Impact of P2Y12 inhibitors on clinical outcomes in sepsis-3 patients receiving aspirin: a propensity score matched analysis.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis is a life-threatening disease accompanied by disorders of the coagulation and immune systems. P2Y12 inhibitors, widely used for arterial thrombosis prevention and treatment, possess recently discovered anti-inflammatory properties, raising potential for improved sepsis prognosis. METHOD: We conducted a retrospective analysis using the data from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV database. Patients were divided into an aspirin-alone group versus a combination group based on the use of a P2Y12 inhibitor or not. Differences in 30-day mortality, length of stay (LOS) in intensive care unit (ICU), LOS in hospital, bleeding events and thrombotic events were compared between the two groups. RESULT: A total of 1701 pairs of matched patients were obtained by propensity score matching. We found that no statistically significant difference in 30-day mortality in aspirin-alone group and combination group (15.3% vs. 13.7%, log-rank p = 0.154). In addition, patients received P2Y12 inhibitors had a higher incidence of gastrointestinal bleeding (0.5% vs. 1.6%, p = 0.004) and ischemic stroke (1.7% vs. 2.9%, p = 0.023), despite having a shorter LOS in hospital (11.1 vs. 10.3, days, p = 0.043). Cox regression showed that P2Y12 inhibitor was not associated with 30-day mortality (HR = 1.14, 95% CI 0.95-1.36, p = 0.154). CONCLUSION: P2Y12 inhibitors did not provide a survival benefit for patients with sepsis 3 and even led to additional adverse clinical outcomes.

Cardiac toxicity of brentuximab vedotin: a real-word disproportionality analysis of the FDA Adverse Event Reporting System (FAERS) database.

Brentuximab vedotin (BV) has obtained approval for the therapeutic management of classical Hodgkin lymphoma as well as systemic anaplastic large cell lymphoma. Given the inherent constraints of conventional clinical trials, the correlation between BV and cardiac adverse events (AEs) remains enigmatic. The objective of this investigation is to comprehensively assess cardiac AEs attributed to BV by employing advanced data mining techniques, utilizing the FDA Adverse Event Reporting System (FAERS). The indices for the assessment of disproportionality encompass the reporting odds ratio (ROR), the proportional reporting ratio, the information component, and the empirical Bayesian geometric mean. Employing these sophisticated metrics, we gauged the extent of disproportionate occurrences. The dataset was sourced from the FAERS from the first quarter of 2012 to first quarter of 2023, facilitating a comprehensive analysis of the potential correlation between BV and cardiac AEs. This scrutiny encompassed a comparative analysis of both cardiac and non-cardiac AEs. A total of 495 cases of BV's cardiac AEs were discerned, with the identification of 31 preferred terms (PTs). Among these, 8 PTs emerged as conspicuous signals of cardiac AEs, notably encompassing ventricular hypokinesia (ROR 7.59), tachyarrhythmia (ROR 7.06), sinus tachycardia (ROR 6.18), cardiopulmonary failure (ROR 4.44), pericardial effusion (ROR 4.32), acute coronary syndrome (ROR 4.02), cardiomyopathy (ROR 3.30), and tachycardia (ROR 2.76). The manifestation of severe outcomes demonstrates a discernible correlation with the cardiac AEs (P < 0.001). Our investigation furnishes invaluable insights for healthcare practitioners to proactively mitigate the incidence of BV-associated cardiac AEs.

Physiologically-Based Pharmacokinetic Modeling of Anti-Tumor Necrosis Factor Agents for Inflammatory Bowel Disease Patients to Predict the Withdrawal Time in Pregnancy and Vaccine Time in Infants.

Anti-tumor necrosis factor (anti-TNF) agents are widely applied for patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD); however, the timing of the last dosing for IBD pregnancy and time to elimination in anti-TNF agent-exposed infants is controversial. This study aimed to determine the optimal timing for the last dosing of anti-TNF agents (infliximab, adalimumab, and golimumab) in pregnant women with IBD, as well as to investigate the recommended vaccine schedules for infants exposed to these drugs. A physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model of anti-TNF agents was built for adults and extrapolated to pregnant patients, fetuses, and infants. The PBPK models successfully predicted and verified the pharmacokinetics (PKs) of infliximab, adalimumab, and golimumab in pregnancy, fetuses, and infants. The predicted PK data were within two-fold of the observed data. The simulated results were used as timing advice. According to the dose of administration, the suggested timing of the last dosing for infliximab, adalimumab, and golimumab is successfully provided based on PBPK predictions. PBPK models indicated that, for infants, the advocated timing of vaccination is 12, 8, and 5 months after birth for infliximab, adalimumab, and golimumab, respectively. Our study illustrated that PBPK models can provide a valuable tool to predict the PKs of large macromolecules in pregnant women, fetuses, and infants, ultimately informing drug-treatment decisions for pregnancy and vaccination regimens for infants.

