Impact of cancer on the mortality of patients with idiopathic inflammatory myopathies by flexible parametric multistate modelling.

BACKGROUND: Patients with idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM) have an increased risk of cancer, but their cancer-related disease burden remains unclear. OBJECTIVES: To explore how cancer might impact the mortality of patients with IIM and examine the associated prognostic factors for cancer and death. METHODS: We identified patients with IIM diagnosed between 1998 and 2020 and ascertained their cancer and death records via linkage to the Swedish healthcare and population registers. Transition hazards from IIM diagnosis to cancer and death were estimated in multistate models using flexible parametric methods. We then predicted the probability of having cancer or death, and the duration of staying alive at a given time from IIM and cancer diagnoses from a crude model. We also explored prognostic factors for progression to cancer and death in a multivariable model. RESULTS: Of 1826 IIM patients, 310 (17%) were diagnosed with cancer before and 306 (17%) after IIM diagnosis. In patients diagnosed with cancer after IIM, the 5-year probability of death from cancer and from other causes was 31% and 18%, respectively, compared to 7% and 15% in patients without cancer after IIM. We reported several factors associated with risk of progression to cancer and death. Specifically, patients with first cancer after IIM who were older at IIM diagnosis, had cancer history, dermatomyositis and a cancer diagnosis within 1 year following IIM faced a greater cancer-specific mortality. CONCLUSION: We observed a substantial increase in mortality from cancer, compared to before, rather than other causes after a cancer diagnosis following IIM, suggesting an unmet medical need for effective cancer management in IIM patients. This finding, along with the identified prognostic factors, provides useful insight into future research directions for improving cancer management in IIM patients.

Effect modification of cancer on the association between dysphagia and mortality in early idiopathic inflammatory myopathies.

OBJECTIVE: The interplay between dysphagia, cancer, and mortality in idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM) has not been carefully studied. The aim of this study was to investigate possible effect modification of cancer on the association between dysphagia and mortality in early IIM. METHODS: A multi-center cohort of 230 adult IIM patients with dysphagia assessment within 6 months of disease onset was assembled. Crude mortality rates in IIM patients exposed or not to dysphagia were estimated for the 5-year period following cohort entry. To explore possible effect modification of cancer on the association between dysphagia and mortality, adjusted Cox models stratified on cancer status were performed as well as an interaction model. RESULTS: Mortality rates per 100 person-years for IIM patients exposed to dysphagia were 2.3 (95 %CI 1.0 to 4.5) in those without cancer compared to 33.3 (95 %CI 16.6 to 59.5) in those with cancer. In stratified Cox models, the main effect of dysphagia was HR 0.5 (95 %CI 0.2 to 1.5) in non-cancer and 3.1 (95 %CI 1.0 to 10.2) in cancer patients. In the interaction model, the combination of dysphagia and cancer yielded a HR of 6.4 (1.2 to 35.1). CONCLUSION: In this IIM cohort, dysphagia in non-cancer patients was not associated with increased mortality, while it was in presence of cancer, supporting effect modification of cancer on the association between dysphagia and mortality. This suggests that IIM patients with and without cancer differ and separate analyses for the two groups should be conducted when the outcome of interest is mortality.

