Risk-associated management disparities in acute myocardial infarction.

Despite improvements in the treatment of myocardial infarction (MI), risk-associated management disparities may exist. We investigated this issue including temporal trends in a large MI cohort (n = 179,291) registered 2005-2017 in SWEDEHEART. Multivariable models were used to study the associations between risk categories according to the GRACE 2.0 score and coronary procedures (timely reperfusion, invasive assessment ≤ 3 days, in-hospital coronary revascularization), pharmacological treatments (P2Y12-blockers, betablockers, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone-system [RAAS]-inhibitors, statins), structured follow-up and secondary prevention (smoking cessation, physical exercise training). High-risk patients (n = 76,295 [42.6%]) experienced less frequent medical interventions compared to low/intermediate-risk patients apart from betablocker treatment. Overall, intervention rates increased over time with more pronounced increases seen in high-risk patients compared to lower-risk patients for in-hospital coronary revascularization (+ 23.6% vs. + 12.5% in patients < 80 years) and medication with P2Y12-blockers (+ 22.2% vs. + 7.8%). However, less pronounced temporal increases were noted in high-risk patients for medication with RAAS-blockers (+ 8.5% vs. + 13.0%) and structured follow-up (+ 31.6% vs. + 36.3%); pinteraction < 0.001 for all. In conclusion, management of high-risk patients with MI is improving. However, the lower rates of follow-up and of RAAS-inhibitor prescription are a concern. Our data emphasize the need of continuous quality improvement initiatives.

Use of proteomics to identify biomarkers associated with chronic kidney disease and long-term outcomes in patients with myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) have poor outcomes following myocardial infarction (MI). We performed an untargeted examination of 175 biomarkers to identify those with the strongest association with CKD and to examine the association of those biomarkers with long-term outcomes. METHODS: A total of 175 different biomarkers from MI patients enrolled in the Swedish Web-System for Enhancement and Development of Evidence-Based Care in Heart Disease Evaluated According to Recommended Therapies (SWEDEHEART) registry were analysed either by a multiple reaction monitoring mass spectrometry assay or by a multiplex assay (proximity extension assay). Random forests statistical models were used to assess the predictor importance of biomarkers, CKD and outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 1098 MI patients with a median estimated glomerular filtration rate of 85 mL min-1 /1.73 m2 were followed for a median of 3.2 years. The random forests analyses, without and with adjustment for differences in demography, comorbidities and severity of disease, identified six biomarkers (adrenomedullin, TNF receptor-1, adipocyte fatty acid-binding protein-4, TNF-related apoptosis-inducing ligand receptor 2, growth differentiation factor-15 and TNF receptor-2) to be strongly associated with CKD. All six biomarkers were also amongst the 15 strongest predictors for death, and four of them were amongst the strongest predictors of subsequent MI and heart failure hospitalization. CONCLUSION: In patients with MI, a proteomic approach could identify six biomarkers that best predicted CKD. These biomarkers were also amongst the most important predictors of long-term outcomes. Thus, these biomarkers indicate underlying mechanisms that may contribute to the poor prognosis seen in patients with MI and CKD.

Morbidity and cause-specific mortality in first-time myocardial infarction with nonobstructive coronary arteries.

BACKGROUND: Myocardial infarction (MI) with nonobstructive coronary arteries (MINOCA) is receiving increasing interest as a prognostically adverse entity distinct from myocardial infarction with significant coronary artery disease (MI-CAD). However, data are still limited regarding long-term cardiovascular morbidity and cause-specific mortality in MINOCA. METHODS: This is a registry-based cohort study using data from patients admitted to Swedish coronary care units. We investigated various nonfatal outcomes (recurrent MI, hospitalization for heart failure or stroke) and fatal outcomes (cardiovascular, respiratory or cancer-related mortality) in 4069 patients without apparent acute cardiovascular disease, used as non-MI controls, 7266 patients with first-time MINOCA and 69 267 patients with first-time MI-CAD. RESULTS: Almost all event rates (median follow-up 3.8 years) increased in a stepwise fashion across the three cohorts [rates of major adverse events (MAE; composite of all-cause mortality, recurrent MI, hospitalization for heart failure or stroke): n = 268 (6.6%), n = 1563 (21.5%), n = 17 777 (25.7%), respectively]. Compared to non-MI controls, MINOCA patients had an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 2.12 (95% confidence interval 1.84-2.43) regarding MAE. MINOCA patients had a substantial risk of cardiovascular mortality and the highest numerical risks of respiratory and cancer-related mortality. Male sex, previous heart failure and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease had a stronger prognostic impact in MINOCA than in MI-CAD. Female MINOCA patients with atrial fibrillation were at particular risk. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with first-time MINOCA have a considerable risk of adverse events. This stresses the need for a comprehensive search of the cause of MINOCA, thorough treatment of underlying disease triggers and close follow-up.

