The survival-incorporated median vs the median in the survivors or in the always-survivors: What are we measuring? and Why?

Many clinical studies evaluate the benefit of a treatment based on both survival and other continuous/ordinal clinical outcomes, such as quality of life scores. In these studies, when subjects die before the follow-up assessment, the clinical outcomes become undefined and are truncated by death. Treating outcomes as "missing" or "censored" due to death can be misleading for treatment effect evaluation. We show that if we use the median in the survivors or in the always-survivors as estimands to summarize clinical outcomes, we may conclude that a trade-off exists between the probability of survival and good clinical outcomes, even in settings where both the probability of survival and the probability of any good clinical outcome are better for one treatment. Therefore, we advocate not always treating death as a mechanism through which clinical outcomes are missing, but rather as part of the outcome measure. To account for the survival status, we describe the survival-incorporated median as an alternative summary measure for outcomes in the presence of death. The survival-incorporated median is the threshold such that 50% of the population is alive with an outcome above that threshold. Through conceptual examples and an application to a prostate cancer treatment study, we show that the survival-incorporated median provides a simple and useful summary measure to inform clinical practice.

The Impact of Statin and Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitor/Angiotensin Receptor Blocker Therapy on Cognitive Function in Adults With Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection.

BACKGROUND: Although statins, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEI) or angiotensin receptor blockers (ARB) are generally well tolerated, the impact of these therapies individually or in combination on the change in neurocognitive function in persons with human immunodeficiency virus infection is unknown. METHODS: The study included participants in the AIDS Clinical Trials Group Longitudinal Linked Randomized Trials cohort participants not receiving a statin or ACEI/ARB within 30 days of first neurologic assessment (baseline), with assessments by NPZ-3 (z score of averaged Trailmaking A and B tests and digit symbol test [DST]) from ≥2 measurements. Marginal structural models estimated the causal effect of statin or ACEI/ARB initiation on neurocognitive function; initial constant slope was assumed during the first year of treatment and a second constant slope thereafter. RESULTS: Of 3949 eligible participants, 16% started therapy with a statin, 11% with an ACEI/ARB, and 5% with both. Statin therapy had no significant effect on the composite NPZ-3 (primary outcome), Trailmaking B test, or DST. A small, nonsignificant positive effect on the Trailmaking A test was seen during year 1 (estimate, 0.088; 95% confidence interval, -.010 to .187; P = .08) and a small but significant negative effect (-0.033; -.058 to -.009; P = .007) in each subsequent year. ACEI/ARB therapy had a significant negative effect on the DST (-0.117; 95% confidence interval, -.217 to .016; P = .02) during year 1 but minimal effect in subsequent years or on other neurocognitive domains. CONCLUSIONS: In summary, although modest declines in neurocognitive performance were seen in single domains with statin or ACEI/ARB therapy, we did not find consistent evidence that statins or ACEI/ARB have an effect on global neurocognitive function. Future studies should focus on long-term neurocognitive effects.

The impact of age on the prognostic capacity of CD8+ T-cell activation during suppressive antiretroviral therapy.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether CD8 T-cell activation predicts risk of AIDS and non-AIDS morbidity during suppressive antiretroviral treatment (ART). DESIGN: Post-hoc analyses of ART-naive participants in prospective ART studies. Participants with HIV-RNA levels 200 copies/ml or less and CD8 T-cell activation data (%CD38HLA-DR) at year-1 of ART were selected to determine years 2-5 incidence of AIDS and non-AIDS events. METHODS: We censored data at time of ART interruption or virologic failure. Inverse probability of censoring-weighted logistic regression was used to correct for informative censoring. RESULTS: We included 1025 participants; 82% were men, median age 38 years, pre-ART CD4 cell count 255 cells/µl, and year-1-activated CD8 T cells 24%. Of these, 752 had 5 years of follow-up; 379 remained on ART and had no confirmed plasma HIV-RNA more than 200 copies/ml. The overall probability of an AIDS or non-AIDS event in years 2-5 was estimated at 13% [95% confidence interval (CI) 10-15%] had everyone remained on suppressive ART. Higher year-1-activated CD8 T-cell percentage increased the probability of subsequent events [odds ratio 1.22 per 10% higher (95% CI 1.04-1.44)]; this effect was not significant after adjusting for age. Among those age 50 years at least (n=108 at year 1), the probability of an event in years 2-5 was 37% and the effect of CD8 T-cell activation was more apparent (odds ratio=1.42, P=0.02 unadjusted and adjusted for age). CONCLUSION: CD8 T-cell activation is prognostic of clinical events during suppressive ART, although this association is confounded by age. The consequences of HIV-associated immune activation may be more important in patients 50 years and older.

