Monitoring response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in triple negative breast cancer using circulating tumor DNA.

BACKGROUND: Triple negative breast cancer (TNBC) is an aggressive subtype with poor prognosis. We aimed to determine whether circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and circulating tumor cell (CTC) could predict response and long-term outcomes to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). METHODS: Patients with TNBC were enrolled between 2017-2021 at The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center (Houston, TX). Serial plasma samples were collected at four timepoints: pre-NAC (baseline), 12-weeks after NAC (mid-NAC), after NAC/prior to surgery (post-NAC), and one-year after surgery. ctDNA was quantified using a tumor-informed ctDNA assay (SignateraTM, Natera, Inc.) and CTC enumeration using CellSearch. Wilcoxon and Fisher's exact tests were used for comparisons between groups and Kaplan-Meier analysis used for survival outcomes. RESULTS: In total, 37 patients were enrolled. The mean age was 50 and majority of patients had invasive ductal carcinoma (34, 91.9%) with clinical T2, (25, 67.6%) node-negative disease (21, 56.8%). Baseline ctDNA was detected in 90% (27/30) of patients, of whom 70.4% (19/27) achieved ctDNA clearance by mid-NAC. ctDNA clearance at mid-NAC was significantly associated with pathologic complete response (p = 0.02), whereas CTC clearance was not (p = 0.52). There were no differences in overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) with positive baseline ctDNA and CTC. However, positive ctDNA at mid-NAC was significantly associated with worse OS and RFS (p = 0.0002 and p = 0.0034, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Early clearance of ctDNA served as a predictive and prognostic marker in TNBC. Personalized ctDNA monitoring during NAC may help predict response and guide treatment.

Trial Protocol of a Phase II Study of mFOLFOXIRI after Metastasectomy in Patients with Oligometastatic Colorectal Cancer (FANTASTIC Study).

Background: The survival benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy after surgical resection of oligometastases from colorectal cancer (CRC) remains unclear. The prognostic role of circulating-tumor DNA (ctDNA) was reported recently and a risk stratification strategy based on monitoring minimal/molecular residual disease (MRD) has been proposed, however, which drug regimen is most effective for ctDNA-positive patients is unknown. Methods/Design: Oligometastatic CRC patients planning to undergo surgery were registered in this study. After metastasectomy, the registered patients were enrolled in the treatment arm, in which 8 courses of modified-FOLFOXIRI (mFOLFOXIRI; irinotecan 150 mg/m2, oxaliplatin 85 mg/m2, l-leucovorin (l-LV) 200 mg/m2, and 46-h continuous infusion of 5-fluorouracil (5-FU) 2400 mg/m2 every 2 weeks) followed by 4 courses of 5-FU/l-LV are administered. The patients who did not meet the eligibility criteria for the treatment arm or did not consent to mFOLFOXIRI enrolled in the observation arm in which standard of care treatment is provided. Prospective blood collections for retrospective ctDNA analysis are scheduled pre-surgery, and at 28 days, 4 and 7 months after surgery. The primary endpoint is treatment compliance at 8 courses of mFOLFOXIRI and the key secondary endpoints are the ctDNA-positivity rate and survival outcomes in ctDNA-positive and -negative groups. A total of 85 patients will be enrolled from 11 institutions. First patient-in was on July 2020. Accrual completed in February 2024. Discussion: This study will potentially identify a better treatment strategy for patients with resectable oligometastatic CRC having postsurgical ctDNA positivity, compared to the current standard of care approaches.

Tumor-informed ctDNA assessment as a valuable prognostic and predictive biomarker in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma.

