Modifiable lifestyle factors and lifetime risk of atrial fibrillation: longitudinal data from the Korea NHIS-HealS and UK Biobank cohorts.

BACKGROUND: The reason for higher incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in Europe compared with East Asia is unclear. We aimed to investigate the association between modifiable lifestyle factors and lifetime risk of AF in Europe and East Asia, along with race/ethnic similarities and disparities. METHODS: 1:1 propensity score matched pairs of 242,763 East Asians and 242,763 White Europeans without AF were analyzed. Modifiable lifestyle factors considered were blood pressure, body mass index, cigarette smoking, diabetes, alcohol consumption, and physical activity, categorized as non-adverse or adverse levels. Lifetime risk of AF was estimated from the index age of 45 years to the attained age of 85 years, accounting for the competing risk of death. RESULTS: The overall lifetime risk of AF was higher in White Europeans than East Asians (20.9% vs 15.4%, p < 0.001). The lifetime risk of AF was similar between the two races in individuals with non-adverse lifestyle factor profiles (13.4% vs 12.9%, p = 0.575), whereas it was higher in White Europeans with adverse lifestyle factor profiles (22.1% vs 15.8%, p < 0.001). The difference in the lifetime risk of AF between the two races increased as the burden of adverse lifestyle factors worsened (1 adverse lifestyle factor; 4.3% to ≥ 3 adverse lifestyle factors; 11.2%). Compared with East Asians, the relative risk of AF in White Europeans was 23% and 62% higher for one (hazard ratio [HR] 1.23, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.16-1.29) and ≥ 3 adverse lifestyle factors (HR 1.62, 95% CI 1.51-1.75), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The overall higher lifetime risk of AF in White Europeans compared with East Asians might be attributable to adverse lifestyle factors. Adherence to healthy lifestyle factors was associated with the lifetime risk of AF of about 1 in 8 regardless of race/ethnicity.

Embolic strokes of undetermined source: a clinical consensus statement of the ESC Council on Stroke, the European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging and the European Heart Rhythm Association of the ESC.

One in six ischaemic stroke patients has an embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS), defined as a stroke with unclear aetiology despite recommended diagnostic evaluation. The overall cardiovascular risk of ESUS is high and it is important to optimize strategies to prevent recurrent stroke and other cardiovascular events. The aim of clinicians when confronted with a patient not only with ESUS but also with any other medical condition of unclear aetiology is to identify the actual cause amongst a list of potential differential diagnoses, in order to optimize secondary prevention. However, specifically in ESUS, this may be challenging as multiple potential thromboembolic sources frequently coexist. Also, it can be delusively reassuring because despite the implementation of specific treatments for the individual pathology presumed to be the actual thromboembolic source, patients can still be vulnerable to stroke and other cardiovascular events caused by other pathologies already identified during the index diagnostic evaluation but whose thromboembolic potential was underestimated. Therefore, rather than trying to presume which particular mechanism is the actual embolic source in an ESUS patient, it is important to assess the overall thromboembolic risk of the patient through synthesis of the individual risks linked to all pathologies present, regardless if presumed causally associated or not. In this paper, a multi-disciplinary panel of clinicians/researchers from various backgrounds of expertise and specialties (cardiology, internal medicine, neurology, radiology and vascular surgery) proposes a comprehensive multi-dimensional assessment of the overall thromboembolic risk in ESUS patients through the composition of individual risks associated with all prevalent pathologies.

Patterns of comorbidities in patients with atrial fibrillation and impact on management and long-term prognosis: an analysis from the Prospective Global GLORIA-AF Registry.

