Quantitative gait markers and the TUG time in chronic kidney disease.

Background: Poor gait performance results in more fall incidents among people with chronic kidney disease (CKD). It is unknown what specific quantitative gait markers contribute to high fall risk in CKD and the size of their mediation effects. Methods: We included 634 participants from the Taizhou Imaging Study who had complete gait and laboratory data. Quantitative gait assessment was conducted with a wearable insole-like device. Factor analysis was utilized to summarize fifteen highly correlated individual parameters into five independent gait domains. Prevalent CKD was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 ml/min per 1.73 m2, which was calculated based on cystatin C. Regression models were created to examine the associations of prevalent CKD with quantitative gait markers and the TUG time. Mediation analysis was used to investigate whether poor quantitative gait parameters could be mediators and the proportion of their mediation effects. Results: Participants with prevalent CKD had a higher TUG time (odds ratio = 2.02, P = 0.025) and poor gait performance in the phase domain (standardized ß = -0.391, FDR = 0.009), including less time in the swing phase (standardized ß = -0.365, FDR = 0.027) and greater time in the double-support phase (standardized ß = 0.367, FDR = 0.027). These abnormalities mediated the association of prevalent CKD with a high TUG time (for the swing phase: 31.6 %, P mediation = 0.044; for the double-support phase: 29.6 %, P mediation = 0.042; for the phase domain: 26.9 %, P mediation = 0.048). Conclusion: Poor phase-related gait abnormalities mediated the relationship between CKD and a high TUG time, suggesting that incorporating quantitative gait markers in specific domains may improve fall prevention programs for individuals with CKD.

Protein truncating variants in mitochondrial-related nuclear genes and the risk of chronic liver disease.

BACKGROUND: Mitochondrial (MT) dysfunction is a hallmark of liver diseases. However, the effects of functional variants such as protein truncating variants (PTVs) in MT-related genes on the risk of liver diseases have not been extensively explored. METHODS: We extracted 60,928 PTVs across 2466 MT-related nucleus genes using whole-exome sequencing data obtained from 442,603 participants in the UK Biobank. We examined their associations with liver dysfunction that represented by the liver-related biomarkers and the risks of chronic liver diseases and liver-related mortality. RESULTS: 96.10% of the total participants carried at least one PTV. We identified 866 PTVs that were positively associated with liver dysfunction at the threshold of P value < 8.21e - 07. The coding genes of these PTVs were mainly enriched in pathways related to lipid, fatty acid, amino acid, and carbohydrate metabolisms. The 866 PTVs were presented in 1.07% (4721) of participants. Compared with participants who did not carry any of the PTVs, the carriers had a 5.33-fold (95% CI 4.15-6.85), 2.82-fold (1.69-4.72), and 4.41-fold (3.04-6.41) increased risk for fibrosis and cirrhosis of liver, liver cancer, and liver disease-related mortality, respectively. These adverse effects were consistent across subgroups based on age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, and presence of hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and metabolic syndrome. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings revealed a significant impact of PTVs in MT-related genes on liver disease risk, highlighting the importance of these variants in identifying populations at risk of liver diseases and facilitating early clinical interventions.

Healthy lifestyles are associated with alleviating the single-nucleotide polymorphism-based genetic risks of ischaemic stroke, intracerebral haemorrhage and myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Both genetic and lifestyle factors contribute to myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke, including ischaemic stroke (IS) and intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH). We explored how and the extent to which a healthy lifestyle, by considering a comprehensive list, could counteract the genetic risk of those diseases, respectively. METHODS: 315 044 participants free of stroke and MI at baseline were identified from the UK Biobank. Genetic risk scores (GRS) for those diseases were constructed separately and categorised as low, intermediate and high by tertile. Lifestyle risk scores (LRS) were constructed separately using smoking, alcohol intake, physical activity, dietary patterns and sleep patterns. Similarly, participants were categorised into low, intermediate and high LRS. The data were analysed using Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 12.8 years, 4642, 1046 and 9485 participants developed IS, ICH and MI, respectively. Compared with participants with low levels of GRS and LRS, the HRs of those with high levels of GRS and LRS were 3.45 (95% CI 2.71 to 4.41), 2.32 (95% CI 1.40 to 3.85) and 4.89 (95% CI 4.16 to 5.75) for IS, ICH and MI, respectively. Moreover, among participants with high GRS, the standardised 14-year rates of IS events were 4.40% (95% CI 3.45% to 5.36%) among those with high LRS. In contrast, it is only 1.78% (95% CI 1.63% to 1.94%) among those with low LRS. Similarly for MI, the high LRS group had standardised rates of 8.60% (95% CI 7.38% to 9.81%), compared with 3.34% (95% CI 3.12% to 3.56%) in low LRS. Among the high genetic risk group of ICH, the rate is reduced by about half compared low LRS to high LRS, although the rate was low for both (0.36% (95% CI 0.31% to 0.42%) and 0.71% (95% CI 0.36% to 1.05%), respectively). CONCLUSION: Healthy lifestyles were substantially associated with a reduction in the risk of IS, ICH and MI and attenuated the genetic risk of IS, ICH and MI by at least half, respectively.