Cost-effectiveness and Value-based Pricing of Trastuzumab Deruxtecan in Metastatic Breast Cancer With Low HER2 Expression.

BACKGROUND: Recently, the DESTINY-Breast04 trial revealed that trastuzumab deruxtecan (T-DXd) significantly prolonged overall survival in patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-low metastatic breast cancer (MBC). Considering the extraexpensive price of the new drug, a cost-effectiveness analysis of T-DXd is necessary to perform in the United States. In addition, because T-DXd has not been marketed in China, the pricing is a very important driver for the cost-effectiveness of T-DXd. The range of drug costs for which T-DXd could be considered cost-effective from a Chinese healthcare system perspective was explored. METHODS: We developed a Markov model to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of T-DXd versus physician's choice of chemotherapy (PCC). The simulation time horizon for this model was the life-time of patients. Transition probabilities were based on data from the DESTINY-Breast04 trial. Health utility data were derived from published studies. Outcome measures were costs (in 2022 US$), life-years (LYs), quality-adjusted LYs (QALYs), and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses assessed the uncertainty of key model parameters and their joint impact on the base-case results. RESULTS: The model predicted that T-DXd provided an improvement of 0.84 LYs and 0.58 QALYs compared to PCC, with an ICER of $259,452.05 per QALY in the United States and $87,646.40 per QALY in China. The one-way sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the price of T-DXd had the greatest impact on ICERs. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis predicted that the probabilities of T-DXd being cost-effective compared to PCC were 7.2% and 0% at a willingness-to-pay of $150,000 per QALY in the United States and $36,475 per QALY (3 times the per capita gross domestic product) in China, respectively. Subgroup analyses showed that T-DXd was more effective for patients without visceral disease at baseline, followed by patients with Asian ethnic, patients without prior CDK 4/6 inhibitors therapy, and patients with HER2-1+ (IHC detection) status. CONCLUSION: T-DXd was unlikely to offer a reasonable value for the money spent compared to PCC for patients with HER2-low MBC in the United States. A value-based price for T-DXd was reduced by 51% in the United States and less than $1950 per cycle in China.

Adjuvant zoledronic acid therapy for postmenopausal women with early breast cancer in China: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

Combination therapy of zoledronic acid (ZOL) plus aromatase inhibitor (AI) was found to reduce bone metastasis risk and improve overall survival for treatment-naïve postmenopausal women (PMW) with hormone receptor-positive (HR+) early breast cancer (EBC), when compared with AI alone. The objective of this study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of adding ZOL to AI in treating PMW with HR+ EBC in China. A 5-state Markov model was constructed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of adding ZOL to AI for PMW-EBC (HR+) over a lifetime horizon from the perspective of Chinese healthcare provider. Data used were obtained from previous reports and public data. The primary outcomes of this study were direct medical cost, life years (LYs), quality-adjusted LYs (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to examine the robustness of the presented model. Over a lifetime horizon, adding ZOL to AI was projected to yield a gain of 1.286 LYs and 1.099 QALYs compared with AI monotherapy, which yielded ICER $11 140.75 per QALY with an incremental cost of $12 247.36. The one-way sensitivity analysis indicated that the cost of ZOL was the most influential factor in our study. The probability that adding ZOL to AI was cost-effective at a threshold of $30 425 per QALY in China was 91.1%. ZOL is likely to be cost-effective in reducing bone metastasis risk and improving overall survival for PMW-EBC (HR+) in China.

Indirect Comparison of Cryoablation and Radiofrequency Ablation as Initial Therapy for Symptomatic Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials.