BACKGROUND: Clinical complexity, as the interaction between ageing, frailty, multimorbidity and polypharmacy, is an increasing concern in patients with AF. There remains uncertainty regarding how combinations of comorbidities influence management and prognosis of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We aimed to identify phenotypes of AF patients according to comorbidities and to assess associations between comorbidity patterns, drug use and risk of major outcomes. METHODS: From the prospective GLORIA-AF Registry, we performed a latent class analysis based on 18 diseases, encompassing cardiovascular, metabolic, respiratory and other conditions; we then analysed the association between phenotypes of patients and (i) treatments received and (ii) the risk of major outcomes. Primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Secondary exploratory outcomes were also analysed. RESULTS: 32,560 AF patients (mean age 70.0 ± 10.5 years, 45.4% females) were included. We identified 6 phenotypes: (i) low complexity (39.2% of patients); (ii) cardiovascular (CV) risk factors (28.2%); (iii) atherosclerotic (10.2%); (iv) thromboembolic (8.1%); (v) cardiometabolic (7.6%) and (vi) high complexity (6.6%). Higher use of oral anticoagulants was found in more complex groups, with highest magnitude observed for the cardiometabolic and high complexity phenotypes (odds ratio and 95% confidence interval CI): 1.76 [1.49-2.09] and 1.57 [1.35-1.81], respectively); similar results were observed for beta-blockers and verapamil or diltiazem. We found higher risk of the primary outcome in all phenotypes, except the CV risk factor one, with highest risk observed for the cardiometabolic and high complexity groups (hazard ratio and 95%CI: 1.37 [1.13-1.67] and 1.47 [1.24-1.75], respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Comorbidities influence management and long-term prognosis of patients with AF. Patients with complex phenotypes may require comprehensive and holistic approaches to improve their prognosis.

Randomised controlled trial of population screening for atrial fibrillation in people aged 70 years and over to reduce stroke: protocol for the SAFER trial.

INTRODUCTION: There is a lack of evidence that the benefits of screening for atrial fibrillation (AF) outweigh the harms. Following the completion of the Screening for Atrial Fibrillation with ECG to Reduce stroke (SAFER) pilot trial, the aim of the main SAFER trial is to establish whether population screening for AF reduces incidence of stroke risk. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Approximately 82 000 people aged 70 years and over and not on oral anticoagulation are being recruited from general practices in England. Patients on the palliative care register or residents in a nursing home are excluded. Eligible people are identified using electronic patient records from general practices and sent an invitation and consent form to participate by post. Consenting participants are randomised at a ratio of 2:1 (control:intervention) with clustering by household. Those randomised to the intervention arm are sent an information leaflet inviting them to participate in screening, which involves use of a handheld single-lead ECG four times a day for 3 weeks. ECG traces identified by an algorithm as possible AF are reviewed by cardiologists. Participants with AF are seen by a general practitioner for consideration of anticoagulation. The primary outcome is stroke. Major secondary outcomes are: death, major bleeding and cardiovascular events. Follow-up will be via electronic health records for an average of 4 years. The primary analysis will be by intention-to-treat using time-to-event modelling. Results from this trial will be combined with follow-up data from the cluster-randomised pilot trial by fixed-effects meta-analysis. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The London-Central National Health Service Research Ethics Committee (19/LO/1597) provided ethical approval. Dissemination will include public-friendly summaries, reports and engagement with the UK National Screening Committee. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN72104369.

Prediabetes is associated with increased cardiac events in patients with cancer who are prescribed anthracyclines.

BACKGROUND: Prediabetes, which is a precedent of overt diabetes, is a known risk factor for adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Its impact on adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients with cancer who are prescribed anthracycline-containing chemotherapy (ACT) is uncertain. The objective of this study was to evaluate the association of prediabetes with cardiovascular events in patients with cancer who are prescribed ACT. METHODS: The authors identified patients with cancer who received ACT from 2000 to 2019 from Clinical Data Analysis Reporting System of Hong Kong. Patients were divided into diabetes, prediabetes, and normoglycemia groups based on their baseline glycemic profile. The Primary outcome, a major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE), was the composite event of hospitalization for heart failure and cardiovascular death. RESULTS: Among 12,649 patients at baseline, 3997 had prediabetes, and 5622 had diabetes. Over median follow-up of 8.7 years, the incidence of MACE was 211 (7.0%) in the normoglycemia group, 358 (9.0%) in the prediabetes group, and 728 (12.9%) in the diabetes group. Compared with normoglycemia, prediabetes (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.43) and diabetes (adjusted HR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.24-1.70) were associated with an increased risk of MACE. In the prediabetes group, 475 patients (18%) progressed to overt diabetes and exhibited a greater risk of MACE (adjusted HR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.31-2.36) compared with patients who remained prediabetic. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with cancer who received ACT, those who had prediabetes at baseline and those who progressed to diabetes at follow-up had an increased risk of MACE. The optimization of cardiovascular risk factor management, including prediabetes, should be considered in patients with cancer who are treated before and during ACT to reduce cardiovascular risk. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Patients with cancer who have preexisting diabetes have a higher risk of cardiovascular events, and prediabetes is often overlooked. In this study of 12,649 patients with cancer identified in the Clinical Data Analysis Reporting System of Hong Kong who were receiving treatment with anthracycline drugs, prediabetes was correlated with increased deaths from cardiovascular disease and/or hospitalizations for heart failure. Patients who progressed from prediabetes to diabetes within 2 years had an increased risk of combined hospitalization for heart failure and death from cardiovascular disease. These findings indicate the importance of paying greater attention to cardiovascular risk factors, including how prediabetes is managed, in patients who have cancer and are receiving chemotherapy with anthracyclines, emphasizing the need for surveillance, follow-up strategies, and consideration of prediabetes management in cancer care.

