Predictors of 30-day readmission following hospitalisation with community-acquired pneumonia.

BACKGROUND: There is a paucity of UK data to aid healthcare professionals in predicting which patients hospitalised with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) are at greatest risk of 30-day readmission and to determine which readmissions may occur soonest. METHODS: An analysis of CAP cases admitted to nine UK hospitals participating in the Advancing Quality Pneumonia Programme. RESULTS: An analysis was performed of 12 157 subjects hospitalised with CAP in the Advancing Quality Programme Database. 26% of those discharged were readmitted within 30 days with readmission predicted by comorbidity including non-metastatic cancer, diabetes with complications and chronic kidney disease. 41% and 66% of readmissions occurred within 7 and 14 days of discharge, respectively. Patients readmitted within 14 days were more likely to have metastatic cancer (6.6% vs 4.5%; p=0.03) compared with those readmitted at 15-30 days. CONCLUSIONS: A quarter of patients hospitalised for CAP are readmitted within 30 days; of those, two-thirds are readmitted within 2 weeks. Further research is required to determine whether such readmissions might be preventable through imple menting measures including in-hospital cross-specialty comorbidity management, convalescence in intermediate care, targeted rehabilitation and advanced care planning.

The association between pre-hospital antibiotic therapy and subsequent in-hospital mortality in adults presenting with community-acquired pneumonia: an observational study.

BACKGROUND: The majority of patients with community acquired-pneumonia (CAP) are treated in primary care and the mortality in this group is very low. However, a small but significant proportion of patients who begin treatment in the community subsequently require admission due to symptomatic deterioration. This study compared patients who received community antibiotics prior to admission to those who had not, and looked for associations with clinical outcomes. METHODS: This study analysed the Advancing Quality (AQ) Pneumonia database of patients admitted with CAP to 9 acute hospitals in the northwest of England over a 12-month period. RESULTS: There were 6348 subjects (mean age 72 [SD 16] years; gender ratio 1:1) admitted with CAP, of whom 17% had been pre-treated with antibiotics. The in-hospital mortality was 18.6% for the pre-treatment group compared to 13.2% in the "antibiotic naïve" group (p < 0.001). On multivariate analysis, age, male gender and antibiotic pre-treatment were predictors of in-hospital mortality along with a history of cerebrovascular accident, congestive cardiac failure, dementia, renal disease and cancer. After adjustment for CURB-65 score, age, co-morbidities and pre-treatment with antibiotics remained as independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality (OR 1.43, 95% CI 1.19-1.71). CONCLUSION: CAP patients admitted to hospital were more likely to die during admission if they had received antibiotics for the same illness pre-admission. Future studies should endeavor to determine the mechanisms underlying this association, such as microbiological factors and the role of comorbidities. Patients hospitalized with CAP despite prior antibiotic treatment in the community require close monitoring.