Clinical prediction models for treatment outcomes in newly diagnosed epilepsy: A systematic review.

Up to 35% of individuals diagnosed with epilepsy continue to have seizures despite treatment, commonly referred to as drug-resistant epilepsy. Uncontrolled seizures can directly, or indirectly, negatively impact an individual's quality of life. To inform clinical management and life decisions, it is important to be able to predict the likelihood of seizure control. Those likely to achieve seizure control will be able to return sooner to their usual work and leisure activities and require less follow-up, whereas those with a poor prognosis will need more frequent clinical attendance and earlier consideration of epilepsy surgery. This is a systematic review aimed at identifying demographic, clinical, physiological (e.g., electroencephalographic), and imaging (e.g., magnetic resonance imaging) factors that may be predictive of treatment outcomes in patients with newly diagnosed epilepsy (NDE). MEDLINE and Embase were searched for prediction models of treatment outcomes in patients with NDE. Study characteristics were extracted and subjected to assessment of risk of bias (and applicability concerns) using the PROBAST (Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool) tool. Baseline variables associated with treatment outcomes are reported as prognostic factors. After screening, 48 models were identified in 32 studies, which generally scored low for concerns of applicability, but universally scored high for susceptibility to bias. Outcomes reported fit broadly into four categories: drug resistance, short-term treatment response, seizure remission, and mortality. Prognostic factors were also heterogenous, but the predictors that were commonly significantly associated with outcomes were those related to seizure characteristics/types, epilepsy history, and age at onset. Antiseizure medication response was often included as a baseline variable, potentially obscuring other factor relationships at baseline. Currently, outcome prediction models for NDE demonstrate a high risk of bias. Model development could be improved with a stronger adherence to recommended TRIPOD (Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis) practices. Furthermore, we outline actionable changes to common practices that are intended to improve the overall quality of prediction model development in NDE.

A structural magnetic resonance imaging review of clinical motor outcomes from deep brain stimulation in movement disorders.

Patients with movement disorders treated by deep brain stimulation do not always achieve successful therapeutic alleviation of motor symptoms, even in cases where surgery is without complications. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) offers methods to investigate structural brain-related factors that may be predictive of clinical motor outcomes. This review aimed to identify features which have been associated with variability in clinical post-operative motor outcomes in patients with Parkinson's disease, dystonia, and essential tremor from structural MRI modalities. We performed a literature search for articles published between 1 January 2000 and 1 April 2022 and identified 5197 articles. Following screening through our inclusion criteria, we identified 60 total studies (39 = Parkinson's disease, 11 = dystonia syndromes and 10 = essential tremor). The review captured a range of structural MRI methods and analysis techniques used to identify factors related to clinical post-operative motor outcomes from deep brain stimulation. Morphometric markers, including volume and cortical thickness were commonly identified in studies focused on patients with Parkinson's disease and dystonia syndromes. Reduced metrics in basal ganglia, sensorimotor and frontal regions showed frequent associations with reduced motor outcomes. Increased structural connectivity to subcortical nuclei, sensorimotor and frontal regions was also associated with greater motor outcomes. In patients with tremor, increased structural connectivity to the cerebellum and cortical motor regions showed high prevalence across studies for greater clinical motor outcomes. In addition, we highlight conceptual issues for studies assessing clinical response with structural MRI and discuss future approaches towards optimizing individualized therapeutic benefits. Although quantitative MRI markers are in their infancy for clinical purposes in movement disorder treatments, structural features obtained from MRI offer the powerful potential to identify candidates who are more likely to benefit from deep brain stimulation and provide insight into the complexity of disorder pathophysiology.

Neurocysticercosis-related seizures: Imaging biomarkers.