Combination of early rhythm control and healthy lifestyle on the risk of stroke in elderly patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation: a nationwide population-based cohort study.

Background: The impact of early rhythm control (ERC) combined with healthy lifestyle (HLS) on the risk of ischemic stroke in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unaddressed. Objective: To evaluate the impact of combined ERC and HLS on the risk of stroke in elderly patients with new-onset AF. Methods: Using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database, we included patients aged ≥75 years with new-onset AF from January 2009 to December 2016 (n = 41,315). Patients who received rhythm control therapy within 2 years of AF diagnosis were defined as the ERC group. Non-smoking, non-to-mild alcohol consumption (<105 g/week), and regular exercise were defined as HLS. Subjects were categorized into four groups: group 1 (without ERC and HLS, n = 25,093), 2 (HLS alone, n = 8,351), 3 (ERC alone, n = 5,565), and 4 (both ERC and HLS, n = 2,306). We assessed the incidence of ischemic stroke as the primary outcome, along with admissions for heart failure, all-cause death, and the composite of ischemic stroke, admission for heart failure, and all-cause death. Results: Median follow-up duration of the study cohort was 3.4 years. After adjusting for multiple variables, groups 2 and 3 were associated with a lower stroke risk (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.867, 0.794-0.948 and 0.713, 0.637-0.798, respectively) than that of group 1. Compared to Group 1, group 4 showed the lowest stroke risk (aHR: 0.694, 95% CI: 0.586-0.822) among all groups, followed by group 3 (0.713, 0.637-0.798) and group 2 (0.857, 0.794-0.948), respectively. Group 4 was associated with the lowest risk of all-cause death (aHR: 0.680, 95% CI: 0.613-0.754) and the composite outcome (aHR: 0.708, 95% CI: 0.649-0.772). Conclusion: ERC and HLS were associated with a lower risk of ischemic stroke in elderly patients with new-onset AF. Concurrently implementing ERC and maintaining HLS was associated with the lowest risk of death and the composite outcome, with a modest synergistic effect on stroke prevention.

Efficacy and safety of oral anticoagulants according to kidney function among patients with atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with severely reduced kidney function have been excluded from randomized controlled trials and data on the safety and efficacy of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) according to kidney function remain sparse. The aim was to evaluate the safety and efficacy of the DOACs across subgroups of kidney function. METHODS: Using multiple Danish nationwide registers and laboratory databases, we included patients initiated on oral anticoagulants (OACs) with atrial fibrillation and available creatinine level and followed patients for 2 years to evaluate occurrence of stroke/thromboembolism (TE) and major bleeding. RESULTS: Among 26 686 included patients, 3667 (13.7%) had an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 30-49 mL/min/1.73 m2 and 596 (2.2%) had an eGFR below 30 mL/min/1.73 m2. We found no evidence of differences regarding the risk of stroke/TE between the OACs (P-value interaction >0.05 for all). Apixaban was associated with a lower 2-year risk of major bleeding compared to vitamin K antagonists (VKA) [hazard ratio 0.79, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.67-0.93], and the risk difference was significantly larger among patients with reduced kidney function (P-value interaction 0.018). Rivaroxaban was associated with a higher risk of bleeding compared to apixaban (hazard ratio 1.78, 95%CI 1.32-2.39) among patients with eGFR 30-49 mL/min/1.73 m2. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, we found no differences regarding the risk of stroke/TE, but apixaban was associated with a 21% lower relative risk of major bleeding compared to VKA. This risk reduction was even greater when comparing apixaban to VKA among patients with eGFR 15-30 mL/min/1.73 m2, and when comparing apixaban to dabigatran and rivaroxaban among patients with eGFR 30-49 mL/min/1.73 m2.