Background: A novel approach for molecular residual disease (MRD) detection and treatment monitoring is needed in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) to identify patients with a poor prognosis. We performed a retrospective evaluation of commercial ctDNA testing in patients with stage I-IV DLBCL to evaluate the prognostic and predictive role of tumor-informed ctDNA assessment. Methods: A personalized and tumor-informed multiplex PCR assay (Signatera™ bespoke mPCR NGS assay) was used for ctDNA detection and quantification. Results: In total, 50 patients (median age: 59 years; median follow-up: 12.68 months) were analyzed, of which 41 had pretreatment time points with ctDNA detected in 95% (39/41). Baseline ctDNA levels correlated with R-IPI scores and stage. ctDNA clearance during first-line therapy was predictive of improved therapy responses and outcomes (EFS, HR: 6.5, 95% CI: 1.9-22, p=0.003 and OS, HR: 22, 95% CI: 2.5-191, p=0.005). Furthermore, 48% (13/27) of patients cleared their ctDNA following the first cycle of treatment. Patients who cleared their ctDNA, irrespective of their R-IPI score, had superior outcomes compared to ctDNA-positive patients. ctDNA clearance outperformed other factors associated with EFS in multivariate analysis (HR: 49.76, 95% CI:1.1-2225.6, p=0.044). Finally, ctDNA clearance predicted complete response (CR)/no evidence of disease (NED) on average 97 days (range: 0-14.7 months) ahead of imaging/biopsy. Conclusion: ctDNA testing in patients with DLBCL is predictive of patient outcomes and may enable personalized surveillance, intervention, and/or trial options.

Association of personalized and tumor-informed ctDNA with patient survival outcomes in pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: Personalized and tumor-informed circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) testing is feasible and allows for molecular residual disease (MRD) identification in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). METHODS: In this retrospective analysis of commercial cases from multiple US institutions, personalized, tumor-informed, whole-exome sequenced, and germline-controlled ctDNA levels were quantified and analyzed in patients with PDAC. Plasma samples (n = 1329) from 299 clinically validated patients were collected at diagnosis, perioperatively (MRD-window; within 2-12 weeks after surgery, before therapy), and during surveillance (>12 weeks post-surgery if no ACT or starting 4 weeks post-ACT) from November 2019 to March 2023. RESULTS: Of the initially diagnosed patients with stages I-III PDAC who went for resection, the median follow-up time from surgery was 13 months (range 0.1-214). Positive ctDNA detection rates were 29% (29/100) and 29.6% (45/152) during the MRD and surveillance windows, respectively. Positive ctDNA detection was significantly associated with shorter DFS within the MRD window (median DFS of 6.37 months for ctDNA-positive vs 33.31 months for ctDNA-negative patients; HR: 5.45, P < .0001) as well as during the surveillance period (median DFS: 11.40 months for ctDNA-positive vs NR for ctDNA-negative; HR: 12.38, P < .0001). Additionally, DFS was significantly better with KRAS wildtype status followed by KRASG12R (HR: 0.99, P = .97), KRASG12D (HR: 1.42, P = .194), and worse with KRASG12V (HR: 2.19, P = .002) status. In multivariate analysis, ctDNA detection at surveillance was found to be the most significant prognostic factor for recurrence (HR: 24.28, P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Perioperative tumor-informed ctDNA detection in PDAC is feasible across all stages and is associated with patient survival outcomes.

Association of circulating tumor DNA with patient prognosis in surgically resected renal cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Despite complete resection, 20%-50% of patients with localized renal cell carcinoma (RCC) experience recurrence within 5 years. Accurate assessment of prognosis in high-risk patients would aid in improving outcomes. Here we evaluate the use of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in RCC using banked samples and clinical data from a single institution. METHODS: The cohort consisted of 45 RCC patients (≥pT1b) who underwent complete resection. The presence of ctDNA in plasma was determined using a personalized, tumor-informed ctDNA assay (Signatera RUO, Natera, Inc.). Relationships with outcomes and other relevant clinical variables were assessed. The median follow-up was 62 months. RESULTS: Plasma ctDNA was detected in 18 out of 36 patients (50%) pre-operatively and was associated with increased tumor size (mean 9.3 cm vs. 7.0 cm, P < .05) and high Fuhrman grade (60% grades III-IV vs 27% grade II, P = .07). The presence of ctDNA, either pre-operatively or at any time post-operatively, was associated with inferior relapse-free survival (HR = 2.70, P = .046; HR = 3.23, P = .003, respectively). Among patients who were ctDNA positive at any time point, the sensitivity of relapse prediction was 84% with a PPV of 90%. Of note, ctDNA positivity at a post-surgical time point revealed a PPV of 100% and NPV of 64%. The lack of ctDNA detection at both time points yielded an NPV of 80%. CONCLUSIONS: Detection of plasma ctDNA using a personalized assay is prognostic of recurrence in patients with resected RCC. Herein, we describe a successful approach for its application and identify potential limitations to be addressed in future studies.