Neurocysticercosis (NCC)-a parasitic CNS infection endemic to developing nations-has been called the leading global cause of acquired epilepsy yet remains understudied. It is currently unknown why a large proportion of patients develop recurrent seizures, often following the presentation of acute seizures. Furthermore, the presentation of NCC is heterogenous and the features that predispose to the development of an epileptogenic state remain uncertain. Perilesional factors (such as oedema and gliosis) have been implicated in NCC-related ictogenesis, but the effects of cystic factors, including lesion load and location, seem not to play a role in the development of habitual epilepsy. In addition, the cytotoxic consequences of the cyst's degenerative stages are varied and the majority of research, relying on retrospective data, lacks the necessary specificity to distinguish between acute symptomatic and unprovoked seizures. Previous research has established that epileptogenesis can be the consequence of abnormal network connectivity, and some imaging studies have suggested that a causative link may exist between NCC and aberrant network organisation. In wider epilepsy research, network approaches have been widely adopted; studies benefiting predominantly from the rich, multimodal data provided by advanced MRI methods are at the forefront of the field. Quantitative MRI approaches have the potential to elucidate the lesser-understood epileptogenic mechanisms of NCC. This review will summarise the current understanding of the relationship between NCC and epilepsy, with a focus on MRI methodologies. In addition, network neuroscience approaches with putative value will be highlighted, drawing from current imaging trends in epilepsy research.

Fingerprinting seizure outcome after temporal lobe surgery using preoperative connectomic mapping.

This scientific commentary refers to 'Presurgical temporal lobe epilepsy connectome fingerprint for seizure outcome prediction' by Morgan et al. (https://doi.org/10.1093/braincomms/fcac128) in Brain Communications.

Association Between Anatomical Location of Surgically Induced Lesions and Postoperative Seizure Outcome in Temporal Lobe Epilepsy.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: To determine the association between surgical lesions of distinct gray and white structures and connections with favorable postoperative seizure outcomes. METHODS: Patients with drug-resistant temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE) from 3 epilepsy centers were included. We employed a voxel-based and connectome-based mapping approach to determine the association between favorable outcomes and surgery-induced temporal lesions. Analyses were conducted controlling for multiple confounders, including total surgical resection/ablation volume, hippocampal volumes, side of surgery, and site where the patient was treated. RESULTS: The cohort included 113 patients with TLE (54 women; 86 right-handed; mean age at seizure onset 16.5 years [SD 11.9]; 54.9% left) who were 61.1% free of disabling seizures (Engel Class 1) at follow-up. Postoperative seizure freedom in TLE was associated with (1) surgical lesions that targeted the hippocampus as well as the amygdala-piriform cortex complex and entorhinal cortices; (2) disconnection of temporal, frontal, and limbic regions through loss of white matter tracts within the uncinate fasciculus, anterior commissure, and fornix; and (3) functional disconnection of the frontal (superior and middle frontal gyri, orbitofrontal region) and temporal (superior and middle pole) lobes. DISCUSSION: Better postoperative seizure freedom is associated with surgical lesions of specific structures and connections throughout the temporal lobes. These findings shed light on the key components of epileptogenic networks in TLE and constitute a promising source of new evidence for future improvements in surgical interventions. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class II evidence that for patients with TLE, postoperative seizure freedom is associated with surgical lesions of specific temporal lobe structures and connections.

Association of Epilepsy Surgery With Changes in Imaging-Defined Brain Age.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether surgery in patients with mesial temporal lobe epilepsy (mTLE) is associated with reduced brain-predicted age as a neural marker overall brain health, we compared brain-predicted and chronologic age difference (brain age gap estimation [BrainAGE]) in patients before and after surgery with healthy controls. METHODS: We acquired 3D T1-weighted MRI scans for 48 patients with mTLE before and after temporal lobe surgery to estimate brain age using a gaussian processes regression model. We examined BrainAGE before and after surgery controlling for brain volume change, comparing patients to 37 age- and sex-matched controls. RESULTS: Preoperatively, patients showed an increased BrainAGE of more than 7 years compared to controls. However, surgery was associated with a mean BrainAGE reduction of 5 years irrespective of whether or not surgery resulted in complete seizure freedom. We observed a lateralization effect as patients with left mTLE had BrainAGE values that more closely resembled control group values following surgery. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that while morphologic brain alterations linked to accelerated aging have been observed in mTLE, surgery may be associated with changes that reverse such alterations in some patients. This work highlights the advantages of resective surgery on overall brain health in patients with refractory focal epilepsy.

