Epidemiology of Keratinocyte Skin Cancer with a Focus on Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

Keratinocyte skin cancer, consisting of basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), is by far the most common cancer in white-skinned populations, with rapid increases over the last 50 years. While the age-standardized incidence rates increase worldwide, the age-standardized mortality rates are variable. The incidence rates of keratinocyte skin cancer are much higher compared to those of melanoma, and are largely attributed to the raising exposure to ultraviolet (UV) radiation, the most important causal risk factor for skin cancer. Whereas the development of BCC is mainly due to intense UV exposure during childhood and adolescence, the development of SCC is related to chronic, cumulative UV exposure over decades. Although mortality rates are relatively low, SCC is an increasing problem for healthcare services, significantly causing morbidity, especially in older age groups. This review reports on the epidemiology of keratinocyte skin cancer, with a focus on SCC, in Australia, the United States, and the north of Europe, with an outlook on further challenges health systems will be confronted with in the next 20 years.

Prognosis in stage II melanoma of the head and neck depends on the histological subtype.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The melanoma guideline is mainly based on the AJCC stage. There is no difference according to histological subtypes such as superficial spreading melanoma (SSM), lentigo maligna melanoma (LMM) or nodular malignant melanoma (NM). We aimed to evaluate whether patients with LMM have a different clinical course from patients with SSM/NM. This is particularly important as adjuvant anti-PD-1 therapy is approved for stage IIB and IIC melanoma. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data were extracted from the Central Registry of Malignant Melanoma. Only patients with LMM, SSM, and NM of the head and neck with primary diagnosis between 01/01/2000 and 12/31/2019 were included. Progression-free survival (PFS), melanoma-specific survival (MSS), and pattern of metastases were analyzed for the LMM group compared to SSM/NM. RESULTS: The LMM cohort (n = 902) had significantly better MSS than the SSM/NM cohort (n = 604). There was no difference in PFS. The 5-year MSS of the stage II LMM cohort was 88.5% (95% CI 81.4-95.6) compared to 79.7% (95% CI 72.8-86.6) in the stage II SSM/NM cohort. CONCLUSION: It does not appear appropriate to use adjuvant therapy in stage II LMM patients to the same extent as in patients with SSM/NM.

Deep learning-based scoring of tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes is prognostic in primary melanoma and predictive to PD-1 checkpoint inhibition in melanoma metastases.

BACKGROUND: Recent advances in digital pathology have enabled accurate and standardised enumeration of tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs). Here, we aim to evaluate TILs as a percentage electronic TIL score (eTILs) and investigate its prognostic and predictive relevance in cutaneous melanoma. METHODS: We included stage I to IV cutaneous melanoma patients and used hematoxylin-eosin-stained slides for TIL analysis. We assessed eTILs as a continuous and categorical variable using the published cut-off of 16.6% and applied Cox regression models to evaluate associations of eTILs with relapse-free, distant metastasis-free, and overall survival. We compared eTILs of the primaries with matched metastasis. Moreover, we assessed the predictive relevance of eTILs in therapy-naïve metastases according to the first-line therapy. FINDINGS: We analysed 321 primary cutaneous melanomas and 191 metastatic samples. In simple Cox regression, tumour thickness (p < 0.0001), presence of ulceration (p = 0.0001) and eTILs ≤16.6% (p = 0.0012) were found to be significant unfavourable prognostic factors for RFS. In multiple Cox regression, eTILs ≤16.6% (p = 0.0161) remained significant and downgraded the current staging. Lower eTILs in the primary tissue was associated with unfavourable relapse-free (p = 0.0014) and distant metastasis-free survival (p = 0.0056). In multiple Cox regression adjusted for tumour thickness and ulceration, eTILs as continuous remained significant (p = 0.019). When comparing TILs in primary tissue and corresponding metastasis of the same patient, eTILs in metastases was lower than in primary melanomas (p < 0.0001). In therapy-naïve metastases, an eTILs >12.2% was associated with longer progression-free survival (p = 0.037) and melanoma-specific survival (p = 0.0038) in patients treated with anti-PD-1-based immunotherapy. In multiple Cox regression, lactate dehydrogenase (p < 0.0001) and eTILs ≤12.2% (p = 0.0130) were significantly associated with unfavourable melanoma-specific survival. INTERPRETATION: Assessment of TILs is prognostic in primary melanoma samples, and the eTILs complements staging. In therapy-naïve metastases, eTILs ≤12.2% is predictive of unfavourable survival outcomes in patients receiving anti-PD-1-based therapy. FUNDING: See a detailed list of funding bodies in the Acknowledgements section at the end of the manuscript.