Predictors of adverse outcome in patients with myocardial infarction with non-obstructive coronary artery (MINOCA) disease.

BACKGROUND: Myocardial infarction (MI) with non-obstructive coronary arteries (MINOCAs) is an increasingly recognized entity. No previous study has evaluated predictors for new major adverse cardiacvascular events (MACEs) and death in patients with MINOCA. METHODS: We conducted an observational study of MINOCA patients recorded between July 2003 and June 2013 and followed until December 2013 for outcome events. Out of 199,163 MI admissions, 9092 consecutive unique patients with MINOCA were identified. The mean age was 65.5 years and 62% were women. MACE was defined as all-cause mortality, rehospitalization for acute MI, ischemic stroke and heart failure. Hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval (HR; 95% CI) was calculated using Cox-regression. RESULTS: A total of 2147 patients (24%) experienced a new MACE and 1254 patients (14%) died during the mean follow-up of 4.5 years. Independent predictors for MACE after adjustment, were older age (1.05; 1.04-1.06), diabetes (1.44; 1.21-1.70), hypertension (1.25; 1.09-1.43), current smoking (1.38; 1.15-1.66), previous myocardial infarction (1.38; 1.04-2.82), previous stroke (1.69; 1.35-2.11), peripheral vascular disease (1.55; 1.97-2.23), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (1.63; 1.32-2.00), reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (2.00; 1.54-2.60), lower level of total cholesterol (0.88; 0.83-0.94) and higher level of creatinine (1.01; 1.00-1.03). Independent predictors for all cause death were age, current smoking, diabetes, cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, previous stroke, reduced left ventricular fraction, lower level of total cholesterol and higher levels of creatinine and CRP. CONCLUSIONS: The clinical factors predicting new MACE and death of MINOCA patients seem to be strikingly similar to factors previously shown to predict new cardiovascular events in patients with MI and obstructive coronary artery disease.

Higher mortality after myocardial infarction in patients with severe mental illness: a nationwide cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to explore the impact of severe mental illness (SMI) on myocardial infarction survival and determine the influence of risk factor burden, myocardial infarction severity and different treatments. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: This population-based cohort study, conducted in Sweden during the period 1997-2010, included all patients with a first diagnosis of myocardial infarction in the Swedish nationwide myocardial infarction register SWEDEHEART (n = 209 592). Exposure was defined as a diagnosis of SMI (i.e. bipolar disorder or schizophrenia) in the national patient register prior to infarction. Bias-minimized logistic regression models were identified using directed acyclic graphs and included covariates age, gender, smoking, diabetes, previous cardiovascular disease, myocardial infarction characteristics and treatment. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The outcomes were 30-day and 1-year mortality, obtained through linkage with national population registers. RESULTS: Patients with bipolar disorder (n = 442) and schizophrenia (n = 541) were younger (mean age 68 and 63 years, respectively) than those without SMI (n = 208 609; mean age 71 years). The overall 30-day and 1-year mortality rates were 10% and 18%, respectively. Compared with patients without SMI, patients with SMI had higher 30-day [odds ratio (OR) 1.99, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.55-2.56] and 1-year mortality (OR 2.11, 95% CI 1.74-2.56) in the fully adjusted model. The highest mortality was observed amongst patients with schizophrenia (30-day mortality: OR 2.58, 95% CI 1.88-3.54; 1-year mortality: OR 2.55, 95% CI 1.98-3.29). CONCLUSION: SMI is associated with a markedly higher mortality after myocardial infarction, also after accounting for contributing factors. It is imperative to identify the reasons for this higher mortality.