Association of Tumor-informed Circulating Tumor DNA Detectability Before and After Radical Cystectomy with Disease-free Survival in Patients with Bladder Cancer.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Despite curative-intent radical cystectomy (RC), patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) are at high risk of recurrence. Biomarkers are urgently needed to refine prognostication and selection of appropriate perioperative systemic therapies. Our aim was to evaluate the prognostic and predictive value of tumor-informed circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) results in a multicenter cohort of patients with bladder cancer who underwent RC. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of real-world data for a commercial ctDNA test (Signatera; Natera, Austin, TX, USA) performed in 167 patients (852 plasma samples) before RC and during molecular residual disease (MRD; adjuvant decision) and surveillance windows. We assessed the correlation between recurrence and ctDNA status before and after RC using Cox regression analysis. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: During study-defined postoperative MRD and surveillance windows, detectable ctDNA was associated with shorter disease-free survival (DFS) when compared to undetectable ctDNA (MRD: hazard ratio 6.93; p < 0.001; surveillance: hazard ratio 23.02; p < 0.001). Of note, patients with undetectable ctDNA did not appear to benefit from adjuvant therapy (p = 0.34). Detectable ctDNA in the pre-RC (p = 0.045), MRD (p = 0.002), and surveillance (p < 0.001) windows was the only risk factor independently associated with shorter DFS. Limitations include the retrospective and nonrandomized nature of the study. CONCLUSIONS: ctDNA testing in patients with bladder cancer undergoing RC was prognostic and potentially predictive. Identification of patients at high risk of recurrence may aid in patient counseling and decision-making. PATIENT SUMMARY: We found that outcomes for patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer are strongly linked to detection of tumor DNA in blood samples. The results show the value of tumor-informed testing for tumor DNA in blood for decisions on the best treatment for each individual patient.

Perioperative Modified FOLFIRINOX for Resectable Pancreatic Cancer: A Nonrandomized Controlled Trial.

Importance: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is an aggressive malignant tumor, and durable disease control is rare with the current standard of care, even for patients who undergo surgical resection. Objective: To assess whether neoadjuvant modified 5-fluorouracil, leucovorin, oxaliplatin, and irinotecan (mFOLFIRINOX) leads to early control of micrometastasis and improves survival. Design, Setting, and Participants: This open-label, single-arm, phase 2 nonrandomized controlled trial for resectable PDAC was conducted at the Yale Smilow Cancer Hospital from April 3, 2014, to August 16, 2021. Pancreatic protocol computed tomography was performed at diagnosis to assess surgical candidacy. Data were analyzed from January to July 2023. Interventions: Patients received 6 cycles of neoadjuvant mFOLFIRINOX before surgery and 6 cycles of adjuvant mFOLFIRINOX. Whole blood was collected and processed to stored plasma for analysis of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) levels. Tumors were evaluated for treatment response and keratin 17 (K17) expression. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary end point was 12-month progression-free survival (PFS) rate. Additional end points included overall survival (OS), ctDNA level, tumor molecular features, and K17 tumor levels. Survival curves were summarized using Kaplan-Meier estimator. Results: Of 46 patients who received mFOLFIRINOX, 31 (67%) were male, and the median (range) age was 65 (46-80) years. A total of 37 (80%) completed 6 preoperative cycles and 33 (72%) underwent surgery. A total of 27 patients (59%) underwent resection per protocol (25 with R0 disease and 2 with R1 disease); metastatic or unresectable disease was identified in 6 patients during exploration. Ten patients underwent surgery off protocol. The 12-month PFS was 67% (90% CI, 56.9-100); the median PFS and OS were 16.6 months (95% CI, 13.3-40.6) and 37.2 months (95% CI, 17.5-not reached), respectively. Baseline ctDNA levels were detected in 16 of 22 patients (73%) and in 3 of 17 (18%) after 6 cycles of mFOLFIRINOX. Those with detectable ctDNA levels 4 weeks postresection had worse PFS (hazard ratio [HR], 34.0; 95% CI, 2.6-4758.6; P = .006) and OS (HR, 11.7; 95% CI, 1.5-129.9; P = .02) compared with those with undetectable levels. Patients with high K17 expression had nonsignificantly worse PFS (HR, 2.7; 95% CI, 0.7-10.9; P = .09) and OS (HR, 3.2; 95% CI, 0.8-13.6; P = .07). Conclusions and Relevance: This nonrandomized controlled trial met its primary end point, and perioperative mFOLFIRINOX warrants further evaluation in randomized clinical trials. Postoperative ctDNA positivity was strongly associated with recurrence. K17 and ctDNA are promising biomarkers that require additional validation in future prospective studies. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02047474.

