Serum miRNA profiles are altered in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis receiving high-dose ursodeoxycholic acid.

Background & Aims: Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a chronic, progressive cholestatic liver disease that can lead to end-stage liver disease and cholangiocarcinoma. High-dose ursodeoxycholic acid (hd-UDCA, 28-30 mg/kg/day) was evaluated in a previous multicentre, randomised placebo-controlled trial; however, the study was discontinued early because of increased liver-related serious adverse events (SAEs), despite improvement in serum liver biochemical tests. We investigated longitudinal changes in serum miRNA and cytokine profiles over time among patients treated with either hd-UDCA or placebo in this trial as potential biomarkers for PSC and response to hd-UDCA, as well as to understand the toxicity associated with hd-UDCA treatment. Methods: Thirty-eight patients with PSC were enrolled in a multicentred, randomised, double-blinded trial of hd-UDCA vs. placebo. Results: Significant alterations in serum miRNA profiles were found over time in both patients treated with hd-UDCA or placebo. Additionally, there were striking differences between miRNA profiles in patients treated with hd-UDCA compared with placebo. In patients treated with placebo, the changes in concentration of serum miRNAs miR-26a, miR-199b-5p, miR-373, and miR-663 suggest alterations of inflammatory and cell proliferative processes consistent with disease progression. However, patients treated with hd-UDCA exhibited a more pronounced differential expression of serum miRNAs, suggesting that hd-UDCA induces significant cellular miRNA changes and tissue injury. Pathway enrichment analysis for UDCA-associated miRNAs suggested unique dysregulation of cell cycle and inflammatory response pathways. Conclusions: Patients with PSC have distinct miRNAs in the serum and bile, although the implications of these unique patterns have not been studied longitudinally or in relation to adverse events related to hd-UDCA. Our study demonstrates marked changes in miRNA serum profiles with hd-UDCA treatment and suggests mechanisms for the increased liver toxicity with therapy. Impact and implications: Using serum samples from patients with PSC enrolled in a clinical trial comparing hd-UDCA with placebo, our study found distinct miRNA changes in patients with PSC who are treated with hd-UDCA over a period of time. Our study also noted distinct miRNA patterns in patients who developed SAEs during the study period.

Global incidence, prevalence and features of primary sclerosing cholangitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is an idiopathic, cholestatic liver disease with a diverse range of clinical manifestations. Inter-regional data on PSC are variable, but its global geoepidemiology has not been well-studied. We aimed to examine the worldwide incidence, prevalence and features of PSC and PSC-inflammatory bowel disease (PSC-IBD). METHODS: A systematic search of multiple databases was conducted to identify all original, full-text studies until December 2020 with data regarding the incidence rate (IR) and/or prevalence of PSC. Outcomes were PSC IR, prevalence, features and IBD concurrence. Additionally, a meta-analysis of PSC IR was performed. The study was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42021224550). RESULTS: Of the 1003 studies identified, 17 studies spanning three continents were included. PSC IR was 0.60 per 100 000 person-years (PY) (95% confidence interval: 0.37-0.88 per 100 000 PY). In pooled subgroup analysis for studies conducted in Europe and North America, PSC IR was 0.62 and 0.53 per 100 000 PY, respectively. PSC prevalence ranged 0-31.7 per 100 000 persons, with notable inter-regional differences. Mean age at PSC diagnosis was bimodally distributed, with relative peaks at 15 and 35 years. Mean concurrence of IBD with PSC was 50%, with 76% having ulcerative colitis, 17% Crohn's disease and 8% indeterminate/unspecified IBD. CONCLUSION: While considerable heterogeneity exists in the geoepidemiology of PSC, overall, the classical dogmata of male predilection, bimodal distribution of mean age and high PSC-IBD concurrence appear to hold true. Despite a seemingly stable IR over time, further studies are needed to better understand the geoepidemiology of PSC.

Liver Stiffness Measured by Either Magnetic Resonance or Transient Elastography Is Associated With Liver Fibrosis and Is an Independent Predictor of Outcomes Among Patients With Primary Biliary Cholangitis.

