RESUMO
Pathologic N2 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is prominently intrinsically heterogeneous. We aimed to identify homogeneous prognostic subgroups and evaluate the role of different adjuvant treatments. We retrospectively collected patients with resected pathologic T1-3N2M0 NSCLC from the Shanghai Chest Hospital as the primary cohort and randomly allocated them (3:1) to the training set and the validation set 1. We had patients from the Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center as an external validation cohort (validation set 2) with the same inclusion and exclusion criteria. Variables significantly related to disease-free survival (DFS) were used to build an adaptive Elastic-Net Cox regression model. Nomogram was used to visualize the model. The discriminative and calibration abilities of the model were assessed by time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) and calibration curves. The primary cohort consisted of 1,312 patients. Tumor size, histology, grade, skip N2, involved N2 stations, lymph node ratio (LNR), and adjuvant treatment pattern were identified as significant variables associated with DFS and integrated into the adaptive Elastic-Net Cox regression model. A nomogram was developed to predict DFS. The model showed good discrimination (the median AUC in the validation set 1: 0.66, range 0.62 to 0.71; validation set 2: 0.66, range 0.61 to 0.73). We developed and validated a nomogram that contains multiple variables describing lymph node status (skip N2, involved N2 stations, and LNR) to predict the DFS of patients with resected pathologic N2 NSCLC. Through this model, we could identify a subtype of NSCLC with a more malignant clinical biological behavior and found that this subtype remained at high risk of disease recurrence after adjuvant chemoradiotherapy.
RESUMO
OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to evaluate the effect of postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) in patients with resected pathologic N2 (pN2) non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with different locoregional recurrence (LRR) risks. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The primary cohort and validation cohort were retrieved from two independent medical centres. Data for all consecutive patients with completely resected pathologic stage T1-3N2M0 NSCLC were analysed. Patients without PORT in the primary cohort were identified as a training set. Significant prognostic factors for LRR were identified by the Fine-Gray model to develop a prognostic index (PI) in the training set. RESULTS: The primary cohort consisted of 357 patients who met the eligibility criteria (training set, 287 patients without PORT). The external validation cohort consisted of 1044 patients who met the eligibility criteria (validation set, 711 patients without PORT). Heavy cigarette smoking history, clinical N2 status (cN2), and the number of positive lymph nodes >4 were identified as independent risk factors. The PI was computed as follows: PIï¼0.8*smoking historyï¼0.5*cN2ï¼0.7*the number of involved lymph nodes (reference level was assigned the value 1 and risk level the value 2). In the low-risk group (PI score< = 3), PORT showed a trend towards decreased LRR rates but not significantly improved overall survival (OS). In the high-risk group (PI score>3), PORT significantly reduced the risk of LRR and improved OS. CONCLUSIONS: We constructed and validated a PI to predict individually the effect of PORT in patients with completely resected pN2 NSCLC. Patients with a higher PI score can benefit from PORT in terms of OS.
Assuntos
Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas/patologia , Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas/radioterapia , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/patologia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/radioterapia , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/patologia , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Prognóstico , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: We aim to analyze the ability to detect epithelial growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutations on chest CT images of patients with lung adenocarcinoma using radiomics and/or multi-level residual convolutionary neural networks (MCNNs). METHODS: We retrospectively collected 1,010 consecutive patients in Shanghai Chest Hospital from 2013 to 2017, among which 510 patients were EGFR-mutated and 500 patients were wild-type. The patients were randomly divided into a training set (810 patients) and a validation set (200 patients) according to a balanced distribution of clinical features. The CT images and the corresponding EGFR status measured by Amplification Refractory Mutation System (ARMS) method of the patients in the training set were utilized to construct both a radiomics-based model (MRadiomics) and MCNNs-based model (MMCNNs). The MRadiomics and MMCNNs were combined to build the ModelRadiomics+MCNNs (MRadiomics+MCNNs). Clinical data of gender and smoking history constructed the clinical features-based model (MClinical). MClinical was then added into MRadiomics, MMCNNs, and MRadiomics+MCNNs to establish the ModelRadiomics+Clinical (MRadiomics+Clinical), the ModelMCNNs+Clinical (MMCNNs+Clinical) and the ModelRadiomics+MCNNs+Clinical (MRadiomics+MCNNs+Clinical). All the seven models were tested in the validation set to ascertain whether they were competent to detect EGFR mutations. The detection efficiency of each model was also compared in terms of area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity. RESULTS: The AUC of the MRadiomics, MMCNNs and MRadiomics+MCNNs to predict EGFR mutations was 0.740, 0.810 and 0.811 respectively. The performance of MMCNNs was better than that of MRadiomics (P=0.0225). The addition of clinical features did not improve the AUC of the MRadiomics (P=0.623), the MMCNNs (P=0.114) and the MRadiomics+MCNNs (P=0.058). The MRadiomics+MCNNs+Clinical demonstrated the highest AUC value of 0.834. The MMCNNs did not demonstrate any inferiority when compared with the MRadiomics+MCNNs (P=0.742) and the MRadiomics+MCNNs+Clinical (P=0.056). CONCLUSIONS: Both of the MRadiomics and the MCNNs could predict EGFR mutations on CT images of patients with lung adenocarcinoma. The MMCNNs outperformed the MRadiomics in the detection of EGFR mutations. The combination of these two models, even added with clinical features, is not significantly more efficient than MMCNNs alone.