Adjuvant Trastuzumab Emtansine Versus Paclitaxel Plus Trastuzumab for Stage I Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2-Positive Breast Cancer: 5-Year Results and Correlative Analyses From ATEMPT.

PURPOSE: Long-term outcomes of patients with stage I human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive breast cancer receiving adjuvant trastuzumab emtansine (T-DM1) remain undefined, and prognostic predictors represent an unmet need. METHODS: In the ATEMPT phase II trial, patients with stage I centrally confirmed HER2-positive breast cancer were randomly assigned 3:1 to adjuvant T-DM1 for 1 year or paclitaxel plus trastuzumab (TH). Coprimary objectives were to compare the incidence of clinically relevant toxicities between arms and to evaluate invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) with T-DM1. Correlative analyses included the HER2DX genomic tool, multiomic evaluations of HER2 heterogeneity, and predictors of thrombocytopenia. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 5.8 years, 11 iDFS events were observed in the T-DM1 arm, consistent with a 5-year iDFS of 97.0% (95% CI, 95.2 to 98.7). At 5 years, the recurrence-free interval (RFI) was 98.3% (95% CI, 97.0 to 99.7), the overall survival was 97.8% (95% CI, 96.3 to 99.3), and the breast cancer-specific survival was 99.4% (95% CI, 98.6 to 100). Comparable iDFS was observed with T-DM1 irrespective of tumor size, hormone receptor status, centrally determined HER2 immunohistochemical score, and receipt of T-DM1 for more or less than 6 months. Although ATEMPT was not powered for this end point, the 5-year iDFS in the TH arm was 91.1%. Among patients with sufficient tissue for HER2DX testing (n = 187), 5-year outcomes significantly differed according to HER2DX risk score, with better RFI (98.1% v 81.8%, hazard ratio [HR], 0.10, P = .01) and iDFS (96.3% v 81.8%, HR, 0.20, P = .047) among patients with HER2DX low-risk versus high-risk tumors, respectively. CONCLUSION: Adjuvant T-DM1 for 1 year leads to outstanding long-term outcomes for patients with stage I HER2-positive breast cancer. A high HER2DX risk score predicted a higher risk of recurrence in ATEMPT.

Serial Postoperative Circulating Tumor DNA Assessment Has Strong Prognostic Value During Long-Term Follow-Up in Patients With Breast Cancer.

PURPOSE: Here, we report the sensitivity of a personalized, tumor-informed circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) assay (Signatera) for detection of molecular relapse during long-term follow-up of patients with breast cancer. METHODS: A total of 156 patients with primary breast cancer were monitored clinically for up to 12 years after surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy. Semiannual blood samples were prospectively collected, and analyzed retrospectively to detect residual disease by ultradeep sequencing using ctDNA assays, developed from primary tumor whole-exome sequencing data. RESULTS: Personalized Signatera assays detected ctDNA ahead of clinical or radiologic relapse in 30 of the 34 patients who relapsed (patient-level sensitivity of 88.2%). Relapse was predicted with a lead interval of up to 38 months (median, 10.5 months; range, 0-38 months), and ctDNA positivity was associated with shorter relapse-free survival (P < .0001) and overall survival (P < .0001). All relapsing triple-negative patients (n = 7/23) had a ctDNA-positive test within a median of 8 months (range, 0-19 months), while the 16 nonrelapsed patients with triple-negative breast cancer remained ctDNA-negative during a median follow-up of 58 months (range, 8-99 months). The four patients who had negative tests before relapse all had hormone receptor-positive (HR+) disease and conversely, five of the 122 nonrelapsed patients (all HR+) had an occasional positive test. CONCLUSION: Serial postoperative ctDNA assessment has strong prognostic value, provides a potential window for earlier therapeutic intervention, and may enable more effective monitoring than current clinical tests such as cancer antigen 15-3. Our study provides evidence that those with serially negative ctDNA tests have superior clinical outcomes, providing reassurance to patients with breast cancer. For select cases with HR+ disease, decisions about treatment management might require serial monitoring despite the ctDNA-positive result.