Features and Long-Term Outcomes of Stage IV Melanoma Patients Achieving Complete Response Under Anti-PD-1-Based Immunotherapy.

BACKGROUND: Immune checkpoint inhibition (ICI) has changed the melanoma treatment spectrum. Few studies have examined the characteristics and long-term outcomes of patients achieving complete response (CR) under ICI. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We evaluated patients with unresectable stage IV melanoma treated with first-line ICI. The characteristics of those achieving CR were compared with those not achieving CR. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed. Late-onset toxicities, response to second-line treatment, the prognostic value of clinicopathologic features, and blood markers were examined. RESULTS: A total of 265 patients were included; 41 (15.5%) achieved CR, while 224 (84.5%) had progressive disease, stable disease, or partial response. At the therapy start, those who had CR were more likely to be older than 65 years of age (p = 0.013), have a platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio below 213 (p = 0.036), and have lower lactate dehydrogenase levels (p = 0.008) than those not achieving a CR. For those who discontinued therapy after CR, the median follow-up time after CR was 56 months (interquartile range [IQR] 52-58) and the median time from CR to therapy end was 10 months (IQR 1-17). Five-year PFS after CR was 79% and 5-year OS was 83%. Most complete responders had a normalization of S100 at the time of CR (p < 0.001). In simple Cox regression analysis, age below 77 years at CR (p = 0.04) was associated with better prognosis after CR. Eight patients received second-line ICI; disease control was seen in 63%. Late immune-related toxicities occurred in 25% of patients, most being cutaneous immune-related toxicities. CONCLUSIONS: Response, according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) criteria, is, until now, the most important prognostic factor, and CR is a valid surrogate marker for long-term survival in patients treated with ICI. Our results highlight the importance of investigating the optimal therapy duration in complete responders.

Identification of stage I/II melanoma patients at high risk for recurrence using a model combining clinicopathologic factors with gene expression profiling (CP-GEP).

PURPOSE: Patients with cutaneous melanoma stage I/IIA disease are currently not eligible for adjuvant therapy, despite their risk for relapses and death. This study validates the ability of a model combining clinicopathologic factors with gene expression profiling (CP-GEP) to identify patients at high risk for disease recurrence in stage I/II and subgroup stage I/IIA. PATIENTS AND METHODS: 543 patients with stage I/II primary cutaneous melanoma from the University of Tuebingen diagnosed between 2000 and 2017 were analysed. All patients received sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB). Analysis was conducted for a separate group of 80 patients who did not undergo SLNB. RESULTS: CP-GEP stratified 424 stage I/IIA patients (78% of the cohort) according to their risk for recurrence, with five-year relapse-free survival (RFS) rates of 77.8% and 93% for CP-GEP high risk (195 patients) and low risk (229 patients), respectively, and hazard ratio of 3.53 (p-value <0.001). In patients who did not receive SLNB biopsy, CP-GEP captured 6 out of 7 relapses. CONCLUSION: CP-GEP can be used to identify primary cutaneous melanoma patients with a high risk for disease recurrence - especially for stage I/IIA, who are considered low risk by AJCC 8th. These patients may benefit from adjuvant therapy. Also, in the future, when SLNB may become irrelevant, CP-GEP may serve as a risk stratification tool.

Incidence, mortality and trends of cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma in Germany, the Netherlands, and Scotland.