Concordance between the Wada test and neuroimaging lateralization: Influence of imaging modality (fMRI and MEG) and patient experience.

The Wada test remains the traditional test for lateralizing language and memory function prior to epilepsy surgery. Functional imaging, particularly functional MRI (fMRI), has made progress in the language domain, but less so in the memory domain. Magnetoencephalography (MEG) has received less research attention, but shows promise, particularly for language lateralization. We recruited a consecutive sample of 19 patients with epilepsy who had completed presurgical work-up, including the Wada test, and compared fMRI (memory) and MEG (language and memory) with Wada test results. The main research question was the concordance between Wada and these two imaging techniques as preepilepsy surgery investigations. We were also interested in the acceptability of the three techniques to patients. Concordance rates (N=16) were nonsignificant (Cohen's Kappa) between fMRI and Wada test (memory) and between MEG and Wada test (memory and language). The Wada test was a well-established protocol used at several epilepsy surgery centers in the UK. Patients generally found the Wada test an odd, but not aversive procedure. Sixteen (84%) patients who were scanned reported some level of obtundation in MEG. We present these discordant findings in support of the position that functional imaging and the Wada test are distinctive procedures, with little in the way of overlapping mechanisms, and that patient's experience should be taken into account when procedures are selected and offered to them.

Preoperative automated fibre quantification predicts postoperative seizure outcome in temporal lobe epilepsy.

Approximately one in every two patients with pharmacoresistant temporal lobe epilepsy will not be rendered completely seizure-free after temporal lobe surgery. The reasons for this are unknown and are likely to be multifactorial. Quantitative volumetric magnetic resonance imaging techniques have provided limited insight into the causes of persistent postoperative seizures in patients with temporal lobe epilepsy. The relationship between postoperative outcome and preoperative pathology of white matter tracts, which constitute crucial components of epileptogenic networks, is unknown. We investigated regional tissue characteristics of preoperative temporal lobe white matter tracts known to be important in the generation and propagation of temporal lobe seizures in temporal lobe epilepsy, using diffusion tensor imaging and automated fibre quantification. We studied 43 patients with mesial temporal lobe epilepsy associated with hippocampal sclerosis and 44 healthy controls. Patients underwent preoperative imaging, amygdalohippocampectomy and postoperative assessment using the International League Against Epilepsy seizure outcome scale. From preoperative imaging, the fimbria-fornix, parahippocampal white matter bundle and uncinate fasciculus were reconstructed, and scalar diffusion metrics were calculated along the length of each tract. Altogether, 51.2% of patients were rendered completely seizure-free and 48.8% continued to experience postoperative seizure symptoms. Relative to controls, both patient groups exhibited strong and significant diffusion abnormalities along the length of the uncinate bilaterally, the ipsilateral parahippocampal white matter bundle, and the ipsilateral fimbria-fornix in regions located within the medial temporal lobe. However, only patients with persistent postoperative seizures showed evidence of significant pathology of tract sections located in the ipsilateral dorsal fornix and in the contralateral parahippocampal white matter bundle. Using receiver operating characteristic curves, diffusion characteristics of these regions could classify individual patients according to outcome with 84% sensitivity and 89% specificity. Pathological changes in the dorsal fornix were beyond the margins of resection, and contralateral parahippocampal changes may suggest a bitemporal disorder in some patients. Furthermore, diffusion characteristics of the ipsilateral uncinate could classify patients from controls with a sensitivity of 98%; importantly, by co-registering the preoperative fibre maps to postoperative surgical lacuna maps, we observed that the extent of uncinate resection was significantly greater in patients who were rendered seizure-free, suggesting that a smaller resection of the uncinate may represent insufficient disconnection of an anterior temporal epileptogenic network. These results may have the potential to be developed into imaging prognostic markers of postoperative outcome and provide new insights for why some patients with temporal lobe epilepsy continue to experience postoperative seizures.

