Development and validation of a multi-dimensional diagnosis-based comorbidity index that improves prediction of death in men with prostate cancer: Nationwide, population-based register study.

Assessment of comorbidity is crucial for confounding adjustment and prediction of mortality in register-based studies, but the commonly used Charlson comorbidity index is not sufficiently predictive. We aimed to develop a multidimensional diagnosis-based comorbidity index (MDCI) that captures comorbidity better than the Charlson Comorbidity index. The index was developed based on 286,688 men free of prostate cancer randomly selected from the Swedish general population, and validated in 54,539 men without and 68,357 men with prostate cancer. All ICD-10 codes from inpatient and outpatient discharges during 10 years prior to the index date were used to define variables indicating frequency of code occurrence, recency, and total duration of related hospital admissions. Penalized Cox regression was used to predict 10-year all-cause mortality. The MDCI predicted risk of death better than the Charlson comorbidity index, with a c-index of 0.756 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.751, 0.762) vs 0.688 (95% CI = 0.683, 0.693) in the validation cohort of men without prostate cancer. Men in the lowest vs highest MDCI quartile had distinctively different survival in the validation cohort of men with prostate cancer, with an overall hazard ratio [HR] of 5.08 (95% CI = 4.90, 5.26). This was also consistent within strata of age and Charlson comorbidity index, e.g. HR = 5.90 (95% CI = 4.65, 7.50) in men younger than 60 years with CCI 0. These results indicate that comorbidity assessment in register-based studies can be improved by use of all ICD-10 codes and taking related frequency, recency, and duration of hospital admissions into account.

Were cancer patients worse off than the general population during the COVID-19 pandemic? A population-based study from Norway, Denmark and Iceland during the pre-vaccination era.

Background: In a population-based setting, we investigated the risks of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 and developing severe COVID-19 outcomes among cancer patients compared with the general population. Methods: In nationwide cohorts, we identified all individuals in Norway, Denmark and Iceland who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 or had a severe COVID-19 outcome (hospitalisation, intensive care, and death) from March until December 2020, using data from national health registries. We estimated standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) comparing cancer patients with the general population. Findings: During the first wave of the pandemic, cancer patients in Norway and Denmark had higher risks of testing SARS-CoV-2 positive compared to the general population. Throughout 2020, recently treated cancer patients were more likely to test SARS-CoV-2 positive. In Iceland, cancer patients experienced no increased risk of testing positive. The risk of COVID-19-related hospitalisation was higher among cancer patients diagnosed within one year of hospitalisation (Norway: SIR = 2.43, 95% CI 1.89-3.09; Denmark: 2.23, 1.96-2.54) and within five years (Norway: 1.58, 1.35-1.83; Denmark: 1.54, 1.42-1.66). Risks were higher in recently treated cancer patients and in those diagnosed with haematologic malignancies, colorectal or lung cancer. Risks of COVID-19-related intensive care and death were higher among cancer patients. Interpretation: Cancer patients were at increased risk of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 during the first pandemic wave when testing availability was limited, while relative risks of severe COVID-19 outcomes remained increased in cancer patients throughout 2020. Recent cancer treatment and haematologic malignancy were the strongest risk factors. Funding: Nordic Cancer Union.

Choice of imputation method for missing metastatic status affected estimates of metastatic prostate cancer incidence.

OBJECTIVES: To study how handling missing data on M stage in a clinical cancer register affects estimates of incidence of metastatic prostate cancer. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Estimates of age-standardized incidence of metastatic prostate cancer were obtained by the use of data in a population-based clinical cancer register in Sweden and using four methods for imputation of missing M stage. Adjusted survival was used to compare men with known and imputed M stage. RESULTS: The proportion of men with missing M stage was high (66%) and varied according to the risk group and over calendar time. The estimated incidence of metastatic disease varied depending on imputation method, with all methods indicating a decreasing incidence over time. A combination of deterministic imputation (DI) and multiple imputation (MI) produced adjusted survival curves for men with imputed M stage that best resembled the survival for men with known M stage. CONCLUSIONS: Plausible estimates of incidence of metastatic prostate cancer in clinical cancer registers can be obtained by the use of a combination of DI of missing M stage and MI.

