A Statistical Approach to Determine the Optimal Duration of Post-Treatment Follow-Up: Application to Metastatic Nonseminomatous Germ Cell Tumors.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to present a statistical method to define an optimal duration of follow-up for patients in remission after treatment for cancer, for detection of recurrences. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Surveillance duration was estimated using the 2-step approach proposed by Mould et al. Relapse-free interval was modeled using the parametric cure model proposed by Boag. The optimal length of follow-up was then estimated as the minimal elapsed time after which the probability of a patient to relapse and to be cured with success is below a given threshold value. The method is applied to 2 real data sets of patients treated for metastatic non seminomatous germ-cell tumors: T93BP and T93MP. RESULTS: For the T93BP, cure rate was estimated at 91.3% and proportions of patients who relapsed after 3 and 5 years were estimated at 0.5% and 0.2%. With a probability of success of salvage treatment equal to 80% and 50%, numbers of delayed cases after 5 years were 2 and 1. For T93MP, the proportion of patients who presented relapse after 5 and 10 years were estimated at 5.2% and 2.6%. Considering a probability of salvage treatment equal to 20%, the number of delayed cases after 5 and 10 years were 10 and 5. CONCLUSION: Using this methodology, duration of post-therapeutic follow-up might be tailored according to an objective criteria: the number of patients who present relapse after the end of follow-up and who could have been treated with success in case of early detection.

Goodness-of-fit test for monotone proportional subdistribution hazards assumptions based on weighted residuals.

Recently goodness-of-fit tests have been proposed for checking the proportional subdistribution hazards assumptions in the Fine and Gray regression model. Zhou, Fine, and Laird proposed weighted Schoenfeld-type residuals tests derived under an assumed model with specific form of time-varying regression coefficients. Li, Sheike, and Zhang proposed an omnibus test based on cumulative sums of Schoenfeld-type residuals. In this article, we extend the class of weighted residuals tests by allowing random weights of Schoenfeld-type residuals at ordered event times. In particular, it is demonstrated that weighted residuals tests using monotone weight functions of time are consistent against monotone proportional subdistribution hazards assumptions. Extensive Monte Carlo studies were conducted to evaluate the finite-sample performance of recent goodness-of-fit tests. Results from simulation studies show that weighted residuals tests using monotone random weight functions commonly used in non-proportional hazards regression settings tend to be more powerful for detecting monotone departures than other goodness-of-fit tests assuming no specific time-varying effect or misspecified time-varying effects. Two examples using real data are provided for illustrations. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Survival, safety, and prognostic factors for outcome with Regorafenib in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer refractory to standard therapies: results from a multicenter study (REBECCA) nested within a compassionate use program.

BACKGROUND: Randomized trials have shown a survival benefit for regorafenib over placebo in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) that progressed after standard therapies. We evaluated survival and safety outcomes in patients treated with regorafenib in a real-life setting. METHODS: REBECCA is a cohort study nested within a compassionate use program designed to evaluate survival, safety, and potential prognostic factors for outcome associated with regorafenib in patients with mCRC refractory to standard therapies. Treatment effects according to various patient and tumour characteristics were evaluated using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS: Of 1178 patients in the compassionate use program, 654 were in the full analysis set. Median follow-up was 16.5 months. Median survival was 5.6 months. The 12-month survival rate was 22 %. Survival was independently and unfavourably affected by the following variables: poor performance status, short time from initial diagnosis of metastases to the start of regorafenib, low initial regorafenib dose, >3 metastatic sites, presence of liver metastases, and KRAS mutations. We identified prognostic groups of patients with low, intermediate, and high risk of death, with a median survival of 9.2, 5.2, and 2.5 months, respectively. Five-hundred-twenty-four patients (80 %) experienced at least one regorafenib-related adverse event, most commonly, fatigue, hand-foot skin reaction, diarrhea, anorexia, arterial hypertension, and mucositis. CONCLUSION: The safety and efficacy profile of regorafenib in REBECCA are similar to those in randomized trials. Our prognostic model identified subgroups of mCRC patients who derived a minimal and maximum benefit from regorafenib. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov NCT02310477 .

Preoperative chemoradiation with paclitaxel-carboplatin or with fluorouracil-oxaliplatin-folinic acid (FOLFOX) for resectable esophageal and junctional cancer: the PROTECT-1402, randomized phase 2 trial.

