Comparing Lung Cancer Screening Strategies in a Nationally Representative US Population Using Transportability Methods for the National Lung Cancer Screening Trial.

Importance: The National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) found that screening for lung cancer with low-dose computed tomography (CT) reduced lung cancer-specific and all-cause mortality compared with chest radiography. It is uncertain whether these results apply to a nationally representative target population. Objective: To extend inferences about the effects of lung cancer screening strategies from the NLST to a nationally representative target population of NLST-eligible US adults. Design, Setting, and Participants: This comparative effectiveness study included NLST data from US adults at 33 participating centers enrolled between August 2002 and April 2004 with follow-up through 2009 along with National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) cross-sectional household interview survey data from 2010. Eligible participants were adults aged 55 to 74 years, and were current or former smokers with at least 30 pack-years of smoking (former smokers were required to have quit within the last 15 years). Transportability analyses combined baseline covariate, treatment, and outcome data from the NLST with covariate data from the NHIS and reweighted the trial data to the target population. Data were analyzed from March 2020 to May 2023. Interventions: Low-dose CT or chest radiography screening with a screening assessment at baseline, then yearly for 2 more years. Main Outcomes and Measures: For the outcomes of lung-cancer specific and all-cause death, mortality rates, rate differences, and ratios were calculated at a median (25th percentile and 75th percentile) follow-up of 5.5 (5.2-5.9) years for lung cancer-specific mortality and 6.5 (6.1-6.9) years for all-cause mortality. Results: The transportability analysis included 51 274 NLST participants and 685 NHIS participants representing the target population (of approximately 5 700 000 individuals after survey-weighting). Compared with the target population, NLST participants were younger (median [25th percentile and 75th percentile] age, 60 [57 to 65] years vs 63 [58 to 67] years), had fewer comorbidities (eg, heart disease, 6551 of 51 274 [12.8%] vs 1 025 951 of 5 739 532 [17.9%]), and were more educated (bachelor's degree or higher, 16 349 of 51 274 [31.9%] vs 859 812 of 5 739 532 [15.0%]). In the target population, for lung cancer-specific mortality, the estimated relative rate reduction was 18% (95% CI, 1% to 33%) and the estimated absolute rate reduction with low-dose CT vs chest radiography was 71 deaths per 100 000 person-years (95% CI, 4 to 138 deaths per 100 000 person-years); for all-cause mortality the estimated relative rate reduction was 6% (95% CI, -2% to 12%). In the NLST, for lung cancer-specific mortality, the estimated relative rate reduction was 21% (95% CI, 9% to 32%) and the estimated absolute rate reduction was 67 deaths per 100 000 person-years (95% CI, 27 to 106 deaths per 100 000 person-years); for all-cause mortality, the estimated relative rate reduction was 7% (95% CI, 0% to 12%). Conclusions and Relevance: Estimates of the comparative effectiveness of low-dose CT screening compared with chest radiography in a nationally representative target population were similar to those from unweighted NLST analyses, particularly on the relative scale. Increased uncertainty around effect estimates for the target population reflects large differences in the observed characteristics of trial participants and the target population.

Changes in the burden of medications that may impair driving among older adults before and after a motor vehicle crash.

BACKGROUND: Medications are one of the most easily modifiable risk factors for motor vehicle crashes (MVCs) among older adults, yet limited information exists on how the use of potentially driver-impairing (PDI) medications changes following an MVC. Therefore, we examined the number and types of PDI medication classes dispensed before and after an MVC. METHODS: This observational study included Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged ≥67 years who were involved in a police-reported MVC in New Jersey as a driver between 2008 and 2017. Analyses were conducted at the "person-crash" level because participants could be involved in more than one MVC. We examined the use of 36 PDI medication classes in the 120 days before and 120 days after MVC. We described the number and prevalence of PDI medication classes in the pre-MVC and post-MVC periods as well as the most common PDI medication classes started and stopped following the MVC. RESULTS: Among 124,954 person-crashes, the mean (SD) age was 76.0 (6.5) years, 51.3% were female, and 83.9% were non-Hispanic White. The median (Q1 , Q3 ) number of PDI medication classes was 2 (1, 4) in both the pre-MVC and post-MVC periods. Overall, 20.3% had a net increase, 15.9% had a net decrease, and 63.8% had no net change in the number of PDI medication classes after MVC. Opioids, antihistamines, and thiazide diuretics were the top PDI medication classes stopped following MVC, at incidences of 6.2%, 2.1%, and 1.7%, respectively. The top medication classes started were opioids (8.3%), skeletal muscle relaxants (2.2%), and benzodiazepines (2.1%). CONCLUSIONS: A majority of crash-involved older adults were exposed to multiple PDI medications before and after MVC. A greater proportion of person-crashes were associated with an increased rather than decreased number of PDI medications. The reasons why clinicians refrain from stopping PDI medications following an MVC remain to be elucidated.

Estimating subgroup effects in generalizability and transportability analyses.

