A Comparison of Synthetic Data Generation Techniques for Control Group Survival Data in Oncology Clinical Trials: Simulation Study.

BACKGROUND: Synthetic patient data (SPD) generation for survival analysis in oncology trials holds significant potential for accelerating clinical development. Various machine learning methods, including classification and regression trees (CART), random forest (RF), Bayesian network (BN), and CTGAN, have been employed for this purpose, but their performance in reflecting actual patient survival data remains under investigation. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine the most suitable SPD generation method for oncology trials, specifically focusing on both progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), which are the primary evaluation endpoints in oncology trials. To achieve this goal, we conducted a comparative simulation of 4 generation methods: CART, RF, BN, and the CTGAN, and the performance of each method was evaluated. METHODS: Using multiple clinical trial datasets, 1000 datasets were generated by using each method for each clinical trial dataset and evaluated as follows: 1) median survival time (MST) of PFS and OS, 2) hazard ratio distance (HRD), which indicates the similarity between the actual survival function and a synthetic survival function, and 3) visual analysis of Kaplan‒Meier (KM) plots. Each method's ability to mimic the statistical properties of real patient data was evaluated from these multiple angles. RESULTS: In most simulation cases, CART demonstrated the high percentages of MSTs of synthetic data falling within the range of 95% confidence interval (CI) of the MST of actual data. These percentages ranged from 88.8% to 98.0% for PFS and from 60.8% to 96.1% for OS. In the evaluation of HRD, CART demonstrated that HRD values were concentrated at approximately 0.9. Conversely, for the other methods, no consistent trend was observed for either PFS or OS. The reason why CART demonstrated better similarity than RF was that CART caused overfitting and RF, which is a kind of ensemble learning, prevented it. In SPD generation, the statistical properties close to the actual data should be the focus, not a well-generalized prediction model. Both the BN and CTGAN methods cannot accurately reflect the statistical properties of the actual data because small datasets are not suitable. CONCLUSIONS: As a method for generating SPD for survival data from small datasets, such as clinical trial data, CART demonstrated to be the most effective method compared to RF, BN, and CTGAN. Additionally, it is possible to improve CART-based generation methods by incorporating feature engineering and other methods in future work.

FDG uptake in the cervical muscles after neck dissection: imaging features and postoperative natural course on 18F­FDG­PET/CT.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to assess the imaging features and postoperative natural course of 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) uptake in the cervical muscles after neck dissection. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study included 83 patients who underwent preoperative and postoperative 18F-FDG-PET/CT and were diagnosed with head and neck malignancy after neck dissection. Postoperative 18F-FDG-PET/CT was performed within 5 years after neck dissection. Preoperative and postoperative FDG uptake of the trapezius, sternocleidomastoid, scalene, pectoralis major, and deltoid muscles was visually assessed. Increased postoperative uptake was visually defined as higher postoperative FDG uptake than the preoperative one in the corresponding muscle. The maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) was measured in cases with increased postoperative uptakes. RESULTS: Increased postoperative uptakes were observed in 43 patients (52%). The trapezius (31/83, 37%), sternocleidomastoid (19/83, 23%), and scalene (12/83, 14%) muscles were involved, as opposed to the pectoralis major and deltoid muscles were not. Increased postoperative uptakes were observed on the dissected side in all 43 patients. Significant differences between SUVmax estimated from the mixed-effects model and postoperative months were observed in the trapezius muscle (Coefficient (ß) = -0.038; 95% confidence interval (CI): [-0.047, -0.028]; p < 0.001) and sternocleidomastoid muscle (ß = -0.015; 95% CI: [-0.029, -0.001]; p = 0.046). CONCLUSIONS: Increased postoperative uptakes in the cervical muscles were observed on the dissected side in approximately half of the patients after neck dissection. The SUVmax in the trapezius and sternocleidomastoid muscles decreased after surgery over time.

Mirtazapine plus granisetron and dexamethasone for carboplatin-induced nausea and vomiting in patients with thoracic cancers: A prospective multicenter phase II trial.

