Risk factors of arterial thrombotic events after unprovoked venous thromboembolism, and after cancer associated venous thromboembolism: A prospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: The increased risk of arterial thrombotic (ATE) after VTE, particularly when they are unprovoked or cancer-associated has been established. However, the risk factors of ATE after these VTE remain unclear. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Using cause-specific hazard regression models, we determined risk factors of ATE (myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, acute limb ischemia, digestive tract ischemia, or renal ischemia) in 2242 patients with unprovoked VTE and in 914 patients with cancer-associated VTE from a multi-center prospective cohort. RESULTS: Of patients with unprovoked-VTE, 174 developed ATE (7.8%, incidence: 1.26 per 100 patient-years) during follow-up (median: 68 months). Among patients with cancer-associated VTE, 57 developed ATE (6.2%, incidence: 1.98 per 100 patient-years) during follow-up (median: 30 months). After multivariable analysis, the identified risk factors of ATE in patients with unprovoked-VTE were age > 65 years (vs. <50 years, HR 2.59, 95% CI: 1.56-4.29), past history of symptomatic atherosclerosis (HR 2.11, 95% CI: 1.40-3.19), and treatment with low molecule weight heparin (vs. vitamin K antagonists, HR: 2.26, 95% CI: 1.13-4.52). In patients with cancer-associated VTE, the identified risk factors of ATE were: past history of symptomatic atherosclerosis (HR: 3.13, 95% CI: 1.72-5.67), and ongoing anticoagulation at the diagnosis of VTE (HR: 2.77, 95% CI: 1.07-7.22). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of ATE after unprovoked VTE and after cancer-associated VTE, is determined by some classic cardiovascular risk factors and appears to be influenced by anticoagulant treatment introduced for VTE, as well as the presence or absence of ongoing anticoagulation at the diagnosis of VTE.

Risk stratification for predicting recurrent venous thromboembolism after discontinuation of anticoagulation: a post hoc analysis of a French prospective multicentre study.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to validate and to refine current recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk classification. METHODS: We performed a post hoc analysis of a multicentre cohort including 1881 patients with a first symptomatic VTE prospectively followed after anticoagulation discontinuation. The primary objective was to validate the International Society of Thrombosis and Haemostasis (ISTH) risk classification in predicting recurrence risk. The secondary objective was to evaluate a refined ISTH classification based on the recurrence risk estimate for each individual risk factor. RESULTS: During a 4.8-year median follow-up after anticoagulation discontinuation, symptomatic recurrent VTE occurred in 230 patients (12.2%). Based on the ISTH classification, patients with unprovoked VTE or VTE with minor or major persistent risk factors had a 2-fold increased recurrence risk compared with those with VTE and major transient risk factors. Recurrence risk was not increased in patients with minor transient factors (hazard ratio (HR) 1.31, 95% CI 0.84-2.06). Individual risk factors analysis identified hormone-related VTE (pregnancy: HR 0.26, 95% CI 0.08-0.82; oestrogens: HR 0.25, 95% CI 0.14-0.47) and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (HR 5.84, 95% CI 1.82-18.70). After reclassification of these factors as major transient for the former and major persistent for the latter, the modified ISTH classification allowed us to accurately discriminate between patients at low risk of recurrence (i.e. with major transient risk factors) and those at high risk of recurrence (i.e. without major transient risk factors). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients who stopped anticoagulation after a first VTE, a refined ISTH classification based on recurrence risk intensity of individual factors allowed discrimination between patients at low recurrence risk, including hormonal exposure in women, and patients at high recurrence risk.

Assessing the clinical probability of pulmonary embolism during pregnancy: The Pregnancy-Adapted Geneva (PAG) score.

BACKGROUND: The diagnosis of pulmonary embolism (PE) in pregnant women represents an ongoing challenge. As in the general population, the first step in pregnant women with suspected PE consists of assessing clinical pre-test probability (PTP). However, no dedicated clinical decision rule has been developed in this population. OBJECTIVE: To propose a new version of the Geneva score adapted to pregnant women with suspected PE. METHODS: Data from a multicenter, prospective management outcome study including 395 women with suspected PE, in whom PTP was assessed using the Geneva score, were used. We first removed items which were present in none of the patients (cancer, age >65 years). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was then performed for quantitative variables and the optimal threshold defined. The obtained Pregnancy-Adapted Geneva Score (PAG Score) comprised seven items, including an age 40 years or older and a heart rate >110 beats per minute. RESULTS: The PAG Score showed a high discriminative power to identify patients with a low, intermediate, or high PTP, associated with increasing prevalence of PE, 2.3%, 11.6%, and 61.5%, respectively. The ROC curves showed an area under the curve of 0.795 for the PAG Score compared to 0.684 for the Geneva score. CONCLUSION: In pregnant women with suspected PE, the PAG Score shows a high discriminative power to identify patients at low, intermediate, or high PTP. It has the strength of being a fully objective decision rule, is clinically relevant, easy to compute, and should now be tested in a prospective outcome study.