INTRODUCTION: Data on first-line ablation treatment for patients with symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF) are scarce. This study indirectly compared the efficacy and safety of cryoballoon ablation (CBA) versus radiofrequency ablation (RFA) as initial therapy for symptomatic AF. METHODS: We searched the EMBASE, PubMed, Cochrane Library, and ClinicalTrials.gov databases for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that compared CBA or RFA with antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs) as first-line treatment for AF from the time of database establishment up to December 2021. The odds ratio (OR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) was used as a measure of the treatment effect. RESULTS: Six RCTs (3 CBA, 3 RFA) that enrolled a total of 1,215 patients were included in this analysis. There were no significant differences in atrial arrhythmia (AA) (OR 0.993, 95% CI: 0.602-1.638), symptomatic AA (OR 0.638, 95% CI: 0.344-1.182), or serious adverse events (OR 1.474, 95% CI: 0.404-5.376) between the two ablation techniques. The incidences of additional CBA therapy (OR 2.693, 95% CI: 1.277-5.681) and patients who crossed over to AAD therapy (OR 0.345, 95% CI: 0.179-0.664) in the CBA group were significantly lower than those in the RFA group. CONCLUSION: Among patients with paroxysmal AF receiving initial therapy, CBA and RFA share a similar efficacy and safety profile. When pulmonary vein isolation is performed by CBA, study crossover and the need for additional ablation are substantially lower.

Cell viability and drug evaluation biosensing system based on disposable AuNPs/MWCNT nanocomposite modified screen-printed electrode for exocytosis dopamine detection.

Cell viability, as an important index to evaluate drug effects, usually was measured by tetrazolium colorimetric assay, playing a key role in drug development and drug screening. Tedious operating procedures, unsatisfactory sensitivity and abominable environments perplex researchers to acquire more detailed in vivo-relevant biological information. Herein, a simple and low-cost cell viability and drug evaluation biosensing system-based on multiwalled carbon nanotubes, gold nanoparticles and Nafion modified screen-printed electrode (SPE) biosensor was constructed for detection of dopamine (DA) released from living cells to evaluate cytotoxicity of antineoplastic drugs such as cisplatin and resveratrol. The biosensing system was demonstrated to display exceptional selectivity, excellent flexibility and good stability toward DA measurement in complex bio-samples. Additionally, the satisfactory recoveries of DA in real samples revealed the reliability and accuracy of the biosensing system in practical application. The IC50 curves respectively obtained by the biosensing system and tetrazolium colorimetric assay provided similar IC50 value but distinctly different dose-effect relationship, which confirmed the enormous potential of the biosensor in cell viability and described drug efficacy profiles in cell function. In short, the cell viability and drug evaluation system using SPE biosensor paves a new way in drug screening and pharmaceutical application to measure bioactive molecule such as DA.

Semaglutide and Diabetic Retinopathy Risk in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials.

BACKGROUND: Semaglutide is a recently approved glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist used to treat patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). The SUSTAIN 6 trial found a significantly higher rate of retinopathy complications in the semaglutide-treated group compared with the placebo group. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the association between semaglutide and the risk of retinopathy in patients with T2DM. METHODS: Electronic databases were systematically searched up to April 2021 to identify randomized controlled trials that reported diabetic retinopathy (DR) events in semaglutide-treated and control groups. A meta-analysis was conducted using Review Manager 5.4 software to calculate the risk ratio (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: A total of 23 randomized trials involving 22,096 patients with T2DM were included. There were 730 incident DR cases-463 in the semaglutide group and 267 in the control group. Overall, semaglutide was not associated with increased DR risk compared with controls when all trials were combined (RR 1.14, 95% CI 0.98-1.33). Subgroup analysis showed that semaglutide was associated with an increased risk of DR compared with placebo (RR 1.24, 95% CI 1.03-1.50). Moreover, patient age ≥ 60 years and diabetes duration ≥ 10 years were also factors for increased risk of DR when using semaglutide (RR 1.27, 95% CI 1.02-1.59; RR 1.28, 95% CI 1.04-1.58, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Semaglutide was not associated with an increased risk of DR; however, caution regarding DR risk is needed for older patients or those with long diabetes duration when taking semaglutide.

First-Line Durvalumab in Addition to Etoposide and Platinum for Extensive-Stage Small Cell Lung Cancer: A U.S.-Based Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.