Familial Co-Aggregation of Idiopathic Inflammatory Myopathies and Cancer: A Swedish Population-Based Study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine if idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIMs) share familial susceptibility with cancer, we estimated the familial co-aggregation of these diseases. METHODS: This Swedish population-based family study with data from national registers included 8,460 first-degree relatives of patients with IIM and 41,127 relatives of matched individuals without IIM. We modeled the adjusted odds ratios (ORs) of familial co-aggregation of IIM and cancer using conditional logistic regressions and adjusted for sex and birth year of index individuals and their first-degree relatives. We examined the associations for cancer overall and stratified by several factors of interest. We also performed exploratory analyses for specific cancer types. RESULTS: We observed no statistically significant familial associations between IIM and cancer overall. However, there was a familial association in male relative pairs of patients with dermatomyositis (adjusted OR for familial association 1.39 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.15-1.68]). The association remained statistically significant after controlling for multiple testing. Moreover, this finding was consistent between kinships. Familial co-aggregation of IIM and cancer diagnosed before 50 years of age was only observed in offspring. In exploratory analyses, only the familial associations for myeloid malignancies (adjusted OR 2.27 [95% CI 1.43-3.60]) and liver cancer (adjusted OR 2.01 [95% CI 1.21-3.33]) in male relative pairs remained significant after controlling for multiple testing. CONCLUSION: We found little evidence of shared familial susceptibility as a major pathologic mechanism contributing to the co-occurrence of IIM and cancer overall. There could be subsets of patients and cancer types for which familial factors including genetics and shared environments are of more importance, but these findings need replication.

Genetic Influences in Cancer-Associated Myositis.

Idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIMs) comprise a heterogeneous group of rare immune-mediated disorders that primarily affect muscles but also lead to dysfunction in other organs. Five different clinical subphenotypes of IIM have been distinguished: dermatomyositis, polymyositis, inclusion body myositis, antisynthetase syndrome, and immune-mediated necrotizing myopathy. Excess mortality and morbidity associated with IIM are largely attributed to comorbidities, particularly cancer. The risk of malignancy is not equally distributed among IIM groups and is particularly high among patients with dermatomyositis. The cancer risk peaks around 3 years on either side of the IIM diagnosis and remains elevated even 10 years after the onset of the disease. Lung, colorectal, and ovarian neoplasms typically arise before the onset of IIM, whereas melanoma, cervical, oropharyngeal, and nonmelanoma skin cancers usually develop after IIM diagnosis. Given the close temporal proximity between IIM diagnosis and the emergence of malignancy, it has been proposed that IIM could be a consequence rather than a cause of cancer, a process known as a paramalignant phenomenon. Thus, a separate group of IIMs related to paramalignant phenomenon has been distinguished, known as cancer-associated myositis (CAM). Although the relationship between IIM and cancer is widely recognized, the pathophysiology of CAM remains elusive. Given that genetic factors play a role in the development of IIM, dissection of the molecular mechanisms shared between IIM and cancer presents an opportunity to examine the role of autoimmunity in cancer development and progression. In this review, the evidence supporting the contribution of genetics to CAM will be discussed.

Environmental Risks for Inflammatory Myopathies.

This is an up-to-date review on external environmental factors for adult-onset idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIMs). Environmental factors with suggestive evidence including ultraviolet radiation, smoking, infectious agents (viruses in particular), pollutants, medications (ie, statin) and vitamin D deficiency are discussed. We also discuss the potential implications of environmental factors in IIM development, identify current challenges, and provide insight into future investigations.

ELISA, protein immunoprecipitation and line blot assays for anti-TIF1-gamma autoantibody detection in cancer-associated dermatomyositis.

OBJECTIVES: Anti-TIF1-gamma autoantibodies can be detected with immunoprecipitation (IP), line blot (LB) and ELISA. We compared assay performance in patients with DM and the potential of these assays to detect anti-TIF1-gamma positive cancer-associated DM (CADM). METHODS: We included sera from 131 patients with DM followed at Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden and 82 healthy controls. Serum samples taken at DM diagnosis were tested for anti-TIF1-gamma autoantibodies with IP, two ELISAs (in-house and commercial) and LB. Cancer diagnosis and dates were obtained from the Swedish national cancer register. CADM was defined as a malignancy that developed within 3 years of DM diagnosis. RESULTS: Anti-TIF1-gamma autoantibodies were detected in 19/101 (18.8%), 15/113 (13.2%), 34/131 (26%) and 45/131 (34.4%) of the patients with IP, LB, in-house and commercial ELISA, respectively. The anti-TIF1-gamma results from the in-house ELISA were confirmed with IP in 93 of 101 (92%) cases, κ = 0.76, with a commercial ELISA in 110 of 131 (84%) cases, κ = 0.63, and with LB in 101 of 113 (89.3%) cases, κ = 0.67. Anti-TIF1-gamma results with IP were confirmed with LB in 85 of 92 (92.4%) cases, κ = 0.73. For detecting CADM, the anti-TIF1-gamma in-house ELISA had a sensitivity of 58% and specificity of 86%, the commercial ELISA had a sensitivity of 63% and specificity of 82%, IP had a sensitivity of 52% and specificity of 92%, LB had a sensitivity of 40% and specificity of 96%. CONCLUSION: The two anti-TIF1-gamma ELISA assays had advantages both for autoantibody detection and to identify anti-TIF1-gamma-positive CADM.

