a Danish nationwide registry-based study including 70,775 men aged 45 years or older with a first hospitalization for acute urinary retention during 1997-2017. We computed annual standardized incidence rates, subsequent 1-year cumulative incidence of benign prostatic hyperplasia-related surgical and medical treatment, and standardized 3-month and 1-year mortality rates. Finally, we compared standardized all-cause and cause-specific mortality ratios with the general population. RESULTS: The standardized incidence rate of acute urinary retention per 1000 person-years increased transiently from 2.34 to 3.42 during 1997-2004, but gradually declined to 2.95 in 2017. The 1-year cumulative incidence of benign prostatic hyperplasia-related surgery declined from 31.2% to 19.8% and 20.5% to 7.7% after spontaneous and precipitated acute urinary retention, respectively. During 1997-2017, the standardized 1-year mortality declined from 22.2% to 17.2%. Compared with the general population, mortality was 4-5 times higher after 3 months and 2-3 times higher after 1 year of acute urinary retention. The cause-specific standardized mortality ratios were particularly high for deaths attributable to malignancies, urogenital disease, certain infections, chronic pulmonary disease, and diabetes. CONCLUSION: During 1997-2017, we observed a transient increase in the incidence of acute urinary retention. The subsequent use of benign prostatic hyperplasia-related surgery declined considerably and mortality continued to be high, mainly because of deaths from malignancies, urogenital disease, infections, and preexisting comorbidity.

Postoperative complications, mortality, and quality of in-hospital care among hip fracture patients with Parkinson's disease.

AIM: The aim of this study was to investigate the association between Parkinson's disease (PD) and postoperative complications, mortality, and quality of in-hospital care in patients with hip fracture. METHODS: We included patients aged 65+ years with an incident hip fracture from 2004-2017, registered in the Danish Multidisciplinary Hip Fracture Registry. Patients with PD were identified using diagnosis codes prior to hip fracture. Using log-binomial regression, we calculated both 30-day crude and adjusted risk ratios (aRR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the following outcomes: any hospital-treated infections, pneumonia, urinary tract infection, sepsis, community-treated infections, cardiovascular events, mortality, and fulfilment of quality indicators of in-hospital care. Analyses were adjusted for age, sex and Charlson comorbidity index score. RESULTS: We identified 77,550 hip fracture patients of which 1,915 had PD. Compared to non-PD, patients with PD had higher risk of any hospital-treated - (aRR = 1.27 (CI: 1.10-1.45) and community-treated infection (aRR = 1.22 (CI: 1.13-1.32)), pneumonia (aRR = 1.38 (1.11-1.69)), urinary tract infection (aRR of 1.58 (CI: 1.28-1.92)) and sepsis (aRR = 1.18 (CI: 0.67-1.89)), but a reduced risk of cardiovascular events (aRR = 0.59 (CI: 0.41-0.82)). The aRR for 30-day mortality was 1.11 (CI: 0.97-1.27) for PD vs non-PD patients, and the aHR for 1-year mortality was 1.19 (CI: 1.09-1.30). The aRRs for fulfillment of all relevant quality indicators was about 1 for PD vs non-PD patients. CONCLUSION: Hip fracture patients with PD have a higher risk of infections and mortality within 30 days after surgery after adjustment for sex, age, and comorbidity. They do, however, receive comparable quality of in-hospital care after hip fracture compared to non-PD patients.

