Poor oral health and the risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in Malawi.

Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is the second most common cancer in Malawi. Risk factors for this cancer in Malawi are poorly understood. Poor oral health has previously been linked to increased ESCC risk in other high-incidence regions, including parts of Eastern and Southern Africa. We assessed the relationship between oral health and ESCC risk in a sex, age and location frequency-matched case-control study based at two hospitals in Lilongwe, Malawi from 2017 to 2020. Trained interviewers used a structured questionnaire and direct observation to collect data on demographics; behaviors; oral hygiene habits; the sum of decayed, missing or filled teeth (DMFT score); oral mucosa status; lip depigmentation and dental fluorosis via a visual scale. Logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI), adjusted for known and suspected ESCC risk factors. During the study period, 300 cases and 300 controls were enrolled. Subjects in the highest tertile of DMFT score (≥7) had an increased risk of ESCC with an adjusted OR of 1.96 (95% CI: 1.16-3.36) compared to those with a DMFT score of 0. Severe dental fluorosis was associated with a statistically nonsignificant increased risk of ESCC (adjusted OR = 2.24, 95% CI: 0.97-5.49) compared to individuals with no fluorosis. Associations with oral mucosa status, lip depigmentation and toothbrushing method and frequency were mostly null or uncertain. Poor oral health, indicated by a higher DMFT score, was associated with increased ESCC risk in Malawi. Dental fluorosis is another possible risk factor in this population, but further evaluation is necessary to clarify any effects of fluorosis on ESCC risk.

Survival After Diagnosis of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma in Malawi.

PURPOSE: Esophageal cancer (EC) is the second most common cancer in Malawi, with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) representing >90% of all ECs. Despite significant morbidity and mortality, little is known about disease outcomes. In this study, we assess survival after ESCC diagnosis in Malawi. METHODS: We report on ESCC cases enrolled in a case-control study at Kamuzu Central Hospital in Lilongwe from August 2017 to April 2020. Suspected cases completed a questionnaire interview; provided blood, urine, and saliva specimens; and underwent a tumor biopsy for histologic confirmation. Cases were followed up by phone biweekly from enrollment to the study end date (December 31, 2020), date of death, or loss to follow-up. Survival was assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis with the log-rank test. We also examined associations between treatment and ESCC mortality using Cox regression models. RESULTS: There were 300 patients with ESCC enrolled in this study, of whom 290 (97%) had known vital status at the end of follow-up and 10 (3%) were lost to follow-up. Among the 290 patients, 282 (97%) died during follow-up. The median age at enrollment was 55 years (IQR, 48-66), and the median time to death was 106 days (95% CI, 92 to 127). The 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year survival rates were 11% (95% CI, 8 to 15), 3% (95% CI, 1 to 6), and 0.9% (95% CI, 0.8 to 4), respectively. Palliative chemotherapy significantly improved the overall survival of patients with ESCC (Plog-rank = .038) and was significantly associated with reduced mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.51 to 0.99]). No significant association was observed between tobacco use, alcohol consumption, or HIV status and mortality. CONCLUSION: Survival after diagnosis of ESCC was poor in Malawi. Although palliative chemotherapy was associated with improved survival, prevention and earlier detection remain key priorities to improve ESCC mortality at a population level.