BACKGROUND: The latest published CASPIAN trial demonstrated that adding durvalumab to etoposide and platinum (EP) improved survival dramatically for patients with extensive-stage small cell lung cancer (ES-SCLC). Considering the high cost of durvalumab, this study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of durvalumab plus EP (DEP) in the first-line setting for treatment-naïve patients with ES-SCLC from the U.S. payer perspective. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We developed a three-state Markov model to simulate the disease course and source consumption of ES-SCLC over a lifetime horizon. Pseudo-individual patient-level data were generated from digitized Kaplan-Meier curves. Direct medical costs, including drug and administration costs, disease management and adverse events treatment fees, best supportive care and terminal care costs were obtained from sources including the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project, and relevant literature. Health state utility values were derived from published literature. Main outcomes considered were total costs, life-years (LYs), quality-adjusted LYs (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). All costs were adjusted for inflation to reflect 2019 U.S. dollars. The willingness-to-pay threshold was set as $150,000/QALY. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were used to explore the uncertainty of model assumptions. RESULTS: Compared with EP, DEP was projected to increase life expectancy by 0.86 LYs (1.73 vs. 0.87) and 0.44 QALYs (0.93 vs. 0.49). The incremental treatment cost was $95,907, and the corresponding ICER was $216,953/QALY. The result was most sensitive to the variation of durvalumab acquisition cost. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis revealed that the probability of DEP over EP regimen to be cost-effective was 9.4% at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $150,000/QALY. In the case of reducing the price of durvalumab by 30.7%, DEP was more cost-effective than EP. CONCLUSION: From the perspective of the U.S. payer, adding durvalumab to EP is estimated to be not cost-effective compared with EP alone for patients with untreated ES-SCLC. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: The information provided by this analysis serves as a reference for decision makers. Lowering the price of durvalumab would be a potential measure to improve the economics of durvalumab plus etoposide and platinum (DEP), and the inclusion of durvalumab in the Medicare pharmacopeia could make DEP more economically available. These results may also guide physicians and patients to choose the most economically feasible treatment.

First-line Treatment with Ribociclib plus Endocrine Therapy for Premenopausal Women with Hormone-receptor-positive Advanced Breast Cancer: A Cost-effectiveness Analysis.

BACKGROUND: We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis incorporating recent phase III clinical trial (MONALEESA-7) data to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of ribociclib (RIB) as a first-line treatment for premenopausal women with hormone receptor (HR)-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative advanced breast cancer (ABC) from the United States healthcare payer perspective. In addition, because RIB has not been marketed in China, we identified the range of drug costs for which RIB could be considered cost effective from a Chinese healthcare system perspective. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A Markov model was developed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of adding RIB to endocrine therapy over a lifetime. The clinical outcomes and utility data were obtained from published literature. Costs data were obtained from United States and Chinese official websites, and we determined the potential price for RIB in China based on its price in the United States. The main outcomes of this study were the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). RESULTS: The model projected that mean outcome was better with RIB and endocrine combined (3.83366 QALYs) than with endocrine therapy alone (2.71203 QALYs). In the United States, RIB and endocrine therapy cost an additional $604,960.06, resulting in an ICER of $539,357.95/QALY compared with endocrine monotherapy. Subgroup analyses indicated that, in China, the projected mean outcomes were better for RIB and endocrine therapy (6.37 QALYs) than for endocrine monotherapy (2.71 QALYs). The corresponding incremental costs were $224,731.88943. Thus, the ICER comparing RIB and endocrine therapy with endocrine therapy alone represented a $61,454.96/QALY gain. CONCLUSION: Additional use of RIB is estimated to not be cost effective as a first-line treatment for premenopausal women with HR-positive, HER2-negative ABC in the United States. A value-based price for the cost of RIB is less than $31.74/200 mg for China.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Hepatic Arterial Infusion of FOLFOX Combined Sorafenib for Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma With Portal Vein Invasion.