Hippocampal internal architecture and postoperative seizure outcome in temporal lobe epilepsy due to hippocampal sclerosis.

PURPOSE: Semi-quantitative analysis of hippocampal internal architecture (HIA) on MRI has been shown to be a reliable predictor of the side of seizure onset in patients with temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE). In the present study, we investigated the relationship between postoperative seizure outcome and preoperative semi-quantitative measures of HIA. METHODS: We determined HIA on high in-plane resolution preoperative T2 short tau inversion recovery MR images in 79 patients with presumed unilateral mesial TLE (mTLE) due to hippocampal sclerosis (HS) who underwent amygdalohippocampectomy and postoperative follow up. HIA was investigated with respect to postoperative seizure freedom, neuronal density determined from resected hippocampal specimens, and conventionally acquired hippocampal volume. RESULTS: HIA ratings were significantly related to some neuropathological features of the resected hippocampus (e.g. neuronal density of selective CA regions, Wyler grades), and bilaterally with preoperative hippocampal volume. However, there were no significant differences in HIA ratings of the to-be-resected or contralateral hippocampus between patients rendered seizure free (ILAE 1) compared to those continuing to experience seizures (ILAE 2-5). CONCLUSIONS: This work indicates that semi-quantitative assessment of HIA on high-resolution MRI provides a surrogate marker of underlying histopathology, but cannot prospectively distinguish between patients who will continue to experience postoperative seizures and those who will be rendered seizure free. The predictive power of HIA for postoperative seizure outcome in non-lesional patients with TLE should be explored.

Predicting Surgery Targets in Temporal Lobe Epilepsy through Structural Connectome Based Simulations.

Temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE) is a prevalent neurological disorder resulting in disruptive seizures. In the case of drug resistant epilepsy resective surgery is often considered. This is a procedure hampered by unpredictable success rates, with many patients continuing to have seizures even after surgery. In this study we apply a computational model of epilepsy to patient specific structural connectivity derived from diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) of 22 individuals with left TLE and 39 healthy controls. We validate the model by examining patient-control differences in simulated seizure onset time and network location. We then investigate the potential of the model for surgery prediction by performing in silico surgical resections, removing nodes from patient networks and comparing seizure likelihood post-surgery to pre-surgery simulations. We find that, first, patients tend to transit from non-epileptic to epileptic states more often than controls in the model. Second, regions in the left hemisphere (particularly within temporal and subcortical regions) that are known to be involved in TLE are the most frequent starting points for seizures in patients in the model. In addition, our analysis also implicates regions in the contralateral and frontal locations which may play a role in seizure spreading or surgery resistance. Finally, the model predicts that patient-specific surgery (resection areas chosen on an individual, model-prompted, basis and not following a predefined procedure) may lead to better outcomes than the currently used routine clinical procedure. Taken together this work provides a first step towards patient specific computational modelling of epilepsy surgery in order to inform treatment strategies in individuals.

Presurgical entorhinal cortex volume and postoperative seizure outcome in temporal lobe epilepsy.