Microwave biosensor for the detection of growth inhibition of human liver cancer cells at different concentrations of chemotherapeutic drug.

Cytotoxicity assays are crucial for assessing the efficacy of drugs in killing cancer cells and determining their potential therapeutic value. Measurement of the effect of drug concentration, which is an influence factor on cytotoxicity, is of great importance. This paper proposes a cytotoxicity assay using microwave sensors in an end-point approach based on the detection of the number of live cells for the first time. In contrast to optical methods like fluorescent labeling, this research uses a resonator-type microwave biosensor to evaluate the effects of drug concentrations on cytotoxicity by monitoring electrical parameter changes due to varying cell densities. Initially, the feasibility of treating cells with ultrapure water for cell counting by a microwave biosensor is confirmed. Subsequently, inhibition curves generated by both the CCK-8 method and the new microwave biosensor for various drug concentrations were compared and found to be congruent. This agreement supports the potential of microwave-based methods to quantify cell growth inhibition by drug concentrations.

Association between tonsillectomy and risk of oropharyngeal cancer: a systematic review.

Objective: Studies have demonstrated that tonsillectomy may alter the risk of oropharyngeal cancer (OPC). We systematically reviewed the evidence and pooled data to examine such an association. Methods: PubMed, Embase, and Scopus were searched up to 25th April 2023. Studies reporting an association between tonsillectomy and oropharyngeal cancer risk at any site were included. Results: Five studies were eligible. All examined the risk of tonsillar and base of the tongue (BOT) cancer with prior history of tonsillectomy. On meta-analysis of the data, prior history of tonsillectomy was associated with a significantly decreased risk of tonsillar cancer. The second meta-analysis showed that history of tonsillectomy did not significantly alter the risk of BOT cancer. However, after exclusion of one study, the results showed an increased risk of BOT cancer with a history of tonsillectomy. Conclusions: The scarce data available in the literature suggests that tonsillectomy may reduce the risk of tonsillar cancer but does not alter the risk of BOT cancer. Further studies are needed to explore the association between tonsillectomy and the risk of OPC.

Circulating Lipoproteins Mediate the Association Between Cardiovascular Risk Factors and Cognitive Decline: A Community-Based Cohort Study.

Cardiovascular health metrics are now widely recognized as modifiable risk factors for cognitive decline and dementia. Metabolic perturbations might play roles in the linkage of cardiovascular diseases and dementia. Circulating metabolites profiling by metabolomics may improve understanding of the potential mechanism by which cardiovascular risk factors contribute to cognitive decline. In a prospective community-based cohort in China (n = 725), 312 serum metabolic phenotypes were quantified, and cardiovascular health score was calculated including smoking, exercise, sleep, diet, body mass index, blood pressure, and blood glucose. Cognitive function assessments were conducted in baseline and follow-up visits to identify longitudinal cognitive decline. A better cardiovascular health was significantly associated with lower risk of concentration decline and orientation decline (hazard ratio (HR): 0.84-0.90; p < 0.05). Apolipoprotein-A1, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, cholesterol ester, and phospholipid concentrations were significantly associated with a lower risk of longitudinal memory and orientation decline (p < 0.05 and adjusted-p < 0.20). Mediation analysis suggested that the negative association between health status and the risk of orientation decline was partly mediated by cholesterol ester and total lipids in HDL-2 and -3 (proportion of mediation: 7.68-8.21%, both p < 0.05). Cardiovascular risk factors were associated with greater risks of cognitive decline, which were found to be mediated by circulating lipoproteins, particularly the medium-size HDL components. These findings underscore the potential of utilizing lipoproteins as targets for early stage dementia screening and intervention. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s43657-023-00120-2.