AIM OF THE STUDY: Cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC) incidences are increasing but scarcely available separated. We analysed incidence rates of cSCC over three decades with an extrapolation to 2040. METHODS: Cancer registries from the Netherlands, Scotland and two federal states of Germany (Saarland/Schleswig-Holstein) were sourced for separate cSCC incidence data. Incidence and mortality trends between 1989/90 and 2020 were assessed using Joinpoint regression models. Modified age-period-cohort models were applied to predict incidence rates up to 2044. Rates were age-standardised using the new European standard population (2013). RESULTS: Age-standardised incidence rates (ASIR, per 100,000 persons per year) increased in all populations. The annual percent increase ranged between 2.4% and 5.7%. The highest increase occurred in the age groups ≥60 years, especially in men aged ≥80 years, with a three to 5-fold increase. Extrapolations up to 2044 showed an unrestrained increase in incidence rates in all countries investigated. Age-standardised mortality rates (ASMR) showed slight increases between 1.4 and 3.2% per year in Saarland and Schleswig-Holstein for both sexes and for men in Scotland. For the Netherlands, ASMRs remained stable for women but declined for men. CONCLUSION: There was a continuous increase of cSCC incidence over three decades with no tendency for levelling-off, especially in the older populations as males ≥80 years. Extrapolations point to a further increasing number of cSCC up to 2044, especially among ≥60 years. This will have a significant impact on the current and future burden on dermatologic health care which will be faced with major challenges.

Reporting of melanoma cell densities in the sentinel node refines outcome prediction.

INTRODUCTION: Sentinel node biopsy is a key procedure to predict prognosis in melanoma. In a prospective study we compare reporting on melanoma cell densities in cytospin preparations with semiquantitative histopathology for predicting outcome. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Sentinel nodes from 900 melanoma patients were bisected. One half of each node was disaggregated mechanically. The melanoma cell density (number of HMB45 positive cells per million lymphocytes with at least one cell showing morphological features of a melanoma cell) was recorded after examining two cytospins. For the second half the maximum diameter of metastasis was determined after haematoxylin and eosin (H&E) and immunohistological staining of three slides. RESULTS: Cytospins were positive for melanoma in 218 of 900 patients (24%). Routine pathology was positive in 111 of 900 (12%) patients. A more extensive pathological workup in cytospin-only positive patients led to a revised diagnosis (from negative to positive) in 23 of 101 patients (22.7%). We found a moderate but significant correlation between melanoma cell densities (determined in cytospins) and the maximum diameter of metastasis (determined by pathology) (rho = 0.6284, p < 0.001). At a median follow-up of 37 months (IQR 25-53 months) melanoma cell density (cytospins) (p < 0.001), thickness of melanoma (p = 0.008) and ulceration status (p = 0.026) were significant predictors for melanoma specific survival by multivariable testing and were all confirmed as key predictive factors by the random forest model. Maximum diameter of metastases, age and sex were not significant by multivariable testing (all p > 0.05). CONCLUSION: Recording melanoma cell densities by examining two cytospins accurately predicts melanoma outcome and outperforms semiquantitative histopathology.

Prognosis of Patients With Primary Melanoma Stage I and II According to American Joint Committee on Cancer Version 8 Validated in Two Independent Cohorts: Implications for Adjuvant Treatment.

PURPOSE: The first randomized trial of adjuvant treatment with checkpoint inhibitor in stage II melanoma reported a significant reduction in risk of tumor recurrence. This study evaluates two independent data sets to further document survival probabilities for patients with primary stage I and II melanoma. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The Central Malignant Melanoma Registry (CMMR) in Germany evaluated 17,544 patients with a primary diagnosis of stage I and II melanoma from 2000 to 2015. The exploratory cohort consisted of 6,725 patients from the Center for Dermato-Oncology at the University of Tübingen, and the confirmatory cohort consisted of 10,819 patients from 11 other German centers. Survival outcomes were compared with published American Joint Committee on Cancer version 8 (AJCCv8) stage I and II survival data. RESULTS: For the two CMMR cohorts in stage IA compared with the AJCCv8 cohort, melanoma-specific survival rates at 10 years were 95.1%-95.6% versus 98%; 89.7%-90.9% versus 94% in stage IB; 80.7%-83.1% versus 88% in stage IIA; 72.0%-79.9% versus 82% in stage IIB; and 57.6%-64.7% versus 75% in stage IIC, respectively. Recurrence rates were approximately twice as high as melanoma-specific mortality rates in stages IA-IIA. CONCLUSION: The melanoma-specific survival rates in the two CMMR cohorts across stages I and II are less favorable than published in AJCCv8. This has important implications for the consideration of adjuvant treatment in this population.

