Risk factors for incident kidney disease in older adults: an Australian prospective population-based study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: To determine risk factors for incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) in a large population-based cohort. METHODS: This prospective opt-in population-based cohort study is based on the 45 and Up Study, where New South Wales residents aged ≥45 years were randomly sampled from the Services Australia database and agreed to complete the 45 and Up Study baseline questionnaire and have their responses linked to their health data in routinely collected databases. The primary outcome was the development of incident CKD, defined as eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 . CKD incidence was calculated using Poisson regression. Risk factors for incident CKD were assessed using Cox regression in multivariable models. RESULTS: In 39 574 participants who did not have CKD at enrolment, independent factors associated with developing CKD included: older age, regional residence (HR 1.38 (1.27-1.50) for outer regional vs major city), smoking (1.13 (1.00-1.27) for current smoker vs non-smoker), obesity (1.25 (1.16-1.35) for obese vs normal body mass index), diabetes mellitus (1.41 (1.33-1.50)), hypertension (1.53 (1.44-1.62)), coronary heart disease (1.13 (1.07-1.20)), depression/anxiety (1.16 (1.09-1.24)) and cancer (1.29 (1.20-1.39)). Migrants were less likely to develop CKD compared with people born in Australia (0.88 (0.83-0.94)). Gender, partner status and socioeconomic factors were not independently associated with developing CKD. CONCLUSIONS: This large population-based study found multiple modifiable and non-modifiable factors were independently associated with developing CKD. In the Australian setting, the risk of CKD was higher with regional residence. Differences according to socioeconomic status were predominantly explained by age, comorbidities and harmful health-related behaviours.

Prevalence, incidence and risk factors of diabetes in Australian adults aged ≥45 years: A cohort study using linked routinely-collected data.

AIMS: To use linked routinely-collected health data to estimate diabetes prevalence and incidence in an Australian cohort of adults aged ≥45 years, and examine risk factors associated with incident disease. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The EXamining ouTcomEs in chroNic Disease in the 45 and Up Study (EXTEND45) Study is a linked data study that combines baseline questionnaire responses from the population-based 45 and Up Study (2006-2009, n = 267,153) with multiple routinely-collected health databases up to December 2014. Among participants with ≥1 linked result for any laboratory test, diabetes status was determined from multiple data sources according to standard biochemical criteria, use of glucose-lowering medication or self-report, and the prevalence and incidence rate calculated. Independent risk factors of incident diabetes were examined using multivariable Cox regression. RESULTS: Among 152,169 45 and Up Study participants with ≥1 linked laboratory result in the EXTEND45 database (mean age 63.0 years; 54.9% female), diabetes prevalence was 10.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] 10.6%-10.9%). Incident disease in those without diabetes at baseline (n = 135,810; mean age 62.5 years; 56.1% female) was 10.0 per 1,000 person-years (95% CI 9.8-10.2). In all age groups, diabetes incidence was lower in women compared to men, an association that persisted in the fully adjusted analyses. Other independent risk factors of diabetes were older age, being born outside of Australia (with the highest rate of 19.2 per 1,000 person-years observed in people born in South and Central Asia), lower education status, lower annual household income, residence in a major city, family history of diabetes, personal history of cardiovascular disease or hypertension, higher body mass index, smoking and long sleeping hours. CONCLUSIONS: Our study represents an efficient approach to assessing diabetes frequency and its risk factors in the community. The infrastructure provided by the EXTEND45 Study will be useful for diabetes surveillance and examining other important clinical and epidemiological questions.

Incidence and Associations of Chronic Kidney Disease in Community Participants With Diabetes: A 5-Year Prospective Analysis of the EXTEND45 Study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the incidence of and factors associated with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 in people with diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We identified people with diabetes in the EXamining ouTcomEs in chroNic Disease in the 45 and Up Study (EXTEND45), a population-based cohort study (2006-2014) that linked the Sax Institute's 45 and Up Study cohort to community laboratory and administrative data in New South Wales, Australia. The study outcome was the first eGFR measurement <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 recorded during the follow-up period. Participants with eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 at baseline were excluded. We used Poisson regression to estimate the incidence of eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and multivariable Cox regression to examine factors associated with the study outcome. RESULTS: Of 9,313 participants with diabetes, 2,106 (22.6%) developed incident eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 over a median follow-up time of 5.7 years (interquartile range, 3.0-5.9 years). The eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 incidence rate per 100 person-years was 6.0 (95% CI 5.7-6.3) overall, 1.5 (1.3-1.9) in participants aged 45-54 years, 3.7 (3.4-4.0) for 55-64 year olds, 7.6 (7.1-8.1) for 65-74 year olds, 15.0 (13.0-16.0) for 75-84 year olds, and 26.0 (22.0-32.0) for those aged 85 years and over. In a fully adjusted multivariable model incidence was independently associated with age (hazard ratio 1.23 per 5-year increase; 95% CI 1.19-1.26), geography (outer regional and remote versus major city: 1.36; 1.17-1.58), obesity (obese class III versus normal: 1.44; 1.16-1.80), and the presence of hypertension (1.52; 1.33-1.73), coronary heart disease (1.13; 1.02-1.24), cancer (1.30; 1.14-1.50), and depression/anxiety (1.14; 1.01-1.27). CONCLUSIONS: In participants with diabetes, the incidence of an eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 was high. Older age, remoteness of residence, and the presence of various comorbid conditions were associated with higher incidence.