Reallocation of Hospital Resources During COVID-19 Pandemic and Effect on Trauma Outcomes in a Resource-Limited Setting.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has caused unprecedented disruptions to surgical care worldwide, particularly in low-resource countries. We sought to characterize the association between pre-and intra-pandemic trauma clinical outcomes at a busy tertiary hospital in Malawi. METHODS: We analyzed trauma patients that presented to Kamuzu Central Hospital in Lilongwe, Malawi, from 2011 through July 2021. Burn patients were excluded. We compared patients based on whether they presented before or during the pandemic (defined as starting March 11, 2020, the date of the official WHO designation). We used logistic regression modeling to estimate the adjusted odds ratio of death based on presentation. RESULTS: A total of 137,867 patients presented during the study period, with 13,526 patients during the pandemic. During the pandemic, patients were more likely to be older (mean 28 vs. 25 years, p < 0.001), male (79 vs. 74%, p < 0.001), and suffer a traumatic brain injury (TBI) as their primary injury (9.7 vs. 4.9%, p < 0.001). Crude trauma-associated mortality was higher during the pandemic at 3.7% vs. 2.1% (p < 0.001). The odds ratio of mortality during the pandemic compared to pre-pandemic presentation was 1.28 (95% CI 1.06, 1.53) adjusted for age, sex, initial AVPU score, transfer status, injury type, and mechanism. CONCLUSIONS: During the pandemic, adjusted trauma-associated mortality significantly increased at a tertiary trauma center in a low-resource setting despite decreasing patient volume. Further research is urgently needed to prepare for future pandemics. Potential targets for improvement include improving pre-hospital care and transportation, planning for intensive care utilization, and addressing nursing shortages.

Inter-hospital Transfer Delays to a Tertiary Referral Center and Postoperative Outcomes in Patients with Abdominal Surgical Emergencies in Malawi.

BACKGROUND: In low-income countries (LICs), patients with abdominal surgical emergencies often initially present to primary or district hospitals and are transferred to referral hospitals for surgical management. The transfer process introduces a delay to care, but the relationship between transfer time and outcomes has not been studied in LICs. We sought to evaluate the effect of transfer delays on postoperative outcomes among patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery in Malawi. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of the acute care surgery database at Kamuzu Central Hospital (KCH), a referral hospital in Malawi. Patients were eligible for inclusion if transferred from another facility to KCH for emergency abdominal surgery. We used logistic regression modeling to evaluate the relationship between transfer time and postoperative complications and mortality. RESULTS: The study included 2037 patients. Female patients, patients transferred from district hospitals, and patients with bowel obstructions were most likely to spend over three days at a referring facility before transfer. On regression modeling, each additional day until transfer was associated with an 18% increase in odds of developing a postoperative complication (OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.05-1.31, p = 0.005) and a 19% increase in odds of postoperative mortality (OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.08-1.31, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Among patients requiring emergency abdominal surgery in Malawi, transfer delays are associated with higher postoperative complications and mortality rates. Further research should focus on identifying the factors causing delays so that interventions aimed at improving the transfer process can be developed.

Tobacco and other risk factors for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in Lilongwe Malawi: Results from the Lilongwe esophageal cancer case: Control study.

OBJECTIVE: Esophageal cancer is the second commonest cancer in Malawi, and 95% of all cases are esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Very little is known about the epidemiology of ESCC in Malawi including risk factors. The main objective of the study was to evaluate and describe risk factors of ESCC in Malawi. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study from 2017 to 2020 at two hospitals in Lilongwe, Malawi and consenting adults were eligible for inclusion. Endoscopy was conducted on all cases and biopsies were obtained for histological confirmation. Controls were selected from patients or their guardians in orthopedic, dental and ophthalmology wards and they were frequency matched by sex, age, and region of origin to cases. An electronic structured questionnaire was delivered by a trained interviewer. Multivariate conditional logistic regression models were used to assess the associations between subject characteristics, habits, and medical history and risk of ESCC. RESULTS: During the study period, 300 cases and 300 controls were enrolled into the study. Median age of cases and controls was 56 years and 62% of the cases were male. Among cases, 30% were ever cigarette smokers as were 22% of controls. Smoking cigarettes had an adjusted odds ratio of 2.4 (95% CI 1.4-4.2 p = 0.003). HIV+ status was present in 11% of cases and 4% controls, which resulted in an adjusted odds ratio was 4.0 (95% CI 1.8-9.0 p = 0.001). Drinking hot tea was associated with an adjusted odd ratio of 2.9 (95% CI 1.3-6.3 p = 0.007). Mold on stored grain has an adjusted odd ratio of 1.6 (95% CI 1.1-2.5 p = 0.021). CONCLUSION: Reducing smoking cigarettes, consumption of scalding hot tea, and consumption of contaminated grain, could potentially help reduce the burden of ESCC in Malawi. Further investigation of the association between HIV status and ESCC are warranted.