Real-world Treatment Patterns and Outcomes with Systemic Therapies in Unresectable Locally Advanced and Metastatic Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma in Germany.

Advanced cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma is a challenge to treat. Conventional systemic treatment options include chemotherapy and epidermal growth factor receptor-inhibitors. The aim of this study was to assess clinical outcomes with systemic treatments in advanced cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma. Patients receiving systemic treatment at the Tübingen Dermato-Oncology centre between 2007 and 2017 were identified (n = 59). Median age was 76 years (interquartile range (IQR) 71-80 years), 83.1% of patients were male, 72.9% had metastatic cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma, and 27.1% had unresectable locally advanced cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma. During median follow-up of 52 weeks (IQR 27-97 weeks), overall response rate was 14.3%, and disease control rate was 53.6%. Median progression-free survival was 15 weeks (IQR 8-42 weeks), and median overall survival was 52 weeks (IQR 27-97 weeks). Patients receiving chemoradiation vs chemotherapy alone showed better overall survival (hazard ratio 0.41, p = 0.014,) and progression-free survival (hazard ratio 0.42, p = 0.009); no differences were observed for metastatic cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma vs locally advanced cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma patients. Although chemotherapy and/or cetuximab showed limited outcomes in advanced cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma, such therapy may still be an option when anti-PD-1 treatment is contraindicated.

Cutaneous melanoma attributable to UVR exposure in Denmark and Germany.

BACKGROUND: Increasing incidence rates of cutaneous melanoma (CM) observed during the last five decades in white populations are largely attributed to increased exposure to solar ultraviolet radiation (UVR), often expressed as population attributable fraction (PAF). Thus, many CMs could be prevented by reducing UVR exposure. The aim of this study was to estimate the PAF of CM attributable to UVR exposure and demographic changes in Denmark and Saarland/Germany for the period 1943 to 2036. MATERIAL AND METHODS: CM incidence data (ICD-10, C43) for Denmark (1943-2016) and the German Federal State of Saarland (1972-2016) were retrieved from the NORDCAN database and from the Saarland Cancer Registry. The number of CMs attributable to UVR exposure was calculated by comparing contemporary or predicted CM incidence rates with CM rates in Denmark during the years 1943-1946. RESULTS: In Denmark, the proportion of CM cases attributable to UVR exposure increased from around 20% in 1947-1951 to 96% in 2012-2016; in the Federal State of Saarland, it increased from 50% in 1972-1976 to 90% in 2012-2016. Until 2032-2036, the PAF is expected to rise in Denmark to 97% and in the Saarland to 92%. The demographic influence, on the other hand, is rather small. CONCLUSIONS: More than 90% of all CM in Germany and Denmark are attributable to UVR exposure, and in principle, preventable. These findings underline the need for primary prevention strategies, aiming to increase the awareness of melanoma and its risk factors and to promote behavioural changes that decrease sun exposure.

Diffuse PRAME Expression Is Highly Specific for Thin Melanomas in the Distinction from Severely Dysplastic Nevi but Does Not Distinguish Metastasizing from Non-Metastasizing Thin Melanomas.

BACKGROUND: PReferentially expressed Antigen in MElanoma (PRAME) immunohistochemistry is increasingly used as diagnostic adjunct in the evaluation of melanocytic tumors. The expression and prognostic significance of PRAME in melanomas ≤1.0 mm and its diagnostic utility in the distinction from severely dysplastic compound nevi (SDN) have not been studied. METHODS: We investigated and compared the immunohistochemical PRAME expression in 70 matched thin metastasizing and non-metastasizing melanomas and 45 nevi from patients with long-term follow-up (35 SDN and 10 unequivocally benign compound nevi). RESULTS: Diffuse PRAME staining in >75% of lesional epidermal and dermal melanocytes identified 58.6% of thin melanomas but did not distinguish metastasizing from non-metastasizing melanomas (p = 0.81). A superficial atypical melanocytic proliferation of uncertain significance, in which the final diagnostic interpretation favored a SDN was the only nevus with diffuse PRAME expression (1/45). Melanomas and SDN with PRAME immunoreactivity exhibited different staining patterns. Most melanomas (67.6%) showed uniform PRAME expression in the in situ and invasive component, whereas most SDN (81.0%) showed a decreasing gradient with depth. CONCLUSION: Diffuse intraepidermal and dermal PRAME staining is highly specific for melanomas in the distinction from SDN. PRAME expression is not a prognostic biomarker in melanomas ≤1.0 mm.