Personalized, tumor-informed, circulating tumor DNA assay for detecting minimal residual disease in non-small cell lung cancer patients receiving curative treatments.

BACKGROUND: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has emerged as a prognostic and predictive biomarker for detection of minimal residual disease (MRD), monitoring treatment response, and early detection of recurrence in cancer patients. In this study, we explored the utility of ctDNA-based MRD detection to predict recurrence in a real-world cohort of primarily early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients treated with curative intent. METHODS: Longitudinal plasma samples were collected post curative-intent treatment from 36 patients with stage I-IV NSCLC. A personalized, tumor-informed assay was used to detect and quantify ctDNA in plasma samples. RESULTS: Of the 24 patients with plasma samples available during the MRD window (within 6 months of curative surgery and before adjuvant therapy), ctDNA was detectable in two patients. Patients with ctDNA-positivity during the MRD window were 15 times more likely to recur compared to ctDNA-negative patients (HR: 15.0, 95% CI: 1.0-253.0, p = 0.010). At any time post-curative intent treatment, ctDNA-positivity was associated with significantly poorer recurrence-free survival compared to persistently ctDNA-negative patients (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: Our real-world data indicate that longitudinal, personalized, tumor-informed ctDNA monitoring is a valuable tool in patients with NSCLC receiving curative treatment to identify patients at high risk for recurrence.

Detection of circulating tumor DNA with ultradeep sequencing of plasma cell-free DNA for monitoring minimal residual disease and early detection of recurrence in early-stage lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: In early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), recurrence is frequently observed. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has emerged as a noninvasive tool to risk stratify patients for recurrence after curative intent therapy. This study aimed to risk stratify patients with early-stage NSCLC via a personalized, tumor-informed multiplex polymerase chain reaction (mPCR) next-generation sequencing assay. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included patients with stage I-III NSCLC. Recruited patients received standard-of-care management (surgical resection with or without adjuvant chemotherapy, followed by surveillance). Whole-exome sequencing of NSCLC resected tissue and matched germline DNA was used to design patient-specific mPCR assays (Signatera, Natera, Inc) to track up to 16 single-nucleotide variants in plasma samples. RESULTS: The overall cohort with analyzed plasma samples consisted of 57 patients. Stage distribution was 68% for stage I and 16% each for stages II and III. Presurgery (i.e., at baseline), ctDNA was detected in 15 of 57 patients (26%). ctDNA detection presurgery was significantly associated with shorter recurrence-free survival (RFS; hazard ratio [HR], 3.54; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00-12.62; p = .009). In the postsurgery setting, ctDNA was detected in seven patients, of whom 100% experienced radiological recurrence. ctDNA positivity preceded radiological findings by a median lead time of 2.8 months (range, 0-12.9 months). Longitudinally, ctDNA detection at any time point was associated with shorter RFS (HR, 16.1; 95% CI, 1.63-158.9; p < .0001). CONCLUSIONS: ctDNA detection before surgical resection was strongly associated with a high risk of relapse in early-stage NSCLC in a large unique Asian cohort. Prospective studies are needed to assess the clinical utility of ctDNA status in this setting.

Post-surgical ctDNA-based molecular residual disease detection in patients with stage I uterine malignancies.