BACKGROUND: Mirtazapine blocks 5-hydroxytryptamine type (5-HT)2A, 5-HT2C, 5-HT3 and histamine H1 receptors, similarly to olanzapine. This study aimed to investigate the efficacy and safety of mirtazapine plus granisetron and dexamethasone for carboplatin (CBDCA)-induced nausea and vomiting in patients with thoracic cancers. METHODS: We conducted a prospective, open-label, single-arm, multicenter, phase II trial in four institutions in Japan. Registered patients were moderately to highly emetogenic chemotherapy-naïve, and were scheduled to receive CBDCA at area under the curve (AUC) ≥ 4 mg/mL per minute. Patients received mirtazapine 15 mg/day orally at bedtime for four consecutive days, in combination with granisetron and dexamethasone. Primary endpoint was complete response (CR; no emesis and no use of rescue medication) rate during the delayed period (24-120 h). RESULTS: Between July 2022 and July 2023, 52 patients were enrolled, and 48 patients were evaluated. CR rates in the delayed (24-120 h), overall (0-120 h), and acute periods (0-24 h) were 83.3%, 83.3%, and 100%, respectively. No grade 3 or higher treatment-related adverse events were observed except for one patient who had grade 3 dry mouth as evaluated by Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 5.0. CONCLUSIONS: Prophylactic antiemetic therapy with mirtazapine plus granisetron and dexamethasone shows promising efficacy and an acceptable safety profile. This three-drug combination appears to be a reasonable treatment approach in patients with thoracic cancers receiving a CBDCA-based regimen at AUC ≥ 4 mg/mL per minute.

Radiomics Features Using Dual-energy CT for Lymph Nodes After Preoperative Chemotherapy for Esophageal Cancer.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Progress has been made in a triplet preoperative chemotherapy regimen for advanced esophageal cancer. We performed a preliminary investigation of the radiomics features of pathological lymph node metastasis after neoadjuvant chemotherapy using dual-energy computed tomography (DECT). PATIENTS AND METHODS: From January to December 2022, 36 lymph nodes from 10 patients with advanced esophageal cancer who underwent contrast-enhanced DECT after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and radical surgery in our department were studied. Radiomics features were extracted from iodine-based material decomposition images at the portal venous phase constructed by DECT using MATLAB analysis software. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and cut-off values were determined for the presence or absence of pathological metastasis. RESULTS: ROC for the short axis of the pathologically positive lymph nodes showed an AUC of 0.713. Long run emphasis (LRE) within gray-level run-length matrix (GLRLM) was confirmed with a high AUC of 0.812. Sensitivity and specificity for lymph nodes with a short axis >10 mm were 0.222 and 1, respectively. Sensitivity and specificity for LRE within GLRLM were 0.722 and 0.833, respectively. Sensitivity and specificity for small zone emphasis (SZE) within gray-level size zone matrix (GLSZM) were 0.889 and 0.667, and zone percentage (ZP) values within GLSZM were 0.722 and 0.778, respectively. Discrimination of existing metastases using radiomics showed significantly higher sensitivity compared to lymph node short axis >10 mm (odds ratios of LRE, SZE, and ZP: 9.1, 28, and 9.1, respectively). CONCLUSION: Evaluation of radiomics analysis using DECT may enable a more detailed evaluation of lymph node metastasis after neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Pretherapeutic factors predicting conversion surgery in unresectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: A retrospective study.

Recently, conversion surgery (CS) has been reported to improve the prognosis in patients with unresectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (UR-PDAC) with a favorable response to intense chemotherapy or chemoradiotherapy. However, few pretherapeutic parameters predict the attainability of CS in patients with UR-PDAC. The present study aimed to explore the pretherapeutic predictors for the attainability of CS in patients with UR-PDAC. The present study retrospectively evaluated 130 patients with UR-PDAC treated at Gifu University Hospital (Gifu, Japan) from January 2015 to December 2021. Survival analysis was performed using the Simon and Makuch-modified Kaplan-Meier method. The hazard ratio (HR) was estimated using a time-varying Cox regression model. The association between each predictor and CS was evaluated using the univariate analysis and age-adjusted Fine-Gray sub-distribution hazard model. The bootstrap bias-corrected area under the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis for predicting CS was used to assess the cut-off values for each predictor. The cumulative incidence rate was calculated with CS as the outcome when divided into two groups based on the cut-off value of each pretherapeutic predictor. Among the 130 patients included in the analysis, only 14 (11%) underwent CS. The median survival time was significantly longer in patients who underwent CS compared with patients without CS (56.3 vs. 14.1 months; P<0.001). The age-adjusted Fine-Gray sub-distribution hazard regression showed that the total protein (TP) [HR 2.81, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.19-6.65; P=0.018], neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.31-0.90; P=0.020), and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.07-1.53; P=0.006) were significantly associated with CS. Moreover, TP ≥6.8, NLR <2.84 and LMR ≥3.87 were associated with a higher cumulative incidence of CS. In conclusion, pretherapeutic TP, NLR and LMR are clinically feasible biomarkers for predicting the attainability of CS in patients with UR-PDAC.