BACKGROUND: Often curative treatment for locally advanced resectable esophageal or gastro-esophageal junctional cancer consists of concurrent neoadjuvant radiotherapy and chemotherapy followed by surgery. Currently, one of the most commonly used chemotherapy regimens in this setting is a combination of a fluoropyrimidin and of a platinum analogue. Due to the promising results of the recent CROSS trial, another regimen combining paclitaxel and carboplatin is also widely used by European and American centers. No clinical study has shown the superiority of one treatment over the other. The objective of this Phase II study is to clarify clinical practice by comparing these two chemotherapy treatments. Our aim is to evaluate, in operable esophageal and gastro-esophageal junctional cancer, the complete resection rate and severe postoperative morbidity rate associated with these two neoadjuvant chemotherapeutic regimens (carboplatin-paclitaxel or fluorouracil-oxaliplatin-folinic acid) when each is combined with the radiation regime utilized in the CROSS trial. METHODS/DESIGN: PROTECT is a prospective, randomized, multicenter, open arms, phase II trial. Eligible patients will have a histologically confirmed adenocarcinoma or squamous cell carcinoma and be treated with neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy followed by surgery for stage IIB or stage III resectable esophageal cancer. A total of 106 patients will be randomized to receive either 3 cycles of FOLFOX combined to concurrent radiotherapy (41.4 Grays) or carboplatin and paclitaxel with the same radiation regimen, using a 1:1 allocation ratio. DISCUSSION: This ongoing trial offers the unique opportunity to compare two standards of chemotherapy delivered with a common regimen of preoperative radiation, in the setting of operable locally advanced esophageal or gastro-esophageal junctional tumors. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02359968 (ClinicalTrials.gov) (registration date: 9 FEB 2015), EudraCT: 2014-000649-62 (registration date: 10 FEB 2014).

First-Line Chemotherapy for Metastatic Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: Clinico-Biological Predictors of Disease Control.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to identify predictors of tumor control (TC) in metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients receiving first-line chemotherapy. METHODS: A development cohort of 68 patients from a prospective multicenter trial (NCT01248299) was used to identify predictors of TC at first radiological tumor assessment and to generate a predictive score for TC. That score was applied in an independent retrospective single-center validation cohort of 60 consecutive patients. RESULTS: Multivariate analysis identified three predictors of TC: body mass index ≥18.5 (OR 4.5, 95% CI 0.91-22.5), absence of bone metastasis (OR 4.6, 95% CI 0.91-23.2) and albumin ≥35 g/l (OR 3.5, 95% CI 1.0-12.1). Based on the presence or absence of these three independent prognosticators, we built a predictive model using a score from 0 to 3. In the development cohort, the TC rates were 14.3 and 78.0% and in the validation cohort 12.5 and 44.2%, for scores of 0-1 and 2-3, respectively. With negative predictive values of 85 and 88% in the development and validation cohorts, respectively, we were able to identify patients with a very low probability of TC. CONCLUSION: We have developed and validated a score that can be easily determined at the bedside to predict TC in metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients.

Sentinel lymph node identification using superparamagnetic iron oxide particles versus radioisotope: The French Sentimag feasibility trial.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The French Sentimag feasibility trial evaluated a new method for the localization of breast cancer sentinel lymph node (SLN) using Sienna+®, superparamagnetic iron oxide particles, and Sentimag® detection in comparison to the standard technique (isotopes ± blue dye). METHODS: We conducted a prospective multicentric paired comparison trial on 115 patients. SLN localization was performed using both the magnetic technique and the standard method. Detection rate and concordance between magnetic and standard tracers were calculated. Post-operative complications were assessed after 30 days. RESULTS: Results are based on 108 patients. SLN identification rate was 98.1% [93.5-99.8] for both methods, 97.2% [92.1-99.4] for Sienna+® and 95.4% [89.5-98.5] for standard technique. A mean of 2.1 SLNs per patient was removed. The concordance rate was 99.0% [94.7-100.0%] per patient and 97.4% [94.1-99.2] per node. Forty-six patients (43.4%) had nodal involvement. Among involved SLNs, concordance rate was 97.7% [88.0-99.9] per patient and 98.1% [90.1-100.0] per node. CONCLUSIONS: This new magnetic tracer is a feasible method and a promising alternative to the isotope. It could offer benefits for ambulatory surgery or sites without nuclear medicine departments. J. Surg. Oncol. 2016;113:501-507. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Brain Metastases in Patients With Germ Cell Tumors: Prognostic Factors and Treatment Options--An Analysis From the Global Germ Cell Cancer Group.