When anticoagulation management in atrial fibrillation becomes difficult: Focus on chronic kidney disease, coagulation disorders, and cancer.

Anticoagulation therapy (AT) is fundamental in atrial fibrillation (AF) treatment but poses challenges in implementation, especially in AF populations with elevated thromboembolic and bleeding risks. Current guidelines emphasize the need to estimate and balance thrombosis and bleeding risks for all potential candidates of antithrombotic therapy. However, administering oral AT raises concerns in specific populations, such as those with chronic kidney disease (CKD), coagulation disorders, and cancer due to lack of robust data. These groups, excluded from large direct oral anticoagulants trials, rely on observational studies, prompting physicians to adopt individualized management strategies based on case-specific evaluations. The scarcity of evidence and specific guidelines underline the need for a tailored approach, emphasizing regular reassessment of risk factors and anticoagulation drug doses. This narrative review aims to summarize evidence and recommendations for challenging AF clinical scenarios, particularly in the long-term management of AT for patients with CKD, coagulation disorders, and cancer.

The feasibility of population screening for paroxysmal atrial fibrillation using hand-held electrocardiogram devices.

AIMS: There are few data on the feasibility of population screening for paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) using hand-held electrocardiogram (ECG) devices outside a specialist setting or in people over the age of 75. We investigated the feasibility of screening when conducted without face-to-face contact ('remote') or via in-person appointments in primary care and explored impact of age on screening outcomes. METHODS AND RESULTS: People aged ≥65 years from 13 general practices in England participated in screening during 2019-20. This involved attending a practice nurse appointment (10 practices) or receiving an ECG device by post (three practices). Participants were asked to use a hand-held ECG for 1-4 weeks. Screening outcomes included uptake, quality of ECGs, AF detection rates, and uptake of anticoagulation if AF was detected. Screening was carried out by 2141 (87.5%) of people invited to practice nurse-led screening and by 288 (90.0%) invited to remote screening. At least 56 interpretable ECGs were provided by 98.0% of participants who participated for 3 weeks, with no significant differences by setting or age, except people aged 85 or over (91.1%). Overall, 2.6% (64/2429) screened participants had AF, with detection rising with age (9.2% in people aged 85 or over). A total of 53/64 (82.8%) people with AF commenced anticoagulation. Uptake of anticoagulation did not vary by age. CONCLUSION: Population screening for paroxysmal AF is feasible in general practice and without face-to-face contact for all ages over 64 years, including people aged 85 and over.

Cardiovascular Outcomes with Intravitreal Anti-Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor Therapy in Patients with Diabetes: A Real-World Data Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (anti-VEGF) therapy is commonly used intravitreally for diabetic proliferative retinopathy, but when used systemically for treating cancers, an excess of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events has been noted. The latter is of concern for people with diabetes, who are at higher risk of CVD. This study aims to explore the relationship between incident CVD and intravitreal anti-VEGF therapy in patients with diabetes, compared to other therapies, using a large real-world global federated dataset. METHODS: Data were analysed using TriNetX, a global electronic medical real-world ecosystem. The study included adults with diabetes and excluded those with a history of CVD prior to the time window of data extraction. Patients were categorised into two cohorts: anti-VEGF therapy or control cohort (laser or steroid therapies). The cohorts were 1:1 propensity score-matched for age, sex, ethnicity, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, HbA1c, and cardiovascular medications. Outcomes analysed at 1, 6 and 12 months were: (1) mortality; (2) acute myocardial infarction (MI); (3) cerebral infarction; and (4) heart failure. Relative risk analyses were performed using the built-in R statistical computing platform on TriNetX. RESULTS: In patients with diabetes (n = 2205; mean age 58.8 ± 15.8, Std diff 0.05; 56% male), anti-VEGF therapy was associated with a numerical but non-statistically significant increased CVD risk over 1, 6, and 12 months: Mortality over 1 month (RR 1; 95% CI 0.42, 2.40), 6 months (RR 1.46; 95% CI 0.72, 2.95) and 12 months (RR 1.41; 95% CI 0.88, 2.27). There was no excess of acute MI over 1 (RR n/a: not applicable; 0/0: 0 events in the anti-VEGF group/0 events in the control group), 6 and 12 months (RR n/a; 0/10 events); cerebral infarction over 1, 6 months (RR n/a; 0/0 events), and 12 months (RR n/a; 0/10); and heart failure over 1 month (RR n/a; 0/0 events), 6 months (RR 1; 95% CI 0.42, 2.40) and 12 months (RR 1; 95% CI 0.42, 2.34). CONCLUSIONS: There was no statistically significant risk of cardiovascular-related events in the short or medium term in patients with diabetes who received intravitreal anti-VEGF therapy, despite a small increase in the number of CVD events. Our study supports the real-world safety of intravitreal anti-VEGF therapy in patients with diabetes free of baseline CVD.