Pancreatic cancer detection with dual-energy CT: diagnostic performance of 40 keV and 70 keV virtual monoenergetic images.

PURPOSE: To compare the diagnostic performance of 40 keV and 70 keV virtual monoenergetic images (VMIs) generated from dual-energy CT in the detection of pancreatic cancer. METHODS: This retrospective study included patients who underwent pancreatic protocol dual-energy CT from January 2019 to August 2022. Four radiologists (1-11 years of experience), who were blinded to the final diagnosis, independently and randomly interpreted 40 keV and 70 keV VMIs and graded the presence or absence of pancreatic cancer. For each image set (40 keV and 70 keV VMIs), the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and accuracy were calculated. The diagnostic performance of each image set was compared using generalized estimating equations. RESULTS: Overall, 137 patients (median age, 71 years; interquartile range, 63-78 years; 77 men) were included. Among them, 62 patients (45%) had pathologically proven pancreatic cancer. The 40 keV VMIs had higher specificity (75% vs. 67%; P < .001), PPV (76% vs. 71%; P < .001), and accuracy (85% vs. 81%; P = .001) than the 70 keV VMIs. On the contrary, 40 keV VMIs had lower sensitivity (96% vs. 98%; P = .02) and NPV (96% vs. 98%; P = .004) than 70 keV VMIs. However, the diagnostic confidence in patients with (P < .001) and without (P = .001) pancreatic cancer was improved in 40 keV VMIs than in 70 keV VMIs. CONCLUSIONS: The 40 keV VMIs showed better diagnostic performance in diagnosing pancreatic cancer than the 70 keV VMIs, along with higher reader confidence.

Effect of Liver Dysfunction on S-1 Therapy Induced Adverse Effects: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Renal dysfunction necessitates S-1 dose reduction. However, decreased dihydropyrimidine dehydrogenase (DPD) activity may lead to adverse events due to 5-FU. The guidelines provided by pharmaceutical companies state that total bilirubin (T-Bil) should be ≤upper limit of normal (ULN)×1.5 as a reference value for safely taking S-1. Nevertheless, the relationship between the degree of liver dysfunction and S-1 dose reduction has not been clearly established. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This study focused on patients who received S-1 monotherapy for various types of cancer. The primary outcome was defined as the variation between blood sampling results on the test day and the subsequent test. The variation data were categorized based on the difference in T-Bil: Low T-Bil group (≤2.25) and High T-Bil group (>2.25). RESULTS: The number of patients that underwent S-1 monotherapy was 883 and the running number was 7,511; Low T-Bil group included 7,245 and High T-Bil group included 266. Examination of the effect of the T-Bil Group on clinical outcomes revealed a correlation with red blood cell (RBC) count, platelet (PLT) count, and T-Bil level. When the impact of the interaction between the T-Bil Group and any of the clinical outcomes, such as the RBC count, PLT count, and T-Bil level, was determined, each outcome showed a significant decrease in the High T-Bil group compared with the Low T-Bil group. CONCLUSION: S-1 administration in patients with liver dysfunction accompanied by elevated T-Bil levels may cause thrombocytopenia.

Proposal for Classifying the Emetogenicity of Oral Anticancer Agents with a Focus on PARP Inhibitors: A Prospective, Observational, Multicenter Study (JASCC-CINV 2002).