BACKGROUND: Although temporal lobe surgery is an effective treatment for patients with intractable mesial temporal lobe epilepsy (mTLE), a third of patients will continue to experience seizures at 2 years after surgery. The reasons are unknown. One suggestion is that patients with abnormalities of the entorhinal cortex might have a subtype of mTLE that is resistant to surgery. We investigated the association between presurgical entorhinal cortex volume and postoperative outcome in patients with mTLE. METHODS: 78 patients with intractable mTLE and unilateral hippocampal sclerosis underwent comprehensive presurgical evaluation at the Department of Epileptology, University Hospital Bonn, Germany. Patients and 76 age-matched healthy controls received an MP-RAGE T1-weighted MRI. We determined left and right entorhinal cortex volume, masked to participant identity, using rigorous manual techniques. All patients had complex partial seizures, underwent amygdalohippocampectomy, and received postoperative outcome assessment. FINDINGS: There was a significant effect of group (controls, left mTLE, right mTLE) on the volume of the left (univariate ANOVA F=29·6, p<0·001) and right (F=8·3, p<0·001) entorhinal cortex, and entorhinal asymmetry (F=92·6, p<0·001). Post-hoc analysis with Bonferroni correction revealed that patients with left (p<0·001) and right (p=0·01) mTLE had significantly reduced volume of the ipsilateral entorhinal cortex relative to controls, and patients with right mTLE also had volume reduction of the contralateral entorhinal cortex (p=0·01). We found no significant differences in entorhinal cortex volumes and clinical data between patients (n=48, 62%) surgically rendered seizure free (ILAE I-II) and patients (n=30, 38%) with persistent seizures (ILAE III-VI). INTERPRETATION: These data indicate that gross atrophy of the entorhinal cortex is not a predictor of postoperative outcome in patients with intractable mTLE. We are evaluating whether alterations in entorhinal cortex connectivity and extent of resection are related to postoperative outcome in our series of patients. FUNDING: This work was supported by a UK Medical Research Council grant awarded to SSK.

Quantitative MRI in refractory temporal lobe epilepsy: relationship with surgical outcomes.

Medically intractable temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE) remains a serious health problem. Across treatment centers, up to 40% of patients with TLE will continue to experience persistent postoperative seizures at 2-year follow-up. It is unknown why such a large number of patients continue to experience seizures despite being suitable candidates for resective surgery. Preoperative quantitative MRI techniques may provide useful information on why some patients continue to experience disabling seizures, and may have the potential to develop prognostic markers of surgical outcome. In this article, we provide an overview of how quantitative MRI morphometric and diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) data have improved the understanding of brain structural alterations in patients with refractory TLE. We subsequently review the studies that have applied quantitative structural imaging techniques to identify the neuroanatomical factors that are most strongly related to a poor postoperative prognosis. In summary, quantitative imaging studies strongly suggest that TLE is a disorder affecting a network of neurobiological systems, characterized by multiple and inter-related limbic and extra-limbic network abnormalities. The relationship between brain alterations and postoperative outcome are less consistent, but there is emerging evidence suggesting that seizures are less likely to remit with surgery when presurgical abnormalities are observed in the connectivity supporting brain regions serving as network nodes located outside the resected temporal lobe. Future work, possibly harnessing the potential from multimodal imaging approaches, may further elucidate the etiology of persistent postoperative seizures in patients with refractory TLE. Furthermore, quantitative imaging techniques may be explored to provide individualized measures of postoperative seizure freedom outcome.

Morphometric MRI alterations and postoperative seizure control in refractory temporal lobe epilepsy.

Refractory mesial temporal lobe epilepsy (mTLE) is a debilitating condition potentially amenable to resective surgery. However, between 40 and 50% patients continue to experience postoperative seizures. The development of imaging prognostic markers of postoperative seizure outcome is a crucial objective for epilepsy research. In the present study, we performed analyses of preoperative cortical thickness and subcortical surface shape on MRI in 115 of patients with mTLE and radiologically defined hippocampal sclerosis being considered for surgery, and 80 healthy controls. Patients with excellent (International League Against Epilepsy outcome (ILAE) I) and suboptimal (ILAE II-VI) postoperative outcomes had a comparable distribution of preoperative atrophy across the cortex, basal ganglia, and amygdala. Conventional volumetry of whole hippocampal and extrahippocampal subcortical structures, and of global gray and white matter, could not differentiate between patient outcome groups. However, surface shape analysis revealed localized atrophy of the thalamus bilaterally and of the posterior/lateral hippocampus contralateral to intended resection in patients with persistent postoperative seizures relative to those rendered seizure free. Data uncorrected for multiple comparisons also revealed focal atrophy of the ipsilateral hippocampus posterior to the margins of resection in patients with persistent seizures. This data indicates that persistent postoperative seizures after temporal lobe surgery are related to localized preoperative shape alterations of the thalamus bilaterally and the hippocampus contralateral to intended resection. Imaging techniques that have the potential to unlock prognostic markers of postoperative outcome in individual patients should focus assessment on a bihemispheric thalamohippocampal network in prospective patients with refractory mTLE being considered for temporal lobe surgery.

