Combining Machine Learning and Urine Oximetry: Towards an Intraoperative AKI Risk Prediction Algorithm.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) affects up to 50% of cardiac surgery patients. The definition of AKI is based on changes in serum creatinine relative to a baseline measurement or a decrease in urine output. These monitoring methods lead to a delayed diagnosis. Monitoring the partial pressure of oxygen in urine (PuO2) may provide a method to assess the patient's AKI risk status dynamically. This study aimed to assess the predictive capability of two machine learning algorithms for AKI in cardiac surgery patients. One algorithm incorporated a feature derived from PuO2 monitoring, while the other algorithm solely relied on preoperative risk factors. The hypothesis was that the model incorporating PuO2 information would exhibit a higher area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC). An automated forward variable selection method was used to identify the best preoperative features. The AUROC for individual features derived from the PuO2 monitor was used to pick the single best PuO2-based feature. The AUROC for the preoperative plus PuO2 model vs. the preoperative-only model was 0.78 vs. 0.66 (p-value < 0.01). In summary, a model that includes an intraoperative PuO2 feature better predicts AKI than one that only includes preoperative patient data.

The impact of urine flow on urine oxygen partial pressure monitoring during cardiac surgery.

PURPOSE: Urine oxygen partial pressure (PuO2) may be useful for assessing acute kidney injury (AKI) risk. The primary purpose of this study was to quantify the ability of a novel urinary oxygen monitoring system to make real-time PuO2 measurements intraoperatively which depends on adequate urine flow. We hypothesized that PuO2 data could be acquired with enough temporal resolution to provide real-time information in both AKI and non-AKI patients. METHODS: PuO2 and urine flow were analyzed in 86 cardiac surgery patients. PuO2 data associated with low (< 0.5 ml/kg/hr) or retrograde urine flow were discarded. Patients were excluded if > 70% of their data were discarded during the respective periods, i.e., during cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB), before CPB (pre-CPB), and after CPB (post-CPB). The length of intervals of discarded data were recorded for each patient. The median length of intervals of discarded data were compared between AKI and non-AKI patients and between surgical periods. RESULTS: There were more valid PuO2 data in CPB and post-CPB periods compared to the pre-CPB period (81% and 90% vs. 31% of patients included, respectively; p < 0.001 and p < 0.001). Most intervals of discarded data were < 3 minutes during CPB (96%) and post-CPB (98%). The median length was < 25 s during all periods and there was no significant difference in the group median length of discarded data intervals for AKI and non-AKI patients. CONCLUSIONS: PuO2 measurements were acquired with enough temporal resolution to demonstrate real-time PuO2 monitoring during CPB and the post-CPB period. GOV IDENTIFIER: NCT03335865, First Posted Date: Nov. 8th, 2017.

Noninvasive Urine Oxygen Monitoring and the Risk of Acute Kidney Injury in Cardiac Surgery.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common complication of cardiac surgery. An intraoperative monitor of kidney perfusion is needed to identify patients at risk for AKI. The authors created a noninvasive urinary oximeter that provides continuous measurements of urinary oxygen partial pressure and instantaneous urine flow. They hypothesized that intraoperative urinary oxygen partial pressure measurements are feasible with this prototype device and that low urinary oxygen partial pressure during cardiac surgery is associated with the subsequent development of AKI. METHODS: This was a prospective observational pilot study. Continuous urinary oxygen partial pressure and instantaneous urine flow were measured in 91 patients undergoing cardiac surgery using a novel device placed between the urinary catheter and collecting bag. Data were collected throughout the surgery and for 24 h postoperatively. Clinicians were blinded to the intraoperative urinary oxygen partial pressure and instantaneous flow data. Patients were then followed postoperatively, and the incidence of AKI was compared to urinary oxygen partial pressure measurements. RESULTS: Intraoperative urinary oxygen partial pressure measurements were feasible in 86/91 (95%) of patients. When urinary oxygen partial pressure data were filtered for valid urine flows greater than 0.5 ml · kg-1 · h-1, then 70/86 (81%) and 77/86 (90%) of patients in the cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) and post-CPB periods, respectively, were included in the analysis. Mean urinary oxygen partial pressure in the post-CPB period was significantly lower in patients who subsequently developed AKI than in those who did not (mean difference, 6 mmHg; 95% CI, 0 to 11; P = 0.038). In a multivariable analysis, mean urinary oxygen partial pressure during the post-CPB period remained an independent risk factor for AKI (relative risk, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.71 to 0.95; P = 0.009 for every 10-mmHg increase in mean urinary oxygen partial pressure). CONCLUSIONS: Low urinary oxygen partial pressures after CPB may be associated with the subsequent development of AKI after cardiac surgery.