Epidemiology of cutaneous melanoma and keratinocyte cancer in white populations 1943-2036.

OBJECTIVES: Cutaneous melanoma (CM) and keratinocyte cancer (KC) cause considerable morbidity and mortality. We analysed long-term trends of CM and KC in different white populations. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Age-standardised (European Standard Population 2013) incidence and mortality rates (ASIR, ASMR) of CM were extracted from cancer registries in Denmark, New Zealand and the US SEER-Database. ASIRs of KC were sourced from registries of the German federal states Saarland and Schleswig-Holstein, and from Scotland. Age-period-cohort models were used to project melanoma incidence trends. RESULTS: In Denmark between 1943 and 2016, melanoma ASIR increased from 1.1 to 46.5 in males, and from 1.0 to 48.5 in females, estimated to reach 60.0 and 73.1 in males and females by 2036. Melanoma mortality in Denmark (1951-2016) increased from 1.4 to 6.7 (males) and 1.2 to 3.7 (females). In New Zealand between 1948 and 2016, ASIR increased from 2.7 to 81.0 (males) and from 3.8 to 54.7 (females), slight declines are estimated by 2036 for both genders. Melanoma mortality increased six-fold in New Zealand males between 1950 and 2016; smaller increases were observed in females. We observed three- to four-fold increases in melanoma incidence in US whites, predicted to rise to 56.1 and 36.2 in males and females until 2036. Melanoma mortality also increased among US whites between 1970 and 2017, female melanoma mortality remained stable. Similar trends are shown for KC. CONCLUSIONS: In white populations, incidence of CM and KC significantly increased. CM incidence continues to rise in the short term but is predicted to decline in future.

Immune checkpoint inhibition therapy for advanced skin cancer in patients with concomitant hematological malignancy: a retrospective multicenter DeCOG study of 84 patients.

BACKGROUND: Skin cancers are known for their strong immunogenicity, which may contribute to a high treatment efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibition (ICI). However, a considerable proportion of patients with skin cancer is immuno-compromised by concomitant diseases. Due to their previous exclusion from clinical trials, the ICI treatment efficacy is poorly investigated in these patients. The present study analyzed the ICI treatment outcome in advanced patients with skin cancer with a concomitant hematological malignancy. METHODS: This retrospective multicenter study included patients who were treated with ICI for locally advanced or metastatic melanoma (MM), cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC), or Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC), and had a previous diagnosis of a hematological malignancy irrespective of disease activity or need of therapy at ICI treatment start. Comparator patient cohorts without concomitant hematological malignancy were extracted from the prospective multicenter skin cancer registry ADOREG. Treatment outcome was measured as best overall response, progression-free (PFS), and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: 84 patients (MM, n=52; cSCC, n=15; MCC, n=17) with concomitant hematological malignancy were identified at 20 skin cancer centers. The most frequent concomitant hematological malignancies were non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (n=70), with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (n=32) being the largest entity. While 9 patients received ICI in an adjuvant setting, 75 patients were treated for advanced non-resectable disease (55 anti-PD-1; 8 anti-PD-L1; 5 anti-CTLA-4; 7 combinations). In the latter 75 patients, best objective response (complete response+partial response) was 28.0%, disease stabilization was 25.3%, and 38.6% showed progressive disease (PD). Subdivided by skin cancer entity, best objective response was 31.1% (MM), 26.7% (cSCC), and 18.8% (MCC). Median PFS was 8.4 months (MM), 4.0 months (cSCC), and 5.7 months (MCC). 1-year OS rates were 78.4% (MM), 65.8% (cSCC), and 47.4% (MCC). Comparison with respective ADOREG patient cohorts without hematological malignancy (n=392) revealed no relevant differences in ICI therapy outcome for MM and MCC, but a significantly reduced PFS for cSCC (p=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: ICI therapy showed efficacy in advanced patients with skin cancer with a concomitant hematological malignancy. Compared with patients without hematological malignancy, the observed ICI therapy outcome was impaired in cSCC, but not in MM or MCC patients.