Intratumoral immunostimulatory AdCD40L gene therapy in patients with advanced solid tumors.

AdCD40L is a replication-deficient virus carrying the gene for CD40 ligand which has previously been evaluated in patients with urothelial cancer and malignant melanoma. Herein, we present the results of repeated intratumoral injections of AdCD40L in seven patients with metastatic solid cancer. One patient who developed urothelial cancer derived from a renal transplant was treated with repeated injections of AdCD40L alone. The remaining patients suffered from cholangiocarcinoma, kidney, breast, rectal, or ovarian cancer and received AdCD40L repeatedly (4x) in combination with cyclophosphamide. The treatment was safe and generally well-tolerated. Two patients had clinical benefit of the treatment and one of them was accepted for re-treatment. Circulating proinflammatory cytokines were commonly increased after treatment, but save for TNFα, significances were not reached which could be due to the low number of patients. Similar to earlier findings in AdCD40L-treated melanoma patients, IL8 plasma levels were high in the present study. In conclusion, gene therapy by repeated intratumoral AdCD40L injections alone, or in combination with cyclophosphamide, is feasible and safe in patients with solid cancers. The potential of intratumoral CD40L gene transfer as treatment of cancer was illustrated by the clinical improvement in two out of seven patients.

Evaluation of Diffusion-Weighted MRI and FDG-PET/CT to Assess Response to AdCD40L treatment in Metastatic Melanoma Patients.

The purpose was to evaluate the potential of diffusion-weighted-magnetic resonance imaging (DW-MRI) and 18F-fludeoxy-glucose-positron emission tomography integrated with CT (FDG-PET/CT) for prediction of overall survival (OS) following AdCD40L-immunotherapy in patients with metastatic malignant melanoma (MMM). Twenty-four patients with refractory MMM were treated with immunostimulatory AdCD40L gene therapy in a phase I/IIa study. Pre-therapeutic DW-MRI and FDG-PET/CT were performed and then repeated at 5 and 9 weeks post-treatment. Evaluation was conducted according to RECIST 1.1 and EORTC criteria. Apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC), true diffusion coefficient (D), maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) were measured in the injected lesions. Fold changes (F) in ADC (F ADC), D (F D), SUVmax (F SUVmax) were statistically assessed. F D ≥ 1 and F ADC ≥ 1 were associated with better OS in scans at week 5 and 9 respectively. F SUVmax was not correlated to OS. F ADC ≥ 1 in both post-treatment scans and F D ≥ 1 at week 5 were related to a significant decrease of size of the injected lesions. These results suggest that in patients with MMM treated with AdCD40l, functional parameters of DW-MRI are better early predictors of OS than the established metabolic and morphologic criteria for FDG-PET/CT and MRI, respectively.

First-in-human study with intratumoral administration of a CD40 agonistic antibody, ADC-1013, in advanced solid malignancies.

Agonistic CD40 antibodies activate dendritic cells and can expand and activate tumor-specific T cells. Our purpose was to assess the CD40 agonistic antibody ADC-1013 in the clinical setting including intratumoral administration since preclinical studies have indicated that intratumoral is better than intravenous administration. A Phase I, open label, multicenter study was conducted in patients with advanced solid tumors who had received established treatments. A modified 3 + 3 dose-escalation was applied (every other week dosing). Twenty-three patients were treated with ADC-1013 intratumorally (dosing from 22.5 µg/kg up to 400 µg/kg) or intravenously (dosing at 75 µg/kg). The pharmacodynamic effects observed in the patients were further verified in an hCD40tg mouse model. Adverse events were mostly Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) Grades 1 or 2 and transient. The serum concentration ADC-1013 and cytokine release (MCP-1, TNFα and IL-6) were more pronounced in patients receiving injections in deep metastases compared to patients receiving injections in superficial metastases. Treatment with ADC-1013 resulted in a marked decrease in B cell levels in peripheral blood after 24 h while remaining B cells significantly increased their expression of the cell surface activation marker CD86. Activation of antigen-presenting cells and subsequent activation of T cells were demonstrated in hCD40tg mice. Moreover, ADC-1013 treatment in this mouse model acted synergistically with a PD-1 inhibitor. The results from the first-in-human study of ADC-1013 indicate that intratumoral administration of ADC-1013 into superficial lesions is well tolerated at clinically relevant doses and associated with pharmacodynamic responses.