Background: Olaparib and niraparib (poly adenosine diphosphate [ADP]-ribose polymerase [PARP] inhibitors) have significant antitumor action in patients with ovarian cancer. However, the incidence of nausea and vomiting among patients on these drugs in clinical trials is rather high. There are no guidelines on antiemetic treatment for nausea caused by oral anticancer agents. This study aimed to investigate the incidence of nausea and vomiting caused by PARP inhibitors and the actual situation of antiemetic therapy in patients with gynecologic cancer. Methods: Patients with gynecologic cancer who were scheduled to receive PARP inhibitors were enrolled. Data on PARP inhibitor-induced nausea and vomiting were collected from patient diaries for 21 days. The primary endpoint was the incidence of vomiting during the 21 days after starting olaparib and niraparib. Results: Overall, between January 2020 and March 2023, 134 patients were enrolled. Of the 129 patients who were evaluated, 28 (21.7%) received prophylactic antiemetics for 21 days, and 101 (78.3%) did not. The overall incidence of PARP inhibitor-induced vomiting was 16.3%. The incidence of vomiting in the group that did not receive antiemetic prophylaxis was 13.9%. On dividing the group that did not receive antiemetic prophylaxis into the olaparib and niraparib subgroups, the incidence of vomiting was found to be 18.6% for the olaparib group and 10.3% for the niraparib group. Conclusion: The incidence of emesis without antiemetic prophylaxis among patients on olaparib and niraparib ranged from 10% to 30%. Therefore, olaparib and niraparib can be classified in the low emetogenic risk and prophylactic antiemetic therapy at the time of treatment initiation may be unnecessary.

Impact of augmented renal clearance on anticoagulant therapy in critically ill patients with coronavirus disease 2019: A retrospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to determine the impact of augmented renal clearance (ARC) on anticoagulation therapy in critically ill patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included adult patients with severe COVID-19 with ARC who had been treated at our hospital between 2020 and 2021. We measured the estimated glomerular filtration rate calculated by the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration formula (eGFRCKD-EPI) every morning, and ARC condition was defined as eGFRCKD-EPI ≥ 130 mL/min/1.73 m2. Multivariate regression analysis with Huber-White sandwich estimator was performed to examine the association of unfractionated heparin (UH) dosage between blood test timings with activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT) compared with and without ARC. RESULTS: We identified 38 enrolled patients: seven and 31 in the ARC and non-ARC groups, respectively. In the ARC coexisting condition, a higher dose of UH, which corresponded to the total dose in 24 h from the previous day, was required to achieve the same APTT prolongation, with a significant difference (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that careful monitoring and consideration of higher UH doses in critically ill patients with COVID-19 is necessary because anticoagulation failure can occur during ARC.

Technical outcomes of robotic-assisted surgery versus laparoscopic surgery for rectal tumors: a single-center safety and feasibility study.

PURPOSE: Robot-assisted surgery has a multi-joint function, which improves manipulation of the deep pelvic region and contributes significantly to perioperative safety. However, the superiority of robot-assisted surgery to laparoscopic surgery remains controversial. This study compared the short-term outcomes of laparoscopic and robot-assisted surgery for rectal tumors. METHODS: This single-center, retrospective study included 273 patients with rectal tumors who underwent surgery with anastomosis between 2017 and 2021. In total, 169 patients underwent laparoscopic surgery (Lap group), and 104 underwent robot-assisted surgery (Robot group). Postoperative complications were compared via propensity score matching based on inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW). RESULTS: The postoperative complication rates based on the Clavien-Dindo classification (Lap vs. Robot group) were as follows: grade ≥ II, 29.0% vs. 19.2%; grade ≥ III, 10.7% vs. 5.8%; anastomotic leakage (AL), 6.5% vs. 4.8%; and urinary dysfunction (UD), 12.1% vs. 3.8%. After adjusting for the IPTW method, although AL rates did not differ significantly between groups, postoperative complications of both grade ≥ II (odds ratio [OR] 0.66, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.50-0.87, p < 0.01) and grade ≥ III (OR 0.29, 95% CI 0.16-0.53, p < 0.01) were significantly less frequent in the Robot group than in the Lap group. Furthermore, urinary dysfunction also tended to be less frequent in the Robot group than in the Lap group (OR 0.62, 95% CI 0.38-1.00; p = 0.05). CONCLUSION: Robot-assisted surgery for rectal tumors provides better short-term outcomes than laparoscopic surgery, supporting its use as a safer approach.

Influence of Brain Metastasis on Analgesia-Related Outcomes in Patients with Lung and Breast Cancers Treated with Naldemedine: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis.