PURPOSE: To define characteristics, treatment response, and outcomes of men with brain metastases (BM) from germ cell tumors (GCT). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data from 523 men with BM from GCT were collected retrospectively from 46 centers in 13 countries by using standardized questionnaires. Clinical features were correlated with overall survival (OS) as the primary end point. RESULTS: BM were present at initial diagnosis in 228 men (group A) and at relapse in 295 men (group B). OS at 3 years (3-year OS) was superior in group A versus group B (48% v 27%; P < .001). Multiple BM and the presence of liver or bone metastasis were independent adverse prognostic factors in both groups; primary mediastinal nonseminoma (group A) and elevations of α-fetoprotein of 100 ng/mL or greater or of human chorionic gonadotropin of 5,000 U/L or greater (group B) were additional independent adverse prognostic factors. Depending on these factors, the 3-year OS ranged from 0% to 70% in group A and from 6% to 52% in group B. In group A, 99% of patients received chemotherapy; multimodality treatment or high-dose chemotherapy was not associated with statistically improved survival in multivariable analysis. In group B, only 54% of patients received chemotherapy; multimodality treatment was associated with improved survival compared with single-modality therapy (hazard ratio, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.36 to 0.73; P < .001), as was high-dose compared with conventional-dose chemotherapy (hazard ratio, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.24 to 0.70; P = .001). CONCLUSION: Men with BM from GCT have poor OS, particularly if additional risk factors are present. High-dose chemotherapy and multimodality treatment seemed to improve survival probabilities in men with BM at relapse.

Optimal scheduling of post-therapeutic follow-up of patients treated for cancer for early detection of relapses.

Post-therapeutic surveillance is one important component of cancer care. However, there still is no evidence-based strategies to schedule patients' follow-up examinations. Our approach is based on the modeling of the probability of the onset of relapse at an early asymptotic or preclinical stage and its transition to a clinical stage. For that we consider a multistate homogeneous Markov model, which includes the natural history of relapse. The model also handles separately the different types of possible relapses. The optimal schedule is provided by the calendar visit that maximizes a utility function. The methodology has been applied to laryngeal cancer. The different follow-up strategies revealed to be more efficient than those proposed by different scientific societies.

ERCC1 and CYP1B1 polymorphisms as predictors of response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in estrogen positive breast tumors.

PURPOSE: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NCT) using anthracyclines and taxanes is a standard treatment for locally advanced breast cancer. Efficacy of NCT is however variable among patients and predictive markers are expected to guide the selection of patients who will benefit from NCT. A promising approach stand with polymorphisms located in genes encoding drug transporters, drug metabolizing enzymes and target genes which can affect drug efficacy. Our study investigated the potential of 37 polymorphisms to predict response to NCT in breast cancer. METHODS: 118 women with breast adenocarcinoma were treated with FEC100 and taxotere. Genotyping was performed on germline DNA using the BioMark platform (Fluidigm). Pathological complete response (pCR) according to Sataloff criteria was correlated to clinical characteristics and genotypes using univariate and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: 25 patients (21.2%) reached complete pathologic response. pCR rate is increased in SBRIII (p = 0.009), ER negative (p = 0.005) and triple negative (p = 0.006) tumors. pCR rate is significantly increased for patients carrying at least one variant allele for BRCA1, ERCC1 or SLCO1B3, and for patients homozygous for CYP1B1. The combination of ERCC1 and CYP1B1 polymorphisms is a potential predictor of NCT response in breast cancer (pCR rate reached 50 vs 21.2% for unselected patients), and particularly in ER + breast cancer subtype where pCR rate reached 41.2 vs 13.5% for unselected patients. CONCLUSIONS: This study is the first to report ERCC1, BRCA1 and SLCO1B3 as markers of response to NCT in breast cancer. ERCC1/CYP1B1 combination might be of particular interest to predict response to NCT in breast cancer and particularly to help NCT indication for ER+ breast tumors.

Cardiac toxicity events in the PHARE trial, an adjuvant trastuzumab randomised phase III study.