Racial Differences in Ischemic and Hemorrhagic Stroke: An Ecological Epidemiological Study.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to evaluate racial differences in the incidence of stroke by conducting an ecological epidemiological study using UK Biobank and Korean nationwide data. METHODS: This study used individual data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service-Health Screening and UK Biobank, which included participants who underwent health examinations between 2006 and 2010. We included 112,750 East Asians (50.7% men, mean age: 52.6 years) and 210,995 Caucasians (44.7% men, mean age: 55.0 years) who were not diagnosed with atrial fibrillation, cardiovascular diseases, chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, or cancer. The primary outcome was defined as a composite of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke. RESULTS: East Asians tended to have a lower body mass index (23.7 vs. 26.4 kg/m2, p < 0.001) and a higher proportion of participants who did not engage in moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (49.6% vs. 10.7%, p < 0.001) than Caucasians. During the follow-up, East Asians had higher 5-year incidence rates (presented as per 1,000 person-years) for primary outcome (1.73 vs. 0.50; IR ratio [IRR]: 3.48, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.13-3.88), ischemic stroke (1.23 vs. 0.33; IRR: 3.70, 95% CI: 3.25-4.21), hemorrhagic stroke (0.56 vs. 0.18; IRR: 3.20, 95% CI: 2.67-3.84), and atrial fibrillation-related stroke (0.19 vs. 0.09; IRR: 2.04, 95% CI: 1.55-2.68). CONCLUSION: Based on this ecological epidemiological study, racial differences in stroke incidence were robust to a variety of statistical analyses, regardless of the subtype. This suggests the need for region-specific approaches to stroke prevention.

Supermarket/hypermarket opportunistic screening for atrial fibrillation (SHOPS-AF) using sensors embedded in the handles of supermarket trolleys: A feasibility study.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of death, stroke, heart failure, cognitive decline, and healthcare costs but is often asymptomatic and undiagnosed. There is currently no national screening program for AF. The advent of validated hand-held devices allows AF to be detected in non-healthcare settings, enabling screening to be undertaken within the community. METHOD AND RESULTS: In this novel observational study, we embedded a MyDiagnostick single lead ECG sensor into the handles of shopping trolleys in four supermarkets in the Northwest of England: 2155 participants were recruited. Of these, 231 participants either activated the sensor or had an irregular pulse, suggesting AF. Some participants agreed to use the sensor but refused to provide their contact details, or consent to pulse assessment. In addition, some data were missing, resulting in 203 participants being included in the final analyses. Fifty-nine participants (mean age 73.6 years, 43% female) were confirmed or suspected of having AF; 20 were known to have AF and 39 were previously undiagnosed. There was no evidence of AF in 115 participants and the remaining 46 recordings were non-diagnostic, mainly due to artefact. Men and older participants were significantly more likely to have newly diagnosed AF. Due to the number of non-diagnostic ECGs (n = 46), we completed three levels of analyses, excluding all non-diagnostic ECGs, assuming all non-diagnostic ECGs were masking AF, and assuming all non-diagnostic ECGs were not AF. Based on the results of the three analyses, the sensor's sensitivity (95% CI) ranged from 0.70 to 0.93; specificity from 0.15 to 0.97; positive predictive values (PPV) and negative predictive values (NPV) ranged from 0.24 to 0.56 and 0.55 to 1.00, respectively. These values should be interpreted with caution, as the ideal reference standard on 1934 participants was imperfect. CONCLUSION: The study demonstrates that the public will engage with AF screening undertaken as part of their daily routines using hand-held devices. Sensors can play a key role in identifying asymptomatic patients in this way, but the technology must be further developed to reduce the quantity of non-diagnostic ECGs.