GOALS: We aimed to describe the diagnostic and prognostic performance of transient elastography (TE) and magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) in patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). BACKGROUND: The diagnostic performance of TE and MRE in detecting advanced fibrosis in PBC and in predicting outcomes independent of existing serologic prognostic markers is incompletely understood. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Five hundred thirty-eight consecutive patients with PBC at 3 centers with liver stiffness (LS) measurements by TE (n=286) or MRE (n=332) were reviewed. LS cutoffs for predicting fibrosis stages were determined by receiver operating characteristic curves among those with a liver biopsy (TE, n=63; MRE, n=98). Cox proportional hazard regression modeling was used to identify associations between covariates and hepatic decompensation. RESULTS: The optimal LS thresholds for predicting histologic stage F4 were 14.40 kPa (area under the curve=0.94) for TE and 4.60 kPa (area under the curve=0.82) for MRE. Both TE and MRE outperformed biochemical markers for the prediction of histologic advanced fibrosis. Optimal LS thresholds to predict hepatic decompensation were 10.20 kPa on TE and 4.30 kPa on MRE. LS by TE and MRE (respectively) remained predictors of hepatic decompensation after adjusting for ursodeoxycholic acid responsiveness [hazard ratio (HR), 1.14; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.05-1.24 and HR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.28-2.19] and the GLOBE score (HR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.07-1.19 and HR, 2.09; 95% CI, 1.57-2.78). CONCLUSION: LS measurement with either TE or MRE can accurately detect advanced fibrosis and offers additional prognostic value beyond existing serologic predictive tools.

Early Cholangiocarcinoma Detection With Magnetic Resonance Imaging Versus Ultrasound in Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Early detection of perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) among patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is important to identify more people eligible for curative therapy. While many recommend CCA screening, there are divergent opinions and limited data regarding the use of ultrasound or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for early CCA detection, and it is unknown whether there is benefit in testing asymptomatic individuals. Our aims were to assess the diagnostic performances and prognostic implications of ultrasound and MRI-based CCA detection. APPROACH AND RESULTS: This is a multicenter review of 266 adults with PSC (CCA, n = 120) who underwent both an ultrasound and MRI within 3 months. Images were re-examined by radiologists who were blinded to the clinical information. Respectively, MRI had a higher area under the curve compared with ultrasound for CCA detection: 0.87 versus 0.70 for the entire cohort; 0.81 versus 0.59 for asymptomatic individuals; and 0.88 versus 0.71 for those listed for CCA transplant protocol. The absence of symptoms at CCA diagnosis was associated with improved 5-year outcomes including overall survival (82% vs. 46%, log-rank P < 0.01) and recurrence-free survival following liver transplant (89% vs. 65%, log-rank P = 0.04). Among those with asymptomatic CCA, MRI detection (compared with ultrasound) was associated with reduction in both mortality (hazard ratio, 0.10; 95% confidence interval, 0.01-0.96) and CCA progression after transplant listing (hazard ratio, 0.10; 95% confidence interval, 0.01-0.90). These benefits continued among patients who had annual monitoring and PSC for more than 1 year before CCA was diagnosed. CONCLUSIONS: MRI is superior to ultrasound for the detection of early-stage CCA in patients with PSC. Identification of CCA before the onset of symptoms with MRI is associated with improved outcomes.

Successful response of primary sclerosing cholangitis and associated ulcerative colitis to oral vancomycin may depend on brand and personalized dose: report in an adolescent.

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a rare, progressive liver disease characterized by cholestasis and bile duct fibrosis that has no accepted therapy known to delay or arrest its progression. We report a 23-year-old female patient who at age 14 was diagnosed with moderate pancolonic ulcerative colitis (UC) and at age 15 with small-duct PSC unresponsive to conventional therapy. The patient began single drug therapy with the antibiotic oral vancomycin (OVT) and achieved normalization of liver enzymes and resolution of UC symptoms with colonic mucosal healing. These improvements have persisted over 8 years. There has been no colon dysplasia, liver fibrosis or failure, bile duct stricture, or cancer. Of note, the patient's response was dependent on the brand of oral vancomycin capsule, as well as dose. This raised the questions of possible differences in bioequivalence of different commercial versions of the drug and whether this factor might play into the variability of efficacy seen in published trials. Evidence suggests that oral vancomycin both alters the intestinal microbiome and has immunomodulatory effects. Its striking effectiveness in this and other patients supports further investigation in randomized trials, with careful attention to its bioavailability profile in the gut.