BACKGROUND: This article reports, the cardiac toxicity according to 6- versus 12-month durations of adjuvant trastuzumab in PHARE randomised trial (NCT00381901). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Cardiac follow-up and Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction (LVEF) assessment by echocardiography or multigated acquisition scan were performed every 3 months while patients received trastuzumab and after completion of treatment over the first 2 years and every 6 months afterwards. The primary cardiac end-point was Cardiac Heart Failure (CHF) defined as New York Heart Association (NYHA) class III or IV. The secondary cardiac end-points were: cardiac events, cardiac dysfunctions defined by NYHA class I and II; LVEF decreases, cardiac recoveries. The cardiac subcommittee reviewed cardiac events and assessed if patients had favourable outcomes or not on the basis of trends from LVEF measurements. RESULTS: Among 3380 patients the cardiac dysfunction assessment included 14,055 and 13,218 LVEF measurements in the 12- and 6-month arms. The overall incidences of CHF were 0.65% (11/1690) and 0.53% (9/1690) in the 12 and 6 month arms, respectively (p>0.05). Cardiac dysfunction occurred in 5.9% (100/1690) and 3.4% (58/1690) of patients in the 12 and 6 month arms, respectively (p=0.001). Recoveries were observed for the majority patients and 0.79% (27/3380) of patients experienced an unfavourable cardiac outcome. CONCLUSION: PHARE confirm that the incidence of cardiac end-points remains low and mostly reversible after trastuzumab. Identification at baseline of cardiac risk categories of patients should be of interest to provide an optimal adaptation of adjuvant modalities and a shorter duration might be an option.

A phase III randomized multicenter trial evaluating cognition in post-menopausal breast cancer patients receiving adjuvant hormonotherapy.

Cognitive impairment, especially verbal episodic memory and executive function impairments, has been considered to be a possible adverse effect of aromatase inhibitors (AI). This phase III open-label study compared the impact of tamoxifen and AI on verbal episodic memory (Rey auditory verbal learning test-RAVLT) and other cognitive functions (visual memory, psychomotor speed, and executive functions) after 6 and 12 months of treatment in breast cancer patients undergoing adjuvant hormonotherapy. Menopausal chemo-naïve patients with resectable breast cancer were randomly assigned (1:1) at the end of the radiotherapy to receive tamoxifen or AI. Neuropsychological assessments, self-reported quality of life, and depression assessments were performed at baseline, before any hormonal treatment, and at 6 and 12 months. Mixed design analysis models of variance was used to compare the evolution of the scores between the groups during follow-up. A total of 74 evaluable patients were enrolled (Tamoxifen arm, n = 37; AI arm, n = 37; letrozole n = 18; anastrozole n = 16; exemestane n = 3). The median age at inclusion was 61 years (range, minimum 49-maximum 69). The patient and breast cancer characteristics were well balanced between arms. After 6 months, no significant differential effect of AI or tamoxifen was observed on the RAVLT. Moreover, considering the other cognitive measures and the quality of life questionnaires, there were also no differences between the groups during the 1-year follow-up. In this study, AI has not demonstrated worse adverse effects on cognitive functions than tamoxifen during a 1-year follow-up.

Primary tumor delineation based on (18)FDG PET for locally advanced head and neck cancer treated by chemo-radiotherapy.

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE: The use of FDG-PET for target volume delineation has been validated by our group for patients with locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) treated by concomitant chemo-radiotherapy providing a strict methodology for image acquisition and segmentation. The aims of this study were (1) to confirm these results in a multicentric setting, and (2) to evaluate the clinical outcome in a prospective series of patients treated with FDG-PET scan-based radiotherapy planning. MATERIAL/METHODS: Forty-one patients with stage III or IV HNSCC were included in this prospective multicentric study from 2007 to 2009. Before treatment, each patient underwent head and neck endoscopy, contrast enhanced CT or MRI and FDG PET scan. Patients were treated with invert or forward planning IMRT (using dose-volume constraints on PTVs and OARs). Primary tumor GTVPET were automatically delineated using a gradient based method and were registered on the planning CT. A prophylactic (50Gy) and a therapeutic (70Gy) primary tumor CTVPET were contoured using GTVPET volume along with data provided by endoscopy and pre-treatment imaging. Nodal CTV were delineated on the planning CT using internationally accepted guidelines. PTV was created by adding a security margin of 4-5mm around CTVPET (PTVPET). At the end of the inclusion period after a minimal follow-up of 2years, target volumes (GTVCT, CTVCT, PTVCT) for the primary tumors were re-delineated on the planning CT-scan using anatomic imaging only to perform a volumetric and a dosimetric comparison. RESULTS: Mean age of the population was 59years. Oropharynx was the most common tumor location (68%), followed by oral cavity (17%), larynx (7%) and hypopharynx (7%). GTVPET contours were significantly smaller than GTVCT contours in all cases but one (average volume 28.8ml vs 40.4ml, p<0.0001). The prophylactic primary tumor target volumes (CTV 50Gy and PTV 50Gy) based on PET scan were significantly smaller (p<0.0001) in oropharynx cases. The boost target volumes (CTV 70Gy and PTV 70Gy) contoured on PET scan were also significantly smaller than the ones contoured on CT scan in all cases (p<0.0001). The dosimetry comparison showed a significant decrease in parotid and oral cavity mean dose from the PET-based plans. After completion of chemo-radiotherapy, 5 patients had selective node dissection for suspicious lymph nodes on MRI and/or PET scan; only one had a positive pathological node. At a median follow-up of 3years, the relapse-free and overall survival rates were respectively 32% and 43%. No marginal recurrence (in the CTVCT but outside the CTVPET) was observed. CONCLUSION: This study confirms that the use of (18)FDG-PET translated into smaller GTV, CTV and PTV for the primary tumor volumes in comparison with the use of CT. PET planning also demonstrated an improvement on dosimetry by lowering dose to certain organs at risk.