Single fraction radiotherapy is efficacious: a further analysis of the Dutch Bone Metastasis Study controlling for the influence of retreatment.

PURPOSE: The Dutch Bone Metastasis Study on the effect on painful bone metastases of 8 Gy single fraction (SF) vs. 24 Gy in multiple fractions (MF) showed 24% retreatment after SF vs. 6% after MF (p < 0.001). The purpose of the present study was to evaluate factors influencing retreatment and its effect on response. METHODS AND MATERIALS: The database on all randomized patients was reanalyzed with separately calculated responses to initial treatment and retreatment. RESULTS: Response to initial treatment was 71% after SF vs. 73% after MF (p = 0.84). Retreatment raised response to 75% for SF; MF remained unaltered (p = 0.54). The response status after initial treatment did not predict occurrence of retreatment: 35% SF vs. 8% MF nonresponders and 22% SF vs. 10% MF patients with progressive pain were retreated. Logistic regression analyses showed the randomization arm and the pain score before retreatment to significantly predict retreatment (p < 0.001). Retreatment for nonresponders was successful in 66% SF vs. 33% MF patients (p = 0.13). Retreatment for progression was successful in 70% SF vs. 57% MF patients (p = 0.24). CONCLUSIONS: With or without the effect of retreatment, SF and MF radiotherapy provided equal palliation for painful bone metastases. Irrespective of response to initial treatment, physicians were more willing to retreat after a single fraction. Overall, retreatment was effective in 63% of retreated patients.

Exercise therapy after coronary artery bypass graft surgery: a randomized comparison of a high and low frequency exercise therapy program.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative exercise therapy aims at recovering, as soon as possible, independence in the basic physical activities; but the type, intensity, and therefore the costs of the programs, vary widely. The aim of this study was to compare the effectiveness of a low frequency (once daily, not in the weekend) program with a high frequency (twice daily, including the weekend) one and to assess whether the latter would yield sufficient benefit for the patient to justify higher costs in material and personnel (physiotherapists) after uncomplicated coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery. METHODS: Two-hundred and forty-six patients were randomly allocated to either a low or high frequency exercise program. Endpoints were the functional level as measured by the achievement of five activity milestones, the patient's independence (functional independence measures [FIM]) as assessed by a structured interview, the amount of daily physical activity (activity monitor), and patient satisfaction (questionnaire). Except for patient satisfaction, all measurements were done in the first week after surgery. RESULTS: Patients with the high frequency exercise program achieved functional milestones faster than patients with the low frequency exercise program (p = 0.007). The frequency of the exercise program had no influence on functional independence as measured with the FIM or quantity of physical activity. The satisfaction degree was greater in the high frequency group (p = 0.032), although the low frequency group was not dissatisfied. CONCLUSIONS: A high frequency exercise program leads to earlier performance of functional milestones and yields more satisfaction after uncomplicated CABG surgery and this should lead to an earlier discharge. On the other hand, if the shortage of physiotherapists remains unchanged or even increases, the low frequency program also yields excellent functional results, albeit at the cost of a somewhat longer hospital stay: but it would allow a sensible redistribution of the physiotherapists activity towards complicated and, therefore, more demanding patients.

Simple radiographic parameter predicts fracturing in metastatic femoral bone lesions: results from a randomised trial.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: In the randomised Dutch Bone Metastasis Study on the palliative effect of a single fraction (SF) of 8 Gy versus six fractions of 4 Gy on painful bone metastases, 14 fractures occurred in 102 patients with femoral metastases. Purpose of the present study was to identify lesional risk factors for fracturing and to evaluate the influence of the treatment schedule. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Pretreatment radiographs of femoral metastases were collected. Three observers separately measured the lesions and scored radiographic characteristics. RESULTS: Ten fractures occurred after median 7 weeks in 44 SF patients (23%) and four after median 20 weeks in 58 multiple fraction patients (7%) (UV, P=0.02). In 110 femoral metastases, an axial cortical involvement >30 mm significantly predicted fracturing (MV, P=0.02). Twelve out of 14 fractured lesions and 40 out of 96 non-fractured metastases had an axial cortical involvement >30 mm (negative predictive value, 97%). When correcting for the axial cortical involvement, the treatment schedule was not predictive anymore (MV, P=0.07). CONCLUSIONS: Fracturing of the femur mostly depended on the amount of axial cortical involvement of the metastasis. We recommend to treat femoral metastases with an axial cortical involvement < or =30 mm with an SF of 8 Gy for relief of pain. If the axial cortical involvement is >30 mm, prophylactic surgery should be performed to minimize the risk of pathological fracturing or, if the patient's condition is limited, irradiation to a higher total dose.