Thalamotemporal alteration and postoperative seizures in temporal lobe epilepsy.

OBJECTIVE: There are competing explanations for persistent postoperative seizures after temporal lobe surgery. One is that 1 or more particular subtypes of mesial temporal lobe epilepsy (mTLE) exist that are particularly resistant to surgery. We sought to identify a common brain structural and connectivity alteration in patients with persistent postoperative seizures using preoperative quantitative magnetic resonance imaging and diffusion tensor imaging (DTI). METHODS: We performed a series of studies in 87 patients with mTLE (47 subsequently rendered seizure free, 40 who continued to experience postoperative seizures) and 80 healthy controls. We investigated the relationship between imaging variables and postoperative seizure outcome. All patients had unilateral temporal lobe seizure onset, had ipsilateral hippocampal sclerosis as the only brain lesion, and underwent amygdalohippocampectomy. RESULTS: Quantitative imaging factors found not to be significantly associated with persistent seizures were volumes of ipsilateral and contralateral mesial temporal lobe structures, generalized brain atrophy, and extent of resection. There were nonsignificant trends for larger amygdala and entorhinal resections to be associated with improved outcome. However, patients with persistent seizures had significant atrophy of bilateral dorsomedial and pulvinar thalamic regions, and significant alterations of DTI-derived thalamotemporal probabilistic paths bilaterally relative to those patients rendered seizure free and controls, even when corrected for extent of mesial temporal lobe resection. INTERPRETATION: Patients with bihemispheric alterations of thalamotemporal structural networks may represent a subtype of mTLE that is resistant to temporal lobe surgery. Increasingly sensitive multimodal imaging techniques should endeavor to transform these group-based findings to individualize prediction of patient outcomes.

Persistent seizures following left temporal lobe surgery are associated with posterior and bilateral structural and functional brain abnormalities.

PURPOSE: To perform a quantitative MRI and retrospective electrophysiological study to investigate whether persistent post-surgical seizures may be due to brain structural and functional abnormalities in temporal lobe cortex beyond the margins of resection and/or bilateral abnormalities in patients with temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE). METHODS: In 22 patients with left TLE and histopathological evidence of hippocampal sclerosis, we compared pre-surgical brain morphology between patients surgically remedied (Engel's I) and patients with persistent post-surgical seizures (PPS, Engel's II-IV) using voxel-based morphometry (VBM). Routine pre-surgical EEG and invasive and non-invasive telemetry investigations were additionally compared between patient groups. RESULTS: Results indicated widespread structural and functional abnormalities in patients with PPS relative to surgically remedied patients. In particular, patients with PPS had significantly reduced volume of the ipsilateral posterior medial temporal lobe and contralateral medial temporal lobe relative to surgically remedied patients. Furthermore, successful surgery was associated with clear anterior (89%) and unilateral (100%) temporal lobe EEG abnormalities, whilst PPS were associated with widespread ipsilateral (91%) and bilateral (82%) temporal lobe abnormalities. DISCUSSION: We suggest that these preliminary data support the hypothesis that PPS after temporal lobe surgery are due to functionally connected epileptogenic cortex remaining in the ipsilateral posterior temporal lobe and/or in temporal lobe contralateral to resection.