Naldemedine is structurally designed to prevent passage across the blood-brain barrier (BBB), resulting in the attenuation of opioid-induced constipation without interfering with the analgesic effects of opioids. However, the influence of brain metastasis (BM), as one indicator of BBB disruption, on the analgesic effects of opioids in patients treated with naldemedine remains unclear. To examine whether the analgesic effects of opioids following naldemedine treatment are lower in patients with BM than in those without BM, we surveyed inpatients with lung and breast cancers treated with naldemedine at Fujita Health University Hospital between April 2017 and March 2022. Changes in the numeric rating scale (NRS) scores, morphine milligram equivalents (MMEs), and the number of rescues were assessed as analgesia-related outcomes during the first 7 days of naldemedine treatment in patients with or without BM, matched by the propensity score. In total, 172 patients were enrolled. After propensity-score matching, 30 patients with BM and 60 patients without BM were included in the analysis. Changes in NRS scores, MMEs, and the number of rescues did not differ between patients with and without BM. In the linear mixed-effects model, the coefficient of interaction between patients with or without BM and the days for each outcome was not statistically significant. BM does not influence the analgesic effect of opioids in patients with lung and breast cancers treated with naldemedine. Naldemedine may be useful for treating BM.

Short-term outcomes associated with the use of a new powered circular stapler for rectal reconstructions: a retrospective study comparing it to manual circular staplers using inverse probability of treatment weight analysis.

BACKGROUND: The most common postoperative complication in malignant rectal surgery is anastomotic leakage (AL). AL after anterior or low anterior resection in rectal tumors is a fatal postoperative complication. Recently, the first automated suture circular stapler, which is expected to reduce the incidence of AL, (J&J). MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study included a total of 248 rectal tumor patients who underwent double stapler technique (DST) anastomotic procedures in the department of gastroenterological surgery /pediatric surgery at Gifu University School of Medicine from January 2017 to December 2021. The experience of a single institution utilizing the The Echelon circular™ stapler (ECP stapler:Manual VS Automatic) in rectal surgery cases was evaluated retrospectively from maintained database. RESULT: One hundred thirty-nine patients (58.4%) were performed by manual circular stapling, 99 patients (41.6%) by powerd circular stapling. Diverting stoma was performed in 45 cases (32.4%) by manual circular stapling, 42 patients (42.4%) by powerd circular stapling Postoperative complications were occurred clavien-dindo grade II or higher in 57 cases (23.9%) and grade III or higher in 20 cases (8.4%). Anastomotic leakage occurred in 14 patients (5.9%) within all grades. After IPTW, the variables of patient characteristics was SMD ≤ 0.2 (Table.3), and there was a significant difference in anastomotic leakage (Odds Ratio (OR), 0.57; 95% Confidence Interval(CI), 0.34-0.98; p = 0.041). In addition, there was no significant difference in postoperative complications in grade II or higher (OR, 0.88; 95%CI, 0.65-1.19; p = 0.417) and grade III or higher (OR, 0.46; 95%CI, 0.29-0.74; p = 0.001) were significantly remarkable lower in powered circular stapling group. CONCLUSION: In this IPTW comparison of patients undergoing rectal reconstructions, the ECP trial cohort had lower risks of several surgical complications AL and statistically signifcant lower rates of ileus/bowel obstruction, infection, and bleeding as Clavien-Dindo ≥ grade II and III as compared with for whom manual circular staplers were used.

[ANALYSIS OF PATCH TEST RESULTS USING COCAMIDOPROPYL BETAINE-RELATED SURFACTANTS].

BACKGROUND: A few previous studies have compared the patch test (PT) results obtained using different types of PT units. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to compare PT results between the Patch Tester 'Torii' and Finn Chamber. METHODS: Thirty-four patients with intractable scalp dermatitis were enrolled in this study. PT were performed with three kinds of amphoteric surfactants, cocamidopropyl betaine (CAPB), high-concentration CAPB (h-CAPB), and lauramidopropyl betaine (LAPB), using both the Patch Tester 'Torii' and Finn Chamber, and the changes in the subjects' symptoms after they stopped using these surfactants were examined. RESULTS: Regarding the PT results for CAPB, h-CAPB, and LAPB, the results obtained with the Finn Chamber included a significantly lower frequency of irritant reactions (CAPB; p=0.003, h-CAPB; p=0.046, LAPB; p=0.002) than those obtained with the Patch Tester 'Torii'. However, there were no significant differences in the frequencies of positive reactions between the Patch Tester 'Torii' and Finn Chamber in each surfactant. The same tendency was seen in PT with LAPB (p=0.041) in 17 selected patients, who showed positive or doubtful reactions in PT performed with the surfactant-containing products they had used and whose symptoms 'markedly improved' or 'improved' after they stopped using these products. Among these surfactants, CAPB exhibited the highest positivity rate; however, the differences were not significant. CONCLUSION: In patients with intractable scalp dermatitis, PT of the abovementioned surfactants performed using the Finn Chamber were superior to those conducted using the Patch Tester 'Torii' because they resulted in fewer irritant reactions.