Intraoperative Urinary Biomarkers and Acute Kidney Injury After Cardiac Surgery.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the association of intraoperative urinary biomarker excretion during cardiac surgery and the subsequent development of acute kidney injury (AKI). DESIGN: Prospective, nonrandomized, observational study. SETTING: Single tertiary-level, university-affiliated hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Ninety patients undergoing cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB). INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Urinary samples were collected every 30 minutes intraoperatively and then at four, 12, and 24 hours after CPB. Samples were measured for interleukin 18 (IL-18), kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM1), and creatinine concentrations. Urinary biomarker excretion (raw and indexed to creatinine) for four intraoperative and three postoperative points were compared between patients with and those without subsequent AKI defined by increased serum creatinine concentration ≥0.3 mg/dL within the first 48 hours or ≥1.5 times baseline within seven days. Raw and indexed median IL-18 values were similar between AKI groups at all intraoperative points, but became significantly different at 12 hours after CPB. Raw and indexed median KIM1 values were significantly different between AKI groups at multiple intraoperative points and at four and 12 hours after CPB. During intraoperative and postoperative points, patients in the fourth quartile of KIM1 excretion had greater AKI incidence and longer intensive care and hospital lengths of stay than those in the first quartile. Only postoperatively did the differences in these outcomes between the fourth and first quartile of IL-18 excretion occur. CONCLUSIONS: Intraoperative KIM1 but not IL-18 excretion was associated with postoperative development of AKI.

Metabolomic Profile in HFpEF vs HFrEF Patients.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) are associated with metabolic derangements, which may have different pathophysiological implications. METHODS AND RESULTS: In new-onset HFpEF (EF of ≥50%, n = 46) and HFrEF (EF of <40%, n = 75) patients, 109 endogenous plasma metabolites including amino acids, phospholipids and acylcarnitines were assessed using targeted metabolomics. Differentially altered metabolites and associations with clinical characteristics were explored. Patients with HFpEF were older, more often female with hypertension, atrial fibrillation, and diabetes compared with patients with HFrEF. Patients with HFpEF displayed higher levels of hydroxyproline and symmetric dimethyl arginine, alanine, cystine, and kynurenine reflecting fibrosis, inflammation and oxidative stress. Serine, cGMP, cAMP, l-carnitine, lysophophatidylcholine (18:2), lactate, and arginine were lower compared with patients with HFrEF. In patients with HFpEF with diabetes, kynurenine was higher (P = .014) and arginine lower (P = .014) vs patients with no diabetes, but did not differ with diabetes status in HFrEF. Decreasing kynurenine was associated with higher eGFR only in HFpEF (Pinteraction = .020). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with new-onset HFpEF compared with patients with new-onset HFrEF display a different metabolic profile associated with comorbidities, such as diabetes and kidney dysfunction. HFpEF is associated with indices of increased inflammation and oxidative stress, impaired lipid metabolism, increased collagen synthesis, and downregulated nitric oxide signaling. Together, these findings suggest a more predominant systemic microvascular endothelial dysfunction and inflammation linked to increased fibrosis in HFpEF compared with HFrEF. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03671122 https://clinicaltrials.gov.

Validation of data quality in the Swedish National Register for Breast Cancer.

BACKGROUND: The National Breast Cancer Register (NBCR) of Sweden was launched in 2008 and is used for quality assurance, benchmarking, and research. Its three reporting forms encompass Notification, Adjuvant therapy and Follow-up. Target levels are set by national and international guidelines. This national validation assessed data quality of the register. METHODS: Data recorded through the Notification form were evaluated for completeness, timeliness, comparability and validity. Completeness was assessed by cross-linkage to the Swedish Cancer Register (SCR). Comparability was analyzed by comparing registration routines in NBCR with national and international guidelines. Timeliness was defined as the difference between the earliest date of diagnosis and the reporting date to NBCR. Validity was assessed by re-abstraction of medical chart data for 800 randomly selected patients diagnosed in 2013. RESULTS: The completeness of the NBCR was high with a coverage across regions and years (2010-2014) of 99.9%. Of all incident cases reported to the NBCR in 2013 (N = 8654), 98.5% were included within 12 months and differences between health regions were essentially negligible. Coding procedures followed guidelines and were uniformly adhered to. The proportion of missing values was < 5% for most variables and reported information generally had high exact agreement (> 90%). CONCLUSIONS: Completeness of data, comparability and agreement in the NBCR was high. For clinical quality purposes and benchmarking, improved timeliness is warranted. Assessment of validity has resulted in a thorough review of all variables included in the Notification form with clarifications and revision of selected variables.