Single extracellular vesicle surface protein-based blood assay identifies potential biomarkers for detection and screening of five cancers.

Extracellular vesicles (EVs) and EV proteins are promising biomarkers for cancer liquid biopsy. Herein, we designed a case-control study involving 100 controls and 100 patients with esophageal, stomach, colorectal, liver, or lung cancer to identify common and type-specific biomarkers of plasma-derived EV surface proteins for the five cancers. EV surface proteins were profiled using a sequencing-based proximity barcoding assay. In this study, five differentially expressed proteins (DEPs) and eight differentially expressed protein combinations (DEPCs) showed promising performance (area under curve, AUC > 0.900) in pan-cancer identification [e.g., TENM2 (AUC = 0.982), CD36 (AUC = 0.974), and CD36-ITGA1 (AUC = 0.971)]. Our classification model could properly discriminate between cancer patients and controls using DEPs (AUC = 0.981) or DEPCs (AUC = 0.965). When distinguishing one cancer from the other four, the accuracy of the classification model using DEPCs (85-92%) was higher than that using DEPs (78-84%). We validated the performance in an additional 14 cancer patients and 14 controls, and achieved an AUC value of 0.786 for DEPs and 0.622 for DEPCs, highlighting the necessity to recruit a larger cohort for further validation. When clustering EVs into subpopulations, we detected cluster-specific proteins highly expressed in immune-related tissues. In the context of colorectal cancer, we identified heterogeneous EV clusters enriched in cancer patients, correlating with tumor initiation and progression. These findings provide epidemiological and molecular evidence for the clinical application of EV proteins in cancer prediction, while also illuminating their functional roles in cancer physiopathology.

A retrospective cohort study on the efficacy and safety for combination therapy of immunotherapy, targeted agent, and chemotherapy versus immunochemotherapy or chemotherapy alone in the first-line treatment of advanced biliary tract carcinoma.

Background: A paucity of effective treatment for biliary tract carcinoma (BTC) has necessitated the investigation into new therapies. As combinations of targeted therapy with immunotherapy are well-established in hepatocellular carcinoma, the GEMOX chemotherapy (gemcitabine and oxaliplatin) is the standard treatment for BTC. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of immunotherapy in combination with targeted agent and chemotherapy in advanced BTC. Methods: Patients who were pathologically identified advanced BTC and had received gemcitabine-based chemotherapy alone or in combination with anlotinib, and/or anti-programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1)/programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1) inhibitors such as camrelizumab as first-line treatment were retrospectively screened from The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University from February 2018 to August 2021. The outcomes included objective response rate (ORR), median overall survival (OS), and median progressive-free survival (PFS). Adverse events (AEs) were assessed according to the NCI-CTCAE v. 4.03. Patients were followed up weekly. Results: A total of 35 patients were enrolled in this study: 11 patients treated with PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitor plus anlotinib and gemcitabine (arm A), 12 patients with the GEMOX combined with PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitor (arm B), and 12 patients with GEMOX (arm C). With a median follow-up time of 31.9 months (range, 23.8-39.7 months), the median OS was 16.8 months [95% confidence interval (CI): 7.0-not reached], 11.8 months (95% CI: 7.2-31.7 months), and 11.6 months (95% CI: 7.3-18.0 months) in arms A, B, and C, respectively (P=0.298). The median PFS was 16.8 months (95% CI: 7.0-NR), 6.0 months (95% CI: 5.1-8.7 months), and 6.3 months (95% CI: 4.6-7.0 months) in arms A, B, and C, respectively. The ORR were 63.6% in arm A, 33.3% in arm B, and 25.0% in arm C. AEs of all grades occurred in 33 (94.3%) patients. Grade 3-4 AEs in all patients included neutrophil count decrease (14.3%), aspartate aminotransferase increase (8.6%), alanine aminotransferase increase (8.6%), fatigue (5.7%), and blood bilirubin increase (5.7%). Conclusions: Anti-PD-1/PD-L1 immunotherapy in combination with anlotinib and gemcitabine showed promising efficacy and an acceptable safety profile for the BTC patients included in this study.