Allergic conditions and risk of rheumatoid arthritis: a Swedish case-control study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the association of allergic conditions with incident rheumatoid arthritis (RA), especially in relation to smoking history and anti-citrullinated peptide antibody (ACPA) status. METHODS: This case-control study included 3515 incident RA cases and 5429 matched controls from the Epidemiological Investigation of Rheumatoid Arthritis study 1995 to 2016, including questionnaire-based information on eight allergic conditions composed from a list of 59 unique allergies. We used logistic regression and adjusted ORs (aOR) to assess the association between allergic conditions and risk of RA, adjusting for age, sex, residential area, body mass index, education, and smoking, and stratified by smoking and ACPA. RESULTS: A history of any reported allergy was equally common in RA (n=1047, 30%) as among population controls (n=1540, 29%), aOR 1.04, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.15. Metal, respiratory, food, plant/pollen and chemical allergies were not associated with risk of RA. By contrast, statistically significant associations were observed for animal dander allergy (6% vs 5%, aOR 1.37, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.82), especially in ACPA-positive RA (aOR 1.46 95% CI 1.06 to 2.01) and for atopic dermatitis, in particular for older and ACPA-negative RA (aOR 2.33, 95% CI 1.37 to 3.96 at age 80). Never smokers with allergic rhinitis also had increased risk of developing RA (aOR 1.30, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.68). CONCLUSION: Most common allergies do not increase risk of RA, nor do they protect against RA. However, some allergic conditions, notably animal dander allergy, atopic dermatitis and allergic rhinitis, were associated with an increased risk for RA.

Distribution and trajectory of direct and indirect costs of idiopathic inflammatory myopathies.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the annual direct and indirect costs associated with Idiopathic Inflammatory Myopathies (IIM) over time, including the pre-diagnostic period. METHODS: A cohort of incident adult IIM patients (n = 673) was identified from the Swedish National Patient Register from 2010 to 2016 and matched with general population comparators (n = 3343). Follow-up started at IIM diagnosis and corresponding date in the general population. International Classification of Diseases codes (ICD-10) were used for IIM case definition. Costs were calculated using national register data. RESULTS: The costs related to IIM started to increase 2 years before diagnosis. In the year following diagnosis, the mean annual IIM cost was €21 639 compared to €4816 in the general population. Five years after diagnosis, the mean annual cost in the IIM cohort was €12 796. Outpatient visits, hospitalizations and productivity loss were the components driving the increment in overall annual disease-related expenditures. Indirect costs accounted for a significant portion of IIM long-term societal costs. The highest costs were found in individuals of working age with cancer-associated IIM. CONCLUSIONS: The mean annual costs in IIM were 3 to 5 times higher than in the general population in the 5-year period following diagnosis. These costs started to increase long before diagnosis, were at their peak in the year post-diagnosis and remained elevated thereafter. Indirect costs contributed to a substantial portion of this increment. Early in the IIM disease course, clinicians and allied health professionals should aim to improve function, reduce damage and address barriers to return-to-work to mitigate these costs.