Accurate measurement of endogenous adenosine in human blood.

Accurate determination of in vivo circulating concentrations of extracellular adenosine in blood samples is challenging due to the rapid formation and rapid clearance of adenosine in blood. A blood collection protocol was developed based on direct sampling of venous blood into, and instant mixing with, a STOP solution developed to conserve in vivo adenosine concentrations by completely preventing both its formation and clearance in collected blood. Stable isotope labeled AMP and adenosine spiked into blood ex vivo were used in combination with mass spectrometry to evaluate conservation of adenosine and prevention of its formation. A number of approved drugs, including the P2Y12 antagonist ticagrelor, have been described to increase extracellular adenosine. This may contribute to its clinical profile, highlighting the importance of accurate measurement of in vivo adenosine concentrations.A high sensitive ultra performance liquid chromatography-tandem- mass spectrometry (UPLC-tandem-MS) analytical method for plasma adenosine was developed and validated with a lower limit of quantification of 2 nmol/L. The method demonstrated plasma adenosine stability during sample processing and analytical method performance relevant to human blood samples. The final STOP solution proved able to conserve exogenous adenosine and to prevent adenosine formation from exogenous AMP added in vitro to human blood over 15 minutes. The mean endogenous adenosine concentration in plasma prepared from venous blood collected from 10 healthy volunteers was 13 ± 7 nmol/L. Finally, the method was used to demonstrate the previously described concentration-dependent ability of ticagrelor to conserve extracellular adenosine at clinically relevant exposures. In conclusion, we report an optimized sampling protocol and a validated analytical method for accurate measurement of in vivo circulating adenosine concentrations in human blood, suitable for use in clinical trials.

Expression of Progesterone and Androgen Receptors in the Breast of Premenopausal Women, Considering Menstrual Phase.

BACKGROUND: Progesterone and androgens are important for normal development and tumorigenesis of the breast. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Breast tissue samples from 49 premenopausal women were obtained. The progesterone receptors (PRA, PRB, PGRMC1 and PGRMC2) and the androgen receptor (AR) were determined in malignant and benign breast tumors and control tissues. RESULTS: The PRB and AR mRNA levels were highest in tumors. PGRMC1 and PGRMC2 mRNA levels were higher in malignant tumors compared to their paired normal tissues. PRA protein showed most immunostaining in benign tumors. PRB immunostaining varied according to menstrual phase. AR immunostaining was highest in the glands of malignant tumors. CONCLUSION: Progesterone and androgen receptors are differently regulated in tumors compared to normal breast tissues. A malignant breast tumor could appear PR-negative if collected in the luteal phase, but positive in the follicular phase. This finding may have clinical implications.

Expression of Estrogen Receptors in Relation to Hormone Levels and the Nottingham Prognostic Index.

BACKGROUND: Estrogen hormones have a large impact on both normal development and tumorigenesis of the breast. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Breast tissue samples from 49 women undergoing surgery were included. The estrogen receptors (ERα and ERß), ERα36 and G-coupled estrogen receptor-1 (GPER) were determined in benign and malignant breast tissue. RESULTS: The ERα36 and ERα mRNA levels were highest in malignant tumors. Stromal ERß immunostaining in benign tumors was higher than in the paired normal tissue. GPER expression was lowest in benign tumors. In the malignant tumors, the Nottingham Prognostic Index (NPI) correlated positively with stromal GPER and the serum testosterone level. The serum insulin-like growth factor-1 (IGF-1) level correlated negatively with GPER mRNA and glandular ERα. CONCLUSION: The expression of ERα36 is stronger in malignant breast tissue. The strong positive correlation between NPI and GPER in malignant breast stroma indicates an important role for GPER in breast cancer prognosis.

A new method to gently place biopsy needles or treatment electrodes into tissues with high target precision.