Validity of an Automated Algorithm to Identify Cirrhosis Using Electronic Health Records in Patients with Primary Biliary Cholangitis.

BACKGROUND: Biopsy remains the gold standard for determining fibrosis stage in patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), but it is unavailable for most patients. We used data from the 11 US health systems in the FibrOtic Liver Disease Consortium to explore a combination of biochemical markers and electronic health record (EHR)-based diagnosis/procedure codes (DPCs) to identify the presence of cirrhosis in PBC patients. METHODS: Histological fibrosis staging data were obtained from liver biopsies. Variables considered for the model included demographics (age, gender, race, ethnicity), total bilirubin, alkaline phosphatase, albumin, aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to platelet ratio index (APRI), Fibrosis 4 (FIB4) index, AST to alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio, and >100 DPCs associated with cirrhosis/decompensated cirrhosis, categorized into ten clusters. Using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression (LASSO), we derived and validated cutoffs for identifying cirrhosis. RESULTS: Among 4328 PBC patients, 1350 (32%) had biopsy data; 121 (9%) were staged F4 (cirrhosis). DPC clusters (including codes related to cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma diagnoses/procedures), Hispanic ethnicity, ALP, AST/ALT ratio, and total bilirubin were retained in the final model (AUROC=0.86 and 0.83 on learning and testing data, respectively); this model with two cutoffs divided patients into three categories (no cirrhosis, indeterminate, and cirrhosis) with specificities of 81.8% (for no cirrhosis) and 80.3% (for cirrhosis). A model excluding DPCs retained ALP, AST/ALT ratio, total bilirubin, Hispanic ethnicity, and gender (AUROC=0.81 and 0.78 on learning and testing data, respectively). CONCLUSION: An algorithm using laboratory results and DPCs can categorize a majority of PBC patients as cirrhotic or noncirrhotic with high accuracy (with a small remaining group of patients' cirrhosis status indeterminate). In the absence of biopsy data, this EHR-based model can be used to identify cirrhosis in cohorts of PBC patients for research and/or clinical follow-up.

The long-term outcomes of patients with immunoglobulin G4-related sclerosing cholangitis: the Mayo Clinic experience.

BACKGROUND: The long-term outcomes of immunoglobulin G4-related sclerosing cholangitis (IgG4-SC) are not well known. METHODS: The outcomes of patients with IgG4-SC at Mayo Clinic (1999-2018) were compared to an age- and gender-matched (1:1 ratio) group of patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC). RESULTS: We identified 89 patients with IgG4-SC; median age at diagnosis was 67 years, 81% were males, and the median follow-up was 5.7 years. Seventy-eight patients received prednisone for induction of remission, and 53 received at least one other immunosuppressive agent for maintenance of remission. Of the IgG4-SC group, 10 died (median time from diagnosis until death was 6.5 years): 2 due to cirrhosis, 3 due to cholangiocarcinoma (CCA), and 5 due to non-hepatobiliary causes. Eleven patients in the PSC group underwent liver transplantation, while none did in the IgG4-SC group. The incidence of a hepatobiliary adverse event (cirrhosis or CCA) was 3.4 times greater in the PSC compared to the IgG4-SC group (events per 1000 person-years: 52.6; 95% CI 38-73; vs. 15.6; 95% CI 7-32). The probability of development of a hepatobiliary adverse event within 10 years was 11% in the IgG4-SC compared to 45% in the PSC group (P = 0.0001). The overall survival tended to be higher in the IgG4-SC compared to the PSC group (10-year: 79% vs. 68%, respectively; P = 0.11). CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort of IgG4-SC patients, 88% of whom were treated with immunosuppressive drugs, the risk of cirrhosis and CCA was significantly lower compared to an age- and gender-matched group with PSC.