INTRODUCTION: Among uterine malignancies, endometrial cancer (EC) is the most common cancer of the female reproductive tract. Traditionally, risk stratification in EC is determined by standard clinicopathological risk factors. Although circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has emerged as a prognostic biomarker in various malignancies, its clinical validity in EC remains to be established. METHODS: In this analysis of real-world data, 267 plasma samples from 101 patients with stage I EC were analyzed using a tumor-informed ctDNA assay (Signatera™ bespoke mPCR-NGS). Patients were followed post-surgically and monitored with ctDNA testing for a median of 6.8 months (range: 0.37-19.1). RESULTS: Patients who tested ctDNA-positive at both their first time point and longitudinally experienced inferior recurrence-free survival (RFS) (HR = 6.2; p = 0.0006 and HR = 15.5; p < 0.0001, respectively), and showed a recurrence rate of 58% and 52%, vs. 6% and 0%, respectively for the ctDNA-negative patients. Most ctDNA-positive patients had high-risk histologies or sarcoma, versus low-risk and high-intermediate risk (H-IR) EC. Furthermore, patients with high-risk histologies who were ctDNA-positive showed shorter RFS compared to those who tested negative (HR = 9.5; p = 0.007), and those who tested positive in the low/H-IR cohort (HR = 0.25; p = 0.04). Post-surgically, detectable ctDNA was highly prognostic of clinical outcome and remained the only significant risk factor for recurrence when adjusted for clinicopathological risk factors, such as histologic risk group, mismatch repair (MMR), and p53 status. CONCLUSION: Incorporating ctDNA monitoring along with traditional known risk factors may aid in identifying patients with stage I EC who are at highest risk of recurrence, and possibly aid in treatment stratification.

Early real-world experience monitoring circulating tumor DNA in resected early-stage non-small cell lung cancer.

OBJECTIVE: The study objective was to evaluate the impact of monitoring circulating tumor DNA on the detection and management of recurrence in patients with resected early-stage non-small cell lung cancer. METHODS: Between October 2021 and March 2023, postoperative circulating tumor DNA was monitored in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (N = 108). Longitudinal blood samples (n = 378 samples) were collected for prospective circulating tumor DNA analysis at 3-month intervals after curative-intent resection. A tumor-informed assay was used for the detection and quantification of circulating tumor DNA. The primary outcome measure was a circulating tumor DNA-positive result. The secondary outcome measure was changes in practice after a circulating tumor DNA-positive result. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients in this cohort was 68.1 years. Of the 108 patients, 12 (11.1%) were circulating tumor DNA positive at least at 1 timepoint postsurgery, of whom 8 (66.7%) had a clinically evident recurrence and the remaining 4 had limited clinical follow-up. Of the 10 patients with recurrent disease, 8 demonstrated circulating tumor DNA positivity and the remaining 2 patients had brain-only metastases. Postoperative clinical care was altered in 100% (12/12) of circulating tumor DNA-positive patients, with 58.3% (7/12) receiving an early computed tomography scan and 100% (12/12) receiving an early positron emission tomography computed tomography scan as part of their surveillance strategy. Among the patients who received an early positron emission tomography scan, 66.6% (8/12) were positive for malignant features. CONCLUSIONS: Routine monitoring of tumor-informed circulating tumor DNA after curative intent therapy improved patient risk stratification and prognostication.

Protein signaling and drug target activation signatures to guide therapy prioritization: Therapeutic resistance and sensitivity in the I-SPY 2 Trial.

Molecular subtyping of breast cancer is based mostly on HR/HER2 and gene expression-based immune, DNA repair deficiency, and luminal signatures. We extend this description via functional protein pathway activation mapping using pre-treatment, quantitative expression data from 139 proteins/phosphoproteins from 736 patients across 8 treatment arms of the I-SPY 2 Trial (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01042379). We identify predictive fit-for-purpose, mechanism-of-action-based signatures and individual predictive protein biomarker candidates by evaluating associations with pathologic complete response. Elevated levels of cyclin D1, estrogen receptor alpha, and androgen receptor S650 associate with non-response and are biomarkers for global resistance. We uncover protein/phosphoprotein-based signatures that can be utilized both for molecularly rationalized therapeutic selection and for response prediction. We introduce a dichotomous HER2 activation response predictive signature for stratifying triple-negative breast cancer patients to either HER2 or immune checkpoint therapy response as a model for how protein activation signatures provide a different lens to view the molecular landscape of breast cancer and synergize with transcriptomic-defined signatures.

Correlation between variant allele frequency and mean tumor molecules with tumor burden in patients with solid tumors.