We present a new core needle biopsy and treatment electrode precision placement technique which, regardless of needle size, target lesion hardness and elasticity, makes it possible to precisely place an image guided device inside the abnormal tissue. Once inside the abnormal lesion, multiple tissue samples can be collected using a dedicated trocar and collecting system. Our unique "Fourier" driver substitutes the commonly used spring-loaded device or complements the jerky insertion technique used by experienced interventional physicians. It enables the physician to precisely and with extreme tactility maneuver even large diameter core needles or treatment-electrodes into the lesion using only a diminutive external force. This is achieved by applying supporting servo-controlled mechanical high-acceleration micro-pulses, proportional to the average vector directed by the physician. The Fourier-needle or Fourier-electrode stands completely non-moving when the system automatically goes into full idling. This means that the angle of attack successively and arbitrary can be aligned to hit the target, becoming successively symmetrically inserted into even small tumors to be treated as well as exactly hit any point outlined by real time ultrasound guiding. This kind of biopsy needle or treatment electrode placement results in a uniquely accurate and less traumatic procedure. Due to the risk of disseminating viable tumor cells the precision placement device can be combined with a computer controlled anti-seeding system, denaturizing tumor cells detached during penetration of the biopsy needle or treatment electrode.

Estrone - a partial estradiol antagonist in the normal breast.

Oral hormone replacement therapy (HRT) based on estradiol-17ß (E2) greatly increases circulating estrone (E1) levels. E1 is an estrogen receptor agonist but may also be a partial E2 antagonist. We investigated the effects of circulating E1 on the association between circulating E2 and the increase in mammographic density (∂MD) in 46 healthy post-menopausal women treated with E2 2 mg and norethisterone acetate 1 mg daily. MD and serum E1 and E2 were measured before and after 6 months of treatment. At high E1 levels, ∂MD showed significant positive correlations leading to increase (∂-values) in both E1 and E2. Lowering the upper serum E1 limit strengthened the correlations to ∂E2 while the significant correlations to ∂E1 disappeared. E1 at high concentrations may act as a partial E2 antagonist also in the normal breast in vivo and disturb relationships between circulating E2 and biological estrogen effects. When investigating the relations between circulating steroids and their effects, structurally related compounds, which may act as partial antagonists, have to be considered, at least when they are present in higher concentrations.

Effects of pharmacological AMP deaminase inhibition and Ampd1 deletion on nucleotide levels and AMPK activation in contracting skeletal muscle.

AMP-activated protein kinase (AMPK) plays a central role in regulating metabolism and energy homeostasis. It achieves its function by sensing fluctuations in the AMP:ATP ratio. AMP deaminase (AMPD) converts AMP into IMP, and the AMPD1 isoenzyme is expressed in skeletal muscles. Here, effects of pharmacological inhibition and genetic deletion of AMPD were examined in contracting skeletal muscles. Pharmacological AMPD inhibition potentiated rises in AMP, AMP:ATP ratio, AMPK Thr172, and acetyl-CoA carboxylase (ACC) Ser218 phosphorylation induced by electrical stimulation, without affecting glucose transport. In incubated extensor digitorum longus and soleus muscles from Ampd1 knockout mice, increases in AMP levels and AMP:ATP ratio by electrical stimulation were potentiated considerably compared with muscles from wild-type mice, whereas enhanced AMPK activation was moderate and only observed in soleus, suggesting control by factors other than changes in adenine nucleotides. AMPD inhibitors could be useful tools for enhancing AMPK activation in cells and tissues during ATP-depletion.

Inhibition of AMP deaminase activity does not improve glucose control in rodent models of insulin resistance or diabetes.

Inhibition of AMP deaminase (AMPD) holds the potential to elevate intracellular adenosine and AMP levels and, therefore, to augment adenosine signaling and activation of AMP-activated protein kinase (AMPK). To test the latter hypothesis, novel AMPD pan inhibitors were synthesized and explored using a panel of in vitro, ex vivo, and in vivo models focusing on confirming AMPD inhibitory potency and the potential of AMPD inhibition to improve glucose control in vivo. Repeated dosing of selected inhibitors did not improve glucose control in insulin-resistant or diabetic rodent disease models. Mice with genetic deletion of the muscle-specific isoform Ampd1 did not showany favorable metabolic phenotype despite being challenged with high-fat diet feeding. Therefore, these results do not support the development of AMPD inhibitors for the treatment of type 2 diabetes.