Outcomes of stab wounds presenting to Kamuzu Central Hospital in Malawi.

Introduction: Injuries are a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, necessitating that we understand the local burden of injury to improve injury-related trauma care and patient outcomes. The characteristics, outcomes, and risk factors for mortality following stab wounds in Malawi are poorly delineated. Methods: This is a retrospective, descriptive analysis of patients presenting to Kamuzu Central Hospital in Lilongwe, Malawi, with stab wounds from February 2008 to May 2018. Univariate and bivariate analyses were performed to compare patient and injury characteristics based on mortality. We performed Poisson multivariate regression to predict the factors that increase the relative risk of mortality. Results: During the study, 32,297 patients presented with assault. Of those patients, 2,352 (7.3%) presented with stab wounds resulting in a 3.2% (n=74) overall mortality. The majority of wounds were to the head or cervical spine (n=1,043, 44.6%), while injuries to the chest (n=319, 13.7%) were less frequent. We found an increased relative risk of mortality in patients who presented with an injury to the chest (RR 3.95, 95% CI 1.79-8.72, p=0.001) and who were brought in by the police (RR 33.24, 95% CI 11.23-98.35, p<0.001). Conclusion: In this study, stab wounds accounted for 7.3% of all assault cases, with a 3.2% mortality. Though the commonest site of stab was the head, wounds to the chest conferred the highest relative risk of mortality. A multifaceted approach to reducing mortality is needed. Incorporating training of first responders in basic life support, including the police, may reduce stab-related mortality.

Outcomes and prognostic factors for women with breast cancer in Malawi.

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer incidence in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is increasing, and SSA has the highest age-standardized breast cancer mortality rate worldwide. However, high-quality breast cancer data are limited in SSA. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We examined breast cancer patient and tumor characteristics among women in Lilongwe, Malawi and evaluated risk factor associations with patient outcomes. We consecutively enrolled 100 women ≥ 18 years with newly diagnosed, pathologically confirmed breast cancer into a prospective longitudinal cohort with systematically assessed demographic data, HIV status, and clinical characteristics. Tumor subtypes were further determined by immunohistochemistry, overall survival (OS) was estimated using Kaplan-Meier methods, and hazards ratios (HR) were calculated by Cox proportional hazard analyses. RESULTS: Of the 100 participants, median age was 49 years, 19 were HIV-positive, and 75 presented with late stage (III/IV) disease. HER2-enriched and triple-negative/basal-like subtypes represented 17% and 25% tumors, respectively. One-year OS for the cohort was 74% (95% CI 62-83%). Multivariable analyses revealed mortality was associated with HIV (HR, 5.15; 95% CI 1.58-16.76; p = 0.006), stage IV disease (HR, 8.86; 95% CI 1.07-73.25; p = 0.043), and HER2-enriched (HR, 7.46; 95% CI 1.21-46.07; p = 0.031), and triple-negative subtypes (HR, 7.80; 95% CI 1.39-43.69; p = 0.020). CONCLUSION: Late stage presentation, HER2-enriched and triple-negative subtypes, and HIV coinfection were overrepresented in our cohort relative to resource-rich settings and were associated with mortality. These findings highlight robust opportunities for population- and patient-level interventions across the entire cascade of care to improve breast cancer outcomes in low-income countries in SSA.

Secondary Overtriage of Trauma Patients to a Central Hospital in Malawi.