Algorithm for Rapid Exclusion of Clinically Relevant Plasma Levels of Direct Oral Anticoagulants in Patients Using the DOAC Dipstick: An Expert Consensus Paper.

BACKGROUND: With the widespread use of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs), there is an urgent need for a rapid assay to exclude clinically relevant plasma levels. Accurate and rapid determination of DOAC levels would guide medical decision-making to (1) determine the potential contribution of the DOAC to spontaneous or trauma-induced hemorrhage; (2) identify appropriate candidates for reversal, or (3) optimize the timing of urgent surgery or intervention. METHODS AND RESULTS: The DOAC Dipstick test uses a disposable strip to identify factor Xa- or thrombin inhibitors in a urine sample. Based on the results of a systematic literature search followed by an analysis of a simple pooling of five retrieved clinical studies, the test strip has a high sensitivity and an acceptably high negative predictive value when compared with levels measured with liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry or calibrated chromogenic assays to reliably exclude plasma DOAC concentrations ≥30 ng/mL. CONCLUSION: Based on these data, a simple algorithm is proposed to enhance medical decision-making in acute care indications useful primarily in hospitals not having readily available quantitative tests and 24/7. This algorithm not only determines DOAC exposure but also differentiates between factor Xa and thrombin inhibitors to better guide clinical management.

Which dose of apixaban is suitable for Asian patients with atrial fibrillation who have a serum creatinine < 1.5 mg/dL but an estimated glomerular filtration rate < 50 mL/min?

Introduction: Reduced-dose (Low-dose [LD]) apixaban is recommended in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who fulfill 2 of 3 criteria: age ≥ 80 years, body weight ≤ 60 kg, and a serum creatinine (sCr) ≥ 1.5 mg/dl. However, the suitable (appropriate) dose for Asian patients who have a sCr < 1.5 mg/dl but an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 50 mL/min is unknown. Methods: This is a retrospective study using the Chang Gung Memorial hospital medical database in Taiwan. A total of 13,508 AF patients receiving oral anticoagulants (OACs) from 2012 to 2018 were reviewed and 1595 patients with a sCr < 1.5 mg/dL and an eGFR < 50 mL/min who met 1 criterion of dose reduction of apixaban other than sCr (that is, age ≥ 80 years or body weight < 60 kg) were identified. Clinical outcomes were compared between LD and SD apixaban versus warfarin. Results: Their OACs use was as follows: 343 receiving apixaban (128 patients on standard dose [SD] and 215 on LD), 174 receiving warfarin, and 1078 on other NOACs. Patients with an eGFR < 50 mL/min had higher risk of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.264; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 1.086-1.472) and composite endpoint of 'ischemic stroke/systemic embolism (IS/SE) or major bleeding or mortality (aHR, 1.202; 95 % CI, 1.056-1.370) compared to those with an eGFR ≥ 50 mL/min whereas the risk of IS/SE and major bleeding were similar. LD apixaban was associated with lower risk of composite endpoint of IS/SE or major bleeding (aHR, 0.567; 95 % CI, 0.331 - 0.972), mortality (aHR, 0.336; 95 % CI, 0.138 - 0.815), and 'IS/SE or major bleeding or mortality (aHR, 0.551; 95 % CI, 0343 - 0.886) compared to warfarin while the risk was comparable between SD apixaban and warfarin (aHR, 0.745; 95 % CI, 0.402 - 1.378; aHR, 0.407; 95 % CI, 0.145 - 1.143; aHR, 0.619; 95 % CI, 0.354 - 1.084, respectively). Conclusion: In patients with sCr < 1.5 mg/dL and eGFR < 50 mL/min, SD and LD apixaban were comparable in the prevention of IS/SE, but LD apixaban was superior in reducing the composite endpoint of 'IS/SE or major bleeding or mortality'. Therefore, LD apixaban might be a preferred dose for this population.

Atrial fibrillation: comorbidities, lifestyle, and patient factors.