Effects of non-technical skill-based surgical education for trainees on herniorrhaphy outcomes.

INTRODUCTION: Non-technical skills are essential for surgical patient safety and are implemented in clinical practice. However, training for non-technical skills has not been thoroughly investigated. This study aimed to evaluate the learning curve for non-technical skill-based education in herniorrhaphy. METHODS: Quality improvement initiatives, including non-technical skill-based intervention, were performed in the department of surgery. The intervention included declaring the patient safety policy, briefing and debriefing, and criterion for the switching of places of the trainee and instructor as defined by the department. Patients who underwent herniorrhaphy from April 2014 to September 2017 were included. RESULTS: A total of 14 trainees and nine instructors in the pre-intervention period and 14 trainees and seven instructors in the intervention period were included in this study. The median experience of each trainee was 28 and 15 cases in the pre-intervention and intervention groups, respectively. A total of 749 patients were included: 473 in the pre-intervention period and 328 in the intervention period. Demographics and hernia types were mostly similar between groups, and morbidity was not statistically different between the two groups (3.4 vs. 1.2%, p = 0.054). The nonlinear regression model showed an early decline and deep plateau phase of the learning curve in the intervention group. A significant difference was observed in the plateau operation time (61 min in the pre-intervention group and 52 min in the intervention group). CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated the effectiveness of non-technical skill-based intervention for surgical training. An early decline and deep plateau of the learning curve can be achieved with well-implemented quality improvement initiatives. Nonetheless, further studies are needed to establish a training program for non-technical skill-based learning.

Clinical Possibility of Caenorhabditis elegans as a Novel Evaluation Tool for Esophageal Cancer Patients Receiving Chemotherapy: A Prospective Study.

BACKGROUND: The nematode Caenorhabditis elegans (C. elegans) possesses a sophisticated sense of smell and is used for a novel cancer screening test that utilizes the chemotaxis index. We designed a single-institution, prospective study to confirm the ability of Nematode Nose (N-NOSE) to determine preoperative chemotherapy's efficacy for esophageal cancer patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We investigated the predictability of N-NOSE screening for the clinical effects of preoperative chemotherapy for esophageal cancer patients receiving radical surgery. The index reduction score (IRS) was calculated via the chemotaxis of C. elegans at three points: before treatment, before surgery, and after surgery, and its clinical relevance was examined. RESULT: Thirty-nine patients with esophageal cancer were enrolled from August 2020 to December 2021, and 30 patients receiving radical surgery were examined. Complete response or partial response was achieved in 23 cases (76.7%). When the target of the treatment effect was complete response only, the prediction accuracies of the IRS calculated by area under the curve was 0.85 (95% Confidence interval: 0.62-1) in clinically achieving complete response group, and the sensitivity and specificity were 1 and 0.63, respectively. CONCLUSION: Index reduction score using N-NOSE screening may reflect the efficacy of chemotherapy for esophageal cancer patients. A large-scale prospective study at multiple centers is desired in the future.

Optimal duration of dual antiplatelet therapy for stent-assisted coiling or flow diverter placement.

BACKGROUND: Dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) is necessary to prevent thromboembolic complications after stent-assisted coiling (SAC) or flow-diversion (FD) for cerebral aneurysms, but the optimal antiplatelet regimen remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: To determine the optimal DAPT duration in patients with SAC/FD. METHODS: This multicenter cohort study enrolled patients who received SAC/FD for cerebral aneurysms at seven Japanese institutions between January 2010 and December 2020. The primary outcome was the time from procedure to the occurrence of a composite of target vessel-related thromboembolic events, procedure-unrelated major bleeding events, or death. The cumulative event-free survival rates were analyzed using a Kaplan-Meier curve, and the differences in each outcome between the groups dichotomized by the duration of DAPT were analyzed using the log-rank test. RESULTS: Of 632 patients (median observational period, 646 days), primary outcome occurred in 63 patients (10.0%), most frequently within 30 days after the procedure. The cumulative event-free survival rates at 30 days, 1 year, and 2 years after the procedure were 93.3% (91.4 to 95.3%), 91.5% (89.3 to 93.7%), and 89.5% (87.0 to 92.0%), respectively. The cumulative event-free survival rates after switching to monotherapy were similar for the >91 and <90 days DAPT groups in the population limited to patients who were switched from DAPT to monotherapy without major clinical events. CONCLUSIONS: Thromboembolic events rarely occurred beyond 30 days after SAC/FD. The duration of DAPT may be shortened if patients have a periprocedural period without events. Further prospective studies are warranted to determine the optimal duration of antiplatelet therapy. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: UMIN000044122 :https://center6.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000050384.