Overall and site-specific cancer before and after diagnosis of idiopathic inflammatory myopathies: A nationwide study 2002-2016.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between idiopathic inflammatory myopathy (IIM) and cancer before and after IIM diagnosis. METHODS: We used prospectively collected nationwide register data to design a case-control study to investigate the occurrence of cancer before IIM, and a cohort study to investigate the occurrence of cancer after IIM. Patients diagnosed with IIM between 2002 and 2016 in Sweden, were compared to the general population. The association between cancer and IIM was estimated before and after IIM diagnosis via logistic regression and Cox regression models, respectively. RESULTS: We included 1419 patients with IIM and 7045 individuals from the general population. The overall odds of cancer before IIM diagnosis were increased in IIM compared to the general population, adjusted odds ratio (AOR) 1.5, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.3-1.8. This association was also noted after IIM diagnosis, adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) 1.7 (95% CI 1.4-2.0), or one additional cancer in every 125 IIM patients per year. Colorectal (AOR 2.1), lung (AOR 5.4) and ovarian (AOR 7.0) cancers were associated with IIM before diagnosis. Oropharyngeal (AHR 9.1) and cervical (AHR 3.8) cancers, malignant melanoma (AHR 3.2) and non-melanoma skin cancer (AHR 3.1) were associated with IIM after diagnosis. Adenocarcinomas were associated with dermatomyositis before diagnosis and squamous cell cancers after IIM diagnosis. Lymphatic hematopoietic cancers were associated with IIM both before and after diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: The cancer types that occur before IIM diagnosis differ from the ones that occur after diagnosis. This may have an impact on screening decisions for IIM.

Respiratory Diseases as Risk Factors for Seropositive and Seronegative Rheumatoid Arthritis and in Relation to Smoking.

OBJECTIVE: The link and interplay between different airway exposures and rheumatoid arthritis (RA) risk are unclear. This study was undertaken to determine whether respiratory disease is associated with development of RA, and specifically to examine this relationship by RA serostatus and smoking exposure. METHODS: Using data from the Epidemiological Investigation of Rheumatoid Arthritis study, this analysis included 1,631 incident RA cases and 3,283 matched controls recruited from 2006 to 2016. Linking these individuals to the National Patient Register provided information on past acute or chronic, upper or lower respiratory disease diagnoses. For each disease group, we estimated adjusted odds ratios (ORadj ) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for RA, using logistic regression models adjusted for age, sex, residential area, body mass index, and education both overall and stratified by anti-citrullinated protein antibody (ACPA)/rheumatoid factor (RF) status and by smoking status. RESULTS: Respiratory disease diagnoses were associated with risk of RA, with an ORadj of 1.2 for acute upper respiratory disease (95% CI 0.8-1.7), 1.4 for chronic upper respiratory disease (95% CI 1.1-1.9), 2.4 for acute lower respiratory disease (95% CI 1.5-3.6), and 1.6 for chronic lower respiratory disease (95% CI 1.5-3.6). These associations were present irrespective of RF or ACPA status, though the association was somewhat stronger for ACPA/RF-positive than ACPA/RF-negative RA. The association between any respiratory disease and RA was stronger for nonsmokers (ORadj 2.1 [95% CI 1.5-2.9]) than for smokers (ORadj 1.2 [95% CI 0.9-1.5]). CONCLUSION: Respiratory diseases increase the risk for both seropositive and seronegative RA, but only among nonsmokers. These findings raise the hypothesis that smoking and airway disease are associated with RA development through partly different mechanisms.