BACKGROUND: Hepatic arterial infusion (HAI) of oxaliplatin, leucovorin, and fluorouracil (FOLFOX) plus sorafenib has a more desirable effect versus sorafenib for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with portal vein invasion. However, considering the high cost of hepatic arterial infusion of chemotherapy (HAIC), this study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of HAIC plus sorafenib (SoraHAIC) versus standard care for HCC patients from the Chinese health system perspective. METHODS: A Markov multi-state model was constructed to simulate the disease course and source consumption of SoraHAIC. Costs of primary therapeutic drugs were calculated based on the national bid price, and hepatic artery catheterization fee was collected from the Fujian Provincial Price Bureau. Clinical data, other costs, and utility values were extracted from references. Primary outcomes included life-years (LYs), quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). The robustness of model was verified by uncertainty sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: SoraHAIC gained 1.18 QALYs (1.68 LYs) at a cost of $65,254, while the effectiveness and cost of sorafenib were 0.52 QALYs (0.79 LYs) and $14,280, respectively. The ICER of SoraHAIC vs sorafenib was $77,132/QALY ($57,153/LY). Parameter that most influenced the ICER was utility of PFS state. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) showed that SoraHAIC was not cost-effective in the WTP threshold of 3*Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita of China ($30,492/QALY). But about 38.8% of the simulations were favorable to SoraHAIC at the WTP threshold of 3*GDP per capita of Beijing ($72,000/QALY). When 3*GDP per capita of Fujian ($47,285/QALY) and Gansu Province ($14,595/QALY) were used as WTP threshold, the acceptability of SoraHAIC was 0.3% and 0%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The study results indicated that SoraHAIC was not cost-effective in medium-, and low-income regions of China. In developed areas of China (Beijing), there was a 38.8% probability that the SoraHAIC regimen would be cost-effective.

Half-dose fulvestrant plus anastrozole as a first-line treatment for hormone receptor-positive metastatic breast cancer: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

OBJECTIVE: The S0226 trial demonstrated that the combination of half-dose fulvestrant (FUL) and anastrozole (ANA) (F&A) caused a significant improvement in overall survival (OS) versus ANA monotherapy for first-line treatment of postmenopausal women with hormone receptor-positive metastatic breast cancer (PMW-MBC (HR+)). The objective of this study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of F&A in the first-line treatment for PMW-MBC (HR+) in China. DESIGN: We constructed a Markov model over a life-time horizon. The clinical outcomes and utility data were obtained from published literature. Cost data were obtained from official Chinese websites. Sensitivity analyses were performed to test result uncertainty. SETTING: Chinese healthcare system perspective. POPULATION: A hypothetical cohort of adult patients presenting with PMW-MBC (HR+). INTERVENTIONS: F&A compared with full-dose FUL and ANAmonotherapy. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The main outcome of this study was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and quality-adjusted life-years (QALY). RESULTS: ANA was estimated to have the lowest cost and minimum life-years. The ICER of F&A versus ANA was US$15 665.891/QALY with incremental cost and QALY of US$12 401.120 and 0.792, respectively, which was less than the willingness-to-pay of US$29 383/QALY. Compared with F&A, FUL yielded a higher cost and a shorter lifetime; hence, it was identified as a dominated strategy. The univariate sensitivity analysis indicated the price of FUL was the most influential factor in our study. The probability that F&A was cost-effective at a threshold of US$29 383/QALY in China was 86.5%. CONCLUSION: F&A is a cost-effective alternative to FUL and ANA monotherapy for the first-line treatment of PMW-MBC (HR+) in China. F&A is a promising first-line treatment for PMW-MBC (HR+), and more research is needed to evaluate the economy of using F&A in other countries.

Cost-effectiveness of atezolizumab plus chemotherapy for advanced non-small-cell lung cancer.

Background Adding atezolizumab to carboplatin/nab-paclitaxel improved progression-free survival and overall survival in patients with advanced non-squamous non-small-cell lung cancer. However, estimating the economy of atezolizumab/carboplatin/nab-paclitaxel is urgent on account of the high cost of atezolizumab. Objective This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of atezolizumab plus carboplatin/nab- paclitaxel for untreated advanced non-squamous non-small-cell lung cancer from the United States payer perspective. Setting This study was based on randomized clinical trial data from the IMpower130 (NCT02367781) published in Lancet Oncology (May 2019). Method A Markov model was constructed to estimate the health expenditure on atezolizumab in combination with carboplatin/nab-paclitaxel for advanced non-small-cell lung cancer treatment. Drug costs were collected from Red Book Wholesale Acquisition Cost, and health state utility values were obtained from the literature. Uncertainty was evaluated via one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. Main outcome measure The main outcomes were cost, life years, quality-adjusted life years, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Results Over a 10-year horizon, atezolizumab/carboplatin/nab-paclitaxel treatment was associated with an expected 1.76 life years and 0.99 quality-adjusted life years compared to the 1.21 life years and 0.67 quality-adjusted life years for carboplatin/nab-paclitaxel alone. Compared to carboplatin/nab-paclitaxel, atezolizumab/carboplatin/nab-paclitaxel produced an incremental cost of $105,617. The resultant incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $333,199 per quality-adjusted life year, which exceeded the willingness-to-pay threshold of $180,000 per quality-adjusted life year. The price of atezolizumab and utility values were the parameters that greatly impacted the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Carboplatin/nab-paclitaxel exhibited 98.6% probability of being a cost-effective treatment option compared to atezolizumab/carboplatin/nab-paclitaxel at a willingness-to-pay of $180,000 per quality-adjusted life year. However, reducing atezolizumab acquisition cost by 43.4% could make atezolizumab/carboplatin/nab-paclitaxel more cost-effective than carboplatin/nab-paclitaxel. Conclusion Adding atezolizumab to carboplatin/nab-paclitaxel was not cost-effective for advanced non-squamous non-small-cell lung cancer in the base-case scenario. Decreasing atezolizumab acquisition cost might enhance the cost-effectiveness.