INTRODUCTION: Secondary overtriage (OT) is the unnecessary transfer of injured patients between facilities. In low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), which shoulder the greatest burden of trauma globally, the impact of wasted resources on an overburdened system is high. This study determined the rate and associated characteristics of OT at a Malawian central hospital. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from January 2012 through July 2017 was performed at Kamuzu Central Hospital (KCH) in Lilongwe, Malawi. Patients were considered OT if they were discharged alive within 48 h without undergoing a procedure, and were not severely injured or in shock on arrival. Factors evaluated for association with OT included patient demographics, injury characteristics, and transferring facility information. RESULTS: Of 80,915 KCH trauma patients, 15,422 (19.1%) transferred from another facility. Of these, 8703 (56.2%) were OT. OT patients were younger (median 15, IQR: 6-31 versus median 26, IQR: 11-38, p < 0.001). Patients with primary extremity injury (5308, 59.9%) were overtriaged more than those with head injury (1991, 51.8%) or torso trauma (1349, 50.8%), p < 0.001. The OT rate was lower at night (18.9% v 28.7%, p < 0.001) and similar on weekends (20.4% v 21.8%, p = 0.03). OT was highest for penetrating wounds, bites, and falls; burns were the lowest. In multivariable modeling, risk of OT was greatest for burns and soft tissue injuries. CONCLUSIONS: The majority of trauma patients who transfer to KCH are overtriaged. Implementation of transfer criteria, trauma protocols, and interhospital communication can mitigate the strain of OT in resource-limited settings.

Sex Disparities in Access to Surgical Care at a Single Institution in Malawi.

INTRODUCTION: There is a paucity of data regarding sex-based disparities in surgical care delivery, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. This study sought to determine whether sex disparities are present among patients presenting with surgical conditions in Malawi. Hypothesis compared to men, fewer women present to Kamuzu Central Hospital (KCH) with peritonitis and have longer delays in presentation for definitive care. METHODS: This study performs a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data of all general surgery patients with peritonitis presenting to KCH in Lilongwe, Malawi, from September 2013 to April 2016. Multivariable linear and logistic regressions were used to assess the effect of sex on mortality, length of stay, operative intervention, complications, and time to presentation. RESULTS: Of 462 patients presenting with general surgery conditions and peritonitis, 68.8% were men and 31.2% were women. After adjustments, women had significantly higher odds of non-operative management when compared to men (OR 2.17, 95%CI 1.30-3.62, P = 0.003), delays in presentation (adjusted mean difference 136 h, 95%CI 100-641, P = 0.05), delays to operation (adjusted mean difference 1.91 days, 95%CI 1.12-3.27, P = 0.02), and longer lengths of stay (adjusted mean difference 1.67 days, 95%CI 1.00-2.80, P = 0.05). There were no differences in complications or in-hospital or Emergency Department mortality. CONCLUSION: Sex disparities exist within the general surgery population at KCH in Lilongwe, Malawi. Fewer women present with surgical problems, and women experience delays in presentation, longer lengths of stay, and undergo fewer operations. Future studies to determine mortality in the community and driving factors of sex disparities will provide more insight.

Outcomes Following Exploratory Burr Holes for Traumatic Brain Injury in a Resource Poor Setting.

BACKGROUND: Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a leading cause of death and disability worldwide. The incidence of TBI in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) is disproportionately high, with an associated increased risk of mortality from TBI relative to high-income countries. Although computed tomography is the diagnostic method of choice, this is often unavailable in LMICs. Exploratory burr holes may provide a suitable choice for diagnosis and treatment of TBI. METHODS: We performed a retrospective review of prospectively collected data at KCH, a tertiary care center in Lilongwe, Malawi. All trauma patients presenting between June 2012 and July 2015 with a deteriorating level of consciousness and localizing signs and who underwent exploratory burr holes were included. Additionally, we included all patients admitted with TBI, requiring higher-level care during 2011. No patients underwent exploratory burr hole during this time. We performed logistic regression to identify predictors of mortality in the total population of TBI patients. RESULTS: Among the 241 patients who presented to KCH with TBI requiring higher-level care, the total mortality was 16.4%. More than half (163, or 68%) underwent exploratory burr hole with a mortality of 6.8%. Mortality in patients who did not undergo exploratory burr hole was 43.9%. Upon adjusted logistic regression, not undergoing exploratory burr hole significantly increased the odds of mortality (odds ratio = 12.0, P = 0.000, 95% confidence interval = 4.48-31.9). CONCLUSION: Exploratory burr holes remain an important diagnostic and therapeutic procedure for TBI in LMICs. Exploratory burr hole technique should be integrated into general surgery education to attenuate TBI-related mortality.