Epidemiology of Skin Cancer: Update 2019.

Melanoma and keratinocyte skin cancer (KSC) are the most common types of cancer in White-skinned populations. Both tumor entities showed increasing incidence rates worldwide but stable or decreasing mortality rates. Rising incidence rates of cutaneous melanoma (CM) and KSC are largely attributed to increasing exposure to ultraviolet (UV) radiation, the main causal risk factor for skin cancer.Incidence rates of KSC, comprising of basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), are much higher than that of melanoma. BCC development is mainly the cause of an intensive UV exposure in childhood and adolescence, while SCC development is related to chronic, cumulative UV exposure over decades. Although mortality is relatively low, KSC is an increasing problem for health care services causing significant morbidity.Cutaneous melanoma is rapidly increasing in White populations, with an estimated annual increase of around 3-7% over the past decades. In contrast to SCC, melanoma risk is associated with intermittent and chronic exposure to sunlight. The frequency of its occurrence is closely associated with the constitutive color of the skin and the geographical zone. Changes in outdoor activities and exposure to sunlight during the past 70 years are an important factor for the increasing incidence of melanoma. Mortality rates of melanoma show stabilization in the USA, Australia, and in European countries. In the USA even dropping numbers of death cases were recently reported, probably reflecting efficacy of the new systemic treatments.Among younger cohorts in some populations (e.g., Australia and New Zealand,), stabilizing or declining incidence rates of CM are observed, potentially caused by primary prevention campaigns aimed at reducing UV exposure. In contrast, incidence rates of CM are still rising in most European countries and in the USA. Ongoing trends towards thinner melanoma are largely ascribed to earlier detection.

Dermatofluoroscopy diagnostics in different pigmented skin lesions: Strengths and weaknesses.

BACKGROUND: The melanin fluorescence of skin lesions is measurable with two-photon excitation, a process termed dermatofluoroscopy, which has shown a shift from the green spectra in benign melanocytic lesions to the red spectra in melanoma. This study addressed the question as to which kind of pigmented lesions can be correctly diagnosed as melanin-bearing malignant tumors. METHODS: 476 pigmented lesions including 101 cutaneous melanomas were analyzed with dermatofluoroscopy, measuring the melanin fluorescence in a grid-like fashion with a separation of measurement points of 0.2 mm. The results of the dermatofluoroscopy are presented as a diagnostic score with a cut-off score of ≥ 28 for the diagnosis of melanin-bearing malignant tumors, and were compared to the gold standard of histopathology. RESULTS: A highly significant difference (p < 0.0001) between the diagnostic scores of different skin tumors was found. Dermatofluoroscopy scores showed the highest sensitivity for melanomas (92.1 %). Interestingly, most pigmented basal cell carcinomas (BCCs, 88.9 %) were diagnosed as melanin-bearing malignant tumors. A higher sensitivity for the correct diagnosis was observed in older patients (≥ 53 years, p = 0.003), in patients with skin tanning (p = 0.025), and in patients with freckles during childhood (p = 0.046). CONCLUSIONS: Two-photon fluorescence is an innovative technique for the diagnosis of pigmented skin lesions, and shows a high sensitivity for detection of melanomas and pigmented BCCs.

Prognosis of Patients With Stage III Melanoma According to American Joint Committee on Cancer Version 8: A Reassessment on the Basis of 3 Independent Stage III Melanoma Cohorts.