Modern anticoagulation therapy has dramatically reduced the risk of stroke and systemic thromboembolism in people with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, AF still impairs quality of life, increases the risk of stroke and heart failure, and is linked to cognitive impairment. There is also a recognition of the residual risk of thromboembolic complications despite anticoagulation. Hence, AF management is evolving towards a more comprehensive understanding of risk factors predisposing to the development of this arrhythmia, its' complications and interventions to mitigate the risk. This review summarises the recent advances in understanding of risk factors for incident AF and managing these risk factors. It includes a discussion of lifestyle, somatic, psychological, and socioeconomic risk factors. The available data call for a practice shift towards a more individualised approach considering an increasingly broader range of health and patient factors contributing to AF-related health burden. The review highlights the needs of people living with co-morbidities (especially with multimorbidity), polypharmacy and the role of the changing population demographics affecting the European region and globally.

Relationship between trajectories of dietary iron intake and risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus: evidence from a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The association between dietary iron intake and the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) remains inconsistent. In this study, we aimed to investigate the relationship between trajectories of dietary iron intake and risk of T2DM. METHODS: This study comprised a total of 61,115 participants without a prior T2DM from the UK Biobank database. We used the group-based trajectory model (GBTM) to identify different dietary iron intake trajectories. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the relationship between trajectories of dietary iron intake and risk of T2DM. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 4.8 years, a total of 677 T2DM events were observed. Four trajectory groups of dietary iron intake were characterized by the GBTM: trajectory group 1 (with a mean dietary iron intake of 10.9 mg/day), 2 (12.3 mg/day), 3 (14.1 mg/day) and 4 (17.6 mg/day). Trajectory group 3 was significantly associated with a 38% decreased risk of T2DM when compared with trajectory group 1 (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.62, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.49-0.79), while group 4 was significantly related with a 30% risk reduction (HR = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.54-0.91). Significant effect modifications by obesity (p = 0.04) and history of cardiovascular disease (p < 0.01) were found to the relationship between trajectories of dietary iron intake and the risk of T2DM. CONCLUSIONS: We found that trajectories of dietary iron intake were significantly associated with the risk of T2DM, where the lowest T2DM risk was observed in trajectory group 3 with a mean iron intake of 14.1 mg/day. These findings may highlight the importance of adequate dietary iron intake to the T2DM prevention from a public health perspective. Further studies to assess the relationship between dietary iron intake and risk of T2DM are needed, as well as intervention studies to mitigate the risks of T2DM associated with dietary iron changes.

Clonal haematopoiesis of indeterminate potential and atrial fibrillation: an east Asian cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Both clonal haematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are age-related conditions. This study investigated the potential role of CHIP in the development and progression of AF. METHODS: Deep-targeted sequencing of 24 CHIP mutations (a mean depth of coverage = 1000×) was performed in 1004 patients with AF and 3341 non-AF healthy subjects. Variant allele fraction ≥ 2.0% indicated the presence of CHIP mutations. The association between CHIP and AF was evaluated by the comparison of (i) the prevalence of CHIP mutations between AF and non-AF subjects and (ii) clinical characteristics discriminated by CHIP mutations within AF patients. Furthermore, the risk of clinical outcomes-the composite of heart failure, ischaemic stroke, or death-according to the presence of CHIP mutations in AF was investigated from the UK Biobank cohort. RESULTS: The mean age was 67.6 ± 6.9 vs. 58.5 ± 6.5 years in AF (paroxysmal, 39.0%; persistent, 61.0%) and non-AF cohorts, respectively. CHIP mutations with a variant allele fraction of ≥2.0% were found in 237 (23.6%) AF patients (DNMT3A, 13.5%; TET2, 6.6%; and ASXL1, 1.5%) and were more prevalent than non-AF subjects [356 (10.7%); P < .001] across the age. After multivariable adjustment (age, sex, smoking, body mass index, diabetes, and hypertension), CHIP mutations were 1.4-fold higher in AF [adjusted odds ratio (OR) 1.38; 95% confidence interval 1.10-1.74, P < .01]. The ORs of CHIP mutations were the highest in the long-standing persistent AF (adjusted OR 1.50; 95% confidence interval 1.14-1.99, P = .004) followed by persistent (adjusted OR 1.44) and paroxysmal (adjusted OR 1.33) AF. In gene-specific analyses, TET2 somatic mutation presented the highest association with AF (adjusted OR 1.65; 95% confidence interval 1.05-2.60, P = .030). AF patients with CHIP mutations were older and had a higher prevalence of diabetes, a longer AF duration, a higher E/E', and a more severely enlarged left atrium than those without CHIP mutations (all P < .05). In UK Biobank analysis of 21 286 AF subjects (1297 with CHIP and 19 989 without CHIP), the CHIP mutation in AF is associated with a 1.32-fold higher risk of a composite clinical event (heart failure, ischaemic stroke, or death). CONCLUSIONS: CHIP mutations, primarily DNMT3A or TET2, are more prevalent in patients with AF than non-AF subjects whilst their presence is associated with a more progressive nature of AF and unfavourable clinical outcomes.