Global Burden, Risk Factor Analysis, and Prediction Study of Ischemic Stroke, 1990-2030.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Ischemic stroke (IS), 1 of the 2 main subtypes of stroke, occurs because of brain ischemia caused by thrombosis of a cerebral blood vessel. IS is one of the most important neurovascular causes of death and disability. It is affected by many risk factors, such as smoking and a high body mass index (BMI), which are also critical in the preventive control of other cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. However, there are still few systematic analyses of the current and predicted disease burden and the attributable risk factors of IS. METHODS: Based on the Global Burden of Disease 2019 database, we used age-standardized mortality rate and disability-adjusted life year to systematically present the geographical distribution and trends of IS disease burden worldwide from 1990 to 2019 by calculating the estimated annual percentage change and to analyze and predict the death number of IS accounted by 7 major risk factors for 2020-2030. RESULTS: Between 1990 and 2019, the global number of IS deaths increased from 2.04 million to 3.29 million and is expected to increase further to 4.90 million by 2030. The downward trend was more pronounced in women, young people, and high sociodemographic index (SDI) regions. At the same time, a study of attributable risk factors of IS found that 2 behavioral factors, smoking and diet in high sodium, and 5 metabolic factors, including high systolic blood pressure, high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, kidney dysfunction, high fasting plasma glucose, and a high BMI, are major contributors to the increased disease burden of IS now and in the future. DISCUSSION: Our study provides the first comprehensive summary for the past 30 years and the prediction of the global burden of IS and its attributable risk factors until 2030, providing detailed statistics for decision-making on the prevention and control of IS globally. An inadequate control of the 7 risk factors would lead to an increased disease burden of IS in young people, especially in low SDI regions. Our study identifies high-risk populations and helps public health professionals develop targeted preventive strategies to reduce the global disease burden of IS.

Metagenomic association analysis of cognitive impairment in community-dwelling older adults.

The gut microbiota is reportedly involved in neurodegenerative disorders, and exploration of differences in the gut microbiota in different cognitive status could provide clues for early detection and intervention in cognitive impairment. Here, we used data from the Taizhou Imaging Study (N = 516), a community-based cohort, to compare the overall structure of the gut microbiota at the species level through metagenomic sequencing, and to explore associations with cognition. Interestingly, bacteria capable of producing short-chain fatty acids (SCFAs), such as Bacteroides massiliensis, Bifidobacterium pseudocatenulatum, Fusicatenibacter saccharivorans and Eggerthella lenta, that can biotransform polyphenols, were positively associated with better cognitive performance (p < 0.05). Although Diallister invisus and Streptococcus gordonii were not obviously related to cognition, the former was dominant in individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI), while the later was more abundant in cognitively normal (CN) than MCI groups, and positively associated with cognitive performance (p < 0.05). Functional analysis further supported a potential role of SCFAs and lactic acid in the association between the gut microbiota and cognition. The significant associations persisted after accounting for dietary patterns. Collectively, our results demonstrate an association between the gut microbiota and cognition in the general population, indicating a potential role in cognitive impairment. The findings provide clues for microbiome biomarkers of dementia, and insight for the prevention and treatment of dementia.

The effects of altered DNA damage repair genes on mutational processes and immune cell infiltration in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Defects in DNA damage repair (DDR) pathways lead to genomic instability and oncogenesis. DDR deficiency is prevalent in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), but the effects of DDR alterations on mutational processes and tumor immune microenvironment in ECSS remain unclear. METHODS: Whole-exome and transcriptome sequencing data of 45 ESCC samples from Taizhou, China, were used to identify genomic variations, gene expression modulation in DDR pathways, and the abundance of tumor-infiltrating immune cells. Ninety-six ESCC cases from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) project were used for validation. RESULTS: A total of 57.8% (26/45) of the cases in the Taizhou data and 70.8% (68/96) of the cases in the TCGA data carried at least one functional impact DDR mutation. Mutations in the DDR pathways were associated with a high tumor mutation burden. Several DDR deficiency-related mutational signatures were discovered and were associated with immune cell infiltration, including T cells, monocytes, dendritic cells, and mast cells. The expression levels of two DDR genes, HFM1 and NEIL1, were downregulated in ESCC tumor tissues and had an independent effect on the infiltration of mast cells. In the Taizhou data, increased expression of HFM1 was associated with a poor prognosis, and the increased expression of NEIL1 was associated with a good outcome, but no reproducible correlation was observed in the TCGA data. CONCLUSION: This research demonstrated that DDR alterations could impact mutational processes and immune cell infiltration in ESCC. The suppression of HFM1 and NEIL1 could play a crucial role in ESCC progression and may also serve as prognostic markers.