Several studies have demonstrated the prognostic value of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA); however, the correlation of mean tumor molecules (MTM)/ml of plasma and mean variant allele frequency (mVAF; %) with clinical parameters is yet to be understood. In this study, we analyzed ctDNA data in a pan-cancer cohort of 23 543 patients who had ctDNA testing performed using a personalized, tumor-informed assay (Signatera™, mPCR-NGS assay). For ctDNA-positive patients, the correlation between MTM/ml and mVAF was examined. Two subanalyses were performed: (a) to establish the association of ctDNA with tumor volume and (b) to assess the correlation between ctDNA dynamics and patient outcomes. On a global cohort, a positive correlation between MTM/ml and mVAF was observed. Among 18 426 patients with longitudinal ctDNA measurements, 13.3% had discordant trajectories between MTM/ml and mVAF at subsequent time points. In metastatic patients receiving immunotherapy (N = 51), changes in ctDNA levels expressed both in MTM/ml and mVAF showed a statistically significant association with progression-free survival; however, the correlation with MTM/ml was numerically stronger.

Circulating Tumor DNA Analysis in Advanced Urothelial Carcinoma: Insights from Biological Analysis and Extended Clinical Follow-up.

PURPOSE: To investigate whether circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) assessment in patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer predicts treatment response and provides early detection of metastatic disease. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: We present full follow-up results (median follow-up: 68 months) from a previously described cohort of 68 neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC)-treated patients who underwent longitudinal ctDNA testing (712 plasma samples). In addition, we performed ctDNA evaluation of 153 plasma samples collected before and after radical cystectomy (RC) in a separate cohort of 102 NAC-naïve patients (median follow-up: 72 months). Total RNA sequencing of tumors was performed to investigate biological characteristics of ctDNA shedding tumors. RESULTS: Assessment of ctDNA after RC identified metastatic relapse with a sensitivity of 94% and specificity of 98% using the expanded follow-up data for the NAC-treated patients. ctDNA dynamics during NAC was independently associated with patient outcomes when adjusted for pathologic downstaging (HR = 4.7; P = 0.029). For the NAC-naïve patients, ctDNA was a prognostic predictor before (HR = 3.4; P = 0.0005) and after RC (HR = 17.8; P = 0.0002). No statistically significant difference in recurrence-free survival for patients without detectable ctDNA at diagnosis was observed between the cohorts. Baseline ctDNA positivity was associated with the Basal/Squamous (Ba/Sq) subtype and enrichment of epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition and cell cycle-associated gene sets. CONCLUSIONS: ctDNA is prognostic in NAC-treated and NAC-naïve patients with more than 5 years follow-up and outperforms pathologic downstaging in predicting treatment efficacy. Patients without detectable ctDNA at diagnosis may benefit significantly less from NAC, but additional studies are needed.

ctDNA-based detection of molecular residual disease in stage I-III non-small cell lung cancer patients treated with definitive radiotherapy.

Background: Sensitive and reliable biomarkers for early detection of recurrence are needed to improve post-definitive radiation risk stratification, disease management, and outcomes for patients with unresectable early-stage or locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) who are treated with definitive radiation therapy (RT). This prospective, multistate single-center, cohort study investigated the association of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) status with recurrence in patients with unresectable stage I-III NSCLC who underwent definitive RT. Methods: A total of 70 serial plasma samples from 17 NSCLC patients were collected before, during, and after treatment. A personalized, tumor-informed ctDNA assay was used to track a set of up to 16 somatic, single nucleotide variants in the associated patient's plasma samples. Results: Pre-treatment ctDNA detection rate was 82% (14/17) and varied based on histology and stage. ctDNA was detected in 35% (6/17) of patients at the first post-RT timepoint (median of 1.66 months following the completion of RT), all of whom subsequently developed clinical progression. At this first post-RT time point, patients with ctDNA-positivity had significantly worse progression-free survival (PFS) [hazard ratio (HR): 24.2, p=0.004], and ctDNA-positivity was the only significant prognostic factor associated with PFS (HR: 13.4, p=0.02) in a multivariate analysis. All patients who developed clinical recurrence had detectable ctDNA with an average lead time over radiographic progression of 5.4 months, and post-RT ctDNA positivity was significantly associated with poor PFS (p<0.0001). Conclusion: Personalized, longitudinal ctDNA monitoring can detect recurrence early in patients with unresectable NSCLC patients undergoing curative radiation and potentially risk-stratify patients who might benefit most from treatment intensification.

Circulating Tumor DNA Monitoring on Chemo-immunotherapy for Risk Stratification in Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer.