Anti-transcriptional intermediary factor 1 gamma antibodies in cancer-associated myositis: a longitudinal study.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate anti-TIF1-γ antibodies in longitudinally followed patients with myositis and cancer. METHODS: Serum levels of anti-TIF1-γ antibodies at different time-points in relation to myositis and cancer diagnosis were analysed by ELISA in 79 patients from a Swedish cohort with polymyositis (PM) and dermatomyositis (DM) and a Spanish cohort restricted to DM patients. Anti-TIF1-γ positive and negative patients were compared with Fisher's exact test, student t-tests and Wilcoxon test. RESULTS: Thirty-six patients (17 from cohort 1 and 19 from cohort 2) with myositis and cancer were anti-TIF1-γ antibody positive; all had DM. In 88% of anti-TIF1-γ positive patients, cancer was diagnosed within 3 years from DM diagnosis compared to 63% in anti-TIF1-γ negative. Four DM patients, anti-TIF1-γ positive at cancer diagnosis had positive serum samples even antedating cancer diagnosis up to five years. In cohort 1 the median (interquartile range) antibody level was higher, 2.13 au (1.82-2.15), in the seven patients who died <1 year after cancer diagnosis, compared to the seven that died >1 year after cancer diagnosis, 1.34 au (0.92-1.59), (p=0.004). Three patients were still alive and in remission from cancer and DM 14-16 years after cancer treatment of whom two became negative for anti-TIF1-γ antibodies. In the second cohort remission of cancer coincided with remission of DM and low or negative serum levels of autoantibodies. CONCLUSIONS: Anti-TIF1-γ antibodies may be detected before clinical symptoms of cancer and may disappear after successful treatment of cancer with remission of DM supporting DM being a paramalignant phenomenon.

Venous Thromboembolic Events in Idiopathic Inflammatory Myopathy: Occurrence and Relation to Disease Onset.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the incidence of venous thromboembolic events (VTEs) in patients with idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIMs), to compare the incidence of VTEs in IIM to the incidence in the general population, and to identify patient categories at high risk and investigate the development of risk in relation to a diagnosis of IIM. METHODS: Using nationwide registers, we identified a cohort of 440 individuals with newly diagnosed IIM and 4,459 individuals from the general population. Patients with IIM were diagnosed between 2005 and 2011. The start of follow-up was the date of IIM diagnosis and the corresponding date in the general population. VTE was defined as hospital care with an International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision code indicating VTE, with a filled prescription for anticoagulant medication. Incidence rates including 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated, and Cox proportional hazards models were used to compare the risk of VTE in patients with IIM to the risk in the general population. RESULTS: The incidence of VTEs was higher in patients with IIM than in the general population and was highest in patients who previously had cancer, who were ages >71 years when diagnosed with IIM, or who had dermatomyositis. The overall hazard ratio (HR) of VTE comparing the IIM cohort to the general population was 7.81 (95% CI 4.74, 12.85). The HR was highest the first year after IIM diagnosis, with HR 26.6 (95% CI 10.4, 68.0). CONCLUSION: Patients with IIM are at increased risk of VTE compared to the general population, especially during the first year after the diagnosis. Preventive measures should be focused on patients who previously have had cancer, who are ages >71 years when diagnosed, or who have dermatomyositis.

Mortality in idiopathic inflammatory myopathy: results from a Swedish nationwide population-based cohort study.

Patients with idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIMs) suffer an increased burden of comorbidities, but data on mortality in recently diagnosed IIM are conflicting. Also, little is known when, if ever, in relation to IIM diagnosis, mortality is increased. METHODS: A population-based IIM cohort of patients diagnosed between 2002 and 2011 and general population comparators were identified using healthcare registers. They were linked to the cause of death register for follow-up. RESULTS: 224 (31%) of the 716 patients with IIM and 870 (12%) of the 7100 general population died during follow-up. This corresponded to a mortality rate of 60/1000 person-years in IIM and 20/1000 person-years in the general population. The cumulative mortality at 1 year after diagnosis was 9% in IIM and 1% in the general population, and increased in both IIM and the general population with time. The overall hazard ratio (HR) 95%CI of death comparing IIM with the general population was 3.7 (3.2 to 4.4). When we stratified on time since diagnosis, we noted an increase in mortality already within the first year of diagnosis compared with the general population, HR 9.6 (95% CI 6.9 to 13.5). This HR then plateaued around 2 after >10 years with the disease, although the estimates were not statistically significant. Malignancies, diseases of the circulatory and respiratory system were common causes of death. CONCLUSION: Mortality is increased in patients with contemporary IIM. The increased mortality was noted within a year of diagnosis, which calls for extra vigilance during the first year of IIM diagnosis.