Potentially inappropriate prescribing in multimorbid and polymedicated older adults with AF: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

AIM: Polypharmacy in multimorbid older patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is a risk factor for potentially inappropriate prescribing (PIP). We aimed to systematically assess the evidence on the prevalence of PIP and its impact on adverse health outcomes in this patient group. METHODS: A systematic search of the published peer-reviewed literature describing the prevalence of PIP and/or its association with adverse health outcomes in multimorbid (AF plus one comorbidity) and polymedicated (≥ 2 drugs) adults ≥ 65 years was done up to March 2023. A meta-analysis of the prevalence of PIP of (direct) oral anticoagulants ((D)OACs) was conducted using a random-effects model. Leave-one-out analysis was performed with R (version 4.2.2) and RStudio (version 2022.12.0+353). RESULTS: Of the 12 studies included, only one reported on the prevalence of overall PIP (65%). The meta-analysis of 10 studies assessing PIP of (D)OACs produced a pooled prevalence [95% confidence interval (CI)] of 35% [30-40%], with significant heterogeneity between the included studies (I2 95%). No statistically significant association was reported in three studies between PIP of (D)OACs, cardiovascular (CV) and all-cause mortality, hospital readmission, CV hospitalisation and stroke. Reported associations between PIP and major bleeding differed, with one study demonstrating a significant association (odds ratio 2.17; 95% CI 1.14-4.12) and the other study not showing such association. CONCLUSION: This systematic review highlights the scarce evidence regarding the prevalence of PIP and its association with adverse health outcomes in multimorbid older adults with AF. Large, prospective and better-designed studies are needed.

Epidemiology of arrhythmogenic ventricular cardiomyopathy in China.

BACKGROUND: Arrhythmogenic ventricular cardiomyopathy (AVC) is a common cause of ventricular arrhythmias and mortality, but limited data are available from large Asian cohorts. Our aim was to explore the current status of AVC and second, we examined the prevalence of ventricular tachycardia (VT), heart failure (HF) and mortality in patients with AVC in the Chinese population. HYPOTHESIS: At present, some studies have reported that the incidence of AVC is on the rise, which may be due to the increasing number of diagnostic methods for AVC. However, there is no epidemiological data on AVC in the Chinese population, so we speculate that the incidence of AVC in the Chinese population is increasing. METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied 15 888 adults from the Beijing Municipal Health Commission Information Center (BMHCIC) registry database in China from January 2010 to December 2020, and calculated the average annual percentage change (AAPC). Second, we determined the incidence of VT, HF and mortality in patients with AVC. Of the 10 318 men and 5570 women who were screened by cardiac magnetic resonance or examined by myocardial biopsy, there were a total of 256 newly diagnosed AVC patients (mean [SD]: 37.54[17.10]; 39.45% female). The incidence of AVC increased from 7.60 (3.12-12.06) in 2010 to 19.62 (11.51-27.75) per 1000 person-years in 2020. Males had higher incidence of AVC than females. The AAPC for the rising incidence of AVC was 8.9 %. Males had similar VT prevalence (70.32% vs. 62.38%, p = 0.19) and mortality (1.94% vs. 1.98%, p = 0.98) but lower HF prevalence (42.58% vs. 60.40%, p = 0.006), when compared to females. Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) was more likely to be performed in males (p = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: The rising trend in AVC incidence was evident, with two-fold increase by 2020. Males with AVC had similar VT prevalence and mortality rate, but HF prevalence were lower than females, perhaps impacted by RFA use.