Review of 103 Swedish Healthcare Quality Registries.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: In the past two decades, an increasing number of nationwide, Swedish Healthcare Quality Registries (QRs) focusing on specific disorders have been initiated, mostly by physicians. Here, we describe the purpose, organization, variables, coverage and completeness of 103 Swedish QRs. METHODS: From March to September 2013, we examined the 2012 applications of 103 QRs to the Swedish Association of Local Authorities and Regions (SALAR) and also studied the annual reports from the same QRs. After initial data abstraction, the coordinator of each QR was contacted at least twice between June and October 2013 and asked to confirm the accuracy of the data retrieved from the applications and reports. RESULTS: About 60% of the QRs covered ≥80% of their target population (completeness). Data recorded in Swedish QRs include aspects of disease management (diagnosis, clinical characteristics, treatment and lead times). In addition, some QRs retrieve data on self-reported quality of life (EQ5D, SF-36 and disease-specific measures), lifestyle (smoking) and general health status (World Health Organization performance status, body mass index and blood pressure). CONCLUSION: Detailed clinical data available in Swedish QRs complement information from government-administered registries and provide an important source not only for assessment and development of quality of care but also for research.

Low-carbohydrate, high-protein score and mortality in a northern Swedish population-based cohort.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: Long-term effects of carbohydrate-restricted diets are unclear. We examined a low-carbohydrate, high-protein (LCHP) score in relation to mortality. SUBJECTS/METHODS: This is a population-based cohort study on adults in the northern Swedish county of Västerbotten. In 37,639 men (1460 deaths) and 39,680 women (923 deaths) from the population-based Västerbotten Intervention Program, deciles of energy-adjusted carbohydrate (descending) and protein (ascending) intake were added to create an LCHP score (2-20 points). Sex-specific hazard ratios (HR) were calculated by Cox regression. RESULTS: Median intakes of carbohydrates, protein and fat in subjects with LCHP scores 2-20 ranged from 61.0% to 38.6%, 11.3% to 19.2% and 26.6% to 41.5% of total energy intake, respectively. High LCHP score (14-20 points) did not predict all-cause mortality compared with low LCHP score (2-8 points), after accounting for saturated fat intake and established risk factors (men: HR for high vs low 1.03 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.88-1.20), P for continuous = 0.721; women: HR for high vs low 1.10 (95% CI 0.91-1.32), P for continuous = 0.229). For cancer and cardiovascular disease, no clear associations were found. Carbohydrate intake was inversely associated with all-cause mortality, though only statistically significant in women (multivariate HR per decile increase 0.95 (95% CI 0.91-0.99), P = 0.010). CONCLUSION: Our results do not support a clear, general association between LCHP score and mortality. Studies encompassing a wider range of macronutrient consumption may be necessary to detect such an association.

Consumption of filtered and boiled coffee and the risk of first acute myocardial infarction; a nested case/referent study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: In northern Sweden, consumption of both filtered and boiled coffee is common. Boiled coffee, especially popular in rural areas, is known to raise blood lipids, a risk factor for acute myocardial infarction (MI). To our knowledge, only one epidemiological study, a case-control study from Sweden, has investigated boiled coffee in MI, noting an increased risk at high consumption levels in men, and no association in women. The aim of the present nested case-referent study was to relate consumption of filtered and boiled coffee to the risk of first MI. METHODS AND RESULTS: The study subjects were 375 cases (303 men, 72 women) and 1293 matched referents from the population-based Northern Sweden Health and Disease Study. Coffee consumption was assessed by food frequency questionnaire. Risk estimates were calculated by conditional logistic regression. A statistically significant positive association was found between consumption of filtered coffee and MI risk in men [odds ratio for consumption > or = 4 times/day versus < or = 1 time/day 1.73 (95% CI 1.05-2.84)]. In women, a similar association was observed, but for boiled coffee [odds ratio 2.51 (95% CI 1.08-5.86)]. After adjustment for current smoking, postsecondary education, hypertension, and sedentary lifestyle, the results for women were no longer statistically significant. CONCLUSION: Consumption of filtered coffee was positively associated with the risk of a first MI in men. A similar tendency was observed for boiled coffee in women, but the result was not statistically significant in multivariate analysis. Further investigation in a larger study is warranted.

Prospective malignancy grading of invasive squamous carcinoma of the uterine cervix. Prognostic significance in a long-term follow-up.