Advances in postoperative adjuvant therapy for primary liver cancer.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a highly heterogeneous, invasive, and conventional chemotherapy-insensitive tumor with unique biological characteristics. The main methods for the radical treatment of HCC are surgical resection or liver transplantation. However, recurrence rates are as high as 50% and 70% at 3 and 5 years after liver resection, respectively, and even in Milan-eligible recipients, the recurrence rate is approximately 20% at 5 years after liver transplantation. Therefore, reducing the postoperative recurrence rate is key to improving the overall outcome of liver cancer. This review discusses the risk factors for recurrence in patients with HCC radical surgical resection and adjuvant treatment options that may reduce the risk of recurrence and improve overall survival, including local adjuvant therapy (e.g., transcatheter arterial chemoembolization), adjuvant systemic therapy (e.g., molecular targeted agents and immunotherapy), and other adjuvant therapies (e.g., antiviral and herbal therapy). Finally, potential research directions that may change the paradigm of adjuvant therapy for HCC are analyzed.

The role of metabolites under the influence of genes and lifestyles in bone density changes.

Purpose: Osteoporosis is a complex bone disease influenced by numerous factors. Previous studies have found that some metabolites are related to bone mineral density (BMD). However, the associations between metabolites and BMD under the influence of genes and lifestyle have not been fully investigated. Methods: We analyzed the effect of metabolites on BMD under the synergistic effect of genes and lifestyle, using the data of 797 participants aged 55-65 years from the Taizhou Imaging Study. The cumulative sum method was used to calculate the polygenic risk score of SNPs, and the healthful plant-based diet index was used to summarize food intake. The effect of metabolites on BMD changes under the influence of genes and lifestyle was analyzed through interaction analysis and mediation analysis. Results: Nineteen metabolites were found significantly different in the osteoporosis, osteopenia, and normal BMD groups. We found two high-density lipoprotein (HDL) subfractions were positively associated with osteopenia, and six very-low-density lipoprotein subfractions were negatively associated with osteopenia or osteoporosis, after adjusting for lifestyles and genetic factors. Tea drinking habits, alcohol consumption, smoking, and polygenic risk score changed BMD by affecting metabolites. Conclusion: With the increased level of HDL subfractions, the risk of bone loss in the population will increase; the risk of bone loss decreases with the increased level of very-low-density lipoprotein subfractions. Genetic factors and lifestyles can modify the effects of metabolites on BMD. Our results show evidence for the precise prevention of osteoporosis.

Phenome-Wide Association Analysis Reveals Novel Links Between Genetically Determined Levels of Liver Enzymes and Disease Phenotypes.

Serum liver enzymes (alanine aminotransferase [ALT], aspartate aminotransferase [AST], λ-glutamyl transferase [GGT] and alkaline phosphatase [ALP]) are the leading biomarkers to measure liver injury, and they have been reported to be associated with several intrahepatic and extrahepatic diseases in observational studies. We conducted a phenome-wide association study (PheWAS) to identify disease phenotypes associated with genetically predicted liver enzymes based on the UK Biobank cohort. Univariable and multivariable Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses were performed to obtain the causal estimates of associations that detected in PheWAS. Our PheWAS identified 40 out of 1,376 pairs (16, 17, three and four pairs for ALT, AST, GGT and ALP, respectively) of genotype-phenotype associations reaching statistical significance at the 5% false discovery rate threshold. A total of 34 links were further validated in Mendelian randomization analyses. Most of the disease phenotypes that associated with genetically determined ALT level were liver-related, including primary liver cancer and alcoholic liver damage. The disease outcomes associated with genetically determined AST involved a wide range of phenotypic categories including endocrine/metabolic diseases, digestive diseases, and neurological disorder. Genetically predicted GGT level was associated with the risk of other chronic non-alcoholic liver disease, abnormal results of function study of liver, and cholelithiasis. Genetically determined ALP level was associated with pulmonary heart disease, phlebitis and thrombophlebitis of lower extremities, and hypercholesterolemia. Our findings reveal novel links between liver enzymes and disease phenotypes providing insights into the full understanding of the biological roles of liver enzymes. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s43657-021-00033-y.

