Applying interpretable machine learning workflow to evaluate exposure-response relationships for large-molecule oncology drugs.

The application of logistic regression (LR) and Cox Proportional Hazard (CoxPH) models are well-established for evaluating exposure-response (E-R) relationship in large molecule oncology drugs. However, applying machine learning (ML) models on evaluating E-R relationships has not been widely explored. We developed a workflow to train regularized LR/CoxPH and tree-based XGboost (XGB) models, and derive the odds ratios for best overall response and hazard ratios for overall survival, across exposure quantiles to evaluate the E-R relationship using clinical trial datasets. The E-R conclusions between LR/CoxPH and XGB models are overall consistent, and largely aligned with historical pharmacometric analyses findings. Overall, applying this interpretable ML workflow provides a promising alternative method to assess E-R relationships for impacting key dosing decisions in drug development.

Incorporating Radiomics into Machine Learning Models to Predict Outcomes of Neuroblastoma.

Neuroblastoma is one of the most common pediatric cancers. This study used machine learning (ML) to predict the mortality and a few other investigated intermediate outcomes of neuroblastoma patients non-invasively from CT images. Performances of multiple ML algorithms over retrospective CT images of 65 neuroblastoma patients are analyzed. An artificial neural network (ANN) is used on tumor radiomic features extracted from 3D CT images. A pre-trained 2D convolutional neural network (CNN) is used on slices of the same images. ML models are trained for various pathologically investigated outcomes of these patients. A subspecialty-trained pediatric radiologist independently reviewed the manually segmented primary tumors. Pyradiomics library is used to extract 105 radiomic features. Six ML algorithms are compared to predict the following outcomes: mortality, presence or absence of metastases, neuroblastoma differentiation, mitosis-karyorrhexis index (MKI), presence or absence of MYCN gene amplification, and presence of image-defined risk factors (IDRF). The prediction ranges over multiple experiments are measured using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC-AUC) for comparison. Our results show that the radiomics-based ANN method slightly outperforms the other algorithms in predicting all outcomes except classification of the grade of neuroblastic differentiation, for which the elastic regression model performed the best. Contributions of the article are twofold: (1) noninvasive models for the prognosis from CT images of neuroblastoma, and (2) comparison of relevant ML models on this medical imaging problem.

Molecular determinants of response to PD-L1 blockade across tumor types.

Immune checkpoint inhibitors targeting the PD-1/PD-L1 axis lead to durable clinical responses in subsets of cancer patients across multiple indications, including non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), urothelial carcinoma (UC) and renal cell carcinoma (RCC). Herein, we complement PD-L1 immunohistochemistry (IHC) and tumor mutation burden (TMB) with RNA-seq in 366 patients to identify unifying and indication-specific molecular profiles that can predict response to checkpoint blockade across these tumor types. Multiple machine learning approaches failed to identify a baseline transcriptional signature highly predictive of response across these indications. Signatures described previously for immune checkpoint inhibitors also failed to validate. At the pathway level, significant heterogeneity is observed between indications, in particular within the PD-L1+ tumors. mUC and NSCLC are molecularly aligned, with cell cycle and DNA damage repair genes associated with response in PD-L1- tumors. At the gene level, the CDK4/6 inhibitor CDKN2A is identified as a significant transcriptional correlate of response, highlighting the association of non-immune pathways to the outcome of checkpoint blockade. This cross-indication analysis reveals molecular heterogeneity between mUC, NSCLC and RCC tumors, suggesting that indication-specific molecular approaches should be prioritized to formulate treatment strategies.

Mask-Guided Convolutional Neural Network for Breast Tumor Prognostic Outcome Prediction on 3D DCE-MR Images.

In this proof-of-concept work, we have developed a 3D-CNN architecture that is guided by the tumor mask for classifying several patient-outcomes in breast cancer from the respective 3D dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI (DCE-MRI) images. The tumor masks on DCE-MRI images were generated using pre- and post-contrast images and validated by experienced radiologists. We show that our proposed mask-guided classification has a higher accuracy than that from either the full image without tumor masks (including background) or the masked voxels only. We have used two patient outcomes for this study: (1) recurrence of cancer after 5 years of imaging and (2) HER2 status, for comparing accuracies of different models. By looking at the activation maps, we conclude that an image-based prediction model using 3D-CNN could be improved by even a conservatively generated mask, rather than overly trusting an unguided, blind 3D-CNN. A blind CNN may classify accurately enough, while its attention may really be focused on a remote region within 3D images. On the other hand, only using a conservatively segmented region may not be as good for classification as using full images but forcing the model's attention toward the known regions of interest.

Exploration of PET and MRI radiomic features for decoding breast cancer phenotypes and prognosis.

Radiomics is an emerging technology for imaging biomarker discovery and disease-specific personalized treatment management. This paper aims to determine the benefit of using multi-modality radiomics data from PET and MR images in the characterization breast cancer phenotype and prognosis. Eighty-four features were extracted from PET and MR images of 113 breast cancer patients. Unsupervised clustering based on PET and MRI radiomic features created three subgroups. These derived subgroups were statistically significantly associated with tumor grade (p = 2.0 × 10-6), tumor overall stage (p = 0.037), breast cancer subtypes (p = 0.0085), and disease recurrence status (p = 0.0053). The PET-derived first-order statistics and gray level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM) textural features were discriminative of breast cancer tumor grade, which was confirmed by the results of L2-regularization logistic regression (with repeated nested cross-validation) with an estimated area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.76 (95% confidence interval (CI) = [0.62, 0.83]). The results of ElasticNet logistic regression indicated that PET and MR radiomics distinguished recurrence-free survival, with a mean AUC of 0.75 (95% CI = [0.62, 0.88]) and 0.68 (95% CI = [0.58, 0.81]) for 1 and 2 years, respectively. The MRI-derived GLCM inverse difference moment normalized (IDMN) and the PET-derived GLCM cluster prominence were among the key features in the predictive models for recurrence-free survival. In conclusion, radiomic features from PET and MR images could be helpful in deciphering breast cancer phenotypes and may have potential as imaging biomarkers for prediction of breast cancer recurrence-free survival.