A multifactorial grading score (MGS) for invasive squamous cell carcinoma of the uterine cervix has demonstrated its capacity to predict survival in a 5-10 year perspective and metastasis frequencies, and is a valuable tool for treatment schedules. In this study it was shown that the power of prognosis is valid even up to 20 years. In this material from 619 cervical carcinoma patients the MGS scores turned out to remain as strong as earlier proven. Earlier studies have shown that MGS is superior to other mono- and multifactorial grading systems, histological differentiation into cell types, age, clinical stage, irradiation and DNA-analysis. Treatment of cervical squamous cell carcinoma is more specific today to meet the patients' need for instance to preserve fertility or to minimize operation and eventually radiotherapy. The MGS score is a strong prognostic tool in patients with cervical carcinoma.

A combination of HbA1c, fasting glucose and BMI is effective in screening for individuals at risk of future type 2 diabetes: OGTT is not needed.

OBJECTIVE: To identify a screening model that predicts high risk of future type 2 diabetes and is useful in clinical practice. DESIGN AND METHODS: Incident case-referent study nested within a population-based health survey. We compared screening models with three risk criteria and calculated sensitivity, specificity, positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive values and attributable proportion. We used fasting plasma glucose (FPG) alone or with an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), glycosylated haemoglobin A (HbA1c) (normal range 3.6-5.3%), body mass index (BMI), triglycerides and family history of diabetes (FHD). SETTING: Participants in a health survey at all primary care centres (n=33,336) and subjects with diagnosed type 2 diabetes in primary and hospital care (n=6088) in Umeå during 1989-2001. SUBJECTS: Each of the 164 subjects who developed clinically diagnosed type 2 diabetes (median time to diagnosis of 5.4 years) and 304 sex- and age-matched referents without diabetes diagnosis. RESULTS: Screening models with at least one criterion present had sensitivities of 0.90-0.96, specificities of 0.43-0.57 and PPVs of 8-9%. Combinations of the criteria, FPG>or=6.1 mmol L-1 (capillary plasma), HbA1c>or=4.7% and BMI>or=27 in men and BMI>or=30 in women, had sensitivities, specificities and PPVs of 0.66%, 0.93% and 32%, and 0.52%, 0.97% and 46% respectively. Using FHD as one of three risk criteria showed comparable results. Addition of triglycerides or OGTT did not improve the prediction. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of HbA1c, FPG and BMI are effective in screening for individuals at risk of future clinical diagnosis of type 2 diabetes. OGTT or FHD is not necessary.

A prospective population-based management program including primary surgery and postoperative risk assessment by means of DNA ploidy and histopathology. Adjuvant radiotherapy is not necessary for the majority of patients with FIGO stage I-II endometrial cancer.

A management program for FIGO stage I-II nonserous, nonclear-cell adenocarcinomas was evaluated. Histopathology and DNA ploidy were used to estimate postoperatively the risk of progression or death of disease and to tailor treatment. The patient material was a population-based consecutive cohort of all women with endometrial cancer in the Southern Swedish Health Care Region diagnosed between June 1993 and June 1996 (n = 553). Of these, 335 were eligible for the management program. Patients estimated to be at low risk were treated by surgery only, while high-risk patients also received vaginal brachytherapy. A large low-risk group consisting of 84% (n = 283) of the patients with an estimated disease-specific 5-year survival of 96% (95% CI = 93-98%) was identified. The high-risk group (n = 52, 16%) showed a worse outcome with an 80% 5-year disease-specific survival (95% CI = 65-89%). The difference in survival between the groups was highly significant (P < 0.0001). Half of the progressions were distant in the high-risk group. Although there is a clear indication for adjuvant therapy for this group, locoregional radiotherapy could be expected to fail in cases with distant progression. Thus, effective systemic treatments need to be developed. Low-risk patients, constituting the majority (84%) of the patients, can be safely treated by surgery only.

Impact of perioperative myocardial injury on early and long-term outcome after coronary artery bypass grafting.