Infections and respiratory tract disease as risk factors for idiopathic inflammatory myopathies: a population-based case-control study.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association between infection or respiratory tract disease and future risk of developing idiopathic inflammatory myopathy (IIM). METHODS: A case-control study was performed using Swedish nationwide registers. Adults with newly diagnosed IIM were identified (2002-2011) from the National Patient Register (NPR) and the Swedish Rheumatology Register (n=957). Controls were matched by age, sex and place of residence (n=9476). Outpatient visits and hospitalisations preceding IIM diagnosis indicating infection or respiratory disease were identified from NPR. Conditional logistic regression models were used to calculate OR and 95% CI. Sensitivity analyses were performed by varying the exposure definition, adjusting for previous healthcare consumption and excluding individuals with connective tissue disease, IIM lung phenotype or IIM-associated cancer. RESULTS: Preceding infections were more common in IIM cases compared with controls (13% vs 9%) and were associated with an increased risk of IIM (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.2 to 1.9). Gastrointestinal and respiratory tract infections were associated with an increased risk of IIM while cutaneous infections were not.Preceding respiratory tract disease was present in 10% of IIM cases and 4% of controls (OR 2.3, 95% CI 1.8 to 3.0). Both upper and lower respiratory tract diseases were associated with an increased risk of IIM.Variations in exposure and outcome definitions did not greatly affect the results. CONCLUSIONS: Infections and respiratory tract diseases are associated with an increased risk of IIM which suggests that the triggering of the immune system may take place outside the skeletal muscle.

Use of biologic agents in idiopathic inflammatory myopathies in Sweden: a descriptive study of real life treatment.

OBJECTIVES: Biologic treatment has revolutionised treatment in rheumatology in the last decades. Patients with idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM) have so far only been treated with biologics off-label, with little published follow-up on those who are treated and how they are treated. We therefore set out to characterise the Swedish IIM patients who have been treated with biologics. METHODS: By linking Swedish registers we identified 95 patients with IIM who were treated with biologics between 2000 and 2011. Via chart review the diagnoses were validated and clinical characteristics extracted. RESULTS: In total, 95 individuals with IIM and biologic treatment were identified. Median disease duration was 5.5 years at start of biologics. All patients had been treated with prednisolone and failed at least one previous DMARD before the start of first biologic. Rituximab was the most common biologic drug, followed by anakinra and TNFinhibitors. Median overall treatment length was 10 months and varied between 5 and 12.5 months or the different therapies. CONCLUSIONS: Off-label treatment of IIMs is often tried and seldom successful. This study shows a large unmet need for novel treatments and therapies in IIM. It is therefore important to follow these patients in a structured way to learn about effects and potential risks for different subgroups of IIM associated with different therapies.

How comparable are rates of malignancies in patients with rheumatoid arthritis across the world? A comparison of cancer rates, and means to optimise their comparability, in five RA registries.

BACKGROUND: The overall incidence of cancer in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is modestly elevated. The extent to which cancer rates in RA vary across clinical cohorts and patient subsets, as defined by disease activity or treatment is less known but critical for understanding the safety of existing and new antirheumatic therapies. We investigated comparability of, and means to harmonise, malignancy rates in five RA registries from four continents. METHODS: Participating RA registries were Consortium of Rheumatology Researchers of North America (CORRONA) (USA), Swedish Rheumatology Quality of Care Register (SRR) (Sweden), Norfolk Arthritis Register (NOAR) (UK), CORRONA International (several countries) and Institute of Rheumatology, Rheumatoid Arthritis (IORRA) (Japan). Within each registry, we analysed a main cohort of all patients with RA from January 2000 to last available data, and sensitivity analyses of sub-cohorts defined by disease activity, treatment change, prior comorbidities and restricted by calendar time or follow-up, respectively. Malignancy rates with 95% CIs were estimated, and standardised for age and sex, based on the distributions from a typical RA clinical trial programme population (fostamatinib). RESULTS: There was a high consistency in rates for overall malignancy excluding non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC), for malignant lymphomas, but not for all skin cancers, across registries, in particular following age/sex standardisation. Standardised rates of overall malignancy excluding NMSC varied from 0.56 to 0.87 per 100 person-years. Within each registry, rates were generally consistent across sensitivity analyses, which differed little from the main analysis. CONCLUSION: In real-world RA populations, rates of both overall malignancy and of lymphomas are consistent.