Ranitidine and Risk of Bladder and Kidney Cancer: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: In 2019, ranitidine was withdrawn due to high levels of N-nitrosodimethylamine, a probable human carcinogen. The risk of bladder and kidney cancer in ranitidine users, however, remains unclear. METHODS: In a Danish nationwide cohort study, we included adults (18 years or older) without previous cancer, who between 1996 and 2008 redeemed at least two prescriptions for ranitidine and, as two separate comparison cohorts, patients with at least two prescriptions for other H2-receptor antagonists (H2-blockers), or proton pump inhibitors (PPI). Follow-up for bladder or kidney cancer started at date of the second prescription and continued to date of cancer, death, emigration, or December 31, 2018, whichever occurred first. We used propensity scores for ranitidine use to compute stabilized inverse probability of treatment (sIPT) weights and used Cox regression to compute crude and weighted HRs. RESULTS: We identified 31,393 initiators of ranitidine, 65,384 initiating other H2-blockers, and 509,849 initiating PPI. Compared with other H2-blockers, the crude HR for bladder cancer was 1.33 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.15-1.55], but sIPT weighting attenuated this to 1.11 (95% CI: 0.95-1.29). Compared with PPI initiators, the weighted HR was 1.24 (95% CI: 1.04-1.48). For kidney cancer, the weighted HR was 0.89 (95% CI: 0.72-1.10) compared with users of H2-blockers and 0.87 (95% CI: 0.67-1.13) compared with users of PPI. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings did not suggest a substantial increase in bladder or kidney cancer occurrence in ranitidine users. IMPACT: These findings are reassuring for previous ranitidine users.

Ranitidine Use and Risk of Upper Gastrointestinal Cancers.

BACKGROUND: The discovery that ranitidine is contaminated with N-nitrosodimethylamine, a suspected human carcinogen, raises the hypothesis of a gastrointestinal carcinogenic effect; however, evidence remains inconclusive. METHODS: We used the nationwide Danish Prescription Registry to identify a cohort of incident ranitidine users and two active comparator cohorts comprising users of other histamine-2 receptor blockers (H2RB) and users of proton pump inhibitors (PPI). All Danish adults with a first prescription of ranitidine, other H2RBs, or PPIs in 1996 through 2008 were followed virtually completely through 2018 for incidence of esophageal, stomach, liver, and pancreatic cancers. We used Cox regression with propensity-score weighting to calculate hazard ratios and 10-year cumulative risk with 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: We ascertained 276 newly diagnosed esophageal, 342 stomach, 133 hepatocellular, and 517 pancreatic cancers among ranitidine users during follow-up (median 14 years). In comparison with use of other H2RBs or PPIs, we found no consistent evidence of increased HRs or excess 10-year cumulative risk of any upper gastrointestinal cancer following ranitidine use. We observed no association after restriction to subjects with at least 5 or 10 prescriptions or those with 10 prescriptions and at least 10 years of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Our large prospective study using high-quality prescription and cancer incidence data, with two active comparator groups, provides no compelling evidence that ranitidine increases the risk of upper gastrointestinal cancers. IMPACT: Our results, which do not support any carcinogenic effect on esophagus, stomach, liver or pancreas, should be reassuring for millions of concerned past users of ranitidine.

Osteonecrosis of the jaw among patients with cancer treated with denosumab or zoledronic acid: Results of a regulator-mandated cohort postauthorization safety study in Denmark, Norway, and Sweden.

BACKGROUND: Osteonecrosis of the jaw (ONJ) is an adverse effect of antiresorptive treatment. This study estimated incidence proportions and incidence rates of ONJ in cancer patients with bone metastases from solid tumors treated for the prevention of skeletal-related events in routine clinical practice. METHODS: This cohort study in Denmark, Norway, and Sweden in 2011-2018 included 3 treatment cohorts: a denosumab inception cohort (DEIC), a zoledronic acid inception cohort (ZAIC), and a denosumab-switch cohort (DESC). The authors estimated 1- to 5-year incidence proportions and incidence rates of ONJ overall, by cancer site (breast, prostate, or other solid tumor), and by country. ONJ diagnoses were confirmed by adjudication. RESULTS: There were 1340 patients in the DEIC, 1352 in the ZAIC, and 408 in the DESC. The median ages of the 3 cohorts were 70, 69, and 70 years, respectively; the proportions of men were 72.6%, 53.8%, and 48.3%, respectively; and the median follow-up was 19.8, 12.9, and 13.3 months, respectively. The 5-year incidence proportions of ONJ were 5.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.4%-7.3%) in the DEIC, 1.4% (95% CI, 0.8%-2.3%) in the ZAIC, and 6.6% (95% CI, 4.2%-10.0%) in the DESC. The corresponding ONJ incidence rates per 100 person-years were 3.0 (95% CI, 2.3-3.7), 1.0 (95% CI, 0.6-1.5), and 4.3 (95% CI, 2.8-6.3). Incidence proportions and incidence rates were highest in patients with prostate cancer and in Denmark. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides estimates of the risk of medically confirmed ONJ among patients initiating denosumab or zoledronic acid in routine clinical practice in 3 Scandinavian countries. The results varied by cancer site and by country. LAY SUMMARY: Denosumab and zoledronic acid reduce the risk of bone fractures, pain, and surgery in patients with advanced cancers involving bone. Osteonecrosis of the jaw (ONJ)-death of a jawbone-is a known side effect of treatment with denosumab or zoledronic acid. The authors examined almost 2900 denosumab- or zoledronic acid-treated patients with cancer in Denmark, Norway, and Sweden. Over the course of 5 years, ONJ developed in 5.7% of the patients whose initial treatment was denosumab, in 1.4% of the patients whose initial treatment was zoledronic acid, and in 6.6% of the patients who switched from zoledronic acid to denosumab.