AIMS: To establish the influence of perioperative myocardial injury on short- and long-term survival after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). METHODS AND RESULTS: The correlation of postoperative serum aspartate aminotransferase and creatine kinase MB to early cardiac-related death and to late survival was evaluated in 4911 patients who underwent CABG consecutively during a 6-year period. There were 93 early deaths (1.9%), 73 of them cardiac-related (1.5% of 4911). After a mean follow-up of 5 years, 409 additional deaths (8.5% of 4818) had occurred. Elevated enzyme levels on day 1 postoperatively highly increased the risk of early cardiac death (serum aspartate aminotransferase >or=2.35 microkat.l(-1): odds ratio 9.2; serum creatine kinase MB >or=61 microg.l(-1): odds ratio 6.0), and increased the risk of late death by approximately 50% (serum aspartate aminotransferase >or=2.35 microkat.l(-1): relative hazard 1.5; serum creatine kinase MB >or=61 microg.l(-1): relative hazard 1.4). This increased risk of death was independent of other risk factors and remained constant over time. CONCLUSIONS: Enzyme elevation after CABG implied an increased risk of both early and late death. The long-term effect persisted many years after surgery.

ST depression in ECG at entry indicates severe coronary lesions and large benefits of an early invasive treatment strategy in unstable coronary artery disease; the FRISC II ECG substudy. The Fast Revascularisation during InStability in Coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: In unstable coronary artery disease, ST-segment depression indicates a poor prognosis. We evaluated whether the effect of early revascularization and the extent of coronary lesions were related to ST-segment and T wave changes on admission. METHODS AND RESULTS: 2457 patients with unstable coronary artery disease were randomized to an early invasive strategy with coronary angiography/revascularization within 7 days or to a non-invasive strategy with coronary procedures only when symptoms or severe ischaemia recurred. ST depression was present in 1114 (45.5%) patients. In the invasive group, 45% of the patients with ST depression had three-vessel disease or left main stenosis compared with 22% if no ST-segment depression was present, PP=0.004 while mortality was changed from 5.8 to 3.3%, P=0.050. In patients without ST-segment depression the corresponding rates concerning death/myocardial infarction were 10.4 and 8.9, and for mortality 2.0 and 1.2% (non-significant). CONCLUSIONS: In unstable coronary artery disease, ST-segment depression is associated with a 100% increase in the occurrence of three-vessel/left main disease and to an increased risk of subsequent cardiac events. In these patients an early invasive strategy substantially decreases death/myocardial infarction.

Physical activity of subjects aged 50-64 years involved in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC).

OBJECTIVE: To describe physical activity of participants in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC). DESIGN: A cross-sectional analysis of baseline data of a European prospective cohort study. SUBJECTS: This analysis was restricted to participants in the age group 50-64 years, which was represented in all EPIC centres. It involved 236 386 participants from 25 centres in nine countries. In each EPIC centre, physical activity was assessed by standardised and validated questions. Frequency distribution of type of professional activity and participation in non-professional activities, and age-adjusted means, medians and percentiles of time dedicated to non-professional activities are presented for men and women from each centre. RESULTS: Professional activity was most frequently classified as sedentary or standing in all centres. There was a wide variation regarding participation in different types of non-professional activities and time dedicated to these activities across EPIC centres. Over 80% of all EPIC participants engaged in walking, while less than 50% of the subjects participated in sport. Total time dedicated to recreational activities was highest among the Dutch participants and lowest among men from Malmö (Sweden) and women from Naples (Italy). In all centres, total time dedicated to recreational activity in the summer was higher than in the winter. Women from southern Europe spent the most time on housekeeping. CONCLUSIONS: There is a considerable variation of physical activity across EPIC centres. This variation was especially evident for recreational activities in both men and women.

Detection of myocardial damage - are the troponins the ultimate solution?

Biochemical markers of myocardial damage are together with the clinical history, the physical examination and the 12-lead ECG key elements in the clinical evaluation of patients presenting with symptoms suggestive of an acute coronary syndrome (ACS). In this situation the detection of myocardial damage, even very minor, is of importance, not only for diagnosis, but also for risk assessment and selection of treatment. The new markers of myocardial damage. troponin T and I, have been shown to offer some advantages over the conventional markers in ACS and there is also an increasing interest for troponins in other clinical situations, e.g. after surgery and percutaneous coronary intervention. This paper will discuss the role of troponins in these different clinical situations.