PURPOSE: Chemoimmunotherapy (chemoIO) is a prevalent first-line treatment for advanced driver-negative non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), with maintenance therapy given after induction. However, there is significant clinical variability in the duration, dosing, and timing of maintenance therapy after induction chemoIO. We used circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) monitoring to inform outcomes in patients with advanced NSCLC receiving chemoIO. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: This retrospective study included 221 patients from a phase III trial of atezolizumab+carboplatin+nab-paclitaxel versus carboplatin+nab-paclitaxel in squamous NSCLC (IMpower131). ctDNA monitoring used the FoundationOne Tracker involving comprehensive genomic profiling of pretreatment tumor tissue, variant selection using an algorithm to exclude nontumor variants, and multiplex PCR of up to 16 variants to detect and quantify ctDNA. RESULTS: ctDNA was detected (ctDNA+) in 96% of pretreatment samples (median, 93 mean tumor molecules/mL), and similar ctDNA dynamics were noted across treatment arms during chemoIO. ctDNA decrease from baseline to C4D1 was associated with improved outcomes across multiple cutoffs for patients treated with chemoIO. When including patients with missing plasma or ctDNA- at baseline, patients with ctDNA- at C4D1 (clearance), had more favorable progression-free survival (median 8.8 vs. 3.5 months; HR, 0.32;0.20-0.52) and OS (median not reached vs. 8.9 months; HR, 0.22; 0.12-0.39) from C4D1 than ctDNA+ patients. CONCLUSIONS: ctDNA monitoring during induction chemoIO can inform treatment outcomes in patients with advanced NSCLC. Importantly, monitoring remains feasible and informative for patients missing baseline ctDNA. ctDNA testing during induction chemoIO identifies patients at higher risk for disease progression and may inform patient selection for novel personalized maintenance or second-line treatment strategies.

Correlation of SUV on Early Interim PET with Recurrence-Free Survival and Overall Survival in Primary Operable HER2-Positive Breast Cancer (the TBCRC026 Trial).

Predictive biomarkers of response to human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-directed therapy are essential to inform treatment decisions. The TBCRC026 trial reported that early declines in tumor SUVs corrected for lean body mass (SULmax) on 18F-FDG PET/CT predicted a pathologic complete response (pCR) to HER2 therapy with neoadjuvant trastuzumab and pertuzumab (HP) without chemotherapy in estrogen receptor (ER)-negative, HER2-positive breast cancer. We hypothesized that 18F-FDG PET/CT SULmax parameters would predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). Methods: Patients with stage II/III ER-negative, HER2-positive breast cancer received neoadjuvant HP (n = 88). pCR after HP alone was 22% (18/83), additional nonstudy neoadjuvant therapy was administered in 28% (25/88), and the majority received adjuvant therapy per physician discretion. 18F-FDG PET/CT was performed at baseline and at cycle 1, day 15 (C1D15). RFS and OS were summarized using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared between subgroups using logrank tests. Associations between 18F-FDG PET/CT (≥40% decline in SULmax between baseline and C1D15, or C1D15 SULmax ≤ 3) and pCR were evaluated using Cox regressions, where likelihood ratio CIs were reported because of the small numbers of events. Results: Median follow-up was 53.7 mo (83/88 evaluable), with 6 deaths and 14 RFS events. Estimated RFS and OS at 3 y was 84% (95% CI, 76%-92%) and 92% (95% CI, 87%-98%), respectively. A C1D15 SULmax of 3 or less was associated with improved RFS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.36; 95% CI, 0.11-1.05; P = 0.06) and OS (HR, 0.14; 95% CI, 0.01-0.85; P = 0.03), the latter statistically significant. The association of an SULmax decline of at least 40% (achieved in 59%) with RFS and OS did not reach statistical significance. pCR was associated with improved RFS (HR, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.01-1.24; P = 0.10) but did not reach statistical significance. Conclusion: For the first time, we report a potential association between a C1D15 SULmax of 3 or less on 18F-FDG PET/CT and RFS and OS outcomes in patients with ER-negative, HER2-positive breast cancer receiving neoadjuvant HP alone. If confirmed in future studies, this imaging-based biomarker may facilitate early individualization of therapy.