Nomogram Predicting Locally Advanced Prostate Cancer in Patients with Clinically Organ-Confined Disease Who Underwent Robot-Assisted Radical Prostatectomy: A Retrospective Multicenter Cohort Study in Japan (The MSUG94 Group).

PURPOSE: We created a clinically applicable nomogram to predict locally advanced prostate cancer using preoperative parameters and performed external validation using an external independent validation cohort. PATIENTS AND METHODS: From a retrospective multicenter cohort study of 3622 Japanese patients with prostate cancer who underwent robot-assisted radical prostatectomy at ten institutions, the patients were divided into two groups (MSUG cohort and validation cohort). Locally advanced prostate cancer was defined as pathological T stage ≥ 3a. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify factors strongly associated with locally advanced prostate cancer. Bootstrap area under the curve was calculated to assess the internal validity of the prediction model. A nomogram was created as a practical application of the prediction model, and a web application was released to predict the probability of locally advanced prostate cancer. RESULTS: A total of 2530 and 427 patients in the MSUG and validation cohorts, respectively, met the criteria for this study. On multivariable analysis, initial prostate-specific antigen, prostate volume, number of cancer-positive and cancer-negative biopsy cores, biopsy grade group, and clinical T stage were independent predictors of locally advanced prostate cancer. The nomogram predicting locally advanced prostate cancer was demonstrated (area under the curve 0.72). Using a nomogram cutoff of 0.26, 464 of 1162 patients (39.9%) could be correctly diagnosed with pT3, and 2311 of 2524 patients (91.6%) could avoid underdiagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a clinically applicable nomogram with external validation to predict the probability of locally advanced prostate cancer in patients undergoing robot-assisted radical prostatectomy.

Determination of arterial invasion in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: what is the best diagnostic criterion on CT?

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the diagnostic performance and interobserver variability in the determination of arterial invasion in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and determine the best CT imaging criterion. METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated 128 patients with PDAC (73 men and 55 women) who underwent preoperative contrast-enhanced CT. Five board-certified radiologists (expert) and four fellows (non-expert]) independently assessed the arterial invasion (celiac, superior mesenteric, splenic, and common hepatic arteries) using a 6-point score: 1, no tumor contact; 2, hazy attenuation ≤ 180°; 3, hazy attenuation > 180°; 4, solid soft tissue contact ≤ 180°; 5, solid soft tissue contact > 180°; and 6, contour irregularity. ROC analysis was performed to evaluate the diagnostic performance and determine the best diagnostic criterion for arterial invasion, with pathological or surgical findings as references. Interobserver variability was assessed using Fleiss's ĸ statistics. RESULTS: Among the 128 patients, 35.2% (n = 45/128) received neoadjuvant treatment (NTx). Solid soft tissue contact ≤ 180° was the best diagnostic criterion for arterial invasion as defined by the Youden Index both in patients who did and did not receive NTx (sensitivity, 100% vs. 100%; specificity, 90% vs. 93%; and AUC, 0.96 vs. 0.98, respectively). Interobserver variability among the non-expert was not inferior to that among the expert (ĸ = 0.61 vs 0.61; p = .39 and ĸ = 0.59 vs 0.51; p < .001 in patients treated with and without NTx, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Solid soft tissue contact ≤ 180° was the best diagnostic criterion for the determination of arterial invasion in PDAC. Considerable interobserver variability was seen among the radiologists. KEY POINTS: • Solid soft tissue contact ≤ 180° was the best diagnostic criterion for the determination of arterial invasion in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. • Interobserver agreement among non-expert radiologists was almost comparable to that among expert radiologists.