Using epidemiological registry data to provide background rates as context for adverse events in a rheumatoid arthritis drug development program: a coordinated approach.

PURPOSE: Observational studies can provide context for adverse events observed in clinical trials, especially for infrequent events or long-term risks. We developed methods to improve safety contextualization for a rheumatoid arthritis drug development program through coordinated analyses of multiple registries. METHODS: We identified and characterized differences and similarities across five registries (Swedish Rheumatology Quality of Care Register, Consortium of Rheumatology Researchers of North America [CORRONA], Norfolk Arthritis Register, Institute of Rheumatology Rheumatoid Arthritis, and the new CORRONA International), harmonized outcome definitions, and investigated whether restricted subcohorts improved comparability with trial populations. To address confounding, we identified risk predictors for outcomes of interest (mortality, cardiovascular disease, infection, and malignancy). We used patient-level analyses at each registry and central analysis of standardized group-level data. RESULTS: Despite data differences, the coordinated approach enabled consistent variable definitions for key baseline characteristics and outcomes. Selection of restricted subcohorts (e.g., using active joint count criteria) improved baseline comparability with trial patients for some rheumatoid arthritis disease activity measures, but less for other characteristics (e.g., age and comorbidity); however, such selection decreased sample size considerably. For most outcomes, age was the most important risk predictor, emphasizing the importance of age/sex standardization to address confounding. The prospective approach enabled use of recent relevant data; the distributed analysis safeguarded confidentiality of registry data. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with reliance on published data alone, a forward-looking coordinated approach across multiple observational data sources can improve comparability and consistency and better support sensitivity analyses and data interpretation, in contextualizing safety data from clinical trials. This approach may have utility to support safety assessments across diverse diseases and drug development programs and satisfy future regulatory requirements.

Risk factors for the rapid increase in risk of acute coronary events in patients with new-onset rheumatoid arthritis: a nested case-control study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate risk factors for acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in patients with new-onset rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: We performed a nested case-control study of patients with incident RA included in the Epidemiological Investigation of RA study. Cases with ACS were identified using Swedish national health registers and matched with up to 5 controls without ACS, based on incidence density-based sampling. Information on potential exposures (clinical disease activity, serologic features, genetic markers, comorbidities, pharmacotherapies, and sick leave) was collected from medical charts and register-based sources. RESULTS: We identified 138 cases and 624 controls. Smoking, history of myocardial infarction, and >50 days of sick leave the year following RA onset were associated with an increased risk of ACS. Area under the curve measurements of C-reactive protein level, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, Disease Activity Score in 28 joints (DAS28), and global health in the upper tertile during the first year and the complete followup period were both strongly associated with an increased risk of ACS. Treatment with disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs did not alter the ACS risk, nor did the presence of rheumatoid factor (RF) or shared epitope alleles, whereas high anti-citrullinated protein antibody (ACPA) levels were borderline significantly associated with ACS risk. CONCLUSION: In this study of risk factors for ACS in incident RA, clinical markers of inflammatory activity, disease activity, and total number of days of sick leave and disability pension during the first year following RA onset were identified as ACS risk factors. We found no association with RF, which was previously linked to cardiovascular disease risk in RA, but there was a borderline significant association with high ACPA levels.