High proinsulin levels precede first-ever stroke in a nondiabetic population.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Diabetic subjects have a 3- to 6-fold increased risk for stroke compared with nondiabetic subjects, and hyperinsulinemia shows strong and consistent associations with a cluster of cardiovascular risk factors. Methods separating proinsulin from (true) insulin have demonstrated proinsulin to be more strongly associated with cardiovascular disease than insulin. The present study evaluates the associations between first-ever stroke, proinsulin, and insulin. METHODS: In this incident case-referent study of a nondiabetic population, 94 cases of first-ever stroke (59 men and 35 women) were individually age- and sex-matched to 178 referents. Blood sampling was collected before the stroke event. Proinsulin and insulin were measured with highly sensitive 2-site sandwich enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. RESULTS: In the study population, high proinsulin concentration more than tripled the risk for first-ever stroke after adjustments for total cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, smoking, body mass index, and insulin, with an odds ratio of 3.4 (95% CI, 1.4 to 8.4). In women the risk was even more pronounced, with an odds ratio of 13.7 (95% CI, 1.3 to 146). Synergy was found between proinsulin and systolic blood pressure. In women, synergy was also found between proinsulin and diastolic blood pressure as well as between insulin and both blood pressures. CONCLUSIONS: High levels of proinsulin may predict later occurrence of first-ever stroke in a nondiabetic population.

Disaccordance between estimation of endometrial thickness as measured by transvaginal ultrasound compared with hysteroscopy and directed biopsy in breast cancer patients treated with tamoxifen.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate endometrial thickness by transvaginal ultrasound technique (TVU) in patients treated with tamoxifen; and to compare the results with hysteroscopy and directed biopsy, and to relate the findings to curettage material. METHODS: Fifty-four women, over 50 years of age at the time of their primary breast cancer operation and scheduled for adjuvant treatment of tamoxifen, were investigated. If the endometrium measured 8 mm or more (35 patients) hysteroscopy and directed biopsy was performed. RESULTS: In the 35 patients, hysteroscopy and curretage revealed polyps in 18 cases (51.4%), proliferation in 1 case (2.9%) and atrophy in 16 cases (45.7%). In 54.3% (19 cases) of the patients the histopathological finding was a polyp or benign proliferation of the endometrium in agreement with the thickened endometrium seen with TVU. In the remaining 45.7% (16 cases) of the patients a thickened endometrium by transvaginal ultrasound was false positive as the hysteroscopic and subsequent histopathological diagnosis only showed atrofia of the uterine endometrium. CONCLUSIONS: In almost half of the patients the TVU gave a misleading picture concerning the condition of the endometrium. Changes in the myometrium and related connective tissue could be misinterpreted by the ultrasound technique as changes in the endometrium. These results may confirm the theory that stimulation and changes by antiestrogenic treatment of the uterine tissue is not only restricted to the endometrium. In patients with thickened endometrium measured by TVU, a dilatation and curettage is not sufficient, as TVU has not the ability to differentiate between endometrial polyps and myometrial changes. A hysteroscopy and directed biopsy could therefore be performed.

Screening for impaired glucose tolerance. Results from a population-based study in 21,057 individuals.

OBJECTIVE: To study the distribution of fasting plasma glucose and impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) in a large general population and explore their possible implications for large-scale screening. The study focuses especially on the relation to age, obesity, and heredity background of diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A total of 21,057 men and women aged 30-60 years were used for this cross-sectional study. Individuals with known diabetes and individuals with a fasting plasma glucose > or = 7 mmol/l were excluded. A physical examination, including blood sampling and an oral glucose tolerance test, was conducted. RESULTS: The relative risk for IGT increased more than fourfold among obese subjects compared with normal-weight subjects, yet only 25% of IGT subjects were obese. Similarly, IGT subjects more frequently reported having first-degree relatives with diabetes than did subjects with normal glucose tolerance. Nonetheless, > 70% of IGT subjects reported no heredity background of diabetes. Subjects with IGT showed higher mean values of BMI, blood pressure, and triglycerides. Only 13% of the men and 19% of the women having impaired fasting glucose (IFG) fulfilled the criteria of IGT. CONCLUSIONS: The present study shows that a high-risk screening strategy for IGT targeted solely toward subjects with obesity and/or heredity background of diabetes will fail to detect the majority of subjects with IGT in the general population. The new concept of IFG may not replace the concept of IGT as a risk marker for worsening to diabetes.