Lobulated enhancement evaluation in the follow-up of liver metastases treated by stereotactic body radiation therapy.

OBJECTIVE: The Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) can have limitations when used to evaluate local treatments for cancer, especially for liver malignancies treated by stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT). The aim of this study was to validate the relationship between the occurrence of lobulated enhancement (LE) and local relapse and to evaluate the utility of this relationship for predicting local progression. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Imaging data of 59 lesions in 46 patients, including 281 computed tomographic (CT) scans, were retrospectively and blindly reviewed by 3 radiologists. One radiologist measured the lesion size, for each CT and overall, to classify responses using RECIST threshold criteria. The second studied LE occurrence. A third radiologist was later included and studied LE occurrence to evaluate the interobserver consistency for LE evaluation. RESULTS: The mean duration of follow-up was 13.6 months. LE was observed in 16 of 18 progressive lesions, occurring before size-based progression in 50% of cases, and the median delay of LE detection was 3.2 months. The sensitivity of LE to predict progression was 89%, and its specificity was 100%. The positive predictive value was 100%, the negative predictive value was 95.3%, and the overall accuracy was 97%. The probability of local progression-free survival at 12 months was significantly higher for lesions without LE compared with all lesions: 0.80 (CI 95%: 0.65-0.89) versus 0.69 (CI 95%: 0.54-0.80), respectively. The overall concordance rate between the 2 readers of LE was 97.9%. CONCLUSION: Response assessment of liver metastases treated by SBRT can be improved by including LE. This study demonstrates the diagnostic and predictive utility of LE for assessing local progression at a size still eligible for local salvage treatment.

Study protocol of REGOSARC trial: activity and safety of regorafenib in advanced soft tissue sarcoma: a multinational, randomized, placebo-controlled, phase II trial.

BACKGROUND: Angiogenesis, among other signaling pathways, plays a key-role in sarcoma biology. Regorafenib (RE) has recently been shown to be effective in imatinib and sunitinib-refractory GIST in a phase III trial. METHODS/DESIGN: We are conducting an international trial (France, Austria and Germany) consisting in 4 parallel double-blind placebo-controlled randomized (1/1) phase II trials to assess the activity and safety of RE in doxorubicin-refractory STS (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01900743). Each phase II trial is dedicated to one of the 4 following histological subgroups: liposarcoma, leiomyosarcoma, synovial sarcoma and other sarcoma. Within each randomized trial the following stratification factors will be applied: countries and prior exposure to pazopanib. Key-eligibility criteria are: measurable disease, age ≥18, not > 3 previous systemic treatment lines for metastatic disease, metastatic disease not amenable to surgical resection. The primary endpoint is progression-free survival (PFS) according to central radiological review. Secondary endpoints are: Toxicity (NCI-CTC AE V4.0); time to progression; Growth modulation index in pts receiving RE after randomization; 3 and 6 months PFS-Rates, best response rate and overall survival. Each phase II trial will be separately analyzed. In 3 trials, statistical assumptions are: PFS0 = 1.6 & PFS1 = 4.6 months; 1-sided α = 0.1; ß = 0.05 with a total sample size of 192 pts. To take into account the rarity of synovial sarcoma, the statistical assumptions are: PFS0 = 1.6 & PFS1 = 4.6 months; 1-sided α = 0.1; ß = 0.2 Tumor assessment is done monthly during the 4 first months, and every 3 months thereafter. After central radiological confirmation of tumor progression, an optional open-label option is offered to eligible patients. DISCUSSION: The design of this trial allows an assessment of regorafenib activity over placebo in four sarcoma strata and might provide evidence for launching a phase III trial. This study includes both integrative and exploratory translational research program. The study is enrolling since June 2013 (TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: EudraCT N°: 2012-005743-24, on the 15(th) February 2012).