PURPOSE: Three new therapies have been approved recently for the adjuvant treatment of stage III melanoma, substantially reducing the risk of tumor recurrences. This study evaluates 3 independent data sets to clarify the survival probabilities of patients with stage III melanoma. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The Central Malignant Melanoma Registry (CMMR) evaluated 1,553 patients with a primary diagnosis of stage III melanoma from 2000 to 2012. Studies from the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC), of 573 patients in the observation arm of the 18991 study and 445 patients in the placebo arm of the 18071 study, were evaluated as reference cohorts. The survival outcomes were compared with the published American Joint Committee on Cancer version 8 (AJCCv8) stage III survival data. RESULTS: For the CMMR stage III cohort versus the AJCCv8 cohort, the melanoma-specific survival (MSS) rates at 5 years were 67% versus 77%, and at 10 years were 56% versus 69%, respectively. For stage IIIA, the MSS rates at 5 years were 80% versus 93%, and at 10 years were 71% versus 88%; for stage IIIB, the MSS rates at 5 years were 75% versus 83%, and at 10 years were 61% versus 77%. The MSS rates of the EORTC studies either overlapped with or were lower than, the CMMR data. CONCLUSION: The MSS rates in the CMMR and EORTC cohorts over the entire stage III are less favorable than those published in AJCCv8. This is particularly true for substages IIIA and IIIB.

Primary Resistance to PD-1-Based Immunotherapy-A Study in 319 Patients with Stage IV Melanoma.

BACKGROUND: Primary resistance to immunotherapy can be observed in approximately 40-65% of the stage IV melanoma patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors. A minority of the patients receive a second-line therapy, and the clinical benefit is small. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Stage IV melanoma patients treated with first-line PD-1-based immunotherapy between January 2015 and December 2018 were investigated. Primary resistance was defined as progressive disease (PD) at the time of the first tumor assessment after starting immunotherapy. Patients with complete response, partial response, and stable disease were classified as having disease control (DC). Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier estimator. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to determine prognostic factors associated with OS. RESULTS: Three hundred and nineteen patients were included, and 40% had primary resistance to immunotherapy. The median follow-up time was 22 months. Patients with primary resistance had 1-, 2-, and 3-year OS rates of 41%, 15%, and 10%, respectively, compared to 91%, 81%, and 65% for the patients who achieved DC. The following independently significant prognostic factors for OS were identified: protein S100B level and primary tumor localization. There was a statistically significant difference for OS (p < 0.0001) but not for PFS (p = 0.230) when analyzing risk groups formed with a combination of these two variables (low-, intermediate-, and high-risk subgroups). CONCLUSIONS: Melanoma patients with primary resistance to immunotherapy have a dismal prognosis. Response at the first tumor assessment after starting immunotherapy is a stronger prognostic factor for the further course of the disease than pretreatment risk factors.

Melanoma-specific survival in patients with positive sentinel lymph nodes: Relevance of sentinel tumor burden.

BACKGROUND: The tumor burden within the sentinel lymph node (SLN) is not included in the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee of Cancer (AJCC) melanoma classification. Therefore, we analysed the prognostic relevance of the SLN tumor burden in the stage III subgroups. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 736 patients with melanoma with positive SLN and long-term follow-up (mean, 64.4 months; median, 59.0 months) were assessed. SLN tumor burden was evaluated by the maximum diameter of the largest deposit in all patients. RESULTS: By univariate Kaplan-Meier analyses, melanoma-specific survival (MSS) of patients in stage IIIA, IIIB and IIIC and lower sentinel tumor burden (cut-offs ≤0.5 mm and ≤1 mm) was significantly better than that in patients with higher sentinel tumor load (>0.5 mm and >1 mm). By multivariate analysis using the Cox model, the maximum diameter of the largest deposit (cut-off ≤0.5 mm versus >0.5 mm and cut-off ≤1 mm as continuous variables) represented an independent prognostic parameter for MSS in stage III patients. Cut-off of 0.5 mm showed a slightly higher area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC = 0.617) when than the cut-off of 1 mm (AUC = 0.599). CONCLUSION: The prognosis of patients with stage III melanoma can be determined more precisely if the SLN tumor burden is considered, also within the existing AJCC subgroups. Thus, this parameter should be included in future classifications, and our study provides benchmarks in estimating prognosis and counselling patients with melanoma with positive sentinel nodes beyond the 8th AJCC Cancer Staging Manual. The optimal cut-off remains for SLN tumor burden remains to be determined, but our results suggest that a cut-off lower than 1 mm is preferable.

