Polypharmacy in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease.

BACKGROUND: Despite the high prevalence of polypharmacy in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), the extent of polypharmacy across patients with (different stages of) CKD, as well as the association with clinical outcomes remains unknown. This systematic review aimed to evaluate the prevalence of polypharmacy in (different subgroups of) patients with CKD and assess the association between polypharmacy and patient-important outcomes. METHODS: Medline, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were searched from inception until July 2022. Studies that reported the prevalence of polypharmacy, medication use, or pill burden in patients with CKD (including patients receiving dialysis and kidney transplant recipients) and their association with patient-important outcomes (i.e. mortality, kidney failure, quality of life, and medication non-adherence) were included. Two reviewers independently screened title and abstract and full texts, extracted data, and assessed risk of bias. Data were pooled in a random-effects single-arm meta-analysis. RESULTS: In total, 127 studies were included (CKD 3-5 n=39, dialysis: n=38, kidney transplant n=13, different CKD stages n=37). The pooled prevalence of polypharmacy, based on 63 studies with 484,915 patients, across all patients with CKD was 82% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 76-86%) and the pooled mean number of prescribed medications 9.7 (95%CI: 8.4-11.0). The prevalence of polypharmacy was higher in patients who received dialysis or a kidney transplant compared to patients with CKD 3-5, but did not differ between studies with regards to region, or patients' mean age or sex. In patients with CKD, polypharmacy was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality, kidney failure, faster eGFR decline, lower quality of life (QoL), and higher medication non-adherence, adverse drug reactions, and potentially inappropriate medications. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of polypharmacy in patients with CKD was over 80%, and highest in patients with a kidney transplant and those receiving dialysis. No causes of heterogeneity were identified, indicating that polypharmacy is an issue for all patients with CKD. Polypharmacy is associated with worse clinical outcomes, lower QoL, and medication-related problems in patients with CKD.

Estimated Life Expectancy Without Recurrent Cardiovascular Events in Patients With Vascular Disease: The SMART-REACH Model.

Background In patients with vascular disease, risk models may support decision making on novel risk reducing interventions, such as proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitors or anti-inflammatory agents. We developed and validated an innovative model to estimate life expectancy without recurrent cardiovascular events for individuals with coronary, cerebrovascular, and/or peripheral artery disease that enables estimation of preventive treatment effect in lifetime gained. Methods and Results Study participants originated from prospective cohort studies: the SMART (Secondary Manifestations of Arterial Disease) cohort and REACH (Reduction of Atherothrombosis for Continued Health) cohorts of 14 259 ( REACH Western Europe), 19 170 ( REACH North America) and 6959 ( SMART , The Netherlands) patients with cardiovascular disease. The SMART-REACH model to estimate life expectancy without recurrent events was developed in REACH Western Europe as a Fine and Gray competing risk model incorporating cardiovascular risk factors. Validation was performed in REACH North America and SMART . Outcomes were (1) cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, stroke, cardiovascular death) and (2) noncardiovascular death. Predictors were sex, smoking, diabetes mellitus, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, creatinine, number of cardiovascular disease locations, atrial fibrillation, and heart failure. Calibration plots showed high agreement between estimated and observed prognosis in SMART and REACH North America. C-statistics were 0.68 (95% confidence interval, 0.67-0.70) in SMART and 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.66-0.68) in REACH North America. Performance of the SMART-REACH model was better compared with existing risk scores and adds the possibility of estimating lifetime gained by novel therapies. Conclusions The externally validated SMART-REACH model could be used for estimation of anticipated improvements in life expectancy without recurrent cardiovascular events in individual patients with cardiovascular disease in Western Europe and North America.

Distribution of Estimated 10-Year Risk of Recurrent Vascular Events and Residual Risk in a Secondary Prevention Population.

BACKGROUND: Among patients with clinically manifest vascular disease, the risk of recurrent vascular events is likely to vary. We assessed the distribution of estimated 10-year risk of recurrent vascular events in a secondary prevention population. We also estimated the potential risk reduction and residual risk that can be achieved if patients reach guideline-recommended risk factor targets. METHODS: The SMART score (Second Manifestations of Arterial Disease) for 10-year risk of myocardial infarction, stroke, or vascular death was applied to 6904 patients with vascular disease. The risk score was externally validated in 18 436 patients with various manifestations of vascular disease from the TNT (Treating to New Targets), IDEAL (Incremental Decrease in End Points Through Aggressive Lipid Lowering), SPARCL (Stroke Prevention by Aggressive Reduction in Cholesterol Levels), and CAPRIE (Clopidogrel Versus Aspirin in Patients at Risk of Ischemic Events) trials. The residual risk at guideline-recommended targets was estimated by applying relative risk reductions from meta-analyses to the estimated risk for targets for systolic blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, smoking, physical activity, and use of antithrombotic agents. RESULTS: The external performance of the SMART risk score was reasonable, apart from overestimation of risk in patients with 10-year risk >40%. In patients with various manifestations of vascular disease, median 10-year risk of a recurrent major vascular event was 17% (interquartile range, 11%-28%), varying from <10% in 18% to >30% in 22% of the patients. If risk factors were at guideline-recommended targets, the residual 10-year risk would be <10% in 47% and >30% in 9% of the patients (median, 11%; interquartile range, 7%-17%). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with vascular disease, there is very substantial variation in estimated 10-year risk of recurrent vascular events. If all modifiable risk factors were at guideline-recommended targets, half of the patients would have a 10-year risk <10%. These data suggest that even with optimal treatment, many patients with vascular disease will remain at >20% and even >30% 10-year risk, clearly delineating an area of substantial unmet medical need.