Mammographic density as an image-based biomarker of therapy response in neoadjuvant-treated breast cancer patients.

PURPOSE: Personalized cancer treatment requires predictive biomarkers, including image-based biomarkers. Breast cancer (BC) patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) are in a clinically vulnerable situation with the tumor present. This study investigated whether mammographic density (MD), assessed pre-NACT, is predictive of pathological complete response (pCR). METHODS: A total of 495 BC patients receiving NACT in Sweden 2005-2019 were included, merged from two different cohorts. Cohort 1 was retrospectively collected (n = 295) and cohort 2 was prospectively collected (n = 200). Mammograms were scored for MD pre-NACT according to the Breast Imaging-Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS), 5th Edition. The association between MD and accomplishing pCR post-NACT was analyzed using logistic regression models-for the whole cohort, stratified by menopausal status, and in different St. Gallen surrogate subtypes. RESULTS: In comparison to patients with low MD (BI-RADS a), the multivariable-adjusted odds ratio (OR) of accomplishing pCR following NACT was on a descending scale: 0.62 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.24-1.57), 0.38 (95% CI 0.14-1.02), and 0.32 (95% CI 0.09-1.08) for BI-RADS b, c, and d, respectively. For premenopausal patients selectively, the corresponding point estimates were lower, although wider CIs: 0.31 (95% CI 0.06-1.62), 0.24 (95% CI 0.04-1.27), and 0.13 (95% CI 0.02-0.88). Subgroup analyses based on BC subtypes resulted in imprecise estimates, i.e., wide CIs. CONCLUSIONS: It seemed as though patients with higher MD at baseline were less likely to reach pCR after NACT-a finding more pronounced in premenopausal women. Larger multicenter studies are needed to enable analyses and interpretation for different BC subtypes.

Neoadjuvant breast cancer treatment response; tumor size evaluation through different conventional imaging modalities in the NeoDense study.

BACKGROUND: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) is offered to an increasing number of breast cancer (BC) patients, and comprehensive monitoring of treatment response is of utmost importance. Several imaging modalities are available to follow tumor response, although likely to provide different clinical information. We aimed to examine the association between early radiological response by three conventional imaging modalities and pathological complete response (pCR). Further, we investigated the agreement between these modalities pre-, during, and post-NACT, and the accuracy of predicting pathological residual tumor burden by these imaging modalities post-NACT. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This prospective Swedish cohort study included 202 BC patients assigned to NACT (2014-2019). Breast imaging with clinically used modalities: mammography, ultrasound, and tomosynthesis was performed pre-, during, and post-NACT. We investigated the agreement of tumor size by the different imaging modalities, and their accuracy of tumor size estimation. Patients with a radiological complete response or radiological partial response (≥30% decrease in tumor diameter) during NACT were classified as radiological early responders. RESULTS: Patients with an early radiological response by ultrasound had 2.9 times higher chance of pCR than early radiological non-responders; the corresponding relative chance for mammography and tomosynthesis tumor size measures was 1.8 and 2.8, respectively. Post-NACT, each modality, separately, could accurately estimate tumor size (within 5 mm margin compared to pathological evaluation) in 43-46% of all tumors. The diagnostic precision in predicting pCR post-NACT was similar between the three imaging modalities; however, tomosynthesis had slightly higher specificity and positive predictive values. CONCLUSION: Breast imaging modalities correctly estimated pathological tumor size in less than half of the tumors. Based on this finding, predicting residual tumor size post-NACT is challenging using conventional imaging. Patients with early radiological non-response might need improved monitoring during NACT and be considered for changed treatment plans.