An update on primary sclerosing cholangitis epidemiology, outcomes and quantification of alkaline phosphatase variability in a population-based cohort.

BACKGROUND: Contemporary primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) population-based cohorts describing the epidemiology, natural history, and long-term fluctuations in serum alkaline phosphatase (SAP) and their prognostic relevance are lacking. Therefore, we investigated the incidence and natural history of PSC and quantified SAP fluctuations among those with PSC in Olmsted County, Minnesota over the last 41 years. METHODS: The Rochester Epidemiology Project was used to identify 56 subjects diagnosed with PSC between 1976 and 2017 in Olmsted County. The primary endpoint (n = 19) included liver transplantation, hepatic decompensation, and cholangiocarcinoma. RESULTS: The age- and sex-adjusted incidence of PSC (per 100,000 person years) nearly doubled from 2001 to 2017 compared to 1976-2000 (1.47; 95% CI 0.99-1.96 versus 0.79; 95% CI 0.42-1.16, p = 0.02). This increase paralleled a rise in patients with markers of a milder phenotype at the time of diagnosis: normal SAP (26.32% versus 0%, p < 0.01) and lower Mayo PSC risk score [0.36 (- 0.57 to 1.55) versus - 0.50 (- 1.25 to 0.35), p = 0.03]. Intra-individual SAP fluctuates with a median coefficient of variation of 36.20%. SAP normalization and dropping below 1.5 × upper limit of normal (ULN) occurs at a rate of 5% and 10% per year, respectively. SAP less than 1.5 × ULN was associated with a lower risk of PSC-related complications (hazard ratio 0.11; 95% CI 0.03-0.42). CONCLUSIONS: The patients with PSC are increasingly being diagnosed with a milder phenotype. While a lower SAP is associated with improved outcomes, the high intra-individual variation of SAP levels calls into question the practice of using a single SAP value as a surrogate endpoint in clinical trials.

Factors Associated With Progression and Outcomes of Early Stage Primary Biliary Cholangitis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Patients usually receive a diagnosis of primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) at an early stage, based on biochemical analyses. We investigated the proportion of patients who progress to moderate or advanced PBC and factors associated with progression and patient survival. METHODS: We obtained data from 1615 patients (mean age, 55.4 y) with early stage PBC (based on their normal levels of albumin and bilirubin), collected at the time of initial evaluation or treatment, from the Global PBC Study Group database (comprising patients at 19 liver centers in North American and European countries). We collected data from health care evaluations on progression to moderate PBC (abnormal level of bilirubin or albumin) or advanced-stage PBC (abnormal level of both). The median follow-up time was 7.9 years. The composite end point was decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplantation, or death. RESULTS: Of the 1615 patients identified with early stage PBC, 904 developed moderate PBC and 201 developed advanced disease over the study period. The proportions of patients who transitioned to moderate PBC at 1, 3, and 5 years were 12.9%, 30.2%, and 45.8%. The proportions of these patients who then transitioned to advanced PBC at 1, 3, and 5 years later were 3.4%, 12.5%, and 16.0%, respectively. During the follow-up period, 236 patients had a clinical event. The proportions of patients with moderate PBC and event-free survival were 97.9%, 95.1%, and 91.5% at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively, and the proportions of patients with advanced PBC and event-free survival were 90.6%, 71.2%, and 58.3% at 1, 3, and 5 years later, respectively. Variables associated with transition from early to moderate PBC included baseline levels of bilirubin, albumin, and alkaline phosphatase; aspartate to alanine aminotransferase ratio; platelet count; and treatment with ursodeoxycholic acid. Transitions from early to moderate PBC and from moderate to advanced PBC were associated with higher probabilities of a clinical event (time-dependent hazard ratios, 3.0; 95% CI, 2.0-4.5; and 4.6; 95% CI, 3.5-6.2). CONCLUSIONS: Approximately half of patients with early stage PBC progress to a more severe stage within 5 years. Progression is associated with an increased risk of a clinical event, so surveillance is important for patients with early stage PBC.

Fibrosis stage is an independent predictor of outcome in primary biliary cholangitis despite biochemical treatment response.