Efficacy and Safety of First-Line Chemotherapies for Patients With Advanced Biliary Tract Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: At present, chemotherapy is still the primary treatment for advanced biliary tract carcinoma, but it is challenging to balance the efficacy and side effects. Network meta-analysis (NMA) is a better way to identify the protocol, and the advantage is that it can be combined with direct and indirect evidence to judge the best treatment regimens. Therefore, we conducted NMA on the searched randomized controlled trials (RCTs). METHODS: NMA was conducted regarding the searched RCTs by comparing progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), objective remission rates (ORRs), and adverse events (AEs) of different chemotherapy protocols. RESULTS: We screened 24 studies that met the inclusion criteria for further analysis. Compared with other regimens, the best supportive care (BSC) or FUFA protocol has a worse OS. Folfox4, GEMOX+erlotinib, and C+GEMOX can improve patients' PFS compared with BSC. Patients receiving GP+cediranib protocol have higher ORRs. There was reduced neutropenia grade ≥3 when adopting GP+cediranib, GS, C+GEMOX, RAM+GP, and MER+GP than when using FUFA protocol. The probability of vomiting of XELOX is lower than that of GEM+XELOX. There is a lower diarrhea incidence of XELOX than that of GEMOX+erlotinib. The results of cluster grade analysis illustrated that GEMOX+erlotinib owned a higher ORR and a higher surface under the cumulative ranking (SUCRA) of neutropenia and vomiting but also had a lower SUCRA of diarrhea and fatigue. Meanwhile, both GEMOX and C+GEMOX have a better ORR and a higher AE SUCRA. CONCLUSION: The NMA demonstrated that chemotherapy combined with targeted therapy has better efficacy and lower incidence of AEs than chemotherapy alone.

Efficacy and biomarker exploration of camrelizumab combined with apatinib in the treatment of advanced primary liver cancer: a retrospective study.

This study was to explore the efficacy and safety of camrelizumab combined with apatinib in patients with advanced liver cancer. Moreover, the relationship between peripheral blood parameters and tumor response rate was also investigated. Patients with unresectable or recurrent primary liver cancer (PLC) who received treatment from July 2019 to July 2020 in the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University were included in this single-center retrospective study. The patients were treated with camrelizumab (200 mg, intravenous q2w) plus apatinib (250 mg, oral qd) until the occurrence of disease progression or unbearable toxicity. All the patients underwent blood routine test and detection of lactate dehydrogenase and serum albumin levels before treatment. The primary endpoints were objective response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR). This study included a total of 45 patients. The overall ORR was 33.3% [95% confidence interval (CI),19.0-47.7] and the overall DCR was 57.8% (95% CI, 42.8-72.8). The ORR and DCR were higher in the first-line treatment than those in the second-line treatment (ORR: 45.5% vs. 21.7%, DCR: 63.6% vs. 52.3%). Median progression-free survival in the second-line treatment was 10.5 months (95% CI, 7.9-13.1, P = 0.022). Adverse events occurred in 39 (86.7%) patients. Grade 3/4 adverse reactions occurred in 7 (15.6%) patients. One patient (4.3%) was terminated from treatment due to adverse events. One patient (4.3%) died, which was potentially associated with adverse events. Subgroup analysis indicated that the remission rate in patients with high lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (H-LMR) was higher than that in patients with low lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (L-LMR) (56.25% vs. 25.93%, P = 0.047), and the remission rate in patients with high Prognostic Nutritional Index (H-PNI) was higher than that in patients with low Prognostic Nutritional Index (L-PNI) (66.7% vs. 26.5%, P = 0.046). Camrelizumab combined with apatinib in the treatment of PLC showed encouraging clinical efficacy, with tolerable toxicities. Levels of PNI and LMR may serve as predictors of the prognosis of advanced PLC patients who receive immunotherapy combined with targeted therapy.

Global trend of aetiology-based primary liver cancer incidence from 1990 to 2030: a modelling study.

