Early Metabolomic and Immunologic Biomarkers as Prognostic Indicators for COVID-19.

This prospective study in Hong Kong aimed at identifying prognostic metabolomic and immunologic biomarkers for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). We examined 327 patients, mean age 55 (19-89) years, in whom 33.6% were infected with Omicron and 66.4% were infected with earlier variants. The effect size of disease severity on metabolome outweighed others including age, gender, peak C-reactive protein (CRP), vitamin D and peak viral levels. Sixty-five metabolites demonstrated strong associations and the majority (54, 83.1%) were downregulated in severe disease (z score: -3.30 to -8.61). Ten cytokines/chemokines demonstrated strong associations (p < 0.001), and all were upregulated in severe disease. Multiple pairs of metabolomic/immunologic biomarkers showed significant correlations. Fourteen metabolites had the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) > 0.8, suggesting a high predictive value. Three metabolites carried high sensitivity for severe disease: triglycerides in medium high-density lipoprotein (MHDL) (sensitivity: 0.94), free cholesterol-to-total lipids ratio in very small very-low-density lipoprotein (VLDL) (0.93), cholesteryl esters-to-total lipids ratio in chylomicrons and extremely large VLDL (0.92);whereas metabolites with the highest specificity were creatinine (specificity: 0.94), phospholipids in large VLDL (0.94) and triglycerides-to-total lipids ratio in large VLDL (0.93). Five cytokines/chemokines, namely, interleukin (IL)-6, IL-18, IL-10, macrophage inflammatory protein (MIP)-1b and tumour necrosis factor (TNF)-a, had AUC > 0.8. In conclusion, we demonstrated a tight interaction and prognostic potential of metabolomic and immunologic biomarkers enabling an outcome-based patient stratification.

Prevalence of oral human papillomavirus infection among the general adult population in Hong Kong.

A cross-sectional study in 2021-23 collected oral rinse gargle samples from an human papillomaviruses (HPV) vaccine-naïve general adult population in Hong Kong. HPV was detected by a PCR using SPF10 primers, and genotyped by a linear array covering 25 genotypes. Epidemiologic information including sociodemographics, medical history, oral health, and sexual behavior were collected by a self-administered questionnaire. Altogether, 2323 subjects aged 18-75 (median 47) years with 50.1% male were recruited. The prevalence for oral HPV infection with all genotypes combined, high-risk, and low-risk genotypes was 1.5%, 0.7%, and 0.7%, respectively; and with no statistically significant difference between participant gender. The prevalence increased with age and was highest in women at 45-54 years (2.7% for all genotypes combined), and highest in men aged >64 years (4.1% for all genotypes combined). HPV52 was the most common genotype among all participants. Univariate analysis suggested more lifetime sexual or oral sexual partners as risk factors, but they did not reach statistical significance upon multivariate analysis; whereas higher educational level had an independent protective effect. To conclude, oral HPV prevalence increased with age in Hong Kong. Strategies to prevent oral HPV infection and the associated cancers are urgently needed.

Changes in the Incidence and Human Papillomavirus-Positive Portion of Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma in Hong Kong.

The incidence of human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) is rising in the West, but little is known in Asia. This study elucidated changes in the incidence and HPV-positive portion of OPSCC in Hong Kong. Data from population-based cancer registry were used to analyze the incidence of OPSCC in association with other head and neck cancers. Archived tumor tissues were tested for HPV. From 1986 to 2020, there was a marked decrease in the incidence of nasopharyngeal and laryngeal cancers, but a persistent increase in OPSCC from 36 cases in 1986 to 116 cases in 2020. The average positive rate for high-risk HPV was 36.1% (112/310) among OPSCC diagnosed in 2010-2020. The HPV-positive rate in recent years was significantly higher than earlier cases (tonsil SCC: 64.7% (55/85) in 2016-2020 vs. 40.4% (19/47) in 2010-2015, p = 0.007). Patients with HPV-positive tonsil cancers were significantly younger than those negative (mean [SD]: 58.9 [9.9] vs. 64.3 [13.3] years, p = 0.006), but no significant difference was observed between genders. A persistent increase in the incidence of oropharyngeal cancer over the last few decades was observed in Hong Kong, which can be explained by the remarkable increase in HPV-positive tonsil cancers.