Temporal trends in cardiovascular outcomes and costs among patients with type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a strong risk factor for cardiovascular (CV) disease. CV outcomes in T2D have generally been improving over time but recent data from the US suggest attenuation of trends in older adults with reversal of trends in younger adults. However, published data are only reported through 2015. OBJECTIVES: To quantify trends over time in CV outcomes from 2001 to 2018, and describe changes over time in health care costs in T2D. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study incorporated data from a regional health insurance plan. Study outcomes included acute myocardial infarction (AMI), ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, heart failure hospitalization (HFH), percutaneous coronary intervention, coronary artery bypass surgery, and all-cause mortality. Poisson regression estimated rate ratios across the entire 17-year study period (RR17). RESULTS: Among 79,392 T2D members tracked on average 4.1 years, overall trends in AMI (RR17 = 0.69; 95% CI: 0.64, 0.74), HFH (RR17 = 0.82; 0.79, 0.86), and all-cause mortality (RR17 = 0.87; 0.84, 0.91) improved while ischemic stroke (RR17 = 2.36; 2.16, 2.57) worsened. For AMI, HFH, and all-cause mortality, trends in older age groups were significantly better than in younger age groups (interaction P-values < .001). Health care costs related to pharmaceuticals (+15%/year) and emergency department (ED) visits (>15%/year) increased at faster rates than other utilization metrics (+10%/year). CONCLUSIONS: In T2D, overall trends in most CV outcomes improved but smaller improvements or worsening trends were observed in younger patients. Health care costs accelerated at faster rates for medications and ED visits.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of semaglutide 2.4 mg for the treatment of adult patients with overweight and obesity in the United States.

BACKGROUND: The rising prevalence and associated public health burden of obesity has led to advancements in pharmaceuticals for weight management. Semaglutide 2.4 mg, an anti-obesity medication (AOM) recently approved by the US Food and Drug Administration, has demonstrated clinically relevant weight loss in its phase 3 clinical trials. Economic evaluation comparing semaglutide 2.4 mg with other available weight management therapies is essential to inform payers for decision-making. OBJECTIVES: To assess the cost-effectiveness of semaglutide 2.4 mg in the treatment of adult patients with obesity (ie, body mass index [BMI] ≥ 30) and adult patients who are overweight (ie, BMI 27-29.9) with 1 or more weight-related comorbidities from a US third-party payer perspective. METHODS: A cohort Markov model was constructed to compare semaglutide 2.4 mg with the following comparators: no treatment, diet and exercise (D&E), and 3 branded AOMs (liraglutide 3 mg, phentermine-topiramate, and naltrexone-bupropion). All AOMs, including semaglutide 2.4 mg, were assumed to be taken in conjunction with D&E. Changes in BMI, blood pressure, cholesterol level, experience of acute and chronic obesity-related complications, costs, and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were simulated over 30 years based on pivotal trials of the AOMs and other relevant literature. Drug and health care prices reflect 2021 standardized values. Cost-effectiveness was examined with a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $150,000 per QALY gained. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to test the robustness of the cost-effectiveness results to plausible variation in model inputs. RESULTS: In the base-case analysis, treatment with semaglutide 2.4 mg was estimated to improve QALYs by 0.138 to 0.925 and incur higher costs by $3,254 to $25,086 over the 30-year time horizon vs comparators. Semaglutide 2.4 mg is cost-effective against all comparators at the prespecified WTP threshold, with the incremental cost per QALY gained ranging from $23,556 to $144,296 per QALY gained. In the sensitivity analysis, extended maximum treatment duration, types of subsequent treatment following therapy discontinuation, and weight-rebound rates were identified as key drivers for model results. The estimated probability of semaglutide 2.4 mg being cost-effective compared with comparators ranged from 67% to 100% when varying model parameters and assumptions. CONCLUSIONS: As a long-term weight management therapy, semaglutide 2.4 mg was estimated to be cost-effective compared with no treatment, D&E alone, and all other branded AOM comparators under a WTP threshold of $150,000 per QALY gained over a 30-year time horizon. DISCLOSURES: Financial support for this research was provided by Novo Nordisk Inc. The study sponsor was involved in several aspects of the research, including the study design, the interpretation of data, the writing of the manuscript, and the decision to submit the manuscript for publication. Dr Kim and Ms Ramasamy are employees of Novo Nordisk Inc. Ms Kumar and Dr Burudpakdee were employees of Novo Nordisk Inc at the time this study was conducted. Dr Sullivan received research support from Novo Nordisk Inc for this study. Drs Wang, Song, Wu, Ms Xie, and Ms Sun are employees of Analysis Group, Inc, who received consultancy fees from Novo Nordisk Inc in connection with this study.

Changes over time in the cardiovascular risk profile of type 2 diabetes from 2007 to 2020: A community-based study.