What is the normal tissues morbidity following Helical Intensity Modulated Radiation Treatment for cervical cancer?

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: To report on normal tissues morbidity following IMRT for cervix cancer. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The first 61 patients of a prospective series were included. 50 Gy to the PTV 1(pelvis) and 60 Gy to the PTV 2 (centro-pelvic disease and GTV nodes) were delivered concomitantly in 28 fractions, followed by a brachytherapy boost. For the small bowel, 50 Gy was the maximal dose, while V45 and V40 had to be <50 cc and 200 cc, respectively. For the bladder, rectum and sigmoid structures, 60 Gy was the maximal dose, and V45 and V40 had to be <20% and <50%. Acute and late toxicity data were prospectively collected. RESULTS: The median follow-up period was 40 months (range: 23-60). 30% and 90% of acute and moderate late side effects were reported respectively. Considering the AUC data of the organs at risk (OAR) DVH, late morbidity and doses were significantly linked (p⩽0.03), predominantly between 10 Gy and 40 Gy, considering the small bowel and sigmoid colon. The high dose regions exhibited no significant impact. CONCLUSION: The moderate dose volumes represent the predominant cause of morbidity after IMRT. Prospective trials are thus required to investigate new ways of dose distribution within the OAR.

[The role of the expansion cohort in phase I trials in oncology: guidelines of the phase I HUB]. / Le rôle des cohortes d'expansion dans les essais de phase I en cancérologie : des recommandations du HUB phase I.

At the end of the dose escalation step of phase I trials in oncology, it is increasingly frequent to include patients in expansion cohorts. However, the objective of the expansion cohorts, the number of patients included and their justification are insufficiently explained in the protocols. These cohorts are sometimes of considerable size. The aim of this article is to outline the methodology of expansion cohorts in order to provide recommendations for their planning in practice. This work has been undertaken in collaboration with the statisticians of the early phase investigation centers (CLIP(2)), supported by INCA. First, we have outlined the recent articles published on the expansion cohorts in phase I. We then proposed recommendations, in terms of objectives and number of patients to be included, to guide investigators and facilitate the use of these expansion cohorts in practice. Manji et al. have identified 149 phase I clinical trials using expansion cohorts in oncology with a review of the literature between 2006 and 2011 (Manji et al., 2013). Objectives of the expansion cohort were reported in 111 trials (74%). In these trials, safety was the most reported objective (80% of trials), followed by efficacy (45%). According to this review, the number of patients included in these cohorts was insufficiently justified. This result was confirmed by the study of literature that we conducted over the period 2011-2014. We propose to define the number of patients to be included in expansion cohorts in terms of (1) their objectives, (2) the statistical criteria and (3) the clinical context of the trial. The toxicity study remains the primary objective to evaluate in the expansion phase. In some contexts, the activity study is considered as co-primary objective, either for identifying preliminary signs of activity in studies like screening, or for studying the activity when the target population is known. This study is then considered as phase I/II, and experience plans of phase II can be adapted for planning expansion cohorts. Recommendations for the size of expansion cohorts are proposed. Despite the exploratory character of the expansion cohort, a justification of their size based on assumptions statistically defined is recommended in order to provide an interpretable conclusion and to quantify the risk of errors.

Radiation-induced CD8 T-lymphocyte Apoptosis as a Predictor of Breast Fibrosis After Radiotherapy: Results of the Prospective Multicenter French Trial.