BACKGROUND: Fibrosis stage predicts prognosis in patients with chronic liver disease independent of aetiology, although its precise role in risk stratification in patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) remains undefined. AIM: To assess the utility of baseline fibrosis stage in predicting long-term outcomes in the context of biochemical risk stratification METHODS: In a large and globally representative cohort of patients with PBC, liver biopsies performed from 1980 to 2014 were evaluated. The predictive ability of histologic fibrosis stage in addition to treatment response at 1 year (Toronto/Paris-II criteria), as well as non-invasive markers of fibrosis (AST/ALT ratio [AAR], AST to platelet ratio index [APRI], FIB-4), for transplant-free survival was assessed with Cox proportional-hazards models. RESULTS: There were 1828 patients with baseline liver biopsy. Advanced histologic fibrosis (stage 3/4) was an independent predictor of survival in addition to non-invasive measures of fibrosis with the hazard ratios ranging from 1.59 to 2.73 (P < .001). Patients with advanced histologic fibrosis stage had worse survival despite biochemical treatment response, with a 10-year survival of 76.0%-86.6% compared to 94.5%-95.1% depending on the treatment response criteria used. Poor correlations were observed between non-invasive measures of fibrosis and histologic fibrosis stage. CONCLUSION: Assessment of fibrosis stage grants prognostic value beyond biochemical treatment response at 1 year. This highlights the need to incorporate fibrosis stage in individual risk stratification in patients with PBC, partly to identify those that may derive benefit from novel therapies.

AGA Clinical Practice Update on Surveillance for Hepatobiliary Cancers in Patients With Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis: Expert Review.

DESCRIPTION: The purpose of this clinical practice update is to define key principles in the surveillance of hepatobiliary cancers including cholangiocarcinoma, gallbladder adenocarcinoma, and hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC). METHODS: The recommendations outlined in this expert review are based on available published evidence including observational studies and systematic reviews, and incorporates expert opinion where applicable. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 1: Surveillance for cholangiocarcinoma and gallbladder cancer should be considered in all adult patients with PSC regardless of disease stage, especially in the first year after diagnosis and in patients with ulcerative colitis and those diagnosed at an older age. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 2: Surveillance for cholangiocarcinoma and gallbladder cancer should include imaging by ultrasound, computed tomography, or magnetic resonance imaging, with or without serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9, every 6 to 12 months BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 3: Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography with brush cytology should not be used routinely for surveillance of cholangiocarcinomas in PSC. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 4: Cholangiocarcinomas should be investigated by endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography with brush cytology with or without fluorescence in situ hybridization analysis and/or cholangioscopy in PSC patients with worsening clinical symptoms, worsening cholestasis, or a dominant stricture. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 5: Fine-needle aspiration of perihilar biliary strictures should be used with caution in PSC patients considered to be liver transplant candidates because of concerns for tumor seeding if the lesion is a cholangiocarcinoma. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 6: Surveillance for cholangiocarcinoma should not be performed in PSC patients with small-duct PSCs or those younger than age 20. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 7: The decision to perform a cholecystectomy in PSC patients with a gallbladder polyp should be based on the size and growth of the polyp, as well as the clinical status of the patient, with the knowledge of the increased risk of gallbladder cancer in polyps greater than 8 mm. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 8: Surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma in PSC patients with cirrhosis should include ultrasound, computed tomography, or magnetic resonance imaging, with or without α-fetoprotein every 6 months.

Cancer risk, screening and surveillance in primary sclerosing cholangitis.