Methods for extending - generalizing or transporting - inferences from a randomized trial to a target population involve conditioning on a large set of covariates that is sufficient for rendering the randomized and non-randomized groups exchangeable. Yet, decision-makers are often interested in examining treatment effects in subgroups of the target population defined in terms of only a few discrete covariates. Here, we propose methods for estimating subgroup-specific potential outcome means and average treatment effects in generalizability and transportability analyses, using outcome model-based (g-formula), weighting, and augmented weighting estimators. We consider estimating subgroup-specific average treatment effects in the target population and its non-randomized subset, and provide methods that are appropriate both for nested and non-nested trial designs. As an illustration, we apply the methods to data from the Coronary Artery Surgery Study to compare the effect of surgery plus medical therapy versus medical therapy alone for chronic coronary artery disease in subgroups defined by history of myocardial infarction.

Medicare Beneficiaries With Advanced Lung Cancer Experience Diverse Patterns Of Care From Diagnosis To Death.

Characterizations of average end-of-life care for people with cancer can obscure important differences in patients' experiences. Using Medicare claims data for 14,257 patients diagnosed with extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer in the period 1995-2009, we used latent class analysis to identify classes of people with different care patterns. We characterized care trajectories from diagnosis to death using time spent in five care settings-home, hospital inpatient unit (acute), hospital intensive care unit (ICU), postacute skilled nursing facility, and hospice-and transitions across these settings. We identified four classes of patients: 66 percent spent the time primarily at home, 11 percent were primarily in hospice, 17 percent were largely in an acute setting, and 6 percent were largely in an ICU. Patients in these classes differed significantly in terms of baseline clinical characteristics, survival length, time spent in hospice, site of death, and spending. The findings show substantial heterogeneity in patterns of care for patients with advanced cancer, which should be accounted for in efforts to improve end-of-life care.

Earthquake-Related Orthopedic Injuries in Adult Population: A Systematic Review.

Introduction Earthquake-related trauma results in crush injuries and bony- and soft-tissue trauma. There are no systematic reviews analyzing the typical injury patterns and treatments in "Mega-Mass-Casualty" earthquakes. The characterization of an injury pattern specific to disaster type, be it natural or manmade, is imperative to build an effective disaster preparedness and response system. METHODS: The systematic review was conducted in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA). A comprehensive search strategy was developed to identify all publications relating to earthquakes and the orthopedic treatment in adult patients. The following databases were searched: PubMed (Medline; US National Library of Medicine, National Institutes of Health; Bethesda, Maryland USA), Ovid (Ovid Technologies; New York, New York USA), Web of Science (Thomson Reuters; New York, New York USA), and The Cochrane Library (The Cochrane Collaboration; Oxford, United Kingdom). RESULTS: The searches identified 4,704 articles: 4,445 after duplicates were removed. The papers were screened for title and abstract and 65 out of those were selected for full-text analysis. The quality of data does not permit a standard-of-care (SOC) to be defined. Scarcity and poor quality of the data collected also may suggest a low level of accountability of the activity of the international hospital teams. Qualitatively, it is possible to define that there are more open fractures during daytime hours than at night. Excluding data about open and closed fractures, for all types of injuries, the results underline that the higher the impact of the earthquake, as measured by Richter Magnitude Scale (RMS), the higher is the number of injuries. Discussion Regarding orthopedic injuries during earthquakes, special attention must be paid to the management of the lower limbs most frequently injured. Spinal cord involvement following spine fractures is an important issue: this underlines how a neurosurgeon on a disaster team could be an important asset during the response. Conservative treatment for fractures, when possible, should be encouraged in a disaster setting. Regarding amputation, it is important to underline how the response and the quality of health care delivered is different from one team to another. This study shows how important it is to improve, and to require, the accountability of international disaster teams in terms of type and quality of health care delivered, and to standardize the data collection. Bortolin M , Morelli I , Voskanyan A , Joyce NR , Ciottone GR . Earthquake-related orthopedic injuries in adult population: a systematic review. Prehosp Disaster Med. 2017;32(2):201-208.

The rise of concurrent care for veterans with advanced cancer at the end of life.

BACKGROUND: Unlike Medicare, the Veterans Health Administration (VA) health care system does not require veterans with cancer to make the "terrible choice" between receipt of hospice services or disease-modifying chemotherapy/radiation therapy. For this report, the authors characterized the VA's provision of concurrent care, defined as days in the last 6 months of life during which veterans simultaneously received hospice services and chemotherapy or radiation therapy. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included veteran decedents with cancer during 2006 through 2012 who were identified from claims with cancer diagnoses. Hospice and cancer treatment were identified using VA and Medicare administrative data. Descriptive statistics were used to characterize the changes in concurrent care, hospice, palliative care, and chemotherapy or radiation treatment. RESULTS: The proportion of veterans receiving chemotherapy or radiation therapy remained stable at approximately 45%, whereas the proportion of veterans who received hospice increased from 55% to 68%. The receipt of concurrent care also increased during this time from 16.2% to 24.5%. The median time between hospice initiation and death remained stable at around 21 days. Among veterans who received chemotherapy or radiation therapy in their last 6 months of life, the median time between treatment termination and death ranged from 35 to 40 days. There was considerable variation between VA medical centers in the use of concurrent care (interquartile range, 16%-34% in 2012). CONCLUSIONS: Concurrent receipt of hospice and chemotherapy or radiation therapy increased among veterans dying from cancer without reductions in the receipt of cancer therapy. This approach reflects the expansion of hospice services in the VA with VA policy allowing the concurrent receipt of hospice and antineoplastic therapies. Cancer 2016;122:782-790. © 2015 American Cancer Society.