BACKGROUND: Monocentric cohorts suggested that radiation-induced CD8 T-lymphocyte apoptosis (RILA) can predict late toxicity after curative intent radiotherapy (RT). We assessed the role of RILA as a predictor of breast fibrosis (bf +) after adjuvant breast RT in a prospective multicenter trial. METHODS: A total of 502 breast-cancer patients (pts) treated by conservative surgery and adjuvant RT were recruited at ten centers. RILA was assessed before RT by flow cytometry. Impact of RILA on bf + (primary endpoint) or relapse was assessed using a competing risk method. Receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were also performed in intention to treat. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00893035 and final analyses are presented here. FINDINGS: Four hundred and fifty-six pts (90.8%) were included in the final analysis. One hundred and eight pts (23.7%) received whole breast and node irradiation. A boost dose of 10-16 Gy was delivered in 449 pts (98.5%). Adjuvant hormonotherapy was administered to 349 pts (76.5%). With a median follow-up of 38.6 months, grade ≥ 2 bf + was observed in 64 pts (14%). A decreased incidence of grade ≥ 2 bf + was observed for increasing values of RILA (p = 0.012). No grade 3 bf + was observed for patients with RILA ≥ 12%. The area under the ROC curve was 0.62. For cut-off values of RILA ≥ 20% and < 12%, sensitivity and specificity were 80% and 34%, 56% and 67%, respectively. Negative predictive value for grade ≥ 2 bf + was equal to 91% for RILA ≥ 20% and positive predictive value was equal to 22% for RILA < 12% where the overall prevalence of grade ≥ 2 bf + was estimated at 14%. A significant decrease in the risk of grade ≥ 2 bf + was found if patients had no adjuvant hormonotherapy (sHR = 0.31, p = 0.007) and presented a RILA ≥ 12% (sHR = 0.45, p = 0.002). INTERPRETATION: RILA significantly predicts the risk of breast fibrosis. This study validates the use of RILA as a rapid screening test before RT delivery and will change definitely our daily clinical practice in radiation oncology. FUNDING: The French National Cancer Institute (INCa) through the "Program Hospitalier de Recherche Clinique (PHRC)".

Novel technique for hepatic fiducial marker placement for stereotactic body radiation therapy.

PURPOSE: To report experience with fiducial marker insertion and describe an advantageous, novel technique for fiducial placement in the liver for stereotactic body radiation therapy with respiratory tracking. METHODS AND MATERIALS: We implanted 1444 fiducials (single: 834; linked: 610) in 328 patients with 424 hepatic lesions. Two methods of implantation were compared: the standard method (631 single fiducials) performed on 153 patients from May 2007 to May 2010, and the cube method (813 fiducials: 610 linked/203 single) applied to 175 patients from April 2010 to March 2013. The standard method involved implanting a single marker at a time. The novel technique entailed implanting 2 pairs of linked markers when possible in a way to occupy the perpendicular edges of a cube containing the tumor inside. RESULTS: Mean duration of the cube method was shorter than the standard method (46 vs 61 minutes; P<.0001). Median numbers of skin and subcapsular entries were significantly smaller with the cube method (2 vs 4, P<.0001, and 2 vs 4, P<.0001, respectively). The rate of overall complications (total, major, and minor) was significantly lower in the cube method group compared with the standard method group (5.7% vs 13.7%; P=.013). Major complications occurred while using single markers only. The success rate was 98.9% for the cube method and 99.3% for the standard method. CONCLUSIONS: We propose a new technique of hepatic fiducial implantation that makes use of linked fiducials and involves fewer skin entries and shorter time of implantation. The technique is less complication-prone and is migration-resistant.

What is an active regimen in carcinoma of unknown primary sites? Analysis of correlation between activity endpoints reported in phase II trials. Correlation of activity endpoints in phase II trials.

BACKGROUND: The choice of the activity endpoint is crucial when designing phase II screening trials. This choice is usually guided by convention, but the level of evidence for picking-up one of them is limited. METHODS: We have analysed the phase II trials in carcinoma of unknown primary patients (CUP; 48 strata). We calculated the Pearson correlation coefficient using weighted linear regression to measure the degree of association between the different available activity endpoints (Best objective response - BORR, best tumour control rate - BTCR, 3- and 6-month progression-free rates, 3- and 6-month PFR and median progression-free survival). We also explored the correlation between these endpoints and OS. RESULTS: All activity endpoints were strongly correlated in CUP studies; all of these endpoints were strongly correlated with OS. The median BORR across the studies was 30%. Positive trials defined by BORR ≥ 30% were associated with statistically longer PFS (4.8 versus 3.7 months, P = 0.013) and OS (10.0 versus 8.0, P = 0.0007). DISCUSSION: In phase II studies with CUP patients, BORR and the threshold of BORR > 30% for defining promising drug appears adequate.