Effect of Treatment on Damage and Hospitalization in Elderly Patients with Microscopic Polyangiitis and Granulomatosis with Polyangiitis.

OBJECTIVE: Age is a risk factor for organ damage, adverse events, and mortality in microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) and granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA). However, the relationship between treatment and damage, hospitalizations, and causes of death in elderly patients is largely unknown. METHODS: Consecutive patients from Sweden, the United Kingdom, and the Czech Republic diagnosed between 1997 and 2013 were included. Inclusion criteria were a diagnosis of MPA or GPA and age 75 years or more at diagnosis. Treatment with cyclophosphamide (CYC), rituximab (RTX), and corticosteroids the first 3 months was registered. Outcomes up to 2 years from diagnosis included Vasculitis Damage Index (VDI), hospitalization, and cause of death. RESULTS: Treatment data were available for 167 of 202 patients. At 2 years, 4% had no items of damage. There was a positive association between VDI score at 2 years and Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score at onset, and a negative association with treatment using CYC or RTX. Intravenous methylprednisolone dose was associated with treatment-related damage. During the first year, 69% of patients were readmitted to hospital. Myeloperoxidase-antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody positivity and lower creatinine levels decreased the odds of readmission. The most common cause of death was infection, and this was associated with cumulative oral prednisolone dose. CONCLUSION: Immunosuppressive treatment with CYC or RTX in elderly patients with MPA and GPA was associated with development of less permanent organ damage and was not associated with hospitalization. However, higher doses of corticosteroids during the first 3 months was associated with treatment-related damage and fatal infections.

Patients double-seropositive for ANCA and anti-GBM antibodies have varied renal survival, frequency of relapse, and outcomes compared to single-seropositive patients.

Co-presentation with both ANCA and anti-GBM antibodies is thought to be relatively rare. Current studies of such 'double-positive' cases report small numbers and variable outcomes. To study this further we retrospectively analyzed clinical features and long-term outcomes of a large cohort of 568 contemporary patients with ANCA-associated vasculitis, 41 patients with anti-GBM disease, and 37 double-positive patients with ANCA and anti-GBM disease from four European centers. Double-positive patients shared characteristics of ANCA-associated vasculitis (AAV), such as older age distribution and longer symptom duration before diagnosis, and features of anti-GBM disease, such as severe renal disease and high frequency of lung hemorrhage at presentation. Despite having more evidence of chronic injury on renal biopsy compared to patients with anti-GBM disease, double-positive patients had a greater tendency to recover from being dialysis-dependent after treatment and had intermediate long-term renal survival compared to the single-positive patients. However, overall patient survival was similar in all three groups. Predictors of poor patient survival included advanced age, severe renal failure, and lung hemorrhage at presentation. No single-positive anti-GBM patients experienced disease relapse, whereas approximately half of surviving patients with AAV and double-positive patients had recurrent disease during a median follow-up of 4.8 years. Thus, double-positive patients have a truly hybrid disease phenotype, requiring aggressive early treatment for anti-GBM disease, and careful long-term follow-up and consideration for maintenance immunosuppression for AAV. Since double-positivity appears common, further work is required to define the underlying mechanisms of this association and define optimum treatment strategies.

Acute exacerbation of dysphagia due to foreign body impaction in an oesophageal stricture due to eosinophilic esophagitis.

A 43-year woman with a 4-year history of swallowing difficulty for solids presented with absolute dysphagia, which was only slightly relieved by intravenous relaxant given in the emergency department. Barium swallow showed a smooth polypoid filling defect in the mid-oesophagus, with a hold-up at this level. Gastroscopy showed a narrowed ringed oesophagus with an impacted foreign body. This was extracted with a basket, with relief of the dysphagia. Oesophageal biopsies confirmed the diagnosis of eosinophilic esophagitis.