First-Line Treatment With Atezolizumab Plus Nab-Paclitaxel for Advanced Triple-Negative Breast Cancer: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: The authors conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis incorporating recent phase III clinical trial (IMpassion130) data to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of atezolizumab in combination with nab-paclitaxel (AnP) against nab-paclitaxel alone as the first-line treatment for advanced triple-negative breast cancer in developed and developing countries. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A decision-analytic Markov model was developed using IMpassion130 data to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of AnP over a lifetime from the US health care payer and Chinese health care system perspective. Model inputs were derived from IMpassion130 and published literature. The primary outcomes of the model were quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Uncertainty was addressed using univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: For the intention-to-treat (ITT) population, the projected mean outcome was better with AnP (1.41 QALYs) than with nab-paclitaxel alone (0.99 QALYs). Similar results were obtained for the programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1)-positive population, with the obtained mean outcomes of 1.66 and 0.88 QALYs, respectively. For the Unites States, the ICER values comparing AnP with nab-paclitaxel were US$331,996.89 and US$229,359.88 per QALY gained for the ITT and PD-L1-positive populations, respectively. For China, the ICER values were US$106,339.26 and US$72,971.88 per QALY gained for the ITT and PD-L1-positive populations, respectively. The univariate sensitivity analysis indicated that the price of atezolizumab was the most influential factor in our study. AnP had 0% cost-effectiveness at the willingness-to-pay thresholds of US$150,000/QALY in the United States and US$29,383/QALY in China. CONCLUSION: AnP is not a cost-effective choice as the first-line treatment for advanced triple-negative breast cancer in the United States and China.

Cost-Utility Analysis of Pembrolizumab Versus Chemotherapy as First-Line Treatment for Metastatic Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer With Different PD-L1 Expression Levels.

To evaluate the cost-utility of pembrolizumab versus chemotherapy as the first-line setting for metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) from the US health care system perspective, a Markov model was developed to compare the lifetime cost and effectiveness of pembrolizumab versus chemotherapy for untreated metastatic NSCLC, based on the clinical data derived from phase III randomized controlled trial (KEYNOTE-042; ClinicalTrials.gov; NCT02220894). Weibull distribution was fitted to simulate the parametric survival functions. Drug costs were collected from official websites, and utility values were obtained from published literature. Total costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were computed as primary output indicators. The impact of different PD-L1 expression levels on ICER was also evaluated. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the model uncertainty. Compared with chemotherapy, patients treated with pembrolizumab provided an additional 1.13, 1.01, and 0.59 QALYs in patients with PD-L1 expression levels of ≥50%, ≥20%, and ≥1%, with corresponding incremental cost of 53,784, 47,479, and 39,827, respectively. The resultant ICERs of pembrolizumab versus chemotherapy were 47,596, 47,184, and 68,061/QALY, in three expression levels of PD-L1, respectively, all of which did not exceed the WTP threshold of 180,000/QALY. Probability sensitivity analysis outcome supported that pembrolizumab exhibited evident advantage over chemotherapy to be cost-effective. One-way sensitivity analysis found that ICERs were most sensitive to utility value of pembrolizumab in progression survival state. All the adjustment of parameters did not qualitatively change the result. For treatment-naive, metastatic NSCLC patients with PD-L1+, pembrolizumab was estimated to be cost-effective compared with chemotherapy for all PD-L1 expression levels at a WTP threshold of 180,000/QALY in the context of the US health care system.