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a rare chronic inflammatory condition mainly of the large bile ducts, affecting predominantly young men, and is associated with the presence of inflammatory bowel disease. There is no known cure for PSC, which progresses to cirrhosis or death over 10-20 years. Hepatobiliary malignancy, especially cholangiocarcinoma, is a feared complication associated with poor overall survival. Screening and surveillance appear to improve overall outcomes. To capture as many relevant studies, broad search criteria were employed within the PubMed database. Given the high prevalence of IBD and its own associations with the development of malignancy two separate search strategies were employed. Results were filtered by English language. The first search identified the risks, epidemiological factors and surveillance strategies for patients with PSC at risk for developing malignancy. MeSH terms included: cholangitis, sclerosing, digestive system neoplasms, liver neoplasms, biliary tract neoplasms, cholangiocarcinoma, gallbladder neoplasms, colonic neoplasms, rectal neoplasms, or pancreatic neoplasms, risk factors, risk, surveillance, epidemiology and screen. The second included inflammatory bowel diseases, Crohn's, or colitis, and assessed for additional malignancies such as lymphoma and skin neoplasms. A total of 288 results returned with 21 duplicates; 267 remaining abstracts were assessed for relevance for inclusion by the authors. Patients with PSC show significantly higher than average risk for the development of hepatobiliary and colonic malignancies including cholangiocarcinoma, gallbladder carcinoma and colorectal carcinoma. Yearly ultrasound surveillance followed with more definitive cross-sectional imaging is prudent to arrive in a timely diagnosis of carcinoma, reducing morbidity and mortality.

Efficacy and safety of curcumin in primary sclerosing cholangitis: an open label pilot study.

Goals: To assess if curcumin improves markers of cholestasis among subjects with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC). Background: PSC is a chronic cholestatic liver disorder for which there is no established medical therapy. Preclinical data suggest curcumin may have a beneficial effect in PSC. Study: Subjects with PSC and a serum alkaline phosphatase (SAP) greater than 1.5 times the upper limit of normal (ULN) received curcumin 750 mg orally twice daily for 12 weeks in an open-label pilot study. The primary composite endpoint was proportion of subjects who had a reduction of SAP to less than 1.5 times ULN or a 40% reduction in SAP between baseline and week 12. Secondary endpoints included changes in serum aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin, Mayo PSC risk score and self-reported health questionnaires. Results: Two-hundred and fifty-eight patients with PSC were screened and 15 subjects were enrolled and all completed 12 weeks of therapy. The most common reason for subject exclusion was SAP less than 1.5 times the ULN (n = 98). Curcumin did not result in a significant median (interquartile range) change in SAP times the ULN [3.43 (2.10-4.32) to 2.46 (1.89-4.41), p = .36], and only 20% (3/15) subjects achieved the primary endpoint. Similarly, there was no significant change in the secondary endpoints. There were no serious adverse events reported. Conclusion: While curcumin was well tolerated, it was not associated with significant improvements in cholestasis or symptoms. Moreover, this study also illustrates that a low SAP is common among those with PSC. Abbreviations PSC: Primary sclerosing cholangitis; IBD: inflammatory bowel disease; CCA: cholangiocarcinoma; SAP: serum alkaline phosphatase; ULN: upper limit of normal; UDCA: ursodeoxycholic acid; CRP: c-reactive protein; AST: aspartate aminotransferase; ALT: alanine aminotransferase; INR: international normalized ratio; FIS: fatigue impact scale; AE: adverse events; PREsTo: PSC risk estimate tool; IQR: interquartile range; ELF: enhanced liver fibrosis.

Cancer risk in primary sclerosing cholangitis: Epidemiology, prevention, and surveillance strategies.

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a rare cholestatic liver disease characterized by progressive fibroinflammatory destruction of the intra- and/or extrahepatic biliary ducts. While its features and disease course can be variable, most patients with PSC have concurrent inflammatory bowel disease and will eventually develop liver cirrhosis and end-stage liver disease, with liver transplantation representing the only potentially curative option. Importantly, PSC is associated with a significantly increased risk of malignancy compared to the general population, mainly cholangiocarcinoma, gallbladder carcinoma, hepatocellular carcinoma, and colorectal cancer, with nearly 50% of deaths in patients with PSC being due to cancer. Therefore, robust surveillance strategies are needed, though uncertainty remains regarding how to best do so. In this review, we discuss the epidemiology, prevention, and surveillance of cancers in patients with PSC. Where evidence is limited, we present pragmatic approaches based on currently available data and expert opinion.