Statin use and breast cancer recurrence in postmenopausal women treated with adjuvant aromatase inhibitors: a Danish population-based cohort study.

PURPOSE: To examine the association between statin use and risk of breast cancer recurrence in a national Danish cohort of postmenopausal breast cancer patients receiving aromatase inhibitors (AI) in the adjuvant setting. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We enrolled all postmenopausal patients diagnosed with stage I-III estrogen receptor positive breast cancer during the years 2007-2017, assigned adjuvant AI treatment, and registered in both the Danish Breast Cancer Group database and the Danish Cancer Registry. We ascertained incident statin exposure (≥ 1 prescription post-diagnosis) from the Danish National Prescription Registry and modeled statins as a time-varying exposure lagged by 6 months. Follow-up began 7 months after diagnosis and continued to the first event of recurrence, death, emigration, 5 years elapsed, or 25th September 2018. We estimated incidence rates of recurrence at 5 years and used Cox regression models to compute crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI), comparing statin exposure with non-exposure. RESULTS: We enrolled 14,773 eligible patients. During the 5 years of follow-up, there were 32 recurrences in 3163 person-years of follow-up among statin-exposed patients, and 612 recurrences in 45,655 person-years among unexposed patients (incidence rate per 1000 person-years: 10.12 [95% CI 6.92-14.28] and 13.40 [95% CI 12.36-14.51], respectively). In multivariable models, any statin exposure was associated with a reduced rate of 5-year breast cancer recurrence (adjusted HR 0.72 [95% CI 0.50-1.04]). Considering only lipophilic statins as exposure the results were similar (adjusted HR 0.70 [95% CI 0.48-1.02]). CONCLUSIONS: Statin use was associated with a reduced risk of breast cancer recurrence among postmenopausal patients diagnosed with early stage breast cancer who received adjuvant AI therapy.

Mammographic density changes during neoadjuvant breast cancer treatment: NeoDense, a prospective study in Sweden.

OBJECTIVES: To assess if mammographic density (MD) changes during neoadjuvant breast cancer treatment and is predictive of a pathological complete response (pCR). METHODS: We prospectively included 200 breast cancer patients assigned to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) in the NeoDense study (2014-2019). Raw data mammograms were used to assess MD with a fully automated volumetric method and radiologists categorized MD using the Breast Imaging-Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS), 5th Edition. Logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (OR) for pCR comparing BI-RADS categories c vs. a, b, and d as well as with a 0.5% change in percent dense volume adjusting for baseline characteristics. RESULTS: The overall median age was 53.1 years, and 48% of study participants were premenopausal pre-NACT. A total of 23% (N = 45) of the patients accomplished pCR following NACT. Patients with very dense breasts (BI-RADS d) were more likely to have a positive axillary lymph node status at diagnosis: 89% of the patients with very dense breasts compared to 72% in the entire cohort. A total of 74% of patients decreased their absolute dense volume during NACT. The likelihood of accomplishing pCR following NACT was independent of volumetric MD at diagnosis and change in volumetric MD during treatment. No trend was observed between decreasing density according to BI-RADS and the likelihood of accomplishing pCR following NACT. CONCLUSIONS: The majority of patients decreased their MD during NACT. We found no evidence of MD as a predictive marker of pCR in the neoadjuvant setting.