Real-world incidence of cancer following a first unprovoked venous thrombosis: Results from the EPIGETBO study.

BACKGROUND: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) can be the first manifestation of cancer; however, the current incidence of malignancy in unselected patients with first unprovoked VTE needs to be confirmed. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Between March 1st, 2013 and February 28th, 2015 we included and followed-up all patients living in the Brest district, France, who were seen in hospitals or the community for a first symptomatic unprovoked VTE event. The primary study outcome was the one-year incidence of cancer. RESULTS: 526 patients, mean age 66.6 ±â€¯18.1 years, 246 (46.8%) men, were included in the study. In the year following VTE, 26 patients were diagnosed with cancer, corresponding to a one-year cumulative incidence of cancer of 5.06% (95% CI 3.47-7.35). Age ≥60, smoking and pulmonary embolism were significantly associated with cancer diagnosis in multivariate analysis. Fifty percent of cancers were patent at the time of VTE diagnosis, mostly detected on CTPA (Computed Tomographic Pulmonary Angiography) performed for pulmonary embolism assessment. After excluding patients with patent cancer at VTE diagnosis, the one-year incidence of cancer was 2.65% (95% CI: 1.55-4.52); in multivariate analysis, only current smoking was independently associated with a significant 5.4-fold increased risk for cancer diagnosis (HR 5.40; 95% CI 1.31-22.27). No cancer was diagnosed in patients aged 50 years or younger. CONCLUSION: The one-year incidence of cancer after a first unprovoked VTE was 5.06%. Half of the cancers were diagnosed during the diagnosis procedure for pulmonary embolism using CTPA.

Additional testing following screening strategies for occult malignancy diagnosis in patients with unprovoked venous thromboembolism.

18F-Fluorodesoxyglucose Positron-Emission-Tomography combined with Computed-Tomography (FDG PET/CT) might be an attractive tool for cancer screening in patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE), allowing non-invasive whole-body imaging. One of the frequent criticisms to the use of FDG PET/CT for screening is the potential for false positive results leading to unnecessary/invasive investigations. Our aim was to compare the frequency and invasiveness of additional testing following extensive and limited screening strategies for occult malignancy in patients with unprovoked VTE. We analysed patients included in the MVTEP study, a randomized trial that compared a screening strategy based on FDG-PET/CT with a limited screening strategy for occult malignancy diagnosis in patients with unprovoked VTE. All additional diagnostic procedures following screening were recorded and classified as invasive or non-invasive. A total of 394 patients were analysed. Additional diagnostic procedures realized in patients of each group consisted of 59 tests in patients of the FDG PET/CT group versus 53 tests among the patients from the limited screening group (p=0.65). Overall, 45 (22.8%) patients in the FDG PET/CT group underwent additional diagnostic tests, versus 32 (16.2%) in the limited screening group (absolute risk difference+6.6%, 95% CI -1.3 to +14.4%, p=0.13). Sixteen (8.1%) patients in the FDG PET/CT group underwent invasive procedures, versus 6 (3%) in the limited screening group (absolute risk difference+5.1%, 95% CI +0.5 to +10.0%, p=0.03). We found no statistical difference in the number of additional procedures following each screening strategy. However, a higher number of invasive tests were performed in the FDG PET/CT group.

Venous thromboembolism in patients with pancreatic cancer: implications of circulating tissue factor.

Among cancers, pancreatic cancer is known to be associated with a higher incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE). The aim of the study was to determine the implication of circulating tissue factor (TF) in VTE related to active pancreatic cancer. One hundred and sixty-four consecutive patients who participated to the Etude des Determinants et Interactions de la Thrombose veineuse (EDITH) study between January 2005 and August 2007 for symptomatic VTE related to active pancreatic cancer (n = 8), active cancer of other location (n = 42) or classified as unprovoked (n = 114) were included. TF activity (TFa) was measured in a one-stage kinetic chromogenic method. There were no differences of median TFa levels between patients with VTE related to cancer of other type than pancreas [2.01 pmol/l range (0.05-43.92)] and patients with unprovoked VTE [1.78 pmol/l (range 0.05-63.72), P = 0.21]. Median TFa levels were higher in patients with VTE related to pancreatic cancer [12.67 pmol/l (range 0.05-112.04)] than in patients with VTE related to cancer of other type [2.01 pmol/l (range 0.05-43.92), P = 0.02]. Higher levels of circulating TFa during the course of pancreatic cancer may explain the higher incidence of VTE associated with this type of cancer.