Preoperative MRI of the breast (POMB) influences primary treatment in breast cancer: a prospective, randomized, multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Breast magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has shown high sensitivity in determining tumor extent, multifocality, and occult contralateral breast cancer. Low specificity, unnecessary mastectomies, and costs are arguments against MRI. The purpose of this study was to determine whether preoperative breast MRI would affect primary surgical management, reduce reexcision/reoperation procedures, and influence the choice of neoadjuvant treatment in patients with newly diagnosed breast cancer. METHODS: This prospective, randomized, multicenter study included 440 breast cancer patients younger than aged 56 years from three, Swedish, large-volume breast units. Patients were randomly allocated on a 1:1 basis to either preoperative staging with breast MRI (n = 220) or no breast MRI (n = 220) (control group). Treatment planning of all patients was discussed at multidisciplinary team conferences. RESULTS: In patients randomized to the MRI group, who had an observed higher percentage of planned breast-conserving surgery (BCS) compared with the control group, a change from suggested breast conservation to mastectomy occurred in 23 of 153 (15 %) patients. Breast MRI provided additional information in 83 of 220 (38 %) patients, which caused a change in treatment plan in 40 (18 %). The breast reoperation rate was significantly lower in the MRI group: 11 of 220 (5 %) versus 33 of 220 (15 %) in the control group (p < 0.001). The number of mastectomies, axillary reoperations, and the number of patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy after definitive treatment did not differ significantly between the groups. CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative staging with breast MRI in women younger than age 56 years altered the treatment plan in 18 % of the patients. Although a higher MRI-related conversion rate from breast conservation to mastectomy was found, the final numbers of mastectomies did not differ between the two groups. The breast reoperation rate in the MRI group was significantly reduced.

Minimally-invasive treatment of early stage breast cancer: a feasibility study using radiofrequency ablation under local anesthesia.

The objective of this study was to assess efficacy and safety of percutaneous ultrasound (US) guided preferential radiofrequency ablation (PRFA) in early breast carcinoma under local anesthesia and to evaluate a new assessment protocol. Eighteen breast cancer patients were enrolled in order to receive PRFA treatment three weeks prior to resection. Pain assessment was performed using the visual analoge scale. Analysis of treatment success was performed using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) as well as histological assays for hematoxylin & eosin (H&E) and cytokeratine 8 (CK8). In a subset of patients contrast enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) was performed before and after treatment. MRI showed no residual tumor growth in 100% (18/18) of cases. Complete tumor devitalization was indicated in 83% (15/18) of patients as judged by H&E staining and in 89% (16/18) as judged by immunostaining for CK8. In 100% (18/18) at least one histologic method showed devitalization in the entire tumor. Treatment was well tolerated. Pain experienced during the procedure was mild. US-guided PRFA of small breast carcinoma is feasible under local anesthesia. MRI and CK8 have proven valuable additions to the RF breast tumor ablation protocol. CEUS shows potential as a modality for radiological follow-up.

Megestrol acetate may stimulate the production of insulin-like growth factor 1 in breast tissues of women with breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: In women with breast cancer who were treated with either continuous tamoxifen alone or sequential tamoxifen followed by megestrol acetate (MA), we demonstrated significant positive associations between the breast tumor estrogen receptor (ER) and an increase in serum sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) during tamoxifen treatment. We interpreted this as "ER uniformity" in different tissues, e.g., breast, liver. No other associations with ER were found. In the same study, the breast tumor progesterone receptor (PR) was determined. Our aim was to see if there were any associations between PR and endocrine changes during MA treatment. METHODS: The breast tumor PR before treatment and serum insulin-like growth factor I (∂IGF-1), steroids, steroid-binding proteins, and insulin before and during treatment were measured in 17 postmenopausal women with breast cancer who were treated sequentially with tamoxifen 40 mg/day followed by MA 160 mg/day in alternating 3-month periods. RESULTS: During MA treatment periods, the levels of IGF-1 and insulin increased significantly, whereas the levels of androgens, SHBG, corticosteroid-binding globulin, and cortisol decreased significantly. Significant positive correlations were found between the PR content and increments in ∂IGF-1 but not between PR and any other endocrine change. CONCLUSIONS: PR expression in human liver is very weak, but malignant and normal breast tissues secrete considerable amounts of growth hormone and IGF-1 in vitro and in vivo. This activity is stimulated by progestogens. The association between PR and ∂IGF-1 may therefore reflect a direct PR-mediated action of MA on malignant and normal human breast tissues in vivo.