Machine Learning-based Development and Validation of a Scoring System for Screening High-Risk Esophageal Varices.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Many patients with cirrhosis who undergo esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) screening for esophageal varices (EVs) are found to have no or only small EVs. Endoscopic screening for EVs is therefore a potentially deferrable procedure that increases patient risk and healthcare cost. We developed and validated a scoring system, based on readily-available data, to reliably identify patients with EVs that need treatment. METHODS: We collected data from 238 patients with cirrhosis undergoing screening EGD from January 2016 through December 2017 at 3 separate hospitals in Los Angeles (training cohort). We abstracted data on patient sex, age, race/ethnicity, platelet counts, and levels of hemoglobin, serum sodium, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, total bilirubin, international normalized ratio, albumin, urea nitrogen, and creatinine. We also included etiology of cirrhosis, presence of ascites, and presence of hepatic encephalopathy. We used a random forest algorithm to identify factors significantly associated with the presence of EVs and varices needing treatment (VNT) and calculated area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). We called the resulting formula the EVendo score. We tested the accuracy of EVendo in a prospective study of 109 patients undergoing screening EGDs at the same medical centers from January 2018 through December 2018 (validation cohort). RESULTS: We developed an algorithm that identified patients with EVs and VNT based on international normalized ratio, level of aspartate aminotransferase, platelet counts, urea nitrogen, hemoglobin, and presence of ascites. The EVendo score identified patients with EVs in the training set with an AUROC of 0.84, patients with EVs in the validation set with and AUROC of 0.82, and EVs in patients with cirrhosis Child-Turcotte-Pugh class A (n = 235) with an AUROC of 0.81. The score identified patients with VNT in the training set with an AUROC of 0.74, VNT in the validation set with and AUROC of 0.75, and VNT in patients with cirrhosis Child-Turcotte-Pugh class A with and AUROC of 0.75. An EVendo score below 3.90 would have spared 30.5% patients from EGDs, missing only 2.8% of VNT. The same cutoff would have spared 40.0% of patients with Child-Turcotte-Pugh class A cirrhosis from EGDs, missing only 1.1% of VNT. CONCLUSIONS: We algorithmically developed a formula, called the EVendo score, that can be used to predict EVs and VNT based on readily available data in patients with cirrhosis. This score could help patients at low risk for VNT avoid unnecessary EGDs.

Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis, Part 2: Cancer Risk, Prevention, and Surveillance.

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a chronic, fibroinflammatory, progressive cholangiopathy. In a clinically significant proportion of patients, the disease course of PSC is punctuated by carcinogenesis, namely cholangiocarcinoma, gallbladder carcinoma, hepatocellular carcinoma, and/or colorectal carcinoma. Indeed, malignancy is arguably the most consequential sequela and the cause of nearly 50% of deaths in patients with PSC. This statistic is multifactorial, relating partly to the premalignant nature of PSC, challenges in diagnosis due to obscuration of cancer by the inflammation and fibrosis inherent to PSC, and the unpredictability of which type of cancer will develop in PSC and when. Here, in the second of a 2-part series, we review cancer risk, prevention, and surveillance in patients with PSC. We also discuss potential cancer surveillance strategies in PSC and, where evidence is limited, make pragmatic recommendations based on current data and expert opinion.

Primary sclerosing cholangitis in children versus adults: lessons for the clinic.

INTRODUCTION: Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a rare cholestatic disorder that presents with multifocal biliary strictures. PSC has a variable course but often leads to progressive liver disease, and most patients will eventually require liver transplantation. PSC has a strong association with inflammatory bowel disease and autoimmune liver disease. Areas covered: The objective of this article is to compare and contrast the clinical features and natural history of PSC in children to adults. We performed a PubMed search of the English literature using keywords 'primary sclerosing cholangitis', 'PSC', 'children', and 'pediatric.' Expert commentary: While certain features of PSC are similar in the pediatric and adult population, there are unique features of pediatric PSC. More longitudinal studies are needed to better understand the natural history of pediatric PSC. It is conceivable that treatment for PSC that will alter the course of disease may become available in the future.

Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis, Part 1: Epidemiology, Etiopathogenesis, Clinical Features, and Treatment.