Detection of Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor Gene Status via a DNA Electrochemical Biosensor Based on Lambda Exonuclease-assisted Signal Amplification.

Based on our previous work, we have constructed a new electrochemical biosensor to detect epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) gene mutation, which was a significant therapeutic effect predictor of target drugs for non-small cell lung cancer. In order to lower the detection limit to detect the small amount of EGFR gene status, we have employed lambda exonuclease (λ-Exo) to form a hybridization-digestion cycle. The reaction stages are depicted as follows: the target DNA hybridized with auxiliary DNA which had been modified with the λ-Exo recognition site; then, the double strands were cleaved by λ-Exo. The target DNA was released completely, and continued to hybridize with remaining auxiliary DNA, which formed a recycle for target reutilization. Finally, we detected the remaining auxiliary DNA to evaluate the amount or status of the EGFR gene. The reutilization of target DNA will help to achieve an enlarged signal with a small amount of target DNA, and the detection limit of the biosensor decreased down to 10 pM. Meanwhile, our assay can differentiate wild genes from the mutational gene of EGFR with excellent specificity. Our signal amplification method provides a research foundation for the detection system of the electrochemical biosensor by employing exonuclease, and impels the biosensor to be developed as a suitable method for EGFR detection in clinical applications.

Prediction of Ticagrelor and its Active Metabolite in Liver Cirrhosis Populations Using a Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Model Involving Pharmacodynamics.

Ticagrelor, a P2Y12 receptor antagonist, has been highly recommended for use in acute coronary syndrome. The major active metabolite (AM) is similar to the parent drug, which exhibits antiplatelet activity. The inhibition of platelet aggregation (IPA) is used as an assay to demonstrate the anticoagulant efficacy of ticagrelor. In this study, we developed a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model to predict the pharmacokinetics of ticagrelor and its AM and combined this model with a pharmacodynamics model to reflect potential pharmacodynamic alterations in liver cirrhosis populations. The simulated results obtained using the PBPK model were validated by fold error values, which were all smaller than 2. Comparisons of exposure in different classifications of liver cirrhosis indicated that exposure to ticagrelor increased significantly with an increase in the degree of cirrhosis severity, whereas exposure to AM was decreased. The total concentration of ticagrelor and AM was related to the IPA included in the Sigmoid Emax model. The PBPK model of ticagrelor and AM could predict the pharmacokinetics of all populations, and a combination of PD models was used to extrapolate for predicting unknown scenarios. Liver cirrhosis may result in prolonged IPA, depending on the severity degree of this disease. The combined PBPK model including IPA can reveal changes in pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics in populations affected by liver cirrhosis and indicate the risk potential.

[Population pharmacokinetic modeling of flurbiprofen].

The paper is to report the establishment of a population pharmacokinetic model for flurbiprofen (FP), an active metabolite of flurbiprofen axetil (FA). 246 FP serum concentration and clinical data were perspectively collected from 23 general anaesthesia patients receiving FA intravenously before operation in Dentofacial Surgery and Otorhinolaryngology Department of the First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University. Population pharmacokinetic data analysis was performed using NONMEM software. The measure of Bootstrap was applied for internal validation, while Visual Predictive check was adopted for external validation. The data of FP correspond with two-compartment model. The body weight (WT) had conspicuous effect on clearance and volume of central compartment, while sex, age and daily dose of administration had no marked effect on pharmacokinetic parameter of FP. The basic model was described as follows: CL (L x h(-1)) = 1.28x EXP(ETA(1)), V1 (L) = 5.03x EXP(ETA(2)), Q (L x h(-1)) = 8.5 x EXP(ETA(3)), V2 (L) = 4.39 x EXP(ETA(4)). The final model was described as follows: CL (L x h(-1)) = 1.32 x (WT/60) x EXP(ETA(1)), V1 (L) = 5.23 x (WT/60) x EXP(ETA(2)), Q (L x h(-1)) = 8.45 x EXP(ETA(3)), V2 (L) = 4.37 x EXP(ETA(4)). The population typical value of CL, V1, Q and V2 were: 1.32 L x h(-1), 5.23 L, 8.45 L x h(-1) and 4.37 L, respectively. Bootstrap and visual predictive check show that the final model of FP is stable, effective and predictable. A novel population pharmacokinetic model is developed to estimate the individual pharmacokinetic parameter for patients intravenous injecting FA in terms of patients' characteristics and dosing history, and to design a prior dosage regimen.