Final Analysis of DeCOG-SLT Trial: No Survival Benefit for Complete Lymph Node Dissection in Patients With Melanoma With Positive Sentinel Node.

PURPOSE: We have previously reported on the 3-year results of the phase III German Dermatologic Cooperative Oncology Group trial (DeCOG; ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02434107) comparing distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and overall survival (OS) in patients with positive sentinel lymph-node biopsy who were randomly assigned to complete lymph node dissection (CLND) or observation. Here, we report the final analysis with 72 months of median follow up. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The multicenter randomized phase III trial included patients with cutaneous melanoma of the trunk and extremities who were randomly assigned (1:1) to undergo CLND or observation. DMFS was analyzed as the primary end point, and RFS, OS, and recurrences in the regional lymph node basin were secondary end points. The analysis was by intention to treat. Disease and survival information were collected quarterly. RESULTS: From January 2006 to December 2014, 5,547 patients were screened to identify 1,256 with metastases in the sentinel lymph node (SLN). Of these, 483 (39%) were included: 241 in the observation arm and 242 in the CLND arm. In the final analysis, median follow up was 72 months (interquartile range, 67-77 months). No significant treatment-related difference was seen in the 5-year DMFS between the observation and CLND arms (67.6% v 64.9%, respectively; hazard ratio [HR], 1.08; P = .87). The 5-year RFS and OS also showed no difference (HR, 1.01 and 0.99, respectively). Grade 3 and 4 adverse effects occurred in 32 patients (13%) in the CLND arm; lymphedema (n = 20) and delayed wound healing (n = 5) were most common and no serious adverse events were reported. CONCLUSION: The final results of the German Dermatologic Cooperative Oncology Group trial with a median follow up of 72 months showed higher event rates, but similar HRs compared with those at the 3-year analysis. These results confirm that immediate CLND in SLN-positive patients is not superior to observation in terms of DMFS, RFS, or OS and support not recommending CLND in patients with SLN metastasis.

Tumor mutation burden and circulating tumor DNA in combined CTLA-4 and PD-1 antibody therapy in metastatic melanoma - results of a prospective biomarker study.

BACKGROUND: Metastasized or unresectable melanoma has been the first malignant tumor to be successfully treated with checkpoint inhibitors. Nevertheless, about 40-50% of the patients do not respond to these treatments and severe side effects are observed in up to 60%. Therefore, there is a high need to identify reliable biomarkers predicting response. Tumor Mutation Burden (TMB) is a debated predictor for response to checkpoint inhibitors and early measurement of ctDNA can help to detect treatment failure to immunotherapy in selected melanoma patients. However, it has not yet been clarified how TMB and ctDNA can be used to estimate response to combined CTLA-4 and PD-1 antibody therapy in metastatic melanoma. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In this prospective biomarker study, we included 35 melanoma patients with ipilimumab (anti-CTLA-4) and nivolumab (anti-PD-1) therapy. In all patients, a tumor panel of 710 tumor-associated genes was applied (tumor vs. reference tissue comparison), followed by repetitive liquid biopsies. Cell-free DNA was extracted and at least one driver mutation was monitored. Treatment response was evaluated after about three months of therapy. RESULTS: TMB was significantly higher in responders than in nonresponders and TMB > 23.1 Mut/Mb (TMB-high) was associated with a survival benefit compared to TMB ≤ 23.1 Mut/Mb (TMB-low or TMB-intermediate). Furthermore, a > 50% decrease of cell-free DNA concentration or undetectable circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), measured by tumor-specific variant copies/ml of plasma at first follow-up three weeks after treatment initiation were significantly associated with response to combined immunotherapy and improved overall survival, respectively. It is noticeable that no patient with TMB ≤ 23.1 Mut/Mb and detectable or increasing ctDNA at first follow-up responded to immunotherapy. CONCLUSION: High TMB, > 50% decrease of cell-free DNA concentration, and undetectable ctDNA at first follow-up seem to be associated with response and overall survival under combined immunotherapy. The evaluation of ctDNA and cell-free DNA three weeks after treatment initiation may be suitable for early assessment of efficacy of immunotherapy.