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a chronic, idiopathic cholangiopathy that can progress to cirrhosis, end-stage liver disease, hepatobiliary cancer, and/or colorectal cancer. The course of PSC is often complicated by portal hypertension, symptoms of cholestasis, and recurrent bacterial cholangitis, among other conditions, with a consequent decrease in survival (median, approximately 20 years) and quality of life. The etiopathogenesis of PSC remains poorly understood, and, as such, pharmacotherapy has yet to be definitively established. Despite its rarity, PSC is the fifth leading indication for liver transplantation (LT) in the United States. Although the only intervention known to extend survival of patients with PSC, LT is costly and invasive, and recurrent PSC affects approximately 30% of LT recipients. Over the past several years, owing in part to progress in the understanding of PSC, novel pharmacotherapeutics have been developed, some of which are currently in the PSC clinical trial pipeline. Here, in the first of a 2-part series, we provide a review and update of the epidemiology, etiopathogenesis, clinical features, and treatment of PSC. The second part of the series will focus on cancer risk, prevention, and surveillance of PSC.

Major Hepatic Complications in Ursodeoxycholic Acid-Treated Patients With Primary Biliary Cholangitis: Risk Factors and Time Trends in Incidence and Outcome.

OBJECTIVES: In this era of near universal ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) treatment for primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), progression to cirrhosis still occurs in an important proportion of patients. The aim of this study was to describe the incidence of cirrhosis-associated complications in patients with PBC and assess risk factors and impact on survival. METHODS: Cohorts of UDCA-treated patients from 16 European and North-American liver centers were included. We used Cox proportional hazards assumptions and Kaplan-Meier estimates. RESULTS: During 8.1 years' median follow-up, 278 of 3,224 patients developed ascites, variceal bleeding, and/or encephalopathy (incidence rate of 9.7 cases/1,000 patient years). The overall cumulative incidence was 9.1% after 10 years of follow-up, but decreased over time to 5.8% after the year 2000. Earlier calendar year of diagnosis (P<0.001), high aspartate aminotransferase to platelets ratio index (APRI; P<0.001) and biochemical non-response (P<0.001) were independently associated with future complications. Patients with both biochemical non-response and an APRI >0.54 after 12 months of UDCA had a 10-year complication rate of 37.4%, as compared to 3.2% in biochemical responders with an APRI ≤0.54. The 10-year transplantation-free survival after a complication was 9% (time-dependent hazard ratio 21.5; 20.1-22.8). Prognosis after variceal bleeding has improved over time. CONCLUSIONS: In this large international cohort, up to 15% of UDCA-treated PBC patients developed major non-neoplastic, cirrhosis-associated hepatic complications within 15 years, but cumulative incidence has decreased over time. Biochemical non-response to UDCA and APRI were independent risk factors for these complications. Subsequent long-term outcome after complications is generally poor, but has improved over the past decades.

Current and future therapeutic regimens for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and its progressive form non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), are rapidly becoming among the top causes of cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and indications for liver transplantation. Other than lifestyle modification through diet and exercise, there are currently no other approved treatments for NASH/NAFLD. Although weight loss can be effective, it is difficult to achieve and sustain. In contrast, bariatric surgery can improve metabolic conditions associated with NAFLD, and has been shown to improve liver histology. To have approved regimens for the treatment of NASH/NAFLD, several issues must be addressed. First, all stakeholders must agree on the most appropriate clinical trial endpoints for NASH. Currently, resolution of NASH (without worsening fibrosis) or reduction of fibrosis stage (without worsening NASH) are the accepted endpoints by the regulatory authorities. It is important to recognize the prognostic implication of histologic features of NASH. In this context, although histologic NASH has been associated with advanced fibrosis, it is not an independent predictor of long-term mortality. In contrast, there are significant data to suggest that fibrosis stage is the only robust and independent predictor of liver-related mortality. In addition to the primary endpoints, several important secondary endpoints, including noninvasive biomarkers, long-term outcomes, and patient-reported outcomes must be considered. In 2018, a few phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment of NASH have been initiated. Additionally, a number of phase 2a and 2b clinical trials targeting different pathogenic pathways in NASH are in the pipeline of emerging therapies. CONCLUSION: Over the next 5 years, some of these regimens are expected to provide potential new treatment options for patients with NASH/NAFLD. (Hepatology 2018;68:361-371).