Feasibility study on the treatment of small breast carcinoma using percutaneous US-guided preferential radiofrequency ablation (PRFA).

The purpose of this study was to determine the safety and efficacy of percutaneous ultrasound (US) guided preferential radiofrequency ablation (PRFA) of unifocal human invasive breast carcinoma with largest radiological diameters of up to 16 mm. Thirty-three patients were enrolled in a study to be treated prior to scheduled partial mastectomy. A needle-shaped treatment electrode, successively developed in two different sizes, was placed into the center of the lesions using ultrasound guidance. A temperature of 85 degrees C was maintained for 10 min. The analysis of the resected specimen was performed using conventional histopathological methods with the aim to determine the size of the lesion as well as the potential viability of tumor cells. Of the 33 patients enrolled 31 were treated. In 26 (84%) patients a complete ablation of the tumor was achieved. Ultrasound guided preferential radiofrequency ablation of small breast carcinoma is feasible and patient friendly. The success rate depends on accurate preoperative diagnostic imaging as well as an exact position of the needle electrode.

Associations between serum testosterone levels, cell proliferation and progesterone receptor content in normal and malignant breast tissue in postmenopausal women.

Progestogens and progesterone receptors (PR) may play an important role in increased breast proliferation following combined estrogen/progestogen hormone therapy, while androgens may counteract this effect. In 50 untreated healthy postmenopausal women and 48 untreated postmenopausal breast cancer patients, we measured serum levels of testosterone (T), sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG), estrone (E(1)) and adrenal androgens; and additionally, in the breast cancer patients, cortisol and corticosteroid-binding globulin and endocrine data related to breast proliferation (assessed using the Ki-67/MIB-1 monoclonal antibody) and PR levels (determined by enzyme immunoassay) in the breast cancer tissue. In the healthy women the percentage of MIB-1(+) cells showed significant negative correlations with serum levels of total T, calculated free T (fT) and the fT/E(1) ratio; while in the breast cancer patients PR content showed significant negative correlations with fT level, the fT/E(1) ratio and the T/SHBG ratio. No other correlations were found in any of the groups. Our findings in healthy women confirm previous reports of an antiproliferative effect of androgens in breast tissue and our finding in breast cancer patients suggests that this antiproliferative effect may be mediated via downregulation of PR.

Estrogen and tibolone metabolite levels in blood and breast tissue of postmenopausal women recently diagnosed with early-stage breast cancer and treated with tibolone or placebo for 14 days.

Unlike estrogens plus progestagens, tibolone, a selective tissue estrogenic activity regulator, does not increase breast tenderness and mammographic density. To elucidate this, serum and breast levels of tibolone and estrogenic metabolites are measured. Postmenopausal women (n = 102) with early-stage, ER(+ve), primary breast cancer received tibolone or placebo for 14 days in an exploratory, double-blind, randomized trial (STEM carcinoma tissue). Baseline and presurgery sera were collected; tumor tissues were obtained at surgery. E(1) (estrone), E(2) (estradiol), E(1)S (estrone-sulfate), tibolone-its nonsulfated, monosulfated, and disulfated 3-hydroxymetabolites-and Delta(4)-tibolone were measured by validated gas chromatography and mass spectrometry and liquid chromatography with tandem mass spectrometry assays. More than 12 hours after the final dose, serum E(1), E(2), and E(1)S levels were unchanged with placebo, whereas tibolone significantly increased E(1)S and the E(1)S/(E(1) + E(2)) ratio. In tumors, E(1) and E(2) levels were higher than in serum, and E(1)S levels were lower, with placebo and tibolone administration. The percentage of E(1)S was about 90% in serum and 16% in tissue. Tibolone did not affect tissue levels of endogenous estrogens. Serum levels of estrogenic 3alpha- and 3beta-hydroxytibolone, progestagenic/androgenic Delta(4)-tibolone, and monosulfate metabolites were low. Serum 3alphaS,17betaS-tibolone and 3 betaS,17betaS-tibolone levels were 250 and 52 ng/mL, respectively. Tumor levels of 3alpha- and 3beta-hydroxytibolone and Delta(4)-tibolone were higher than in serum, but disulfate levels were lower. The percentage of sulfated tibolone metabolites was 99% in serum and 96% in tumor. Serum metabolite patterns of estradiol and tibolone are different from those in tissues and are compatible with neutral effects of tibolone on breast Ki67 expression.