Local irradiation does not enhance the effect of immunostimulatory AdCD40L gene therapy combined with low dose cyclophosphamide in melanoma patients.

BACKGROUND: AdCD40L is an immunostimulatory gene therapy under evaluation for advanced melanoma, including ocular melanoma. Herein, we present the final data of a Phase I/IIa trial using AdCD40L alone or in combination with low dose cyclophosphamide +/- radiation therapy. METHODS: AdCD40L is a replication-deficient adenovirus carrying the gene for CD40 ligand (CD40L). Twenty-four patients with advanced melanoma were enrolled and treated with AdCD40L monotherapy, or combined with cyclophosphamide +/- single fraction radiotherapy. The patients were monitored for 10 weeks using immunological and radiological evaluations and thereafter for survival. RESULTS: AdCD40L treatment was safe and well tolerated both alone and in combination with cyclophosphamide as well as local radiotherapy. Four out of twenty-four patients had >1 year survival. Addition of cyclophosphamide was beneficial but adding radiotherapy did not further extend survival. High initial plasma levels of IL12 and MIP3b correlated to overall survival, whereas IL8 responses post-treatment correlated negatively with survival. Interestingly, antibody reactions to the virus correlated negatively with post IL6 and pre IL1b levels in blood. CONCLUSIONS: AdCD40L was safely administered to patients and effect was improved by cyclophosphamide but not by radiotherapy. Immune activation profile at baseline may predict responders better than shortly after treatment.

Gemcitabine reduces MDSCs, tregs and TGFß-1 while restoring the teff/treg ratio in patients with pancreatic cancer.

BACKGROUND: Cancer immunotherapy can be potentiated by conditioning regimens such as cyclophosphamide, which reduces the level of regulatory T cells (tregs). However, myeloid suppressive cells are still remaining. Accordingly to previous reports, gemcitabine improves immune status of cancer patients. In this study, the role of gemcitabine was further explored to map its immunological target cells and molecules in patients with pancreatic cancer. METHODS: Patient blood was investigated by flow cytometry and cytokine arrays at different time points during gemcitabine treatment. RESULTS: The patients had elevated myeloid-derived suppressor cells (MDSCs), and Tregs at diagnosis. Myeloid cells were in general decreased by gemcitabine. The granulocytic MDSCs were significantly reduced while monocytic MDSCs were not affected. In vitro, monocytes responding to IL-6 by STAT3 phosphorylation were prevented to respond in gemcitabine medium. However, gemcitabine could not prevent STAT3 phosphorylation in IL-6-treated tumor cell lines. TGFß-1 was significantly reduced after only one treatment and continued to decrease. At the same time, the effector T cell:Treg ratio was increased and the effector T cells had full proliferative capacity during the gemcitabine cycle. However, after a resting period, the level of suppressor cells and TGFß-1 had been restored showing the importance of continuous conditioning. CONCLUSIONS: Gemcitabine regulates the immune system in patients with pancreatic cancer including MDSCs, Tregs and molecules such as TGFß-1 but does not hamper the ability of effector lymphocytes to expand to stimuli. Hence, it may be of high interest to use gemcitabine as a conditioning strategy together with immunotherapy.