Rheumatoid arthritis, anti-tumour necrosis factor therapy, and risk of malignant melanoma: nationwide population based prospective cohort study from Sweden.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the potential association between tumour necrosis factor (TNF) inhibitor treatment and malignant melanomas in rheumatoid arthritis, melanoma risks in rheumatoid arthritis patients not treated with biological drugs, and risk of all site cancer with TNF inhibitors as used in rheumatoid arthritis. DESIGN: Population based cohort study. SETTING: Prospectively recorded data from national clinical, health, and demographic registers in Sweden 2001-10. Patients with rheumatoid arthritis treated (n = 10,878) or not (n = 42,198) with TNF inhibitors and matched general population comparators (n = 162,743). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was first invasive melanoma in people without any history of invasive cancer of any type. Hazard ratios were estimated using Cox regression, comparing non-biological drug treated rheumatoid arthritis patients with the general population comparator and TNF inhibitor treated rheumatoid arthritis patients with those not treated with biological drugs. Secondary outcomes included in situ melanomas, second primary melanomas, and all site cancer. RESULTS: 113 first invasive melanomas occurred in rheumatoid arthritis patients not treated with biological drugs, and 393 occurred in the general population comparator cohort. Rheumatoid arthritis patients not treated with biological drugs were not at significantly increased risk of melanoma compared with the general population (hazard ratio 1.2, 95% confidence interval 0.9 to 1.5). 38 first invasive melanomas occurred in rheumatoid arthritis patients treated with TNF inhibitors; these patients had an increased risk of melanoma compared with rheumatoid arthritis patients not treated with biological drugs (hazard ratio 1.5, 1.0 to 2.2; 20 additional cases per 100,000 person years). The risk of a second primary melanoma was non-significantly increased (hazard ratio 3.2, 0.8 to 13.1; n=3 v 10) in rheumatoid arthritis patients treated with TNF inhibitors compared with those not treated with biological drugs. CONCLUSION: Overall, patients with rheumatoid arthritis who have not been treated with biological drugs are not at increased risk of invasive melanoma compared with the general population. Rheumatoid arthritis patients selected for TNF inhibitor treatment are not at increased overall risk for cancer but have a 50% increased relative risk of invasive melanoma. Given the small increase in absolute risk, these finding may not markedly shift the overall risk-benefit balance of TNF inhibitors as used in clinical practice but might do so in patients at high risk of melanoma for other reasons.

Ambient air pollution exposures and risk of rheumatoid arthritis: results from the Swedish EIRA case-control study.

OBJECTIVE: Environmental factors may play a role in the development of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). We examined whether long-term exposures to air pollution were associated with the risk of RA in the Swedish Epidemiological Investigation of Rheumatoid Arthritis Study. METHODS: We studied 1497 incident RA cases and 2536 controls. Local levels of particulate matter (PM10) and gaseous pollutants (sulphur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2)) from traffic and home heating were predicted for all residential addresses. We examined the association of an IQR increase (2 µg/m3 for PM10, 8 µg/m3 for SO2 and 9 µg/m3 for NO2) in each pollutant at different time points before symptom onset and average exposure with the risk of all RA and the risk of the rheumatoid factor and anti-citrullinated protein antibody (ACPA) RA phenotypes. RESULTS: There was no evidence of an increased risk of RA with PM10. Total RA risks were modestly elevated for the gaseous pollutants, but were not statistically significant after adjustment for smoking and education (OR 1.18, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.43 and OR 1.09, 95% CI 0.99 to 1.19 for SO2 and NO2 in the 10th year before onset). Stronger elevated risks were observed for individuals with less than a university education and with the ACPA-negative RA phenotype. CONCLUSIONS: No consistent overall associations between air pollution in the Stockholm area and the risk of RA were observed. However, there was a suggestion of increased risks of RA incidence with increases in NO2 from local traffic and SO2 from home heating sources with stronger associations for the ACPA-negative phenotype.