AIMS: To quantify changes over time in cardiovascular (CV) risk factor control and in the uptake of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors from 2007 to 2020 in a real-world community-based cohort of type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study identified 95 461 T2D patients, who were followed for an average of 6.4 years through a single healthcare organization's electronic health record. The primary outcome was global risk factor control according to four factors ("ABCS"): glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c [<8%]); Blood pressure (systolic/diastolic <140/90 mmHg); Cholesterol (non-HDL cholesterol <130 mg/dL); and Smoking (not). Concomitant presence of microvascular complications and commonly used medication classes were tracked. RESULTS: According to the ABCS metric, global risk factor control did not appreciably change over time; in 2020, 40.9% (95% confidence interval 40.2, 41.5) of patients had all four factors controlled. Among individual components, HbA1c control (<8%) worsened over time from 84% in 2007 to 78% in 2020, while lipid control (non-HDL cholesterol <130 mg/dL) improved from 59% to 72%. Coexisting microvascular complications were more prevalent over time; for example, neuropathy prevalence increased from 21% (2007) to 35% (2020). Use of thiazolidinediones and sulphonylureas decreased over time while metformin, insulin, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor, GLP-1RA and SGLT2 inhibitor use increased. In 2020, GLP-1RAs and SGLT2 inhibitors were each used by 13% of T2D patients. CONCLUSIONS: In this community-based study, global CV risk factor control in T2D did not improve, although glycaemic control worsened and lipid control improved. Given increased uptake of GLP-1RAs and SGLT2 inhibitors, the collective effect of these changes on CV outcomes warrants evaluation.

Effects of sustained weight loss on outcomes associated with obesity comorbidities and healthcare resource utilization.

OBJECTIVE: Determine the impact of long-term non-surgical weight loss maintenance on clinical relevance for osteoarthritis, cancer, opioid use, and depression/anxiety and healthcare resource utilization. METHODS: A cohort of adults receiving primary care within Geisinger Health System between 2001-2017 was retrospectively studied. Patients with ≥3 weight measurements in the two-year index period and obesity at baseline (BMI ≥30 kg/m2) were categorized: Obesity Maintainers (reference group) maintained weight within +/-3%; Weight Loss Rebounders lost ≥5% body weight in year one, regaining ≥20% of weight loss in year two; Weight Loss Maintainers lost ≥5% body weight in year one, maintaining ≥80% of weight loss. Association with development of osteoarthritis, cancer, opioid use, and depression/anxiety, was assessed; healthcare resource utilization was quantified. Magnitude of weight loss among maintainers was evaluated for impact on health outcomes. RESULTS: In total, 63,567 patients were analyzed including 67% Obesity Maintainers, 19% Weight Loss Rebounders, and 14% Weight Loss Maintainers; median follow-up was 9.7 years. Time until osteoarthritis onset was delayed for Weight Loss Maintainers compared to Obesity Maintainers (Logrank test p <0.0001). Female Weight Loss Maintainers had a 19% and 24% lower risk of developing any cancer (p = 0.0022) or obesity-related cancer (p = 0.0021), respectively. No significant trends were observed for opioid use. Weight loss Rebounders and Maintainers had increased risk (14% and 25%) of future treatment for anxiety/depression (both <0.0001). Weight loss maintenance of >15% weight loss was associated with the greatest decrease in incident osteoarthritis. Healthcare resource utilization was significantly higher for Weight Loss Rebounders and Maintainers compared to Obesity Maintainers. Increased weight loss among Weight Loss Maintainers trended with lower overall healthcare resource utilization, except for hospitalizations. CONCLUSIONS: In people with obesity, sustained weight loss was associated with greater clinical benefits than regained short-term weight loss and obesity maintenance. Higher weight loss magnitudes were associated with delayed onset of osteoarthritis and led to decreased healthcare utilization.

IL-10 high producing genotype predisposes HIV infected individuals to TB infection.

Interleukin (IL-10), an anti-inflammatory cytokine, is known to have dual effect on the host immune system. One of these roles is that it provides an effective autoregulatory mechanism which protects the host from excessive inflammation and tissue damage which is in part initiated by the Th1 driven pro-inflammatory immune responses during infections (such as TB, HIV and malaria). However, though beneficial, this autoregulatory mechanism is at times exploited by pathogens which evade elimination by Th1 driven immune response leading to chronic infections. The main aim of this study therefore was to study the influence of IL-10 polymorphism in relation to its levels with respect to HIV-TB co-infection. A total of 452 participants were categorized into HIV (121), active tuberculosis (TB) (118), HIV-TB (HT) (106) groups and healthy control group (107). Polymorphism for IL-10 gene (positions -1082, -819, -592) was studied using ARMS-PCR, RFLP. IL-10 and IFN-γ levels in antigen stimulated cultures were measured using ELISA. Statistical analysis was performed using Chi-Square (χ(2)) test, One-way ANOVA and t-tests. IL-10 (-1082) GG genotype was positively associated with HIV-TB, whereas AG with HIV and AA with TB. The cohort with GG genotype also had significantly high stimulated levels of IL-10 compared to AG and AA. AC genotype was significantly frequent in HIV-TB group at IL-10 (-592) position when compared with controls. HIV positive individuals with GG genotype at IL-10 (-1082) position and high IL-10 levels may have a high risk of developing TB co-infection.