BACKGROUND: Predictions of primary liver cancer (PLC) incidence rates and case numbers are critical to understand and plan for PLC disease burden. METHODS: Data on PLC incidence rates and case numbers from 1990 to 2017 were retrieved from the Global Burden of Disease database. The estimated average percentage change (EAPC) was calculated to quantify the trends of PLC age-standardized incidence rates (ASRs). Bayesian age-period-cohort models were constructed to project PLC incidence rates and case numbers through 2030. RESULTS: Globally, the PLC case number doubled from 472 300 in 1990 to 953 100 in 2017. The case number will further increase to 1 571 200 in 2030, and the ASR will increase from 11.80 per 100 000 in 2018 to 14.08 per 100 000 in 2030. The most pronounced increases are observed in people afflicted by non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and in older people. The trends of PLC incidence rates between 1990 and 2030 are heterogeneous among countries and can be summarized as five scenarios: (i) 46 countries that have and will continue to experience a persistent increase (e.g. Australia); (ii) 21 countries that experienced an initial decrease (or remained stable) but are predicted to increase (e.g. China); (iii) 7 countries that experienced an initial increase but are predicted to remain stable (e.g. USA); (iv) 29 countries that experienced an initial increase but are predicted to decrease (e.g. Egypt); and (v) 82 countries that have and will continue to experience a persistent decrease (e.g. Japan). CONCLUSION: PLC incidence rates and case numbers are anticipated to increase at the global level through 2030. The increases in people afflicted by NASH and among older people suggest a dearth of attention for these populations in current prevention strategies and highlight their priority in future schedules for global control of PLC.

Non-invasive early detection of cancer four years before conventional diagnosis using a blood test.

Early detection has the potential to reduce cancer mortality, but an effective screening test must demonstrate asymptomatic cancer detection years before conventional diagnosis in a longitudinal study. In the Taizhou Longitudinal Study (TZL), 123,115 healthy subjects provided plasma samples for long-term storage and were then monitored for cancer occurrence. Here we report the preliminary results of PanSeer, a noninvasive blood test based on circulating tumor DNA methylation, on TZL plasma samples from 605 asymptomatic individuals, 191 of whom were later diagnosed with stomach, esophageal, colorectal, lung or liver cancer within four years of blood draw. We also assay plasma samples from an additional 223 cancer patients, plus 200 primary tumor and normal tissues. We show that PanSeer detects five common types of cancer in 88% (95% CI: 80-93%) of post-diagnosis patients with a specificity of 96% (95% CI: 93-98%), We also demonstrate that PanSeer detects cancer in 95% (95% CI: 89-98%) of asymptomatic individuals who were later diagnosed, though future longitudinal studies are required to confirm this result. These results demonstrate that cancer can be non-invasively detected up to four years before current standard of care.

Global incidence trends in primary liver cancer by age at diagnosis, sex, region, and etiology, 1990-2017.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of primary liver cancer (PLC) continues to increase worldwide. The incidence trends and patterns of PLC associated with different age at diagnosis remain unknown. METHODS: We collected detailed information on PLC between 1990 and 2017 from Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Estimated annual percentage changes in the PLC age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) diagnosed by age, sex, region, and etiology were calculated to quantify the temporal trends in PLC ASR. RESULTS: Globally, the number of PLC cases for which the age at diagnosis was <30 years decreased from 17,381 in 1990 to 14,661 in 2017, whereas the number of PLC cases diagnosed at age 30 to 59 and ≥60 years old increased from 216,561 and 241,189 in 1990 to 359,770 and 578,344 in 2017, respectively. The ASR of PLC cases with age at diagnosis <30 years and between 30 and 59 years decreased in both sexes, whereas the ASR of PLC with age at diagnosis ≥60 years increased in males and remained stable in females at the global level. Males had a more dramatic increase in PLC diagnosed at age ≥60 years but a milder decrease in PLC diagnosed between 30 and 59 years of age. This decrease was attributed largely to the reduction in PLC caused by hepatitis B and hepatitis C and was consistent in most regions except for developed countries, in which the ASR of PLC increased irrespective of sex and age. The ASR of PLC due to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) increased by the greatest magnitude in most regions. CONCLUSION: PLC in highly endemic regions has been partly alleviated due to the potent control of hepatitis, especially among young and middle-aged people. However, an unfavorable trend was observed in most developed countries and in elderly populations. As such, PLC prevention schedules should give more attention to NASH and elderly patients.